Boom And Bust Cycle of BitcoinGreetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView community and all Vesties out there!
The financial markets is a complex and dynamic arena where investors seek to capitalize on opportunities and generate profits.
One recurring phenomenon in the financial world is the "boom and bust cycle", characterized by periods of rapid asset price escalation followed by sudden and often dramatic declines. Understanding this cycle is crucial for investors to make informed decisions and navigate market volatility effectively. In this article, we will delve into the life cycle of a bubble within the context of the financial markets, using the Bitcoin price chart as a compelling example. Additionally, we will explore how Bitcoin's circulating supply contributes to its perceived value.
The Anatomy of a Bubble:
A bubble refers to a speculative phase during which the prices of assets, such as stocks or cryptocurrencies, soar to unsustainable levels fueled by investor euphoria, media hype, and the fear of missing out (FOMO). These bubbles are often followed by a sharp correction or crash, resulting in significant losses for those caught up in the frenzy. The cycle typically consists of four key phases:
a) Stealth Phase: Prices begin to rise slowly, driven by fundamental factors or innovative breakthroughs. Initial interest is limited, and only a few astute investors take notice.
b) Awareness Phase: Media coverage and public attention increase as prices gain momentum. More investors start to notice the rising prices and may begin to invest, contributing to further price appreciation.
c) Mania Phase: FOMO sets in as a growing number of investors rush to buy the asset, driving prices to astronomical heights. Speculative behavior dominates, and valuations become detached from underlying fundamentals.
d) Blow-Off Phase: The bubble reaches its peak, and prices begin to plummet as profit-taking and panic selling ensue. The market experiences a rapid decline, erasing gains made during the boom phase.
Bitcoin's Boom and Bust Cycle Example:
Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, has experienced multiple boom-bust cycles since its inception. One particularly notable example is the bubble of 2016-2017-2018 period:
a) Stealth Phase: Bitcoin's price had been steadily increasing due to growing interest and adoption within the tech and financial communities.
b) Awareness Phase: Media coverage intensified, drawing mainstream attention to the soaring Bitcoin prices. Retail investors started entering the market.
c) Mania Phase: The price skyrocketed to nearly $20,000 per Bitcoin, fueled by widespread FOMO. New investors poured money into the market, believing the rally would continue indefinitely.
d) Blow-Off Phase: The bubble burst, and Bitcoin's price tumbled, ultimately losing over 80% of its value. Many inexperienced investors who bought at the peak faced substantial losses.
The Role of Bitcoin's Circulating Supply:
Bitcoin's circulating supply, the total number of coins available for trading in the market, plays a crucial role in shaping its perceived value. The scarcity of Bitcoin is often cited as a driving factor behind its price appreciation. With a fixed supply of 21 million coins, the principle of supply and demand suggests that as demand for Bitcoin increases, its price should rise over time.
a) Halving Events: Approximately every four years, Bitcoin undergoes a "halving" event, where the rate at which new Bitcoins are mined is cut in half. This scarcity-inducing mechanism further accentuates the notion of limited supply, potentially driving up prices.
b) Investor Perception: Investors often view Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against traditional financial markets. As this perception grows, demand for Bitcoin increases, putting upward pressure on its price.
Understanding the life cycle of a bubble is essential for investors to make informed decisions and mitigate the risks associated with market volatility.
By examining the case of Bitcoin's boom and bust cycle and considering the impact of its circulating supply, we gain valuable insights into how market dynamics and human behavior can shape asset prices. As the financial world continues to evolve, these lessons remain relevant, serving as a reminder of the importance of rational investment strategies and a clear understanding of market fundamentals.
Educationaltrade
EDUCATION: How to trade forex?Trading foreign currency on the forex market, also known as foreign exchange trading, can be an exciting hobby and a lucrative source of income for many people. Currently, the stock market trades about $22.4 billion per day, while the forex market trades around $5 trillion per day. There are various ways you can engage in online forex trading.
1. Learn basic forex terms.
- The currency you are using, or selling, is the base currency. The currency that you are buying is called the quote currency. In forex trading, you will sell one currency to buy another.
- The exchange rate tells you how much you have to spend in the quote currency to buy one unit of the base currency.
- A long position means you want to buy the base currency and sell the quote currency. In our example above, you want to sell dollars to buy pounds.
- A short position means you want to buy the quote currency and sell the base currency. In other words, you sell British pounds and buy US dollars.
- The bid price is the price the broker is willing to buy the base currency for in exchange for the quote currency. The bid price is the best price at which you want to sell your quote currency in the market.
- The ask price, or ask price, is the price at which the broker sells the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. The asking price is the best you are willing to buy from the market.
Spread is the difference between the bid price and the ask price.
2. Specify the currency you want to buy and sell in.
- Forecasting the economy. For example, if you believe the US economy will continue to weaken, and this is not good for the US dollar, you may therefore want to sell dollars in exchange for currency from a country with a strong economy. .
- View a country's trading position. If a country has a lot of popular goods, it may export goods to make a profit. This trade advantage will boost economic development, thereby helping to boost the value of this country's currency.
- Political review. If a country is holding an election, its currency will appreciate if the winner of the election has a fiscally biased agenda. In addition, if a country's government loosens regulations on economic growth, this will push up the value of the currency.
- Read economic reports. A report on GDP, or on other economic factors such as employment and inflation, of a country will have an effect on the value of that country's currency.
3. Learn how to calculate profit.
- Use the unit "pip" to measure the change in value between two currencies. Usually, one pip equals 0.0001 change in value. For example, if the EUR/USD rate increased from 1.546 to 1.547, then the value of your currency has increased by 10 pips.
- Multiply the number of pips your account changes by the exchange rate to find out how much your account value has increased or decreased.
4. Market analysis. You can try several different methods such as:
- Technical Analysis: Technical analysis is looking at charts or previous data to predict the direction of currency movement based on past events. The broker will usually provide you with a chart, or else you can use a popular platform like Metatrader 4.
- Fundamental Analysis: This analysis involves looking at the economic background and character of the country and based on this information to make trading decisions.
- Psychoanalysis: This type of analysis is largely subjective. You're basically trying to analyze market sentiment to figure out if the market is trending "bearish" or "bullish." While market sentiment cannot always be certain, you can still make some guesses, and this will positively impact your trading.
5.Define margin trading. Depending on the broker's policies, you can invest little money and still make big trades.
- For example, if you want to trade 100,000 units with a margin of 1%, the broker will ask you to put $1,000 in cash in your account for safety.
- Both profit and loss will be added or deducted from the account. For this reason, the best general rule is to only invest 2% of your cash in a particular currency pair.
6. Advise.
- Try to use only about 2% of your total cash. For example, if you decide to invest $1,000, try using only $20 to invest in a currency pair. Prices in Forex are very volatile, and you have to make sure you have enough money to spend when the currency pair price drops.
- Try using a demo account to make forex trades before investing real capital. That way you can be sure of the process and definitely should you join forex trading. After you always make the right trading decisions with a demo account, you can start doing it with a real forex account.
- Limit losses. Let's say you have invested 20 USD in EUR/USD currency pair, and today you have lost 5 USD. But you haven't lost your money yet. It is important that you only use about 2% of your cash back per trade, plus a stop loss with that 2%. You still have enough capital to cover this period so you can keep the position from closing and make a profit.
- Remember a loss is not a loss unless your position is closed. If your position is still open, your loss will only be calculated if you choose to close the position and take the loss.
- If the currency pair moves against your will, and you do not have enough funds to cover it during this time, your order will be automatically cancelled. Therefore, you must make sure not to make this mistake.
7. Warning.
- More than 90% of day traders fail. If you want to learn the common pitfalls that cause you to make bad trading decisions, consult a trusted fund manager.
- Check to make sure that the brokerage firm has a specific address. If the broker does not provide an address then you better find someone else to avoid being scammed.
EDUCATION: The most common model patterns!Hello traders, I present to you a few candlestick patterns that appear frequently and have a fairly large win rate.
CUP AND HANDLE
The cup and handle pattern on the price chart resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is U-shaped and the handle slopes down slightly.
The cup forms after moving upwards and looks like a bowl or round bottom. When the cup is completed, a narrow price range develops on the right side and a handle is formed. A subsequent breakout of the trading range forms the handle indicating a continuation of the previous upward move.
PENNANT PATTERN
This is a type of continuation pattern that forms when there is a major move in the market, known as a flagpole, followed by a period of consolidation with converging trendlines, pennants, and finally a move. breaks in the same direction, like the original move, representing the second half of the flagpole.
FLAG
The flag pattern is used to determine the possibility of a continuation of a previous trend from a point where the price has drifted in the same trend. If the trend continues, the price could rise rapidly, making it an advantageous time to trade using a flag pattern. If you think you've seen a flag to trade, the most important thing is a fast and steep price trend.
If the price slowly rises and falls below the flag, you should not trade at that time.
DOUBLE BOTTOM
The trajectory of the price line during the formation of the pattern resembles the letter "W". The last two price lows, located approximately the same, are a strong support zone where two price reversals are made to the upside.
When the market price breaks through the resistance level of the pattern, the formation of the pattern is complete. The BUY signal appears and the trend will change.
EDUCATION: DCA with Trader!What is DCA? How to use the price averaging strategy to increase profits
DCA or price averaging strategy can be an effective way to manage risk when investing in assets like stocks, cryptocurrencies… I will walk you through how it works and its pros and cons. for easy understanding.
When considering investment, if you have a large amount of money in hand ready to invest. DCA is a method that can be suitable for both experienced and new investors to reduce the risk of seeing how their investments decline in value.
What is DCA?
- DCA (price averaging strategy) is a method of breaking down capital to invest in a fixed and more frequent way over a long period of time.
- This is a smart investment strategy. However, you must not confuse it with the fact that you bottom out the price of an asset when it drops deep to buy at a good price.
- DCA is really good if you correctly predict the trend by analyzing the market. And of course, the price averaging strategy must involve technical analysis or specifically instrument indicators such as MA, MACD, Bollinger bands, Elliott waves, etc.
Bitcoin problem using DCA
Now do a math on Bitcoin investment for you to visualize.
Problem 1: Buy Bitcoin once with all assets
This is the case I think is mostly true for newcomers to the market. For example, you have 10000$ and buy it all with bitcoins for 8000$. You get 1.25 BTC.
Then Bitcoin achieves the gain/loss that you want to sell, then we will have a profit/loss table with the selling prices as follows:
- SELL at 6000$ = Take Profit -2000$
- SELL at 12000$ = Take Profit 2000$
- SELL at 14000$ = Take Profit 4000$
This is a basic math problem. The next step is to use the average price of your capital. Try it out and see how it turns out. Here, I will divide according to market developments so that you can consider it in the most comprehensive way.
Problem 2: DCA in a bear market
This is a problem that makes the DCA method really shine. Now, let's say the plan with the capital of 10000$ above will buy in batches. Divide the capital into 4 times, so use $ 2500 for each installment.
Proceed to buy bitcoin at 8000, 6000, 5000, 3000. So after 4 such purchases the number of Bitcoins you hold is 2.0625 BTC. After that BTC returns to the upside, you will calculate profit and loss at the prices if you sell as shown in the table below:
- SELL at 4000$ = Take Profit -1750$
- SELL at 10000$ = Take Profit 10625$
- SELL at 12000$ = Take Profit 14750$
Do you see that if the expectations are right, the profit will be huge. When bitcoin fell, you increased your holdings more than you could buy once. Investment capital increased as BTC price increased with a total profit of ~1.5 times when selling at $12000.
Problem 3: DCA in a sideways market
When the market moves sideways for a year, for example, the price moves in a narrow range. You can buy bitcoin in 4 batches at the prices 8000, 7500, 7000, 6000. With these buying prices you will buy 0.877976 BTC.
You can see it's similar to a one-time purchase with all capital, right?
The market can move sideways, up and down. But end up where they started in the long run. However, you will never be able to accurately predict where the market is headed.
If bitcoin had moved even lower, rather than higher, the price average would have allowed for even bigger profits. This is where you make sure you have long-term profits, not just immediate ones.
Problem 4: DCA in a rising market
In this last problem, also divide the capital of 10000$ into four installments for 5000, 6500, 7000, 8000. So after 4 purchases you have 1.55 BTC. When the price increases, you have the profit and loss in the following table:
- SELL at 4000$ = Take Profit -3800$
- SELL at 6000$ = Take Profit -700$
- SELL at 8000$ = Take Profit 2400$
This is a problem where DCA performs a bit poorly, at least in the short term. Bitcoin rallied higher and then continued higher. Therefore, price averaging does not help you maximize your profits. This one involves buying the whole thing in one go.
But unless you are making short term profits, this is a rare scenario in life. Bitcoin can evaporate, kkk. So, if you are investing for the long term, it is advisable to spread the capital in the trades. Even if that means you have to pay more at a certain price.
Is the price averaging strategy really good?
In general, the price averaging strategy offers three main benefits that can lead to better returns: Avoiding market fomo, avoiding market confusion, Long term investment thinking.
Because investors often fluctuate between fear and greed. They tend to make emotional trading decisions when the market reverses.
However, if you use DCA, you will buy when people are selling in fear (green quit, red watch, kkk).
Get a good price and set yourself up for a long profit. Markets tend to move up over time, and averaging prices can help you realize that a bear market is a great long-term opportunity. Instead of being afraid of things.
Limitations of the average DCA method
The first, perhaps the most discussed, is the modest profit. More frequent purchases increase transaction costs. However, with exchanges charging less transaction fees, this cost becomes more manageable.
Furthermore, if you are investing for the long term, the fees will become very small compared to your overall portfolio since you are buying for long term investment purposes. Binance is my top choice because of its diverse ecosystem and reasonable fee schedule.
Second, you can forego the profit you would have earned if you had invested in a one-time purchase and the property you purchased appreciates in value.
However, the success of trading largely depends on identifying the market correctly when predicting the short-term movement of an asset class. This is done by famous and good analysts.
What is the EMA? How to use EMA most effectively!What is EMA?
EMA or Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that is based on a weighted exponential formula that is more responsive to changes recent prices, compared to a simple moving average (SMA) that only applies equal weight to all periods, helping the EMA to smooth the price line more than the SMA.
What signals does the EMA provide to traders?
Moving averages offer a significant benefit by offering clear insight into price trends. In other words, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cannot exceed or remain above the price line unless the price is increasing. Similarly, it cannot be below the price line if the price is not actually decreasing. This is crucial for traders as it provides a distinct and reliable indication of the price trend, avoiding any ambiguity. The trend is essential in helping traders identify entry points.
The EMA will become a dynamic resistance, because it moves in the direction of the price, which means where the price goes, the EMA will follow.
Become dynamic support and resistance levels (these resistance levels can be used to compare the trendline, support and static resistance lines). From here will look for entry points, stop loss and take profit points.
Identify price trends.
Which EMA should be used most appropriately?
EMA 9 or EMA 10: This number represents a two-week period of trading, making EMA9/EMA10 commonly used for short-term transactions.
EMA 34/EMA 89 are used to align with the primary waves as per the Elliott wave theory.
EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 200 are closely associated with trading sessions. Over the course of a year, we can typically trade for around 200 days, accounting for holidays and breaks. EMA50 represents the medium term, corresponding to the four seasons in a year, with each season having approximately 50 trading sessions. Similarly, EMA 20 represents the month.
Some traders also utilize the 250 EMA in addition to the 200 EMA, believing that 250 represents the number of trading days in a year.
EMA100 is a commonly chosen EMA due to its round number value. Round numbers are often seen as psychological barriers in trading.
Compare trendline with EMA:
As mentioned earlier, EMA is another way to identify trends, just like the trendline.
To better understand this concept, the trendline can be seen as a fixed resistance. Once you draw a trendline, it will act as a reference point for the price.
On the other hand, EMA is a dynamic resistance. It moves along with the price line. Unlike the trendline, EMA closely follows the price line because it is calculated based on the price itself. This makes EMA more accurate in showing the trend. It can clearly indicate whether the price is above or below the EMA.
Some notes with EMA:
- When the price surpasses or falls below the EMA, but then retreats below it again, it indicates a strong downtrend or uptrend.
- If the price strays too far from the EMA, it is advisable to wait for it to correct itself and return to the EMA before considering any trading actions.
- Fast EMAs or short period EMAs are more sensitive to price movements compared to slow EMAs, but they are also more prone to breakdowns. This can be advantageous as it allows for early trend identification compared to the SMA. However, the EMA is likely to experience more frequent short-term fluctuations compared to the corresponding SMA.
- EMAs act as dynamic resistance levels that consistently track the price line.
- The EMA is not primarily used for pinpointing exact tops or bottoms. Instead, it assists traders in aligning their trades with the prevailing trend.
- The EMA always has a delay, making the SMA more useful in sideways markets, while the EMA is more effective in clearly trending markets.
Thank you @TradingView !
Double Top/Bottom Pattern #️⃣OKXIDEAS!!!👨🏫Hello, everyone!👋 (Reading time less than 7 minutes⏰) .
There are many opportunities in the market that traders can get at every single moment. Some like to step up little by little, and some like to climb the mountain as soon as possible. The financial market, such as crypto and forex, is the same. That’s why some patterns represent the consequence of being an overnight millionaire.
In this article, I will discuss two resembling patterns and talk about how to trade with them.
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Double Top Pattern:
Double Top Pattern is the name of a classic pattern that can bring lots of money for the ones who use it to trade in different financial markets, such as cryptocurrency and forex.
It’s noted that this pattern is used in two-sided markets, and stock traders cannot use Double Top Pattern to enter but to exit.
Double Top Pattern is one of the most common technical patterns that can be used to identify an asset's roof on the chart.
Stay with me to learn how this pattern is drawn on the chart and how you can get dollars out of it in very simple words.
As the name suggests, Double Top represents the highest point of an asset in the area, which is known as a sensitive resistance zone.
Reversal patterns are one of the most important chart patterns. So is Double Top, which occurs at the end of an upward trend. That means Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern.
As the name shows, this pattern forms from two consecutive rounding tops according to the standard.
Here you can see what the Double Top Pattern looks like:
In an uptrend, the price breaks through resistance levels one by one, as it rises.
When the price reaches a vital resistance level stronger than the last support level, that resistance pushes the price down, and it breaks through the support level.
Buyers know that the uptrend has ended, and the price will enter a bearish channel.
The shape of this pattern is like the letter ‘M,’ which has caused many traders to name it the ‘ M pattern ,’ but I call it ‘ Double Top ’ or ‘ Twin Top .’
Here are some tips you have to know to reduce the mistakes you’ll probably face on the path:
Double Top can be used in any time frame.
In Double Top Pattern, the peaks are not exactly the same size or at the same price. You are about to ignore any slight differences between them.
The distance from the neckline to the top should be 20 to 25%(often) of the size of the upward trend; otherwise, it’s not considered a reversal pattern.
As you see in the picture, the price goes up for a while when the buyers struggle to push it up, but it cannot pass the neckline, so it’s rejected. This neckline touch is called “the last kiss,” which is one of the best short-entry positions. I recommend that a trader considers pullbacks as confirmations.
But on the other hand, you’ll lose some profits because not all the time pullbacks are completed. So, stay with me to tell you how to trade using the Double Top Patten.
How to trade on Double Top Pattern
There are some general methods that you can trade on Double Top Pattern; here you go:
1. Breaking neckline
The first strategy to trade using the Double Top Pattern is to take a short position when the neckline is correctly broken.
2. The price retracement to the neckline (pullback/last kiss)
The second useful strategy is to wait for the price to pull back to the neckline and then open a short position. It’s noted that the neckline is now considered a resistance line.
3. Combination of the first and second methods
To enter the short position transaction using the double top pattern, you can use a combination of the first and second methods. You can divide the amount of volume that you want to enter into a short position into equal amounts or amounts that are consistent with your capital management. Your first entry point can be when the price breaks the neckline in a valid way (better a bearish marubozu candle) / the second entry point can be when the price pulls back to the neckline / there is even a third point, a little below the level the valley where pullback began to form.
You can use a combination of the entry points I mentioned to enter a short position.
Does The Double Top Pattern Fail?
To tell the truth, all patterns have the possibility to fail, and Double Top is no exception.
Indeed, it’s no big deal, dude. A trader always finds a way to make enough profits.
As I mentioned, the Double Top Pattern is a reversal. When the price goes above the top, the pattern fails and is unsuitable for trading.
In this case, a buy signal can be considered. When the price passes the Double Top and goes up, a neckline is formed at the top, the line that connects the two tops on the above chart.
The entry point is when the price returns to this upper neckline. The stop-loss will be below the last bottom, and the take-profit point will be as long as the distance from the upper neckline to the last bottom.
Here is a secret I’ll tell you. Usually, after the failure of these reversal patterns, the upward trend continues with more strength, and you can make profits faster.
As I said earlier, during an uptrend, the price reaches its resistance zone, but it’s unable to pass it. Here the uptrend stops and finally it starts to go down in the opposite direction.
Now the buyers are pushing the price up to retest the resistance level, which is a hard shield to cross, and sellers are the winners in pushing the price to go down for the second time. This movement makes a pattern called “Double Top.”
But the point is that the Double Top pattern can appear in four different types.
Bearish reversal Adam and Eve Patterns; in descending order of power and efficiency:
1st.Eve & Eve Double Top (EEDT)
2nd.Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT)
3rd.Adam & Eve Double Top (AEDT)
4th.Eve & Adam Double Top (EADT)
Eve & Eve Double Top (EEDT)
Let’s see what the Eve-Eve pattern looks like. As you can guess, Eve-Eve consists of two round peaks. That is, both tops are similar to the upside-down letter U.
Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT)
In this type of pattern, you can see mountain-like price tops. That means the tops are similar to the upside-down of the letter V. In this type, one or two candles hit the resistance level.
Adam & Eve Double Top (AEDT)
In the case of Adam-Eve, the tip of the first top is sharp, and the second top is round and wide, which has a shape like an upside-down U.
Eve & Adam Double Top (EADT)
In this status, the first top is round, and the second top is pointed. Eve-Adam Double Top Pattern is exactly the opposite of the Adam-Eve one.
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Double Bottom Pattern:
Reversal patterns are in the tops and bottoms. The Double Bottom Pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that forms at the end of a downtrend, and it looks like the letter “ W ” in English. So it’s a good place to get a long position.
Unlike the Double Top pattern, buyers take control of the market so that when the price hits the support zone, it is pushed up again.
This pattern is one the best patterns for stock market traders with daily and long-term trades.
Double Bottom can be used in any time frame.
In two-sided markets, after engulfing the neckline, the potency of buyers increases, and more buyers enter the market.
Trading volume increases after breaking the neckline, so the price gradient steepens.
Here you can see an image of the Double Bottom Pattern:
How to trade on Double Bottom Pattern
After the price breaks the neckline, entering a long position can be profitable. But the confirmation is really important to be seen. The bullish Marubozu candle is one useful candle for pattern confirmation. Dojis and short candles are not that strong to convince confirmation. So you are about to face a fake break which leads the price to fall more.
Follow the steps below to make profits:
Entry points are like a double-top pattern.
Stop-loss is below the bottom.
Take-profit point is the distance from the neckline to the bottom.
Failed Double Bottom Pattern
Never forget that the patterns can be failed in the market due to the news and fundamental source. A professional trader is always looking for a valid confirmation.
When the price falls below two bottoms, the pattern fails. But you can earn money with the failed pattern too.
When the price passes the bottoms and goes down, a neckline forms under the pattern. This line connects the two bottoms.
Here I go with the failed Double Bottom Pattern:
The entry point is when the price returns to the neckline.
The stop-loss will be above the last top.
The take-profit point will be the distance from the bottom neckline to the last top.
Here is a picture of what a Failed Double Bottom Pattern looks like.
Classical patterns are in different shapes that directly affect their performance. Various types of Double Bottom Patterns are made with the Adam and Eve patterns.
These types of Double Bottom patterns are as follows:(in descending order of power and efficiency)
1st. Eve & Eve Double Bottom (EEDB)
2nd. Adam & Eve Double Bottom (AEDB)
3rd. Eve & Adam Double Bottom (EADB)
4th. Adam & Adam Double Bottom (AADB)
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🔔 Conclusion
Reversal patterns such as Double Top/Bottom can be really profitable, but the essential thing is to follow your strategy and capital management. I also suggest that you follow these educational series posts to get all you need about trading.
Regulated vs Unregulated Brokers: Understanding the Differences When it comes to choosing a broker for trading, one of the most important factors to consider is whether the broker is regulated or unregulated. While both types of brokers can offer trading services, there are some significant differences between them that traders should be aware of.
Regulated brokers are licensed and monitored by regulatory authorities, such as the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK or the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the US. These authorities set strict rules and standards that brokers must follow to protect investors and maintain market integrity. For example, regulated brokers are required to segregate client funds from their own operating funds, provide regular reports on their financial health, and maintain a certain level of capitalization.
Unregulated brokers, on the other hand, are not licensed or monitored by any regulatory authority. This means that they are not subject to the same rules and standards as regulated brokers, and may not provide the same level of protection for investors. Unregulated brokers may also be more susceptible to fraud and scams, as there is no external oversight to ensure that they are operating in a fair and transparent manner.
There are some potential advantages to using an unregulated broker, such as lower fees or more flexible trading conditions. However, these benefits may come at a higher risk to the investor, as unregulated brokers may not provide the same level of security and protection as regulated brokers.
In summary, choosing between a regulated and unregulated broker is an important decision for any trader. While unregulated brokers may offer some advantages, such as lower fees, they also come with a higher risk of fraud and scams. Regulated brokers, on the other hand, are subject to strict rules and standards that help to protect investors and maintain market integrity. As such, it is important to carefully consider the reputation and regulatory status of any broker before entrusting them with your investments.
Trader ⚔️VS⚔️ Analyst !!!(Differences)Hi, everyone👋.
Do you like surfing or guiding surfers?
In this article, I will talk about how analysis differs from trading. A good analyst is not necessarily a good trader📉. Do you know what the point is❗️❓
The point is that analysts talk about all aspects, so they always tell the truth and explain what really happens on the market, but the traders ride the waves. Financial markets include high and low waves, so if a trader makes a mistake in measuring its depth, speed, and height may drown in the sea. If you are a trader, don’t be proud of yourself because the financial market sea is very cruel or a beast.
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There are four trading keys in financial markets:
Trading Strategy
Capital Management
Market Psychology
Trader Psychology
These keys are like four legs of a chair🪑 which should be sat on carefully and calmly. Although by removing one of the legs, it’s possible to sit on the chair, safety has to be considered.
I’ll explain all the trading keys in the market in other posts later, but for now, let me dig into the differences between Analysis📈 and Trading💰 .
What is considered in the analysis are the price targets in both rising🟢 and falling🔴 markets, the probability of its occurrence and non-occurrence, and the necessary conditions for both.
Considering the subtlety of an analyst's words and the mentality of the people studying - who are mainly looking for confirmation of their position - generally, the analyst will always be right unless he has declared only one direction decisively, which is not an analysis, but a signal and prediction.
Declaring an upward↗️ or downward↘️ trend in only one direction is not an analysis but a prediction. It’s noted that any prediction can be wrong. But in the comprehensive analysis of both sides, the necessary conditions for their occurrence and their probability are stated, so whatever happens, the analyst is right, and you will hear the famous saying "as predicted."
🔷 A successful trader can take the following steps:
Comprehensive analysis of the market situation in which he wants to trade:
The technical analysis must be prepared before opening a trade position. A wrong analysis does not always lead to a wrong trade, and vice versa, a correct analysis does not lead to a correct trade because you have to see whether the position trigger is activated or not.
Find useful trading strategies to achieve profitable trading:
A trading strategy can be a system that includes a combination of different indicators and oscillators, which can finally indicate the entry and exit points as well as profit and stop loss while trading. This system makes you behave like a robot; after understanding and analyzing the market, you’ll wait for the entry and exit points to appear. Trusting this trading strategy is one of the critical keys to successful trading.
All the points mentioned so far are related to the technical analysis aspects; otherwise, in the Fundamental field, a daily checklist of various factors affecting the market is needed, which is vital for Fundamental analysis.
Find your own timeframe:
Chart analysis and trading can be viewed from the 1-second time frame(short-term) to several years(long-term), but every trader should have his own time frame based on his trading strategy.
The time frame is important because:
The trading strategy should help traders find the entry and exit signals in the same time frame.
The Stop Loss(SL) should be determined based on entry points in the same time frame.
The time required to reach profitability is estimated based on the same time frame. You can't analyze on a daily time frame and expect to get a very good profit immediately after entering the position.
After determining the time frame and with the help of the trading strategy, the following tasks should be done.
Studying market analysis to identify market trends, the state of market movement waves, and daily, weekly, and monthly support and resistance zones.
Determining the Entry Points(EP) based on the strategy
Determining the Stop Loss(SL) based on the strategy
Determining the Take Profits(TP) based on the strategy
All the above must be done before entering the market, and the only thing done after entering the market is the last step—changing the exit point based on the variable stop loss to increase profit.
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🔷 Conclusion:
According to the explanations given, it can be understood that analysis and trading have a significant differences. It should be noted that every wrong analysis published on social networks does not indicate that the analyst does not trade well and vice versa. So, to profit from the financial markets, you must be trained in the first step. Become an analyst and then trade. For this, you have to go step by step, don't be greedy, don't rush, so that you can stay in the financial markets and earn profit every day until you get a continuous profit one day.
EURUSD: Part 1 funny story!I. Not proficient unconsciously.
When you enter the market and start trading, you may think that it's a great way to make money because you hear a lot about it and know of people who have made a lot of money from Forex. However, it's important to note that this is just the first stage and, like when you first learn to drive, it may seem easy at first but can be challenging as you continue to learn. Prices in the market can fluctuate wildly, adding to the complexity of Forex trading.
When you're new to trading, it can be overwhelming and confusing. You may find yourself unsure of what to do when you see the prices fluctuate in the market. Without proper knowledge, you may take risks that could potentially harm your trades. You may even fall into a cycle of increasing your trading volume when you feel confident, only to end up losing capital in the long run. This is a common stage for beginners that typically lasts a few months to a year before moving on to the next phase.
Continue ...
I will release the next part tomorrow, stay tuned.
6 simplest and most effective forex trading methods!Popular forex trading methods
Typically, strategies for forex trading are primarily founded on fundamental and technical analysis. Hence, astute traders possess the skill to creatively merge efficient trading techniques to identify the most appealing gains.
1. Day trading
Day trading is a trading strategy where traders, known as day traders, do not hold any trades overnight and close all orders before the end of the trading session. Day traders commonly use technical analysis to assess and capitalize on price changes by observing time frames or trading volumes throughout the day. Typically, day traders keep trades open for a few minutes to a few hours.
- Advantage: By effectively managing risks, traders can secure monthly profits without having to worry about prices moving unfavorably due to news or paying overnight fees. Additionally, closing positions at the end of each session can help avoid potential risks.
- Defect: Monitoring the market throughout the day can be both stressful and time-consuming for traders. Failure to do so could result in significant losses if the market experiences a decline or deviates from predicted movements.
2. Scalping
Scalping, a technique utilized by investors known as Scalpers, involves short-term trading wherein orders are held for just a few seconds or minutes at most. This approach entails buying and selling multiple times a day to capitalize on minor price movements within short time frames in order to gain small spreads. Scalpers execute numerous orders during trading sessions due to the brief trading period. With adept use of financial leverage, a trader can typically earn 5-10 pips per trade on average. However, choosing a broker with low spreads and commissions is crucial for maximizing the benefits of the scalping approach and minimizing trading costs.
- Advantage: There are always plenty of profitable trading opportunities every day. Overall income is quite high.
- Defect: Always have to watch forex charts for hours. The mind is always tense and pressured.
3. Swing trading
Swing trading is a strategy used by traders to take advantage of oscillations in the market. It involves holding positions for a few days to weeks, typically averaging two to four days. This approach relies heavily on technical analysis, including candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicator lines, to identify suitable entry and exit points. Since it is a medium-term strategy, traders usually analyze forex charts on 1H (1 hour) and 4H (4 hours) time frames.
- Advantage: You don't have to constantly monitor the market like scalpers and day traders, which frees up time for other important tasks. This allows for a more relaxed mental state and less pressure. The rate of return is still quite appealing.
- Defect: Take the risk for holding orders overnight. It is not possible to get a large profit when the market has strong fluctuations in a bad trend.
4. Position trading
Position trading is a trading strategy that involves holding orders for a prolonged period, ranging from several weeks to even years. Consequently, forex charts of position traders are viewed over days or weeks. Unlike scalpers, position traders rely more on fundamental analysis rather than technical analysis to make informed decisions regarding future price trends and determine whether to buy or sell currency.
- Advantage: No need to spend a lot of time "watching" the market. The sentiment is relaxed and not under great pressure because position traders are not affected by short-term price movements. Profit margins can be huge if the market moves according to your expectations.
- Defect: Requires traders to have a solid background in fundamental analysis and technical analysis, especially when it comes to regularly monitoring economic and political news in the world. The capital requirement is quite large as the stop loss is usually deeper. Profit is calculated on an annual basis because the number of trades is very small.
5. Price action
Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing previous price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Fundamental analysis is seldom used by price action traders, who instead rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. Price action trading is applicable to short, medium, and long-term timeframes, and investors are advised to analyze prices across multiple timeframes for a more comprehensive and precise overview.
- Advantage: Trading is relatively simple because mainly just using candlestick charts. Therefore, the price action method is very suitable for new traders. Cultivate analytical thinking ability.
- Defect: For intensive use is very difficult. It is highly subjective, depending on the assessment and experience of each trader. There are many risks such as strong price fluctuations or the market being manipulated by the makers.
6. High-Frequency Trading
Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing past price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Unlike fundamental analysis, price action traders rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. This approach is suitable for various timeframes, and investors are advised to consider multiple timeframes for more precise analysis.
- Advantage: Contributing to stabilizing the market to avoid strong price fluctuations. From there, helping traders limit big losses. Make full use of the price difference and make a profit.
- Defect: Trade with fast speed and large volume, so it is easy to have a strong impact on the market. No broker involvement due to complex algorithms applied. Easy to cause virtual transactions.
How to choose the right trading method for you
1. Determine the purpose of forex investment.
2. Determine the transaction time.
3. Consider some other factors.
Conclude: The article mentioned six successful forex trading methods along with their benefits and drawbacks. This comprehensive guide will assist you in selecting an investment plan that aligns with your objectives and vision. By skillfully combining these trading methods, you can increase your chances of successful transactions. Good luck in achieving your investment goals!
6 Short term Forex trading tips.To succeed in short-term forex trading strategies such as scalping and intraday, there are six key secrets that must be understood and implemented. These secrets are essential to success and have been proven effective.
1. Trading capital
Many traders aim to grow their small account from 10$ to $100 by frequently trading small orders, and some may even turn it into $100,000. However, it is not a guaranteed outcome for everyone. Short term trades require sufficient capital as they involve frequent opening and closing of positions. Failure to understand concepts such as Lot determination, pip valuation, and capital management may result in significant losses. Having low capital increases the risk of losing the account quickly, especially if the trader has poor control over their gains and losses.
2. Determine leverage
It's important to keep in mind that leverage has both positive and negative effects in Forex trading. Traders often suffer losses not because of their trading abilities, but rather due to two primary reasons:
Do not know how to use leverage, or abuse leverage
Lack of funds
When you use full leverage to trade, you are putting your account at the highest risk.
3. Transaction costs
All businesses have to bear transaction costs, and in the case of the Forex market, these costs are in the form of Spread, Comission, and Tax. The frequency of transactions directly impacts the escalation of costs, which can be pretty significant, especially for accounts that incur high Comission charges. However, if you avoid Comission, you may have to bear high Spread costs instead.
If you are interested in scalping or intraday trading, it is advisable to select a broker that offers low commission and narrow spread. But make sure that you are using an ECN account, as it will only require you to pay the commission fee. Moreover, it is suggested that you enroll in an IB account to receive additional commission rebates. It is crucial to consider these factors while choosing a broker for scalping and intraday trading.
4. Fluctuations of market trends
For traders who engage in Intraday and Scalping, it is crucial to select the appropriate position for trading. The initial step involves assessing the overall market trend, followed by recognizing significant price levels. You should then analyze the underlying factors that influence short-term fluctuations within those price levels. Lastly, you must opt for a Forex trading timeframe that aligns with your trading approach.
5. Scalping and Intraday Trading Strategy
To effectively track and analyze the shorter time periods M1 and M5, it is important to identify the four factors and key rate areas that can lead to errors. After doing so, it is recommended to backtest and determine if any of the trading frameworks are suitable. An effective intraday and scalping strategy is to utilize the breakout trading strategy, specifically targeting psychological zones such as support and resistance zones.
6. Trading Psychology
When it comes to short-term trading, traders face greater psychological pressure and must exercise more patience in order to achieve maximum profit while minimizing risk. Compared to long-term traders, those who engage in short-term trading experience more pressure. Additionally, it is important for traders to maintain a high level of trading discipline by entering trades quickly, placing accurate and timely orders, and avoiding greed. These factors are essential for success in short-term trading.
Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you ❤️
eur/usd longhere i am looking to long eurusd for a potential tp of 70 pips (we may trail s/l if we takek out previous highs on the hourly time frame
information shared is for educational and demo purposes only, please use proper risk management when trading in the financial markets
disclaimer - past results dont guarantee a future profit all trade ideas are of my own opinion and should not be taken as investment advice!
information shared is for educational and demo purposes only
How to achieve profits by managing emotions?Market fluctuations are often a direct reflection of the emotions of market participants. Managing and controlling emotions is essential for successful trading. If you cannot control your emotions, you will suffer from impulsive emotional behavior and make bad decisions, which will harm your trading performance.
Negative emotions such as fear, hatred, anger, greed, jealousy, pessimism, and despair can lead to negative consequences for traders. Traders who have negative emotions may lack the ability to leave positions, refuse to accept reality, and blame others, resulting in selling positions only after a long period of price declines, missing the best buying points, and selling too early.
Negative traders may also regard failure as a negative, significant, and final result, attributing losses to their own shortcomings or negligence.
Everyone experiences various emotions, but people with high emotional intelligence can better manage their negative emotions and vent them appropriately. Emotional control skills can be developed through practice, but it is important to note that this process is a long-term and systematic one. Traders must be psychologically prepared for this.
Therefore, no matter what happens, you must control your impulsive emotions. Take a deep breath for 10 seconds, then choose the best course of action. This often leads to more rational and correct decisions.
Do not make decisions when impulsive, and do not make promises when excited. By managing your emotions, you gain control over your life.
There are various emotions in life, and you must learn to manage and control them. Do not be a slave to your emotions. Manage your negative emotions and cleverly transfer them . Similarly, controlling emotions in life determines emotional control in trading.
The three stages of emotional failure leading to trading losses are: 1) being careless before unexpected events occur; 2) being panicked after unexpected events occur; 3) being eager to make up losses after suffering losses. The solutions are as follows:
Always respect the market and trade with caution. Approach the market with a trembling, cautious attitude.
Once you suffer losses, do not panic. Stop trading temporarily, find the cause, identify the problems, and improve your system.
Impatience is the biggest reason for traders' losses. Heavy positions are impatience, opening and closing positions without signals is impatience, frequent trading is impatience, adding positions is impatience, which is essentially greed, wanting to make money quickly. Be patient, make calm decisions, and the market will reward you.
Technical Analysis !!!👨🏫Hello, my trader friends🙋🏻.
I want to tell you the story of Technical Analysis, its advantages & disadvantages.
We're even gonna learn about its branches.
Like any other science, Technical Analysis has come a long way, and it's still evolving. But why should we learn it and know it well?🤷🏻
When you're trading, you may be afraid or greedy. But how do professional traders control these two?🤔
Let me start with a simple example.
If someone turns off the lights & challenges you in a new room, you will feel scared or lack confidence because you don't know that place. But if the challenge happens in your bedroom or home🏡, you'll feel more powerful 💪🏻 and confident because this environment is familiar & you can act better.✅
Fear is caused by the unknown. When you don't know this market, you can't get good results (or at least permanent good results).
So follow this page to conquer all the peaks⛰️ of Technical Analysis together🙌🏻 and learn from A to Z of it.
Also, I'm a fellow traveler on this route🛤️, not your tour guide.
So, if you have any questions, ask me in the comments💬.
My trader fellas, let's take one step👣 at a time because taking long and hurried steps will only hit you harder. I'm with you in all these steps🪜 & get started with the first type of market analysis.
Technical Analysis is old. I mean, it's almost 300 years old📜, but it doesn't like to talk about its age, so we couldn't find the exact information about its birth date🗓️😑.
Maybe it’s from Japan⛩️🎌 and was born in the 18th century, or perhaps its date of birth is in the Middle Ages.
But there is some more information that I'm sure about. For example, in 1879, the Technical Analysis found a friend by the name of Chart📈, and they have not separated until today.
Let's skip this story and be serious☺️. Technical analyzers believe that everything is in the Chart.
In Technical Analysis, there is all the necessary information for trading, such as entry points, exit points, market volume, stock prices in the past and present, etc. (The Chart is a complete encyclopedia for Technical analyzers!!🤦🏻😶 )
There is another type of analysis that examines the available information about a stock (from the founder of a stock or company to the cost and income and even the company manager's records), called Fundamental. But the Technicalists say that even some of the Fundamental information is in the Chart! 😐
Overall, Technical and Fundamental are both complementary to each other and opposite to each other. But both are related to the Chart. (These three have a complicated relationship; I mean, there is a love triangle, so we should stay out of it !!🤫😂 )
Let's skip the joke. All these things are just like the gears⚙️ of a car, but it's not enough. You need to follow more rules in the market to pass the finish line🏁 with your trading car🏎️ . Don't worry cause I'm gonna tell you everything you need to know to win🏆 this trade racing with your strategy car.
Now that we have learned a little about the history of Technical Analysis, it is better to learn about its contents.
The price chart, our most important resource and tool in Technical Analysis, consist of the price-time, Charts, and Candles.
But these candles🕯️ existed 100 years before bar and dot charts.📊📉
In 1700, a Japanese man named Huma realized that the price of rice depended on the emotions of traders in addition to supply and demand.
Candles show these feelings with their colors.
For example, the green candles🟢 show trust and good feelings among people who invested in a stock.🤑
But red candles🔴 indicate doubts or hopelessness of people about a stock, and they sell it.😞
I don't know why I remembered Moody's octopus doll🐙 :)
But candles tell you the feelings of other traders just like these dolls. But only its color is not essential.
Can you guess the other important factors about candles? I will tell you the rest of them soon.😉.
Have you heard that history repeats itself?
By looking carefully🧐 at the old charts, some creative people found that the prices behaved similarly to their past.
They realized that the candles make interesting shapes next to each other, and they made these shapes repeatedly in different periods.🔁
They formed different geometric shapes and patterns & continued to make these shapes until today :)
Let's accept that the Chart is creative and artistic! 🎨🖌️😊
For example, they found a shape called a Head & Shoulders Pattern. This type of pattern will cause a downward trend⤵️ in the Chart.
I tried to find it & place it on someone's Head & Shoulders to remember it better. 😁
Many patterns can be found in any chart, and I have already taught the reversal patterns in my previous posts, But I want to go over all the patterns in detail again in the future, so let's dive into the other contents of Technical Analysis.👇
Using formulas, mathematical🧮 ratios, and advanced calculations, indicators were created that can generally show the market's present and past and give a relative opinion about the future (Please don't get the indicators wrong with magic 8 ball🎱 or Professor Dumbledore's wand✨. )
Let's be serious about it. Maybe you know that indicators depend on the two factors of time and place of price.
In terms of time🕦, they are divided into two categories: leading and lagging.
In terms of price movement💹, they are divided into three categories: trend indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators.
The indicator that I made the above meme for is a leading oscillator.
Now it’s time to go for the other various tools that are made by using numbers🔢 and people’s actions in the market.
A person named Nelson Elliott made a useful tool, although, after his death, many people worked on this tool and improved it until today it reached us, but we are going to discuss it better in the following posts like the rest of the contents of Technical Analysis.😉
But I have to say Elliot believed that the market is not disordered and always repeats a repetitive cycle, and Eliot called these repeated movements waves.
According to him, if you can perfectly identify the repeating patterns in the price, you can predict how the price will change (or not change) in the next phase.
Eliot published his experiences and theories in a book called the waves principle, which I recommend if you want to get good information in this field; it's better to start from the origin of this theory.
I think there is no better definition for the word "Wave" than sea waves🌊, and I tried to draw Elliot waves like sea waves reaching the shore. 🏖️
In the end, I want to say that whatever style of analysis you have or whatever type of Chart you use, in the future, this machine will not go the right way without following a series of principles.
Suppose you have the best car in the world, but you neither know how to drive nor the rules. It can be guessed that you will either crash with someone or break the car💥.
You should have risk management along with your trading system, and don't forget that no trading system is perfect.🙅🏻
It is better to try each method on demo accounts before making real trades.
Of course, you can count on me and ask any questions you may have.🙂💭
In the following posts, I’ll talk more about the things that have been said and introduce you to good trading systems that can be obtained from any method.
I'm by your side so that if you are a beginner, you can find your own way, and if you know the market, we can learn the basics of this market better & together🤝🏻.
Wish you happiness, health & success guys🙋🏻.
STOP LOSS TRADING STRATEGY!Hi guys, This is @CRYPTOMOJO_TA One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss 3 classic trading strategies and stop placement rules.
1) The first trading strategy is a trend line strategy.
The technique implies buying/selling the touch of strong trend lines, expecting a strong bullish/bearish reaction from that.
If you are buying a trend line, you should identify the previous low.
Your stop loss should lie strictly below that.
If you are selling a trend line, you should identify the previous high.
Your stop loss should lie strictly above that.
2) The second trading strategy is a breakout trading strategy.
The technique implies buying/selling the breakout of a structure,
expecting a further bullish/bearish continuation.
If you are buying a breakout of resistance, you should identify the previous low. Your stop loss should lie strictly below that.
If you are selling a breakout of support, you should identify the previous high. Your stop loss should lie strictly above that.
3) The third trading strategy is a range trading strategy.
The technique implies buying/selling the boundaries of horizontal ranges, expecting a bullish/bearish reaction from them.
If you are buying the support of the range, your stop loss should strictly lie below the lowest point of support.
If you are selling the resistance of the range, your stop loss should strictly lie above the highest point of resistance.
As you can see, these stop-placement techniques are very simple. Following them, you will avoid a lot of stop hunts and manipulations.
What Is a Stop-Loss Order?
A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a specific stock once the stock reaches a certain price. A stop-loss is designed to limit an investor's loss on a security position. For example, setting a stop-loss order for 10% below the price at which you bought the stock will limit your loss to 10%. Suppose you just purchased Microsoft (MSFT) at $20 per share. Right after buying the stock, you enter a stop-loss order for $18. If the stock falls below $18, your shares will then be sold at the prevailing market price.
Stop-limit orders are similar to stop-loss orders. However, as their name states, there is a limit on the price at which they will execute. There are then two prices specified in a stop-limit order: the stop price, which will convert the order to a sell order, and the limit price. Instead of the order becoming a market order to sell, the sell order becomes a limit order that will only execute at the limit price (or better).
Advantages of the Stop-Loss Order
The most important benefit of a stop-loss order is that it costs nothing to implement. Your regular commission is charged only once the stop-loss price has been reached and the stock must be sold.
3
One way to think of a stop-loss order is as a free insurance policy.
Additionally, when it comes to stop-loss orders, you don't have to monitor how a stock is performing daily. This convenience is especially handy when you are on vacation or in a situation that prevents you from watching your stocks for an extended period.
4
Stop-loss orders also help insulate your decision-making from emotional influences. People tend to "fall in love" with stocks. For example, they may maintain the false belief that if they give a stock another chance, it will come around. In actuality, this delay may only cause losses to mount.
5
No matter what type of investor you are, you should be able to easily identify why you own a stock. A value investor's criteria will be different from the criteria of a growth investor, which will be different from the criteria of an active trader. No matter what the strategy is, the strategy will only work if you stick to it. So, if you are a hardcore buy-and-hold investor, your stop-loss orders are next to useless.
At the end of the day, if you are going to be a successful investor, you have to be confident in your strategy. This means carrying through with your plan. The advantage of stop-loss orders is that they can help you stay on track and prevent your judgment from getting clouded with emotion.
2
Finally, it's important to realize that stop-loss orders do not guarantee you'll make money in the stock market; you still have to make intelligent investment decisions. If you don't, you'll lose just as much money as you would without a stop-loss (only at a much slower rate.)
Types of Stop-Loss orders
Fixed Stop Loss
The fixed stop is a stop loss order triggered when a particular pre-determined price is hit. Fixed stops can also be timed-based and are most commonly used as soon as the trade is placed.
Time-bound fixed stops are useful for investors who want to provide the position with a pre-set amount of time to profit prior to moving on to the next trade.
Only utilize time-based stops when positioned sized properly to permit major adverse swings in share price.
Trailing Stop-Loss Order
Trailing order caters to the capital gains protection of an investor, while simultaneously providing a hedge against any unexpected price downturns. It is set as a percentage of the total asset price, and the order to sell is triggered in case market prices fall below the stipulated level. However, in the case of a price rise, the trailing order adjusts automatically in tune with an overall increase in market valuation.
Suppose, in a trailing stop-loss market, an order for execution is set if the price of a security falls below 10% of the market value. Assuming the purchase price is 100 an order to sell the security is executed automatically by an authorised broker if the price falls below 90.
In case the share prices rise to 120, the trailing order stands at 10% of the current market price, which is 108. Hence, if prices consequently start falling after peaking at. 120, a stop-loss order will be executed at 108. It allows an individual to enjoy a capital gain of 8 (108 – 100) on his/her investment corpus.
Stop-Loss Order Vs Market Order
While a stop-loss order performs a sale of underlying securities provided the price falls below a prescribed limit, a market order is issued to a broker to conduct trade (both buying and selling) at the prevailing market price. Stop-loss orders are designed to reduce the risk factor, while market orders aim to increase liquidity in the stock market by eradicating the bid-ask spread difference. A market order is the most basic form of trade order placed in a stock market.
Stop-Loss Order and Limit Order
Limit orders execute a trade of stipulated securities if the price reaches a pre-set value. While a buy limit order facilitates the purchase of any securities if the price falls below the given limit, a sell limit order is executed if the price rises above the value. Limit orders are designed to maximise the profitability of an investment venture by maximising the bid-ask spread. It is in contrast to stop-loss orders, which are implemented only if the price is equal to the limit stated by investors, as a method of minimising losses in a bear market.
If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & follow for future educational ideas and trading setups.
What is day trading?What is day trading?
Day trading is the buying and selling of stocks, foreign exchange, commodities and other assets or financial derivatives during a single trading session. Traders speculate on the movement in asset prices by employing various strategies.
Decades ago, day trading was undertaken only by investment firms, financial institutions, trading funds and brokerages. Today, online trading platforms have brought day trading to the palm of a retail investor’s hand.
According to US investment bank BNY Mellon, retail investors have become a “growing force to be reckoned with”. Their share of total equities traded went up to nearly 25% in 2021, from the 10% to 15% reported in the first decade of the 2000s.
For many retail investors, day trading has become a career. Others have burnt their hands trying to make profits from this risky and fast-paced short-term strategy.
Now that we have gone through the definition of day trading, let us read more about day traders, their techniques and strategies, and day trading examples.
Life of a day trader
An experienced day trader’s session will start hours before the market opens or the night before. The trader will take their time to analyze price charts, investor sentiment, corporate news, macroeconomic developments and more.
As the stock market opens in the morning, some traders may sit on the sidelines in the first hour of a trading session to avoid the opening minutes that tend to be volatile.
After the market settles, day traders spend the day scanning for market opportunities. Day traders usually stick to securities that they have experience with as they will be aware of the little intricacies regarding that particular security.
The day trader will open and close positions according to their price targets and risk tolerance. A trader’s setup may involve hedging to protect against unexpected losses.
Day trading is particularly popular with foreign exchange traders. Popular Forex pairs have deep liquidity and tight spread, which allow day traders to speculate on small price movements.
Strategies used by day traders
To understand how day trading works, readers need to know about the various intraday strategies used by traders.
Scalping
Scalping involves a day trader aiming to speculate on small changes in an asset’s price. Traders place numerous short-lived scalp trading bets in a day so that small profits add up to a significant daily gain. Day traders need to implement a strict exit strategy to prevent large losses.
Range trading
Day traders are known for their use of technical analysis which involves identifying support and resistance price levels and analysing price trends, volume and volatility.
Range trading involves buying and selling of securities between a range of price where the top price is determined by the price resistance level and the bottom is determined by the price support level.
Algorithmic day trading
Algorithmic trading involves execution of trade orders based on pre-programmed instructions based on price, time and volume of a security.
Algorithmic trading is extensively used by hedge funds and investment banks to carry out day trades in large orders at high speed. This is also known as high-frequency trading.
News-based day trading
The trader will set up his trade setup based on trading opportunities arising from expected corporate and macroeconomic developments. An example of this type of day trading is anticipating a fall in broad markets before the publication of market-moving data such as inflation numbers or corporate earnings calls.
Day trading explained through examples
To better understand day trading, let’s look at the following example. Note that it is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
John is a self-taught day trader who has learnt the art of intraday trading over time through trial and error. He specialises in stock trading and is particularly interested in the US equity market.
Over the years, John has traded Apple (APPL) shares extensively and is well-versed with developments at the iPhone maker.
Before Apple’s fourth-quarter earnings announcement, John conducted a thorough research on Apple and concluded that the company will report strong revenue and profit growth.
John aimed to trade using news-based trading and range bound trading techniques on the day of the result announcement.
The trader opened an intraday position with a target price of $155, based on identified resistance levels, and a stop-loss at $135, based on identified support levels for Apple shares trading at $145.
If Apple announces higher-than-expected earnings, which would cause the stock to rise to a level above $155, John will book profit. In case the company surprises on the downside, causing the stock price to fall, John’s position will automatically close when the price falls below $135, booking a loss.
During the day, John will constantly monitor Apple’s intraday performance to react to unexpected market volatility and to adjust his profit-taking and stop-loss levels, according to real-time performance.
by capital.com
nzdusdthe key in auctioning process ,
whether you looking at initiative buying -initiative selling / responsive buying-responsive selling
we start with the auction market process and value in the market as institutions do and then we learn to track responsive and initiative trades to be able to trade with them
trading is all about leverage and managing risk fast it's not about scalping trading all day everyday its all about finding trade locations based upon the auction process.
institution money flow its called tracking volume imbalances in order flow otherwise known as heavy volume all this does is indicate that there big money traders hedge funds pension funds mutual funds mangers large institution governments either putting lot of money to work or unlock or unwinding postion
basically, all the people that are in the know ok. you and I were not in the know we are we never gonna know we never gonna be inside there always gonna some one else
we don't want based upon what they saying there gonna do we want make their bets on what actually do the best way to track that is through large orders that come through either through a commitment of traders reports that's obviously a weekly report from CBOT .ORG OR SEC GOV
if you track day-to-day transactions and you and you keep track of that you can accumulate better levels of which to trade from therefore you have better probabilities
market is not trading base upon chart patterns candle stick patterns or anything else becuse thats all subjective thats subjective to what you put on your charts what you need to think about bigger picthure
we gonna identify higher opertunities your not just gonna buy just besuse everything selling off the same way wouldnt buy the all time all time highs just becuse it maid a new all time high or break out how maney times you buy breakout it reverse on you well if you want stop doing that you got better prepared is all im trying to say so the auction that these institutions speefically private equity smart money is going to do its going to leave imbalance in volume and they going to have to what these auction leaves to distingushed orderflow foot print that can have effect on the futhure price movement of a security or market whether its next 15 mintues or the next 15 more days if you follow institutional money flow you can determine whether you should be looking to buy something or to short it or just to adjust your risk what it really signals is that those who those who track institution money there is lot of inventory or supply to move
imbalance volume i track, buy imbalance, sell imbalance, crossed market trade auctionning market where buyers lift and market come back in to these buying imbalnce area i can look opertunities given this information this tracking volume imbalance over time
www.cmegroup.com
Link swing short idea Greetings from Team : Trading The Tides.
lets discuss a short sell oportunity on (Link USDT )
Target area for initiating short : 7.3
DCA Limits : 8 to be exact as there is a big gap remaining
TP : 6.8 , 6.3 thats a swing position so
SL : no sl
Hold Time : short - mid term
Technical Chart Pattern: structure gaps , rising wedge
Posible liquidity area : 8
Exchange: Binance
Rules :
We use big capital with less leverage .
Max leverage : 3x
Better take trades with 1x.
We only post the exact setup we are following for the trades .
But DYOR .
Not a Financial Advice !
From Team :
Trading The Tides
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Thanks a lot and see you soon on the next trade .
IDXNONCYC: Is It Time for "Consumer Defensive Stock" to Shine?Hello Fellow Global Stock Trader/Investor!
IDX Sector Consumer Non-Cyclical is an index that tracks the price movement of Indonesia Consumer Defensive Stocks. People call it "Consumer Defensive Stocks" because the customers will continue to consume the company's products even during an economic downturn.
Why do we forecast the IDXNONCYC?
By Analyzing the Sectoral Indices Movement, We could use the data as a filter to look for a potential trading setup in a specific sector.
Technical Analysis
1. IDXNONCYC is moving above the EMA90 which indicates a bullish trend
2. Breaking out of the Falling Wedge pattern
3. MACD created a golden cross, it signified the possibility of continuing its bullish trend to the target area
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/support area.
" Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the IDXNONCYC"