Election
VIX 8 Hour Bullish ChartHello,
This is a bullish view on the VIX using Technical Analysis. Let me know if you have any suggestions or notice anything.
Personally, I'm very bearish on the market right now due to delayed stimulus, the possibility of a contested election, and a possible second wave of coronavirus.
Thanks! CBOE:VIX
TRUMPTRUMP !!! 🔻🤫
Tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, we will have to buy and sell the Corona chart, of course, if this chart of the American elections is correct! 😅
This analysis is a personal opinion and so far it has not been proven that he technically predicted the elections, but I think that the absence of either of these two will certainly not be useful for us Iranians with this mismanagement and ... maybe temporary and Greenhouse) ...
Unless 13 Aban (5 days until the US elections), according to him (Trump), is not present for the elections and hits everything (I remembered someone's peak, in front of the communists of the world).
Translated by Google Translator (I hope he translated correctly)
BidenAnd Joe must ...
But I would like to put the same text of Trump's analysis before here!
TRUMP !!! 🔻🤫
Tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, we will have to buy and sell the Corona chart, of course, if this chart of the American elections is correct! 😅
This analysis is a personal opinion and so far it has not been proven that he technically predicted the elections, but I think that the absence of either of these two will certainly not be useful for us Iranians with this mismanagement and ... maybe temporary and Greenhouse) ...
Unless 13 Aban (5 days until the US elections), according to him (Trump), is not present for the elections and hits everything (I remembered someone's peak, in front of the communists of the world).
Translated by GoogleTranslator (I hope he translated correctly)
SPY 29/10/2020Hi, traders.
My name is Lukas and I am a beginner in trading, respectively, I only trade 12 months. But that means I have to do the necessary analyzes without it I can't trade. I want to show you how I work on myself and document my beginnings. I use Vix and my strategy is built on to return to average. I highlight the important support levels and resistances that flow from the volume profile, all drawn on graph. These zones determine the ability to respond in some way to the market from 1 to 3, with 1 being the largest.
Short description of analysis:
First thing, that 3/11 will be president election. Mr. Market is unpredictable, we need to expect any situation.
My desicion on Market. There are two options:
1. Option – the Market react on support zone (cca 325 USD), because VIX is at 40 points, what is reaction zone.
2. Option – The market break this support zone (325 USD) and it´ll continued at another support zone (cca 300 USD)
Therefore, i decide to split the risk of entry, that I´ll been split on 2 half parts, in case of falling, we´ll average the price. I think, that rather averagating the price than betting all on one price
Trade carefully!
Of course, my analysis does not serve like market forecasts and I am not responsible for your trades if you use my analysis for your own trades.
Please Follow me on Twitter :) Thanks!
EURUSD : first stop around 1.16 ?
Actually the EU situation is critical concerning the COVID context.
The European Central Bank wont change anything about policy parameters.
All decision will be made on December.
Actually, the price is under 1.17, the next step is 1.16 . if the 1.16 is broken so im waiting for a return at 1.13.
good trade
EUR/USDHello guys!
First, thank you the follows! I love you guys
And i want to thank this, i made description to my analsis to help trading!
EUR/USD Short
Max respecting the Daily 61.8 fibonacci levels.
And we have bearish trend. Looking good for sells,
For me first
1TP 1.16000
2TP 1.15000
3TP 1.14500
BE CAREFUL THE ELECTIONS! DONT RISK MORE THEN 2%
AUDCAD pair is looking obvious for trend reverseWe are looking audcad for trend reverse pattern BUT we need more proofs then only picture. We are giving you away possible options.
Trend description
Trend way hasn't reverse yet. Price is at first testing perioud. The question is: Are we going to continue sell?
If price will follow one of breaking options, your job as Elite trader is to focus at breaking spots and momentum story.
1. Option Buyers are going to test lower low straight away
2. Option, might happen with strong volume from sellers side - use our Elite indicator tool and follow momentum story
3. Option - Buyers might push price even higher. If this is going to happen, do not trade this until first resistance level is broken and retraced.
Trending: Possible sell reverse. Still at decision zone.
If trend will reverse, then price could go much lower then you could imagine.
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Don't miss our every day analysis. Also do not miss AUDJPY D1 analysis from yesterday *
Elitefxacademy
SP500 USED TO PREDICT THE NEW PRESIDENTSince 1928 the stock market used to correctly pedict the outcome of evey presidential election based on the peformance in the 3 months leading up to it. If the market was up in those 3 months the incumbent party would win, if was lower the incumbent party would lose. This methodology had correctly predicted 87% of the time.
NVDA CORRECTION MORE BEARS TO COMENvidia is pulling back, no prominent reason or news article that could have caused this, that leaves the next possible scenarios:
- NVDA was rated overvalued by many analysts and is now drawing back
- Covid market volatility is causing unpredictable movements
- Upcoming US elections, many worry about the China tension
According to the chart we are close to the first possible support. However if that level doesn't hold, next support line is only around $485.
Yahoo Finance estimates a -21% pullback as an overvalued stock. That leaves us at roughly 418.
eToro estimates a low of $400.
However, the long term outlook is still positive.
Monitor these 4 indicators to look out for a trend reversal and buy the dip as low as you can.
Hit like if you found this helpful.
Thanks, Ev
S&P500 LongTerm Outlook PotentialsGetting above February 2020's ATH's seemed very bullish indeed, the most aggressive V-Shaped Recovery in the history of the S&P500 . However with elections fast approaching, along with the expected volatility, we must be ready to change our bias in a moments notice. We have a few higher time frame gaps that have caught my eye, particularly two that did not achieve a full-bodied gap fill on 3-Day and Weekly Time Frame Views, located at approximately 3350$ and 2800$ respectively.
Price is currently rejecting from a trend line quite strongly, however if this level is broken to the upside, we have the potential for price to make new ATH's towards the Price Channel Midline and Price Channel High.
However, if this gap at 3350$ fills, that will put us outside of the Price Channel Low, where we could potentially waterfall down to 2800$.
USD Index Pre/Post ElectionUSA Election coming to a close but take caution as volatility can still occur.
Here we are looking "left" to see what has happened in the past elections.
Uncertainty = volatile market
Certainty = trending market
Pre elections we have seen USD weakness and right after we see USD strength in the remaining year months. With USD technicals in the buy zone and a retrace that has not yet occured from a trendline break we should see USD strength as well after the election.
But as always, remember risk management when trading USD pairs into the election. I'd personally advise staying out and looking at other pairs until the election is officially over.
Good luck and let me know if there are any questions.
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple
I got my bet on a short for Gold (XAU). Gold has been in a uptrend since March, however I see the cup is about to tip over.
Even though this hard commodity is the go to for many investors I’m predicting the price to fall drastically once everyone see how strong United States will stand against the last leg of the elections and hopefully the more business savvy candidate comes out on top.
The USD will surely tank depending on how November 3 goes. I hope y’all have those pending orders ready.
VIX Approximations Update (Oct 26th-Dec 2nd 2020)S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) (October 26th through December 2nd 2020)
Just making an update to a previous VIX forecast that I see going outside my last expected ranges, I felt it necessary when checking on SPX trends, especially with yesterday's start to a drop in E-mini futures. See below for previous guesses:
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, I am not responsible for any losses incurred while attempting to use my data, I hope this can prove to be some sort of learning tool for some and give insight as to how I personally come up with my own numbers. Take into full consideration this could be a completely bad forecast. Cheers
The US Market is waitingThe US elections next week bring the market to a point where all we have to do is wait and of course, prepare our trading account for the crucial hours when it will be revealed who will lead the country in the next 4 years which are expected to be very difficult and challenging especially in the economic and social aspects.
Technical analysis aspect
We can clearly see the market prepare itself for the election day based on the S&P500 triangle pattern, the breakout will take place next week between Tuesday to Thursday How will the identity of the winner affect the market? See the post from the 5th.
Strong fluctuations in the leading US indices are not expected during this week, and even if the upcoming earnings reports show unexpected results, it will be a sharp but temporary and short-term reaction.
What should you do until the election?
Portfolio protection: If you are a low-risk investor, avoid trading assets that are considered volatile such as Bitcoin, low market cap stocks, exotic currencies, and oil.
Get Ready: With a proper post-election trading plan that includes exit points (stop loss & take profit), accurate and right ratio of the exposure based on account balance, a good trader can make around 20% within a short period of time (1-2 weeks) after the election.
The 20% can be $100 or $100,000 (depending on the account balance), in addition, a large balance reduces risk by spreading the risk across many assets.
Increase the account balance is a-must in such events if the current account balance is low or insufficient in order to split the risk across 5 different asset at the same time.
nzd/chfHi dear traders
I hope you to have a powerful start and great week !
In this pair I believe in 0.5 Fibo support line.
and also in the RSI i can find this area as a support area for this pair so im going to start a long one.
+ i found some divergence which is marked with red lines.
Please comment and tell me if im wrong im trying to learn more and more.
Good luck friends!
XAU/USD TO 1980 FOR 2020 ELECTION major weakness in dollar + weary US election uncertainty (runoff guaranteed)
forming higher lows and failing to drop under major support 1840 (triple bottom here)
next 2 weeks can be shaky
bottom wick could form at 1898-92 upon market open*
1940-1970 demand zone to drive price higher
looking to close above 1908 on MONDAY 10/27/2020
******ALWAYS REMEMBER $4 MOVE********
would love to see 1940-1991 test by NOV 4,2020