EGX100
Let's talk about OBRI- A beaten down ticker is not that attractive until the market says so.
- it is still hanging around a good entry area.
- the upside short term may be limited to 0.50 to 1 pound of gain (aka 7).
However OBRI has a history of being highly volatile, do we get that during the coming months?
BICO risen from 27 to 41 in 5 monthsRapid change with almost certain assistance from its parent company
What happened during the past period is like a miracle. The company transformed after the first quarter results showed huge losses and embezzlement charges that resulted in restructuring.
After the distribution of closed dividends per share was suspended at 0.75 until liquidity was available, and liquidity was available quickly. I believe that financing was provided by the parent company in exchange for an export share and benefiting from the currency difference after the delay in the Medicine Authority’s decision to move the exchange rate.
The pending dividends were issued to shareholders and we await the second-quarter results, which look promising
I expect the stock to rise to 30 pounds during the month of 8, and the trend is towards 40 in January 2025.
PRDC is relentless - Consolidation after an impulsive move with a resistance around 3.08
- Breakout from this level can send it to 3.20 - 3.30 (3.40 or higher if the market keeps its momentum)
- find a good entry and set a stoploss with a good R:R.
-Size only to your comfort level because its all mere probability.
CIRA is waiting for a bullish market- Probably the best looking chart at the moment in the market.
- market needs to be bullish for this trade to work.
- its hanging now around a good R:R.
- We have a gap on the monthly around the 16.40. Once we break the 14 area, we may get an impulsive move towards the gap.
Egyptian Drug Authority and Pharmaceutical CompaniesEbeco Company is one of the leading pharmaceutical companies in Egypt, with a long history of manufacturing and exporting medicines. Over the past two years, the company has benefited from therapeutic supply contracts to African countries through the United Nations and the African Union, which has led to significant growth in its revenues and profits.
Negative Impacts:
However, the company has faced some challenges in the Egyptian market over the past seven months due to the implementation of maximum price caps for medicines by the Egyptian Drug Authority. This decision has particularly affected Ebeco, as most of its profitable medicines are antibiotics and cough syrups, which are categories of medicines that have been included in the price cap.
Positive Impacts:
Despite these challenges, Ebeco has been able to compensate for some of its losses by expanding its operations into Central African markets through international export companies.
Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, Ebeco's share price is expected to move in a trading range between 32 and 48 Egyptian pounds. This is due to investors waiting for the Egyptian Drug Authority's approval of requests from pharmaceutical companies to raise their prices.
Future Scenarios:
In case of approval to raise prices:
Share prices of all pharmaceutical companies are expected to rise significantly, in line with the percentage allowed for price increases.
This will lead to an improvement in Ebeco's financial performance and attract more investors to the stock.
In case of rejection by the Egyptian Drug Authority of requests to raise prices:
The scenario of a decline in the share price and a continued trading range is likely to continue until a new development occurs.
The company may face further challenges in the Egyptian market, which could negatively impact its financial performance.
Is The Market Ready to Bounce?- EGX100 is down around 27% from its high.
- Today it hit a very important level, the 200 day MA which was tested before on March 2023, and also if we measure the fib level, we find that it retraced to a 50% level.
- This also occurs while EGX30 hitting its 200 day MA as well.
- Now we can never know for sure if this bottom or not, but we can be prepared for both scenarios.
- Resistance overhead @ 8500 if this can be breached, the way is clear towards the 9000 level,
and this a very critical level, as anywhere between 8500/9000 the sellers may show up again and try to push the market down.
- If buyers manage to break the 9000 level, the probability that this is a bottom is high, with only the level between 9300-9700 will be left to confirm the continuation of the bull trend.
- Pls note that currently the market is considered on a downtrend with 20/50/100 MA all pointing down.
- Not a good advice to reenter those tickers that became so cheap, look for the ones that were holding their levels as those are the ones with higher strength comparing to the market.
- It's always better and safer to wait until the market confirms the bull trend before buying.
EGX100 RISK OFF?- Market keeps rejecting 10800 level. and sellers seem to be taking control.
- A lot of stocks already into bearish setups.
- Noone can ever predict the price accurately all the time so Im going to keep it simple.
* Bellow 9800 market is a risk off. with a handful of tickers can hold their levels.
* wait for bullish reversal confirmation before entering any trades.
-Remember: the market will be here tomorrow, no need to rush into trades.
Can OIH revisit its ATH?- Finally after the market shook off all the prophets of doom who were calling for a market correction the bullish trend is continuing its course.
- OIH is highly liquid stock but the chart seems to be setting for a revisit of the ATH.
- Entry area is the current range.
- There is a good R:R so no need to have a tight stoploss.
EGX Weekly Analysis- EGX30 came near the 60% Fib level and it was due to a pullback.
- It cant stay overbought for too long and a healthy pullback was necessary.
- In my opinion, it can stay in a range for a couple of weeks and its a good opportunity to add more shares to winning trades.
- In case the market decides to pullback more than the range. stop losses for each trades should be monitored. and sell losers.
Can the index EGX100 escape a bearish double top pattern?Daily chart,
Index EGX100 needs some correction, and probably will rebound from 7550 - 7500, to re-test the resistance line.
Below 7409 will form a bearish double top pattern, leading to 6865, which is below the support line #1 !
Just be careful!