🟢Support🟢 & 🔴Resistance🔴 in TradingView Land !!!👨🏫Hello, guys🤪; I'm Pejman, and today we will change the regular TradingView to TradingView Disneyland🎡 . I want to tell the story of Snow White and the trader dwarfs.
Once upon a time🌞, in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia, there was a young princess👰♂️ named Snow White Charts. She was the heir to the realm of Stocktopia. Still, unlike her father, the King of Stocktopia, a successful businessman🧔, Princess needed help understanding the stock market. She often lost money💸.
One day, while walking in the forest🌿🌲, Princess Snow White Charts stumbled upon an old house called Dwarf traders. She became curious and decided to visit this house🏠.
Dwarves lived in this house🏠 whose job was to help the traders. They directed the price of different stocks by creating support and resistance lines or zones, and each dwarf was responsible for one of them.
The Princess did not know anything about these lines. So she decided to stay to learn about these powerful lines.
One of these dwarves, named Doc, looked older and wiser than the other dwarves. The Princess enlisted the help of Doc to learn how these lines worked.
Doc was proficient in various methods of technical analysis and had an exceptional talent for simplifying complex issues😝. So he tried to teach these lines to the Princess👰♂️ in the simplest and best way possible.
If you also want to master technical analysis like Doc before learning support and resistance lines/zones, read the following post to learn what technical analysis is. 🤓👇
Doc showed the following picture to the Princess.
Can you tell what the role of support lines is before reading Doc's explanation❓👇
As you can see in the picture, the candles are placed in a downward trend, and they go down🔴 like playful children🧒🧒 playing on the slide.
Doc explained that support lines are like a bouncy castle🕍 for price. When the candles reach these Lines, they'll push them up just like a trampoline; the price will grow.
Remember that they prevent the price from moving too far down or falling.😅 The candles are safe on the support lines, so Sleepy sleeps peacefully.
Doc believes that when a stock's price hits support lines, it can indicate a potential buying opportunity. Still, when it breaks down🔴 the support line, it can show a possible selling opportunity; but I will discuss this in the following.
Now you may ask, what are resistance lines❓ The exact same question came up for Princess Snow White Charts😁.
First, look at the chart below.👇
Resistance lines are like the roof of a bouncy castle. In an uptrend🟢, when the candles are happy and constantly jumping higher and higher, the resistance lines prevent them from going further.
The resistance line is guarded by Goupy, who pushes the candles down🔴 like a bully, whenever the candles hit the resistance line.
Let's suppose all these price lines & dwarfs want to lead candles in a particular direction.
Now that you are familiar with support and resistance lines, you might have the same question as Princess👰♂️had again. How to recognize and find these lines❓
According to Doc, there are several ways to find these lines:
Past Price Data:
Sir John says: "Price data is like a roadmap, showing you where the market has been and where it might be heading."
Looking at past price data is like checking the tracks of a criminal. It may be seen, but it is simply not correct. You can know how he behaved in the past because he may repeat the same behavior in the future.
So, to better understand the price, you must also know its past. Even Philip Fisher also believes that: "Price data is the lens through which we can see the market's true nature."
Previous Lines:
By finding previous support and resistance lines, it's as if you've found a criminal's 🔫 recorded files.
Price data is the story of the market, and those who ignore it are doomed to repeat their mistakes. You can't predict the future without understanding the past, and the market's past performance is the best indicator of its future performance.
Wow, speak of the devil🤐, I forgot that indicators also have important points to say too.
Indicators:
Maybe price data is like a roadmap🚨 or past lines like a criminal recorded file. But indicators are like GPS.
Indicators are the GPS of the financial markets, and they guide us to our destination and help us avoid getting lost.
Indicators are the financial markets' fingerprints, revealing the underlying patterns and trends.
Doc and I found some indicators helpful in identifying supply(resistance) and demand(support) zones, such as:
Moving Average/Parabolic SAR/Bollinger Bands/Ichimoku Kinko Hyo/Fibonacci/Pivot point
There are many ways to recognize these lines and even indicators that help you find them like an assistant, but you should still try to know and learn them yourself.
For example, Doc says there are additional support and resistance lines. Like the slides in the game, they can be straight or sloping, going up🟢 or down🔴. I'm kidding, but they really have these types 🙂.
In the previous pictures, I showed you only static lines. Now, look at the pictures below because I will show you all the types of these lines with examples.
For example, if the support and resistance lines are like a road🛣 on the ground, they are called static support and resistance lines .
Now, what if this road turns into steep ropes❓ Well, it is known that they are called dynamic support and resistance lines .
For example, if you want to go mountain🗻 climbing, it is as if you are climbing with dynamic support. In general, in an upward🟢 trend, dynamic support lines like a ramp🚧 prevent the price from falling.
Now that we are talking about climbing let's introduce another game🎲. The zipline🤐😄.
The price decreases from the dynamic resistance lines like a zipline in downward🔴 trends. 😄
I must say that theoretically, the price will go down after hitting the dynamic resistance lines and these lines prevent price growth🟢.
Dynamic resistance or support is also called a trend line. Trendlines are helpful in many parts of technical analysis, such as classical patterns.
Just take a look at the below post. You will find that trend lines help us effectively identify these patterns or trade with them. That's how I am! COOL!😎😎.👇
Don't worry and don't rush because, as said: Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet.
Soon I will teach all these patterns in future posts, but we have to go step by step together.😎😎😎
But I must add that the price is also very playful😛. The price may cross these lines, be above the resistance or below the support, and escape from them.
"If price can make a credible breakout, this could be a good place to trade and make some sweet dollars," Doc whispered to Princess Snow White Charts.
What is a valid breakout❗️❓
This was the question that arose in the Princess's 👰 mind, and I think it is your question as well.
Imagine that the resistance line is like a prison that confines the candles. A diligent & playful candle needs the support of buyers to escape from this prison. If the buyers support it, it can get out of this prison.
After escaping the breakout candle, if another candle, called the confirmation, escapes from this prison and jumps above the breakout candle, the way will be clear for other prisoners, and they can run. So a valid breakout will happen.
A valid breakout is created with a strong candle called a breakout candle(such as the Marubozu candle); after that, a candle as a confirmation candle will confirm this breakout.
Don't worry about selling below the Support line or buying above the resistance line. If a valid breakout has occurred, the target stock will decrease/rise further, and the trend will not stop or end anytime soon.
Let's walk through an example of a valid breakout with Doc.
As you can see, the price broke this line with a strong candle and made a confirmation candle. As a result, we consider this a valid breakout.
If you have noticed, finally, the price went back to this line to greet the previous line. This movement is called Pullback .
In general, to say that a breakout is valid, there are several conditions:
Preferably, the breakout candle and the confirmation candle are the same color.
The point where the breakout candle closes must be above resistance or below support.
The breakout must have happened with the body of a candle, not with the candle's shadow.
Even the closing point of the confirmation candle should be above the resistance breakout candle or below the support breakout candle.
But I should mention that the trading volume increases when a valid breakout occurs.
Now that you know a valid breakout, we can also check an invalid breakout, so dive down🔴 to the chart below.
As you can see, the price tries to be playful😜😜 and break the support line. But there are no buyers to support the price for this movement, so this breakout will be temporary and short-lived.
The price will soon return below the Support line. The invalid breakouts are sometimes known as bull traps or bear traps which I will explain in future posts.
I advise you to only sometimes look for a straight line for support or resistance.
I use support and resistance lines in my analysis to draw trend lines. But when I want to determine the support and resistance of a currency, I draw them as support and resistance zones.
Using zones makes you no longer involved in each line's small & fake breaks, and you won't make mistakes with each break.
Now that you have learned almost everything about these lines😎😎, it's time to start fishing and apply these tips to real trades.
I have considered all the necessary items for trading with these lines in the chart below. You might understand the reason for trading by looking at the picture before reading the description.
( The First Method )
The picture shows the price below this resistance zone, and they tried to escape several times.
Still, finally, when the trading volume and the number of buyers increased, it could cross its resistance zone with a strong candle(breakout candle), and then the confirmation candle formed.
Now, as traders, we should place our Entry Point(EP) slightly higher than the confirmation candle. And also, be careful;😱 maybe this break is invalid, or it returns below its resistance. So we place our Stop Loss(SL) a little lower than the breakout candle.
Now, look at this chart again. But I am going to teach you another method for trading.
( The Second Method )
You should only sometimes enter into a position at one point.
For example, when the price returns to its resistance to greet(Pullback), it's a good time to divide your money into two parts & re-enter the position.
With this, your average Entry Point will be lower, and the Risk/Reward(RR) ratio will increase.
( I know that the Risk/Reward(RR) is something that some of you are unfamiliar with, so don't worry cause I'm going to talk about it in future posts.)
There is another way to trade with these lines.
(The Third Method)
You've got another way to trade with two Entry Points. You can enter the position when the pullback accrues; the other entry point is a little higher than the highest price before the pullback.
In this method, you will be more confident about the position, but at the same time, the Risk/Reward (RR) is decreased compared to the previously mentioned methods. The Stop Loss is the same as the others.
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Prince Snow White Charts learned all these tricks along with Doc and the other Dwarves.
Excited to try this new knowledge, he immediately returned to Stocktopia😊and applied what he had learned to his trading. To his surprise, his trades became more profitable.
The king was pleased with his daughter's improvement, & these lessons were taught to all the traders in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia.
From that day, Stocktopia was known as the kingdom with the most successful traders, thanks to the wisdom of Doc and Princess Snow White Charts.😊😊
Stocktopia's traders lived happily ever after, thanks to the protection and guidance provided by the Seven Dwarfs of Support.😇😇
I hope you enjoyed this story and use support and resistance lines/zones in your trading. But never forget that before using any new method, try it several times to master that method.😎😎😎.
Now let's leave the world of stories and return to the real world of traders. Take advantage of the following posts.
In the end, I wish you health and success.
Educationalpost
AUDNZD. one of the best book ever you gona read on trading.book notes my faviourit trading book.
youtu.be
all was looking for parallelisms of behavior learning read the tap.
all I knew was the arithmetic of it it was a matter of fact mine was the ideal way to operate in a bucket shop.
being right by using your head if I was right when I tested
it was one man's business to anyhow it was my head wasn't it prices either were going the way doped them out help from friends or partners or they are going other way and nobody could stop them out kindness to me.
in od day whenever a bucket shop was found loaded with too many bulls on certain stock it was common practice to some broker wash down the price of that particular far enough to wipe out all the customers that were long of it
whenever was an unexplained sharp drop which was followed by instant recovery the newspapers
2 if my order is big my own sales would tend future to press the price
when you know what not to do in order to not to lose money. you begin learn what to do in order to win . you begin to learn.
if the stock doesn't act right don't touch it being unable to wrong you cannot tell which way it is going no diagnosis no prognosis no profit.
i had to study what was going to happen to anticipate stock movements
it was the change in my own attitude toward the game that was of supreme to me it taught me little by essential difference between betting on fluctuations and anticipating inevitable advances in declines between gambling and speculating I had to go further than an hour in my studies of the market which was something I never would have learned to do in the biggest bucket shop in the world I interested my self in trade reports and railroad earning and financial commercial statistics
they call me the boy plunger . i like to study the moves, I never thought that anything was irksome if it help me to trade more intelligently.
before I solve a problem I must state it my myself, when I think I have found a solution I must prove I'm right. i know how to prove it and that is with my own money.
there is much to learn from partial victory as from a defeat
don't be a sucker, this semi sucker he loves to buy on declines he waits he measures his bargains by the number of points sold off from the top, big bull markets the plain unadulterated sucker utterly ignorant of rules and precedence buys blindly because he hopes blindly he makes most of the money until the one of the healthy reactions takes it away from him at one fell swoop but the careful mic sucker does what I did when I through I was playing the game intelligently according to the intelligent of others
big money is was not in the individual fluctuations but in the main movements that not reading the tap.but sizing up the entire market and its trend
it all was my sitting got that my sitting tight its no trick at all to be right on the market you all ways earily bulls and bulls earily bears and bear markets I know many man who was buying and selling as price as very level which is how the greatest profit and their experience invariably match mine that is they made no real money out of it.
men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon I found it one o the hardest things to learn but it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make big money . its easy to millions will come to traders after he knows how to trade than hundreds did in the days of ignorance
the reason is that a man may see straight and clearly and become impatient or doubtful when the market takes its time about doing as he figured it must do that's why who all are not all in Wallstreet not in the soccer class not even third grade never the less lose money.the market does not beat them they beat themselves because though they have brains they cannot sit tight.
old turkey was dead right is doing and saying what he did and had not only the courage of his convictions but intelligent patience to sit tight.
you must study of general conditions and not tips or general factors affecting individual stocks then get out of you all your stocks wait until yous see or if you prefer until you see the turn of the market the beginning of the reveal of the general conditions have to use your brains and your visions to do this.
trade less unintelligently was that my initial operation seldom showed me a loss that naturally made me decide to start big it gave confidence my own judgment before I allowed it to be vitiated by the advice.of others or even by my own impatience at times without faith in his own judgment, no man can go very far in this game. that's all I earn to study general conditions to take a position and stick to it. i can wait without a twinge of impatience I can see a set mack without being shaken knowing that it is only temporary.
i watch the market with to look quotation board and to read the signs is one process union process going up, price is high but the stock as acted as accumulated I watched a couple of days without trading in it the more I watched it the more convinced i became that it was being bought on balance by somebody who was no somebody who not only had big bank roll but knew what was why very clever accumulation I through. as soon as I was sure this I naturally began to buy it 160. I kept on buying it 500 share at clip the more I bought stronger it got and I was feeling very comfortable I couldn't stop that stock go up a great deal more not what I read on the tape .
my tape reading simply told me someone manipulated by the insiders made the tape tell a story.
I belive competed for my education as a trader .it all I need to learn was not to take tips but follow my inclination it was that I gained confidence in my self and I was shake off the old method of trading that seratoga expirance was my last haphazard hit .
buying stock comfortable way know its not so much to buy as cheap as possible or go shorted at top prices buy.
buying and sell the right time, when I bearish and I sell a stock each sale mut be lower level. the previous sale , when I buying reverse is true I must buying in rising scale I don't buy a long stock on scale down I buy on scale-up let example I buy 200 share at no the stock goes up ill after I by it at least temporarily right in my operation because its point hier it show me profit I'm right I go and buy 2000 shares if market is rising I buy a third lot of 2000 shares say the price goes to 114 I think enough to time being for the time
I all was try to buy effectively in such a way as to help my side of the market when it comes to selling stocks its plain nobody can sell unless somebody wants those stocks if you operate large scale you will have to bear that in mind all the time a man studies conditions plans his operations carefully and proceeds to act well that man cant sell at will you cant expect the market to absorb 50,000 shares one stock easily as it does one hundred he will have to wait until he has a market there to take it there comes to time the requisite buying power there .
that opportunity comes he sees it as rule he will have been waiting for it he has to sell when he can not when he wants to learn the time he has to watch and test it's no trick to tell when the market can take what you give it.
starting movement its unwise to take on your full line unless you are convinced that conditions are exactly right to remember stocks are never too high for to begin buying or are too low to begin selling after the initial transaction don't make a second unless the first shows you a profit wait and watch that is where your tape reading cones in to enable you to decide as the proper time for beginning . at the exactly right time, it took me years to realize the importance of this it also cost some hundreds of thousands of dollars
500 stock don't buy all together if he is merely gambling the only advice I have to give him is don't .
i realize big money must necessarily be in the big swing whatever might seem to give a big swing its initial impulse the fact is that its continuance is not the result of manipulation by pools or artifice by financiers but depends upon basic conditions and no matter who opposes it the swing inevitably run as fast and as long as the impelling forces determine.
the man is not limited in his trading he could buy or sell an entire list in certain stocks a short line is dangerous after a man sells more than a certain percentage of the capital stock the amount depends upon how where and by whom the stock is but he could sell a million shares of the general list if he had the price without the danger or being squeezed.
man must study general conditions to size them so as to anticipate probabilities.
in the long run commodity prices are governed but by one law the economic law of demand and supply the business of the trader in commodity is simply to get facts about the demand and supply presence and perspective he does not indulge in guesses about a dozen things as he does in stocks
the massage of the tape is same that will be perfectly plain to anyone who will take the trouble to think he will find if he asks himself questions and considers conditions that answer will supply them self directly
the object is reading the tape is to ascertain first how next when to trade that is whether its wiser to buy than to sell it works exactly for stocks cotten weed or oats.
you watch the market that course of prices as recorded by the tape with one object to determine the direction that is the price tendency
price we know move up or down according to the resistance they encounter for purposes of easy explanation say like everything move along line of least resistance, therefore, they will go up is less resistance to advance than to a decline and vice versa.
speculator profit from rise or fall from whtever he maybe speculating line of least reisitance at the moment of trading and what he should wait for is the moment that line defines its selfs becuse that is his singnal to get busy
reading the tape see 130 has been stronger than buying and reaction in the price logically followed up to the point where the selling prevaild over the buying superficial students of the tape may conclude that the price is not going to stop short of 150 and they buy after reaction begins they hold on or sell out small loss or they go short talk bearish
the public whipswed that one marvels at ther persistance not learnning there lession eventily something happens increase the power of either the upward or the downward force and the point of greatest resistance moves up or down buy for 130 will for the first time be stronger than the selling at 120 be stronger tha the buying
price will break old barrier or movement limit and go on as rule is always a crowded traders who re short at 120. becuse it looks aweek or long at 130 becuse it looks so strong when the market goes against them they are forced after while either to change their minds and turn or close out more cleariy the line of least resistance
thus interligent trader who has patiently waitted to detrmine this line will enlist the aid of fundamental trade conditions and also force of the trading of that part of the community that happennened to guess wrrong and must now rectifying mistakes such corrections tend to push prices along the line of least of resistance
narrow market when prices not getting anywhere speak of but move with a narrow range there is no sense to trying to anticipate what the next big movement is going to be up or down thing s to do watch the market read the tape determine the limits of the get nowhere prices and make up your mind that you will not take and price breaks throught the limit either direction
a speculator must concern himself with making money out of the market and not insisting that tape must agree with him never ask it reasons explanations
speculative guns that is waitting for the linee of least resistance defines it self and begin buying only when the tape said up or selling only only said down . he should accumulate his line on the way up let him buy one fifth of his full line if that if that doesnot show him a profit he must not increase his holdings he has obviousely begun wrrong he is wrong tempororily and there is no profit in being wrong anytime.
man can spend years at onething and not acquire a habitual attitude towards it quite unlike average beginner the diffarence distinguishedes the professional from the amature it is the man way a looks at things that makes or loses money for him in the speculative markets
you have to get out you have a market that absorb your entire line failure to grasp the opertunitunity to get out maycost you millions you cannot hesitste if you do your lost nether neather runs like the price the bears by means of competitive buying for you may thereby reduce the absorbing capacity and i want to tell you that perceving your opportunity is not as easy it sounds
a man must be on the look out so alertly when his chance sticks in its head at his door he must grap it.
i get my pleasure out of matching my brains against the brains of othere traders men whom i never seen and never talked to and never advised to buy or sell and never expect to eet or know when i make money i make it backing my own opinions i dont sell them or capitalize them if i maid any way i would imagaine i had not earned it.your propostion does not intrest me im intrested in game only as i play it for my self and in y own way .
speculator has a host of enemies maney of whom successfully bore from within i had in mind my many mistakes i have learned that a man may possess an original mind and life long habit of independent thinking and with all be vulnerable to attacks by the persuasive personality
im fairly immune from the commoner speculative ailments such as greed and fear and hope but being ordinary man i find i can heir with great ease i ought to have been on my guard at this particular time bacuse not long before that i had an experience that proved how easily a man may be talked into doing something against his judgment and even against his wishes .
i learn my self that i could not trust my self to remain equally unaffected by men and misfortunes . all times .
man know himself thoroughly if he is going to make a good job out of trading in the speculative markets to know what i was capable of in the line of folly was a long educational step .
a trader studying basic conditions remanbering market precedence and keeping in mind the psyshology of the public as well as the limitations of his brokers must also know himself and provide against his own weaknesses
i have studied and reckoned on my own reactions to given impulses or to the inverable temptations of an active market quite in same mood and spirit as i have considered crop condtions anylyize reports of earnnings so day after day broke and enxiouse resume trading i sat in front of quation board in another brokers office where i couldnt buy or share one share of stock studying the market not not missing a single trasaction on the tape . watching the psychological moment to ring full speed ahead bell by reason of condition whole world.
than one day entire market become quite weak and prices all stock begain to fall i had a profilt of least four point in each and evry one of the 12 stocks that i was short of i knew that i was right the tape told me it was now safe to be bearish so i promptly doubled up i had my postion i was short of stocks in a market that now was plainly bear market there wasnt any need for me to push things along the market was bound to go my way and knowing that i could afford to wait after i double up i dint make long trade for long time .
when something happens on which you did not count when you maid your plans it behooves you to utilze the opertunitiey that a kindly fate offers you for one thing on a bad break like that you have big market one that you can turn arround in and that is the time to turn your paper profits in to real money , even bear market a man cannot 120,000 share stock without putting price on himself he must wait for the market that will allow him to buy that much at no damage to his profit as it stands him on paper .
my expirance 30 years of trader is that such accident are usally along the line of least resistance which i base my postion in the market another thing bear in mind is never try to sell at the top it isnt wise sell sell after reaction if there is no rally
as i said before man doesnot have to marry one side of the market death do them part.
honesty is a best practice the big money was in being square and not in welshing , i never throught it good business to play any game in any place necessary keep an eye on the dealer becuse he was likely cheat if unwatched.
but against the whining welsher the decent man is powerless fair play is a fair play i could tell you a dozen instance where i been the victim own belief in the sacredness of the pladged word or of the inviobility gentlemen agreement.
life it self from the cradle to the grave is gamble.
expirance has taught me that a man can aways find an opportunity to make his profit real and that opportunity usually coes at the end of the move . that inst tape reading or hunch.
you can transmi knowlage that is your particular card index facts. but not expirance a man may know what to do and lose money if he doesnt do quicly enough onservation expirance and mathamtics these are thr sucessful trader must depend on.
he must not observe accurately but reemanber at all times he has obserb he cannot bet un reasonable or unexpected how ever personal convection maybe about mans unreasonabaleness he must bet on probabitilites try to anticipate them years of practice of the game consitance study of always remanbering enable the trader to act the instant when te unexpected happens as well as when the expected come to pass
after years of the game it become habit to keep posted he acts almost automatically he acquires the invalauble professional attitude and that enables him to beat the game at times this diffrents between the professional and the amature or accasional trader cannot be overmphased .
i find instance menory and mathamtics help me very much. wall street makes money on mahamtics basis it makes money facts and figures
when i said trader ha to keep posted to the minute and that he must take professional attitude toward all developments im merely
expirance trader act so quckly that he has all kind of reson to give advance but never the good and sufficient reasons becuse they are based on facts collected by him years of working and thinking and seeng things from the angle of the proffesional
professional attitide i keep track of all commedites allways ints habit of years figures and condition yield mathamtics
expirance has tought me that the way a market behaves excellent guide for an operator to follow its like a taking a patient temperature and pulse or nothing the clour of the eye balls and the coating of the tought.
buying ten thousand , fifteen tousand bushels instesd taking two or 3 trasaction price went down and quarter cent on my selling now i need not waste time the way market took my weat and the desproportion decline on my selling told me there is no buying power there such being the case what is only thing to do of course sell lot more
i found expirance that abto be a steady dividend pay in this game. and observation gives you best tips for all. you need to observe the stocks .
vision without money means heartaches with money it means achivements that means power and that means money that means achivement
the majority of cases the object of manipulation is sell stock to the public at the best possible price its not question of alone selling its distributing .
i sell stock on balance if the demand is what it ought to be it will absorb more than the amount of stock i was compelled accumulate in the earily stages of manipulation when this happens i sell the stock short that is tecnically in othere words i sell more stock i actually hold it is perfafectily safe for me to do so since im really selling against my costs ofcox demnd from the public slackens stock try to be advance than i wait i see stock become advance weekday entire market maybe develope rectionary tendancy or some sharp traders may precive there no buying orders are no buying to speak my stocks and he sells it. and his fellows follow what ever resons maybe my stocks go down , i begin to buy it i give it the support that a stock i have if its good order own sponsers and more im able to to support it without accumlating it that is without increasing it the amount i shall have to sell later on observe that i do this without decreasing my finceal resources ofcox i i sold short at higher coving prices when the demand rom the public or fro the traders or from borth enabled me to do it
sometimes stocks get waterlogged as were it doesnt go up that is a time to sellthe price naturally will go down on your selling rather futher thn you wish but you genarally nurse it back as long as the stock that im maipulating goes up on my buying i know im hunky and i need be i buy it with confidence use my own money without fear priceisely as i would anyothere stocks that acts the same way its line of least resistance .
when the price line of least resistance is established i follow it not im manipulating that particular stocks at particular moment becuse im a stock operator at all times when my buying doesnot put stock up i stop buying and then proceed to sell it down and that also is exacitly what i would do with same stock if i did not happen to be manipulating
the principal marketing of the stock as you know i done on the way down its perfactily astonishing how much stock a man can get rid of a decline i repeate at no time during the manipulation do i forget to be a stock trader my problems as manipulator after all are same that conforont me as an operator all manipulation comes to end when the manipulator cannot make a stock do what he wants it to do when the stock maanipulating doesnt act as it should quit dont argue with the tape do not seek to lure the profit back quit while the quitting is good and cheap .
you dont sell and bulk on the advance you cant big selling is done on the way down from the top . i canot put your stock to 125 or 130 i like to but it cant be done so you have to begin your selling to from this level my opinion all stocks are going down and petrolume products isnt going to be the one excepttion its better for go down now on the pool selling than for it to break next month on selling by someone else it will go down anyhow .
value making information kept from public while the now tacit term prominent insiders go to the market and buy all the cheap stocks they can lay their hands on as this well informed but unostentatious buying keeps on the stocks raises finacial reporters knowing that the insiders ought to know reason to the rise ask questions the unanimously anonymous insiders unanimously declare that they have no news to give out they do not know that there is any warrant for the rise continues and there comes a happy day when those who know have all the stock they want and can carry street at once begin to hear all kind of bullish rumors the tickers ell the traders on good authority that the companey has definitly turn the corner
trend is know down ward just as they brought without any flourish or trumpets when the compneys business term for better they now silentily sell inside selling the stock naturally decline then the public begins to get the familier explanations a leading insider asserts that everything is ok and decline is merly the result of selling by bears who are trying to affeted the genral market
Types of Gaps !!!👨🏫Hello👨🏻🏫, dear traders from all over the world🗺️.
I'm Pejman🙋🏻♂️ & welcome🌸 to one more educational adventure🧭 in Tradingview, but we will not be traders💹 today; We want to look at our charts like a hunter🏹.
We look for every clue🐾 we see so that we can hunt suitable positions💱 like valuable creatures💰 and transfer them to the cages as our accounts💳 or wallets💸.
Although I'm not too fond🙍🏻♂️ of hunting, either legally or illegally.
But I know that hunting good positions in the forests🏞️🌳 of Tradingview is not prohibited😉❗.
So let's get acquainted with these clues🔎 as soon as possible because the price is skittish🙈, and we don't want to waste the hunting time⏳✅.
I said that in Technical Analysis , we look for ways to trade by using the price information, which is recorded on the charts📈. (such as the prey's tracks🔎🐾)
Today I want to introduce one of these clues so that you can become a professional position hunter🏹 by identifying the clues👀;
But don't forget that you should practice🙌🏻, be careful⚠️, and watch your positions👀, so you don't miss them or rush 🏎️💨to the wrong❌ position🙂.
Today's clue is the GAPS . First, let's see what the GAP is🤔.
The gap is nothing. I mean, it is something that is nothing😶🙄.
It is incredibly paradoxical💥! I'm kidding😉, but the space between candles🕯️ or bars is called a GAP.
A gap is created when we see👀 a price gap between two candles🕯️ or bars when the trading volume is high⏫ or low⏬. This difference or space between two candles is called a gap🤏🏻.
It is said that gaps are more valuable✅ in higher time frames among the traders, so much coin, much care👀.
Gaps, or as the Japanese🎌 term "windows," are significant for hunting🏹 positions, so as hunter traders, we should learn these gaps well👌🏻.
The reason🧐 for creating gaps can be factors such as important positive🆒 or negative🙈 news or an increase🔺 or decrease🔻 in supply and demand.
It is interesting to know that gaps are primarily seen in Forex , Stocks , and Commodities (especially when markets close and open).
The space👌🏻 between the candles means that the price has jumped like a rabbit🐰 from one number to the upper☝🏻 different number.
Or, like a monkey🐒, it moved from one number to a lower👇🏻 number.
I tried to make it funny😊 and straightforward👌🏻, but these gaps that move up or down have different types, like the year's seasons🌈☁️.
We have 4️⃣ seasons in a year and also 4️⃣ types of gaps in the charts.
According to personal taste😊, I relate the gaps to the year's seasons and, simultaneously, do not forget the case of hunting positions🏹💰.
So fasten your seat belts💺 because we want to travel in time🧳⏳ to all the year's seasons with this post🚩 and learn about the different price gaps, which are one of our clues🐾 to trap positions🪤.
Let's start with the autumn🍂 season because we are still in it and can understand it better😌.
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The name of this type of Exhaustion 🥱 gap.
They are seen at the end🔚 of a process, which means that the process may change🔄 at any moment.
Just like the autumn🍁 season, it may rain☔ anytime after seeing the clouds🌥️.
Another feature of this gap is the increase🆙 in trading volume, so by paying attention👀 to these points and practicing by reviewing the charts📈, you can easily recognize🔎 this gap.
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The next💁🏻♂️ gap is the Breakaway 🏃🏻♂️ gap.
The breakaway gap is associated with an increase⤴️ in trading volume.
This gap occurs when a critical range is broken🤞🏻, representing a strong💪🏻 start🏁 trend or a sign of trend change.
Like the blooming🏵️ of some trees🌳 in winter☃️ or the sprouting🌱 of plants from under the snow❄️.
Also, This gap is created when the price starts moving from a limited area, like support or resistance ( I'm going to talk about them in the future😉. )
I have to say that the breakaway gap plays a critical👌🏻 role in some of the classic reversal patterns, such as the Head and Shoulders Pattern , Double Top/Bottom Patterns , etc.
When The breakaway gap is combined with Classic Reversal Patterns, the breakaway gap adds to these patterns' validity✅.
If you want to get acquainted with the most important Classic Reversal Patterns of Technical Analysis , I suggest you read the following post👇.
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Now it's time for spring🌸🍀, and I'm going to introduce a gap like spring.
Spring season is a sign✌🏻 of the continuation of life💐, and this gap in technical analysis shows the continuation of a trend📈.
The Continuation gap is also known as a Runaway 🏃🏻♂️ gap, occurring in the middle of a downward↙️ or upward↗️ trend.
This type of gap creates a kind of confidence for traders to enter.
It doesn't occur when the price fluctuates or corrects in a limited area but occurs during a rapid increase or decrease.
So, as a result ☑️, if this gap occurs in an upward trend🔺, it indicates the continuation of the upward movement.
And when it is created in a downward trend🔻, it indicates the entry of more sellers and further price decline.
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Now we have reached✌🏻 the last gap🥰.
This gap is Common , but I should introduce it as the summer☀️ season.
These gaps are very common, And considering the time frame it has, it is expected to fill quickly, which is also called "closing the gap."
The filling or closing of the gap means that the price returns🔁 to the same area where the gap was created, like a criminal returning to the crime scene😄.
This can be true✅ for gaps as well.
Time flies in summer🏝️, and Common and Exhaustion 🥱gaps fill as soon as a blink👁️.
You may have heard👂🏻 that gaps are always filled, but this is not permanent🙅🏻♂️ and only a strong possibility🤏🏻.
For example, Continuation 🏃🏻♂️ & Breakaway gaps usually take a long time⌛ to fill.
But what if the gap doesn't close🤷🏻♂️?
Go to any currency pair and examine👀 the recorded data🗄️; You will find that many gaps take a year or more to close.
It is interesting😃 to know that the Japanese🎌 have another interpretation of the price gap.
They use gaps as continuation and reversal trading patterns (as I said, I'll explain them in future posts🔜😉).
It is interesting to know that the combination of gaps can create the Island reversal pattern.
The Island pattern consists of two gaps ; One up⬆️ and one down⬇️.
We will definitely✅ learn more about these patterns in the following posts🔜, but today we are only focusing on the gaps🧐.
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Another thing I want to add➕ is about the Heikin-Ashi charts💹 that we learned about in the previous post🔙.
Gaps are filtered❌ in Heikin-Ashi charts.
As I said, in this chart, the average is displayed between two✌🏻 consecutive candles; even candlestick patterns are filtered❌.
So, the type of chart is also essential👌🏻 for finding gaps.
Well, I gave you the basic tips to identify these gaps🤏🏻, and now you can carefully look👀 for them in your charts💹.
Practice this information for a bit, as I will be back soon🔜 with an educational post👨🏻🏫 on how to trade💰 with these gaps.
If you have any questions❓, you can ask me💬.
We will get acquainted with new clues🔎 in new posts, so until that day, take care of your knowledge📊 and increase it every day📈, because according to Kofi Anan:
Knowledge is power💪🏻, and information is liberating. Education📚 is the beginning of progress in every society🏙️, in every family👨👩👧👧.
I hope you become stronger🙌🏻 daily by using your knowledge, and I will also increase your progress by teaching you the introduction.
I wish🙌🏻 you happiness, health😍, and success😎.
Technical Analysis !!!👨🏫Hello, my trader friends🙋🏻.
I want to tell you the story of Technical Analysis, its advantages & disadvantages.
We're even gonna learn about its branches.
Like any other science, Technical Analysis has come a long way, and it's still evolving. But why should we learn it and know it well?🤷🏻
When you're trading, you may be afraid or greedy. But how do professional traders control these two?🤔
Let me start with a simple example.
If someone turns off the lights & challenges you in a new room, you will feel scared or lack confidence because you don't know that place. But if the challenge happens in your bedroom or home🏡, you'll feel more powerful 💪🏻 and confident because this environment is familiar & you can act better.✅
Fear is caused by the unknown. When you don't know this market, you can't get good results (or at least permanent good results).
So follow this page to conquer all the peaks⛰️ of Technical Analysis together🙌🏻 and learn from A to Z of it.
Also, I'm a fellow traveler on this route🛤️, not your tour guide.
So, if you have any questions, ask me in the comments💬.
My trader fellas, let's take one step👣 at a time because taking long and hurried steps will only hit you harder. I'm with you in all these steps🪜 & get started with the first type of market analysis.
Technical Analysis is old. I mean, it's almost 300 years old📜, but it doesn't like to talk about its age, so we couldn't find the exact information about its birth date🗓️😑.
Maybe it’s from Japan⛩️🎌 and was born in the 18th century, or perhaps its date of birth is in the Middle Ages.
But there is some more information that I'm sure about. For example, in 1879, the Technical Analysis found a friend by the name of Chart📈, and they have not separated until today.
Let's skip this story and be serious☺️. Technical analyzers believe that everything is in the Chart.
In Technical Analysis, there is all the necessary information for trading, such as entry points, exit points, market volume, stock prices in the past and present, etc. (The Chart is a complete encyclopedia for Technical analyzers!!🤦🏻😶 )
There is another type of analysis that examines the available information about a stock (from the founder of a stock or company to the cost and income and even the company manager's records), called Fundamental. But the Technicalists say that even some of the Fundamental information is in the Chart! 😐
Overall, Technical and Fundamental are both complementary to each other and opposite to each other. But both are related to the Chart. (These three have a complicated relationship; I mean, there is a love triangle, so we should stay out of it !!🤫😂 )
Let's skip the joke. All these things are just like the gears⚙️ of a car, but it's not enough. You need to follow more rules in the market to pass the finish line🏁 with your trading car🏎️ . Don't worry cause I'm gonna tell you everything you need to know to win🏆 this trade racing with your strategy car.
Now that we have learned a little about the history of Technical Analysis, it is better to learn about its contents.
The price chart, our most important resource and tool in Technical Analysis, consist of the price-time, Charts, and Candles.
But these candles🕯️ existed 100 years before bar and dot charts.📊📉
In 1700, a Japanese man named Huma realized that the price of rice depended on the emotions of traders in addition to supply and demand.
Candles show these feelings with their colors.
For example, the green candles🟢 show trust and good feelings among people who invested in a stock.🤑
But red candles🔴 indicate doubts or hopelessness of people about a stock, and they sell it.😞
I don't know why I remembered Moody's octopus doll🐙 :)
But candles tell you the feelings of other traders just like these dolls. But only its color is not essential.
Can you guess the other important factors about candles? I will tell you the rest of them soon.😉.
Have you heard that history repeats itself?
By looking carefully🧐 at the old charts, some creative people found that the prices behaved similarly to their past.
They realized that the candles make interesting shapes next to each other, and they made these shapes repeatedly in different periods.🔁
They formed different geometric shapes and patterns & continued to make these shapes until today :)
Let's accept that the Chart is creative and artistic! 🎨🖌️😊
For example, they found a shape called a Head & Shoulders Pattern. This type of pattern will cause a downward trend⤵️ in the Chart.
I tried to find it & place it on someone's Head & Shoulders to remember it better. 😁
Many patterns can be found in any chart, and I have already taught the reversal patterns in my previous posts, But I want to go over all the patterns in detail again in the future, so let's dive into the other contents of Technical Analysis.👇
Using formulas, mathematical🧮 ratios, and advanced calculations, indicators were created that can generally show the market's present and past and give a relative opinion about the future (Please don't get the indicators wrong with magic 8 ball🎱 or Professor Dumbledore's wand✨. )
Let's be serious about it. Maybe you know that indicators depend on the two factors of time and place of price.
In terms of time🕦, they are divided into two categories: leading and lagging.
In terms of price movement💹, they are divided into three categories: trend indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators.
The indicator that I made the above meme for is a leading oscillator.
Now it’s time to go for the other various tools that are made by using numbers🔢 and people’s actions in the market.
A person named Nelson Elliott made a useful tool, although, after his death, many people worked on this tool and improved it until today it reached us, but we are going to discuss it better in the following posts like the rest of the contents of Technical Analysis.😉
But I have to say Elliot believed that the market is not disordered and always repeats a repetitive cycle, and Eliot called these repeated movements waves.
According to him, if you can perfectly identify the repeating patterns in the price, you can predict how the price will change (or not change) in the next phase.
Eliot published his experiences and theories in a book called the waves principle, which I recommend if you want to get good information in this field; it's better to start from the origin of this theory.
I think there is no better definition for the word "Wave" than sea waves🌊, and I tried to draw Elliot waves like sea waves reaching the shore. 🏖️
In the end, I want to say that whatever style of analysis you have or whatever type of Chart you use, in the future, this machine will not go the right way without following a series of principles.
Suppose you have the best car in the world, but you neither know how to drive nor the rules. It can be guessed that you will either crash with someone or break the car💥.
You should have risk management along with your trading system, and don't forget that no trading system is perfect.🙅🏻
It is better to try each method on demo accounts before making real trades.
Of course, you can count on me and ask any questions you may have.🙂💭
In the following posts, I’ll talk more about the things that have been said and introduce you to good trading systems that can be obtained from any method.
I'm by your side so that if you are a beginner, you can find your own way, and if you know the market, we can learn the basics of this market better & together🤝🏻.
Wish you happiness, health & success guys🙋🏻.
Bitcoin Historical Volatility new low Here we have the BTC historical Volatility Index in blue. Orange is the price of BTC. The teal line is the 50sma for volatility. At the bottom, I have the correlation coefficient (CC) for the volatility index with BTC. I have marked in green when the CC reaches above 0.50, and red when it crosses below -0.50. The fibonacci retracement is fairly arbitrary, but fits nicely between 0.25 and 1.00. In this article, I would like to discuss a little bit about volatility. It is often associated as going up when price goes down, but is a bit more specific in what it is telling us than simply being an inverse price indicator. Next, I’ll talk about the correlation coefficient. It is an excellent tool that every trader, and investor, should learn to use. Finally, I would like to examine some of the similarities between our recent all time low in this index, breaking the low 2018, which proceeded the infamous 2018 capitulation event.
Volatility is always an interesting indicator, and is often used to indicate position risk for the asset it is being calculated for. Simply stated, it is a measure of how much the price of an asset moves in a particular period of time. However, it can be calculated a number of different ways. The most common is standard deviation, or how far price is from an average of the price over a recent period of time. The amount of time the data is taken from can also change how the volatility measure acts and how useful it is. More so, because it measures movement, and not so much direction, it can be difficult to use it in an accurate way, as correlation appears to be inconstant at face value. Historical volatility is calculated a little differently. And honestly, before reading a few papers on it for this essay, I had not realized that ‘historical’ referenced the calculation method as opposed to it being the history of the volatility. Historical, or realized, volatility is an estimation of the standard deviation of the price of returns over a particular period of time, in this case, 24 hours. It can also be calculated with a weighting for the trading volume over the calculation period. I have placed a 50ma (150 day moving average) to show a general range for average volatility, and we can see that MA tends to oscillate between 2.5 and 5.0.
The correlation coefficient is an excellent indicator that allows you to see, and quantify, the correlation of your current chart with any other chart ticker. Here I have it set to the BLX all time price index for BTC. The higher it goes, the more correlated the movement of the 2 charts are, and below zero indicates an inverse correlation. When CC is near zero, the movements of the two charts are NOT correlated. One of the issues with volatility indexes is their accuracy can vary, and is sometime disputed. My goal in using the correlation coefficient with this index is to parse out when volatility is most useful to pay attention to, and in which direction. On this chart, we can see that when volatility spikes above 10, it is often correlated with big, sudden moves to the downside. However, not all of them are. By using the correlation coefficient, we can parse out the direction of volatility. When CC is in the green, and volatility increases, we see the price of bitcoin moving up, usually in an explosive manner. Likewise, inverse correlation is often showing us downwards movements. I find this a useful way to pull a little bit of the noise out of the volatility index.
The previous all time low in volatility of 0.35 occurred on October 28th of 2018, and about sixteen days before the 2018 capitulation event began. About a week ago on Christmas day, we broke that low, going down to 0.34. Very low volatility tells us that price isn’t just moving sideways, but is pretty flat for the most part. And if you have been following bitcoin lately (bless your soul) you know flat and boring is kind of an understatement. The good news is that it’s likely going to get exciting soon. Volatility doesn’t seem to stay at or below 1.0 for very long, and seems to be either correlated, or inversely correlated with price within a few weeks to a month after reaching 1.0. An exception would be from August of 2019 to the pandemic crash in 2020. We can see some similarities in both volatility and the correlation coefficient between the time leading up to the 2018 capitulation event and our recent data in 2022. Price action is also fairly similar (flat and boring) with the exception that in 2018, the line chart had a small move down and back up during the flatness, while we had a small move up and then down earlier in December. Although, I doubt this really means anything. In 2018, we saw a 50% drop after price had already fallen around 70%. From top to bottom, the draw-down was just under 85%. Another 50% draw-down from where we are at the time of writing would take the price of bitcoin to just over $8,000.
So what does this mean? Well, I can tell you, for sure, 100%, that I can not tell the future. I will be, however, watching my new chart very closely. But I would say it is likely we’ll be seeing something exciting, and it will probably be in January. Unfortunately, it looks like CC moves down just as fast as price, and as fast as volatility moves up during sudden, capitulation like events. However, Bitcoin always has a way of surprising everyone. If CC moves down to 0, and then puts in another local high in the next week, I would be a little spooked. If it keeps moving up to 0.50, it may be an interesting and unexpected move to the upside. Regardless of what happens, I would encourage everyone to try to understand volatility a little better than you already do, and use the correlation coefficient indicator. It is a simple, yet versatile tool that can be used to quantify data in a way that makes a trading strategy precise. Here’s to 2023, I wish you well, and thanks for reading.
BANKNIFTY - DAILY TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
5 IMPORTANT INDICATORS FOR BEGINNERSHi guys, This is @CRYPTOMOJO_TA One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
Moving Average
A moving average is a technical indicator that combines price points of an instrument over a specified time frame, and divides by the number of data points, to give you a single trend line. It is popular amongst traders because it can help to determine the direction of the current trend, while lessening the impact of random price spikes.
A moving average will enable you to examine the levels of support and resistance, by analysing the previous movement of an asset’s price. It is a measure of change that trails the previous price action of an asset, assessing the history of market movements to determine possible future patterns. A moving average is primarily a lagging indicator, which makes it one of the most popular tools for technical analysis.
Calculating an MA requires a certain amount of data, which can be a large quantity depending on the length of the moving average. For instance, a ten-day MA will require ten days of data, while a one-year MA will require 365 days’ worth. A 200-day period is a very commonly used timeframe for MA.
The indicator is described as ‘moving’ because the introduction of new figures will replace old data points and ‘move’ the line on the chart.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are typically plotted as three lines:
An upper band
A middle line
A lower band
The middle line of the indicator is a simple moving average (SMA).
Most charting programs default to a 20-period, which is fine for most traders, but you can experiment with different moving average lengths after you get a little experience applying Bollinger Bands.
The upper and lower bands, by default, represent two standard deviations above and below the middle line (moving average).
If you’re freaking out because you’re not familiar with standard deviations.
Have no fear.
The concept of standard deviation (SD) is just a measure of how spread out numbers are.
If the upper and lower bands are 1 standard deviation, this means that about 68% of price moves that have occurred recently are CONTAINED within these bands.
If the upper and lower bands are 2 standard deviations, this means that about 95% of price moves that have occurred recently are CONTAINED within these bands.
Relative Strength Index ( RSI )
RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30. These traditional levels can also be adjusted if necessary to better fit the security. For example, if a security is repeatedly reaching the overbought level of 70 you may want to adjust this level to 80.
Note: During strong trends, the RSI may remain in overbought or oversold for extended periods.
RSI also often forms chart patterns that may not show on the underlying price chart, such as double tops and bottoms and trend lines. Also, look for support or resistance on the RSI.
In an uptrend or bull market, the RSI tends to remain in the 40 to 90 range with the 40-50 zone acting as support. During a downtrend or bear market the RSI tends to stay between the 10 to 60 range with the 50-60 zone acting as resistance. These ranges will vary depending on the RSI settings and the strength of the security’s or market’s underlying trend.
If underlying prices make a new high or low that isn't confirmed by the RSI, this divergence can signal a price reversal. If the RSI makes a lower high and then follows with a downside move below a previous low, a Top Swing Failure has occurred. If the RSI makes a higher low and then follows with an upside move above a previous high, a Bottom Swing Failure has occurred.
MACD(Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
Moving average convergence divergence, or MACD, is one of the most popular tools or momentum indicators used in technical analysis. This was developed by Gerald Appel towards the end of 1970s. This indicator is used to understand the momentum and its directional strength by calculating the difference between two time period intervals, which are a collection of historical time series. In MACD, ‘moving averages’ of two separate time intervals are used (most often done on historical closing prices of a security), and a momentum oscillator line is arrived at by taking the difference of the two moving averages, which is also denoted as ‘divergence’. The simple rule for taking the two moving average is that one should be of shorter time period and the other longer time period. Generally, exponential moving averages (EMA) are considered for this purpose.
Description: The main points for an MACD indicator are:
a) Time period or interval – which the user can define. Commonly used time periods are:
Short-term intervals – 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 12, 14, 15-day intervals, but 9-day and 12-day durations are more popular
Long-term intervals – 21, 26, 30, 45, 50, 90, 200-day intervals; 26-day & 50-day intervals are more popular
b) Momentum oscillator line or divergence or MACD line – which can be simple plotting of ‘divergence’ or difference between two interval moving averages
c) Signal Line – which is exponential moving average of divergence data e.g. 9-day EMA
d) Normally a combination of 12-day and 26-day EMA of prices and 9-day EMA of divergence data is used, but these values can be changed depending on the trading goal and factors
e) The above data is then plotted on a chart, where the X- axis is for time and Y-axis is price, to get MACD line, signal line and histogram for the difference between the MACD and signal line, which is shown below the X-axis
Volume
Volume, or trading volume, is the number of units traded in a market during a given time. It is a measurement of the number of individual units of an asset that changed hands during that period.
Each transaction involves a buyer and a seller. When they reach an agreement at a specific price, the transaction is recorded by the facilitating exchange. This data is then used to calculate the trading volume.
Trading volume can be denominated in any trading asset, such as stocks, bonds, fiat currencies or cryptocurrencies. For example, if Alice sells Bob 5 BNB for 20 USD each, the volume of that transaction can be either 100 USD, or 5 BNB, depending on what the trading volume is denominated in.
This also means that for a stock, for example, the trading volume refers to the number of individual stocks that were traded during the measured period. So if 100 shares are traded in one trading day, the daily volume of the stock is 100 shares.
Traders tend to use the volume indicator as an attempt to gain a better understanding of the strength of a given trend. If volatility in price is accompanied by high trading volume, it may be said that the price move has more validity. Conversely, if a price move is accompanied by low trading volume, it may indicate weakness of the underlying trend.
Price levels with historically high volume can also give traders an indication regarding where the best entry and exit points could be located for a specific trade setup.
Typically, a rising market should see increasing volume, indicating continuous buyer interest to keep pushing prices higher. Increasing volume in a downtrend may indicate increasing sell pressure.
Reversals, exhaustion moves, and sharp changes in price direction are often accompanied by a high volume spike, as these tend to be the times when the highest amount of buyers and sellers are active in the market.
Volume indicators often also incorporate a moving average, measuring the volume of the candles in a given period and producing an average. This gives traders an additional tool to gauge the strength of the current market trend.
If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & follow for future educational ideas and trading setups.
Golden Advice from Takashi Kotegawa🎥Takashi Kotegawa turned around $12K to $200M in just 8 years and reached a net worth of a whopping $ 1.8B from trading in his bedroom🍻 When I met Stocks Genius Takashi a few years ago, he gave me one of the best trading advice👇🏻
Trade with small size while learning
Only risk 1% of your account size each trade
Master one setup
Find a solid mentor
Journal your trades and study your data
Follow your plan consistently regardless of the outcome
Take Trading decisions as unemotionally as possible
Focus on these points, instead of focusing on goals like: I want to make 5K or 10K a month🍻
The risk-to-reward ratio is one of the most important thingsHi guys, This is @CRYPTOMOJO_TA One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
DEFINITION
The risk/reward ratio, sometimes known as the R/R ratio, is a measure that compares the potential profit of a trade to its potential loss. It is calculated by dividing the difference between the entry point of a trade and the stop-loss order (the risk) by the difference between the profit target and the entry point (the reward).
Limiting Risk and Stop Losses
Unless you're an inexperienced stock investor, you would never let that $500 go all the way to zero. Your actual risk isn't the entire $500.
Every good investor has a stop-loss or a price on the downside that limits their risk. If you set a $29 sell limit price as the upside, maybe you set $20 as the maximum downside. Once your stop-loss order reaches $20, you sell it and look for the next opportunity.
Because we limited our downside, we can now change our numbers a bit. Your new profit stays the same at $80, but your risk is now only $100 ($5 maximum loss multiplied by the 20 shares that you own), or 80/100 = 0.8:1. This is still not ideal.
What if we raised our stop-loss price to $23, risking only $2 per share or $40 loss in total? Remember, 80/40 is 2:1, which is acceptable. Some investors won't commit their money to any investment that isn't at least 4:1, but 2:1 is considered the minimum by most. Of course, you have to decide for yourself what the acceptable ratio is for you.
Notice that to achieve the risk/reward profile of 2:1, we didn't change the top number. When you did your research and concluded that the maximum upside was $29, that was based on technical analysis and fundamental research. If we were to change the top number, in order to achieve an acceptable risk/reward, we're now relying on hope instead of good research.
The risk-to-reward ratio is one of the most important things that traders and investors should watch out for before placing a trade. Once you’ve calculated the R/R ratio for a trade, you can place your stop-loss order to limit the losses. Similarly, you can also place the book profit order to exit the position at your preferred price.
If you are new to stock trading, then a 1:2 R/R ratio should be ideal. You can start experimenting after gaining some experience. But as stock trading is risky, do your own research before you start investing. You can also consult an investment advisor if your goal is to build a long-term stock portfolio.
Trade with care.
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How to differentiate a fake-out from an actual break-outHappy Friday, sorcerers. Welcome on another educational post by Investroy!
The trading and investing industry is a difficult one to succeed in as it has various complex details that you need to dig into both from technical and psychological perspectives. Predicting the price movement and understanding the logic behind it may be challenging at first. But as time passes and you gain experience, you understand the science behind price action and make more logical decisions.
Today, we will talk about a rather puzzling issue faced by many beginning and experienced traders: the theme of differentiating fake price movements from real ones. Although, it is not always possible to separate the two to the full extent, it is feasible to build a plan around it and stick to it on a consistent basis.
A fake-out is a failed attempt of the price to break above/below a key zone. Very often, it is associated with liquidity grabs and Stop Loss hunts. To demonstrate, looking at the illustration pictured on the chart, you can see how the price attempts to continue its bullish moves, but fakes out from the sideways-moving range and re-enters the borders of it instead.
On the contrary, a breakout happens when price successfully penetrates a key level and continues its impulsive moves in the same direction
Now, the question is: how to distinguish a real breakout from a fake one?
Firstly, it has to be kept in mind that what goes up, must come down. In trading terms, after an impulsive move, a correctional one should come; after a breakout, a re-test should happen before continuing impulses. In order to identify whether a breakout is a fake or a real one, we should always look for a re-test of the penetrated zone after a break is completed. However, you have to keep in mind that it is not a 100% fact that a re-test will happen every time. Sometimes, breakouts will be so impulsive that price will not retrace back to re-test a penetrated zone.
Nothing is 100% accurate in trading. Not every breakout will lead to a re-test before impulsive continuations. Not every fake breakout will seem like a fake-out at first. However, waiting for a re-test of a broken zone is a good way to evade fake breakouts and capture high risk-to-reward trades and opportunities.
To conclude, if you want to make sure you don’t get faked out and liquidated, always wait for a re-test of a penetrated level before forming biases and executing positions.
Do not get caught in this trap!Good time of the day, friends! Rushing into trades is definitely among the top #3 common mistakes done by relatively newer market participants who we would call early sellers in this context.
The chart/infographic above is pretty self explanatory, but let’s still cover some aspects of it by considering a following scenario:
Market was moving sideways the whole week, you almost lost hope to finish the month in profits and now you see the up-trending channel with already 2 lower trend-line touches. You instantly get excited and set a long position in the area of a third touch. Well, next thing you know it plummets right past through it. Lesson learned, but what can be done to avoid that?
Well, first of all “look for multiple confluences”. Does the third touch coincide with a potential support zone? If not, that already weakens the point. Was there any signs of bottom forming and reversal? Another strike if not. Did it coincide with any Fibonacci levels, for instance? No? You’re out.
Going over mistakes is easy, as there are always so many things that can go wrong, but what’s an alternative then, you may ask. On the chart above, we also indicated a point where we would consider entering the mentioned trade. Patient execution with a proper Risk-Reward is a way to do it.
Hope this helps, and tune in for more content for us!
5 LESSONS from the Bear MarketHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
Bearish markets are a normal part of the economic cycle, but even after years and years of repeating processes and patterns, it can still be hard to embrace.
The real value of a bear market may be that it gives investors the opportunity to gear up for the next cycle, in other words to accumulate and buy in cheap. It also helps you see the importance of managing your risk and diversification. For example - let's say you've invested 100% of your free cash into Bitcoin. IF Bitcoin were to trade sideways or lower for a longer period, lets say months, you have no capital left to invest in other potential opportunities. You are also missing out on rallies that may be happening across other markets. Your portion of diversification is definitely dependent on your initial capital investment, but try to diversify as far as your capital allows.
For savvy investors, a bear market also creates a period for looking beyond emotional headlines and studying the hard facts — facts that can ultimately place them in a position to take advantage of coming opportunities. Periods of falling prices are a natural part of investing in the stock market. Bear markets follow bull markets, and vice versa. They are considered the “ebb and flow” of wealth accumulation.
Now, let's take a look at 5 Things YOU should remember during the Bear Market :
❗ Periods of falling prices are a common part of investing / speculating
❗ An investment’s value will be greatly influenced by fundamental factors, and sometimes fundamental factors is enough to create a bullish or bearish market for that assets and related assets
❗ Diversification , (even though it does not protect anyone against losses), often provides the safest haven against the ebb and flow of fluctuating markets
❗ Invest over time, rather than make single lump-sum purchases. In other words, falling prices are the friends of dollar cost averaging investors
❗ Take a long-term view when investing in the stock market. Short-term fluctuations are natural. Try to invest in projects that are undervalued , rather than jumping in whilst a coin is in the middle of a parabolic rally.
Check out this idea on ETH that covers dollar-cost-averaging:
Remember that you’ll be bombarded with all kinds of economic information during both bear and bull markets. There will be reports, for example, about inflation, interest rates, and unemployment figures that may encourage you to either give up on the market or invest in it. To avoid being lured to either extreme, develop a financial strategy that accounts for risks you find comfortable. Then trust yourself and stick with the plan.
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How you trade impacts how you feel 😀It's no secret that managing your trading psychology is the biggest challenge in your trading journey.
Some say it counts for 80%+ of what's needed to be successful.
I totally agree...
However, there's a key factor in this for me.
How you actually trade to start with!
Correct trading psychology starts by realising you need a strategy.
If you're guessing with no real plan or risk management surely you're going to be more stressed and overwhelmed than a trader who has a plan, has the data to support his strategy and manages his risk?
So once you get your system/strategy nailed on, this in turn will help manage your fear.
Greed is another factor, but this comes from your expectation.
Expectations and reality need to be aligned with one another.
Your expectations can come from your data and your testing.
But if you've skipped this step you'll be chasing unrealistic expectations.
Not just in terms of % gains, but in understanding your drawdown periods too.
So in summary both are completely related. You give me a trader that's really struggling with his trading mindset and fear and within a month they won't be feeling the same way.
Likewise, if give me a trader who is calm and in tune with his system and emotions, we'll quickly change this by getting him to trade randomly!
No trading psychology means no trading strategy, No trading strategy means no trading psychology. These two elements are so intertwined.
Thanks for looking at my idea.
Darren 👍
The Cost Of Missing Your Best TradesWhat if your best trades were the ones you frequently do not enter?
There are not many positives in missing trades because it's money you're not adding to your trading account. You're losing more than money when you don't enter your best trades. Let's dig in.
Lost of confidence 😫
If you've ever said to yourself, "Why didn't I take the trade?" It's because you saw the setup. Your rules were met, but something inside of you couldn't push the button.
It could have been your own thoughts. You could have feared losing the trade in result losing money. Either way, you lacked the strength to push the button.
It's ironic how one button determines the fate of your abilities huh?
Hear this, you can begin doubting your ability as a trader when you don't take your setups. Remember that your eyes see first and you must take action regardless of your personal thoughts or feelings. You used logic to see the trade so use it to enter the trade.
Then let the trade tell you if you were wrong or right.
Risk of losing trades outweighing the trades you don't enter.
Have you ever looked at your trade journal just to realize you could be profitable if you'd enter all of your trades?
Most traders I consult with hesitate the moment they realize they have a good entry. Did you catch that? They don't question the analysis. They question themselves the moment it's time to hit the buy or sell button.
Like most traders, you're good until you have to show up to take action. This is common, but can also be the reason why you may not be seeing more profits than losses.
Revenge Anyone?
Revenge is a strong feeling. Taking action to get revenge results from the feeling of losing something so precious and your money is precious to you so it's only fitting you have a right to want it back.
However, money loss doesn't always come from trades you've enter. Consider this:
You see a trade. This risk to reward is 1:2. So you know you have a chance to double the amount you risk. You're excited. You see the outcome. So, you put a monetary value on the trade and realize if you win the trade you can win $1000. If you lose the trade you can only lose $500.
Something happens. You never enter. It could be for varying reasons. You weren't at your chart because you got busy. You got called in to go to work. Price reach where you wanted to enter, but you didn't like what you saw.
Either way you're not down $500. You're at a loss of $1000.
That leads me into my last point. The cost of missing your best trades setups is the risk of making the money you desire.
That $1000 could have gone a long way for you. It could have covered a car note. Paid your utilities for the month. Added more leverage to your trading account.
Either way it meant something to you, but you can't feel it because you feel like you missed out on it.
I get it. I've been there. You're not alone.
You are learning something though. You're learning you don't want to keep missing these setups so you're going to do something about it.
I have 3 suggestions for you. Let's see if you've thought of these:
* Adjust your timeframes so they fit your schedule
*Set pending orders
*Trade less pairs so you can focus on your best setups
Hear me well my dear friend, you may not always enter your best setups, but you can miss less.
Keep your trading easy for you. Don't overthink the entry. Don't tell yourself you're wrong. Trust me, the market will tell let you know if you're doing things correctly or not.
I pray you enjoyed this reading. If you have please like the post and share it.
Please share your thoughts below.
Many blessings to you,
Shaquan ❤️
Gut feeling in trading.I hear many traders talking about gut feeling, especially when referring to very good traders. I hear them saying that you will, at some point, feel what the market will do next. Many explain it as a sixth sense or cannot it explain it at all. I say to them the explanation behind is a much simpler one.
Gut feeling in trading, in most of the cases, is nothing else but subconscious pattern recognition. There is nothing magic here, it is simply related to how the human brain works in day-to-day life.
The trader looks at his screen for thousands of hours. Every day, he tries to analyze the price movements, while the brain stores the information in an abstract way into neural maps . Millions of neurons fire and wire together and create complex memory banks which include associated emotional responses. Day after day after day, these memory banks are reinforced and restructured until the neural maps are hardwired.
This process is all subconscious. The part which is even more interesting is the way the human brain retrieves the needed information stored in those complex neural maps . This mechanism is also done subconsciously and this is why many label it as “gut feeling”. So, when a trader instantaneously “feels”, in an apparently strange way, what he should do when he sees a particular market event, his brain has subconsciously identified a store pattern.
You may ask yourself: So what? What difference does it make knowing this? I say it makes. When you understand how your brain works you should also realize that you have at your disposal an extraordinary working instrument, but this will not guarantee your success by itself. Those neural maps need quality data. Programmers are accounted with the saying “garbage in garbage out”. It’s the same with the human brain.
If you don’t put the true intellectual effort in your day to day market observations, if you don’t approach what you see from multiple angles, if you don’t analyze your own emotional reactions, then your neural maps will be built on superficial data. You will only reinforce all sorts of ineffective pattern recognition processes, no matter how long you stare at the screens. By contrast, if you do it right, your “gut feeling” will evolve and become very valuable.
Evolving as a trader is not only a function of how much time you spend trying. What really matters is what you are really doing and how you are doing it. This explains why so many traders cannot become profitable even after years of trying. They are caught in inefficient and superficial ways of looking at the market.
So many retail traders rely exclusively on technical patterns. They don’t understand what really moves the markets and how those patterns are formed. They spend years and years switching from one technical indicator to another, without realizing they are unconsciously accumulating only superficial data. Some realize the trap … most don’t
Quick Update Long RVNUSDT FutureLong RVNUSDT Future
1hr Chart Showing Bullish
Entry- 0.03553
Target - 0.03704
Sl - 0.03516
I hope friends you understand my analysis.
Me & my Team trying to best analysis for you Friends.
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(Not Financial Advice)
~~Best Of Luck~~
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Exit Strategies to Consider on Each Trade: a Complete GuideEnter, monitor, and exit are three vital steps to follow while trading. While most traders focus on how and when they can enter a particular setup, they pay less attention to their exit strategy. Today, we are gonna look into some popular exit strategies that we utilise in our personal trading.
1) Breakeven closure
When the price is moving in our direction and is already a few key zones away from the entry zone, we make the trade risk-free by moving the Stop Loss level to the price of entry.
If the Stop Loss gets hit, we exit the trade with neither a gain nor a loss.
2) Manual Closure
In the process of monitoring, if the price does not play out according to our plan, we tend to make quick decision and exit the trade earlier than planned.
3) Target Profit
We set a Take Profit (TP) order that closes the transaction as soon as it gets triggered.
4) Stop Loss
We set a Stop Loss (SL) order that closes the transaction as soon as it gets triggered.
Dxy - Educational ContentHey Traders,
#Educational Content,
Trendline: We can draw trendlines, bullish trendline by connecting minimum of 2 Swing low points as show in the image attached.
SMMA's - Smoothed Moving Averages: can be used as a support for the entries. along with the candlestick price action confirmations. when it touches the trendlines. as shown in the image above.
Candlesticks Pattern: We can use this confirmation for entries, when it creates a candlestick pattern as Double bottom, triple bottom, or any bullish rejections after it hits the SMMA's as shown in the chart image above.
Entries: - Entries Better entries shall be, once when its hits the SMMA's
Stop loss: Stop loss Can be always placed below the impulsive moves. in a trending market.
Targets: Targets can be set to the equivalent of the previous impulsive move/ to the Swing highs preferred firstly.
Confluence for the trade entries: We can look for entries once the prices hits our trendlines, SMMA's and candlestick confirmations as show show above.
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support.......
Elliott Wave DegreesRalph Nelson Elliott acknowledged 9 degrees of waves from the Grand Super Cycle degree which is found in weekly and monthly time frame to the Sub-minute degree which is found in the hourly time frame. He labelled them as below mentioned.
1 Grand Super Cycle
2 Super Cycle
3 Cycle
4 Primary
5 Intermediate
6 Minor
7 Minute
8 Minuette
9 Sub-Minuette
It is a good understanding to start applying a wave count to a market from higher degree to all the way lower degree which you want to trade. you need to first learn about the labeling of wave degrees. Elliott Wave is a very helpful to understand the charts of any assets. the waves from the main degree are subdivided into intermediate waves which also subdivided into minor waves and the minor waves are also subdivided into minutes waves and then to sub-minutte waves, each degree of waves consists of one full cycle of motive and corrective waves. each degree of trend is labelled with a different style of label for a better understanding.
If you want to trade in 4H so then you will look for and count the monthly, weekly and the daily charts is will.
Hope you understand the concept of wave degrees.
How to calculate which lot size to useAs mentioned several times before, we risk 1% of our total trading capital per transaction. In simple terms, we risk 1 egg out of the 100 that we have in the basket in an attempt to get more eggs.
However, even though the average price mark where we place our Stop Loss is 30-60 pips away from the entry price, SL levels set differ from one trade to another, and different currency pairs have various differences in pricing (major pairs have small differences for the most part, while minor and cross-pairs have big gaps in pricing).
This article will demonstrate 3 random scenarios and illustrate which lot sizing is needed to be used based on the Stop Loss set and the percentage of the total capital risked while taking into account the size of the trading account. All numbers are imaginary in order to diversify the visualisation of the portrayed examples and give a better understanding of the case.
Enjoy the idea and don't forget to drop your questions in the comment box below!