HYUNDAI with exceptional long setupThe chart of Hyuandai presents itself very strong with a freshly activated long signal.
The Weber Trend Suite provided a perfect support line (green horizontal). Additionally the chart formed a bullish divergence to the RSI. After the first leg up, the price consolidated in a bull flag and now we see the breakout.
The conservative trade has a CRV of 3 (target old all time high).
The more aggressive trade has a CRV of 9 (!) with the old all time high as a target.
Electricvehicles
Tesla Heat CheckThis stock has had a crazy run. Looking for long opportunity but needs to retest breakout first. Looking for trendline touch on this Icarus stock that has outperformed the stock market for years now. Only larger public companies right now by market cap are Apple, Microsoft, Saudi Aramco, Alphabet, and Amazon. Last time I checked Elon has no plans to take SpaceX public and an electric car company can't exactly change the world like the other companies listed.
Personal Opinion + TA = not investment advice
Best of Luck!
Accumulation zone for Sona Comstar InvestorsNSE:SONACOMS
note: this is not an idea for short term trading, but for long term investors.
The scrip seems to respect the yellow trendline since its IPO.
so one can use the yellow line to accumulate the shares whenever the scrip takes support on the line for longterm.
China fear was an entry opportunityIn my latest post on the 19th Jul 2021, I mentioned: "It is possible that wave 2 is not complete yet and we may see another leg down before taking off hard to make new highs as the 3rd impulsive wave."
This is what happened and we should be on our way to the higher prices. Target 1 should be $59 and Target 2 should be $74 for the medium term. Note that still there is a slim possibility of morphing this correction to a more complex pattern, however as China fear pushed the Chinese stock prices to lower prices and offered an opportunity to get in at lower prices, such a pattern conversion should be regarded as an entry opportunity. EV stocks will shine in 2022 and 2023 as the sales will be more prevailing and more companies will come up with new EVs and technologies. As an example, Toyota has promised the introduction of 70 new models until 2025 out of which 15 will be fully electric. $LCID and $FSR are the two notable EV companies in the US that will introduce their luxury sedan and cross-over SUV in 2021 and 2022 respectively.
My last post on $XPEV:
Please DYODD. This is not financial advice.
Volkswagen's EVs Taking Off, May Surpass NIO's Market Share Volkswagen's EVs Are Taking Off in China, May Soon Surpass NIO's Market Share
On October 22, SAIC Volkswagen ID.3 was launched in the country at CNY 159,888 to CNY 173,888 per vehicle.
Volkswagen China achieved a milestone of 10,000 EV sales in September 2021.
We dissect Volkswagen's EV sales through three perspectives: product, production and marketing.
A solid EV lineup, concrete production capacity and improved marketing have made VW one of the fastest legacy brands shifting to an EV company status.
We expect VW to surpass NIO and Xpeng's market share very soon but remain shy of Tesla or BYD.
The global chip shortage has hurt the auto industry, with companies at the risk of cutting more production. Electric vehicles built on more technology attributes that need more chips should have been hit badly. However, Volkswagen China delivered stellar EV sales in Q3, which grew from 3,415 units in June to 10,126 units in September, eclipsing NIO and Xpeng's growth rates in the same period. As an EV brand once underrated by some Chinese consumers, how did the company lift its sales so quickly? This article will rewind Volkswagen's EV story in China and give it an outlook.
Entering the mainland market
Before entering China, in 2020, Volkswagen Group sold 56,500 ID.3 in Europe during the final four months, which proved ID's strong product power. One year later, VW started to consider launching and manufacturing special ID models in China. According to an official announcement, Volkswagen Group (China) rolled out two new IDs based on MEB's innovative modular electric drive platform at the end of 2020, including pure electric models FAW-Volkswagen ID.4 CROZZ and SAIC Volkswagen ID.4 X. The two models are larger than ID.3 and tailored to Chinese consumers. They had started production in Foshan and Anting factories, and the products would be launched in early 2021. These two plants have a total annual production capacity of 600,000 vehicles. So, Volkswagen is one of the earliest legacy car makers that put EVs into production in the Chinese market.
With a concrete production line, the company began to pre-order ID.4 in China at the beginning of 2021. Compared with Tesla, Xpeng and NIO's lineup, some argued ID series were uncompetitive for shorter driving ranges, lacking intelligent features. But VW China has refreshed people's minds with spectacular sales growth.
In the beginning stage of selling, ID didn't perform well. The auto insurance data showed April saw 2,140 units sales of ID.4, which is tiny for the auto behemoth. Later on, VW adjusted its policy with the dealership network to stimulate them to sell more EVs, set a new team to deal with NEV sales and trained a special EV sales team to find the momentum.
Another critical initiative Volkswagen made is an omnichannel selling strategy. ID models are sold in the existing 4S stores and shopping malls. The shopping mall stores are invested and built by existing dealers, and there is no directly operated shop of OEMs. The company learned new retailing strategies from Tesla and NIO's success using multi-channels to acquire traffic. Volkswagen is opening EV-only stores in more malls, namely through ID. Stores. There are dozens of stores in Shanghai. It is also expanding into other megacities.
Following more ID models exhibited in shopping malls and 4S stores, ID saw a surprising increase in sales, which broke 10,000 monthly sales six months after delivery. By comparison, it cost NIO and Xpeng two years.
Will VW keep growing sales fast in the future?
We expect VW to acquire a larger market share in the following period. We judge the future delivery range of an NEV company from a perspective of the product, production capacity and marketing. ID models' product has won EU consumers' acceptance and should be accepted by the Chinese. The production capacity may be a problem, but Volkswagen has a one-million-global-EV-sales target this year, which was set when the firm was well aware of the supply issues. It ought to prioritize new energy vehicles production, and the inventory purchased at the end of 2020 can be used for some time. So, sales should continue to rise, but supply chain issues will impact capacity. Besides, the popularity of Volkswagen electric cars is increasing as more shops are built. By the end of this year, monthly sales are very likely to set a new record again.
To discuss the sales 'ceiling' of ID, we have to benchmark it to the industry leaders such as Tesla and BYD. After one year of mass delivery in China, Tesla gained its EV market share between 10-15%. BYD is shifting towards a full-EV brand and takes around 20% of China's NEV market. We believe Volkswagen is far from catching up with these two companies for being a legacy player but can surpass NIO and Xpeng's respective market shares in a year based on recent sales momentum.
In a nutshell
VW's solid EV product, concrete production capacity and omnichannel sales system made it one of the fastest legacy brands to complete an 'EV shift.' The sales momentum hints its future delivery will keep jumping. Although we don't think the company will quickly transform into an EV leader like Tesla in the premium segment or BYD in the lower price bands, it is very likely to grow its market share to overtake NIO or Xpeng's in the short run.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
Baidu Apollo and WM Motor Launch Two New Cars on October 19Baidu Apollo and WM Motor officially released two new cars on October 19, both of which are based on the WM Motor W6 SUV.
One is a new generation of the unmanned vehicle Apollo Moon mass production model equipped with LiDAR (Apollo Moon WM Motor version), and the other is a mass-production model equipped with Baidu Apollo Navigation Pilot (ANP) assisted driving system and Apollo Valet Parking (AVP) autonomous parking system. This also means that the cooperation between Baidu and WM Motor has completed full coverage from AVP and ANP to completely unmanned Apollo Moon models.
According to Baidu, the Apollo Moon version of the W6 and WM Motor W6 models with ANP and AVP both adopt the 'ANP-Robotaxi' architecture, which can achieve data generation and share at the same time.
The W6 with ANP+AVP model has 12 cameras, 5 millimeter-wave radars and 12 ultrasonic radars with L2+ autonomous driving capabilities, which means that it can realize higher-level pilot-assisted driving capabilities such as intelligent avoidance, autonomous lane changing, driving through on- and off-ramps and access to service areas.
The Apollo Moon version of the W6, on the other hand, adds one custom LiDAR system and corresponding driverless redundancy to the ANP+AVP version, allowing for fully driverless capability. It adopts a range of 46 safety technologies and 59 travel service designs with full sensor and computing unit redundancy. Even if one system fails, it can ensure that the whole vehicle still carries out driving commands and brings passengers to a safe place.
At the same time, for the Apollo Moon version of the W6, all the sub-packaging processes before the production line are independently completed by WM Motor, allowing the production process to be further optimized. Baidu also claimed the robotaxi can achieve an operating cycle of more than five years and can be put into large-scale stable operations.
NIO's Thirsty EVThe NIO ES8, introduced in Norway on September 30, recently underwent a 1000km test resulting in an average performance.
The journey resulted in an 11hour, 25-minute journey. The car stopped to charge 5 times and sustained an average driving speed of 87.6km/h. This ES8 utilized a 100kwh lithium-ion battery and besides its high energy consumption, the car did not offer the fastest charging rates. Bjorn Nyland described the new vehicle as to the thirstiest electric car ever tested. During his 1000km challenge, the car consumed 318kwh.
With a middle-of-the-pack performance for NIO's newest addition to its fleet, it will have to set itself apart with its looks, features, and safety. The car is described as very comfortable in terms of interior space, has big wheels which affect its performance and efficiency, and even includes an egg-shaped small AI personal assistant named Nomi which can take pictures for you or direct you to a charging station. While prices for its American rival start at USD 107,097.12 in the UK, the ES8 is on sale in its homeland at the equivalent of USD 70,711.56. NIO has already begun deliveries of the ES8 and plans to expand outside of China to Norway first and eventually Germany.
The initial upfront cost may be enticing to consumers who seek cheaper alternatives to premier EV's, but the performance and electric consumption could be a hindrance in the long run to committed customers. The rival Tesla Model X Long Range completed Bjorn's challenge an hour faster. Aside from the ES8, the company could have at least two more new models to unveil to the public on December 18th at– ‘NIO Day’ – that will hopefully perform more competitively against rival EV subtypes while maintaining affordability.
$NIO- Analysis & Key levels $NIO- Analysis & Key levels
My position is short here… I do think that NIO had a nice run up today… but I also believe there is a little bit more downside before NIO is bullish again.
I love this stock and this company but I’m not ready to go long yet…
——————
I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you.
My average is in Grey
Red = Resistance
Green = Support
Blue = trendlines
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
WATCHING $TSLA - target 634.99 for Entry WATCHING $TSLA - target 634.99 for Entry
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Ahhhhhh… I sure do love making earning’s calls.
As much as I love Tesla, it’s also showing a considerable amount of weekness in the Technicals…
Watching 634 to jump back in… GL
——————
I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you.
My average is in Grey
Red = Resistance
Green = Support
Blue = trendlines
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
TATAMOTORS The auto sector looks weak for a while now because of the low demand in pandemic and it will surely emerge from it when everything will be in order.
So TATA motors is also having bad times as you can see on the chart, breaking all its support. buts there is something interesting happening in the company which is looking promising .
First, have a look at the negatives.
1. Company is losing its market share in CVS and buses segment.
2. Chip shortage is looking serious.
3. Increasing debt up to 142,131.
4. The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.76% over the past five years.
Now let's see what good is happening.
1. Record order bank of 110k units at 30th June of JLR amid chip shortage
2. JLR through its REIMAGINE initiative aimed to achieve clean mobility and connectivity by 2025.
3. In INDIA tata motors achieved 10% quarterly market share after 9 years.
4. Nexon (CUV), Tiago (Mid-Hatch) , Altroz (Premium Hatch) are ranked number 2 in
their respective segments.
5. EV penetration is at 3% of the portfoilo.
6. Currenty leading INDIA's EV story.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Stock is between R284 and S260 . currently, it is 20% down from its recent high and may it will fall more to 260 level which is a very strong supply zone.
CONCLUSION: Chip shortage and effects of the pandemic will be gone after few quarters and as far as debt is concerned, yes it can hinder the growth of the company.
But those good things will definitely help in increasing the valuation of the company if all goes well.
CHPT Bounce?!I like CHPT!
Tomorrow's daily candle should show us what we need to see. It should bounce on this support and/or consolidate for a few weeks before making a bullish move.
Consider 12/17/2021 Calls.
Stop Loss: $19
Profit Target: $25 (Aggressive: $26.60)
If it breaks resistance, I could see CHPT dropping near the $17 range.
Tesla Looks to Break $1000 After Finding Strong SupportSadly, my last Tesla call was incorrect and I'll be the first to admit it (maybe second, third or fourth). I think I recall a few naysayers who totally opposed my previous prediction and hindsight, I can't blame them.
My previous call was big warning about Tesla slipping below $100. After reviewing my analysis and the Tesla wave structure, we can see that's obviously incorrect. With a little more time and mind into it, I'm supremely confident of what I now have marked up.
Expect Tesla to make big rise to the $1300-$1500 range either late in 2021 or early in 2022. Correction should then be ready for a huge drop down towards $150 (0.618 FIB). We will be able to determine a final bear target as Wave A (first of 3) develops and find its mark.
Tesla bulls will remain strong throughout the winter. Maybe Elon finally takes his trip to space and gives investors reason for excitement.
Surely, something newsworthy will happen to make this all make sense..
:)
NIO: to Boost Its Battery Swap Stations' Coverage Along HighwaysThe company also has 341 supercharging stations with 2,176 supercharging piles, 515 destination charging stations with 2,878 piles and access to more than 400,000+ third-party charging piles.
The Chinese Lunar New Year holiday is a peak travel time for the public, and NIO wants to significantly expand its battery swap stations' coverage along highways before then to make it easier for its customers to travel by car.
The electric vehicle company announced Tuesday that it will have a battery swap network covering eight major highways and four densely populated metropolitan areas by the Chinese New Year in 2022.
The next Chinese New Year will come on February 1, 2022, and no official schedule has been released, but the holiday is usually seven days.
The holiday is typically a time for people working in major cities to return to their hometowns and will also see one of the world's largest population migrations, although it has waned in size in recent years due to Covid-19 concerns.
According to NIO's plan, the company hopes to complete a battery swap network along five north-south highways and three east-west highways by then.
The five north-south highways are G1 Beijing-Harbin Expressway, G2 Beijing-Shanghai Expressway, G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Expressway, G5 Beijing-Kunming Expressway, and G15 Shenyang-Haikou Expressway.
The three east-west highways are the G30 Lianyungang-Horgos Expressway, the G50 Shanghai-Chongqing Expressway, and the G60 Shanghai-Kunming Expressway.
The four metropolitan areas the company hopes to cover are Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing.
William Li, founder, chairman and CEO of NIO, said Tuesday that the company's number of battery swap stations covering the highway now stands at 99 and will increase to 169 by the Chinese New Year.
Notably, NIO has previously built battery swap networks covering the G2 Beijing-Shanghai Expressway and the G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Expressway.
On September 20, the company announced the completion of its battery swap network covering the G1 Beijing-Harbin Expressway, making it the third fully connected expressway battery swap network.
The G1 Beijing-Harbin Expressway is 1,229 kilometers long, and NIO has provided 10 battery swap stations along its route, one every 120 kilometers on average.
In addition, NIO announced on September 16 that with three new battery swap stations in highway service areas in operation, it has completed its network of battery swap stations in highway service areas from Beijing to all major cities in the surrounding area.
The network consists of 12 highway battery swap stations, centered on Beijing, covering the service areas in Hebei and Tianjin on seven highways: Beijing-Chengde, Beijing-Harbin, Beijing-Lhasa, Beijing-Chongli, Beijing-Shanghai, Beijing-Hong Kong-Macau, and Beijing-Qinhuangdao.
According to CnEVPost database, as of September 21, NIO had 484 battery swap stations in China.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
XPeng Says P5 Had 6,159 Orders in 24 Hours of Official LaunchThe company said that 54 percent of those orders were for the LiDAR-equipped models.
XPeng Motors said Friday that it accumulated 6,159 orders for its new sedan, the P5, in the first 24 hours of its official launch.
The company announced Wednesday evening Beijing time that the P5 became available for order in China in six configurations with a subsidized price range of CNY 157,900 (USD 24,500) to CNY 223,900, and deliveries will begin in late October.
XPeng said today that 90 percent of these new orders are for models that support XPILOT 3.5 and XPILOT 3.0, its autonomous driving assistance system.
It's worth noting that this does not mean that all of these customers are subscribed to the XPILOT system, as they will need to spend additional money. XPeng did not disclose the percentage of customers who subscribed to the service.
XPeng debuted a new naming scheme for the P5 model, with the P representing the model's highest level of intelligence, followed by the E and G. The numbers in the names of the different models represent their NEDC ranges.
The P series, with the highest intelligence rating, offers a choice of 550 km and 600 km NEDC ranges, while the E and G series both offer a choice of 460 km and 550 km ranges.
Among these models, only two models of the P series are equipped with LiDAR, priced at CNY 199,900 and 223,900 respectively.
They can allow users to pay for a subscription to XPILOT 3.5 at a standard price of CNY 45,000, and users will be able to enjoy a discounted price of CNY 25,000 if they subscribe before delivery.
The two E series models are priced at CNY 177,900 and CNY 192,900 respectively. They allow users to pay for a subscription to XPILOT 3.0 at a standard price of CNY 36,000, and users will be able to enjoy a discounted price of CNY 20,000 if they subscribe before delivery.
The two models of the G series are priced at CNY 157,900 and CNY 172,900 respectively and do not support the XPILOT system.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
XPeng Launches P5 Sedan with Starting Price around USD 24,500The company has secured a supply partnership with SK Innovation (SKI), a South Korean power battery supplier, which will provide it with high nickel-based Li-ion batteries with 80% nickel content.
After two months of pre-sales, XPeng Motors' new sedan, the P5, officially went on sale on September 15 at prices several thousand CNY lower than the pre-sale prices.
XPeng announced at a press conference on Wednesday that the P5 is immediately available for order in China in six configurations with a subsidized price range of CNY 157,900 (USD 24,500) to CNY 223,900, and deliveries will begin in late October.
The exact post-subsidy pricing for these models is as follows:
600P CNY 223,900
550P CNY 199,900
550E CNY 192,900
460E CNY 177,900
550G CNY 172,900
460G CNY 157,900
For comparison, XPeng's flagship sedan, the P7, has a starting price of CNY 229,900. The P5 went on pre-sale on July 17 with a price range of CNY 160,000 (USD 24,700) to CNY 230,000.
XPeng debuted a new naming scheme on the P5 model, with P representing the model's highest level of intelligence, followed by E and G. The numbers in the names of the different models represent their NEDC range.
The P series with the highest intelligence level offers 550 km and 600 km NEDC range options, while the E series and G series both offer 460 km and 550 km range options.
The battery for the 460 km range model is a lithium iron phosphate battery, while the 550 km and 600 km versions are ternary lithium batteries.
XPeng previously boasted that the P5 is the world's first LiDAR-equipped model, but it is worth noting that only the P Series is equipped with this component, while the E Series and G Series models are not equipped with LiDAR.
In terms of intelligent configuration, the P series comes with XPILOT 3.5 driver assistance system, the E series comes with XPILOT 3.0, while the G series does not offer this system.
The XPILOT 3.5 enables the extension of NGP (Navigation Guided Pilot) from highways to city roads.
The standard price of XPILOT 3.5 is CNY 45,000, and subscribers will be able to enjoy a limited-time discounted price of CNY 25,000 if they subscribe before delivery. The standard price for XPILOT 3.0 is CNY 36,000 and 20,000 if users subscribe before delivery.
The urban NGP will allow high precision navigation and assisted driving, adapted to China's challenging urban road conditions.
NGP will also be upgraded to NGP-L - a highway NGP with LiDAR - to enable safer and more capable assisted driving on China's highways and expressways, the company said.
XPeng's existing ACC and LCC systems will also be upgraded and enhanced to ACC-L and LCC-L status in P5, which incorporates LiDAR to enable P5 to identify congested vehicles earlier and stationary vehicles more accurately.
"With the P5, we have delivered a new level in sophistication and technological advancement for smart EVs in China, at a competitive price point," said He Xiaopeng, Chairman and CEO of XPeng.
"We believe this is an age of intelligence, and that intelligence will redefine mobility as a whole. Now we have made the best-in-class smart family sedan available at the CNY 200,000 price range, bringing some of the most advanced driver assistance functionality to China's vast and fast-growing middle-class consumer base," He said.
"We have drawn inspiration from customers' feedback, especially during the pandemic, and from the best models in the conventional family sedan and recreational vehicle (RV) class, while taking functionality and features to a whole new level," He added.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
Cango's Recent Moves Show Its Business ResilienceThe company generated CNY 558 million in net profit in Q2 2021, up 695% from a year ago.
Cango facilitates transactions through a technology-enabled service platform in China's automotive industry.
The country's auto market is reviving and is set to be in a growth trajectory for quite some time.
The company has expanded its upstream business, entering the flourishing NEV market.
Though the local NEV leaders are prone to sell cars directly, dealers will keep playing an important role in the Chinese market, especially in the lower-tier cities.
Cango's stock looks cheap now.
The relieved travel restrictions have revived trading activity in China's passenger vehicle market, the world's largest in terms of both demand and supply. Cango (CANG:NYSE), a company aimed at disrupting the auto value chain in China, has presented solid Q2 2021 results. This article will introduce Cango, its strategy and future development outlook.
Introduction
In 2010, Cango was founded by a group of veterans in China's auto financing industry with the idea of making auto transactions "simpler, easier and more pleasant." There was a certain degree of demand for such a platform in China's vast but underserved lower-tier cities' markets. Started with auto loan services, the company's scope later stretched to the vehicle sales business upstream and after-market services downstream. By the end of 2020, Cango had built a network consisting of 47,740 auto dealers, accumulatively serving more than 1.9 million car buyers. The company currently covers more than 1/3 of China's total new car dealers, and over 75% of dealers in Cango's network are located in tier 3-5 cities.
Over the past ten years, the company has established a technology-driven platform that connects various participants along the auto value chain, including dozens of large and mid-sized commercial banks, insurance firms, as well as major gasoline vehicle OEMs and high-tech new energy vehicle (NEV) OEMs.
China's auto market is back on a growth trajectory
Cango's business is rooted in the flourishing auto trading activities in China. Although the pandemic has hammered buying cars in brick-and-mortar stores, the total transactions have shown resilience. According to CPCA, the Chinese light vehicle sales hit 19 million in 2020, down 6.8% year-on-year. However, the outlook for future sales is rather encouraging: CAAM expects the market to grow by 10% in 2021. Moreover, the organization forecasts that the 2025 sales will reach 30 million, with a CAGR of 4.6% from 2021 to 2025.
The driving force of surging future sales will be the rise of per capita ownership of cars. Based on the World Bank's data, China's car ownership was 283 units per thousand inhabitants in 2019. At the same time, China's population density was 149 people per kilometer squared, GDP per capita was USD 10,276. By comparison, Japan and South Korea are more densely populated, have higher GDP and car ownership rates per capita. Thus, China's auto market sees great potential.
Lower-tier cities are showing strong momentum in the rise of the car ownership rate. There are several catalysts. One is the policy of 'sending cars to the countryside' under which people who live in rural places receive subsidies when buying cars. Electric vehicles have been added into the list in recent years. Second, lower-tier cities in China often have no restrictions on getting vehicle plates, further stimulating car sales. Third, citizens in lower-tier cities have less debt burden on housing so that they can potentially spend more money buying cars.
Cango's next big move
Following the big trend, Cango also stepped up its efforts in the NEV market. NEV manufacturers, which usually adopt the direct operation and sales model, are actively seeking traffic in the lower-tier markets and professional traffic operation support. Cango's strong foothold in the lower-tier markets and service capabilities in auto transaction puts it in an ideal position to meet its needs. Although some in the industry argue that NEVs' direct sales won't need dealers and related service providers like Cango, we believe, however, that dealers will continue to play an important role in the new segment's development.
Inspired by Tesla, China's NEV market was initially driven mainly by direct sales. This model was soon adopted by other EV players, including NIO, Xpeng and Li Auto. Intuitively, direct sales skip dealers so that ensures better customer services and more profit to OEMs however incurs large front costs of opening new stores. Currently, all the public EV companies' valuations are very sensitive to the vehicle delivery numbers. The relationship between electric car brands and dealers is dialectical. In 2018 and 2019, some brands like NIO and Xpeng needed funds to open new stores. After raising enough funds through IPOs, NIO and Xpeng both decided to lower the number of franchised stores.
So far, EV brands have accumulated a lot of orders, but short-term deliveries are restricted to their production capacity. As production ramps up, same-store sales will touch the ceiling, especially in the lower-tier cities. By that time, these brands are likely to reconstruct the dealer network. Besides, not all NEV brands have enough capital to open and run offline stores independently. This makes incorporations with dealers almost inevitable.
Meanwhile, NEV brands try to minimize their sales and marketing costs through an offline-to-online mode, which considers experiencing a vehicle offline, then buying it on a digital platform. High efficiency will be difficult to achieve with such a method. First of all, for most families, especially those living in lower-tier cities, a car purchase is an important event requiring both time and capital. If there is no physical store nearby, the customer experience will be downgraded. Second, brand variety is essential in the auto sector. OEMs' products face millions of requirements from picky buyers, and a few car brands are unlikely to satisfy all requirements.
Besides, as the US and Japan's history has shown, dealers aren't likely to be pushed out of the market. The United States' long automotive history has proven how important dealerships are in a large and populous country. China shares similar attributes. According to iiMedia, there are currently 287 million cars in China, with 72 cities having more than one million cars, 33 cities having more than two million cars. What's more, car buyers across the country have different consumption behavior patterns. For example, lower-tier cities' dwellers prefer domestic brands' full-size vehicles. In the Eastern regions, buyers have a higher acceptance of electric cars than their inland peers. In short, for NEV players, it's hard to adopt a standard promotion strategy in such a diverse market. Distributors and adjacent service providers like Cango can coordinate resources, making the process more resilient.
Being a middleman
Apart from stepping into NEV business. Cango is striving to expand the business upstream including B2B and B2C. By the end of Q2 2021, the company has CNY 1.5 billion cash on hand, enough to support this new asset-light business. For example, owing to its relationship with registered dealers, Cango can provide demand-side insights from dealers to OEMs and vice versa. Cango helps dealers get vehicles they want. For B2C, Cango helps prospective car buyers find suitable cars in its dealer network. All of these are processed through their massive network on a tech-enabled platform.
In its Q2 2021 earnings results, the company reported over 50% of total revenues generated from its auto trading business segment. This figure looks significant, considering that Cango's expansion into the sector started in H1 2020. Though this part of the business currently posted a lower gross margin (being positive, meanwhile), we believe it is necessary, even critical, for Cango to expand to upstream segments. By doing so, it will synergize the auto financing business and reduce single business risk. More importantly, with the integration of car sources, financing, insurance and other after-market services, the company gets to strengthen the bond with its dealership network. We can find similar stories in the history of all the large car servicing companies.
For example, US firm CarMax integrated auto financing and used car business. It has been facing competition from online used car platforms in recent years. To address the problem, CarMax rolled out its 'omnichannel platform,' which is aimed at allowing customers to buy a car online, in-store, or through any combination of the two. Cango's new business is similar to that of CarMax, getting through the information asymmetry between buyers and sellers. Chinese dealers are also adjusting their strategies to acquire larger chunks of the auto value chain. Zhongsheng Group, a high-end vehicle dealer, is concentrating on the used car business. Another dealership brand China Grand Automotive's business model consists of related businesses like auto financing.
Risks
We consider Cango's expansion to upstream business risky. As per above, large Chinese dealerships have been expanding their business scope and they may have the same addressable market. But luckily, Cango is deeply rooted in lower-tier cities, which are less attractive for large competitors.
Most overseas-listed Chinese stocks are currently facing a number of regulatory risks. However, as we stated in our previous NIO analysis, the government is targeting tech giants, as well as education and gaming businesses. In other words, sectors that directly influence the social sphere. Auto dealerships are less likely to suffer from the crackdown.
Summary
Cango has decided to expand its business to new energy and other upstream business segments. This strategic orientation is well-weighted and mainly based on two points. The separation of NEV OEMs and dealers will come and go, with the two models coexisting for a long time. Based on global examples, business diversity is necessary for a small car servicing company to grow. In addition, Cango's business is highly dependent on the auto trading activity in China, which is back on a growth trajectory and will contribute to the company's growth. Notwithstanding, the tumultuous summer of 2021 saw Cango decline to a historical low. This has triggered the company to launch a share buy-back program. We consider Cango an interesting investment opportunity at these levels.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
XPeng Delivered 7,214 Vehicles in Aug, Up 172% from a Year AgoXpeng P5 will officially go on sale on September 15, and deliveries will start at the end of October.
XPeng Motors delivered 7,214 vehicles in August, up 172 percent year-over-year and down 10 percent from July.
The company delivered 6,165 P7s and 1,049 G3s in July.
2021 year-to-date deliveries reached 45,992 vehicles, representing a 334 percent increase year-over-year. P7 deliveries continued to strengthen, achieving a record month in August and a 209 percent increase year-over-year.
The production preparation and switching of G3i is expected to have an impact on G3 and G3i’s production and delivery for a few weeks, XPeng CEO He Xiaopeng said during the company's second-quarter earnings call.
"We plan to start deliveries at the end of August and will increase delivery scale in the next quarter," He said.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NIO Delivered 5,880 Vehicles in Aug, Up 48% from a Year AgoThe company has begun allowing customers to test drive ES8 in Norway.
NIO delivered 5,880 vehicles in August, up 48 percent year-over-year and down about 26 percent from July.
The deliveries consisted of 1,738 ES8s, 2,342 ES6s, and 1,800 EC6s.
Supply chain disruptions in Malaysia and Nanjing, China, caused by local pandemic outbreaks, significantly hampered production, NIO said.
The supplier of the A/B pillar interior trims in Nanjing, China was affected in August, the company said, adding that the supplier has now resumed production.
Orders in August grew to a new historic record, the company said.
NIO cuts its deliveries guidance for the third quarter by 500-1,500 units.
The new deliveries guidance for the third quarter is between 22,500 and 23,500 vehicles. NIO is confident about the delivery result for September, it said.
NIO said internal calculations showed the Covid-19 in August affected the company's production of about 2,000 to 3,000 units for the month.
The company hopes to try to make up for the August production lost in September by collaborating with supply chain partners and adjusting the production pace of its plants. But even so, there will still be an impact of about 1,000-2,000 units for the entire quarter.
NIO said order performance remains strong, with new orders reaching a record high in August. If supply chain problems do not deteriorate further, September deliveries can set another monthly delivery record, it said.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
Trading Idea - #VARTA (Head+Shoulders formation)SELL
ENTRY: 132.40 EUR
TARGET: 83.55 EUR (37% profit)
STOP: 154.45 EUR
1.) Technically a head and shoulders formation could form.
2.) 135.00 EUR is a significant resistance level. Rejection expected!
3.) As expected, the battery manufacturer's start to the year was weak.
4.) VARTA and Allgäu Batterie enter into partnership for lithium-ion battery packs.
5.) VARTA develops mobile energy packages for everything from headphones to car
NIO Begins Allowing Customers to Test Drive ES8 in NorwayNio will enter the German market in 2021 at the earliest.
NIO has started allowing Norwegian users to test-drive its ES8 SUV, marking its latest step in entering the international market.
NIO Norway User Head An Ho shared the news on the NIO App, saying that the test drives opened on August 30 and nearly 300 spots were filled within three days of application.
On the first day of the test drive, about 60 Norwegian users got to experience the ES8 first-hand, Ho said.
At the performance experience area on the runway at Eggemoen Airport near Oslo, test drivers experienced the ES8's acceleration, as well as its handling performance.
At the local Heen Grustak off-road track, test drivers experienced the vehicle's performance in off-road scenarios.
NIO built a Mini version of the NIO House in Eggemoen Airport, where users can enjoy drinks from the NIO Café, according to Ho.
In addition, NIO transported an NIO EP9 supercar from the UK to the test drive venue, allowing users in Norway to get up close with the car.
This is NIO's latest move in the Norwegian market.
The company's app for Norwegian users was made available on the local App Store and Google Play Store on August 16.
The launch of the app means that local users are starting to have an exclusive online community, which NIO says "Shape a Joyful Lifestyle, is a vision we are pursuing together."
The app currently offers Discover, This Moment, a personal account management page, and NIO Life, meaning the company is bringing its lifestyle brand to Norway as well.
This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
LCID Support!Hello Money Makers!
LCID is approaching another key support zone. This area has proven to be a great place to go long in the past. A lot of great news has been coming out about this company in relation to Tesla. I see them being one of the next leaders in EV, along with a few other options I'm sure you're all aware of. Let's see if this support holds. if not, we can expect prices to drop to the next S/R zone shown below. Stop losses are KEY in areas like this Money Makers!
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Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
This is not financial advice.
Simplicity Wins
Ford Lightning - Upcoming Best EV Sellers - Prove it!EVS have been hyped forever now. Lets see if Ford's supply chain can hold up and beat out the goofy Ponzied Cyber Truck. Gross. Anyway.... everything rally is up. Find quality with profits TODAY, not 20 years from now!
*valuation matters
NOMO FOMO
Stop Pogging! Learn to Invest. You'll do great.