Eyes Off the Road, But On the Prize?While Tesla often dominates the autonomous driving narrative, the reality is far more nuanced. This article posits that Mobileye, with its recent significant collaboration with Volkswagen, stands as the only true competitor in this high-stakes technological race. Volkswagen's decision to integrate Mobileye's advanced camera, radar, and mapping technologies into its high-volume models underscores a growing industry trend: established automakers are increasingly relying on specialized technology providers to navigate the complexities of assisted and autonomous driving. This partnership not only validates Mobileye's technological prowess but also signals a potential shift in the autonomous driving landscape, moving beyond Tesla's proprietary approach.
Mobileye's strategic advantage lies in its comprehensive suite of technologies, notably the Surround ADAS platform powered by the EyeQ™6 High processor. This vertically integrated solution delivers sophisticated Level 2+ capabilities, including hands-free driving in specific conditions, and is designed for scalability across mass-market vehicles. Complementing this is Mobileye's innovative Road Experience Management™ (REM™) technology, a crowdsourced mapping system that leverages data from millions of vehicles to create and maintain high-definition maps globally. This approach offers near real-time updates and superior local accuracy, providing a critical foundation for future autonomous capabilities and contrasting with Tesla's reliance on its fleet data.
The fundamental difference in business models further distinguishes the two companies. Mobileye operates as a technology supplier, forging partnerships with over 50 automakers and integrating its solutions into numerous vehicle models. This strategy allows for a diverse and expansive collection of real-world driving data. In contrast, Tesla's vertically integrated model confines its autonomous driving technology primarily to its vehicles, potentially limiting its market reach and the breadth of its data acquisition. While Tesla champions an in-house approach, Mobileye's collaborative strategy positions it as a key enabler for the wider automotive industry's autonomous transition.
Ultimately, Mobileye's current focus on delivering robust and scalable Level 2+ systems, exemplified by the Volkswagen partnership, reflects a pragmatic evolution towards full autonomy. Coupled with positive analyst outlooks and a solid financial foundation, Mobileye is not just a contender but the most significant challenger to Tesla's autonomous driving ambitions, offering a compelling alternative path in the pursuit of a driverless future.
Electricvehicles
TESLA pricing its long-term bottom. $450 rebound highly likely.Nine months ago (June 26 2024, see chart below), we signaled the start of an enormous rally on Tesla (TSLA), which eventually hit our minimum Target ($400), based on a fractal from 2014 - 2016:
Since the upper 1.382 Fib Target wasn't achieved, the model is readjusted and this count makes better sense. Based on the 1W RSI we are on a bottom similar to October 30 2017 around the 4.0 Time Fib extension. That past sequence initiated a rebound towards the market Resistance before the next decline headed to the 5.0 Fib extension.
As a result, we believe Tesla will find a bottom here and target $450 just below the Resistance level.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
$NIO Will a similar OBV and Volume pattern lead to a rally?Pay attention to the recent OBV structure (blue). Declining and forming a flat bottom.
The volume in pink displays the same characteristics during each stage of the Inverse H&S pattern: forming an initial peak during the left shoulder, a higher one during the formation of the head (although the head of the current pattern is accompanied by lower volume, but I have an explanation for it), and then peaking during the formation of the second touch of the base, at the start of the right shoulder. Finally, the volume dives along with the last peak of the structure before leaving the pattern altogether.
Additionally, notice how the Weinstein 30-week indicator is finding a bottom here.
During the 'head' or second dip, NIO's price declined on lower volume than in 2019. I can see it as a change of character. It looks like NIO didn't take this dip seriously this time.
TESLA ($TSLA) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINSTESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINS
(1/8)
Tesla’s Q4 2024 revenue came in at $25.17B (+1% YoY), missing estimates of $25.87B. Full-year revenue hit $97.69B, only slightly above 2023. Let’s break down the numbers! 🚗⚡️
(2/8) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.71 (vs. $0.74 est.)
• Net income slipped from $2.51B (Q1 ‘23) to $1.13B (Q1 ‘24) → margin pressures
• Full-year EPS: $2.04. Investors are edgy over slowing profit growth 😬
(3/8) – NEW AFFORDABLE EV
• Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced EV mid-2025—could spark future growth 🚀
• However, concerns linger about declining margins due to recent price cuts & softening EV demand 🔻
(4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• P/E trailing: 177.26, forward P/E: 124.35 → major premium vs. Toyota (~8.5) & GM (~8.7) 🔎
• EV/EBITDA: 87.53—again, quite high
• Analyst avg. PT: $307.62 vs. current ~$355 → Some see overvaluation 📈
(5/8) – PERFORMANCE & COMPETITION
• Tesla’s revenue growth lags behind EV rivals like BYD (especially in China) 🇨🇳
• High valuation is tough to justify if margins keep slipping & demand cools
• Others note the potential for a “market correction” if Tesla doesn’t re-accelerate growth 🔻
(6/8) – RISK FACTORS
• EV Demand Slowdown: Price cuts & fierce competition in China
• Production Delays: Cybertruck & new affordable EV might take time to ramp
• Regulatory: Shifts in incentives or rules could slow sales 📉
• Economic Pressure: High interest rates = less consumer cash for big-ticket items
• Elon Musk: Diverted focus (X, SpaceX) + polarizing behavior 🌀
(7/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Leading EV brand & loyal customer base 🔥
Diversified streams (storage, solar) → less auto reliance
Massive market cap at $1.16T shows confidence
Weaknesses:
Shrinking margins (~17.86% in 2024)
Production hiccups → scaling issues
Sky-high valuations vulnerable to correction
Opportunities:
2025 mass-market EV could open huge demand 🚗💨
AI & autonomy (FSD, robotaxis) for new revenue
Energy storage growth offsetting auto slowdowns 🔋
Threats:
Competition from BYD, GM, etc.
Lawsuits & regulatory scrutiny (discrimination, product defects)
Global economic uncertainty → lower vehicle sales
(8/8) – With Tesla trading around $355 & a P/E near 177, is it still worth the premium?
1️⃣ Bullish—Musk’s vision & new EV model = unstoppable 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Waiting to see if margins recover 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Overvalued, competition is heating up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
TSLA around a confluence zone : Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA Technical Analysis and Forecast
Tesla (TSLA) is currently positioned at a critical confluence zone, where both horizontal and ascending trendlines intersect. Should the selling pressure persist and the stock breaks below the $325 level, there is a potential for further downside movement toward a psychological support zone at $300.
It is important to note that TSLA has experienced a significant decline of approximately 33% from its peak on December 18, 2024, which could indicate potential for a rebound at these levels.
Given the stock's current discount, I believe it may present a compelling opportunity for long-term investors. I intend to continue building my position through a disciplined Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, gradually accumulating shares as the price moves lower.
Should TSLA reach the $300 mark, I consider it a strong buying opportunity.
As always, please trade with caution and consider your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
TESLA Is this the right time to buy again?Right at the start of the year (January 02, see chart below) we issued a Sell Target on Tesla (TSLA) at $330:
This was based on the 1-year Parabolic Growth Channel of the stock, which formed a Higher High and was already in the rejection phase. The 330 Target was hit yesterday, the price touched the bottom of the Channel and we already see a recovery attempt today.
The condition that completes the strong buy sentiment that is emerging on Tesla, is that it hit yesterday the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since October 23 2024. As you can see, the last two times that the stock traded on its 1D MA100, it was the most optimal buy opportunity.
Following a -33% decline on the previous two corrections of the Parabolic Channel, we've always seen an immediate rebound of at least +43.38%. As a result, we expect Tesla to initiate the new Bullish Leg, which, before a Higher High, can target on the short-term $465 (+43.38%).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Can Tesla's AI Drive the Future?Tesla, Inc. has positioned itself at the forefront of not just electric vehicles but also artificial intelligence (AI) with ambitious plans for autonomous driving and robotaxis. The company's vision extends beyond mere transportation; it aspires to revolutionize how we move, live, and utilize energy. Analyst Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley has forecasted a potentially staggering growth, suggesting Tesla could expand to a 7.5 million vehicle robotaxi fleet by 2040, potentially catapulting its stock value to unprecedented heights.
The public's reception to Tesla's AI-driven future is mixed but intriguing. A significant portion, 55% of Americans, would ride in a Tesla robotaxi, with younger generations showing even greater enthusiasm. This indicates a cultural shift towards accepting and perhaps preferring autonomous solutions over traditional human-driven services. However, the journey is fraught with challenges, including technological validation, regulatory compliance, and the need to address safety concerns to win over skeptics. The potential for Tesla to disrupt urban mobility, reduce congestion, and lower emissions is immense, but it hinges on overcoming these hurdles.
Tesla's stock has already responded to these technological promises, with a notable surge linked to robust EV sales and optimistic analyst projections. The company's integration of AI into autonomous vehicles and energy solutions points towards a future where smart cities could become the norm. This narrative of Tesla challenges us to envision a world where technology not only drives cars but also drives change in our economic, environmental, and social frameworks. As we stand on the brink of this AI revolution, one must ponder: Are we ready for the autonomous future Tesla envisions?
PSNY - I like the stockGood Morning Traders,
Today I am sharing NASDAQ:PSNY an EV play from VW I like and am back in prior to sharing.
📈 Price Action and Confluence on PSNY
Based on recent price action and confluence signals, my system is indicating a re-entry on Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (PSNY). I like the stock, and I think it can give good short term and long term gains.
🚗 About Polestar
Polestar, the Swedish premium electric performance car brand, has been making waves in the EV industry. With their recent expansion into the North American market and access to Tesla's Supercharger network, Polestar is positioning itself as a strong contender in the electric vehicle space. Their commitment to innovation and sustainability is truly commendable.
🌍 Industry Trends
The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1.
Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
TESLA How further can it drop??Tesla (TSLA) has clearly overachieved since our previous buy signal (August 15 2024, see chart below), surpassing our $380 Target:
The last 3 weeks though has seen overdue weakness on the price action, which was delayed due to the U.S. elections aftermath. The deliveries miss is pulling the price back towards its fair value region and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since the October 23 2024 bullish break-out.
Tesla has been trading inside a Parabolic Channel for almost a year (since February 2024) and the level that has marked the strongest buy opportunities recently has been the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Every contact on that level since the August 05 2024 Low, has been a solid buy entry.
Parallel to the 1D MA100 contacts, the 1D RSI tends to test its own Support Zone, whose bottoms are aligned and is an additional buy signal.
With regards to corrections within this Parabolic Channel, the two major ones have both been -32.65%, an amazing display of symmetry. If the current pull-back also follows that pattern and evolves into another -32.65% Bearish Leg, then it might make contact with the 1D MA100 around the $330 level. Unless the 1D RSI hits its Support Zone earlier, that is technically a fair value for Tesla in our opinion, where heavy buying may commence again.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
China EV Market Weekly Update (W52) In the final week of December, NIO delivered 6,500 units, marking a 20% increase compared to the previous week and 14% YoY growth. For December, NIO's total registrations reached 20,000 units, with the ES6 (EL6 in Europe) and ET5 models dominating sales. Additionally, Onvo, NIO's sub-brand, registered 4,200 units of its L60 SUV (+101% WoW), contributing to a December total of 9,405 units.
Key insights:
Tesla posted 18,600 registrations (+6% WoW). Model Y remains the top seller, but Model 3 is gaining traction.
BYD led the market with 72,100 registrations, though this was down 18% WoW and 6% YoY.
Xpeng and Zeekr hit record numbers, with 10,100 and 8,900 registrations, respectively.
📈 Despite mixed signals across the EV sector, NIO’s growth is a promising indicator of its resilience in a competitive market. The rise in Onvo’s L60 SUV registrations further highlights potential in NIO's multi-brand strategy.
I'm back in the game. I sold my entire position at 7.47 on September 30, and people thought I was crazy. Anyway, I recently bought back around 4.55. This stock is playing yo-yo with our nerves, haha.
Next target? Early March 2025 (Fibonacci time extension) for a gain between +25% and +45%. Good luck to everyone!
sorry for all the drawings, this is my personal chart.
Will China's Game Redefine The Global Copper Paradigm?In the dynamic landscape of global commodities, copper emerges as a fascinating case study of economic interconnectedness and strategic policymaking. Recent developments have seen prices climb to $8,971.50 per metric ton, driven by China's bold $411 billion treasury bond initiative – a move that could reshape the metal's trajectory in international markets. This price movement, however, tells only part of a more complex story that challenges conventional market wisdom.
The interplay between supply fundamentals and geopolitical forces creates an intriguing narrative. While physical demand remains robust and Chinese inventories run low, the market grapples with a 19% decline from its May peak, highlighting the delicate balance between immediate market dynamics and broader economic forces. This tension is further amplified by the looming influence of potential U.S. trade policies under President-elect Trump's administration, adding another layer of complexity to an already multifaceted market equation.
Perhaps most compelling is the transformation of copper's role in the global economy. As traditional demand drivers like property construction show weakness, the metal's crucial position in the green energy transition offers a new frontier of opportunity. With electric vehicle sales continuing to break records and renewable energy infrastructure expanding, copper stands at the crossroads of old and new economic paradigms. This evolution, coupled with China's strategic stimulus measures and the market's response to supply-side developments, suggests that copper's story in 2025 and beyond will be one of adaptation, resilience, and strategic importance in the global economic landscape.
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders,
🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside.
Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈
Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡.
Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵.
Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡.
Additionally
Carbon Credits and EV Policies
Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla.
EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives.
Political Connections
Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes.
🌍Industry Trends
The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1.
Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
TESLA Every pull-back is a buy opportunity. Is $1000 possible?It was almost 6 months ago (June 26, see chart below) when we made a seemingly unrealistic bullish call on Tesla (TSLA) for the time being, setting $400 as our first Target:
In fact, it was 8 months ago (April 15, see chart below) when we called Tesla's exact bottom, expecting its own 'Meta recovery moment' following lay offs of more than 10% of staff:
Obviously, you can say that you couldn't see that coming. Tesla not only broke above $400 but is about to hit the next psychological level of $500. In order to make better sense of this logarithmic rise and display it in a more effective way to you, we have borrowed some of our Bitcoin analysis tools: the Pi Cycle and the Mayer Multiple Bands.
What you see on this chart, are the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which have been key Resistance and Support levels respectively during the majority of Tesla's historic run, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which have historically been the extreme Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Tesla's major Support.
All the above are applied on Tesla's key historic pattern: a Channel Up, defined by its middle Fibonacci retracement levels (0.618, 0.5, 0.382) and its extremes, the -0.382 Fib (caught the June 2019 market bottom) and the 1.382 Fib (caught the February 2014, February 2021 and November 2021 market tops).
At the moment the price just broke above Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) and hit the 0.618 Fib. While this is a strong short-term Resistance cluster and may force some investors to take profits, every such pull-back should technically be a buy opportunity from now on, as the market as already started its Parabolic Rally phase.
As you can see both previous Parabolic Rally phases hit the 1.382 Fib extension extreme, trading on the way up considerably above the 1W MA50 and with the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) as its loose Support.
Even though another test of that extreme would take the stock to incredibly high capitalization levels and cannot be justified without an applicable expansion of their product lines (from electric vehicles to A.I. and robotics), a $700 - $1000 target range by the end of 2025, doesn't seem so unrealistic if those products hit the market with real world applications.
In any case, every break above the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) has historically started Tesla's largest rallies (exception of course the March 2020 COVID flash crash, which was quickly recovered), so plan your strategy accordingly.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BYD Co. (BYDDY) AnalysisCompany Overview: BYD Co. (Build Your Dreams), a leader in electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy, has firmly established itself as a global powerhouse in the EV market. Known for its vertically integrated model and diverse vehicle lineup, BYD continues to expand its dominance across key regions, solidifying its position as a top competitor in the EV and clean energy sectors.
Key Developments:
Market Leadership: OTC:BYDDY has surpassed Tesla as the world's largest EV seller, delivering 822,094 vehicles in Q3 2023 compared to Tesla's 435,059 deliveries. This achievement highlights BYD's growing global market share and its ability to meet surging demand, even in a highly competitive industry.
Diverse Product Lineup: BYD’s expansive vehicle range—from affordable compact cars to luxury models—appeals to a broad consumer base, reducing its dependence on a single market segment. This diversification strengthens its resilience and positions the company to capture additional market share across income brackets.
International Expansion: BYD is aggressively entering new markets, including Europe, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, tapping into regions with rising EV adoption rates. This international growth strategy provides BYD with new revenue streams, insulating it from potential regional economic fluctuations.
Rising EV Demand: With global EV adoption continuing to accelerate, BYD benefits from a tailwind of policy support for renewable energy and consumer demand for eco-friendly transportation options.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on BYDDY above the $62.00-$63.00 range, driven by its market leadership, product diversification, and robust international growth strategy.
Upside Potential: Our price target is set at $123.00-$125.00, reflecting the company’s potential to capitalize on its global expansion and strengthen its position as the top EV maker worldwide.
🚗 BYD—Driving the Future of EVs Globally! #ElectricVehicles #BYD #CleanEnergyRevolution
tesla still has a shot at ATHthis bull market has carried tsla to prices not seen since september 2022. with the size of the bounce and the consolidation in the s&p500 volatility is expected to rise in this name. the trend continuation could happen at any of these market structure levels, an i would remain long the stock on any breakout or bounce from these levels. ive used horizonfal lines to mark out support, resistance and pivot levels that could sway price. is aim as high as ATH or as low as pwVAH.
NIO Trendline Break PossibleGood evening traders,
After NIO's rapid growth Pre-Covid, the company has failed to make a comeback. In my opinion this was due to its rapid growth and impulse move back in 2020. My rule with impulse moves is the market will tend to retrace 100% of its initial move.
Following the fall of NIO for the past several years, it has clearly been bouncing from a descending trendline and so far it has touched 4 times. I expect NIO to continue to drop, the $3.00'ish price seems to be a good price to enter with a possibility of it reach the $1.00 area. I'm expecting a breakout soon followed by a retracement back to the trendline and bounce up until is reaches the $27 dollar area. This is just the technical aspect of this analysis. Hope this helps some of you with your investments.
Don't forget to like and follow for more trading ideas & trading opportunities. Happy Trading!