NZDSGD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
We have a case where price has retraced into the daily order block and has consolidated for some days now. However, I think NZDSGD is ready for the bearish move.
I will be monitoring the retracement into the indicated region on my chart for an entry in the 1-hour timeframe.
Follow for more updates like this.
Cheers,
Jabari
Editorspick
What Is "Scalping" In ForexHello Traders,
We thought that we'd make a little guide to those of you who are looking at scalping as a possible trading strategy. This educational idea will give you a few things to consider and we hope that it will inform you of what you can expect from being a scalper.
Our Take:
Personally for us scalping isn’t our style and we wouldn’t recommend it to anyone but some people absolutely love it and are drawn into this type of trading because of the huge profit potential which is why we thought that we’d make this educational guide so that if you want to become a scalper then you know what you’re getting yourself into. Scalping can be a great way to trade but if you want to break out of that 9-5 job and not sit at a computer all day then scalping definitely isn’t your style. The reward you get from being a scalper comes with an equal risk and this is something a lot of people overlook.
A Message From Us:
We hope that you liked our guide and be sure to look out for our next educational guide where we’ll go over more lessons in regards to trading. If you have anything you want us to cover then please do contact us and we’ll see what we can do. We’d love it if you could show your appreciation if you liked this post and we wish you the best.
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
CADJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
As I had mentioned in my previous post on USDCAD (inserted below), CADJPY which is correlated to USDCAD is also at a very important supply region (weekly order block).
My speculation is that CADJPY may continue some more inducements and manipulation on its way to the top before it begins selling.
If you look left, you will notice the buy-side liquidity (equal highs) that the price may just spike above before selling or creating another equal high.
You should put this pair under your radar as it has more potential to deliver on the short.
Follow me for more updates like this.
USDCAD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
USDCAD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders,
USDCAD has been on my radar for a while now. It has entered a key demand zone.
However, It is our job to monitor how it trades lower to track when the bullish move will begin.
If you look at the dollar index, you will notice it has shifted from the daily bearish move to the bullish structure. But USDCAD is yet to. This simply means that there is a divergence/manipulation at play and at some point, the shift from bearish to bullish structure will occur.
Follow me to see my post on more pairs under my radar.
Cheers,
Jabari
AUDCHF ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys,
Check this out. AUDCHF just entered into a weekly demand order block. I have a strong bullish on this pair to reach 0.63000 region. For now, I will be monitoring the 1-hour timeframe for CHOCH from bearish to bullish to go long to the daily order block which is in confluence with the trend line
I also made an analysis on AUDCAD which correlates with AUDCHF (See below for the analysis)
Follow for more trade ideas
AUDCAD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
AUDCAD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders,
Here is one for you guys this week... You can see how the price hunted the buy-side liquidity and it is heading for the weekly order block.
I will be waiting for the price to hit that level, then switch to the 1-hour timeframe for CHOCH to go long.
Always keep it simple.
Follow for more incoming trades.
Cheers,
Jabari.
EURAUD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
EURAUD recently traded into a strong monthly supply zone and since then has printed a bearish price structure. What I would like to see is if there will be a 1-hour CHOCH to take a short from the weekly order block.
What you should notice is that we have a daily sell-side liquidity to be swept which is just above the weekly demand order block.
Something of concern is the daily order block and the equal highs (buy-side liquidity) in the weekly order block.
WATCH OUT!!!
Follow me for more market breakdowns.
Cheers,
Jabari
XAGUSD (SILVER) ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
As you know already, I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, Silver (XAGUSD) should be bearish.
Currently, Silver has traded into bother the weekly and daily FVG, and we may commence the bearish move from here after a few manipulations and bullish inducements. (See my previous analysis of XAGUSD below)
Follow for more updates.
Feel free to DM me.
Previous Silver analysis
This week's Dollar Index analysis
Other USD-related pairs
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDJPY
USDSGD
AUDUSD
Cheers,
Jabari
The Struggle of Consistency: Navigating DCA in Crypto InvestingHello dear @TradingView community! Today let’s focus on what is Dollar Cost Averaging ?
Determining the optimal moment to buy cryptocurrency is often a challenging task due to the high volatility of crypto assets. Prices can fluctuate unpredictably at any given time, leading traders to experience the fear of missing out (FOMO).
This fear is commonly felt when the price of a cryptocurrency, such as Bitcoin (BTC), suddenly surges or plunges. During price drops, individuals tend to panic and sell their holdings in a frantic attempt to avoid further losses. Conversely, when prices rise, panic ensues as people worry they don't possess enough coins to sell.
As evident, making decisions to buy or sell cryptocurrencies is no easy feat. However, if you seek long-term financial gains from cryptocurrencies without succumbing to the anxiety caused by every price spike, it would be wise to consider the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy. Let's delve deeper into what DCA entails and how it functions in the realm of cryptocurrencies.
What is Dollar Cost Averaging?
Dollar cost averaging is an investment strategy where fixed amounts are regularly invested at consistent intervals, in contrast to a one-time lump sum investment. This approach involves executing transactions regardless of the asset's current price or market fluctuations. It is highly favored by investors and management funds seeking long-term profits from various assets like ETFs, commodities, cryptocurrencies, stocks, and more.
How does DCA work? To employ the DCA strategy, you first determine the amount of cryptocurrency you wish to invest. In conventional investing, one would typically invest the entire designated sum in a specific asset. However, with DCA, you invest fixed amounts of USD into Bitcoin or any other asset over a designated period. For instance, you may choose to purchase $100 worth of BTC every month for a 10 year period.
When utilizing DCA, the selection of the cryptocurrency becomes crucial. With around 22,904 cryptocurrencies available today, you must pick a coin you believe will appreciate in value and yield profitable returns. You can even choose an ETF which follows the trend (up or down) for any specific asset or basket of assets.
To comprehend how DCA operates, consider the following example:
Let's assume it is June of 2014, and Katie decides to allocate $10,000 in BTC. In June of 2014, the price of Bitcoin stood at approximately $560 per coin. Instead of investing the entire sum at once, Katie opts for dollar cost averaging throughout the 9 years.
From June 2014 to May 2022, Katie spent $100 each month on BTC, disregarding market price fluctuations. After 8 years, she spends almost $9,600 and her earnings reflect the following:
The green line in the chart represents Katie’s total investment amount, while the orange line depicts the fluctuation of portfolio size value over the 9-year period. When Katie initiated his investments, both the cost of BTC and his investments were approximately $100. However, as time progressed, the price of Bitcoin underwent changes.
By May of 2022, Katie's $9,600 investment had grown to $287,518 worth of BTC, showcasing a growth rate of 2,895%. With maximum gain of $631,540 at bitcoin ATH.
Online DCA tools are also available to estimate the earnings from purchasing bitcoins over several months. For example, platforms like dcaBTC enable users to customize their DCA strategy according to their preferences, specifying the amount to purchase, investment frequency, and duration.
To successfully implement dollar-cost averaging (DCA) in Bitcoin investing, several key steps need to be followed. These steps involve setting a budget, choosing a reputable cryptocurrency exchange, establishing recurring purchases or utilizing recurring purchases and automated investment platforms (such as Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Crypto.com or even at Vestinda), and monitoring and adjusting the strategy as necessary.
Pros and Cons of Dollar Cost Averaging
Let's commence with the pros of dollar cost averaging. By making regular and consistent purchases over time, you mitigate the risk associated with poorly timed lump sum investments. Additionally, since you make regular purchases, you alleviate the fear of missing out and impulsive decision-making prompted by price fluctuations.
Cryptocurrency exchanges and platforms charge transaction fees for every trade. While one might assume that DCA would result in higher commission fees, it is essential to remember that this is a long-term strategy. The commission costs are negligible compared to the potential profits that can be realized over several years.
Moreover, DCA does not necessitate substantial investments. This strategy involves smaller and consistent purchases, eliminating the need to determine how best to deploy a large sum in one go. Furthermore, if prices suddenly drop at the time of purchase, you can acquire the cryptocurrency at a lower price.
However, it is important to note that if the cryptocurrency's price is bullish, you may end up buying at a higher price. This is particularly relevant when dealing with BTC or any chosen cryptocurrency. Many crypto enthusiasts and investors prefer to purchase a significant amount at once, fearing a subsequent price surge in the hours, days, weeks, or months to come.
As previously mentioned, with the DCA strategy, you purchase small amounts at regular intervals, regardless of market stability.
Should you utilize the DCA Strategy?
DCA facilitates maximizing profits with relatively low risk. Although this approach is not devoid of drawbacks, it offers numerous advantages that can be leveraged to your benefit.
Hence, is DCA worth your time and money? As always, we recommend thoroughly studying all available information before making any decisions. Save this article to your browser bookmarks for easy reference in the future.
Happy trading!
AUDSGD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
This pair is not so popular amongst forex traders but I do trade it sometimes and I might present a good short opportunity soon.
Price just created and hunted buy-side liquidity on its way to a daily order block which if it holds, will present a good shorting opportunity. There is also a weekly FVG just above the daily order block.
I would be monitoring price movement in the 1-hour timeframe, waiting for a CHOCH from bullish to bearish to take a nice short.
This move is also visible on other AUD pairs (see them below)
Follow for more update.
AUDUSD analysis
AUDCHF analysis
Cheers,
Jabari
AUDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
AUDCHF just entered a strong weekly order block. As you know already this pair has been bearish overall on higher timeframes like the weekly and monthly.
Although, the long-term bullish impulse might be fast approaching, however, I speculate that the weekly order block will have an impact on price and we would witness some bearish movement.
I'd be monitoring the 1-hour timeframe to spot CHOCH from bullish to bearish to a short trade.
See my analysis on AUDUSD below.
Follow for more updates.
AUDUSD analysis
Cheers,
Jabari
CADJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
CADJPY traded into a strong weekly order block last week but didn't sell as expected. However, it created both buy-side and sell-side liquidity. My speculation is that It hunts the buy-side liquidity first, then go for the sell-side liquidity.
This simply means that the price would run deeper into the weekly order block to gather momentum for the bearish move.
Follow for more updates.
Cheers,
Jabari
US DOLLAR INDEX ____ SHORT-TERM BEARISH LONG-TERM BULLISHHello Traders,
As expected last week, the dollar was bearish (see my previous DXY analysis below) but what you may notice is that Friday's candle close was bullish. I expect this week to rally the go bearish to takeout the lows of Friday's candle, after which, the long-term bullish move will commence.
I will post my analysis on dollar-related pairs and how I will trade them according to my view of the dollar index.
Follow me for more updates.
Here's my previous DXY analysis which played out as speculated.
Cheers,
David
GBPUSD ____ INCOMING BULLISH RUNHello Traders,
Just like I am expecting a bullish rally in EURUSD, I also expect a rally in GBPUSD for correlations reasons.
Also, we have a daily order block and also buy-side liquidity for the price to hunt and we know that price loves a nicely set liquidity pool. Ensure you look out for manipulations while waiting as I expect it to happen.
Follow for more updates.
Here are my analysis on the US DOLLAR INDEX and EURUSD
DXY
EURUSD
Cheers,
David
XAGUSD (SILVER) ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys,
As we can see this pair has buy-side liquidity to hunt on its way to the weekly FVG.
Also, since I expect a bearish move on the dollar index, it simply gives more conviction in this rally.
I also did an analysis on this pair last week which played out as speculated.
Follow for more updates.
See my previous XAGUSD analysis
XAGUSD
See this week's analysis on DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD and USDJPY
DXY
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDJPY
Cheers,
David
AUDUSD _____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
If you follow me already, you would know I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, AUDUSD should be bearish.
Currently, NZDUSD has traded into the weekly order block, and we may commence the bearish move from here. Price is also trading in the monthly order block with gives more confluence for a bearish move.
The goal will be to trade lower into the monthly demand order block.
Follow for more updates.
Dollar Index analysis
Other USD-related pairs
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDJPY
USDSGD
Cheers,
Jabari
USDSGD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHey Guys,
USDSGD hunted sell-side liquidity last week Thursday & Friday and also traded into the weekly FVG. From the weekly FVG, I speculate that the price will rally to hunt the buy-side liquidity and head into the daily FVG.
However, I expect that price will try again to go lower at the beginning of the week and start the bullish rally.
Also, as a confluence, the dollar index is also getting ready for the bullish rally (see below my analysis on DXY)
Follow for more updates.
Feel free to DM me.
See my Dollar Index analysis
Other USD-related pairs
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDJPY
Cheers,
Jabari
USDJPY ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys,
USDJPY just cleared buy-side liquidity and is heading should head for the daily FVG.
Also, based on my outlook for the dollar index (see below for analysis), USDJPY should continue the rally but first, it needs to go into the daily order block to gather orders and momentum for this move.
Follow for more updates.
Feel free to DM me.
Dollar Index analysis
Other USD-related pairs
GBPUSD analysis
NZDUSD analysis
Cheers,
David
NZDUSD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
If you follow me already, you would know I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, NZDUSD should be bearish.
Right now, NZDUSD has traded into the weekly FVG, and from here, we may commence the bearish move. (See my previous analysis of NZDUSD below)
Follow for more updates.
Dollar Index analysis
Previous NZDUSD analysis
This week's analysis on GBPUSD
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPUSD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
If you follow me already, you would know I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, GBPUSD should be bearish.
Right now, GBPUSD has traded into the daily order block, and from here, we may commence the bearish move. (See my previous analysis of GBPUSD below)
Follow for more updates.
Dollar Index
Last week's GBPUSD analysis
Cheers,
Jabari
US DOLLAR ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys,
Last week's price moved as speculated (see analysis below). I was expecting the bearish continuation. This week I expect Price to start making preparations for the massive rally.
I have a strong bullish view on the dollar and I expect that after a few manipulations in either the weekly or monthly order block, the price will take off.
Follow for more updates.
See last week's speculation on the Dollar Index.
Cheers,
Jabari
The ABCD Pattern: from A to DHello dear @TradingView community!
Are you familiar with the ABCD pattern?
The ABCD pattern is a highly effective tool utilized in trading to identify potential opportunities across diverse markets, including forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. This pattern takes the form of a visual and geometric arrangement, characterized by three consecutive price swings or trends. When observed on a price chart, the ABCD pattern exhibits a striking resemblance to a lightning bolt or a distinctive zig-zag pattern.
Importance of the ABCD Pattern
The significance of the ABCD pattern lies in its ability to identify trading opportunities across different markets, timeframes, and market conditions. Whether the market is bullish, bearish, or range-bound, the ABCD pattern remains a reliable tool.
By recognizing the completion of the pattern at point D, you can get a perspective trade entries. Furthermore, the ABCD pattern helps you determine the risk-to-reward ratio before initiating a trade. When multiple patterns converge within the same timeframe or across different timeframes, it strengthens the trade signal and increases the likelihood of a profitable outcome.
Finding an ABCD Pattern
The ABCD pattern has both a bullish and bearish version. Bullish patterns indicate higher probability opportunities to buy or go long, while bearish patterns suggest opportunities to sell or go short.
To identify an ABCD pattern, it is essential to locate significant highs or lows on a price chart, represented by points A, B, C, and D. These points define the three consecutive price swings or legs of the pattern: the AB leg, the BC leg, and the CD leg.
Trading is not an exact science, so traders often employ Fibonacci ratios to determine the relationship between the AB and CD legs in terms of both time and price. This approximation assists in locating the potential completion of the ABCD pattern. When patterns converge, it increases the probability of successful trades and enables you to make more accurate decisions regarding entries and exits.
Types of ABCD Patterns
There are three types of ABCD patterns, each having both a bullish and bearish version. To validate an ABCD pattern, specific criteria and characteristics must be met. Here are the characteristics of the bullish and bearish ABCD patterns:
📈 Bullish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (buy at point D):
To effectively trade the bullish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics:
1. Find AB:
Identify point A as a significant high and point B as a significant low. During the move from A to B, ensure that there are no highs above point A and no lows below point B.
2. After AB, then find BC:
Point C should be lower than point A. In the move from B up to C, there should be no lows below point B and no highs above point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB.
3. After BC, then draw CD:
Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be lower than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new low. During the move from C down to D, there should be no highs above point C.
4.1 Determine where D may complete (price):
To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price.
4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation:
For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form.
5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence:
Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align.
6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg:
As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%.
📉 Bearish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (sell at point D):
To effectively trade the bearish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics:
1. Find AB:
Identify point A as a significant low and point B as a significant high. During the move from A up to B, ensure that there are no lows below point A and no highs above point B.
2. After AB, then find BC:
Point C should be higher than point A. In the move from B down to C, there should be no highs above point B and no lows below point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB.
3. After BC, then draw CD:
Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be higher than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new high. During the move from C up to D, there should be no lows below point C and no highs above point D.
4.1 Determine where D may complete (price):
To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price.
4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation:
For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form.
5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence:
Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align.
6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg:
As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%.
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CHFJPY ____ BEARISH MOVE INCOMINGHello Guys,
I made a post on this last week stating that I want to see this pair rally into my daily order block.
Which it did. Now, I expect a CHOCH from bullish to bearish to take a short.
I also made a trade on CADCHF (see below for analysis)
Follow for more updates.
CADCHF
Cheers,
Jabari