The Truth About 2nd Retests in Forex, Stocks, and Crypto"Structure protects the trader from their own emotions."
This post is for those traders out there who have been second-guessing themselves when the market pulls back. If you're noticing second retests more frequently in Forex compared to stocks and crypto, you're not imagining things. Let me break it down from experience and research.
🔄 2nd Retests: What Are They?
The "2nd retest" refers to when price:
Breaks through a key level
Pulls back to that level
Then comes back again to retest that zone before the real trend unfolds
💱 Forex: Where Retests Move Fast
Forex has high liquidity and volume. When a level is broken, you often get a quick pullback, then a second retest -- sometimes in the same session. It's common to catch a good entry, see profit, then watch price reverse, hit the zone again, and consolidate with a W or M formation.
This is where most traders start to doubt themselves.
But if you're reading structure and candles properly, you're not wrong -- you're just early.
Remember: Forex is designed to shake you out with speed.
📊 Stocks: Slower and Sentiment-Driven
Stocks don’t move like Forex. They’re based more on fundamentals, earnings, and market sentiment.
2nd retests happen, but they play out over days or weeks
You often see consolidation ranges instead of clean pullback entries
That means unless you’re patient or watching higher time frames, you’ll miss it or get caught in sideways chop.
💿 Crypto: The Middle Ground
Crypto behaves like Forex, but slower. Patterns like W and M retests still appear – but it takes more time. The liquidity isn’t as deep, and reactions are more volatile.
You need strong discipline
You need to trust your zones
Don’t expect instant gratification
🧠 My Strategy: Multi-Timeframe Surfing
I personally surf between multiple timeframes to track how the candle looks and behaves:
Lower timeframes = Reaction + Entry Zones
Higher timeframes = Intent + Trend Bias
When I catch the first breakout and get into profit, I don’t panic if the 2nd retest comes.
I look for structure -- not emotion.
If you're unaware of the candle you're trading on, you'll always feel lost in the retracement.
So instead of jumping ship, I wait. I watch the new candle form. I know where I'm at in the story. That's what keeps me in the trade and out of my feelings.
🔹 Final Takeaway:
Whether you're trading Forex, Crypto, or Stocks — the market always leaves clues.
But you need:
A solid grasp of structure
Understanding of candle behavior
Patience to let the 2nd retest show its true intent
Stay sharp. Stay grounded. Trust the chart — not the chatter.
Let me know your thoughts below. How often do YOU see these 2nd retests in your trading?
Educationalposts
12 Tips Every New Forex Trader Should Know!New to Forex? These 12 tips will save you months of frustration.
Forex trading can be overwhelming in the beginning, but it doesn’t have to be. Whether you're just starting out or still finding your feet, these tips are designed to help you avoid common mistakes and fast-track your learning curve.
✅ Save this post
✅ Follow for more Forex insights
✅ Drop a comment with your biggest struggle as a beginner, I might turn it into the next tip!
Let’s grow together. 📈💪
There's a Time to Trade and a Time to Watch Lately, the market has been in chaos – indices are dropping like there’s no tomorrow, and when it comes to Gold, what used to be a normal fluctuation of 100 pips has now turned into a 500-pip swing. In such a volatile environment, many traders feel compelled to be constantly active, believing that more trades mean more profit. But the truth is, there’s a time to trade and a time to watch.
Conservation of Capital is Essential 💰
The best traders understand that their capital is their lifeline. It’s not about making trades; it’s about making the right trades.
The market doesn’t reward effort; it rewards patience and precision.
Instead of jumping into mediocre setups, learn to appreciate the value of patience .
Every time you enter a trade that doesn’t meet your criteria, you risk your capital unnecessarily. And every loss chips away at your ability to capitalize on the real opportunities when they come. Capital preservation should be your priority.
Focus Only on A+ Signals 📌
Not every setup is worth your time and money. The goal should be to only enter positions that offer a clear edge – signals that you’ve identified as high-probability opportunities through your experience and strategy.
A + setups are those that offer:
• A clear technical pattern or setup you've mastered.
• A favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ideally 3:1 or better.
• Alignment with your overall strategy and market context.
If these criteria aren't met, it’s often better to do nothing. Waiting for the right setup and market conditions is part of the game.
The Power of Doing Nothing 🤫
Inaction is a skill. It requires discipline to avoid the urge to "force" trades. But the market will always be there tomorrow , and so will the opportunities.
By learning to watch rather than trade during uncertain or suboptimal conditions, you avoid unnecessary losses and conserve your capital for when the market truly presents an edge.
Conclusion 🚀
Trading is about quality, not quantity. Respect your capital and recognize that sometimes, the smartest move is to wait. Let the market be clear.
Remember, there’s a time to trade and a time to watch. Master this balance, and you’ll be miles ahead of most traders.
Tariffs Didn’t Cause the Correction — It Was Coming Anyway🚩 Intro: Markets Correct — They Don’t Need Permission
Every time the market drops hard, the headlines rush in to explain it. This time, it was President Trump’s dramatic tariff announcement on April 2nd. The media called it a shock.
I didn’t.
I’ve been calling for S&P 500 to drop to 5,200, and NASDAQ-100 to 17,500, since early January.
Not because I predicted tariffs. But because the charts told the story.
The market didn’t fall because of politics — it fell because it had to.
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🔥 The Spark: Trump’s “Liberation Day” Tariffs
On April 2, 2025, Trump rolled out an aggressive trade agenda:
• 10% blanket tariff on all imports
• Up to 54% tariffs on Chinese goods
• 25% tariffs on imported cars and parts
• With limited exemptions for USMCA-aligned countries
Markets reacted instantly:
• S&P 500 dropped 4.8% — worst day since 2020
• NASDAQ-100 plunged over 6%
• Tech mega caps lost 5–14% in a day
Sounds like cause and effect, right?
Wrong.
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🧠 The Real Cause: A Market That Was Ready to Fall
Let’s talk technicals:
• S&P 500 had printed a textbook double top at the 6100–6150 zone
• NASDAQ-100 had formed a rising wedge, with volume divergence and momentum fading
• RSI divergence was in place since February
• MACD had crossed bearish and also deverging
• Breadth was weakening while indices were still pushing highs
• Sentiment was euphoric, volatility crushed — a classic setup
You didn’t need to guess the news. The structure was screaming reversal.
SP500 CHART:
NASDAQ CHART:
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🧩 Why Tariffs Made a Convenient Narrative
Markets love clean stories. And Trump’s tariffs offered everything:
• Emotional trigger
• Economic fear factor
• Political drama
• Global implications
But smart traders know better: markets correct based on positioning, not politics.
As soon as the wedge broke on NAS100 and SPX broke the double top's neck line the path was clear — risk off.
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📉 I Was Calling This Since Q1
The targets were public:
SPX = 5,200. NAS100 = 17,500.
And the logic was simple:
• Overextension in AI-led tech
• Complacent VIX environment
• Crowded long positioning
• Bearish divergences and fading momentum
Double Top and Rising Wedge on SPX and Nas100
We didn’t need a reason to drop. The market had been levitating without support. All we needed was a trigger — and we got one.
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🧭 Lesson: Trade the Structure, Not the Story
Here’s what I hope you take away:
✅ Setups come first. News comes later.
✅ If it wasn’t tariffs, it would’ve been CPI, earnings, Fed minutes, or a bird on a wire
✅ Don’t chase headlines. Anticipate setups.
The best trades aren’t reactive. They’re built on structure, sentiment, and timing — not waiting for CNBC to tell them what’s happening.
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🔚 Conclusion: It Was Never About Tariffs
Tariffs were the match.
But the market was already soaked in gasoline.
This correction was technical, predictable, and clean.
📝 Post Scriptum — The Setup Shapes the Narrative
Let me be clear:
I’m not a Trump fan. Hoho — not by far.
But I’ll swear this on any chart:
If the setup had been the opposite — double bottom, falling wedge, positive divergences, and improving momentum — these exact same tariffs would’ve been interpreted as “bold leadership,” “pro-growth protectionism,” or “markets pricing in a stronger America.”
That’s how it works.
Price action leads. Narrative follows.
When structure is bullish, traders celebrate even bad news.
When structure is bearish, even good news becomes a reason to sell.
So no — it wasn’t about Trump. It never is. It’s about where the market wants to go. The rest is storytelling.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
FXAN & Heikin Ashi TradeOANDA:AUDCHF
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of AUDCHF, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
Understanding Market Downturns: How to Navigate the StormLately, the markets have been in a downtrend, leaving many traders and investors wondering what comes next. Whether it’s stocks, crypto, or other financial assets, downturns are an inevitable part of the game. While they can be unsettling, they also present opportunities—if you know how to navigate them.
Market declines happen for many reasons: economic slowdowns, geopolitical tensions, changes in interest rates, or even shifts in investor sentiment. Regardless of the cause, understanding the different types of market downturns, their impact, and the right strategies to handle them is key to making informed decisions.
So, let’s break down market downturns, how they unfold, and what you can do to stay ahead.
📊 DOWNTURN #1: Down -2% — A Ripple of Volatility
A -2% drop is like a minor speed bump—annoying but not alarming. These small dips are common and often part of natural market fluctuations.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Typically short-lived and often recovers quickly.
• Can be triggered by minor news events, investor sentiment shifts, or profit-taking.
• Provides opportunities to enter positions at a slightly better price.
💡 Strategy:
• If you're a long-term investor, ignore these small movements. They are normal.
• If you're a trader, these dips can be buying opportunities in an uptrend.
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🔄 DOWNTURN #2: Down -5% — The Pullback Perspective
A 5% decline is often called a pullback—a temporary market retreat within an ongoing trend.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Pullbacks often occur after strong rallies as the market cools off.
• Typically seen as healthy corrections in an overall uptrend.
• Not necessarily a signal of long-term weakness.
💡 Strategy:
• Long-term investors should hold steady and potentially add to positions.
• Swing traders may look for a bounce at key support levels (moving averages, previous highs/lows).
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🛑 DOWNTURN #3: Down -10% — Entering Correction Territory
When a market drops 10% from its recent high, it officially enters correction territory.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Often caused by changes in economic outlook, inflation concerns, or major geopolitical events.
• Moving averages may start crossing downward, signaling caution.
• Momentum shifts, and bearish traders begin to take control.
💡 Strategy:
• If you’re a long-term investor, consider rebalancing your portfolio or hedging with defensive assets.
• Traders may look for short opportunities or play reversals at support levels.
• Be cautious with leverage—downturns can accelerate quickly.
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🐻 DOWNTURN #4: Down -20% — The Bear Market Looms
A 20% drop or more marks a bear market, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Confidence is shaken; investors turn risk-averse.
• Defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, healthcare) tend to outperform.
• Market psychology shifts from "buying the dip" to "protecting capital."
💡 Strategy:
• Consider defensive positions, hedging strategies, or increasing cash reserves.
• Avoid high-risk assets—stocks with weak fundamentals often fall the hardest.
• If you’re a trader, look for short-selling opportunities or inverse ETFs.
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⚠️ DOWNTURN #5: Down -50% — The Market Crash Crisis
A 50% market decline is rare but catastrophic, often fueled by deep economic crises.
Historical Examples:
• 2008 Financial Crisis: Banks collapsed, and global markets fell over 50%.
• Dot-Com Bubble (2000): Tech stocks crashed after unsustainable hype.
• Oil Crisis (1973-74): Economic stagnation and inflation led to severe losses.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Panic selling dominates the market.
• Fear-driven liquidation leads to extreme undervaluation.
• Long-term recovery often follows—but timing is uncertain.
💡 Strategy:
• If you have cash reserves, these moments present once-in-a-decade buying opportunities (but patience is needed).
• Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can be effective for long-term investors.
• Traders should expect extreme volatility—both to the downside and in sharp relief rallies.
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🌧️ DOWNTURN #6: Prolonged Downside — The Economic Depression
Unlike a crash, a depression is a long-term, sustained downturn that deeply affects the economy.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Prolonged recession, lasting years rather than months.
• Unemployment soars, economic activity collapses.
• Investor confidence remains low for an extended period.
Historical Example: The Great Depression (1930s)
• U.S. unemployment hit 25%.
• Stock markets stayed depressed for a decade.
• Industrial production and wages plummeted.
💡 Strategy:
• Preservation of capital is key—cash, gold, and defensive assets become crucial.
• Income-producing investments (dividend stocks, bonds) provide stability.
• Patience is essential; full recovery can take years.
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🧭 Conclusion: Navigating Market Downturns Like a Pro
Downturns are an inevitable part of investing and trading. While they can be unsettling, being informed and prepared is the key to staying ahead.
✅ Key Takeaways:
• Minor dips (-2% to -5%) are normal and often present opportunities.
• Corrections (-10%) require caution, but markets usually recover.
• Bear markets (-20%) signal broader economic concerns—risk management is crucial.
• Crashes (-50%) are rare but can create massive buying opportunities for long-term investors.
• Depressions are the most severe and require a long-term, defensive approach.
No matter the downturn, the key is to stay calm, adjust your strategy, and use market cycles to your advantage.
With the right approach, you won’t just survive market downturns—you’ll thrive in the long run. 🚀
Starting over in trading- A short guideThe internet has made it easier than ever to learn trading for free. You have access to blogs, videos, books, podcasts, and more. Yet, most traders still fail.
Why?
Because there’s too much information. It’s overwhelming, confusing, and filled with conflicting advice.
So, if I had to start over from scratch, here’s exactly how I’d do it—step by step.
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Step 1: Master Risk Management
No matter what type of trader you become—day trader, swing trader, options trader, quantitative trader, etc.—risk management is the foundation of long-term success.
It’s also one of the easiest things to master, and once you do, it will pay off for the rest of your trading career.
Risk Management Essentials:
✅ Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade.
✅ Always use stop losses to protect your capital.
✅ Focus on risk-to-reward ratios (aim for at least 1:2 or better).
✅ Manage position sizing properly to avoid blowing up your account.
Once you understand how to protect your capital, it’s time to expose yourself to the trading world.
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Step 2: Learn & Explore Different Trading Styles
When you're just starting, you don’t know what you don’t know.
Your goal at this stage is to explore different trading strategies, tools, and methods.
What to Learn:
🔹 Candlestick patterns & price action
🔹 Indicators (moving averages, RSI , MACD , etc.)
🔹 Chart patterns (head & shoulders, triangles, etc.)
🔹 Market structures (support/resistance, trends, ranges)
🔹 Different trading styles (day trading, swing trading, scalping, momentum trading, etc.)
Mindset for This Phase:
🚀 Keep an open mind—don’t judge strategies too early.
🚀 Focus on learning rather than making money right away.
🚀 Accept that not everything will work for you—and that’s okay.
At this stage, your goal is not to become an expert in everything but to discover what resonates with you.
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Step 3: Pick ONE Strategy & Go Deep
After exploring different strategies, you need to commit to ONE.
This eliminates information overload and allows you to focus on mastering a single trading method.
How to Choose a Strategy:
🔹 Does it fit your personality? (e.g., If you hate fast decision-making, avoid scalping.)
🔹 Does it match your lifestyle? (e.g., If you have a full-time job, swing trading might be better than day trading.)
🔹 Can you understand the logic behind it? (A good strategy should be simple, not overly complicated.)
Example: Mean Reversion Strategy in Stocks
• Identify stocks in an uptrend 📈
• Wait for a pullback (price moves lower)
• Enter when the stock shows signs of resuming the trend
• Sell on the next rally
By focusing on one strategy, you eliminate confusion and make faster progress.
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Step 4: Create & Refine Your Trading Plan
Now that you have a strategy, it’s time to turn it into a structured trading plan.
Your trading plan should include:
✅ Market Conditions – When will you trade? Trending or ranging markets?
✅ Entry Rules – What signals will you use to enter a trade?
✅ Exit Rules – When will you take profits or cut losses?
✅ Risk Management – How much will you risk per trade?
💡 Example Trading Plan (Momentum Trading):
• Market: Trade only in strong uptrends.
• Entry: Buy when the price breaks above a key resistance level.
• Exit: Take profit at 2x risk, cut losses at a 1x risk.
• Risk Management: Risk only 1% of the account per trade.
A clear, structured plan removes emotion from trading and keeps you disciplined.
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Step 5: Test Your Strategy (Before Risking Real Money)
You never know if a strategy works until you test it.
How to Test a Trading Strategy:
🔹 Backtesting – Analyze past data to see if the strategy has worked historically.
🔹 Forward Testing (Paper Trading) – Trade in a demo account without real money.
What You’ll Learn from Testing:
✔️ Does the strategy make money over time?
✔️ How often does it win vs. lose?
✔️ How big are the drawdowns?
✔️ Does it match your risk tolerance?
If the strategy performs well in testing, you now have a solid foundation to trade with real money.
If it doesn’t work, tweak and improve it—this is part of the process.
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Final Thoughts: The Key to Long-Term Success
Starting over isn’t about finding the “perfect” system —it’s about following a structured approach.
Here’s the Path to Trading Success:
1️⃣ Master Risk Management – Protect your capital first.
2️⃣ Learn & Explore – Understand different strategies & tools.
3️⃣ Pick ONE Strategy – Focus on a proven method.
4️⃣ Create a Trading Plan – Define your rules clearly.
5️⃣ Test & Improve – Validate your strategy before going live.
🔥 Bonus Tip: Trading success is 80% psychology and 20% strategy. Stay patient, disciplined, and treat trading like a business—not a get-rich-quick scheme.
How to Choose the Right Leverage in Trading: What Metters?One of the most common questions I get from beginner traders is: What leverage should I use ?
And every time, my answer is the same: The leverage offered by the broker is irrelevant. What truly matters is the position size you control in the market.
Understanding Leverage in Trading
Leverage is a tool that allows you to control a larger amount of money in the market than you actually have in your account. Brokers regulated in the U.S., EU, or Australia limit leverage to 1:30, but in other jurisdictions, these restrictions do not apply, and brokers may offer leverage of 1:200 or even higher.
What does this mean? Let’s take a concrete example:
• You have an account with $1,000.
• Your broker offers 1:200 leverage.
• This means you can control $200,000 in the market.
Although this may sound tempting, you must understand that your profit and loss are calculated based on the amount controlled, not your initial capital.
The Real Risk of High Leverage
Let’s assume you open a position using the full leverage available and control $200,000 in the market.
• If the market moves 100 pips against you, your loss is $2,000.
• Your $1,000 account is completely wiped out in just 50 pips of adverse movement.
In other words, high leverage can quickly take you out of the game if you do not manage your risk properly.
How to Trade Safely
If you have an account of $1,000, it is recommended to control much smaller amounts in the market to reduce risk.
A safer approach would be:
• To control $5,000, meaning you open a position of 0.05 lots.
• If you have a higher risk appetite, a maximum of 0.1 lots, which means you control $10,000 in the market.
This way, a 100-pip movement against you will not completely wipe out your account, giving you a better chance to manage risk and learn from experience.
Conclusion
The leverage offered by the broker does not matter; what matters is the position size you open. Set an appropriate risk level for your account and do not be tempted by high leverage offered by brokers. Survival in trading depends on proper risk management, not on how big you can bet on each trade.
US Cash Market Goes 'Flippant'. Understanding Revenge in TradingFirst of all, revenge trading is a destructive pattern of behavior in trading where individuals make impulsive and emotionally-driven decisions in an attempt to recoup previous losses. This practice is not limited to novice traders; even experienced traders can fall prey to it. The primary emotions driving revenge trading include anger, frustration, greed, fear, and shame, which cloud judgment and lead to irrational decision-making.
Causes of Revenge Trading
Emotional Response: Traders often react emotionally to significant losses, feeling compelled to immediately recover their losses without adequate analysis or strategy.
Lack of Discipline: Deviating from established trading plans and risk management principles is common in revenge trading.
Psychological Triggers: Feelings of injustice, anger, or a desire for vengeance against the market can trigger revenge trading.
Consequences of Revenge Trading
Financial Losses: Revenge trading often results in larger losses due to riskier trades and poor timing.
Emotional Burnout: The stress and frustration from repeated losses can lead to emotional exhaustion and decreased trading performance.
Career Impact: Persistent revenge trading can erode confidence and lead to a trader questioning their abilities.
Real-Life Examples of Revenge Trading
Increasing Position Size: A trader experiences a significant loss and decides to double or triple their position size in the next trade, hoping to quickly recover their losses. This action disregards risk management principles and often leads to even greater losses.
Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders: After a loss, a trader might hold onto a losing position longer than planned, hoping it will turn around. This behavior ignores established stop-loss orders and can result in further financial damage.
Chasing Trades: A trader feels compelled to enter trades without proper analysis, driven by the urge to recoup losses quickly. This impulsive behavior can lead to a series of poor trading decisions.
Market Reversal Scenario: A trader suffers a loss due to a sudden market reversal. In an attempt to recover, they enter a trade in the opposite direction without thorough analysis, which can exacerbate their losses.
Wish more examples? Watch recent one below 👇👇
How to Avoid Revenge Trading
To avoid revenge trading, traders should focus on maintaining discipline and adhering to their trading strategies. This includes:
Taking Breaks: After a loss, taking time to reassess the market and calm emotions can help prevent impulsive decisions.
Sticking to Plans: Adhering to established trading plans and risk management principles is crucial.
Emotional Awareness: Recognizing emotional triggers and taking steps to manage them can help prevent revenge trading.
In conclusion, revenge trading is a HARMFUL AND DANGEROUS practice that can lead to significant financial and emotional consequences. Understanding its causes and recognizing its signs are essential steps in avoiding this behavior and maintaining a successful trading career.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Trading Miscalibration: Crypto Aims Too High, FX Aims Too LowI was thinking about something fascinating—the way traders approach different markets and, in my opinion...
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is failing to calibrate their expectations based on the market they’re trading.
📌 In crypto, traders dream of 100x gains, refusing to take profits on a 30-50% move because they believe their coin is going to the moon.
📌 In Forex and gold, the same traders shrink their expectations, chasing 20-30 pip moves instead of riding 200-500 pip trends.
Ironically, both approaches lead to frustration:
🔴 Crypto traders regret not taking profits when the market crashes.
🔴 FX and gold traders regret not holding longer when the market runs without them.
If you want to be a profitable trader, you must align your strategy with the reality of the market you’re trading.
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Crypto: Stop Aiming for the Moon—Trade Realistic Outcomes
Crypto markets are highly volatile, and while 10x or 100x gains can happen, they are rare and unpredictable. However, many traders have been conditioned to expect extreme returns, leading them to ignore solid 30-50% gains—which are already fantastic trades in any market.
🔴 The Problem: Holding Too Long & Missing Profits
Many traders refuse to take profits on a 30-50% move, convinced that a 10x ride is around the corner. But when the market reverses, those unrealized gains disappear—sometimes turning into losses.
🚨 Frustration:
"I was up 50%, but I got greedy, and now I’m back to break-even—or worse!"
✅ The Fix: Take Profits at 30-50% Instead of Waiting for 10x
✔️ Take partial profits at key resistance levels.
✔️ Use a trailing stop to lock in gains while allowing for further upside.
✔️ Understand that even professional traders take profits when they’re available—they don’t blindly hold for the next 100x.
📉 Example:
If Bitcoin jumps 30% in a month, that’s already a massive move! Instead of waiting for 200%, a disciplined trader locks in profits along the way. Similarly, if an altcoin is up 50% in two weeks, securing profits makes sense—instead of watching it all disappear in a market dump.
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FX and Gold: Stop Thinking Small—Aim for Big Market Trends
On the other hand, when it comes to Forex and gold, many traders shrink their expectations too much. Instead of capturing multi-hundred-pip moves, they settle for 20-30 pip scalps, constantly entering and exiting the market, exposing themselves to unnecessary whipsaws.
🔴 The Problem: Exiting Too Early & Missing Big Trends
Unlike crypto, where traders hold too long, in FX and gold, they don’t hold long enough. Instead of riding a 200-500 pip move, they panic-exit for a small profit, only to watch the market continue without them.
🚨 Frustration:
"I closed at 30 pips, but the market kept running for 300 pips! I left so much money on the table!"
✅ The Fix: Target 200-500 Pip Moves Instead of Scalping
✔️ Focus on higher timeframes (4H, daily) for clearer trends.
✔️ Set realistic yet ambitious targets —200-300 pips in Forex, 300-500 pips in gold.
✔️ Use a strong risk-reward ratio (1:2, 1:3, even 1:5) instead of taking premature profits.
📉 Example:
• If EUR/USD starts a strong downtrend, why settle for 30 pips when the pair could drop 250 pips in a week?
• If gold breaks a major resistance level, a move of 300-500 pips is entirely possible—but you won’t catch it if you exit at 50 pips.
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Why Traders Fail to Calibrate Properly
So why do traders fall into this misalignment of expectations?
1️⃣ Social Media & Hype Culture – Crypto traders are bombarded with "to the moon" narratives, making them feel like 30-50% gains are not enough. Meanwhile, in Forex, traders get stuck in a scalping mindset, thinking that small, frequent wins are the only way to trade.
2️⃣ Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) vs. Fear of Losing Profits (FOLP)
• In crypto, FOMO keeps traders holding too long. They don’t want to miss "the big one," so they refuse to take profits.
• In FX and gold, fear of losing small profits makes traders exit too soon. They don’t let trades develop because they fear a pullback.
3️⃣ Misunderstanding Market Structure – Each market moves differently. Crypto is highly volatile but doesn’t always go 10x. Forex and gold move slower but offer consistent multi-hundred-pip trends. Many traders don’t adjust their strategies accordingly.
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The Solution: Align Your Strategy with the Market
🔥 In crypto, don’t wait for 10x— start taking profits at 30-50%.
🔥 In FX and gold, don’t settle for 30 pips—hold for 200-500 pip moves.
By making this simple mental shift, you’ll:
✅ Trade smarter, not harder
✅ Increase profitability by targeting realistic moves
✅ Reduce stress and overtrading
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Final Thoughts: No More Frustration!
The calibration problem leads to frustration in both cases:
⚠️ Crypto traders regret not taking profits when the market crashes.
⚠️ FX and gold traders regret not holding longer when the market trends.
💡 The solution? Trade according to the market's behavior, not emotions.
Stop chasing 20-30 pips if you want to become profitableOne of the biggest obstacles for traders who want to become consistently profitable is the mindset of chasing small 20-30 pip moves.
While it may seem appealing to enter and exit trades quickly for immediate profits, this strategy is often inefficient, risky, and unsustainable in the long run. Here’s why you should change your approach if you want to succeed in trading.
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1. Trading Costs Eat Into Your Profits
When you target small moves, you need to open and close many trades. This means that spreads and commissions will eat up a significant portion of your profits. If you have a spread of 2-3 pips (depending on the pair) and you’re only aiming for 20-30 pips per trade, a consistent percentage of your potential gains is lost to execution costs.
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2. High Risk Compared to Reward
A smart trader focuses on a favorable risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2, 1:3 or even 1:4. When you chase just 20-30 pips, your stop-loss has to be very tight, making you highly vulnerable to the normal volatility of the market. An unexpected news release or a liquidity spike can stop you out before the price even reaches your target.
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3. You Miss Big Moves and Real Opportunities
Professional traders focus on larger trends and significant price movements of hundreds of pips. The market doesn’t move in a straight line; it goes through consolidations, pullbacks, and major trends. If you’re busy trading short-term 20-30 pip moves, you’ll likely miss the big trends that offer more sustainable profits and better risk management.
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4. Increased Stress and Emotional Trading
Short-term trading requires constant monitoring and quick decision-making. This increases your level of stress and negative emotions like fear and greed, leading to costly mistakes. In the long run, this trading style is mentally exhausting and difficult to sustain.
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How to Change Your Approach to Become Profitable
✅ Think in terms of larger trends – Focus on 200-300+ pip moves instead of small fluctuations.
✅ Aim for a strong risk-reward ratio – Look for setups with at least 1:2 risk-reward to maximize your profits.
✅ Use higher timeframes – Charts like 4H or daily provide clearer signals and reduce market noise.
✅ Be patient and wait for the best setups – Don’t enter trades just for the sake of activity; wait for high-probability opportunities.
Mastering MACD- Complete Guide- 10 ways to trade itThe Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a versatile indicator that can help traders navigate the markets with precision. From trend identification to momentum assessment, the MACD provides multiple actionable insights. In this educational post, we’ll explore the key ways to use MACD effectively, with an example illustration accompanying each strategy.
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1. Signal Line Crossovers
The most common use of MACD is the signal line crossover, which identifies potential shifts in market momentum:
• Bullish Signal: When the MACD line (fast-moving) crosses above the signal line (slow-moving), it suggests upward momentum is increasing. This can be an entry signal for a long trade. Bullish crossovers often occur after a period of consolidation or a downtrend, signaling a reversal in market sentiment.
• Bearish Signal: When the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it signals downward momentum, often triggering a short-selling opportunity. Bearish crossovers can occur during retracements in an uptrend or at the start of a bearish reversal.
How to Use: Look for confirmation from price action or other indicators, such as a breakout above a resistance level for a bullish signal or a breakdown below support for a bearish signal. It's essential to avoid acting solely on a crossover; consider volume (stocks, crypto), candle stick formations and other market conditions.
Example: A bullish crossover on the daily chart on TRADENATION:XAUUSD indicates a potential buying opportunity as the price begins to rise. Add a stop-loss below recent lows to manage risk and look for a 1:2 risk:r eward in the next resistance.
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2. Zero Line Crossovers
The MACD’s zero line acts as a boundary between bullish and bearish momentum, making it a valuable trend confirmation tool:
• Above Zero: When the MACD line moves above the zero line, it confirms an uptrend, as the fast-moving average is above the slow-moving average. Sustained movement above zero often indicates a strong bullish trend.
• Below Zero: A MACD line below zero reflects a downtrend, indicating bearish market conditions. Persistent movement below zero confirms bearish momentum.
How to Use: Use the zero line crossover to validate trades based on other signals, such as candlestick patterns or trendline breaks. The crossover can act as a second layer of confirmation for existing trade setups.
Example: MACD on a crypto pair crosses above the zero line, confirming the start of a new bullish trend. Traders can combine this with volume analysis to ensure strong market participation.
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3. Histogram Analysis
The histogram represents the distance between the MACD line and the signal line, offering insights into momentum:
• Expanding Histogram: Indicates strengthening momentum in the direction of the trend. Larger bars show increasing dominance of bulls or bears.
• Contracting Histogram: Suggests weakening momentum, signaling a possible reversal or consolidation. Smaller bars indicate a loss of trend strength.
How to Use: Monitor the histogram for early signs of momentum shifts before a crossover occurs. The histogram can act as a leading indicator, providing advanced warning of potential changes in price direction.
Example: A shrinking histogram in a forex pair signals that the bullish momentum is losing steam, warning traders of a possible retracement. This can be a cue to tighten stop-loss levels or take partial profits. Conversely, an expanding histogram during a breakout confirms the strength of the move.
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4. Identifying Divergences
MACD divergences are powerful tools for spotting potential reversals:
• Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the MACD forms a higher low, signaling weakening bearish momentum. This often precedes a trend reversal to the upside.
• Bearish Divergence: Happens when the price makes a higher high, but the MACD forms a lower high, indicating diminishing bullish strength. This suggests a potential reversal to the downside.
How to Use: Combine divergence signals with support or resistance levels to enhance reliability. Divergences are most effective when spotted at major turning points in the market.
Example: On a TRADENATION:EURUSD chart, a bearish divergence signals an upcoming price reversal from an up trend to a down trend.
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5. Trend Confirmation
MACD confirms trends by staying consistently above or below the zero line:
• Above Zero: Indicates a strong uptrend. Look for pullbacks to enter long trades. The longer the MACD remains above zero, the stronger the trend.
• Below Zero: Reflects a persistent downtrend. Use rallies as opportunities to short. A sustained period below zero reinforces bearish dominance.
How to Use: Use MACD’s trend confirmation alongside other trend-following tools like moving averages or Ichimoku clouds. Ensure that market conditions align with the broader trend.
Example: Combining MACD trend confirmation with moving averages helps traders stay on the right side of the trend in a stock market index. For example, buy when both MACD and a 50-day moving average indicate an uptrend. Exit trades when the MACD begins to cross below zero or shows a divergence.
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6. Overbought and Oversold Conditions
Although MACD is not traditionally an overbought/oversold indicator, extreme deviations between the MACD line and the signal line can hint at stretched market conditions:
• Overbought: When the MACD line is significantly above the signal line, it may indicate a price correction is imminent. This often occurs after an extended rally.
• Oversold: When the MACD line is well below the signal line, it suggests a potential rebound. Such conditions are common following sharp sell-offs.
How to Use: Monitor extreme readings in conjunction with oscillators like RSI for added confidence. Look for reversals near key support or resistance levels.
Example: An extended bearish move with a large MACD-signal line gap warns traders of a potential price correction. This can signal an opportunity to exit. Pair this observation with a bullish candlestick pattern to confirm the move (in this example morning star)
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7. Combining MACD with Other Indicators
MACD works best when paired with complementary indicators to provide a more comprehensive market analysis:
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): Use RSI to confirm momentum and overbought/oversold conditions.
• Bollinger Bands: Validate price breakouts or consolidations with MACD signals.
• Support and Resistance: Use MACD signals around key levels for confluence.
How to Use: Wait for MACD signals to align with other indicator readings to improve accuracy. Cross-validation reduces false signals and increases confidence in trades.
Example: A bearish MACD crossover near a key resistance level reinforces a short-selling opportunity.
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8. Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Using MACD across different timeframes strengthens trade signals and provides context:
• Higher Timeframe: Identify the broader trend to avoid trading against the market. For instance, if the daily chart shows a bullish MACD, focus on long trades in lower timeframes.
• Lower Timeframe: Pinpoint precise entries and exits within the higher timeframe’s trend. The MACD on lower timeframes can help fine-tune timing.
How to Use: Align MACD signals on both higher and lower timeframes to confirm trade setups. This alignment minimizes the risk of false signals.
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9. Customizing MACD Settings
Traders can tailor MACD settings to suit different trading styles and timeframes:
• Shorter Periods: Provide more sensitive signals for scalping or day trading. Shorter settings react quickly to price changes but may generate more false signals.
• Longer Periods: Produce smoother signals for swing trading or position trading. Longer settings are less responsive but more reliable.
How to Use: Experiment with different settings on a demo account to find what works best for your strategy. Adjust settings based on the volatility and nature of the asset.
Example: A scalper uses a 5, 13, 6 MACD setting to capture quick momentum shifts in the market, while a swing trader sticks with the standard 12, 26, 9 for broader trends. Compare results across different markets to refine the approach.
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10. Crossovers or Divergence at Key Levels
Combining MACD crossovers with price action levels enhances the reliability of trade signals:
• Horizontal Levels: Use MACD signals to confirm reversals or breakouts at support and resistance levels. Crossovers near these levels are often more reliable.
• Fibonacci Retracements: You can combine MACD with retracement levels to validate potential entries or exits. Confluence with retracements adds weight to the signal.
How to Use: Wait for MACD signals to align with key price levels for higher probability trades. Confirmation from candlestick patterns or volume (stock and crypto) adds further credibility.
Example: A bullish MACD divergence aligns with a strong support level, signaling a strong buy setup. Add confirmation with a candlestick reversal pattern, such as a piercing pattern in our case, to enhance precision.
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Conclusion:
The MACD indicator’s flexibility makes it a must-have tool for traders of all styles. By mastering these strategies and integrating them in your trading, you can elevate your trading decisions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Possible vs. Probable in Trading — Most Traders Ignore ThisOne of the biggest mistakes traders make — especially beginners — is confusing what is possible with what is probable.
This confusion leads to poor decisions, unnecessary risks, and eventually, losses that could have been easily avoided.
Possible and Probable Are NOT the Same Thing
Let's make this very clear:
• Possible means it can happen.
• Probable means it is likely to happen, based on evidence and context.
In life, many things are possible — but that doesn’t mean we should live our lives preparing for each possible (and often extreme) event.
To give you a real-life example: it’s possible that something falls from the roof top of a builing and hits you while shopping and die. Sadly, this actually happened in Romania about a month ago.
But as rare and tragic as it is, it’s not probable. And it definitely doesn’t mean that we should stop going outside, right?
Trading Is a Game of Probabilities, Not Possibilities
When trading, we are not betting on what is possible.
If we did, we would enter trades every time we imagine a price could go higher or lower — and that would be a disaster.
Instead, we are betting on what is probable — based on:
• Technical analysis
• Price action
• Market context
• Volume
• Sentiment
⚠️ Yes, it is always possible for price to go in either direction.
But our edge comes from identifying what is more likely to happen based on the data we have.
Why This Difference Is Crucial for Your Trading Success
✅ Focusing on probabilities means:
• You enter only high-probability setups.
• You manage risk properly because you accept that nothing is 100% sure.
• You avoid chasing trades just because "it’s possible" something happens.
❌ Focusing on possibilities leads to:
• Overtrading
• Emotional decisions
• Hoping instead of following a plan
• Blowing up accounts
Conclusion: Trade Like a Professional — Trade Probabilities
Remember:
"Anything is possible, but not everything is probable."
If you want to survive and thrive in the markets, focus on probabilities — not on fantasies of what could happen.
You are not trading "maybe this happens", you are trading "this is likely to happen, and I’m managing my risk if it doesn’t".
Make this shift in mindset, and you’ll already be ahead of most traders out there.
EURUSD MY VIEW DAILY TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
We do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
Thanks for your support
Tradelikemee Academy
Saanjayy KG
Don't Confuse "DYOR" with Confirmation Bias in Crypto TradingIn the crypto space, influencers and self-proclaimed crypto gurus constantly tell you to " do your own research " (DYOR) while presenting coins that will supposedly do 100x or become the "next big thing." They always add, " this is not financial advice ," but few actually explain how to do proper research.
On top of that, most influencers copy each other, get paid by projects to promote them, and—whether they admit it or not—often contribute to confirmation bias.
What is confirmation bias? It’s the psychological tendency to look for information that confirms what we already believe while ignoring evidence that contradicts it.
For example, if you want to believe a certain altcoin will 100x, you’ll naturally look for articles, tweets, and videos that say exactly that—while ignoring red flags.
How do you distinguish real research from confirmation bias?
This article will help you:
• Understand confirmation bias and how it affects your investments
• Learn how to conduct proper, unbiased research
• Discover the best tools and sources for real analysis
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What Is Confirmation Bias & How Does It Sabotage Your Investments?
Confirmation bias is the tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms what we already believe—while ignoring evidence to the contrary.
In crypto, this leads to:
✔️ Only looking for opinions that confirm a coin is "going to the moon"
✔️ Avoiding critical discussions about the project’s weaknesses
✔️ Believing "everyone" is bullish because you're only consuming pro-coin content
The result?
• You make emotional investments instead of rational ones
• You expose yourself to unnecessary risk
• You develop unrealistic expectations and are more vulnerable to FOMO
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How to Conduct Proper Research & Avoid Confirmation Bias
1. Verify the Team & Project Fundamentals
A solid crypto project must have a transparent, experienced team. Check:
• Who are the founders and developers? Are they reputable or anonymous?
• Do they have experience? Have they worked on successful projects before?
• Is the code open-source? If not, why?
• Is there a strong whitepaper? It should clearly explain the problem, the solution, and the technology behind it.
Useful tools:
🔹 GitHub – Check development activity
🔹 LinkedIn – Verify the team's background
🔹 CoinMarketCap / CoinGecko – Check market data and tokenomics
2. Analyze Tokenomics & Economic Model
A project can have great technology but fail due to bad tokenomics.
Key questions to ask:
• What’s the maximum supply? A very high supply can limit price growth.
• How are the tokens distributed? If the team and early investors hold most of the supply, there’s a risk of dumping.
• Are there mechanisms like staking or token burning? These can impact long-term sustainability.
Useful tools:
🔹 Token Unlocks – See when tokens will be released into circulation
🔹 Messari – Get detailed tokenomics reports
3. Evaluate the Community Without Being Misled
A large, active community can be a good sign, but beware of:
• Real engagement vs. bots. A high follower count doesn’t always mean real support.
• How does the team respond to tough questions? Avoid projects where criticism is silenced.
• Excessive hype? If all discussions are about "Lambo soon" and "to the moon," be cautious.
Where to check?
🔹 Twitter (X) – Follow discussions about the project
🔹 Reddit – Read community opinions
🔹 – See how the team handles criticism
4. Verify Partnerships & Investors
Many projects exaggerate or fake their partnerships.
• Is it listed on major exchanges? Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken are more selective.
• Are the investors well-known VCs? Funds like A16z, Sequoia, Pantera Capital don’t invest in just anything.
• Do the supposed partners confirm the collaboration? Check their official sites or announcements.
Where to verify?
🔹 Crunchbase – Check a project's investors
🔹 Medium – Many projects announce partnerships here
5. Watch the Team's Actions, Not Just Their Words
• Have they delivered on promises? Compare the roadmap to actual progress.
• What updates have they released? A strong project should have continuous development.
• Are they selling their own tokens? If the team is dumping their coins, it’s a bad sign.
Useful tools:
🔹 Etherscan / BscScan – Track team transactions
🔹 DefiLlama – Check total value locked (TVL) in DeFi projects
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Final Thoughts: DYOR Correctly, Not Emotionally
To make smart investments in crypto, you must conduct objective research—not just look for confirmation of what you already believe.
✅ Analyze the team, tokenomics, and partnerships.
✅ Be skeptical of hype and verify all claims.
✅ Use on-chain data, not just opinions.
✅ Don’t let FOMO or emotions drive your decisions.
By following these steps, you’ll be ahead of most retail investors who let emotions—not facts—guide their trades.
How do you do your own research in crypto? Let me know in the comments!
What to do after you missed a big price move (Example: EUR/USD)There was a big fast move in EUR/USD last week.
The ‘European currencies’ did especially well versus the US dollar, including GBP/USD and USD/CHF as well as the ‘Skandies’ SEK/USD and NOK/USD.
If you rode the move, then job done. If you did ride the move up, you might have taken full profits already - or maybe you are leaving a little bit of the position open to ride any continuation of the move.
But, what to do if you missed it completely?
Explosive moves in the market usually mean traders who were on the ‘losing’ side step out for a while, having lost confidence in their view. For example if you were bearish and the market makes a significant move higher - you’re probably going to be a lot less confident in your bearish view - but perhaps also not ready to take an opposite bullish view. The loss of sellers in the market can see the up-move continue with minimal pullback.
This might suggest buying any small dips to ride the next leg higher, and emotionally it would offer some salvation to capture the second leg of the move even if you missed the first leg. However, what you are doing here is ‘chasing the market’.
One trouble is that after a big move in the market, there is no definitive place to put your stop loss, except at the beginning of the move - which is now far away. That's a bad risk: reward.
It is tempting to place a closer (more manageable) stop loss under lower timeframe levels of support - but then you find yourself trading an unknown strategy that requires different rules to follow because it is based on a lower timeframe.
And indeed, after a sharp move in the market - there is still a chance for a sharp pullback to match. Why? Because buyers quickly take profits on their unexpected quick gains, which will create selling pressure into minimal support - because the next support level is far away.
A sharp pullback would mean an opportunity to buy into the uptrend at a lower level, closer to the previous support. But then the flipside of the sharp pullback is that it raises questions over the sustainability of the initial move.
Probably the biggest takeaway here is not to think about this ‘explosive’ move in isolation.
Instead of forcing a trade, consider:
1. Waiting for the right setup in the same market. If your strategy is based on structured breakouts, wait for the next clean consolidation or pattern before re-engaging. A big move often leads to a new setup—but forcing a trade in the middle of a volatile move isn’t a strategy, it’s FOMO.
2. Looking at uncorrelated markets. Just because EUR/USD already made a big move doesn’t mean you have to trade it now. If you want to be in at the start of a move, shift focus to another market that hasn’t yet made its move.
3. Sticking to your edge. If your strategy works over hundreds of trades, don’t abandon it just because one market moved without you. The next opportunity will come—if not in this market, then in another.
Again, the best trades don’t come from reacting to what already happened, but from positioning for what’s about to happen. If you missed the move, accept it, reset, and wait for the next high-quality setup—whether in the same market or somewhere else.
Googles next Move where to Long next + Wickless Candles Hi in this video I highlight what to look for in the chart to take shorts and where to fill Longs next . In addition to that I provide a small educational idea of looking out for Wickless candles and how they can add value to your analysis . Please like follow share and ask any questions that you have and thankyou for your support
Impulsive Trading:Understanding the Risks and Regaining ControlHave you found yourself hastily clicking the “Buy” or “Sell” button only to be engulfed by regret almost immediately afterward? If so, you're in good company 😃.
Impulsive trading is a widespread issue that affects traders of all experience levels, often leading to significant financial losses. Studies reveal that a considerable portion of traders battle with impulsive decision-making, which can drastically influence their overall financial health.
Impulsive trading typically arises from emotions rather than careful market analysis or strategic planning. Factors such as the fear of missing out (FOMO), frustration after a loss, or the temptation of quick profits often cloud judgment, resulting in decisions that deviate from disciplined trading practices. This behavior is especially pronounced during volatile market conditions, where emotions can run high. Acknowledging the signs of impulsive trading is essential for fostering discipline and achieving sustained trading success.
Understanding the Risks of Impulsive Trading
The implications of impulsive trading reach far beyond individual poor trades. Each impulsive action can generate a cascade of errors, diverting traders from their predefined strategies. Engaging in impulsive trading often leads to overtrading, where traders make numerous trades in quick succession while hoping for fast returns, ultimately resulting in mounting losses. This not only increases exposure to market volatility but also raises transaction costs, systematically eroding any potential gains.
Another major risk associated with impulsive trading is flawed decision-making. Actions born out of emotional responses lack the rational foundation necessary for sound trading, pushing traders towards choices that diverge from their overall objectives. For instance, abandoning a Stop Loss order or ramping up position sizes following a loss can lead to dramatic financial damage. Moreover, the psychological impact of impulsive trading can result in burnout, heightened stress, and diminished confidence, all of which threaten a trader's long-term viability. Recognizing and understanding these risks highlights the need for self-regulation and a disciplined approach—critical elements for successful trading.
Psychological Triggers Behind Impulsive Trading
The tendency to trade impulsively often stems from various psychological factors that can be difficult to manage. One of the main culprits is the fear of missing out (FOMO); in fast-paced markets, traders may feel an urgent need to enter positions quickly to seize potential profits. This urgency can lead to ill-timed trades, making them more vulnerable to reversals.
Greed is another significant factor that plays a role in impulsive trading. The relentless pursuit of maximizing profits can quickly overshadow a trader’s original plan. As a result, they may prolong a successful trade or increase leverage in hopes of capturing even greater returns, leading to heightened risks. Loss aversion, the instinct to avoid losing money, also contributes to impulsivity. When faced with setbacks, traders might engage in “revenge trading,” making rash decisions in an attempt to recover losses—often dismissing their foundational analytical methods.
External factors like social media and market news also amplify these emotional triggers. The overload of information—from Twitter updates to various trading forums—can create a sense of urgency and spur impulsive behavior, even among experienced traders. By acknowledging these psychological influences, traders can cultivate a more deliberate and strategic approach to their decision-making processes.
Read also:
Identifying Impulsive Trading Behavior
Recognizing the signs of impulsive trading is crucial for anyone looking to regain control and establish a more strategic trading method. Indicators of such behavior include:
- Ignoring Your Trading Plan: Frequently deviating from established entry and exit criteria in favor of fleeting emotions can indicate a pattern of impulsivity.
- Constantly Monitoring Trades: Habitually checking price movements or refreshing trading platforms often suggests an emotional attachment to positions, prompting unnecessary reactions to minor fluctuations.
- Execution of Unplanned Trades: Making trades without forethought, especially after emotional highs from winning trades or lows from losses, disrupts a carefully crafted trading plan and exposes one to greater risks.
- Neglecting Risk Management Practices: Exceeding leverage limits or disabling Stop Loss orders indicates a tendency to focus on immediate gains rather than sustainable trading strategies.
By becoming aware of these behaviors and taking deliberate steps to reflect on each trade's alignment with the overarching strategy, traders can minimize impulsivity and foster a disciplined mindset grounded in rationality.
Read Also:
Strategies for Overcoming Impulsive Trading
Successfully overcoming impulsive trading requires a blend of discipline, self-awareness, and effective strategies. Here are some actionable steps:
1. Set Clear Entry and Exit Criteria: Define explicit guidelines for entering and exiting trades, based on predetermined market conditions or technical indicators. Adhering to these rules minimizes the likelihood of impulsive actions.
2. Employ Stop Loss Orders: Utilize Stop Loss orders to automatically close trades when certain price levels are met. This helps protect against significant losses and allows traders to step back from their positions.
3. Maintain a Trading Journal: Keeping a detailed record of every trade—including motivations, emotions experienced, and outcomes—encourages self-reflection and helps to identify recurring patterns in behavior.
4. Practice Self-Discipline: Establish realistic trading goals and commit to your trading plan. Taking a pause before executing trades can help you refocus on your long-term objectives, minimizing the urge to act impulsively.
5. Restrict Trading Frequency: Set limits on the number of trades you make each day or week to ensure that you only engage in high-quality opportunities, rather than reacting to every market fluctuation.
By adopting these strategies, traders can cultivate the discipline necessary to move away from impulsive decision-making, emphasizing logical and goal-oriented actions instead.
Cultivating a Rational Trading Mindset
Developing a rational mindset is essential for long-term trading success and evading the pitfalls of emotional decision-making. Consider implementing the following techniques:
- Mindfulness and Relaxation Practices: Engage in mindfulness exercises to enhance awareness of your thoughts and feelings. Awareness allows you to recognize when emotions may be influencing trading decisions. Even short moments of focused breathing can provide clarity.
- Take Breaks Regularly: Long trading sessions can lead to fatigue and impaired judgment. By stepping away from your work periodically, you can recharge and return to your trading activities with fresh insight.
- Avoid Trading During Emotionally Charged Situations: If you find yourself facing personal stress or strong emotions, it may be wise to refrain from trading until you regain an even temperament.
- Focus on Long-Term Objectives: Prioritize sustained success over immediate rewards. Remind yourself that while impulsive decisions might provide short-term satisfaction, they often result in long-term setbacks.
Building a rational trading mindset requires patience and dedicated effort, but it is instrumental in improving trading performance. By incorporating these habits into your routine, you can enhance emotional control and make decisions that reflect logic rather than impulse.
I suggest to read also..:
The Critical Role of a Trading Plan
An effective trading plan is a cornerstone for preventing impulsive decisions that can undermine a trader's performance. The emotional responses associated with impulsive trading—such as fear and greed—can derail even the best-laid strategies. A comprehensive trading plan serves as a guiding framework, providing clarity and structured guidelines to help traders manage emotional impulses.
By defining specific goals, a trading plan equips traders with a clear sense of direction, reducing the temptation to chase fleeting opportunities or react to market noise. Furthermore, by integrating principles of risk management into your trading strategy, you ensure that engagement with risks aligns with your personal threshold, thereby minimizing unnecessary exposure. Establishing entry and exit guidelines allows traders to base their decisions on objective criteria, independent of emotion-driven impulses.
Read also:
Enhancing Trading Discipline with Tools and Techniques
Employing specific tools and strategies can support a disciplined trading approach and reduce impulsive behavior. Trading software with alert functions can help by notifying traders when predefined conditions for trades are met, ensuring decisions are based on strategic analysis rather than reactive impulses.
Regularly reviewing trading performance is equally vital. This practice allows traders to analyze trades, recognize behavior patterns, fine-tune their strategies, and verify their alignment with their trading plan. Drawing insights from these reviews fosters adherence to disciplined trading and helps traders remain focused and make informed decisions.
Read also:
In conclusion..
Achieving lasting success in trading depends on rational thought processes and emotional management. A well-developed trading plan, complemented by the right tools and techniques, empowers traders to avoid impulsivity and concentrate on their goals. Although the temptation for quick gains can be powerful, maintaining a disciplined approach is essential for sustainable success. Remember, trading is a journey rather than a sprint. By remaining consistent and methodical, traders can navigate risks effectively, ultimately crafting a strategy that yields long-term results.
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The Right Questions to Ask Before Entering a TradeEvery day, traders—especially beginners—ask the same recurring question:
❓ What do you think Gold will do today? Will it go up or down?
While this seems like a logical question, it’s actually completely wrong and one that no professional trader would ever ask in this way.
Trading is not about predicting the market like a fortune teller. Instead, it's about analyzing price action, managing risk, and executing trades strategically.
So, instead of asking, "Will Gold go up or down?" , a professional trader asks three critical questions before taking any trade.
Let's break them down.
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Step 1: Identifying the Right Entry Point
Let’s say you’ve done your analysis, and you believe Gold will drop. That’s great—but that’s just an opinion. What really matters is execution.
🔹 Where do I enter the trade?
Professional traders don’t jump into the market impulsively. They use pending orders instead of market orders to wait for the right price.
If you believe Gold will fall, you shouldn’t just sell at any price. You need to identify a key resistance level where a reversal is likely to happen.
For example:
• If Gold is trading at $2900, and strong resistance is at $2920, a professional trader will set a sell limit order at that resistance level rather than shorting randomly.
This approach ensures that you enter at a strategic point where the probability of success is higher.
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Step 2: Setting the Stop Loss
🔹 Where do I place my stop loss?
A trade without a stop loss is just gambling. Managing risk is far more important than being right about market direction.
The key is to determine:
✅ How much risk am I willing to take?
✅ Where is the invalidation level for my trade idea?
For example:
• If you are shorting Gold at $2920, you might place your stop loss at $2935—above a recent high or key technical level.
• This way, if the price moves against you, you have a predefined maximum loss, avoiding emotional decision-making.
Professional traders never risk more than a small percentage of their account on a single trade. Risk management is everything.
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Step 3: Setting the Take Profit Target
🔹 Where do I set my take profit, and does the trade make sense in terms of risk/reward?
Before taking any trade, you must ensure that your reward outweighs your risk.
For example:
• If you risk $15 per ounce (short at $2920, stop loss at $2935), your take profit should be at least $30 away (for a 1:2 risk/reward).
• A good target in this case could be $2890 or lower.
This means that for every dollar you risk, you aim to make two dollars—ensuring long-term profitability even if only 40-50% of your trades succeed.
If the trade doesn’t offer a good risk/reward, it’s simply not worth taking.
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Conclusion: The “Set and Forget” Mentality
Once you’ve answered these three key questions and placed your trade, the best approach is to let the market do its thing.
✅ Set your entry, stop loss, and take profit.
✅ Follow your trading plan.
✅ Avoid emotional reactions.
Many traders lose money because they constantly interfere with their trades—moving stop losses, closing positions too early, or hesitating to take profits.
Instead, adopt a professional approach: set your trade and let it run.
📌 Final Thought:
The next time you find yourself asking, “Will Gold go up or down today?” , stop and ask yourself:
📊 Where is my entry?
📉 Where is my stop loss?
💰 Where is my take profit, and does the risk/reward make sense?
This is how professional traders think, plan, and execute—and it’s what separates them from amateurs.
👉 What’s your biggest struggle when it comes to executing trades? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
The Pygmalion Effect in Trading: Expectations Shape Your Resuls!The Pygmalion Effect is a psychological phenomenon where higher expectations lead to improved performance, while low expectations result in poor outcomes.
This concept, often explored in education and leadership, also plays a crucial role in trading psychology.
Your beliefs about your trading abilities, strategies, and the market can directly influence your results.
But how can you use this to your advantage, and when does it work against you? Let’s explore.
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How the Pygmalion Effect Applies to Trading
At its core, the Pygmalion Effect suggests that what you expect tends to become reality—not through magic, but through subconscious behavioral shifts. In trading, this can manifest in several ways:
🔹 Confidence in Your Strategy – If you genuinely believe in your trading system, you're more likely to follow it with discipline, leading to consistent results over time.
🔹 Fear and Self-Doubt – If you constantly doubt your trades, hesitate to enter, or close positions too early out of fear, you reinforce negative expectations, leading to underperformance.
🔹 Risk-Taking Behavior – Overconfidence, another side of the Pygmalion Effect, can lead to excessive risk-taking, believing that every trade will be a winner—just as dangerous as self-doubt.
How to Use the Pygmalion Effect to Your Advantage:
✅ Develop a Strong Trading Plan – Confidence comes from preparation. A well-tested strategy gives you a clear roadmap to follow.
✅ Control Your Self-Talk – The way you talk to yourself matters. Replace " I always lose trades" with "I am improving my risk management and discipline."
✅ Focus on Process Over Outcomes – Instead of worrying about individual wins or losses, focus on executing your plan consistently.
✅ Surround Yourself with Positive Influences – Follow traders and mentors who reinforce disciplined trading habits rather than hype and emotional decision-making.
✅ Use Visualization Techniques – Imagine yourself trading successfully, making rational decisions, and following your plan—this can train your mind to align with positive expectations.
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Applying the Pygmalion Effect – A Real Market Example:
Let’s take a real-world example to illustrate this concept:
For several days, I have been warning about a potential major correction in Gold. The reason? Looking at the daily chart, even though Gold has made all-time highs in the last 10 days, these highs are very close together, and each time the price hit a new top, it reversed sharply.
This pattern is a classic sign of a reversal.
Yesterday, Gold closed with a strong bearish engulfing candle, another indication that a correction is underway.
Now, if we look at the hourly chart (left side), we can see an aggressive drop followed by a retest of the 2930 level—a typical move before further decline.
Here’s where the Pygmalion Effect comes into play:
✅ We see the setup clearly.
✅ We trust our analysis.
✅ We execute with confidence.
Following this logic, Gold could continue its correction, breaking below 2900, possibly testing 2880 support or even lower. We put the strategy into action with conviction.
Final Thoughts:
The Pygmalion Effect in trading is powerful—your expectations can make or break your performance. By setting high but realistic expectations, reinforcing confidence, and focusing on disciplined execution, you can shape yourself into a profitable, consistent trader.
Trust what you see, believe in your strategy, and trade with conviction.
👉 What are your expectations for your trading? Let’s discuss! 🚀📊
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
The Power of a Trading Journal: Key to Consistent SuccessHave you ever pondered what distinguishes successful traders from those who struggle for consistent profits? One key tool, often underestimated, is the trading journal. Both research and practical experience demonstrate that traders who diligently track their performance and critically assess their decisions tend to enhance their trading skills and overall results over time. While financial markets can seem erratic, a well-maintained trading journal can provide clarity regarding your trading behavior and highlight areas ripe for improvement.
Understanding the Trading Journal
At its core, a trading journal serves as a comprehensive record of your trades, detailing every decision and its corresponding outcome. However, it goes beyond a mere tally of wins and losses; it acts as a robust instrument for self-reflection and growth. By keeping an organized log, traders can identify recurring patterns, refine their strategies, and cultivate greater discipline in their trading practices. In essence, a trading journal empowers you to track your performance while offering meaningful insights for informed decision-making.
What Constitutes a Trading Journal?
A trading journal is a personalized record of your trading journey designed to document every aspect of your experiences. Unlike a basic transaction log, it encompasses insights into your decisions, emotional states, and strategies, thereby providing an in-depth perspective on your trading habits and performance over time. This journal functions as a roadmap, enabling you to analyze your actions, learn from missteps, and recognize successful patterns to replicate in future trades.
Essential Components of a Trading Journal
1. Trade Details:
Log fundamental information for each trade, including the date, instrument, entry and exit points, position size, and the outcome.
2. Trade Analysis and Rationale:
Capture the reasons behind each trade, such as market analysis, utilized indicators, or significant news events influencing your decision.
3. Emotional Insights:
Document the emotions felt before, during, and after each trade, which will help you identify emotional triggers impacting your decision-making.
4. Results and Lessons Learned:
Reflect on the trade’s outcome and the insights gained. Did it align with your expectations? What could be improved next time?
By consistently maintaining these entries, your trading journal will allow for systematic performance tracking, enabling you to conduct insightful trade analysis and continuously enhance your trading methodology.
The Key Benefits of a Trading Journal
Maintaining a trading journal provides numerous benefits that can significantly elevate your trading performance over time. From honing decision-making skills to fostering emotional discipline, a trading journal is an invaluable asset for anyone committed to enhancing their trading approach.
1. Enhanced Decision-Making:
Analyzing past trades enables you to discern patterns in your decision-making process, both successful and otherwise. You might uncover that certain strategies work better under specific market conditions or that impulsive trades frequently lead to losses. Understanding these patterns grants you valuable insights for making informed, calculated choices in future trades.
2. Improved Emotional Control:
Trading often involves a rollercoaster of emotions, with factors like fear and greed skewing decision-making. Documenting your feelings during trades can help you identify emotional triggers and develop strategies to manage them, maintaining objectivity and preventing emotions from derailing your trading plan. Over time, this fosters emotional control, which is crucial for sustained trading success.
3. Increased Consistency and Discipline:
A trading journal encourages consistency by promoting adherence to your trading plan and strategies. By recording every trade—regardless of its outcome—you cultivate a disciplined mindset that helps you avoid impulsive decisions and maintain a structured approach aligned with your objectives.
How to Establish Your Trading Journal
Creating a trading journal is quite simple; the key lies in selecting the right format and knowing what to document. Follow this guide to set up a journal that effectively tracks your trading performance and identifies growth opportunities.
Selecting Your Format:
1. Digital Applications:
Tools like Evernote, OneNote, or specialized trading journal software offer accessibility, data backup, and automation. Many apps include analytics features for streamlined performance tracking.
2. Spreadsheets:
Utilizing Excel or Google Sheets affords flexibility and customization. You can craft a spreadsheet tailored to your needs, complete with specified fields, formulas, and visualizations.
3. Paper Journals:
For those who prefer a tactile approach, a traditional notebook can suffice. While writing by hand fosters reflection, it lacks digital conveniences like searchable records.
Crucial Information to Record:
To enhance the effectiveness of your trading journal, make sure to include these key data points:
- Entry and Exit Points:
Log the precise times and prices at which trades are entered and exited.
- Position Size and Trade Details:
Note the trade size, instrument, and any pertinent details.
- Motivation for the Trade:
Document the analysis or strategy that influenced your trade decision, whether rooted in technical analysis, fundamental factors, or broader market trends.
- Emotional State:
Record your feelings throughout the trading process to better understand emotional influences.
- Trade Outcome and Lessons:
Reflect on the trade's success and any insights gained, noting what worked well or what didn’t.
Starting a trading journal requires minimal time but can significantly affect your long-term ability to track performance and improve.
Read Also:
Reviewing Your Trading Journal for Growth
A trading journal can only yield benefits if you regularly review and analyze its contents. Consistent reviews enable you to identify patterns, adjust strategies, and enhance your trading acumen.
Setting Review Periods:
Designate time—weekly, biweekly, or monthly—to review your journal. These sessions reinforce your commitment to your goals and reveal areas needing adjustment, ensuring ongoing learning from your trades.
Spotting Patterns and Mistakes:
Analyze your trades for recurring themes. Determine if you consistently act on particular signals or if emotional responses lead to poor decision-making. Acknowledging frequent mistakes marks the first step toward correcting detrimental behaviors.
Implementing Adjustments:
Leverage insights from your journal to modify your trading strategies. If a specific method isn’t yielding results, revise or replace it accordingly. If certain emotional triggers lead to losses, develop coping mechanisms to mitigate their influence.
By committing to regular reviews, you can transform your trading experiences into invaluable lessons that foster better habits and skills.
Read Also:
Maximizing the Benefits of Your Trading Journal
To fully reap the rewards of a trading journal, it's crucial to engage with it effectively. Here are tips to enhance your journaling experience:
1. Maintain Consistency:
Regularly enter details after every trade or at least daily. This practice captures relevant details while they’re recent, building a robust record for analysis.
2. Practice Honesty:
Accurately document both successes and failures. A truthful account allows for clearer insights into areas needing improvement, as self-awareness plays a vital role in progress.
3. Utilize Visuals:
Incorporate charts, graphs, or screenshots to enrich your journal. Visual aids facilitate pattern recognition and provide a more comprehensive understanding of your trading performance.
Read Also:
Conclusion: The Transformative Role of a Trading Journal
A trading journal is an essential tool for any trader pursuing consistent success. By meticulously recording trades, scrutinizing decisions, and learning from both victories and defeats, you can sharpen your skills, master your emotions, and cultivate a disciplined approach to the markets. Beyond merely documenting past trades, a trading journal offers critical insights that can profoundly influence your long-term performance. By consistently utilizing this resource, you can decipher your unique trading habits, refine strategies, and ultimately boost your confidence in decision-making.
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The SECRET to BULLISH CHART PATTERNS | EducationBullish chart patterns play out towards the upside... atleast most of the time.
In some cases, a bullish pattern forms - seemingly strong- but ends up going the complete opposite direction. There is a way to navigate this very frustrating outcome - by waiting for confirmation.
Through waiting a little longer, you will surely reduce the profits - but this greatly reduces the risk of playing a "failed" pattern.
Keep a close eye on this bullish chart pattern forming on SUI:
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BTC 2021 Bull Run repeat? Start of Alt Coin Season!Hello Folks,
Just wanted to do a quick update on a possible plan for BTC over the next few weeks. This is based on a Wyckoff Distribution Schematic we had all the way back in 2020. Ironically when China entered big new into the crypto market in which they are currently doing as of now.
The chart is kind of messy but, I wanted to publish the gist of it. I used the bars pattern tool which we have been following for the past 6-8 weeks. Grabbing price action from the first top we made in 2021 and placing it over the current price action in which it seems to be following nicely. We will likely either follow the Green arrow Path or the White Arrow Path for the long and then you can follow the Short Position tool for the short. This is not yet fully confirmed but, the volume and the manipulation during these times show me that the Schematic is likely going to play out.
It is important to mention that the green line you see is a parabola trend support line that BTC has been holding this whole run. So it is possible that we hold it on this drop if it in fact comes. The second important thing to note is that we have a gap on CME:BTC1! between $77,975 and $80,775 as you can see on the chart below.
In conclusion yes, it is very possible that we have a decent discount coming up. IMO this is truly that, a discount. I do believe some alt coins may run up a ways while BTC has this short term long and if it comes to fruition and BTC then trades sideways for a week or two and we see the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D start loosing traction from the possible ascending channel it has been jumping in and out of the past few weeks.... also indicating some manipulation. This can be seen on the chart linked below. Lastly, the most important thing to notice is the down sloping resistance trend line on the Bitcoin Dominance chart that looks to be what I would say after my 8 years in crypto and trading daily, the beginning of alt coin season!!! Keep in mind, history doesn't always repeat itself but, it often rhymes!
I hope you enjoyed this update and look forward to all of you who follow our trades to be looking out for all of the Alt coins that have bottomed out and look to be ready to run over the next few weeks that we will be posting! DONT FORGET TO FOLLOW and leave a comment with your opinion or any questions about our trades.
Stay Humble & Profitable my friends,
Savvy!
Here is a link to a publication that will help you understand more about the Wyckoff Distribution Schematic I am referring to in 2021. This trader did a great job on charting it as well as explaining it in his publication. Don't forget to show him some love!