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Election

SPX S&P500 Breakout or Top Out? Either way, The Bull Continues!Euphoria would have to take hold with major progress in China Trade, Brexit, improving earnings and guidance, etc, for the overall market to continue this pace without a consolidation. I expect a return to 2,950 around EoY 2019, but a rhythmic bounce up to 3,300 by May 2020. Election based volatility will have a major impact. If Warren gets the nomination, expect another $2,850 test. If Biden or Buttigeg get it, expect to hold a similar upward rhythm. Either way, the Great Bull will continue to run through 2020.
SP:SPXLong
by TenaciousH
1
ORBEX:BoJo Pushes for Election, Draghi Hints to Fiscal Measures!In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #GBPUSD and #EURUSD #FXMajors! GBPUSD Dragged down by: - BoJo push for an early election on December 12 - Increasing likelihood of October exit failure EURUSD Under Pressure as: - ECB reiterates downside risk, stubbornly low inflation - Draghi hints to fiscal policy measures Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
The CAD Has Fallen Out of FavorThe CAD has experienced a long bullish run and it is approaching a known supply area. There is some weary news coming up for Canada in the near future ( I think we all know what that is). In combination with that, Canada has a minority government when fiscal policy intervention is heavily needed. The CHF has been struggling, but I think this isn't due to medium to long term problems and we will see the safe haven shine again in the short-term. Let's see if my analysis is correct as we are already seeing the heavy short volume on the daily timeframe. As always, trade at your own risk.
Short
by TogamiTrader
BTC & USD important dates (halving, expirations, election)!hello, Just posting this few links in order to come back and check the dates before going full in. Be aware of them! www.barchart.com en.wikipedia.org www.bitcoinblockhalf.com Because what we trade are futures, we are not trading past, and so we can not be sure of anything, we can be only sure we will be all death. 100% certain. Anyway according to past: Future expirations: - we usually (that means more then 50%) start to dip or pump close to future expiration-s and on future expiration dates, I never really checked for BTC, but when i was trading futures (oil, gold etc), that was the first thing i checked before entering positions. I included also USD dolar index future expirations, bcs BTC is tradable against Moon / Neptun and not against fiat like dollar, u get the point right : Expiration pattern - Fresh buys happen usually after expiration-s, it takes few days, it does not happen right after expiration date, same for fresh sell, Fresh buy pattern, fresh sell pattern BTC halving: guess you heard of mining reward cut on half, well if you havent thats kinda prety important date for speculators, if BTC will follow past, its bullish news, maybe this time it will follow LTC example, (pumped to 120K and then dumped to 65K), we could say Halving pattern ...just saying, because after the halving next important FA news for next year is: US presidental elections: Please note in past (which can not be guarranty of future movement) Currency usually started to strenghten prior to election date, in order to atrract the Voters. p.s. Doesnt matter if US, JAPAN, France, German, UK,..we could say Election pattern Soory for long talk, i am not used to talk so much, i use to just say: entry: 9700 & 9600 TP:? Liq: 8500 margin: 1:5 :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dejc123
2
POTUS Election ChartThe point? Markets tend to chop around before Presidential Elections. George Bush Senior is probably the best performing Presidential stock market to not get re-elected. Clinton likely had the best performing stock market thanks to the internet, unbridled leverage in real estate due to tax-free capital gains of $500,000 every 2 years for couples in their principal residences. George Bush Jr had the worst performing stock market over 8 years with almost a zero return. Obama's term picked up the mess from the Clinton's leveraging the system and Bush deleveraging the system. Everyone blames everyone but not many really understand what happened. No one wants to believe the facts and points to facts that don't matter. What matters is regulatory policy and tax law. It wasn't "greedy people abusing the system", it was a "poorly leveraged system". What do we want next? What will we get next? IF history is any guide, we are in the equivalent of the 1980's now with a decent comparison to the time period from 1984-1987 at the moment after coming out of a 16 year-sideways grind (inflation adjusted). We have technology still taking off in the form of EV's, 5G, AI, and all sorts of infrastructure spending ahead, hopefully mass transit, high speed rail and hyper-loops (underground boring of tunnels). I'd suggest that Trump is doing his best at trying to push forth what Reagan's economic plans were: strong defense, deficit spend, tax rate cuts, stimulate investment, bring capital home, while using force all over the world (Panama, Grenada, Libya, Nicaragua, etc.). Well - the point I want to make here is that the primaries are just about a year away and there will be mudslinging and bashing going on for the better part of the next year and that's when stock markets rock back and forth. Let's stay tuned with what's going on so we don't go too crazy: 1. Government shut-down shot down the momentum in the economic growth prospects at year end 2018. 2. Boeing 737 Max8 instills fear in passengers and the most efficient airplane ever built is grounded, stunting spending, jobs, profits, investment and casted doubt on a major institution and the ability of the Gov't to oversee safe airplanes. 3. Massive growth in Electric Vehicles is causing a steady decline in demand for gas & diesel vehicles with huge repercussions long term for the whole industry and related industries. 4. Upheaval in trade talks in the attempt to level out the playing field causing a massive rift in communications between countries. 5. Tensions from nuclear development, threats to world peace from certain dictators shooting off rockets last year created worldwide concern about the safety of the all of us. 6. Climate change worries are escalating as storms, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, cyclones, and earthquakes are shaking everyone to their core and fearing for the future of our population. 7. Mass migration from Syria to Europe and South America/Central America to the USA is putting severe pressure on countries' ability to handle the influx and care for, feed and place everyone in homes and jobs. 8. Mass frustration over deficit spending in almost every country is forcing Central Banks to keep rates near zero to stimulate demand and has allowed huge deficits to accumulate that are virtually impossible to pay off, but can be carried ONLY at low rates. I'm sure there are plenty more points to make, but I'm going to stop here and add more later. I look forward to your comments, quips and questions. All the best, Tim West May 31, 2019. 1:35PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
6
US Election Effect on Bitcoin PriceHOWDY!! - Sticky Joe Sup Peeps, Ok so I have been looking at the charts today because I wanted to make a new TV idea, and I noticed something. WE HAVE BEEN IN A BULL MARKET SINCE JUNE 29!!!! Every single one of those waves up that we have had since June 29 has been actively price-suppressed by the whales (those magnificent b@stards). Bitcoin and the alts have had weak hands sloughed away every month for half a year now. If you have been selling bitcoin at these prices for anything non-essential YOU ARE A FOOL. OK now for the analysis: I said in my last idea that what we are waiting for is a new catalyst. Something to demonstrate that Bitcoin is in a new cycle (not something to bring about the new cycle; we have been in BULL since late JUNE). Something to tell the lemmings in the regular world "maybe I shouldn't have my retirement money in Facebook stock" and to get them into thinking about bitcoin. I believe that that day has come. It is the US Election Day people! It is looking like the democrats have a reasonable chance to take The House (they are not taking The Senate no way in hell lol). The democrats have said that they will focus on attacking business, and the stock market has been bleeding out in anticipation. People are jumping out of stocks and conventional investments all over the world like rats off of a sinking ship. Whether or not the democrats actually will attack business is a moot point. Investors think they will, and Wall Street is preparing for a "Red Dawn" situation (lol the soviets are in the streets!!! lols SELL SELL SELL!!!) All the smart money will go into bitcoin. THERE ARE VERY FEW OTHER SAFE INVESTMENTS. If you disagree ask Tether people. They can try to put their money into dollar stores and canned food companies, but there is only so much money you can put into dollar stores and canned food lolz. I truly believe this is the last moments before the blowup. I truly believe this is what the whales have been waiting for. I truly believe this is what all of us bitcoin investors have been waiting for all year. Global market collapse, rising inflation, distrust of conventional investments. This is where we see if Bitcoin has the minerals. Current Portfolio Composition: BTC 19,4 % ETH 27,8 % BCH 14,7 % LTC 11,2 % XRP 20,9 % BAT 6,0 % I'm not kidding people. The stock market will crash this week. Smart money goes to CRYPTO.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn2825836
8
SP 500: Possible CradleLast week, prices were well sold at the 21 EMA. This indicates that the bears still have control. An interesting possibility is that prices could hit a Cradle point formed by a confluence of the Triangle boundaries. This point is also reinforced as the lower boundary of a possible larger channel. This mythical point in space and time could present as very powerful buying opportunity. For now, the burden is on the bulls to prove themselves. With the US elections hanging in the balance, we should see players take sides in the lead-up. A choppy trend could develop which will either be confirmed or negated by the outcome. I'm bullish-biased with a short-term neutral/bearish outlook.
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by TheRealPeaches
U.S. Dollar is going to drop compared to Canadian!The U.S. Dollar is going to drop compared to the Canadian dollar because of the recent election in Canada. Having the Liberal party out of the Parliament means that PC will stop the damage that was a ongoing problem with the Liberal Party. The PC party will be creating jobs and will be pulling the Canadian debt back from where it currently is as the liberals buried us in it. the liberals dropped our Dollar about 23.4% over time and that will flip with the new Party in government. So i hope you either will get out or stay in long and hope i am wrong but this is my analysis after the current Election. - Jon Matthews
Long
by matthewsjonfredrick