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The Crucial Nature of Risk Management | Risk-Reward > Win RateWithin financial markets, the crucial thing to bear in mind is the need for reliance on proper risk management, and the prioritisation of the 'risk-reward' mechanism over the notion of 'win rate'. By risking only 1% of our total trading capital per trade and refraining from putting all eggs in the same basket, we are retaining consistent profitability in the long run through the law of big numbers and with the aid of the 'risk-reward' principle. As it could be inferred from the illustration, by risking only 1% of the total capital per trade, with an average of 1:3 risk-reward and a win rate of 40%, it is possible to generate a return of +4% by executing eight trade positions only.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Investroy
SWING TUTORIAL - DIVISLABWatch how the stock was on a continuous Lower Low Patter and formed a Lower Low Trendline. Simultaneously, there was also a formation of Convergence Divergence indicating an upward move. Stock also broke out of the trendline with a strong green candle. While the MACD Cross indicated a good entry after the Convergence Divergence, the breakout from the Trendline later indicated a confirmation for a move upward. Coincidently, the stock also made a new Support zone at 3299 after a strong breakout from trendline. Another MACD cross has also successfully happened in the last few weeks. Do you think the stock can reach its All Time High again? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
NSE:DIVISLABEducation
by thepranam
Educational Post: Trend and Valuations and Techno-Funda analysisWe have been told that market is always right and the price of the stock is always indicative of what is happening in the company, it’s balance sheets and its prospects for future. This cannot be true as the price of the stock or an index tends to trend. The trend can be upwards or the trend can be downward as seen in this chart. The trend can also be flat. Now if the stock has tendency to ‘trend’ the trend will always have sentiments and sentiments will always try to overplay or underplay the prospect of the company. In case the trend is bullish the valuations will tend to be expensive. In case the trend is bearish there is always a possibility of undervaluing a company. This is why an analyst needs to look at both Techincal and Fundamentals of a company. By looking at Fundamentals of the company you will understand the inherent strengths, it’s resilience ability to bounce back, ability to adapt and ability to grow. After having understood the and identified fundamentally strong company you can use technical analysis to enter the same or buy the stock with the help of Technical analysis. Thus you will be able to maximize the opportunity to make your money grow faster. Knowing Technicals will help you understand and establish when the trend is going to change, perhaps find when the stock is breaking out or breaking down. When the trend is changing positively and the stock is breaking out you can invest, compound and stay invested and enjoy the bull run. When the trend is changing negatively you can perhaps book profit, partial profit or exit the stock before it breaks down completely. It is said that either you learn or you die. My advice to investors whether you are a new investor or a seasoned player who has been investing for decades will be to keep yourself educated in terms of markets and its methodologies. Learning and unlearning should be a continuous process rather than depending on others and asking for tips to make money. If you buy and stay invested, you will make your money grow as much as the company or index grows. But if you can catch the trend which is a friend, catch the breakouts and breakdowns you will grow your money faster. Invest the most important commodity along with your money into the market, that is your time. To learn more about techno-Funda investing contact us and reap the benefit. Benjamin Franklin has rightly said,” Investment in knowledge pays the best returns.” Disclaimer: Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart and other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NSE:VALIANTORG
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Explaining Dow Theory - Does it Deliver Results? Dow theory stands out as one of the most revered theories in the history of financial markets. Whether you're engaged in intraday trading, short-term trading, or long-term investment, understanding this theory is bound to help you formulate diverse strategies. Originally crafted by Charles Dow in the late 1800s, Dow Theory, also known as Dow Jones Theory, has stood the test of time. Charles Dow, the founder of the Dow-Jones financial news service WSJ (Wall Street Journal) and Dow Jones and Company, developed this trading strategy. Even after a century, Dow theory remains influential and is considered one of the most sophisticated studies in technical analysis. I trust this will be beneficial to anyone involved in trading or investing in financial markets. What is the essence of Dow Theory? In an article published in the Wall Street Journal on January 31, 1901, Charles H. Dow likened the stock market to the ebb and flow of ocean tides. He stated, "A person observing the rising tide and wishing to determine the precise moment of high tide places a stick in the sand at the points reached by the incoming waves until the stick reaches a position where the waves no longer reach it and eventually recede enough to indicate that the tide has turned." This approach proves effective in monitoring and predicting the rising tide of the stock market. Dow believed that analyzing the current state of the stock market could offer insights into the current state of the economy. Indeed, the stock market can serve as a valuable gauge for understanding the underlying reasons behind upward and downward trends in both the economy and individual stocks. How Does the Dow Theory Operate? The Dow Theory operates based on several principles, which include the following: 1. The Averages Account for Everything: Market prices incorporate all known or unknown factors that may impact supply and demand. It is believed that the market reflects all available information, including information not yet public. This encompasses various events such as natural disasters like droughts, cyclones, floods, or earthquakes. Major geopolitical occurrences, trade conflicts, domestic policies, elections, GDP growth, fluctuations in interest rates, and earnings forecasts or anticipations are all already factored into market prices. While unforeseen events may arise, they typically influence short-term trends while leaving the primary trend intact. 2.The Market Exhibits Three Trends: a)The primary trend: This trend can extend from one year to several years and represents the dominant movement of the market. It is commonly known as either a bull or bear market. The bullish primary uptrend sees higher highs followed by higher lows, while the bearish primary downtrend witnesses lower highs and lows. The challenge lies in predicting when and where these primary trends will conclude. The goal of Dow Theory is to leverage known information rather than making speculative guesses about the unknown. By adhering to Dow Theory guidelines, one can identify and align with the primary trend. b)The intermediate trend or secondary trend: This trend typically lasts from 3 weeks to several months and is characterized by reactionary movements. In a bull market, these movements are viewed as corrections, whereas in a bear market, they are seen as rally attempts. For instance, during a primary uptrend, a stock may retrace from its high to establish a low (known as an intermediate trend or correction). Conversely, in a primary downtrend, a stock might experience a temporary rebound after a prolonged decline (known as bear market rallies). c)The minor trend or daily fluctuations: This trend, lasting from several days to a few hours, is the least reliable and is often disregarded according to Dow Theory. Long-term investors should perceive daily fluctuations as part of the corrective process within intermediate trends or bear market rallies. These fluctuations represent the noise in the market and can be susceptible to manipulation. While daily price action is important, its significance lies in the context of the broader market structure. Analyzing daily price movements over several days or weeks can provide valuable insights when viewed alongside the larger market picture. While individual pieces of the structure may seem insignificant, they are integral to completing the overall picture. 3.Major Trends Comprise Three Phases: Dow focused extensively on major trends, identifying three distinct phases within them: Accumulation, Public participation, and Distribution. These phases occur cyclically and repeat over time. a) Accumulation Phase: This phase occurs when the market is in a bearish trend, characterized by negative sentiments and a lack of hope for an upcoming uptrend. For instance, we witnessed steep declines in mid-cap stocks in the Indian share market, with new lows being made frequently. While many investors anticipate this trend to persist indefinitely, this is actually when significant investors, such as large fund houses and institutional investors, begin gradually accumulating these stocks. This period is known as "smart money" investing for the long term. Despite ongoing selling pressure in the market, buyers are readily found. b) Public Participation Phase: During this phase, the market has already absorbed the negativity, with "smart money" investing. This marks the second stage of a primary bull market and typically sees the most significant rise in prices. At this point, the majority of the public (retail investors) also considers joining in as prices rapidly increase. However, many are left behind due to the speed of the rallies and the upward trend in averages. Traders and investors may experience regret for not participating in the rally. This phase follows improved business conditions and increased stock valuations. c) Distribution Phase: The third stage represents excess, eventually transitioning into the distribution phase. In this final stage, the public (retail investors) becomes fully engaged in the market, captivated by the bull market rally. Some investors who previously felt left out may still seek opportunities to join the rally based on valuations. However, this is when "smart money" begins to sell off shares at every high point. Meanwhile, the public attempts to buy at these levels, absorbing the selling volumes from large investors. In the distribution phase, whenever prices attempt to rise, "smart money" unloads their holdings. This marks the onset of a bear market, where sentiments turn negative, bankruptcy filings increase, and economic growth shifts. During a bear market, frustration levels rise among retail investors as hope dwindles. 4.Confirmation Between Averages is Essential: Dow used to say that unless both Industrial and Rail(transportation) Averages exceed a previous peak, there is no confirmation or continuation of a bull market. Both the averages did not have to move simultaneously, but the quicker one followed another – the stronger the confirmation. To put it differently, observe the image above, as you can see both the averages are in bull market, trending upward from Point A to C. 5.Confirmation of Trends Through Volume: Volume serves as a metric indicating the amount of shares traded within a specific timeframe, aiding in trend and pattern analysis. According to Dow theory, a stock's uptrend should be supported by high volume and exhibit low volume during corrections. While volume data alone may not be comprehensive, integrating it with resistance and support levels can provide a more comprehensive understanding. 6.Trend Persistence Until Clear Reversal Signals: Similar to Newton's first law of motion, which states that an object will remain at rest or in uniform motion unless acted upon by an external force, market trends are expected to persist until a significant external force, such as changes in business conditions, prompts a reversal. Signs of trend reversals become apparent when impending changes in trend direction are observed. 7.Signal Recognition and Trend Identification: A significant challenge in implementing the Dow theory is accurately identifying trend reversals. Adhering to the Dow theory requires not only assessing the overall market direction but also recognizing definitive signals of trend reversals. A key technique employed in identifying trend reversals within the Dow theory is analyzing peaks and troughs, or highs and lows. Peaks represent the highest points in a market movement, while troughs signify the lowest points. According to the Dow theory, markets do not move in a linear fashion but rather oscillate between highs (peaks) and lows (troughs), with overall market movements trending in a particular direction. An upward trend in Dow theory consists of a series of progressively higher peaks and troughs, while a downward trend is characterized by progressively lower peaks and troughs. 8.Market Manipulation: Charles Dow believed that manipulation of the primary trend was improbable, while short-term trading, including intraday movements and secondary movements, could be susceptible to manipulation. Short-term movements, ranging from hours to weeks, may be influenced by factors such as large institutions, speculators, breaking news, or rumors, potentially leading to manipulation. While individual securities may be manipulated, such as artificially driving up prices before reverting to the primary trend, manipulating the entire market is highly unlikely due to its vast size. Why Dow Theory Is Not Foolproof: Dow Theory is not a fail-safe method for outperforming the market, as it is not without its flaws. Critics argue that it lacks the depth and precision of a formal theory. Conclusion: Understanding the Dow Theory enables traders to identify hidden trends that may elude more seasoned investors, empowering them to make informed decisions about their positions. The Dow theory aims to pinpoint the primary trend and capitalize on significant movements. Given the market's susceptibility to emotion and tendency for overreaction, the goal is to focus on identifying and following the prevailing trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
4
Exploring Auction Market Theory in Forex TradingAuction Market Theory (AMT) is a conceptual framework used to understand the dynamics of financial markets, viewing them as auctions where buyers and sellers interact to determine prices. Although the AMT was initially developed to understand & analyse price action movements in the stock market, some of its core concepts can also be applied to any market, including forex. Within the forex market, currency pairs are traded 24/5, with price driven by a multitude of factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Despite this complexity, AMT provides a framework for understanding market dynamics through the concepts of value, balance, and imbalances . Value represents the equilibrium price at which buyers and sellers agree on the fair value of an asset. Market balance occurs when supply and demand are roughly equal, resulting in stable price ranges, while imbalances arise from deviations from this equilibrium due to shifts in market sentiment or unexpected events. These imbalances can create trading opportunities for astute traders who can identify them and act accordingly. Lets now take a look into how this can be visually identified on a line chart using only price action. Example 1 On the left, we can see an area of market balance. This is usually evident when the market is range bound as we can see in this case. The midpoint of the range is the point of equilibrium. Value can be interpreted as the equilibrium price at which buyers and sellers agree on the fair value of a currency pair. This equilibrium is constantly shifting as new information becomes available and market participants reassess their expectations. When these expectations shift as a result of either economic data releases, geopolitical events, and/or market sentiment, price shifts away from the balanced price range and creates an imbalance within the market. Identifying value areas are important because these can act as an area of future support/resistance for price. Notice how in this example, after price displaces from the balanced range, it later came back and found support near the fair value within that range. Practical Application One practical application of AMT in forex trading is through the analysis of price action and market profile. By observing how price behaves at different levels and how volume interacts with price movements, you can gain insights into market sentiment and potential areas of support and resistance. For example, if a currency pair consistently fails to break above a certain resistance level despite multiple attempts, it may indicate strong selling pressure at that level, presenting an opportunity for short trades. Conversely, if a currency pair finds strong support at a particular price level, traders may look for buying opportunities as the market reverts to equilibrium. To conclude, Auction Market Theory offers a valuable framework for understanding the dynamics of the forex market. By analysing price action, volume, and market profile through the lens of AMT, you can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. While no theory can guarantee success in trading, incorporating Auction Market Theory into your analysis can help you make more informed trading decisions. Please leave a comment if you've found this post helpful or if you have any questions. Happy Trading
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by Pips4Breakfastx
6
Deciphering the Enigma: Understanding the Forces Behind ForexWithin the seemingly tranquil surface of the forex market lies a realm of intricate complexities and dynamic interactions that dictate its ever-evolving landscape. Unlike the tumultuous fluctuations often witnessed in stock markets, the forex arena operates with a measured cadence, its movements orchestrated by an array of global forces. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deep into the enigmatic depths of the forex market, unraveling the myriad factors that drive its dynamics and providing strategic insights for navigating its multifaceted terrain. The Forex Market Unveiled: A Global Phenomenon of Unprecedented Scale The forex market stands as a towering colossus in the financial world, commanding unparalleled liquidity and facilitating trillions of dollars in transactions on a daily basis. Its decentralized nature allows it to operate seamlessly across borders and time zones, serving as the primary arena for the exchange of currencies on a global scale. From the widely traded major pairs such as EUR/USD and USD/JPY to the more exotic combinations like GBP/NZD and AUD/CHF, the forex market boasts a diverse array of currency pairs, each with its own unique characteristics and trading dynamics. Deciphering the Forces Behind Market Movements: A Symphony of Economic Indicators At the heart of forex market dynamics lie a plethora of economic indicators and events that shape investor sentiment and drive currency valuations. Central bank meetings, with their decisions on interest rates and monetary policy, wield significant influence over market sentiment and can trigger pronounced fluctuations in currency prices. Similarly, employment data, GDP reports, inflation figures, and retail sales statistics all offer valuable insights into the health of an economy and can impact currency movements in profound ways. Navigating the Forex Landscape: The Art of Research and Strategic Planning Success in the forex market hinges on a combination of knowledge, skill, and strategic planning. Conducting thorough research becomes imperative for traders seeking to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and identify potential trading opportunities. By staying abreast of upcoming news events, economic releases, and geopolitical developments, traders can position themselves strategically and adapt their trading strategies accordingly. Moreover, understanding the seasonal trends and historical patterns that influence currency pairs can provide traders with a valuable edge in their decision-making process. Trading Around News Events: Exercising Caution and Implementing Risk Management Strategies While trading around news events can offer lucrative opportunities for profit, it also carries inherent risks that must be managed effectively. Novice traders may be tempted to enter the market impulsively in the hopes of capitalizing on short-term price movements, but seasoned professionals understand the importance of exercising caution and implementing robust risk management strategies. By setting clear stop-loss levels, diversifying their portfolios, and adhering to disciplined trading practices, traders can mitigate the potential impact of market volatility and safeguard their capital against adverse movements. Conclusion: Embracing the Challenges and Opportunities of the Forex Market In conclusion, the forex market presents traders with a myriad of challenges and opportunities that require a nuanced understanding of its underlying dynamics and a disciplined approach to trading. By cultivating proficiency through continuous learning, research, and strategic planning, traders can navigate the complexities of the forex landscape with confidence and skill. While the path to success may be fraught with obstacles, those who embrace the challenges of the forex market with determination and resilience stand to reap the rewards of their efforts and achieve their financial goals in the long run.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
Conquer Trading Challenges: Pro Tips for Understanding Hello, friends! Today I'm sharing with You some trading tips, that will help You to understand some of the complex aspects of trading. Tip 1: Trading more or longer is not the best method. Sometimes doing nothing is the best thing You can do. "Many people get so tangled up in markets that they lose perspective. Working longer doesn't necessarily mean working smarter. Sometimes it's just the opposite." - Martin Schwartz Most jobs are created with a time attachment. Spend X hours, and we'll pay You Y amount. This link between time spent and reward is so commonplace that we take it for granted in everything we do. Unfortunately, this doesn't apply to traders who want to maximize profits from their trading edge. Why? As Martin Schwartz noted, we need to work smarter, not longer. The key argument is that the market is beyond our control. Sure, we can spend more time trading, but if the conditions aren't optimal, it will do more harm than good. "The urge to keep on doing something, regardless of the basic conditions, is responsible for many losses on Wall Street even among professionals who feel they must bring home a little money every day, as if they were working for a regular wage." - Jesse Livermore As Jesse Livermore said, we need to abandon the idea of a "regular paycheck" and respect the basic conditions of the market. Think about it. If the market doesn't offer You a trading edge, then the best thing You can do is stop trading. "If most traders would learn to sit on their hands 50% of the time, they would make a lot more money." - Bill Lipschutz Bill Lipschutz's opinion underscores the fact that most traders trade much more than they should. Tip 2: A trader doesn't need to be a genius. Smart people achieve success. That's what most of us think. But for successful trading, intelligence is of secondary importance. Peter Lynch has a more specific opinion on how academically competent traders should be. "All the math You need in the stock market You get in the fourth grade." - Peter Lynch So, if intelligence isn't the key factor in successful trading, then what is? "The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading." - Victor Sperandeo If You had enough trading experience, You'd be dealing with issues like overtrading, strings of losses, and revenge trading. So agree with Victor Sperandeo. Occasionally, we can benefit from such a reminder. If You're a beginner in trading, perhaps I haven't convinced You of the importance of the emotional side of trading. But keep this idea in mind, and hopefully, it will shorten Your search for the Holy Grail. Tip 3: The harder You try to make money, the harder it is to achieve. "The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary." - Alexander Elder Focusing on making the best trades means focusing on the process. When You focus on the process, You'll find ways to improve it. When You focus on the results, You'll be distracted and jump around without a consistent approach. Therefore, let money be a by-product of a reliable trading process. Bill Lipschutz put it aptly: "If you're motivated by money, you're making a mistake. The truly successful trader has to be involved and into the trading process; money is the by-product... The primary motivation has to be the playing itself." - Bill Lipschutz In other words, anyone facing financial difficulties shouldn't be trading. If You feel You must make money, it diminishes Your trading productivity. These advice explain why trading isn't the easiest way to make money for most people. But let's suppose Your primary goal isn't about making money; instead, it's about extracting lessons from this process. In that case, You'll find pleasure in the challenges trading throws at You because they'll force You to question your assumptions and confront Your emotional shortcomings. If You achieve success, beyond financial rewards, You'll gain valuable life lessons. However, since these ideas and advice aren't intuitively understandable, it's practically impossible to heed them from the outset. Fully internalizing them requires a certain trading experience, one that includes disappointments and regrets. Nevertheless, by analyzing and reflecting on them, we can shorten our path to becoming mature and consistent traders. Subscribe to stay updated! Thanks for Your attention:) Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
6
Mind Over Markets: Trader Fears and Psychological ReadinessTrading in financial markets is not merely a game of numbers and charts; it's a psychological battlefield where fears , doubts , and emotions can either propel you to success or drag you into failure. In this comprehensive article, we delve deep into the primary fears of traders, explore strategies to conquer them, and provide an in-depth analysis of methods to assess psychological readiness for navigating the unpredictable world of trading. Unveiling the Primary Fears of Traders Fear of Losing Money: The fear of financial loss is perhaps the most primal fear among traders. It's natural to feel apprehensive about risking hard-earned capital in the volatile world of trading. However, letting this fear dictate your decisions can hinder your ability to capitalize on profitable opportunities. Overcoming this fear requires a combination of education, risk management strategies, and a disciplined mindset. Fear of Missed Opportunities: FOMO, or the fear of missing out, is another common fear that plagues traders. The fear of watching others profit while you stand on the sidelines can lead to impulsive and irrational decision-making. Successful traders emphasize the importance of patience, strategic planning, and sticking to a well-defined trading strategy to avoid falling prey to FOMO. Fear of Making Mistakes: In a high-stakes environment like the financial markets, the fear of making mistakes can paralyze even the most seasoned traders. Whether it's misinterpreting market signals or executing trades at the wrong time, the fear of failure can lead to indecision and missed opportunities. Overcoming this fear requires a shift in mindset—viewing mistakes as valuable learning experiences rather than setbacks. Fear of Criticism: Trading can be a solitary pursuit, but the fear of being judged by peers, mentors, or investors can still weigh heavily on traders' minds. The fear of criticism can erode confidence and stifle creativity, making it difficult to take calculated risks. Overcoming this fear involves developing a resilient mindset and focusing on personal growth rather than external validation. Strategies to Overcome Trader Fears Education and Continuous Learning: The more you understand the intricacies of the financial markets, the less intimidating they become. Warren Buffett's famous advice to invest in what you understand rings true here. By arming yourself with knowledge and staying updated on market trends, you can make more informed decisions and mitigate the fear of the unknown. Risk Management Strategies: Implementing robust risk management strategies is crucial for alleviating the fear of losing money. Setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and adhering to strict position sizing rules can help limit losses and protect your capital during volatile market conditions. Mindfulness and Emotional Regulation: Practicing mindfulness techniques and cultivating emotional resilience can help you navigate the ups and downs of trading with greater ease. Techniques such as meditation, deep breathing exercises, and visualization can help calm your mind and prevent emotions from clouding your judgment during stressful trading situations. Community Support and Mentorship: Surrounding yourself with a supportive community of fellow traders and mentors can provide invaluable emotional support and guidance. Sharing experiences, seeking advice, and learning from the successes and failures of others can help alleviate the fear of trading alone and foster a sense of camaraderie. Assessing Psychological Readiness for Trading Before embarking on your trading journey, it's essential to assess your psychological readiness to handle the demands of trading. Here are some methods for evaluating your readiness: Interviews and Surveys: Seek guidance from experienced traders or financial psychologists through personal interviews or consultations. Completing questionnaires about your attitude towards money, risk, and decision-making can provide valuable insights into your psychological profile. Risk-Aversion Testing: Take psychometric tests designed to measure your propensity for risk and assess your reactions to potential losses and gains. These tests can help you understand how comfortable you are with making financial decisions under uncertainty. Demo Accounts: Practice trading on demo accounts to gauge your ability to manage emotions and make rational decisions without real financial risk. Monitor your performance and assess whether you're able to adhere to your trading strategy and risk management rules. Trader's Diary: Maintain a diary where you record your emotions and reactions to various trading scenarios. Analyze your psychological state over time and identify recurring patterns or biases that may impact your trading performance. Stress Tests: Participate in simulated stress tests that replicate extreme market conditions to assess your ability to make sound decisions under pressure. These tests can help you identify areas of weakness and develop strategies for coping with high-stress situations. The Reliability of Test Results While these methods provide valuable insights into your psychological readiness for trading, it's essential to recognize their limitations. Human psychology is complex and dynamic, and no test can fully capture the nuances of real-world trading. Moreover, over-reliance on test results can breed overconfidence and lead to complacency. Ultimately, success in trading requires a combination of technical skill, psychological resilience, and real-world experience. While tests and assessments can provide a useful framework for self-reflection and improvement, they should be viewed as just one piece of the puzzle. Continuous learning, self-awareness, and a commitment to personal growth are essential ingredients for mastering the mental game of trading and achieving long-term success in financial markets.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
MFI INDICATOR - STRATEGY FOR TRADINGIndicator MFI — model Incorporating technical indicators into your trading system requires a clear understanding of their fundamental principles. An innovative solution developed by Gene Cuong and Avrum Sudak allows the use of volumetric data in metric analysis. The Cash Flow Index serves as a graphical representation of the "cash ratio", requiring a preliminary derivation of the "cash ratio" and subsequent calculations, including the determination of typical price and cash flow. Similar to the relative strength index, the cash flow index is based on the concept of a “typical price,” calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices over a specified period of time. For example, if the daily time frame has a high of 70,000, a low of 65,000, and a closing price of 68,000, the typical daily price is calculated as follows: Typical daily price = (70000 + 65000 + 68000)/3 = 67666 Cash flow is then determined by multiplying typical price by volume: Cash Flow = Typical Daily Price * Volume. Comparing the resulting cash flow with the previous day's cash flow makes it easier to identify positive or negative trends. Positive cash flow indicates an increase, while a negative cash flow indicates a decrease. Cases of equivalent cash flow values are not taken into account. When positive and negative cash flows can be distinguished, the cash ratio is calculated by dividing the former by the latter: Cash Ratio = (Positive Cash Flow / Negative Cash Flow). Using this data, the cash flow index (MFI) can be calculated using the formula: MFI = 100 - (100/(1 + Money Factor)). Gene Cuong and Avrum Sudak have delineated three primary signals employed by the Cash Flow Index: Overbought or Oversold Levels: Traders strategically monitor for overbought or oversold conditions as indicators of unsustainable price extremes, signaling potential market corrections. Bullish and Bearish Divergences: Analysis of bullish and bearish divergences serves as a predictive tool for identifying potential trend reversals. Discrepancies between the direction of price movements and corresponding Cash Flow Index trends can offer valuable insights into shifting market dynamics. Fluctuations at 80 or 20 Levels: Observing fluctuations in the indicator readings around the 80 or 20 thresholds enables traders to discern potential market reversals. These pivotal levels serve as crucial points of reference, guiding traders in assessing market sentiment and making informed trading decisions. Determining overbought and oversold zones using the cash flow index While the relative strength index (RSI) and other oscillator-type technical indicators are capable of identifying overbought and oversold market conditions, the money flow index (MFI) stands out for its effectiveness in this area. Including additional volume information allows the MFI indicator to filter out false signals from overbought and oversold conditions, increasing its reliability, especially for traders looking to counter prevailing trends. Like most momentum indicators, the Money Flow Index ranges from 0 to 100. A Money Flow Index reading below 20 indicates an oversold signal. Conversely, a Cash Flow Index reading greater than 80 suggests an overbought scenario. One limitation of trading based solely on overbought and oversold signals is the inability to counter the current trend merely due to signals generated by the Money Flow Index (MFI). Optimal trading strategy involves exercising patience and waiting for a price action pattern to validate a shift in the prevailing trend before taking a position. By employing this approach, traders can make more informed decisions and reduce the risk of entering positions prematurely based solely on MFI signals. The MFI Indicator and Divergence Beyond its function in pinpointing overbought and oversold conditions, the Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator serves as a valuable tool for detecting divergence within the market. In essence, divergence manifests when the price moves in one direction while the indicator readings depict a contrary trend. Traders regard this occurrence as a strong indication that the price is poised to reverse in alignment with the technical indicator's trajectory. Utilizing the MFI indicator enables traders to readily recognize such signals, whether they manifest as bullish or bearish divergence. Bullish Divergence: Bearish divergence: What Should You Consider? By integrating volume into its mathematical framework, the Money Flow Index is adept at generating highly precise trading signals concerning overbought and oversold market conditions. Additionally, it demonstrates a notable ability to pinpoint emerging divergences within the market. However, like any technical indicator, it possesses inherent limitations. A primary constraint of the Money Flow Index is its propensity to persist in overbought or oversold states for extended durations, potentially leading to false signals. Yet, by crafting a trading strategy that incorporates price action signals, traders can harness the MFI indicator to identify potential reversal zones. Armed with this insight, traders can anticipate shifts in directional price movement with ease and strategize their trades accordingly. Summing It Up: The Money Flow Index stands out as a unique indicator amalgamating momentum and volume within the RSI formula. Its strength lies in its adeptness at identifying potential reversals through overbought or oversold levels, as well as bullish or bearish divergences. Nonetheless, prudent utilization of the Cash Flow Index entails supplementing its readings with additional technical indicators rather than relying solely on its signals.
Education
by truepersonal
8
The whole truth about trading - playing against fateIt is apparent that your interest in trading stems from a desire to transcend the conventional 9 to 6 work regimen or to establish an additional revenue stream for enhanced financial stability. Regardless of the impetus, trading imbues one with a sense of hope—a hope for attaining financial autonomy and catering to the exigencies of one's familial responsibilities. Nevertheless, hope unaccompanied by acumen proves inadequate in the realm of trading. Are you prepared to delve into the intricacies of trading in its entirety? Can you harness the mechanisms of trading to your advantage and prosper therein? Trading is a means of slow enrichment For many, the following assertion may not be warmly received, yet it warrants acknowledgment: Trading serves as a gradual enrichment scheme. While anecdotes exist of traders who commenced with modest capital and ascended to seven-figure balances, such instances are rare. The reality is stark: the odds of such success are exceedingly slim. The allure of amassing substantial wealth swiftly is tempting, but it often necessitates assuming excessive risk. Only those blessed with exceptional luck may realize significant gains in short order. Conversely, the vast majority—99.99%—who pursue this path find themselves depleting their initial investment. Merely a fortunate minority attain even modest profits, and their success is often attributed more to chance than skill. Consider the perspective of Warren Buffett, whose wealth is renowned: "My wealth is a product of American residency, fortuitous genetics, and the power of compound interest." The crux lies in compound interest—the gradual accumulation of profits over time. Buffett's ascent to becoming the world's wealthiest investor spanned decades, not mere weeks or months. Hence, if one views trading as a shortcut to affluence, disillusionment is inevitable. You need money to make money from trading One of the most pervasive trading fallacies is the belief that possessing a profitable trading strategy guarantees the potential to amass millions in the market—a notion that has ensnared many traders. While it is feasible to develop a lucrative strategy, its profitability alone does not guarantee the attainment of vast wealth. Why? Because the magnitude of your initial deposit plays a pivotal role. Consider this scenario: Suppose you possess a trading strategy yielding a 20% annual return. With an account balance of $1,000, your potential earnings amount to $200 per year. With $10,000, your potential earnings escalate to $2,000 annually. Scaling up further, with a $1 million account, potential earnings soar to $200,000 per year. This illustrates that while a trading strategy is undeniably significant, it represents only one facet of the equation. Equally crucial is the size of your trading account. This elucidates why hedge funds attract vast sums—often in the millions, if not billions of dollars—since substantial capital is indispensable for maximizing returns from trading endeavors. Trading is one of the worst ways to earn a regular income Trading is often sought out by individuals seeking an alternative income stream, aiming to liberate themselves from the confines of a conventional 9 to 6 job in pursuit of pursuing their passions. However, it is crucial to confront a sobering reality: trading stands as one of the least reliable avenues for securing a consistent income. Why? The dynamics of financial markets are inherently mercurial. A strategy that yields profits one week may falter the next. This isn't to suggest that such strategies become entirely obsolete, but rather that market conditions necessitate adaptability. Realigning a strategy to suit evolving market dynamics demands time—a commodity not readily available in the fast-paced world of trading. This adjustment period could extend over several weeks or even months. Consequently, anticipating profits on a daily, weekly, or even monthly basis proves unrealistic. Success in trading hinges upon one's ability to capitalize on market opportunities as they arise, accepting the yields bestowed by the market, and refraining from unrealistic expectations of consistent returns. You're always studying the markets Continuous learning is indispensable for success in trading. Reflecting on my own journey, I initially gravitated towards indicators and price action trading, convinced that these tools alone would suffice for profitability. However, this mindset hindered my progress, as I neglected broader market perspectives. Recognizing the limitations of my approach, I embarked on a journey of exploration. I delved into the practices of accomplished traders, discovering diverse strategies such as trend trading, system trading, and mean reversion trading. Today, my repertoire encompasses multiple trading strategies across various markets. This diversified approach has engendered a more consistent capital curve, enhancing my overall returns. The pivotal lesson gleaned from this experience is clear: achieving profitability in trading does not signify the culmination of one's learning curve. On the contrary, ongoing education and exploration of the markets remain imperative for sustained success. How do you become a successful trader when all the odds are against you? Embrace Existing Solutions: Attempting to forge your own path in trading can prove both time-consuming and costly. Instead, seek out established trading algorithms equipped with tested and proven trading rules. Consider investing in algorithms like mine, which come backed by historical testing results. Maintain Financial Stability: Relying solely on trading for income places undue psychological pressure on yourself. The imperative to generate monthly income often leads to hasty and ill-advised trading decisions. Many seasoned traders, therefore, diversify their income streams. For instance, some engage in mentorship or operate hedge funds that levy management fees irrespective of market performance. By securing a stable income through alternate means, you can focus on trading without financial anxiety. Harness the Power of Compound Growth: Albert Einstein hailed compound interest as the eighth wonder of the world. Yet, I propose introducing you to the ninth wonder: the regular infusion of funds to augment profits. Consider this scenario: with an initial $5,000 investment earning an average annual return of 20%, you would amass $191,688 over 20 years. However, by adding an additional $5,000 to your account annually and compounding profits, your total would skyrocket to $1,311,816 over the same period. Witness the transformative potential of consistent contributions and compounding gains.
Education
by truepersonal
3
Liquidity as the Key to understanding the MarketLiquidity in the market is a key factor in price movement especially in the cryptocurrency market. Understanding how and where liquidity appears is fundamental to being able to determine the future price movement of an asset. Liquidity: I would like to start by showing what liquidity is and how it can be detected. In our case, liquidity is the accumulation of buy or sell orders, and the more of them there are, the greater the opportunity to turn a currency into an asset and vice versa. According to technical analysis, an asset has so-called price levels from which further downward or upward movement occurs. Exactly from these levels on the chart, which are seen by all traders without exception, trades are opened, and stop-losses are set for the nearest minimum or maximum. Thus, liquidity is accumulated behind the levels, which acts as a magnet for the price as it is of great interest for big players to fill their orders. 90 percent of traders' stop losses are very close to each other, therefore, with a significant force of price movement in one direction and subsequent interaction with the level of support or resistance, positions are liquidated and a sharp purchase or sale of an asset at stop losses occurs. Please pay attention to the main point. Liquidity is a tool for price movement used by big players. Always keep this in mind. Gap: A gap is a result of low liquidity in the market and a high trading volume of the stock. Gaps are important for technical analysis because they signal shifts in the supply and demand equilibrium. Major gaps indicate a substantial imbalance between buyers and sellers, causing a swift repricing. It is always important to remember that gaps are visible to every market participant and many people when a gap appears start opening trades directed towards its filling thus provoking the emergence of liquidity. In turn, this can lead the price in the opposite direction to the one where the gap is located in order to liquidate recently opened positions of cunning traders. But as a rule, the price eventually comes to the gap and fills it partially or completely removing inefficient pricing. You can think of it as a magnet for price. Fair Volume Gap: FVG (Fair Volume Gap) has the same meaning as a gap (i.e. a magnet for price) but not all traders are focused on this kind of inefficient pricing. In this case it is also significant that according to the common technical analysis the level of 0.5 major candles is used as a strong level of support and resistance and therefore liquidity will be near these levels. Thus FVG filling is achieved also at the expense of ordinary traders buying or selling from these levels. Luquidity pools: It is also worth mentioning the so-called liquidity pools. These are often staggered liquidity clasters combined with zones of inefficient pricing, which together lead to very significant and rapid price movements. Let's look at the essence of this by the example of how a sharp upward growth occurs. Gradually, a major player moves the price down, leaving liquidity on top and not touching it at all, since we will still need it. When long positions are sufficiently liquidated, we can start collecting liquidity from above. And since this liquidity has not been affected at all, sharp liquidation of short positions level by level occurs. It is worth noting the significant impact of inefficient pricing zones through which the asset, as if accelerating faster, reaches clusters of liquidations and, accordingly, a very rapid growth of the asset occurs. These are the basics that I hope will help you improve your trading. I plan to continue developing the topics of liquidity, pricing and the principles of determining price movements. What do you think about it?
Education
by glazirovaniysirok
101
Double Top & Double Bottom (EDU)💡Hello, today I would like to introduce you (although I'm sure many of you are familiar) with such technical analysis patterns as double bottom and double top! They are often encountered in the cryptocurrency market: both in Bitcoin and in various altcoins. Trading double tops and double bottoms is a commonly employed strategy in technical analysis by traders aiming to identify potential points of trend reversal in financial markets. Here's a guide on how to execute trades based on these patterns: 🧐Recognize the Double Top and Double Bottom Patterns: 🔺Double Top: This formation occurs following an uptrend and features two peaks around the same price level, separated by a trough. It suggests a potential weakening of the uptrend. 🔻Double Bottom: This pattern develops after a downtrend and includes two troughs around the same price level, separated by a peak. It indicates a possible weakening of the downtrend. 🔹Confirm the Pattern: Seek confirmation of the pattern through other technical indicators like volume, trendlines, and oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD). Additional signals can enhance the reliability of the pattern. 🔸Entry and Exit Strategies: Entry: For a double top pattern, consider entering a short (sell) position when the price breaks below the trough between the two peaks. For a double bottom pattern, consider entering a long (buy) position when the price breaks above the peak between the two troughs. 🔴Stop-Loss: Always set a stop-loss order to mitigate potential losses. Place it above the double top (for short positions) or below the double bottom (for long positions) to safeguard your trade. 🟢Take Profit: Determine your profit target considering factors such as the depth of the pattern and overall market conditions. Support and resistance levels or Fibonacci retracement levels can serve as potential profit targets. ▪️Risk Management: Employ proper risk management techniques, such as position sizing, to safeguard your capital. Avoid risking more than a small percentage of your trading capital on a single trade. ⚫️Timeframe Considerations: Double top and double bottom patterns can manifest across various timeframes. Shorter timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour) may present more opportunities but are also prone to false signals. Longer timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly) may offer more reliable signals but fewer trading opportunities. ❌Watch for False Breakouts: Be vigilant for false breakouts where the price briefly breaches the pattern's neckline (the level between the two peaks or troughs) before reversing. False breakouts can occur, so closely monitor price action. 🧐Practice and Analysis: Backtest the double top and double bottom patterns on historical data to build confidence in your trading strategy. Continuously analyze your trades and adjust your strategy as necessary. 🤓Combine with Other Indicators: Consider integrating other technical indicators like moving averages, Bollinger Bands, or Fibonacci retracements with double tops and double bottoms to enhance your trading approach. Remember, no trading strategy guarantees success, and there are inherent risks in trading financial markets. It's crucial to have a well-defined trading plan, manage risk effectively, and maintain discipline to achieve success. Additionally, seek advice from experienced traders or financial professionals before implementing any trading strategy. Do You often encounter double bottom or double top patterns on charts? Write in the comments!🫶 I'll be glad to see Your feedback! If You have any questions, feel free to write them in the comments. Thanks for Your attention, subscribe to stay connected!💙💛 Sincerely yours, Kateryna💋
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
3
NITIN SPINNINER DAILY TIME FRAME The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support..... Tradelikemee Academy Sanjay K G
NSE:NITINSPINLong
by Tradelikemee
Trading Game. How they manipulate with priceImagine You buy a stock or business, that You think was undervalued based on the "circumstances" and that you think has great value. You bought this at 1$, during 2020 November alongside with the oil rally. Nobody knows the price. Everyone has a price target... Imagine my price target was 7$ - based on the previous highs. Chances are everyone will look at it the same way and adjust the price based on some context. Under price momentum, there was buyers and sellers and stock rise to 3$..4$..5$ etc... If everyone use 7$ for guidance - most likely everyone be selling their shares at 5$. If I wanted you to sell higher I would shout 10$. If I wanted you to sell lower I would shout 0.50$. People would adjust their targets and nobody knows exactly how much something is worth. That's what the institutions do with their public price targets. It works like a poker game. The closer price got to 5$ -> more risk you took by buying or holding it. If I had a ton of bitcoins, I would shout $200k price. and sell it when it's strong. etc. Then cause panic - to get cheaper prices. #101
NYSE:RIGLong
by citsvar
13
Let's Talk Liquidity! ⚒️At first, Liquidity may seem like an abstract and confusing concept reserved for only those Finance nerds and geeks to tackle. Turns out it's really not too sophisticated after all and can be though of in terms of Fomo. Fomo if you are not aware already is simply a concept related to chasing the market because of a Fear of missing out. Any action out of fear is typically not the best choice. In trading, this is especially true. Liquidity is what the market needs prior to a big move. Liquidity doesn't necessarily mean that the market needs to pin an extreme low or high from the previous session. Liquidity is also gathered when the market ranges/consolidates for awhile. If you go back and backtest, you will observe that preceding a large move, the market usually consolidates first. Liquidity also dries up during Asian session. You can observe that the volatility is much smaller than London/Ny session as the market moves alot less # of pips. Liquidity dries up prior to news annoucnemnts becuase of uncertainty obviously. This is the very reason why the market moves so much during news is because of lower participation from larger market participants, therefore an increased chance of wild and random price movements. This is explained more in depth in this concept video, Let's talk Liquidity.
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
It Index looks delicately poised. (Educational Post)For last few weeks we have been looking at indices. By the study of a particular index we then try to determine about investing in components of that index or the stocks that from that particular index. In the series we will today have a look at IT Index. IT Index is looking very interestingly poised currently. There is a Doji of indecision formed. As of now the bias of this Doji or shadow of the candle looks a little positive. If the index can give a closing above 37345, there is a chance that there can be an upside upto 37892, 38279 or even 38594. In case the levels of 36711 or 36098 are broken there could be drastic fall in the stocks which form this index as the potential fall can lead index to the levels of 35675, 35094 or 34287. Keeping this information in mind you can look at individual charts of stocks like TCS, Tech Mahindra, Wipro, LTTS, Persistent, Infosys, Coforge, Mphasis, HCL Tech, LTIM. For understanding which companies to invest in amongst the bunch of IT pack leaders you will have to study Technicals and Fundamentals of each of the company individually. Thus through various models you can try to determine tops of current rally or trend. You can reverse the process and try find of the probable bottom in case of downturn. Trend lines / Peaks / Valleys and Fibonacci levels will also give you probable supports and resistances in the path. You can become an expert by studying and drawing and reading charts every day. The more you practice the better accuracy you can achieve. Disclaimer: Investment in stocks and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NSE:CNXIT
by Happy_Candles_Investment
A Basic Guide to Trading a Balanced Volume ProfileBasic Principles of Trading a Balanced Node Rule 1: Unless the price breaks and holds Value High or Value Low we should expect buyers and sellers to maintain the current balance. Rule 2: If we break and re-bid from Period Value High we should treat that level as supportive until it is reclaimed ( buy-side acceptance outside of balance) Rule 3: If we break and push away from Period Value Low we should treat that level as resistance on retest until it is reclaimed (sell-side acceptance outside of balance) Rule 4: If we recover Value Low and it becomes supportive we look for our Period POC and Period Value High as our targets above ( return to balance) Rule 5: If we fail to hold Period Value High and sellers make it resistance on re-offer we look for our Period POC and Period Value Low as targets (return to balance) Balance between Value Low and Value High will remain between buyers & sellers until we see a value shift and acceptance above/below on one of our "edges". Utilizing these rules we can look for opportunities around our Value Edges and have a better understanding how to trade around them.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TheFinancialCloud
What Stopped the recovery of Bank Nifty? (Educational Post)How to read a chart and make one is an art which one can master by practicing, understanding the patterns and applying logic in addition to reasoning. Today we will try to master this art with the help of below chart of Bank Nifty. Let us analyze it togther. After reading each paragraph try to look at the chart again for understanding it better. Look at the chart of Bank nifty above. As you can see in the chart Bank Nifty is moving in a parallel channel like a canal since more than 1 year and 3 months or so. After making a high above 48.6K Bank Nifty formed a bottom near 44833 which was a 200 days EMA support, Bank Nifty consolidated and then started surging ahead. Now something happened on Wednesday which hampered the progress. The progress was stopped by the trendline resistance indicated by the blue line. Facing the heat of the resistance Bank Nifty plunged down only to be supported by support zone between 46219 and 46418. This support zone as you can see in the chart consist ot bottoms and tops of few candles ranging from 4th December 2023 to 20th February 2024 and 50 days EMA which is currently at 46219. This can be the future support zone in case Nifty does not recover from this level. Again after taking this support Nifty tried to surge ahead again but was again stopped by the same trend line which cam to effect on Wednesday. Start of this trend line can be seen on the candle of 16th January. This is how Technical analysis works. Can we predict future of Bank Nifty with the help of this chart? Predicting future moves is always risky and is full of assumptions but what we can see here indicates that crossing the resistance zone of 47091 (Trendline resistance) and High of Wednesday 47352 will be a tough task for Bank Nifty. But if Bank Nifty crosses this zone the next levels/ resistances will be near 47670 or 47906. Crossing and closing above 47906 the Nifty can reach the next resistance levels of 48303 or 48595. This is how you can analyse a chart. By applying logic you will gain experience. By applying experience and reasoning you will gain wisdom. Wisdom will help you in chartering your path through the maze of Wealth creation. Charts are nothing but mathematical representation of how investors/speculators behave at particular levels and in particular zones. With the help of charts you can understand paths, patterns and future and past directions of how markets/indices/stocks behave. If you become an expert by watching/drawing 100 charts every day, you can even predict future levels of markets/indices/stocks.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Beware of Crypto scams- Rug PullsWith the crypto market on a strong run since October of last year and with many dreamers hoping for 100x or even 1000x returns, we must be extremely cautious of scammers. In this article, I will explain one of the most common types of scams: Rug Pulls. The term "rug pull" in the cryptocurrency industry refers to the moment when the founding team abruptly abandons the project and sells or removes all liquidity. The term originates from the phrase "pulling the rug out from under someone," meaning the unexpected withdrawal of support. In 2021 alone, during the previous bull market, rug pulls were responsible for losses of approximately $2.8 billion, a figure close to historical highs and an 81% increase compared to 2020, according to a report by Chainalysis. The cryptocurrency market is susceptible to such scams due to the lack of regulations from central authorities. Unlike traditional companies subject to strict government control, the decentralized nature of the crypto space allows for complete control by private entities. This makes it vulnerable to exploitation by these entities. Types of rug pulls: Liquidity Theft: Liquidity theft is the most common type of rug pull. It involves a developer listing an altcoin on a decentralized exchange (DEX) where it can be traded with a top currency like Ethereum (ETH). To enable trading, the developer must create a liquidity pool. The team generates hype around the new project and attracts investors. As more investors join the project, the coin's price rises, attracting others who believe the project is a viable opportunity. As the coin increases in value, the developer withdraws all ETH from the liquidity pool at some point, leaving investors in the pool with no way to exchange their now-worthless tokens. Technical Manipulation: Some developers intentionally design tokens with the aim of deceiving investors. Therefore, they will include specific lines of code to limit the ability of retail investors to sell, thereby controlling both demand and supply. Of course, they are the only ones capable of selling, and when the price has appreciated sufficiently, they will sell all the tokens they hold. Dumping: This means that developers or promoters who hold a large percentage of the total coins sell off their entire holdings. As new entities invest in the new cryptocurrency, they exchange their valuable cryptocurrencies such as BTC or ETH for the new cryptocurrency. As a result, when the price increases significantly, developers sell off all their tokens, causing the price of the cryptocurrency to plummet. How to Protect Your Investments from Potential Rug Pulls? Lack of a Website: Not all projects start with a website, but many that intend to exist for a long time do. If the developers of the token you want to invest in don't have a personalized domain for their project, this is a clear warning to stay away. There are also fraudulent projects that have websites claiming to be under construction or launching soon. Check the White Paper: This is an excellent way to learn about the plans of the project you want to invest in. Check for the existence of such a document, as well as any discrepancies between the white paper and the website. ALSO, VERIFY IF THE TEAM IS AVAILABLE TO PROVIDE INFORMATION ON PLATFORMS SUCH AS REDDIT OR TELEGRAM. If a developer cannot answer basic questions about their project, this raises major red flags. Anonymous Developers: While the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the developer of Bitcoin, is not known for certain, the fact that a project you want to invest in has anonymous developers should raise concerns. If the developers of a cryptocurrency or DeFi project choose not to associate their names with it and remain in the shadows, they may have reasons for doing so, and it's best to avoid such a project. Low Liquidity: Low liquidity of a cryptocurrency means that it is difficult to convert it into fiat currency; therefore, the lower the liquidity, the easier it is for developers to manipulate the price. The best way to check the liquidity of a cryptocurrency is to analyze its trading volume over the past 24 hours. A general rule used by experienced investors is that the trading volume should be more than 10% of the coin's market capitalization. Locked Liquidity: To provide trust and enhance the public perception of their legitimacy, developers of serious projects will relinquish control over the liquidity pool by locking it in the blockchain often with a trusted third party. This process is called locked liquidity and prevents developers from trading with tokens from the pool, thereby making it impossible for them to steal or dramatically reduce liquidity. If liquidity is not locked, then nothing prevents developers from withdrawing their funds. Low Total Locked Value (TLV): TLV is another reliable measure to verify the legitimacy of a project. This term refers to the total amount invested in a particular project. Serious projects have a TLV of hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars, while newly emerging projects with only tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars in TLV should definitely be avoided. Token Distribution: Checking the token distribution of a project on Etherscan or Binance Smart Chain explorer will show who holds the largest amount of tokens and how they are distributed. If a single wallet or two hold more than 5% of the total available, there is a risk that the price may be manipulated. The Project lacks an Audit Report: The most notable projects will have independent audit reports in the fields of security and financial transparency, guaranteeing their authenticity. A project without an audit report is not necessarily fraudulent, but it means that you should research the project in detail before investing in it. Losing investments through a rug pull is a common phenomenon; therefore, before investing in a project, it is wise to analyze the project, developers, liquidity, and also the developers' activity on social media platforms. Additionally, you can opt to use online tools that can detect a potential rug pull. One of these tools is Token Sniffer. This site lists all the latest hacks and scam coins. Rug Doctor is another useful tool for detecting rug pulls. The site analyzes the code of crypto projects, attempting to identify the most common rug pull strategies. Stay safe and good luck! Mihai Iacob
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
22
Mastering the 70/30 RSI Trading Strategy - Plus Divergences!Mastering the 70/30 RSI Trading Strategy: A Comprehensive Guide The 70/30 RSI technique stands out as a popular and effective method for making informed decisions in the financial markets. Leveraging the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, this strategy empowers traders to navigate the complexities of buying and selling various financial instruments, from stocks to currencies. In this article, we delve into the intricacies of the 70/30 RSI trading strategy, exploring its fundamentals and practical application in forex trading. Understanding the 70/30 RSI Trading Strategy: Developed by renowned technical analyst J. Welles Wilder, the RSI indicator serves as a powerful tool for evaluating market strength and identifying overbought and oversold conditions. With a range from 0 to 100, the RSI provides traders with crucial insights into market dynamics, enabling them to make timely trading decisions. At the heart of the 70/30 RSI strategy lies the establishment of two key threshold levels on the RSI indicator: 70 for overbought conditions and 30 for oversold conditions. These thresholds serve as crucial markers for generating buy or sell signals, offering traders valuable guidance in navigating market trends. ⭐️ Adding and Setting Up the RSI Indicator on Your Chart: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator is a freely available tool accessible within your TradingView Platform, irrespective of your subscription plan. Whether you're using a Free membership or one of the Premium plans, you can easily find and add this indicator to your charts. Below, I'll guide you through the process of adding and customizing the RSI indicator on your platform with the help of the following images. To begin adding the RSI indicator to your chart:👇 You can also customize the colors to your preference, just like I did by selecting your favorite ones.👇 Now, let's delve into what the RSI indicator is and how to interpret it. Interpreting RSI Signals: In essence, an RSI reading of 30 or lower signals an oversold market, suggesting that the prevailing downtrend may be ripe for reversal, presenting an opportunity to buy. Conversely, a reading of 70 or higher indicates overbought conditions, implying that the ongoing uptrend may be nearing exhaustion, presenting an opportunity to sell. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) Explained: As a momentum indicator, the RSI measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes, providing traders with insights into whether a security is overvalued or undervalued. Displayed as an oscillator on a scale of zero to 100, the RSI not only identifies overbought and oversold conditions but also highlights potential trend reversals or corrective pullbacks in a security's price. Practical Application of the RSI Strategy: Traders employing the 70/30 RSI strategy must exercise caution, as sudden and sharp price movements can lead to false signals. While RSI readings of 70 or above indicate overbought conditions and readings of 30 or less indicate oversold conditions, traders must consider additional factors and use other technical indicators to validate signals and avoid premature trades. Let's examine a few examples. Example No. 1: EUR/USD Daily Timeframe On the EUR/USD daily timeframe, we observed an overbought condition indicated by the RSI rising above the 70 level. This signaled a potential reversal in price direction. Subsequently, the price indeed reversed, confirming the overbought scenario. It's crucial to emphasize that while scenarios above the 70 RSI level or below the 30 RSI level suggest potential reversals in price, it's essential to complement your analysis with additional filters. These may include consideration of the economic environment, effective risk management strategies, and identification of triggers or patterns before initiating a trade. Below, I'll illustrate a potential trigger that aligns with the RSI 70/30 strategy: the crossover of the RSI line with the RSI-based moving average (MA). Example No. 2: In this example, the RSI strategy proved effective as we observed the price falling below the 30 level, indicating potential oversold conditions and a forthcoming reversal from the market's potential bottom. Additionally, in the image below, you'll notice the introduction of white lines, known as "divergences." I'll provide a clearer explanation of divergences in the next example. Example No. 3: In this example, denoted as circle N.3, we encounter another instance of the RSI reaching the 70 level, indicating an overbought condition. Once again, the strategy proves effective, but this time, we notice a shallower reversal compared to the previous two examples. Following this reversal, the price experiences growth, presenting a new opportunity for traders with a subsequent higher high. However, unlike before, this high does not breach the 70 RSI level, resulting in a deeper reversal. This scenario exemplifies a "divergence." But what exactly is divergence trading? Divergence trading revolves around the concept of higher highs and lower lows. When the price achieves higher highs, you would expect the oscillator (in this case, the RSI) to also record higher highs. Conversely, if the price makes lower lows, you anticipate the oscillator to follow suit, registering lower lows as well. When they fail to synchronize, with the price and the oscillator moving in opposite directions, divergence occurs, hence the term "divergence trading." I'm confident that the previous three examples were well explained to help you understand the 70/30 RSI strategy, along with the MA moving average trigger and the relative divergence strategy. Please share your thoughts in the comment section below. Key Considerations and Limitations: While the 70/30 RSI strategy offers valuable insights into market dynamics, traders must remain mindful of its limitations. True reversal signals can be rare and challenging to identify, necessitating a comprehensive approach that incorporates other technical indicators and aligns with the long-term trend. In Conclusion: The 70/30 RSI trading strategy represents a powerful framework for navigating the complexities of the financial markets. By leveraging the insights provided by the RSI indicator, traders can make well-informed decisions, identify lucrative trading opportunities, and optimize their trading strategies for success in various market conditions.
Education
by FOREXN1
15
Setups, Planning and RISK: How to MANAGE your RISK vs REWARD📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio " We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite , but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3 , or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy , which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. A little bit more in-depth explanation on Dollar-Cost-Averaging here: And Finally, the last tool I'll give away today is an absolute MUST for all traders . Here's how to successfully set-up your own portfolio ratios: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
Common Mistakes Traders Make When Placing Stop Loss OrdersLet’s discuss the four major mistakes traders often make when implementing stop losses. 😔 We consistently emphasize the importance of proper risk management, as using stop losses incorrectly can result in more losses than gains. And surely, that's not what you desire, right? 💰 Setting Stops Too Narrowly The initial and frequent error is setting stops too tightly. 🤦‍♂️ By placing extremely close stops on trades, there's insufficient "breathing space" for price fluctuations before it moves in your desired direction. Always consider the pair’s volatility and the likelihood of it lingering around your entry point before continuing its trend. 😌 Allow your trades ample room to fluctuate and factor in volatility! 📈 Reliance on Position Size Rather Than Technical Analysis Using position size as the primary determinant for stops, such as "X" or " NYSE:X amount," instead of relying on technical analysis, is ill-advised. 🚫 Position sizing shouldn't dictate stop placement; it's unrelated to market behavior. Since we're trading the market based on technical analysis, it's logical to set stops based on market dynamics. 📊 After all, you've chosen your entry and targets through technical analysis; similarly, determine your stop. This isn't to dismiss position size entirely. 🤔 Rather, decide on stop placement before calculating position size. Setting Stops Too Distantly Some traders err by placing stops excessively far, hoping that market movements will eventually align with their expectations. 😞 But what's the purpose of setting stops then? Why persist with a losing trade when reallocating those funds could lead to a more profitable opportunity? 💡 Setting stops too far increases the distance your trade needs to move favorably to justify the risk. As a rule of thumb, stops should be closer to entry points than profit targets. 🎯 Naturally, aiming for less risk and greater reward is preferable. With a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, like 2:1, profitability is more attainable, provided you're accurate in your trades at least half the time. 📈💰 Placing Stops Directly on Support or Resistance Levels Setting stops either too tight or too distant is counterproductive. So, where should stops be placed? Certainly not directly on support or resistance levels. Why not? 🤔 Despite advocating for technical analysis in determining stops, placing stops precisely on support or resistance levels isn't advisable. It's prudent to consider nearby support and resistance levels when setting stops. 📉 For long positions, identify a nearby support level beneath your entry and place your stop accordingly. Conversely, for short positions, identify the subsequent resistance level above your entry and position your stop nearby. Why avoid placing stops directly on support or resistance levels? Because there's still a possibility of price reversals upon reaching these levels. By positioning your stop slightly beyond these levels, you can confirm whether the support or resistance has been breached, allowing you to acknowledge any misjudgments in your trade idea. 🔄 In conclusion, mastering the art of setting stop losses is crucial for successful trading. By avoiding these common mistakes and adhering to sound risk management principles, traders can enhance their profitability and minimize losses. Remember to give your trades adequate breathing room, base stop placements on technical analysis rather than position size alone, avoid setting stops too far or too close, and refrain from placing stops directly on support or resistance levels. With diligence and discipline, traders can navigate the markets more effectively and increase their chances of achieving consistent success. 🚀 In the fast-paced world of trading, making informed decisions is paramount. By understanding the nuances of stop loss placement and steering clear of these pitfalls, traders can position themselves for long-term success in the financial markets. So, take heed of these insights, refine your trading strategies, and approach the markets with confidence and precision. Happy trading! 😊📈🎉 Your Kateryna💙💛
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
2