Trading is a game of numbers and probabilitiesFirst of all, let us clarify, that what we mean by a "bad trade" is simply a transaction that was unsuccessful . There are no "good" or "bad" trades as the whole system of trading is random and unpredictable. In other words, if we knew how to differentiate between bad and good trades, then technically, we would always choose to enter good trades, right? Or should we wait for our trades to close before we label them "good" or "bad"?
Anyways, moving to the main part, we would like you all (especially beginners) to embed the following in their minds forever: trading is a game of numbers and probabilities.
No, you will not have a 100% win rate.
No, you won't be making 200 pips per day.
Yes, you will have losses.
Yes, things are gonna get emotional.
The above-stated may seem bizarre to newbies. "Like, what do you mean I cannot make 200 pips per day? This Free Forex Signals group on Telegram shares 50 signals per day and promises me a 100% return per month and you are telling me I cannot make 200 pips a day? Hahaha, do not make me laugh".
Been there, listened to that.
At the beginning of our trading careers, we are greedy, emotional, and extremely optimistic about our skills and abilities. We get angry, question ourselves, change our strategy every second day and so forth. All that up until we get more mature and wise in the markets. With time, we gain experience and double up on our skills; and that is exactly when we become acknowledging the market for what it actually is and understand how it functions.
Experienced traders think, move, and act in probabilities. They predetermine their risk, calculate all possible outcomes, execute at ease knowing that they are following their strategy. To put it into simple English, they do not get mad over one loss, because they know that their backtested and fully planned strategy is there to lead them towards long-term profitability and consistency.
Educationalidea
From Zero to Hero: The Art of Finding Winning Crypto Projects!!!Hello there, fellow traders👨💻! As a trader, I know that choosing the right crypto project to invest in can feel like navigating a sea of uncertainty.
But fear not mateys😎!
Today, we will set sail on a journey to discover the best crypto projects.😉
I will examine critical factors to help identify the most promising crypto projects💡.
But I won't be venturing blindly into the unknown.
Oh no, I have a trusty checklist for each crypto project to guide us on our quest.
I give a score from 1 to 10 for each factor.
With this checklist in hand✅, we will be able to evaluate each crypto project based on essential factors(But I must say that the ✨ starred factors ✨ are more important in our checklist).
So let's dive into the factors.
Founders ✨: The founders' vision, expertise, reputation, leadership, and decision-making abilities are essential to a crypto project's success and sustainability.
Project's Goal ✨: The project goal is a critical component of a crypto project that defines its purpose, attracts investors, guides development, and measures success.
Source Code ✨: The importance of source code in a crypto project lies in its ability to determine its functionality, security, and transparency. Access to source code enables security experts and auditors to review the project's security measures, identify weaknesses, and recommend improvements. Open-source projects promote transparency and accountability, building trust among stakeholders. Also, new commits submitted to the project can be analyzed through the project's repository.
Token Inflation Rate ✨: The importance of a crypto project's token inflation rate lies in its impact on the token's value, liquidity, and long-term sustainability. A high inflation rate can decrease the token's value and liquidity, while a low inflation rate can promote token scarcity and sustainability.
White Paper Analysis ✨: The importance of a whitepaper in a crypto project lies in its ability to communicate the project's vision, value proposition, and technical specifications to investors. It is a marketing tool, technical specification document, project blueprint, and credibility establishment tool.
Community ✨: This is a significant factor when analyzing a crypto project. Community in a crypto project provides the ability to support the project's growth, adoption, and sustainability. A strong community can promote adoption and awareness, provide feedback and insights, offer support and resources, and promote the project's values and mission.
Tokenomics : Can determine the token's value, utility, and sustainability. Tokenomics can help balance token supply, demand, and circulation, design token utilities that incentivize user participation, and regulate token supply to promote.
Developers : They play a crucial role in a crypto project, as they are responsible for designing, building, and maintaining the project's software and infrastructure. The importance of developers in a crypto project lies in their ability to ensure the project's functionality, security, and scalability. Developers are responsible for designing, building, and maintaining the project's software and infrastructure, promoting innovation and creativity, and promoting the project's vision and values.
Venture Capital (VC) Investors : The importance of VC investors in a crypto project lies in their ability to provide the project with funding, expertise, and connections to help it grow and succeed. VC investors can help the project overcome challenges, expand its reach, and promote its legitimacy and credibility.
Competitors : Comparing a crypto project to its competitors is essential to understand its strengths and weaknesses, assess its potential for growth and profitability, identify any potential risks, and evaluate the project's unique features. These factors are critical for making a well-informed investment decision in crypto.
👆According to the factors mentioned, getting lost in this sea is challenging.👆
With this map or lantern, you will find your way to the safe shore and the treasure.💎
Warren Buffett once said, "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." In today's ever-changing financial markets, staying informed and making well-informed investment decisions is more critical than ever.
So hoist the anchor and embark on this exciting adventure together.✌🏻 With this checklist and knowledge, you'll be able to navigate the treacherous waters of the crypto market and find the projects that will lead you to the ultimate booty - success! 🙏🏻😍
Share your ideas with me💡, and if you have any questions❓, you can ask in the comments.💬
Learn and always stay updated📚.
Don't forget to invest what you can afford to lose.💸
Discretion is the greater part of valor.🤗
What is Candlestick Pattern?Candlestick patterns are a charting technique used by traders to analyze the price movement of financial instruments. They originated in Japan in the 18th century and were used to track the price of rice. The technique was later adapted for trading other assets like stocks, currencies, commodities, and cryptocurrency.
Candlestick patterns are an important tool used by traders and investors to analyze the price movement of financial assets. A candlestick is a visual representation of the price movement of an asset during a specific time period. Each candlestick represents the opening, closing, high, and low prices of the asset during the period. The shape and color of the candlestick provide important information about the price movement of the asset.
Candlestick patterns are formed by the combination of one or more candlesticks, and they can indicate a potential trend reversal, continuation, or indecision in the market. Some candlestick patterns are based on just one candlestick, while others are based on combinations of two or more candlesticks.
A bearish candle (red candle) represents a period of trading where the closing price is lower than the opening price. This indicates that sellers were able to push the price down, indicating a negative sentiment in the market. The bearish candle has a long body and a small lower wick, indicating that sellers were in control for most of the trading period.
A bullish candle (green candle) represents a period of trading where the closing price is higher than the opening price. This indicates that buyers were able to push the price up, indicating a positive sentiment in the market. The bullish candle has a long body and a small upper wick, indicating that buyers were in control for most of the trading period.
Both bullish and bearish candles can come in various sizes and shapes, indicating different levels of buying or selling pressure. For example, a long bullish candle with no or a very small upper shadow could indicate strong buying pressure, while a short bullish candle with a long upper wick could indicate weaker buying pressure.
Different types of candlesticks Pattern:
1. Bullish Candlestick Pattern
- Hammer
- Inverse Hammer
- Bullish Harami
- Bullish Engulfing
- Morning Star
- Three white soldiers
2. Bearish Candlestick Pattern
- Shooting star
- Hanging man
- Bearish Harami
- Bearish Engulfing
- Evening star
- Three black crows
Doji: Gravestone Doji
Dragonfly Doji
Long-legged Doji ( Spinning top )
In the upcoming post, we will elaborate on the various types of candlesticks and how to use them.
Thanks
Hexa
Bull and Bear Traps!!!👨🏫Hello, dear traders🙋🏻; I am Pejman, and welcome to TradingView Tunes📺. As a lover of classic cartoons, I would like to explain Bull and Bear Trap using the Road Runner and Coyote cartoons😍.
If you've never seen this cartoon👀, let me tell you, it's a masterpiece of trapping and pranking. But what does it have to do with financial markets🤷🏻❓
Believe it or not, there are some striking similarities between the traps Coyote🐺 sets for Road Runner🐦 and the traps that exist in financial markets💲. The market traps are known as bull🐮 and bear🐻 traps, and they can lead to significant losses if investors aren't careful.🙍🏻
For example, the Coyote paints🖌️ the road to drag the Road Runner to a suitable place and traps him with stones🪨 and TNT💣. Or he is trying to surprise the bird with TNT & cactus🌵, in another way.🤭
Large financial institutions and market makers, or whales🐋, try to deceive amateur traders in the financial markets. Like coyotes, they try to trap inexperienced people by creating fake buy🟢 and sell🔴 signals.
To trade with these traps, you should know technical analysis to neutralize the coyote traps of the market like Road Runner.😉
In the financial markets, we have two types of fraudsters. Bulls are the ones who buy and cause prices to rise☝🏻, and on the contrary, bears are the ones who sell and make prices fall👇🏻. Simple enough, right😊❓
However, I explained more about bulls and bears in the market types post👀. You can refer to this post to better understand the rest of the article.👇🏻😉
Every hunter needs prey. For example, we said that the Coyote used to paint the roads. Exactly bulls, by pumping up the price and bears by a sharp drop in the price, fool the inexperienced people. Also, all these events are short-term.
Like Road Runner, you have to pay close attention to the market⚠️.
In this post, I will teach you how to turn threats into opportunities and profit from them.✅
The first step is to identify these traps. Our first trip today is the bull trap.
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Bull Trap:
Let's start with the Bull Trap🏁.
This is when the market looks like it's on the up-and-up⬆️, so you start throwing money around like a looney tune💸. But just like Coyote's contraptions, the market can suddenly backfire and leave you feeling like you just got hit with an anvil💥.
It's enough to make you want to go "meep meep" all the way home☹️🏠. Be like Road Runner and stay alert, or you'll end up with a crate of dynamite💣 strapped to your back. That's a bull trap in a nutshell.
A bull trap is when the market appears to increase, so investors jump in, hoping to make a profit. But then, the market suddenly drops, and those investors are left holding the bag👜. They thought they were getting ahead of the game but were just falling into a trap.🪤
You may be fooled by the chart and expect the price to pump up, but in reality, the price will start to fall or act like a reversal pattern.↩️
At this time, those who traded without stop loss🚫 will lose the most. It would help if you watched out for these traps in any type, whether up, down, or sideways (range market).
The price must be below a resistance zone for a bull trap to form a reversal pattern. A bull trap can change an uptrend to a downtrend after creating classic reversal patterns such as double tops, heads & shoulders, diamonds, etc.😉
If you want to know the patterns and learn classic patterns with a quick review⏩, you can get help from the following post.
Now that you know this trap, we can talk about ways to recognize and deal with this trap.
How to recognize the Bull Trap🔎
Sir John Templeton says: The four most dangerous words in investing are: "This time it's different."🤔
We may have said these words and confused real traps with fake traps. But how can you prevent this mistake?🤷🏻
Do you remember that we talked about fake and valid breakouts in the Support and Resistance post?💭
You can also read the link below for a background on this topic.
Let's go back to our topic. To ensure that the breakout is valid, we should look for two confirmation signs✅️:
1. Increase in Trading Volume
2. Bullish candlestick patterns
Now let's go through each one in detail because the devil👹 is in the details 😂.
Increase in Trading Volume
For the breakout to be valid, the volume📶 of the broken candle must be significantly higher than the previous candles. But more is needed because coyotes are clever and intelligent. Even after the breakout, the trading volume for the other candles should remain high to ensure the failure is real.
In a bull trap, the volume of the fake breakout candles either does not increase or only slightly.
If you see that the trend has lost momentum after breaking out or has no strong momentum to continue or start the trend, this is precisely the trail of coyotes in the market.
Along with market volume, considering candlesticks and their patterns can be equally helpful as they clearly show market movement.
You can take a look at the following post to learn about these candlestick patterns and review them.
For example, by seeing bullish candlestick patterns, you can understand that a breakout is not fake.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns:
If the breakout candle is a giant momentum candle, it's called a Marubozu , which is not difficult to find on the chart. This candle has a green and long body, and its wick is tiny compared to its body, or it does not have a wick at all.
This candle is associated with a high trading volume, and it shows that TNT is not working in this upward trend, and real buyers are in the market.
Also, the pattern of the 👩🚀👩🚀👨🚀 Three White Soldiers 👩🚀👨🚀👩🚀 is a reversal pattern that can be seen as a continuation pattern in the charts.
Along with all these signs, you should always keep the market trend in mind.
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Bear Trap:
Next up is the Bear Trap.
This is when the market looks like it's going to crash💥 and burn🔥, so you start selling your assets like there's no tomorrow.
But just like Coyote's rockets, the market can suddenly bounce back and leave you feeling like you just got flattened by an Acme anvil.
Don't panic! Be like Road Runner and stay calm, or you'll fall off a cliff.
Bear traps are similar to bull traps. Young and inexperienced bears🐻 are caught in these traps.
When the young bears think the market is going down, these traps are activated, and the hunters place heavy buy orders.
At this moment, this heavy order will cause the price to turn upward, and anyone who has a short position without a stop loss will lose their money💸.
A trap is a trap, and it doesn't matter if it is a bear or a bull🐮. Here we use the duplicate confirmations we used in bull traps, like a steady increase in trading volume and continuation candlestick patterns.
When a support zone is broken, hunters prepare to set traps. If the bearish momentum candle is not accompanied by increased trading volume, this can be a sign of a trap.
The ⚫️⚫️⚫️ Three Black Crow ⚫️⚫️⚫️ candlestick pattern is usually a reversal pattern but sometimes acts as a continuation pattern. If a high trading volume accompanies this pattern, it can be a valid sign of a breakout.
Now I will tell you how to use these traps (Bull&Bear) and get profit from them like a professional trader.
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How to trade with a Bull Trap
The bull traps start with an uptrend. As you can see the picture has a resistance zone, and the price may test a zone several times before passing it.
When a fake breakout occurs, it may initially be accompanied by an increase in trading volume, but it is entirely temporary, and you will notice a decrease⤵️ in the intensity of the trend from the next candles.
When the intensity of the trend decreases, market coyotes activate their traps. And they set sell orders, and the bloody🩸 candles appear on the chart.
With a valid breakout of the last support, the price reaches our entry point station⛽️. You can place your stop loss a little higher than the top of the bull trap and place your stop loss🚫 above the breakout candlestick of the support zone, considering the higher Risk-Reward ratio.
To find the take profit💰 point, consider the difference between the peak trap and the support zone as X, and Viola, now expects X amount to profit from your entry point.
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How to trade with a Bear Trap
Now it's time for the second trap.
After occurring a valid support zone breakout and an increase in price, you must wait for the price to break through the last resistance zone after a sudden sharp move.
When you can use the signs⚠️, you are sure that the coyotes have abandoned the process, that there is no trap🪤, and that real failure has happened; you can open your long positions.
Now, this passed resistance zone has turned into support, and you can wait for the price to test this area several times for more confidence and then open your entry point.
Like trading in bull traps, in bear traps, you can place your stop loss a little below the valley of the bear trap.
Considering the higher Risk-Reward ratio, you can also put it below the breakout candle of the resistance zone.
The take-profit point is the same as the bull trap, but vice versa. Consider X from the lowest price in the bear trap and the resistance zone.
Now, as much as X, we can expect that the upward trend will continue and precious dollars will rain on our heads.
Now that you have learned about the bull trap🪤 in an uptrend and the bear trap in a downtrend↘️, you should remember that the market is not always up🔺️ and down🔻, and the road runner should also expect traps on the range roads. You should be aware of bull/bear traps in the range market.
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Range Market
When the price gets stuck between the support and resistance zones, the range market is created, and the coyotes also look for inexperienced road runners in this market.
This is a sad story for new traders who rush into positions when they see the resistance or support zone break.
Price fluctuations in range markets are minor; trading in a range market is much more complex than in bull and bear markets.
So I suggest you spend more time on your trading strategies and test them several times.
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Conclusion:
Even in life, some coyotes seek to trick you by creating fake situations. But you have to be careful and smart like Road Runner.
Sir John Templeton believes that: "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria."
And also, David Dreman says: "Bear markets are like avalanches: they start slowly and accelerate gradually before gaining momentum and becoming a force of nature🏞."
In the financial markets, bulls and bears are constantly fighting each other, but the real winners are always those who use various tools and indicators to avoid risk and find safe spots for trading and profit.
Once you practice and familiarize your eyes with all kinds of trends and traps, you will become a road runner in the market.
So, if you want to be like the clever road runner and avoid falling into the bull and bear traps in the financial markets, stay alert, stay informed, and be prepared to adapt your investment💰 strategy when necessary.
In future posts, we will take new steps in technical analysis and travel to the world of classic patterns. So follow the future posts and share your opinions and ideas in the comments. Your comments🎓 are precious to me.
Also, if you have friends👬👭 who are into classic cartoons🎆 and trading, send them this post.
Risk-to-Reward > Win RateWe have mentioned it in a list of our previous educational posts and we will state it again: your risk-reward plan is much more important than your win rate. You can have a 90% win rate and still be losing in the long-run. On the contrary, you only need a 35% win rate to be a consistently profitable trader on the longer term.
Beginners mainly focus on winning as many trades as possible and it is totally understandable, because we have all been there. "The more trades I enter, the more money I will make" principle has destroyed many trading careers. The explanation to the "Why?" question is pretty simple: when we are new to trading, every win gives us euphoria and makes us think we are the rulers of the market. Guess what happens next, the market hits back, puts us in a position where we are stuck in a losing streak, and humbles us enough to quit trading and think it does not work.
As we get more experienced, we lean towards the "Less is more" principle and believe that quality will always be over quantity.
As an instance, we have orchestrated 2 scenarios on the graph.
The example on the upper side of the screen shows how our trader has a 80% win rate but has yet failed to remain in profits due to the fact that he does not have a solid risk management plan.
On the opposite side of the road, we have Trader B who is able to remain in consistent profits by winning only 20% of the executed transactions. All those minor losses that he made got covered by one big win, and as long as he keeps following the current risk management policy and strategy of his, he is sure that he will be consistently profitable in the long run.
Blue Pill or Red Pill? Choose your side ... and do it wisely.“You take the blue pill, the story ends. You wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill, you stay in Wonderland, and I show you how deep the rabbit hole goes." - the exact line that Morpheus used when offering Neo a choice between two options.
You may wonder how this legendary Matrix reference is related to the trading industry. Believe it or not, even though one of our favourite mottos is “beauty lies within simplicity”, trading can get much deeper and more complex (deep down the rabbit hole) than the traditional textbook method.
Firstly, we have the Blue Pill. “Mike Johnson is indicating that we should wait for a crossover of 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Average levels before executing positions”. Yes, we have all been here. The thing is, 99% of the trading courses and most of those YouTube and TikTok gurus make you believe that trading is as easy as buying when a Double Bottom is formed, selling once a Head&Shoulder pattern has been identified and so on. Obviously, if it was that easy, then everyone would have succeeded in this industry, right? “Let me spoil my charts with hundreds of indicators. Surely, if 80% of them are indicating that the market is bearish, then we should definitely go short”. Yes, been there too. Oh, and let’s not forget this one: “I will just buy at support and sell at resistance, and keep it consistent until I am profitable in the long run”. Wait, but if I have learned all that from Mike Johnson, and he claims to be an 8-digit professional trader with an experience of 20 years, why am I not succeeding? If I follow everything he says, then by the same logic, shouldn’t I be profitable just like him?
And that is exactly why we have the Red Pill. The pill that frees us from the enslaving control of the machine and guru-generated dream world. The dream world is the world where trading is super simple and is as described in the textbooks. However, going down the rabbit hole, one can realise that things are more detailed and structured than they might seem, and that more factors should be considered in analysing, executing, and monitoring setups. While a blue-pilled trader is considering an execution upon a formation of a Double Bottom, a red-pilled participant of the market is waiting for a quick spike below that pattern formation and liquidity grab before pressing the "BUY" button and riding the price to the upside. Analogically, alongside with plain support and resistance levels, a red-pilled trader uses the Fibonacci retracement tool mixed with his/her conscious intuition and years of experience to form-up a bias and enter the markets. And so the list goes on.
One thing to indicate: we are not saying that the methods listed under the Blue Pill category are useless and inefficient. As long as it works for you, you can continue following your own plan and strategy without having to give a damn about opinions and ideas of others. We are just trying to emphasise, that a trader with more experience and knowledge in the markets, and with a more detailed and structured approach of the charts will be a step ahead of those that blindly generate ideas by taking a quick look at the charts posted by others (word of mouth), following every single chart pattern suggested by John Doe on his book about the sorcery of trading.
One last mention, it all boils down to two things: consistency and persistence. No wonder that as long as you keep working on becoming a better version of yourself on and off the markets, your skills will develop further and help you with what we call "opening the 3rd eye". With time, you will make more rational decisions, you will have a clearer sight of the market, you will be more powerful psychologically. Until then, keep grinding till 3AM, keep making mistakes, stay hungry and curious. And remember one thing, only the strongest survive.
With all that being said, we would love to see a nice poll in the comment section below. Which pill are you taking: the Blue Pill or the Red Pill? Feel free to comment below and let us know your thoughts and opinions.
Have a great weekend ahead.
Investroy.
Various phases of the market and identification of a trendThere is a famous saying in the world of trading: trend is your friend until it tends to bend. Following the mighty trend and riding its impulsive moves is one of the most satisfying feelings out there. There are several ways of identifying a trend and hoping on it. One group of people favours using indicators such as SMAs or EMAs for this case. Another group of traders prefers sticking with price action and technical analysis.
In this educational idea, we are gonna show two techniques that can be utilised for determining a trend looking at multiple timeframes and examining various factors.
First of all, for identifying a trend, we filter out all small timeframes and stick with the big ones like the Monthly, Weekly, Daily. STF graphs are filled with noise and indecision. Whereas, HTF charts show the bigger picture and make it easier for us to predict where the price is headed. Second, as we know, the market has three phases: uptrend (bull market), downtrend (bear market), range (kangaroo market).
As long as the price keeps printing Higher Low and Higher High points, the market is in a bullish phase. Vice versa, if Lower Lows and Lower Highs are being formed, it signifies that bears are in control. Another method that we could utilise to determine a trend is by using line charts instead of candlesticks. Due to the fact that a line chart filters out all the noise, we get a clear picture of the ongoing trend.
On the other hand, Differing from an actual trend, ranging markets are associated with indecision, choppiness, and imbalance. Such "kangaroo" markets are formed when bulls and bears fight each other over direction. This traps the price within borders of a sideways-moving rectangular range.
All in all, even though the process looks simple, it can get tricky and confusing from time to time. Therefore, always and always, stick to the plan, be risk tolerant, remain disciplined and patient.
🟢Support🟢 & 🔴Resistance🔴 in TradingView Land !!!👨🏫Hello, guys🤪; I'm Pejman, and today we will change the regular TradingView to TradingView Disneyland🎡 . I want to tell the story of Snow White and the trader dwarfs.
Once upon a time🌞, in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia, there was a young princess👰♂️ named Snow White Charts. She was the heir to the realm of Stocktopia. Still, unlike her father, the King of Stocktopia, a successful businessman🧔, Princess needed help understanding the stock market. She often lost money💸.
One day, while walking in the forest🌿🌲, Princess Snow White Charts stumbled upon an old house called Dwarf traders. She became curious and decided to visit this house🏠.
Dwarves lived in this house🏠 whose job was to help the traders. They directed the price of different stocks by creating support and resistance lines or zones, and each dwarf was responsible for one of them.
The Princess did not know anything about these lines. So she decided to stay to learn about these powerful lines.
One of these dwarves, named Doc, looked older and wiser than the other dwarves. The Princess enlisted the help of Doc to learn how these lines worked.
Doc was proficient in various methods of technical analysis and had an exceptional talent for simplifying complex issues😝. So he tried to teach these lines to the Princess👰♂️ in the simplest and best way possible.
If you also want to master technical analysis like Doc before learning support and resistance lines/zones, read the following post to learn what technical analysis is. 🤓👇
Doc showed the following picture to the Princess.
Can you tell what the role of support lines is before reading Doc's explanation❓👇
As you can see in the picture, the candles are placed in a downward trend, and they go down🔴 like playful children🧒🧒 playing on the slide.
Doc explained that support lines are like a bouncy castle🕍 for price. When the candles reach these Lines, they'll push them up just like a trampoline; the price will grow.
Remember that they prevent the price from moving too far down or falling.😅 The candles are safe on the support lines, so Sleepy sleeps peacefully.
Doc believes that when a stock's price hits support lines, it can indicate a potential buying opportunity. Still, when it breaks down🔴 the support line, it can show a possible selling opportunity; but I will discuss this in the following.
Now you may ask, what are resistance lines❓ The exact same question came up for Princess Snow White Charts😁.
First, look at the chart below.👇
Resistance lines are like the roof of a bouncy castle. In an uptrend🟢, when the candles are happy and constantly jumping higher and higher, the resistance lines prevent them from going further.
The resistance line is guarded by Goupy, who pushes the candles down🔴 like a bully, whenever the candles hit the resistance line.
Let's suppose all these price lines & dwarfs want to lead candles in a particular direction.
Now that you are familiar with support and resistance lines, you might have the same question as Princess👰♂️had again. How to recognize and find these lines❓
According to Doc, there are several ways to find these lines:
Past Price Data:
Sir John says: "Price data is like a roadmap, showing you where the market has been and where it might be heading."
Looking at past price data is like checking the tracks of a criminal. It may be seen, but it is simply not correct. You can know how he behaved in the past because he may repeat the same behavior in the future.
So, to better understand the price, you must also know its past. Even Philip Fisher also believes that: "Price data is the lens through which we can see the market's true nature."
Previous Lines:
By finding previous support and resistance lines, it's as if you've found a criminal's 🔫 recorded files.
Price data is the story of the market, and those who ignore it are doomed to repeat their mistakes. You can't predict the future without understanding the past, and the market's past performance is the best indicator of its future performance.
Wow, speak of the devil🤐, I forgot that indicators also have important points to say too.
Indicators:
Maybe price data is like a roadmap🚨 or past lines like a criminal recorded file. But indicators are like GPS.
Indicators are the GPS of the financial markets, and they guide us to our destination and help us avoid getting lost.
Indicators are the financial markets' fingerprints, revealing the underlying patterns and trends.
Doc and I found some indicators helpful in identifying supply(resistance) and demand(support) zones, such as:
Moving Average/Parabolic SAR/Bollinger Bands/Ichimoku Kinko Hyo/Fibonacci/Pivot point
There are many ways to recognize these lines and even indicators that help you find them like an assistant, but you should still try to know and learn them yourself.
For example, Doc says there are additional support and resistance lines. Like the slides in the game, they can be straight or sloping, going up🟢 or down🔴. I'm kidding, but they really have these types 🙂.
In the previous pictures, I showed you only static lines. Now, look at the pictures below because I will show you all the types of these lines with examples.
For example, if the support and resistance lines are like a road🛣 on the ground, they are called static support and resistance lines .
Now, what if this road turns into steep ropes❓ Well, it is known that they are called dynamic support and resistance lines .
For example, if you want to go mountain🗻 climbing, it is as if you are climbing with dynamic support. In general, in an upward🟢 trend, dynamic support lines like a ramp🚧 prevent the price from falling.
Now that we are talking about climbing let's introduce another game🎲. The zipline🤐😄.
The price decreases from the dynamic resistance lines like a zipline in downward🔴 trends. 😄
I must say that theoretically, the price will go down after hitting the dynamic resistance lines and these lines prevent price growth🟢.
Dynamic resistance or support is also called a trend line. Trendlines are helpful in many parts of technical analysis, such as classical patterns.
Just take a look at the below post. You will find that trend lines help us effectively identify these patterns or trade with them. That's how I am! COOL!😎😎.👇
Don't worry and don't rush because, as said: Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet.
Soon I will teach all these patterns in future posts, but we have to go step by step together.😎😎😎
But I must add that the price is also very playful😛. The price may cross these lines, be above the resistance or below the support, and escape from them.
"If price can make a credible breakout, this could be a good place to trade and make some sweet dollars," Doc whispered to Princess Snow White Charts.
What is a valid breakout❗️❓
This was the question that arose in the Princess's 👰 mind, and I think it is your question as well.
Imagine that the resistance line is like a prison that confines the candles. A diligent & playful candle needs the support of buyers to escape from this prison. If the buyers support it, it can get out of this prison.
After escaping the breakout candle, if another candle, called the confirmation, escapes from this prison and jumps above the breakout candle, the way will be clear for other prisoners, and they can run. So a valid breakout will happen.
A valid breakout is created with a strong candle called a breakout candle(such as the Marubozu candle); after that, a candle as a confirmation candle will confirm this breakout.
Don't worry about selling below the Support line or buying above the resistance line. If a valid breakout has occurred, the target stock will decrease/rise further, and the trend will not stop or end anytime soon.
Let's walk through an example of a valid breakout with Doc.
As you can see, the price broke this line with a strong candle and made a confirmation candle. As a result, we consider this a valid breakout.
If you have noticed, finally, the price went back to this line to greet the previous line. This movement is called Pullback .
In general, to say that a breakout is valid, there are several conditions:
Preferably, the breakout candle and the confirmation candle are the same color.
The point where the breakout candle closes must be above resistance or below support.
The breakout must have happened with the body of a candle, not with the candle's shadow.
Even the closing point of the confirmation candle should be above the resistance breakout candle or below the support breakout candle.
But I should mention that the trading volume increases when a valid breakout occurs.
Now that you know a valid breakout, we can also check an invalid breakout, so dive down🔴 to the chart below.
As you can see, the price tries to be playful😜😜 and break the support line. But there are no buyers to support the price for this movement, so this breakout will be temporary and short-lived.
The price will soon return below the Support line. The invalid breakouts are sometimes known as bull traps or bear traps which I will explain in future posts.
I advise you to only sometimes look for a straight line for support or resistance.
I use support and resistance lines in my analysis to draw trend lines. But when I want to determine the support and resistance of a currency, I draw them as support and resistance zones.
Using zones makes you no longer involved in each line's small & fake breaks, and you won't make mistakes with each break.
Now that you have learned almost everything about these lines😎😎, it's time to start fishing and apply these tips to real trades.
I have considered all the necessary items for trading with these lines in the chart below. You might understand the reason for trading by looking at the picture before reading the description.
( The First Method )
The picture shows the price below this resistance zone, and they tried to escape several times.
Still, finally, when the trading volume and the number of buyers increased, it could cross its resistance zone with a strong candle(breakout candle), and then the confirmation candle formed.
Now, as traders, we should place our Entry Point(EP) slightly higher than the confirmation candle. And also, be careful;😱 maybe this break is invalid, or it returns below its resistance. So we place our Stop Loss(SL) a little lower than the breakout candle.
Now, look at this chart again. But I am going to teach you another method for trading.
( The Second Method )
You should only sometimes enter into a position at one point.
For example, when the price returns to its resistance to greet(Pullback), it's a good time to divide your money into two parts & re-enter the position.
With this, your average Entry Point will be lower, and the Risk/Reward(RR) ratio will increase.
( I know that the Risk/Reward(RR) is something that some of you are unfamiliar with, so don't worry cause I'm going to talk about it in future posts.)
There is another way to trade with these lines.
(The Third Method)
You've got another way to trade with two Entry Points. You can enter the position when the pullback accrues; the other entry point is a little higher than the highest price before the pullback.
In this method, you will be more confident about the position, but at the same time, the Risk/Reward (RR) is decreased compared to the previously mentioned methods. The Stop Loss is the same as the others.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Prince Snow White Charts learned all these tricks along with Doc and the other Dwarves.
Excited to try this new knowledge, he immediately returned to Stocktopia😊and applied what he had learned to his trading. To his surprise, his trades became more profitable.
The king was pleased with his daughter's improvement, & these lessons were taught to all the traders in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia.
From that day, Stocktopia was known as the kingdom with the most successful traders, thanks to the wisdom of Doc and Princess Snow White Charts.😊😊
Stocktopia's traders lived happily ever after, thanks to the protection and guidance provided by the Seven Dwarfs of Support.😇😇
I hope you enjoyed this story and use support and resistance lines/zones in your trading. But never forget that before using any new method, try it several times to master that method.😎😎😎.
Now let's leave the world of stories and return to the real world of traders. Take advantage of the following posts.
In the end, I wish you health and success.
What is US dollar index (DXY)? Dollar Index History
DXY began in March 1973, shortly after the Bretton Woods system collapsed. Initially, the value of the US Dollar Index was set at 100,000. Since then, the index has peaked at 164.7200 in February 1985 and hit a low of 70,698 on March 16, 2008, and is currently trading at 103.715.
The arrangement of the "basket" took place only once, at the beginning of 1999, when the euro included several currencies. The arrangement of the "basket" does not yet include countries with high trade volumes, such as China, Mexico, South Korea and Brazil. On the other hand, although Sweden and Switzerland do not have large trade volumes, they continue to be included in the index.
What is the Dollar Index?
The US Dollar Index (USDX, DXY) is an indicator of the value of the US Dollar against foreign currencies. It is also referred to as a money basket by US trading partners. The index is designed, maintained, and published by ICE Futures and. It is also registered with the name "U.S Dollar Index".
How Is The Dollar Index Calculated?
The dollar index is calculated by the weighted geometric average of the Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona and Swiss Franc.
✅Euro (EUR)= 57.6% by weight
✅Japanese Yen (JPY) = 13.6 weight
✅British Pound (GBP) = 11.9% by weight
✅Canadian Dollar (CAD) = 9.1% by weight
✅Swedish Krona (SEK) = 4.2% by weight
✅Swiss Franc (CHF) = 3.6% by weight
Its formula is:
DXY = 50.14348112 × EURUSD -0.576 × USDJPY 0.136 × GBPUSD -0.119 × USDCAD 0.091 × USDSEK 0.042 × USDCHF 0.036
Why Dollar Index Increases?
👉🏻Every move that will strengthen the dollar in the United States, decrease in unemployment, positive employment data, high growth figures
👉🏻The depreciation of the local currencies of the six main countries included in the DXY
Why Is The Dollar Index Declining?
👉🏻Data that will cause the dollar to depreciate in the United States, growth figures below expectations, unemployment rates higher than expected
👉🏻Strengthening of the economies of the six main countries in DXY, appreciation of their local currencies
DXY is updated as long as the USD market is open. DXY can be traded as a futures contract on the ICE exchange. It is also available in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), options, and mutual funds.
How to differentiate a fake-out from an actual break-outHappy Friday, sorcerers. Welcome on another educational post by Investroy!
The trading and investing industry is a difficult one to succeed in as it has various complex details that you need to dig into both from technical and psychological perspectives. Predicting the price movement and understanding the logic behind it may be challenging at first. But as time passes and you gain experience, you understand the science behind price action and make more logical decisions.
Today, we will talk about a rather puzzling issue faced by many beginning and experienced traders: the theme of differentiating fake price movements from real ones. Although, it is not always possible to separate the two to the full extent, it is feasible to build a plan around it and stick to it on a consistent basis.
A fake-out is a failed attempt of the price to break above/below a key zone. Very often, it is associated with liquidity grabs and Stop Loss hunts. To demonstrate, looking at the illustration pictured on the chart, you can see how the price attempts to continue its bullish moves, but fakes out from the sideways-moving range and re-enters the borders of it instead.
On the contrary, a breakout happens when price successfully penetrates a key level and continues its impulsive moves in the same direction
Now, the question is: how to distinguish a real breakout from a fake one?
Firstly, it has to be kept in mind that what goes up, must come down. In trading terms, after an impulsive move, a correctional one should come; after a breakout, a re-test should happen before continuing impulses. In order to identify whether a breakout is a fake or a real one, we should always look for a re-test of the penetrated zone after a break is completed. However, you have to keep in mind that it is not a 100% fact that a re-test will happen every time. Sometimes, breakouts will be so impulsive that price will not retrace back to re-test a penetrated zone.
Nothing is 100% accurate in trading. Not every breakout will lead to a re-test before impulsive continuations. Not every fake breakout will seem like a fake-out at first. However, waiting for a re-test of a broken zone is a good way to evade fake breakouts and capture high risk-to-reward trades and opportunities.
To conclude, if you want to make sure you don’t get faked out and liquidated, always wait for a re-test of a penetrated level before forming biases and executing positions.
Do not get caught in this trap!Good time of the day, friends! Rushing into trades is definitely among the top #3 common mistakes done by relatively newer market participants who we would call early sellers in this context.
The chart/infographic above is pretty self explanatory, but let’s still cover some aspects of it by considering a following scenario:
Market was moving sideways the whole week, you almost lost hope to finish the month in profits and now you see the up-trending channel with already 2 lower trend-line touches. You instantly get excited and set a long position in the area of a third touch. Well, next thing you know it plummets right past through it. Lesson learned, but what can be done to avoid that?
Well, first of all “look for multiple confluences”. Does the third touch coincide with a potential support zone? If not, that already weakens the point. Was there any signs of bottom forming and reversal? Another strike if not. Did it coincide with any Fibonacci levels, for instance? No? You’re out.
Going over mistakes is easy, as there are always so many things that can go wrong, but what’s an alternative then, you may ask. On the chart above, we also indicated a point where we would consider entering the mentioned trade. Patient execution with a proper Risk-Reward is a way to do it.
Hope this helps, and tune in for more content for us!
Exit Strategies to Consider on Each Trade: a Complete GuideEnter, monitor, and exit are three vital steps to follow while trading. While most traders focus on how and when they can enter a particular setup, they pay less attention to their exit strategy. Today, we are gonna look into some popular exit strategies that we utilise in our personal trading.
1) Breakeven closure
When the price is moving in our direction and is already a few key zones away from the entry zone, we make the trade risk-free by moving the Stop Loss level to the price of entry.
If the Stop Loss gets hit, we exit the trade with neither a gain nor a loss.
2) Manual Closure
In the process of monitoring, if the price does not play out according to our plan, we tend to make quick decision and exit the trade earlier than planned.
3) Target Profit
We set a Take Profit (TP) order that closes the transaction as soon as it gets triggered.
4) Stop Loss
We set a Stop Loss (SL) order that closes the transaction as soon as it gets triggered.
30 Quotes From Philosopher That Will Make You ThinkQuotes, man. I love them.
Excerpts, proverbs, quips, riddles, koans, aphorisms, limericks, snippets, and lyrics— I’m not the type to discriminate. I love them all.
Since In Latest TradingView Post About "Traders Gaining Momentum : Fall Edition" to Compile Great Authors To Read And I Will Try To Compile Great Quotes From Philosopher For Traders And Investors.
TradingView Listing Great Users To Read On.
Okay In this week’s post , I’d like to share with you a few quotes that I think will benefit you. They deliver potent, pithy shots of clarity, insight, and/or motivation that can help you gain perspective, especially if times are tough.
Read, contemplate, and maybe note these, as if they were personal notes left to you by some of the greatest minds –past and present.
1.– “ Man only likes to count his troubles; he doesn’t calculate his happiness .”
― Fyodor Dostoyevsky
In trading: Basing your happiness on trade outcomes —events that are in themselves ever-changing— is self-imposed suffering. Let go. Trust the process, and let yourself enjoy unconditional happiness.
2. — “ If you look for perfection, you’ll never be content .”
― Leo Tolstoy
In trading: Trade entries or exits are rarely going to be perfect. Make peace with that.
3.– “ I want to sing like the birds sing, not worrying about who hears or what they think .”
― Rumi
In trading: Don’t let other’s opinions shake you out of your trades. Learn to trust your system/ your process/ your opinion.
4.– “ Out of suffering have emerged the strongest souls; the most massive characters are seared with scars .”
― Kahlil Gibran
In trading: Beginner’s luck often stifles growth. Losses and failure are good for you.
5.– “ You could not step twice into the same river .”
― Heraclitus
In trading: Change is everywhere. Even in the market it is a constant. The market generates patterns and even though those patterns seem to repeat themselves with a certain degree of consistency, they’re never completely the same – they don’t share the same intensity, momentum, and duration.
6.– “ Let everything happen to you; beauty and terror, just keep going. No feeling is final .”
― Rainer Maria Rilke
In trading: Following your plan should be viewed as an essential act, even though it’s a struggle most of the time. It’s so important to believe that it will be worth it in the end —rather than doubting and judging how it feels in each moment.
7.– “ The only way to make sense out of change is to plunge into it, move with it, and join the dance .”
― Alan W. Watts
In trading: Never be afraid of change or uncertainty. Embrace them by being as open/flexible/adaptable as possible.
8.– “ A good traveler has no fixed plans and is not intent on arriving .”
― Lao Tzu
In trading: Trading can be a ‘one-hit wonder’ thing, where you eventually land one trade that changes everything for you. But instead, I urge you to think of it as a lifelong journey. The psychological implications are very different.
9.– “ Life’s under no obligation to give us what we expect .”
― Margaret Mitchell
In trading: There are no guarantees in trading. The sooner you accept that, you sooner you can release your expectations and focus unconditionally on a proven process that’ll raise your probability of success.
10.– “ Flow with whatever may happen, and let your mind be free: Stay centered by accepting whatever you are doing. This is the ultimate .”
― Chuang Tzu
In trading: Do not bring emotional struggle into trading. Everything changes -outcomes, markets, circumstances, states of mind… There is nothing to cling to. Go with the flow. Trade in the moment.
11.– “ You can feel an emotion; just don’t think that it’s so important .”
— John Cage
In trading: When you let your emotions come to the surface; when you embrace them, no matter their content or intensity, you transcend them. When you deny them and try to push them down, they afflict you even more.
12.– “ The instant you speak about a thing, you miss the mark .”
― Zen Proverb
In trading: Don’t bother showing to the world that you’re a good trader. Just act like one.
13.– “ You must let what happens happen. Everything must be equal in your eyes, good and evil, beautiful and ugly, foolish and wise .”
― Michael Ende
In trading: In trading, whatever is going to happen will happen, whether you want it or not. Your job is not to react blindly… This game is all about strategic maneuvering.
14.– “ Worry is preposterous; we don’t know enough to worry .”
— Wei Boyang
In trading: A simple way to prevent thoughts from turning into worrying (overthinking) is to trade while remaining open to all possibilities.
15.– “ The longer I live, the more uninformed I feel. Only the young have an explanation for everything .”
― Isabel Allende
In trading: The more you stay in the game, the more you’ll realize that there are no real ‘pros’ in trading. We’re all just perpetual students of the market. But some losing traders think they have all the answers. They can’t learn because they’re busy telling everyone what they know and what to do.
16.– “ Nothing is more wonderful than the art of being free, but nothing is harder to learn how to use than freedom .”
— Alexis de Tocqueville
In trading: Some people get into trading to escape the rat race, but then they feel the need to sit in front of their screen all day to watch the market. They think they have to trade all the time. It’s a big mistake.
17.– “ It’s more difficult to rule yourself than to rule an entire city. ”
― Jordan B Peterson
In trading: Trading can be easy. The real problem is the worrying, the expectations, delusions, the inability to let go… For those reasons, it’s not. That’s why working on your mindset day in and day out is the most important thing you can ever do if you want to stay in the game long enough to experience success.
18.– “ Consistency is contrary to nature, contrary to life. The only completely consistent people are the dead .”
― Aldous Huxley
In trading: Humans are fallible and perfect consistency is virtually impossible. Even expert traders make mistakes from time to time. The only difference between them and the amateurs is that their mistakes aren’t deadly because money management is their number one priority. Expert traders also recognize early on that they’ve made a mistake and they are quick to correct their course of action without hesitation.
19.– “ In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule .”
― Friedrich Nietzsche
In trading: The herd mentality is a contagious phenomenon. To prevent it from sneaking up on you, it can be useful to train yourself to read, feel, and understand your emotions and urges.
20.– “ That which does not kill us makes us stronger. ”
― Friedrich Nietzsche
In trading: Everything that happens is an opportunity for growth. Nothing is placed before you that you can’t handle. So spend no time on blame, bitterness, or feeling sorry for yourself, and you put everything towards learning and growth.
21.– “ Your mind will answer most questions if you learn to relax and wait for the answer .”
― William S. Burroughs
In trading: You missed a trade? Frustration comes when we want things to be different from how they are. Why waste time in fantasies and what could have been? Why not just relax and wait for the next trade opportunity? There’ll always be one…
22.– “ Anything which is troubling you, anything which is irritating you, that is your teacher. ”
― Ajahn Chah
In trading: You must expect failure as part of your trading journey. Failure and success go hand in hand — you cannot have one without the other.
23.– “ If you don’t have a strategy, you’re part of someone else’s strategy . ”
― Alvin Toffler
In trading: In this field, lots of fake traders are after your money. Make sure you learn from the right people. This is critical.
24.– “ Disillusionment in living is finding that no one can really ever be agreeing with you completely in anything. ”
― Gertrude Stein
In trading: You are only trading your opinion, which is a relative truth. Price is the absolute truth.
25.– “I know there is no straight road; no straight road in this world, only a giant labyrinth of intersecting crossroads.”
― Federico Garcia Lorca
In trading: The path to market success is not a straight one. You will fall along the way. But losses and failures eventually get you wisdom. Without wisdom, durable market success is simply not possible. So learn to enjoy the journey.
26.– “ All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone .”
― Blaise Pascal
In trading: Meditation helps you know yourself. You can’t trade well if you don’t know yourself.
27.– “ We are our choices .”
― Jean-Paul Sartre
In trading: Take responsibility for your losses and work on bettering the quality of your decisions.
28.– “ Man can will nothing unless he has first understood that he must count on no one but himself .”
― Jean-Paul Sartre
In trading: Don’t wait for trade ideas from others. Work on being completely self-reliant.
29.– “ Maybe it’s not about happy ending. Maybe it’s about the story.”
― Albert Camus
In trading: See trading as a kind of journey in which you will transform yourself, rather than a mere money-making endeavor.
30.– “ Ask yourself at every moment, “Is this necessary? ”
― Marcus Aurelius
In trading: In some sense, trading mastery is simply noticing your patterns of thought, emotions and behavior that are not skillful, and having the strength of mind to say “no… I’m not gonna do that.”
-END-
I Hope You Have Nice Days And Wishyou Profitable Weeks!!
Hot Baked Pumpkin Is Really Nice In This Time.
🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁
Source : Yvan
Elliott Wave DegreesRalph Nelson Elliott acknowledged 9 degrees of waves from the Grand Super Cycle degree which is found in weekly and monthly time frame to the Sub-minute degree which is found in the hourly time frame. He labelled them as below mentioned.
1 Grand Super Cycle
2 Super Cycle
3 Cycle
4 Primary
5 Intermediate
6 Minor
7 Minute
8 Minuette
9 Sub-Minuette
It is a good understanding to start applying a wave count to a market from higher degree to all the way lower degree which you want to trade. you need to first learn about the labeling of wave degrees. Elliott Wave is a very helpful to understand the charts of any assets. the waves from the main degree are subdivided into intermediate waves which also subdivided into minor waves and the minor waves are also subdivided into minutes waves and then to sub-minutte waves, each degree of waves consists of one full cycle of motive and corrective waves. each degree of trend is labelled with a different style of label for a better understanding.
If you want to trade in 4H so then you will look for and count the monthly, weekly and the daily charts is will.
Hope you understand the concept of wave degrees.
How to calculate which lot size to useAs mentioned several times before, we risk 1% of our total trading capital per transaction. In simple terms, we risk 1 egg out of the 100 that we have in the basket in an attempt to get more eggs.
However, even though the average price mark where we place our Stop Loss is 30-60 pips away from the entry price, SL levels set differ from one trade to another, and different currency pairs have various differences in pricing (major pairs have small differences for the most part, while minor and cross-pairs have big gaps in pricing).
This article will demonstrate 3 random scenarios and illustrate which lot sizing is needed to be used based on the Stop Loss set and the percentage of the total capital risked while taking into account the size of the trading account. All numbers are imaginary in order to diversify the visualisation of the portrayed examples and give a better understanding of the case.
Enjoy the idea and don't forget to drop your questions in the comment box below!
Trading needs to be treated like a business 🧑💼This is spoken about a lot but what does it mean?
In starting a business you would need funding and a business plan, right?
You would have realistic goals mapped out and be focused on your cashflow.
You wouldn't blow your 'cash' in recruiting too fast, or buying too much stock or spending too much on marketing.
Yet, in trading most don't have a plan. Or focus on protecting their cash.
They also don't think long term in line with their plan.
They over estimate their expectations short term and in doing so mess up what they could achieve long term.
You just wouldn't do this in business right?
No one would open or run a business you knew nothing about.
Most come in to trading thinking this will be easy! It's not and we all come in knowing nothing.
So again would you start any other business with no training or idea?
Most can keep the trading cash flow topped up as we all start out on this journey having another job to fund trading.
There is no such thing as a sure-fire way to make money online. However, if you seriously want to make money out of forex trading it needs treating like a business.
In a lot of ways, being a trader is like being an entrepreneur. It takes more than just knowledge and a killer idea.
It also takes hard work, discipline and mental preparation.
The reason it’s a good idea to treat forex trading like a business is because as a trader, your account is your own business.
Trading isn't about the quick money it's about being consistent.
That consistency comes from having a plan and sticking to it much like you would a business plan.
Treat losses as a cost of business and factor them into the plan.
The business plan for you the trader will be the strategy and risk management you opt to run.
Set realistic targets and goals this will ensure suitability, Much how good businesses set up there own goals and aims for coming year with out being to risky.
If you lack on the knowledge front in certain areas invest in education and training, No successful business neglects training and learning.
Invest in resources that will help your business grow. Yes TradingView is free but having a higher package and more data help me just as an example.
There is no other business in the world like trading where the over heads and start up cost are low, So if paid resources can kick you on to next level factor them in as a cost of business.
Keep treating trading as a hobby and it becomes an expensive one.
Start treating trading as a business with the ethos and cultures applied the same as those of successful businesses and that profit starts to come naturally.
Thanks for taking the time to read my idea.
Hope you all have a good weekend
Darren 👍
Is TA working? A 2k pips drop case studyThere is a great debate about whether technical analysis works or not, and my personal opinion is that most of the time, YES.
In this educational post, I will use EurUsd as an example and we will see how, using basic technical analysis knowledge, we could have been on the good side of the market for more than 2k pips.
So let's get started...
We can see from the image above that after a nice rise started in the first part of 2020, EurUsd reached a strong level of resistance at the beginning of 2021(remember, support and resistance are more likely zones than fixed price points) and dropped to the next zone of support.
A new leg up followed this drop from the beginning of April 2021 and we have EurUsd again at resistance at the end of May 2021.
From this level of resistance EurUsd dropped again and in mid-August is again at support.
As it was normal, we have a rebound from this level of support, but the pair was unable to reach the previous resistance and stopped its rise in the previous level of resistance, just above 1.19.
Important note: Although the zone above 1.22 acted twice as resistance we can't yet call for a double top!!! We need the break under the neckline for the pattern to be complete.
Finally, on September 2021, we have the break under the neckline and the double top pattern is now complete.
As we've learned, we need to have confirmation for the break and this comes at the end of October.
Now we can take into consideration the measured target for the pattern of 500 pips and this is reached in just a month after the test, at the end of November.
Let's go further and we can see that after the target of the double top was reached, EurUsd entered a range trading period between and old support which is now resistance, and the target of the pattern which is now support.
Also, we have 2 great selling opportunities for EurUsd this year using the level of resistance in January and February.
Again, going further, in March we have a break of the support of this consolidation, and considering a 300 pips range, we can use it as a target which is reached IN JUST 4 TRADING DAYS!!! Also, if you go back in 2020 you will see that 1.08 acted as support from February till May.
Again we have a reversal and the rise stopped in the old support, now resistance at 1.12 zone. Another great selling point
To fast forward and get to "our days" we can see that after the retest of 1.12 we have a sequence of two similar outcomes with resistance at 1.08 and 1.03.
That being said, in my opinion, there are 3 things that you should take from this post:
1. Trust the process
2. Trade higher TFs and look at the overall picture
3. Trade in the direction of the trend
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
Finding your optimal performance 🏃♂️Most traders spend a good bit of time looking at charts.
Well here is a chart we traders should all take a look at.
The chart shown is the Yerkes-Dodson Law.
The Yerkes-Dodson law is a proposition that people perform best at intermediate levels of arousal, and that performance is lower at high or low levels of arousal.
The theory behind this is visually represented by the graphic in this idea.
No arousal levels or a bored/laidback approach to life will mean no stress but no real performance in what you are trying to achieve or do.
However when arousal and stress gets too high by pushing to hard, performance starts to decrease.
It's about finding the right balance to achieve an optimal performance.
A certain level of stress about what you are trying to achieve motivates you to study, learn or train in order to do your best.
A sportsperson has to get bumped up before an event as well as train hard, But getting to worked up and training to hard could cause a decrease in performance when it comes to the event.
Pushing not hard enough to pass an exam will lead to a fail as you haven't studied or don't care, But also pushing to hard could lead to a fail as you've let stress and anxiety take over forgetting everything you studied.
Moderate levels of arousal is best for overall performance.
This theory can be applied to your trading.
Take a non interested approach or bored approach and you performance in this area will be affected. Less potential profits etc.
Get to focused on your trading or trade to hard could lead to poor performance along with a load of stress in your life.
You as an individual will have to self reflect and determine where you fit on the curve in the idea graphic.
If you fell more success, achievement and happiness can be had, by all means crack on and go for it!
However, if you are getting to a point where you feel you might have reached your limit, it could well be time to dial it back a bit.
Don’t push to hard for it that you go down the opposite side of the curve.
This theory can be applied to every aspect in your life by using it to balance all aspects of your life will also help your trading as well as work, relationships and everything else we all go through day to day.
Thanks for taking time to read this.
Darren 🙌
TRENDLINE TRADING | Advanced trading lesson Hello traders 👋
Today im sharing my trading strategy with trendlines. It's my first education post, so maybe a lot of mistakes. Please don't take it the wrong way, thank you.
Let's talk about lesson
What are Trend lines?
Trend lines are diagonal lines that are drawn on charts in the financial markets trading. Trend lines are used to highlight , visualize , and make price action easier to analyze on different instruments and assets in the financial market.
How to trade And Use Trend Lines + basic supports.
1. Wait for touch ⌛
When drawing a trendline, the first thing price is check the three times or more. If the price is not checked three times or less, can't draw trendline.
2. Draw ✏️
To draw a trend line, you must choose a time frame. I'm use always bigger than 1 hour timeframe . This is because you want to find the price action for a longer period and not just some light movement.
3. The Basics of Support and Resistance + key levels ✔️
When trading with trend lines, the concept is applied in order to maximise the chances of winning trades.
4. Looking for entry + risk management 💰
Always wait for confirm example; trend line break + price making lower low + pullback + add indicators
🤲 If you like my strategy, Please like and comments. 🤲
Thank you!
"Stop it, Picasso! Trading should be kept simple."Quick question: which of the two illustrations portrayed on the graph do you enjoy more?
If your preference is the one on the right, then you should have definitely continued the legacy of the Renaissance era artists. On the contrary, if you prefer the one on the left-hand side of the screen, let’s become friends.
Starting with the portrait (let’s put it that way) on the left, we can observe how everyhting is illustrated in a crystal clear way. Firstly, no indicators have been used, which makes it easier for us to read the chart. Second, it has been shown that with as few as 2-3 confluences, a trade has been executed.
On the opposite side of the road, we have the portrait which is depicted on the right side of the screen. We can see how blurry, messed up and confusing it all looks. Two random EMA’s crossing each other, ABCD patterns, Elliott Waves, tens of thousands of Fibonacci retracement levels, random Support&Resistance levels and many other indicators have been added into the chart with zero purpose. Yes, indicators could and should be used as confluences. However, by adding tens of indicators into your charts, you are not beating the market. Just like in real life, everything should be utilised in moderation.
The purpose of this idea is not trying to damage the reputation of indicator trading, but to show that pure price action will always be the king. Many beginning traders get tricked into believing that by adding multiple indicators into their charts, they will have a high win rate, a successful trading journey, long-term profitability. Little do they know that many indicators contradict to each other and perplex novices into entering random positions.
Of course, as we always say, if it works for you, then go for it. Chart analysis is only a part of your trading plan. There is also psychology, risk management, discipline and so forth.
This is why patient traders are profitable and consistent"Cut the losers only, let the winners run". One of the quotes that are pretty popular among beginning and experienced traders. Sounds pretty simple, but let's take a look at it in practice.
On the left-hand side, we have illustrated the recent trading history of a patient trader, and on the right side, that of an impatient one. Taking a close look at the recent trades of the patient trader, we can observe that he has a solid trading plan, rock-solid psychology and discipline, and a very good risk management plan. Out of 5 trades, he has only won 3 of them. But due to the fact that he risks only 1% of his trading capital per trade and sets realistically-positive Take Profit levels that vary depending on the market, he makes really appetising returns.
On the contrary, the impatient trader has everything to fail. If we take a look at the recent trade history, we can notice that this trader neither has a well-defined risk management strategy nor any discipline or patience (well, the name says it all).
There is a common misconception in the world of trading that states: "the higher your win rate is, the more profitable you will be in the markets". This statement is absurd and totally incorrect. No matter how high your win rate is, if you are not risk tolerant and you put all of your eggs in the same basket, you will be far away from reaching the doors of consistency and profitability.
To add, patience and a strong psychology are heavily linked and cannot exist without each other. Hence, once you teach your mental state the importance of the ability of sitting on your hands and waiting, your trading journey will head towards the correct direction.
Enjoy the read!
Investroy.