Get started

Election2024

Bitcoin’s Fate on U.S. Election Day: Predicting Market MovementsAs the world closely watches today’s U.S. presidential election, the crypto market is gearing up for a reaction that could be pivotal for Bitcoin’s future. Historically, U.S. elections have had a positive impact on cryptocurrencies, and many traders are optimistic about Bitcoin's outlook. With two contrasting candidates—one a proponent of crypto and the other leaning towards regulation—the stakes are high for Bitcoin holders and investors alike. A Trump Win: The Fuel for a Parabolic Bull Run If Donald Trump, a vocal supporter of cryptocurrency, secures the win, the market is likely to respond with a powerful surge. Trump’s favorable stance on digital assets could inspire confidence among crypto investors, sparking a parabolic bull run that may push Bitcoin past its previous all-time high. Many traders are poised to buy into Bitcoin if Trump’s victory is confirmed, anticipating a rush of institutional and retail investment that could propel prices to unprecedented levels. A Kamala Win: The Calm Before the Comeback In contrast, a win for Kamala Harris could trigger an initial wave of panic selling. Harris has shown a more cautious approach toward cryptocurrency, which may incite fear among investors and lead to a sharp pullback. However, it's important to note that strong support zones around $60,000, as indicated in the chart, are expected to buffer any drastic price drops. Despite the potential sell-off, these levels have historically provided resilience and could stabilize Bitcoin, leading to a period of consolidation. Once the initial shock settles and investors digest the news, the market may start to regain strength. Confidence in Bitcoin’s fundamentals could draw investors back, fueling a renewed push towards the all-time high. While a Kamala win might delay the anticipated bull run, the scenario of Bitcoin falling below critical levels like $50,000 or $40,000 remains highly unlikely. Caution: Trading Amidst Volatility For those trading with leverage, today and the coming days present heightened risks. Apart from the election, Thursday’s FOMC meeting will bring the Fed’s Interest Rate Decision, a significant event that could add volatility to an already charged market. It’s essential to tread carefully, as both events could create sudden price swings and impact liquidity. In conclusion, regardless of who wins, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook appears resilient. A Trump win may bring immediate bullish momentum, while a Kamala win might usher in short-term turbulence but is unlikely to derail Bitcoin’s upward trajectory entirely. Traders and investors should brace for a dynamic week, as Bitcoin prepares to navigate these significant events. Trade safe everyone, Cheers!
by MadeByAK
6
XAU/USD : Gold Set for a Move as U.S. Election Sparks VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can observe several reactions to the demand levels we identified. Yesterday, we saw an initial bounce from the $2733 zone, with a 70-pip rise taking it close to $2740. Later, this morning, the price dipped below $2730 and reached the $2727 zone, where it was met with strong demand, resulting in a sharp increase of over 200 pips up to $2745. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and I expect it to soon make another move toward the liquidity pools above $2745 and $2748. After that, keep an eye on the price reaction at $2752. Note that today is the U.S. election day, and the market may experience significant volatility. Be cautious with your trades! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
$IWM $RTY : Small Caps Ready to Explode! 💥 Small Caps Ready to Explode! 💥 We will be at ATH's this week: AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA CAPITALCOM:RTY While everyone is buzzing about NASDAQ:TSLA CRYPTOCAP:BTC and how they will continue to skyrocket if election results stick and continue to favor Trump, no one’s talking about SMALL CAPS! Remember, during his last term, small caps had an impressive run. Let’s dive into the technicals in my latest video. In this video, we cover: 1️⃣ Technical Analysis: We’ll analyze charts and multiple indicators, all pointing to AMEX:IWM heading HIGHER. 📈 2️⃣ Patterns: A massive multi-year cup and handle pattern with an ascending triangle breakout is in play. Drop a comment below if you learned something new or want to explore any topics further. Stay tuned for more insights and show some love! LIKE | FOLLOW | SHARE CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA NFA
AMEX:IWMLong
by RonnieV29
Mid To long term projection of the SPYGiven Donald Trump's recent victory, the market has felt an optimistic boost. This excitement, could be enough to overcome the current economical warnings that have been prevalent in the previous months. It's impossible to know if these excitements will be enough to send the market into a new and strong rally into overextended territories, or if the market will continue to complain about unaffordable housing, and sustenance. The future is always an unknown variable, however random variables do tend to follow their own distributions to a certain degree. It is always possible for exceptions to occur which prompt price action to get excited at already expensive prices. However, it is intelligent to always take a degree of caution when purchasing expensive securities which are still increasing in price. In these scenarios I suggest waiting for price corrections before purchasing and purchase in small amounts as price decreases to be able to purchase more at lower prices aka cost average. Given Trumps popularity, it's possible that people will become optimistic about the near future, however Trump still has a lot of rivals, which will stop at nothing to fulfill their agenda. The president will be faces with many new challenges these coming 4 years. I wish him the best of luck as he writes history once more. May God bless the future of America, its allies and it people. It's time to see the world change once more.
AMEX:SPY
by DarkMessiah777
How would the market react to a Trump or Kamala victory?In recent days, the financial markets have exhibited increased sluggishness as investors await the outcome of the US elections. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump represent two starkly contrasting visions for the future of the United States. This article will explore the potential effects each candidate could have on key financial assets, including Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, the S&P 500, and EUR/USD. Oil (Brent) If Kamala Harris secures victory in the election, it is likely that her administration will prioritise renewable energy initiatives and stricter environmental regulations, potentially curtailing the use of fossil fuels. This shift could lead to limitations on oil production and a subsequent decrease in supply. With global demand expected to remain stable, this scenario may initially drive Oil prices higher. Conversely, a win for Donald Trump could result in a relaxation of environmental regulations and an incentive to boost domestic oil production. This approach, often articulated by Trump, may increase US supply available for both domestic consumption and export, potentially leading to lower prices, depending on global demand. Trump's administration might also adopt more aggressive policies towards OPEC, adding to market volatility. Gold (XAU/USD) Kamala Harris is likely to support expansionary fiscal policies, including increased spending on social programs and infrastructure projects. This rise in expenditure may lead to a higher federal deficit, contributing to inflationary pressures and prompting the Federal Reserve (FED) to consider raising interest rates to manage inflation. Higher interest rates could initially weigh on Gold prices, as investors might seek the better yields offered by government bonds. However, ongoing support for international conflicts, such as in Ukraine and Israel, could sustain geopolitical uncertainty, which typically favours Gold as a safe-haven asset. Under a Trump administration, fiscal policies may shift towards tax cuts and reductions in welfare programs. Such cuts could depress government spending and lower aggregate demand, potentially leading to a decrease in inflation and creating room for possible interest rate cuts. Reduced interest rates might drive investors towards equities for better returns or prompt them to seek refuge in Gold during market turmoil. Moreover, Trump's focus on domestic security and diminished global involvement could exacerbate existing conflicts, further elevating Gold prices in the short term. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Kamala Harris has yet to articulate a definitive stance on cryptocurrencies, but the Democratic platform generally leans toward increased regulation. A stricter regulatory environment could deter institutional investment in Bitcoin, potentially exerting downward pressure on its price in the event of a Harris victory. In contrast, Donald Trump has displayed a growing enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies during his campaign, which could catalyse an initial price appreciation for Bitcoin. Additionally, his rapport with Elon Musk, a prominent Bitcoin advocate, strengthens the case for potential gains in BTC should Trump win. S&P 500 Should Kamala Harris assume office, her administration is likely to continue implementing economic stimulus measures, which could bolster the S&P 500, particularly in the green technology and renewable energy sectors. However, tighter regulations on oil and finance industries might adversely impact certain sectors. Therefore, a moderate appreciation of the S&P 500 is plausible, especially if fiscal stimulus supports domestic consumption. On the other hand, a Donald Trump victory could propel the S&P 500 into a strong upward trend, driven by corporate tax cuts and a less interventive regulatory environment. The financial markets tend to react favourably to tax reductions and deregulation, and a decrease in government expenditure could lower inflation in the short term, providing the Fed with room to reduce interest rates. This scenario could enhance credit access and stimulate domestic consumption, benefiting both corporations and the S&P 500. EUR/USD A Kamala Harris presidency may adopt a more cooperative and diplomatic approach to international relations, particularly with the European Union. This stance could strengthen the euro, potentially driving the EUR/USD pair higher due to improved trade relations. Furthermore, robust spending policies might weaken the US dollar, increasing demand for the euro. Conversely, if Donald Trump wins the election, the euro could depreciate against the dollar as his protectionist and aggressive trade policies tend to favour the dollar in the immediate term. Trump's "Make America Great Again" slogan underscores his commitment to bolstering domestic trade and the dollar. Consequently, any policy that negatively impacts trade with the EU, such as tariffs or aggressive trade measures, could further weaken the euro while benefiting the USD. Preparing for Diverse Market Outcomes In conclusion, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump emerges victorious could result in markedly different consequences for the financial markets. It is crucial to recognise that the market is likely to wait and observe which policies will be implemented in practice. The repercussions of the US elections may resonate for months ahead as market participants acclimatise to this new reality. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
by Marketscom
GRASSUSDT.P Higher, but lacking convictionHello everyone! It's U.S. election day, so I'll keep this one short so you can enjoy the election show! Today we’re looking at **GRASS/USDT** on the 30-minute timeframe. The price seems to be moving higher, but I’m seeing a series of lower highs and low volume. The lower highs trendline is pushing the price toward the 200MA. If the 200MA holds and the price breaks above the trendline with an increase in volume, there could be a chance to challenge the previous top. In this scenario, I'd like to see some volume come in to confirm the breakout. Alternatively, I’d prefer to see a brief dip below the 200MA with a bounce from the 0.236 Fibonacci level, supported by volume. Either of these scenarios could lead me to take action. This is not financial advice. Stay safe, and enjoy the day!
G
by vagada
BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf we ignore the election, we had a bearish weekly candle close this past week so I anticipate a sizeable pull back. If we considering election effects, usually the election week is bearish and then an unconditional rally comes soon after; typically it will last till the end of the year. If this pattern holds true, I would personally hedge a trade to profit on both sides. I'm still long term BTC bullish, but this week, I will consider shorting to hedge against my longs. I have marked a few places where I would take TPs on the short and DCA for my longs for you to reference. Trade safely! @Nate Alert
by Nate36989
XAUUSD - Gold Awaiting US ElectionsGold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In today's analysis, I have drawn trade scenarios for you based on various confirmations In each circle we look for one-hour timeframe candles to confirm the expected trend. After a grueling and controversial campaign season, the US election will be held this week. Although many experts believe a clear winner is unlikely to be announced on Wednesday, much of the uncertainty surrounding the US political landscape is expected to ease next week, which may not bode well for gold. This precious metal had significant momentum last month due to the election fluctuations. Market analysts pointed out that the improvement of former US President Donald Trump's chances of victory and the creation of a potential "red wave" (a Republican victory) in Congress raised concerns about the continued unabated increase in government spending. In recent weeks, that fear has extended to either party's control of the White House and both houses of Congress. However, there is a famous saying in the financial markets for times like this: "Buy the rumor and sell the news." Last week, gold prices hit an all-time high above $2,800 an ounce as investors weighed in on rumors surrounding the US election. Dennis Gartman, a noted commodity investor, said he has become more cautious about gold as it draws more attention from investors. However, he added that despite any near-term weakness, gold's long-term fundamentals are well supportive of prices. "The main trend is still bullish," he said. Aside from the geopolitical turmoil created by this election cycle, gold remains well-supported by the sluggish US economy and labor market. In October, the US economy added just 12,000 jobs, well below expectations for 100,000 jobs. Some of the weakness can be attributed to fluctuations caused by cyclone devastation in southern states. However, looking beyond this volatility, sharp downward revisions in August and September suggest that the labor market is cooling. At the same time, this week we also saw that inflation is continuously increasing. The main measure of personal consumption expenditures, the U.S. central bank's preferred measure of inflation, showed that consumer prices held steady at 2.7% over the past three months. The Fed is stuck and will continue to cut interest rates as the labor market weakens. While interest rate cuts may not be as aggressive as they would like, higher inflation means lower real interest rates, which will hurt the US dollar and support gold prices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Ali_PSND
Educated Gambling!! LOL. Call Options that go $POWW or OW!! Were in a Double Bottom and a Bearish Pennant on the daily so who knows, and the chart doesn't look great either. This one is at the top of my degenerate list, pure speculation. My idea is either a big bang or a misfire. I've been buying NASDAQ:POWW $2.50 calls expiring 1/17/25. Started off buying at $15 then $10 and now $5 per call. And sometimes no one is even selling these options when they list for .01 (actually cost $5 min) My thought is NASDAQ:POWW could either run in the next 3 weeks or all the way up to Inauguration Day on January 20, 2025, hope to at least fill the gap at 2.46 and then get back to June 3rd high of $2.86. Most of us can figure out why it could possibly go parabolic so close to the Election. I hope for God's sake and love of country I'm actually wrong about this and pray for peace. But at the same time, as some of the corrupt powers to be say "never let a crisis go to waste"... Safe Trading Everyone!!
NASDAQ:POWWLong
by JoeKing1
2
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules. :) We are just surfing the waves of emotions, of the crowds. Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around. It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran. (in my opinion) We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc) and second lower peak around November (or DEC ) As always good luck in your speculations #Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know During these tops you will be told many stories you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BallaJi
4
Pudumjee Paper - Ready to Print Currency Notes :)There is no Election without Liquor & Briyani, and neither without Advertisements about each political Party Liquor, Media, Paper stocks were expected to Rally from couple of months back, but none of them picked up the Rally until now where many portions of India has already completed Election Anyways, our earlier Pick of Paper Stock - Pudumjee Paper is all gearing up to print Money Bills soon Comparison on Daily, Weekly and Quarterly charts clearly articulate how Support and Resistance works and how each pattern contributes incrementally to another larger chart Pattern Quarterly View: 7 Year Rounding Bottom Breakout done. In between, the Price also had a Fib 0.5 scale retracement and Bounce with Extended Fib Targets as shown below Fib 1.618 Target = 98 Fib 2.618 Target = 139 Weekly View: Look at the Long Dragon Fly Doji pattern on the week of 11th March. Its a very important structure as it tested and bounced from 2 support levels. The Wick bounce from the Previous Cup and Handle BO at 55 The Candle body finished above the Multi-year Rounding Bottom BO Trendline (highlighted in Quarterly chart) Daily View: On the Daily, there are 2 bullish structures Inverted H&S - On verge of BO above 75 for Target of 98 - which matches FIB 1.618 target of Quarterly Rounding Bottom - BO pending above 84 WCB for Target of 114 As you can see the structures, patterns, supports, resistances and Targets of one Pattern has overlap / leads to the components of next larger pattern. These are NOT coincidences. This is how Chart patterns do get formed based on People Behaviour which is repetitive and which is governed by 2 main aspects (Greed & Fear) Disclaimer: 3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Behaviour Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading... We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side" *** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:PDMJEPAPERLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 26-Mar-24 to 29-Mar-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 26-Mar-24 to 29-Mar-24 Nifty closed at 22096 (22023) and touched low & high of 21710 & 22175 RSI and stochastics levels have improved last week (51% & 47% Respectively). Market closed almost flat last week Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome. Nifty IT 35188 (37517) -To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000. Nifty bank 46863 (46591) -To continue buy on dips. Nifty Bank last week dipped. initial Target 48618 ( all time high). if it cross this resistance decisively. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips. Nifty 22096- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty still in undecisive state at present and will be rangebound. As mentioned for the past three weeks, Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/23000. Short term Support - 21900, 21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Medium term Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term Market expected range bound between 23000 to 18800 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Election outcome analysis i have prepared is available in website in my profile and my X account karthik_ss Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support. Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
India's Growth Story - Top 5 Sectors which will be in Lime-LightA Quick Overview of Global Major Economies Japan, US, UK, Australia, Germany are officially in Recession USA has not declared Recession officially as it is just covering up the underlying problem Chinese Economy is in serious turmoil Now where does India Stand? Which Sectors within India are dependent on these Foreign Economies? Which Sectors are in "Atmanirbhar" status ? which can continue their Rally ? As you all know Indian IT Industry is heavily dependent on Foreign Projects - US / UK / European / Australian IT Offshoring projects. Given these major economies are in Recession - IT will likely face "Some Impact". At the same time, globally there is big GaGa on Generative AI and Indian IT industry focussing on AI - is all set to Offset the negative impact from Classical Offshoring Projects. This will help ease some pressure on IT companies, but overall IT is expected to have slower growth Keeping aside the Politics, the current Governmental Policies are so favorable for the following sectors and hence I believe in India's Growth Story and expect a Blasting Rally on the below sectors Energy: India has transformed from a country begging western world for permission to buy Uranium for Domestic Nuclear Energy generation to a Country which stands tall on the use of All types of Green Energy (Solar, Wind, Hydrogen, Hydro-Electric etc...) and has become Truly Atmanirbhar in generating enough power for us. Green Energy is just starting up - there is much more to go and investments on Green Energy sector is only going to multiply after the Election Defence: India again has transformed from being a Major Defence Equipment Importer to a Major Defence Exporter. This again is a Sunrise Sector and Indian Defence Sector is going to grow multi-fold in future both in Short and Long Term and hence the Rally would Continue and even Grow bigger after the Election PSU: As you all know, the Central Govt is emphasizing on PSUs so much and advertising heavily in Parliament, Rajya Sabha/Lok Sabha to invest in PSUs. Irrespective of any politics, given the upcoming Election, the Govt cannot afford to have an impact to their Brand Image if PSUs crash. They won't allow that either Pre-Election or even Post-Election and Technically many PSU stocks are on the verge of Breakout / doing a Retest after break out. Long long way to go on PSU side Railways: With 3000+ New Trains, Bullet Trains, Conversion of traditional trains into Vande Bharat - the govt has made their plans clearly and invested heavily on Railway Modernisation plan. Even in the Interim budget there is strong Emphasis on Railway sector which is only going to multiply after the Election and hence the brief pause that we see in Railways will get released post Election and there is much Bigger Rally awaited in Railways in the next 3-5 years Infra: Next to Railways, the Govt has emphasized and invested heavily on the Infrastructure development and expansion throughout the country and detailed out their intentions even during the Interim budget. India's Road / Rail / Sea & Airport Infrastructure is seeing a Massive Growth in recent years making the setup ready for Make-in-India Theme and Ease-of-Doing-Business themes drawing huge amounts of Foreign Investments Given these reasons, I see a major and continued growth and expansion of the above 5 Macro Sectors and their dependent Sub-sectors like Cement, Steel & Metal sectors both in Short and Long Term (both pre and post-Election) I believe in India's Growth Story - both the Story & Screenplay are super Strong and Indian Economy is positioned so strong among their Global Peers and heading for non-stop growth while other majors have started to fall down (China, Germany, Japan, UK, France, USA etc...) Keep Holding your Winners. Always Analyse Technical Charts, Support & Resistance Levels of Individual Stocks before taking position Disclaimer: Stocks-n-Trends is NOT registered with SEBI. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions. If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:CNXENERGYLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
1