NZDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello traders,
Price has rallied into a weekly order block and has just swept the previous high (buy-side liquidity). My speculation is that the price will rally to an unmitigated OB which I marked out with the horizontal ray.
For now, I'd be monitoring the 1-hour timeframe for a CHOCH of character to go short.
See my profile for more analysis.
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Cheers,
Jabari
Editorspick
USDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
If you have seen my analysis of the dollar index, you will know that my outlook on the dollar has shifted to bearish but I'm waiting for it to get to a level where I would be expecting a structural shift from bullish to bearish before I decide to trade against the dollar.
Check my page for more analysis.
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Cheers,
Jabari
GBPUSD ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys,
If you have seen my previous post, you'd know I am expecting a bearish price movement on the dollar in the coming days. That simply means GBPUSD should be preparing for the bullish rally.
I will insert below my analysis of DXY and EURUSD.
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DXY ANALYSIS
EURUSD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
EURUSD ____ SHORT TERM BEARISH LONG TERM BULLISHHey Fam,
EURUSD is currently at a monthly sell-side liquidity which is likely to be hunted because as seen on the dollar index (DXY) (inserted below), the dollar is poised to continue seeking higher prices. If this is to be true, EURUSD will sell into the daily order block from which I would be expecting to see a bullish rally in price.
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DXY ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPCHF ____ BEARISH MOVE IN PLAYHello Traders,
This pair has been bearish for the longest. However, on the monthly chart, price seems to be consolidating. It is not in our place to figure out if the consolidation will lead to a rally or a dump but if you look inside the consolidation, you will notice that price swept the previous monthly high giving it the liquidity to go after the weekly lows.
Fast forward to recent times, you will notice that price has a weekly low to hunt and price is printing on the daily chart, a complex head and shoulders pattern.
Are we expecting lower prices? I think so, what about you?
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Cheers,
Jabari
EURNZD ____ INCOMING BEARISH AND BULLISH MOVEHello Traders,
Here is a pair that has the potential to provide a bearish move and a bullish long-term rally.
The bearish move will likely complete the retracement on the weekly chart and once the price has traded into the weekly order block, I speculate that the rally will aim to sweep the trendline liquidity that has built up.
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Cheers,
Jabari
GBPNZD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders,
This pair is likely to head into the weekly demand order block from which I speculate a bullish rally in price. There is also an unmitigated price level and daily supply order block for the price to reach.
Once the price trades into the weekly demand zone, I will go into the 1-hour timeframe to wait for a CHOCH from bearish to bullish to go long.
Follow me for more updates.
Cheers,
Jabari.
GBPAUD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders,
This pair is trading in a weekly demand order block from which price could rally. We also have an unmitigated price level which price could go mitigate.
Keep an eye on this pair. I will be monitoring this pair on the 1-hour timeframe to see if there would be a CHOCH from bearish to bullish to go long.
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Cheers,
Jabari
EURAUD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders,
EURAUD has traded into a weekly demand order block after sweeping sell-side liquidity (equal lows) however, due to the massive dump in price, the bullish rally will not happen immediately.
This dump created a FVG on the daily timeframe which price could trade into next week and continue to ease the bearish move before the bullish rally begins.
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Cheers,
Jabari
AUDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
AUDCHF has traded into a weekly supply zone and has just hunted buy-side liquidity. In the weekly order block, there is an unmitigated daily order block that I expect the price to mitigate and react from.
I will be monitoring price movement as it trades in the weekly order block to see if there would be a CHOCH on the 1-hour timeframe.
Follow for more updates.
Cheers,
Jabari
CADJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
This pair has reacted from a monthly demand level and is trying to create a higher high there by hunting liquidity.
As you would notice, price is a few pips away from the weekly buyside liquidity which if it is hunted, a reaction is expected. Looking left, you will notice how price dropped strongly from that level.
My speculation is that price would take liquidity from there and use is as a form of retracement to the weekly order block.
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Cheers,
Jabari
NZDCAD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
NZDCAD has been in a long-term decline i.e., the price has been bearish for months and is likely to continue. The weekly and the daily charts have printed bearish structures.
Price just traded into the daily order block and is poised to continue the bearish move.
Looking at the chart, you would notice the relatively equal lows (sell-side liquidity) that price should hunt.
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Cheers,
Jabari
DXY (DOLLAR INDEX) ____ WAITING FOR BEARISH SIGNALHello Traders,
The dollar has been rallying for days and weeks and we are slowly approaching a potential turning point. Price has already cleared two weekly buy-side liquidity (previous high) on its way up and is approaching the third.
Although I am speculating and willing to go short, the market structure doesn't confirm to me bearish sentiment.
I have annotated on the chart any of the 2 price structures that will interest me to go short. Until such a pattern is printed on the chart, I still believe that the dollar will continue to rally.
Once any of these patterns appear, I will review the seven USD pairs to trade accordingly.
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Cheers,
Jabari
#PATIENCEHello traders, today we will talk about patience
Patience is the key to the best trades.
#Plan your trade.
#Do your research.
#Wait for the perfect entry
And many more but only patience will allow this process to unfold.
It's crucial to develop patience as a crypto trader. It's simple to fall for the hype surrounding quick earnings and instant delight. However, making snap judgments can result in losses.
By exercising patience, traders can track market patterns, examine the market's behavior, and come to wise conclusions. The long-term advantages of this strategy may be substantial.
Patience also enables traders to avoid emotional choices that could be harmful to the health of their portfolios, such as panic purchasing or selling.
Additionally, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market is well-known. Prices can change quickly, and crypto assets can lose or gain more than 50% of their value in a matter of days or even hours. Having patience allows traders to weather the market's ups and downs without making snap decisions.
Finally, traders can choose superior risk management strategies by exercising patience. Before making a choice, it enables them to conduct their due diligence and reduce their exposure to any damages.
Conclusion: Having patience can help traders succeed when trading cryptocurrencies. They are able to make wise choices and steer clear of costly errors thanks to it. The saying "slow and steady wins the race" is true.
It’s okay to wait… and wait… and wait for the exact moment to make your move.
Play the long game.
Never stop learning
I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you
EURCHF ____ BEARISH MOVE CONTINUATIONHello Traders,
On a larger scale, which is the monthly timeframe, you will notice how bearish the EURCHF has been in months. Drilling down, you will see on the weekly timeframe by looking left that we are trading in a supposedly bullish zone (where the price rallied from) but that should get little attention as currently, the market structure on the weekly chart is bearish and is about to complete the next impulsive leg which can be estimated by using the Fibonacci extension tool.
Before we go into the daily chart, I want to draw your attention to how last week's candle closed. What you will notice is the bearish strength in that candle.
Now let's go into the daily timeframe. What jumps right out is the CHOCH which signifies that the market structure has shifted from bullish to bearish. Hence, we mark the order block that caused this CHOCH and wait for a retracement to continue the bearish move.
I will be waiting to see if there will be a CHOCH on the 1-hour timeframe once the price trades into the daily supply order block as marked on my chart. If I don't see this, I don't trade.
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Cheers,
Jabari
EURNZD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
This pair has rallied for the longest, however, last week it printed a bearish CHOCH on the daily timeframe.
My speculation is for price to trade into the orderblock it created and continue the bearish move. Once price trades into the orderblock, I will go into the 1-hour timeframe to watch for a CHOCH before going short.
See the analysis of correlated pairs below: NZDCHF & NZDSGD
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NZDCHF ANALYSIS
NZDSGD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
USDCAD ____ DICEY BULLISH RALLY OPPORTUNITYHello Traders,
USDCAD just traded into the daily demand order block and the expectation is that price should continue its bullishness. The expected rally is to take out near-term buy-side liquidity and hunt the weekly buy-side liquidity.
I say this is dicey because the dollar is at a level where a shift from bullish to bearish can happen, but my speculation is that the dollar index still has some bullish steam left in it to continue the rally hence USDCAD rallies.
I will be monitoring this pair to see a CHOCH on the 1-hour timeframe as well as the dollar index before taking any trade.
Follow me for more updates like this.
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPNZD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
GBPNZD has been heavily bullish and with this bullishness, it created imbalances which can also be referred to as price inefficiency which would be made efficient or rebalanced in the future.
Last week, there was a bearish CHOCH on the daily timeframe which indicates a shift from bullish to bearish. Could this mean that price is ready to rebalance the inefficiencies? I don't know but the probabilities are positive.
I will be waiting to see if price will trade into the daily supply orderblock. When this happens, I will go into the 1hour timeframe to see if there will be a shift in structure to go short. If I don't see, I don't trade.
Price might not get to the order block due to the strong bearish move and just continue. Our job is to wait.
See below for correlated pairs: EURNZD, NZDCHF & NZDSGD
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EURNZD ANALYSIS
NZDCHF ANALYSIS
NZDSGD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
My Personal Encounter With The Gambler's Fallacy in Trading
I wanted to share a personal experience that taught me a valuable lesson about the gambler's fallacy in trading. It's a cautionary tale that highlights the importance of staying rational. So, picture this: I was on a losing streak in my nasdaq100 trades. I had suffered a string of losses that hit my confidence hard. I was frustrated, and the urge to 'make it all back' was gnawing at me. This is where the gambler's fallacy crept in.
The gambler's fallacy is the false belief that past outcomes affect future probabilities. In trading, this translates to thinking that after a series of losses, the next trade must be a winner. So, against my usual strategy, I put all my eggs in one basket.
Mind you, this was when nasdaq100 was drastically sinking. In my mind, it was "due" for a reversal, and i was convinced that this trade was my ticket out of the losing streak. I blatantly ignored the fact that each trade is independent and the market doesn't care about my past losses.
I went all-in on that trade, ignoring risk management, stop-loss orders, and any logical reasoning. the result? the market continued its downward trend, and my account took a massive hit. The money I had worked so hard to accumulate vanished in a matter of hours.
It was a humbling experience, to say the least. I had fallen into the trap of emotional trading, allowing frustration and the gambler's fallacy to guide my decisions. Instead of focusing on a solid trading strategy, i let impulsive thinking dictate my moves.
The takeaway here is crystal clear: trading is not about "making up for losses" in one grand trade. It's about strategic planning, risk management, and staying rational even in the face of losses. The market doesn't owe us anything.
I've since rebuilt my trading approach from the ground up. I emphasize disciplined strategies, risk management, and staying emotionally detached from trades. It's been a tough lesson, but one that's made me a more informed and emotionally mature.
The gambler's fallacy is a powerful psychological trap that can cost you dearly. Always remember that each trade is a new opportunity, independent of past outcomes. Let's keep learning and growing together in the world of trading. Remember, the gambler's fallacy is a real thing and it's a very "ignored" psychological trap in trading.
The Forex Trader: A Mirror Reflection of Your Soul
Do you agree with my "text"? Do you believe you are only as rich as you make yourself. I promise that only makes sense if you read it 5 times. I was dancing through my notes and I thought about this one great topic. Because I remember looking a very clear mirror and I could see every pore on my face. The thing about mirrors are: They never lie! What you see is basically what you get.
I'm about to dive into the intriguing concept that a forex trader might just be a mirror reflection of their soul.
Picture this: you're sitting in front of your computer screen, sipping on your favorite coffee, analyzing currency pairs, and making those split-second decisions that could either boost your account balance or send it plummeting. It's a rollercoaster of emotions – excitement, fear, elation, frustration – all bundled into a few moments. But have you ever considered that your reactions to these market movements might reveal something deeper about who you are?
Just like the forex market, life is a series of ups and downs. Your ability to weather through drawdowns and stick to your trading strategy reflects your resilience in the face of adversity. If you're quick to jump ship at the first sign of trouble, you might be reflecting a tendency to avoid challenges in your personal life as well. Hmm, The real question is, Are you?
Let me scrabble through more points:
Risk Appetite: How much risk are you comfortable taking? Do you prefer the adrenaline rush of high-stakes trading, or do you opt for a more conservative approach? Your risk tolerance in trading can be a reflection of your general outlook on life – are you a risk-taker or someone who prefers the safe path?
Emotional Control: Ah, emotions – the heart and soul of every forex trade. How you manage your feelings when a trade goes south or when a huge profit lands in your lap mirrors your emotional regulation in other life situations. Can you keep your cool, or do you tend to let your emotions dictate your decisions? Little secret, It's the later for me. I'm working on it though.
Adaptability: The forex market is known for its unpredictability. Successful traders know how to adapt to changing circumstances and switch strategies when needed. This ability to pivot can mirror your openness to change and innovation in your personal life.
Self-Reflection: Every trade offers a lesson, whether it ends in profit or loss. Traders who take the time to analyze their decisions and learn from their mistakes are likely to be reflective individuals outside of trading as well. This introspective nature can lead to personal growth and development.
In the end, forex trading can be seen as a microcosm of life itself (everyone says this). The way you navigate the market's highs and lows, your risk management strategies, and your emotional responses are all windows into your character. Just like a mirror reflects your physical appearance, your trading behavior might be revealing more about your inner self than you realize.
So, the next time you are analyzing charts and making trading decisions, take a moment to reflect on what your trading style might say about you. Are you a bold risk-taker, a patient strategist, or something entirely different? Embrace the journey of self-discovery that forex trading offers – after all, the market might just be reflecting your soul back at you. Happy soul-searching! Haha..
Empowering Financially Deprived Female Traders: A Letter of Hope
Introduction
Dear Fellow Trader,
I hope this letter finds you in good health and spirits, despite the challenges you might be facing on your journey as a financially deprived female trader. I want you to know that you are not alone in this struggle, and your determination to navigate the world of trading is truly inspiring. In this letter, I aim to offer you guidance, support, and practical insights to help you overcome the hurdles and seize opportunities in the trading landscape.
Acknowledging Your Strength
First and foremost, let me commend your courage. Being a female trader in a field traditionally dominated by men is an accomplishment in itself. Your presence challenges stereotypes and contributes to the diversification of the trading world. Embrace your uniqueness and the fresh perspectives you bring to the table.
The Power of Education
Education is your greatest asset. In a rapidly evolving market, staying updated with the latest trends, tools, and strategies is crucial. Fortunately, the digital age has made education more accessible than ever. Take advantage of online courses, webinars, and educational resources tailored to traders of all experience levels. Knowledge will empower you to make informed decisions and minimize risks.
Building a Support Network
Surround yourself with like-minded individuals who understand your journey. Join trading communities, both online and offline, where you can exchange ideas, seek advice, and share experiences. A strong support network can provide emotional encouragement, practical insights, and valuable connections that can significantly boost your trading career.
Setting Realistic Goals
Dream big, but ground your aspirations in reality. Set achievable short-term and long-term goals that reflect your financial situation, risk tolerance, and market knowledge. Tracking your progress against these goals will help you stay focused and motivated, even during challenging times.
Mastering Risk Management
One of the most critical aspects of trading is managing risk effectively. Protecting your capital should be your top priority. Never invest more than you can afford to lose, and diversify your portfolio to spread risk. Utilize stop-loss orders and position sizing techniques to limit potential losses while allowing room for gains.
Leveraging Technology
Technology has revolutionized trading, leveling the playing field for traders of all backgrounds. Make use of trading platforms, analytical tools, and algorithms to enhance your decision-making process. Automated trading systems can help execute trades even when you’re not actively monitoring the market.
Embracing Resilience
Financial markets are inherently volatile, and losses are a part of the game. What sets successful traders apart is their ability to bounce back from setbacks. Develop resilience by learning from your mistakes, analyzing your failures, and adapting your strategies accordingly. Remember that every loss is a lesson that brings you closer to success.
Continuous Adaptation
Adaptability is key to survival in the trading world. Market conditions change, and strategies that worked before might not be effective today. Stay flexible and open-minded, willing to adjust your approach based on new information and evolving trends.
Seeking Mentorship
Mentorship can provide invaluable guidance based on the firsthand experiences of seasoned traders. Finding a mentor who understands your challenges and aspirations can accelerate your learning curve and help you avoid common pitfalls. Their insights can be a beacon of light during uncertain times.
Navigating Bias and Discrimination
Unfortunately, bias and discrimination still persist in the trading world. As a female trader, you might encounter skepticism or condescension from some quarters. Use these experiences as fuel to prove your capabilities. Let your performance speak louder than any prejudices.
Conclusion
In closing, dear trader, remember that your journey is a testament to your strength, resilience, and determination. The financial struggles you face today do not define your future. With the right knowledge, mindset, and support, you can overcome challenges and achieve success beyond your wildest dreams. Embrace each day as an opportunity to grow, learn, and thrive in the world of trading.
Stay focused, stay hungry, and never lose sight of your potential.
Sincerely,
A Supportive Fellow Trader