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Bollinger Bands - Contraception for your Price ActionSo i thought i’d do another educational post, this time on the Bollinger Bands. I’ll try and keep this as a brief introduction to the basics of Bollinger Bands so you can do your own research to fully understand what the indicator is doing and showing, there is no point putting a fancy indicator on your chart if you have no idea what it is showing you. Bollinger Bands measure, Price & Volatility, potential Support and Resistance, & it can also give you a sense of if an asset is Overbought or Oversold, although its best practice to use another indicator to get confirmation of being Oversold or Overbought because the price can walk the Upper and Lower Bands for extended Periods. The Standard Bollinger Bands is composed of a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) which is its Middle Band, it also has an Upper Band & a Lower Band which envelopes the SMA. The outer bands are a +/- 2 Standard Deviation (StdDev) of the 20-period SMA in whatever timeframe you are in. A Simple Moving Average (SMA) is an unweighted average of the Previous 20-period Values in whatever timeframe you are in, so for the 1min chart, the SMA period will be an unweighted average of the previous 20 mins, for the 1hr chart, the SMA period will be an unweighted average of the previous 20 hours, for the Daily chart, the SMA period will be an unweighted average of the Previous 20 days and so on and so on. You are able to change the SMA to any period you want, some trading sites also allow you to change the SMA into an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Changing the timeframe from the standard 20-period SMA to a faster SMA like a 10-period, will allow faster entry into possible buy & sell points but could be prone to false signals, because of this, most people keep the SMA at the Default of 20-periods to avoid possible false buy/sell signals. You can change the StdDev settings, but you must know what you are doing as you cannot just add any number for shits and giggles, for example, a 20-period SMA is 2 StdDev, a 10-period SMA is 1.5 StdDev and a 50-period SMA is 2.5 StdDev as default. For those interested, & from my understanding of it, the Population Standard Deviation used in the Bollinger Bands system is a measure of the +/- dispersion/variation of the mean or the sum of a collection of values, the values being the 20 periods, so a +/- deviation value away from its Midpoint Basis in whatever timeframe you are in. I won’t go into the calculations because everyone will stop reading & it’ll also hurt my head because i cannot even count. So the + is the Upper Band and the - is the Lower Band. So looking at the Bollinger Bands, we now know that the Middle Band is the basis & the Upper and Lower Bands are +/- Standard Deviations of that Middle Band Basis in whatever timeframe you are in. With Low Volatility, the closer the Upper and Lower Bands are to its Price & Middle Band Basis. The more volatile the Price action is in either direction, the further away the Price will move from its Middle Band and move closer to its Upper or Lower Bands depending on if it’s Bullish or Bearish. Along with the Price, the Upper and Lower Bands will also expand outwards and move away from its Middle Band. With extreme volatility the Price may even wick out or close a candle out of its Upper or Lower Bands. If there has been a period of Volatility which has come to an end, then you will see the Upper and Lower Bands start to contract inwards. You can use the Middle Band as potential Support and Resistance Levels depending on if the Price is above or below it. You can also use the Upper and Lower Bands as potential Resistance Levels, and also as potential entry levels for longs or shorts respectively. The Lower and Upper bands will point outwards and inwards depending on if the Price is contracting or expanding respectively. With normal volatility, if you use the default 20-period SMA & 2 StdDev settings, then the price action will possibly remain within the bands for roughly about 90% of the time. The Price will eventually move back in to the Upper or Lower Bands if there has been a period that the Price has been outside of the Upper or Lower Bands. What is great about the Bollinger Bands is that you can apply it to any chart and timeframe that has enough previous trading data, and use it to get a feel for the assets volatility over time. A key thing to look out for is the Bollinger Bands Squeeze, this happens when you buy latex contraception that’s too tigh……… sorry…… this happens when volatility has slowed & the Upper and Lower Bands contract, envelope and stay close to the Price & Middle Band so essentially Price action is trading sideways within a channel made up of the Lower and Upper Bands. The Bollinger Bands Squeeze Pattern can potentially end in a big breakout upwards or downwards. Bollinger Bands can also be used to see Bullish W-Bottoms or Bearish M-Top signals in the Price. These signals have 4 steps that need to happen for it to be considered valid but i’ll let you do your own research on that. The Price can also walk along the Upper and Lower Bands for an extended period of time depending on if the Price is Bullish or Bearish. It’s best practice to use complementary indicators like Volume, RSI, ADX, STOCH or MACD to try and get confirmation or any potential breakout. I actually use the Bollinger Bands on my charts in conjunction with the Ichimoku Cloud. On a side note, having a grasp of the basics of the original Bollinger Bands crated by John Bollinger is the first step to really understanding it and properly using it to enable you to make wise decisions with your money/investments. If you have an understand of the original Bollinger Bands, then that can help you with understanding other price enveloping indicators like what David ‘WycoffMode’ Ward has created. David has created his own genius take on the Bollinger Bands called Bad Ass Bollinger Bands, which is quite fascinating because it shows multiple +/- Standard Deviations for whatever timeframe you are in. You could potentially use these as multiple Support and Resistance Levels for whatever timeframe you are in and also look for any potential cascading effect from lower to higher timeframes using these multiple +/- StdDev levels, he does state however that to get the best out of it, you have to use it with his Phoenix Ascending indictor, which from what I’ve seen, i think it complements his Bad Ass Bollinger Bands by showing Momentum, Upwards and Downwards Pressure & potential Trend Crossover, this agrees with what i have said above, about using other complimentary indicators with your Bollinger Bands like RSI or MACD. From what I have seen of David’s Bad Ass Bollinger Bands, one of the many benefits of having multiple +/- Standard Deviations, 8 in total, 4+ & 4-, is that you end up with a closer to 95-99% of the Price action staying within the Bollinger Bands for more accuracy. 99% because if there is extreme volatility, that may still cause a Candle Wick to poke its head out. This new indicator is potentially a real game changer. This is just my opinion from what i have seen of it, so i could be completely wrong & David could say it doesn’t mean anything that i've typed and he’s gonna hunt me down for typing complete bollox. Below is a pic to show you the differences between the original Bollinger Bands and the Bad Ass Bollinger Bands. In any case, it’s best practice that when using your charts, you should have a range of indicators to complement each other, an indicator for Momentum, Volatility, Trend, Price, Volume ect. You do not need to add 4 indicators on your chart that show the same thing. If your using RSI then you don’t really need the STOCH, If you’re using MACD then you don’t really need ADX or Parabolic SAR. If you’re interested in learning more about the Ichimoku Cloud System, please click on the below pic which will take you to an educational post i did about it. I hope you have found this brief intro helpful & i hope it encourages you to do your own research to find the best trading strategy for you. Cheers 👍
BINANCE:ADAUSDEducation
by entertheroach
6
GBP/AUD Huge 60 pip downside potential, find out why here!GBP/AUD has broken out of a range in between 1.79130 - 1.79400, that is also a strong well respected area of resistance formed on the 4H timeframe and a more minor area of support formed on the 30 minute chart. The zones show very strong signs of bearish momentum stepping into the market. Upon the breakout of support identified on the 30 minute chart, GA started to show signs of candle rejection @1.78995. However the candle has closed bearish below 1.79130 which indicates that there is still a very strong potential for GA to continue moving to the downside to target it's previous low @1.78400 (60 pips/65 pips) Bearing in mind of the wicks that have previously rejected 1.78995 and moved back into the consolidation phase, I will be very carefully monitoring the way the candles are moving around this are. Target - 1.78400 (60 pips) Stop - 1.79260 (above the previous 30 min candle high) Feel free to like this post if you agree with my idea👍 Follow me here on TradingView @ShaunGadd02
Short
by ShaunGadd02
I LOST 70% OF MY CAPITAL WITH THE SAME MISTAKE => OVERTRADINGHello Traders, today I want show you a point of my live, that I constantly overlooked. I want sensitize you for it and also make me so a reminder for the future! 1. OVERTRADING It's the truth: In the past I lost 70% of my capital with overtrading. If you find yourself there then I would be sensitize you to rethink your approach of trading. On the chart above you can see how I take at the beginning all rules what I learned before: Only 1% of my capital I choose for risk with using StoppLoss Support and Resistance are STOPPLOSS and TAKEPROFIT, depence on trading direction I choose a Takeprofit more then 2 times of my risk => I lost the most time with this rules But the rules are not the problem! The problem was my overtrading. I see only "ONE" signal to take action => then it overcomes to reaction buy, no no, sell... dame, better buy and so on => always if I was in loss I tried to rethink my trade 24/7 hours in front of the screen. 2. SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE: THE WORST ENTRY POINTS EVER, BUT GOOD STOPLOSS AND TAKEPROFIT AREAS Another thing is, that support and resistance areas are good reverse moments. Every greedy trader like I used to be, try to catch the early trade to make more money than anyone can imagine. Then back to reality: you get stopped. The market takes your money and you don't realize why! On this moment, you have your own opinion of the market and this your mistake to believe you are right. You hadn't wait enough! 3. BE PATIENCE - TRADE LATE AND RIGHT THEN EARLY AND WRONG (MULTIPLE) The headline above in point 3. is since my realizing the importast rule. Trade late and right! Because the other thing of trading you can: the right risk, the winning opportunity. Sometimes it helps to look in deeper timeframes, to get enough win-risk-ratio. Hopefully it helps you! Kind regards NXT2017
EUREX:FDXM1!Education
by NXT2017
5
ATOMs Road to 10.00 Hey guys remember my last post i said atom was cruising down , i think its made it move upwards after hitting support , this is another entry on atom i took , a very conservative one only because i had multiple confirmations , this just gives me a little reassurance . i may have missed out when it hit its lowest point , but with crypto you are not missing out unless you don't get in . . how do you guys feel about atom , let me know below in the comments . if you're new , thanks for viewing and don't forget to follow me for more leave a like its much appreciated it . Thanks guys
COINBASE:ATOMUSDLong
by stunnahblank702
1
Plotting a Trade on $DTDynatrace is a cup and handle trade setup example that I have alerted to here twice. It is a trade that I took that ended up with 10%+ profit on half the position and break even on the 2nd half. I've plotted the trade annotation on the chart. I am sharing this as an example to illustrate how a rule based approach to swing trading looks like. One of the most common questions I receive when sharing setups is "What is your price target?" and the answer to that is, I don't have one. My profit taking rules are based on multiples of my Risk. I take half off at 2 to 3x my risk (sometimes earlier), and then manage the 2nd half day by day and let it run as long as it is making progress. Keep it simple. Plan your trade before putting it on and once its on follow your plan. Keep guessing and emotions OUT, if you don't, you will NOT succeed.
NYSE:DT
by TaPlot
5 Things You Should Stop Doing As A Trader1-listening to others -you don’t know their trading plan 2-strategy hopping -focus on one trading method -learn more about the trading method 3-tweaking one strategy -develop new strategies instead 4-thinking in terms of absolute 5-comparing yourself to others if you are interested any crypto that you want analyze with me and any questions please do not hesitate and comment below the chart! if u like it press like-comment and folow me.thx
Education
by Meisam_TA
2