Cup with handle BO in $NSE:SBILIFE NSE:SBILIFE
Pattern details:
Sideways trend before forming Cup with handle pattern
Cup with ~20% correction and length of cup 26 bars
Handle length is 9 weeks and ~6% correction.
Volume needed to increase the success probability
PAT for the quarter ended 30 June 2023 at 381 cr, 45% growth Y-o-Y
NSE:LEMONTREE 's and NSE:TATAPOWER 's patterns are still in progress
Disc - invested, for educational purposes only
Educationalposts
$LEMONTREE - Cup with handle BOAs seen on the chart, NSE:LEMONTREE has formed a nice U-shaped Cup,
The stock was in an uptrend before forming Cup
Took 38 weeks to form the complete pattern.
27 weeks for Cup with a correction of ~27%
11 weeks for Handle with a correction of ~10%
Volume dried up during the initial part of the cup and handle.
But was good when coming out of the cup and also at the BO of the handle.
There is a high probability that this pattern will be successful.
With regard to quarterly results,
Total revenue was INR ~222 crores, which increased 16.8% year-on-year.
The net EBITDA margin in Q1 stood at ~47%
The PAT grew by 103% year-on-year from INR 13.6 crores to INR 27.5 crores.
Disc - invested, for educational purposes only
Another similar setup was with Finolex Cables and Va Tech Wabag Ltd
How to Island Reversal PatternGreetings, fellow traders! Today, we dive into the Island Reversal patterns, a fascinating subset of price gap structures. Understanding their intricacies can empower us to make informed and strategic trading decisions.
Unraveling Island Reversals:
Island Reversals materialize when prices find themselves marooned amidst gaps, isolated from preceding trends.
Picture this: in a bullish rally, prices surge above the prior session's close, forming an upside gap. After a few sessions, a downside gap emerges, bringing prices below the prior close. This secluded price-range creates the Island Reversal setup, often heralding significant technical declines in bullish trends or robust rallies in bearish trends.
The Influence of News and Volume:
Island Reversals, intriguingly, are often the offspring of news-driven events. To validate these patterns, observe the volume – it should surge significantly on both sides of the gaps. Their rarity in the midst of a rally or descent underscores their potency as trend reversers post the second gap.
Strategic Trading Approach:
Post the reversal, enter a "short" trade below the low of the second downward gap in an uptrend. Conversely, in a downtrend, initiate a "long" trade above the high of the second upward gap. This tactical entry ensures you ride the wave of the emerging trend with precision.
Strategically Placed Stops and Targets:
Prudence dictates placing a "stop" order if the market closes above the high of the Island Reversal pattern for short trades or below the low for long trades. This precautionary measure safeguards your positions, preventing potential losses. As for targets, Island Reversals, being formidable trend indicators, often lead to substantial profits. Set your sights on key event-driven support or resistance levels, guiding your exit strategy.
Island Reversal patterns hinting at impending shifts in market dynamics. By mastering these patterns and integrating them into our trading arsenal, we elevate our ability to navigate the market. Remember, fellow traders, every pattern tells a story; it's our job to listen, decode, and act. Happy trading!
Risk/Reward Ratios 101In trading, the risk/reward ratio stands as the beacon guiding every trader's decisions. But what exactly is this ratio, and how does it define your success in the market?
In this article we will describe how risk/reward ratio affects your trading performance.
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Understanding the Risk/Reward Ratio:
At its core, the risk/reward ratio quantifies the balance between the potential gain and the potential loss in a trade. It’s a critical tool that aids traders in choosing trades wisely, ensuring they opt for opportunities that promise high rewards while keeping risks minimal.
Calculating the Ratio:
The calculation itself is straightforward. By dividing the potential loss by the potential profit, traders can gauge the attractiveness of a trade. For instance, if a trade has a potential loss of $5 and a potential profit of $15, the risk/reward ratio would be 1:3, indicating that for every unit of risk, there's the potential for three units of reward.
Implementing the Ratio in Trading:
Successful traders plan their trades, setting predetermined entry and exit points. This strategy allows to calculate the risk/reward ratio accurately, ensuring trades with favorable ratios.
For instance, consider a scenario where a trader aims for a 15% profit and sets a stop-loss at 5%. By maintaining a discipline of setting targets based on market analysis rather than arbitrary numbers, traders can achieve a consistent profits.
The Synergy with Win Rates:
Combining the risk/reward ratio with win rates elevates a trader's strategy. A higher win rate indicates more successful trades, further enhancing the overall profitability. For instance, a trader with a 60% win rate can afford a lower ratio, say 1:1 minumum, as the majority of their trades are profitable.
The Power of the Risk/Reward Calculation:
The true power of the risk/reward ratio lies in its ability to provide traders with an asymmetric opportunity. This means that the potential upside is significantly greater than the potential downside, leading to more profitable trades over the long term.
Keeping Records for Improvement:
Maintaining a trading journal is crucial. By documenting trades, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of their strategies' performance. Analyzing these records aids in adapting strategies for different market conditions and asset classes, leading to refined decision-making.
In conclusion, mastering the risk/reward ratio is paramount for every trader aiming for consistent profitability. By understanding, calculating, and implementing this ratio alongside win rates, traders can make informed decisions, mitigate risks, and ensure sustainable success in the volatile world of trading. So, remember, in the world of trading, it's not just about how much you win; it's about how much you win concerning what you risk.
How to Use Divergence
Hey traders!
RSI divergence, a key concept in technical analysis, occurs when the relative strength index (RSI) of an asset shows different patterns compared to its price movements.
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Bullish Divergence:
In a bullish divergence, the RSI indicates the asset is oversold, forming higher lows, while the price action forms lower lows. This signifies a shift from selling pressure to buying interest. The sellers' last attempt to control the market is met with increasing buying volume.
Bearish Divergence:
Conversely, in a bearish divergence, the price achieves higher highs, reflecting the final push from buyers, while the RSI forms lower highs. This classic overbought scenario signals potential reversal as buyers lose momentum.
These divergence patterns provide reversal signals, whether in trending or ranging markets. It's essential to note that relying on a single strategy is not sufficient for consistent profits, however combining various strategies and setups enhances your win rate. Always trade with a risk level that aligns with your financial capacity.
Share Your Insights! Which indicator do you prefer for identifying divergence? Let me know in the comments below.
Xauusd SellIt could be retracment of a bullish move which was given to us in last week we have a confluence of Daily Resistance level and H4 bearish orderblock and as we remember we have achieved 68% fibbo retracment also the bigger confluance we are in down trend 📉 on daily time frame but for being safe the we in this little short trade is, in last week price has broke daily price channel to the downside and has not given any retracment this break above could be a fake out or price is getting retracted so we will wait and take a small ride of 120 pips on price rollar coaster
The Triangles. With Real-Life Examples.Today, let's back to fairly good known triangle shapes: Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending and Broadening Triangles.
Triangle chart patterns provide valuable insights into market dynamics, representing a battle between buyers and sellers within a narrowing price range. These patterns are often categorized as continuation or neutral patterns indicating that the price is likely to continue its existing trend after the pattern completes.
1. Symmetrical Triangle:
A symmetrical triangle occurs when the slope of the price's highs and lows converge, forming a triangular shape. This pattern signifies a period of consolidation, with lower highs and higher lows indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. As the slopes converge, a breakout becomes imminent, although the direction of the breakout is uncertain.
To take advantage of a symmetrical triangle, we can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows, prepared to ride the price in the direction of the breakout.
2. Descending Triangle:
In contrast to the ascending triangle, a descending triangle consists of lower highs forming the upper line, with a strong support level acting as the lower line. Sellers gain ground against buyers, and in most cases, the support line eventually breaks, leading to a continued downward move.
To trade a descending triangle, we can set entry orders above the upper line (lower highs) and below the support line, prepared for a potential breakout. However, it's important to note that in some instances, the support line may hold, resulting in a strong upward move.
3. Ascending Triangle:
An ascending triangle features a resistance level and a slope of higher lows. Buyers gradually push the price up, testing the resistance level. This pattern often signals a breakout to the upside, as buyers gain strength and attempt to break through the resistance.
To trade an ascending triangle, we can set entry orders above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows, ready for a potential upward breakout. However, it's important to remain open to movement in either direction, as sometimes the resistance level may prove too strong.
4. Broadening Triangle:
Now, let's dive into the intriguing Broadening Triangle, also known as a Megaphone Pattern. This pattern stands out due to its expanding price range, creating a unique visual pattern on the chart.
The Megaphone Pattern consists of a series of higher highs and lower lows, causing the price range to widen over time. This pattern reflects increasing volatility and uncertainty in the market, with both buyers and sellers actively participating.
To approach Triangle patterns effectively:
1️⃣ Pay attention to the pattern's boundaries: Identify the upper trendline connecting the highs and the lower trendline connecting the lows. These trendlines define the range of price movement within the pattern.
2️⃣ Watch for breakouts and reversals: Triangles often precedes significant price movements. We can look for breakouts above the upper trendline or breakdowns below the lower trendline as potential trading opportunities.
3️⃣ Confirm with additional indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or tools to validate your trading decisions. Consider using indicators like moving averages, oscillators, or volume analysis to confirm the pattern's potential direction.
Remember, trading the Triangles requires careful analysis and risk management. It's important to consider the overall market context, fundamental factors, and other technical signals to make informed trading decisions.
Wishing you successful trading journeys guided by these fascinating patterns! 🚀📈✨
GOLD: A SAFE HEAVEN IN UNCERTAIN TIMESTVC:GOLD
My current views on GOLD:
Short chart explanation.
This structure can be:
1. A continuation of the bigger WXY - forming another XZ correction (so the price is heading on the downside)
2. A correction at a smaller degree (ABC), finishing a potential Wave A on the downside, before bouncing forming the Wave B on the upside, potentially reaching again the top main resistance point.
Deeper insights:
In recent months, gold prices have been on the rise, as investors have sought to protect their wealth from inflation and the potential for a recession. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has also boosted demand for gold, as investors have sought to hedge against geopolitical risks.
Technical Analysis
On the 30-minute chart, gold is currently trading in a bullish trend. The price is above all major moving averages, and the RSI and MACD indicators are both bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
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On the 4-hour chart, gold is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above all major moving averages, and the RSI and MACD indicators are both bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
s3.tradingview.com
On the daily chart, gold is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above all major moving averages, and the RSI and MACD indicators are both bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
s3.tradingview.com
Conclusion
Overall, the technical and fundamental outlook for gold is bullish. The price is above all major moving averages on the 30-minute, 4-hour, and daily charts, and the RSI and MACD indicators are all bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
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Volatility Breakout Trading Explained"Welcome to a fascinating journey into the world of trading with the Volatility Breakout Strategy – a method that offers you a glimpse into the wisdom of legendary trader Larry Williams. In this comprehensive guide, we'll unravel the strategy's intricacies step by step, giving you the tools to incorporate it into your own trading style.
Disclaimer: Before we dive in, a word of caution. This is not financial advice. It's designed for educational and entertainment purposes only. Your investment decisions should always be made with due diligence, and you bear the responsibility for any profits or losses incurred. Trade and invest wisely.
The Volatility Breakout Strategy
This time-tested strategy, crafted by the legendary Larry Williams, centers around the idea that trends tend to persist. In other words, what goes up often continues its ascent. The beauty of this strategy lies in its simplicity:
Strategy Breakdown:
Range Calculation: Begin by calculating the range, which is the difference between the daily high and low prices (Range = High - Low).
Base Price: Determine the base price or entry price for the next day. It's calculated as the previous day's candle close plus a constant multiplier (K) times the range. Typically, K hovers around 0.6 to account for market noise.
Entry Signal: If the current day's price surpasses the calculated base price, it's your signal to enter a position.
Exit: The following day, sell all your positions at the market's open price.
Let's Illustrate with an Example:
Consider an asset with a daily range of $100. Calculating the base price gives us $1020. If the asset's price surpasses $1020 on the second day, you buy and ride the momentum. On the third day, you sell all positions at the market open. If the price reaches $1100 on the third day, that's a remarkable 7.84% return. Even if it retraces to $1000 at the opening, you still incur only a 1.96% loss. This showcases not just an attractive risk/reward ratio but also a statistical edge thanks to following the trend.
Strengths of the Volatility Breakout Strategy:
This strategy's strengths lie in its ability to sidestep the emotional rollercoaster of market psychology. By focusing on volatility and executing short-term trades with precise entry and exit points, it enables traders to tune out market noise. Trends, which reflect market psychology, become our allies rather than foes. Unlike reversal strategies, this approach provides a statistical edge and an appealing risk/reward ratio.
Conclusion:
While applying this strategy directly in today's markets may require some adjustments, understanding how legendary traders like Larry Williams approached the market is invaluable. The key takeaway is to remove emotion from your trading equation, maintain strict rules, and define clear invalidation points. These principles are fundamental to finding success in the dynamic world of trading.
If you found this educational post insightful and engaging, don't forget to hit that like button and follow for more high-quality content. Feel free to share your thoughts and questions below—let's navigate the exciting world of trading together!"
Hammer of Trend ChangeThe Hammer and Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns, two powerful tools adept traders employ for reversals.
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Here’s what you need to know:
1. Understanding the Essence:
Hammer: This pattern typically emerges at the culmination of a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish surge. Its small body and extended lower wick signify the bears' struggle to maintain lower prices.
Inverted Hammer: Contrarily, this pattern usually appears at the end of an uptrend, foreshadowing a possible bearish move down. Its small body and prolonged upper shadow denote the weakening grip of the bulls.
2. Decoding the Signals:
While Hammers don’t provide direct trading signals, they suggest a shift in momentum. Traders often see them as a sign of potential upward movement after a downtrend.
Inverted Hammers, appearing after an uptrend, hint at a potential reversal. The failed attempt by the bulls to sustain higher prices signifies a looming bearish sentiment.
3. Crafting Your Strategy:
When dealing with Hammers, traders might enter immediately after its formation or wait for confirmation with a bullish candle. Setting a stop-loss just below the recent low and targeting a significant resistance level is a common strategy.
For Inverted Hammers, a similar approach can be employed, focusing on prior support-turned-resistance levels. Vigilance and additional technical analysis are crucial for accurate predictions.
4. A Word of Caution:
While these patterns are robust, they should never be sole trading indicators. Combining them with other technical tools enhances accuracy and confidence in your trades.
5. Practice and Precision:
Prior to real trades, practice these strategies on demo accounts or paper trading. Platforms like TradingView, Vestinda and others like MetaTrader offer a conducive environment for refining your skills.
Incorporating Hammer and Inverted Hammer patterns into your trading toolkit empowers you to detect potential trend shifts. Remember, in trading, nuanced insights can translate into significant profits. Happy trading!
USDCAD Bearish intraday templateI'm currently leaning towards a sell bias on USD/CAD. Here's a simple template for a ''Sell Day''
I'm applying this sell template to identify potential short opportunities on USDCAD. My strategy involves recognizing liquidity grabs and patiently waiting for suitable entry criteria to materialize. My objective is to secure an entry near daily highs.
GBPUSD bullish intraday template I have a bullish bias for GBP/USD, following a simple bullish template. I'll maintain this bullish bias while closely monitoring how price reacts to allocated 1-hour Fibonacci retracement 1hour FVG and the previous higher high. However, I'm aware that price may not react bullishly in this area, as it could be drawn toward the daily low due to a daily bullish FVG, which aligns with another 1-hour FVG.
I'm open to the possibility of a deeper retracement, which could involve grabbing liquidity before the bullish momentum resumes. My objective is to close the day with a strong bullish candlestick, ideally closing above the daily inner FVG (iFVG) and the weekly FVG (wFVG) IF bullish entries present itself
A Possible Sell Entry in GoldAs Gold has retraced back to 78.6% of fibo level and would likely be falling from this price range the confluance for sell entries we have strong resistance level at 1864 to 1861 level also the confluance is we know that gold is in a downtrend and would return to its price level as in my anylisis gold is trying making lower high and would go for a Lowe low to atleast 1786 level and 1759 level
Unlocking The Trader's PyramidIn the realm of trading, success isn't solely derived from intricate technical analysis.
Surprisingly, the key to triumph lies in an unconventional ratio: 20% technical analysis and a staggering 80% blend of emotions, discipline, psychology, risk management, and money management.
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The 20%: Technical Expertise
Yes, technical analysis is crucial, comprising the foundational 20% of your crypto trading journey. This segment encompasses chart patterns, indicators, and market trends. However, it's not the sole determinant of your success.
The 80%: The Pillars of Triumph
The real magic happens within the 80%. Embracing your emotions, mastering discipline, understanding market psychology, and implementing astute risk and money management techniques form the cornerstone of your success. Emotional intelligence allows you to navigate market highs and lows, discipline ensures you stick to your strategies, and psychological resilience helps you stay steady amidst volatility. Effective risk and money management safeguard your capital and nurture your profits.
This symbiotic blend of technical expertise and emotional intelligence propels you towards trading mastery. By allocating your focus and energy according to this pyramid, you're not just trading; you're sculpting success . Let this balanced approach be your guiding light in the trading journey!
Happy trading! 💜
Gold BuyOANDA:XAUUSD
for Gold there is a scenario like Gold has given us an impulse to the downside and it hasn't corrected it self so we can expect a correction of this impulse to minimum 38.2% of Fibonacci levels which is almost 1857 if it goes for correction then our target is 1844-1857 and if it goes the other way it will be a Drop base Drop will be if it rejects over 1831 level then the scenario could be 1786 level of support but sell possiblity is lesser than buy because it has made an M pattern over daily weekly time frame which could possibly be corrected over 38.2% so we will Put some of our eggs 🥚 in Buy basket 🧺
Basics of Elliott Wave TheoryWelcome to the world of Elliott Waves.
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Elliott Wave Theory revolves around three key elements:
Impulse waves (in the direction of the trend)
Corrective waves (against the trend)
Wave degrees
Impulse waves consist of five sub-waves, while corrective waves comprise three. These waves form cycles, representing market psychology in action.
Key Rules of Elliott Waves
Wave 2 cannot retrace beyond the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 must be longer than both wave 1 and wave 5.
Wave 4 cannot exceed the end point of wave 1.
Elliott Waves and Fibonacci Retracement
Incorporating Fibonacci retracement levels refines Elliott Wave analysis. The fourth wave often hovers between 23.6%, 38.2% and 50%, while correction waves C often unfold within the 50% to 61.8% range.
Elliott Waves as Guides, Not Guarantees
It’s crucial to view tools like Elliott Wave Theory as guiding lights, not crystal balls. While they don’t assure foolproof predictions, they offer a framework to decipher market cycles. As patterns repeat, understanding market psychology becomes the trader’s edge.
Gold opportunity On NFPGold is waiting for NFP to come as its consolidating under 1931 to 1820 level and we can see a potential to either side but possibly gold will fall to 1800 level that all buy orders will be settled under 1820 level and to run the market , market makers need the money and they will try hit SL of maximum traders under these levels so we will be seeing a potential downwards move that gold is not in any clear direction
We will consider gold on bullish side when it will break above 1931 level and put our order other wise our confluance is all set for sell
That the price is hovering under these levels the 2nd confluence is price is trading under 200EMA and no sign of revesal
KSE 100 index sell side tradeAs KSE 100 index is moving towards it H4 supply and will return immediately from there if we get any rejection on level we will be shorting
The confluance for sell baised is on H4 break of structure as higher low was broke and move back upward and we will return from supply level
USOIL DAILY TIME FRAME The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
EURUSD 60 MIN TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Gold Potential Move over Buy sideIt seems like that the bears have made their move and completed their sell side moves and all the exausted Bears 🐻 will make gold 🪙 to reach a level of 1810 to 1800 and then a potential 700++ pips move will be going to start in gold after gold reaches and rejects 1800 level we will be Buying this pair in my point of view gold has not started any buys from this level its consolidation phase and a move to bearish side can be seen today