Believing in Polestar: Resilience and Opportunities in the USA Don't forget, Trump is unlikely to target Polestar's business as it works to establish Spaces across the USA. This expansion translates to jobs, taxes, spare parts, maintenance, and more. The South Carolina factory is also expected to reach its full production capacity sooner or later. Stay confident in this project. I understand how tough it can be, especially when you see stocks like NVDA, AMZN, or even TSLA climbing higher with each passing day.
Our hope lies in the fact that if NVDA can gain SGX:40B -$50B in market cap in a single day, or TSLA and AMZN can do the same, then a modest increase for PSNY of $500M, SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B , or SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B is just pocket change for Wall Street algorithms.
In conclusion? Stay strong PSNY fam'!
Electricvehicles
TESLA just made a crucial break-out that few are noticing.Tesla (TSLA) soared last week following the better than expected earnings, an event we covered extensively, and have practically erased all the negativity/ cautiousness that came following the Robotaxi event.
However, the closing of last week found Tesla making a crucial bullish break-out that might have gone under most people's radar. The price not only broke the Lower Highs trend-line that started all the way from the November 2021 All Time High (ATH) but almost managed to close the 1W candle above it.
Technically this is a major buy signal long-term that targets the final two Resistance Zones (1 and 2) of the Bear Cycle. With the 1W RSI effectively consolidating like February - May 2023, we believe that as last year, the price will now start the 2nd phase of the April 22 2024 Bullish Leg of a potential 2-year Channel Up.
We expect Resistance Zone 1 to break and if upon a re-test it holds, our long-term Target of $380.00 should finally be materialized.
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TESLA Have today's upbeat earnings erased the Robotaxi disaster?Tesla (TSLA) reported yesterday third-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates and said it expects to achieve "slight" growth in deliveries this year. This was enough to send the price in an after-market frenzy and so far in-session rising almost by +20%.
In fact, Tesla's market cap has increased by $126B today, the largest single day jump ever! Those earnings may prove to be pivotal for the automaker as they come just a few days after the Robotaxi event, which the market considered disappointing.
So can those earnings result be enough to reverse Tesla's fortunes, which has been massively underperforming relative to (particularly) the rest of the Magnificent 7? Well this can be answered through a technical perspective, with a chart that we published more than 2 months ago (August 15, see chart below):
That was Tesla's Channel Up since the January 06 2023 market bottom on the 1W time-frame, where we caught a buy just after the August 2024 Low. We projected that to be halfway through the new long-term Bullish Leg of the Channel. The recent October correction can be viewed as the April 24 2023 2nd wave of the mid-term pull-back of the Bullish Leg.
On the current analysis we view the same pattern but on the 1D time-frame, where the 1D MACD in particular excels at illustrating the identical nature of the two Bullish Legs price actions.
Right now the MACD is forming the 2nd clean Bullish Cross under the Lower Highs belt, a formation which on May 04 2023 turned out to be the confirmation that started the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg that completed a +195% rise from the January 2023 bottom.
As a result, not only do we expect the stock to reach Resistance 1 (299.50), which is the July 19 2023 High before the year ends but also test Resistance 2 (385.00), which is the April 05 2022 High by January 2025.
Our Target long-term remains a straight up $380.00 as we pointed out those months back.
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TESLA pulling back on Q3 deliveries. Is there a reason to panic?Tesla (TSLA) opened considerably lower today as they announced Q3 deliveries of 463000 units, below the heightened expectations of around 470,000 from the buy-side and just slightly above the consensus estimate of 462,000. Is this a typical market overreaction on data or the start of a stronger correction ahead of the Robotaxi event next week?
Well from a technical standpoint, our thesis on Tesla is well known and hasn't changed since the August 15 update (see chart below), where we called for a $380 target within the long-term Channel Up:
Even on the more short-term 1D time-frame, we can see that the stock is respecting a Channel Up pattern that started on the August 05 bottom and for the past 30 days has been supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last correction like the one we're having this week, was from August 20 to 28, which then rallied by +30.50%. As a result, the minimum Target now for November is $310.
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Tesla - Breakout After Almost 4 Years!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out of the triangle pattern:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After a 4 year consolidation, Tesla is finally attempting to break out of the long term bullish triangle pattern. The monthly candle still needs to close but everything is pointing towards a major move higher, with the first target being the previous all time high from 2022.
Levels to watch: $250, $370
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla Trades That Hit The Mark: 75% and 30% Gains Explained!
Two successful Tesla trading ideas, one from April and one from August.
April entry would now be around 75% up, and August entry around 30%.
Both ideas show how technical analysis can accurately time the market and generate returns.
Future resistance levels could indicate potential price consolidation.
This year, I shared two ideas about Tesla:
The first idea in April.
The second idea in early August.
If you bought Tesla stock in April and still hold it, you should be up about 75%. If you entered in August, your position should be up around 30%.
Both ideas played out exactly as predicted, proving once again that technical analysis helps to time the market and put your money to work as quickly as possible. While fundamental analysis tells what should happen, technical analysis shows what actually happens.
April Idea Criteria:
Strong area, confirmed by powerful candles in late 2022 and early 2023.
Mid-round number of $150.
Small liquidity zone around $150.
Smooth descending price movement into the zone I shared.
August Idea Criteria:
Break above $200 with a powerful candle.
Break above a long-term trendline, again with a strong candle.
Price pulled back to the breakout area: 3.1 Retest of $200, now acting as support. 3.2 Trendline retest. 3.3 Historically strong area around $200 – several rejections before.
What’s Next?
If you are still holding, the next target could be around $280–$300. This is the next strong resistance level. As you can see from the chart, this area has multiple rejections in the past. It might be a good idea to take some profits, as the price could get stuck here for a while, and it’s uncertain how and when it will break through.
Summary:
This is a great example of how technical analysis can guide you to better price entries, potentially leading to higher returns in the future. It does take some experience, but these criteria are not hard to spot once you know what to look for. It’s definitely not rocket science to master the basics.
All the best,
Vaido
TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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Tesla Long - Elon for President?Hello everybody.
Storyline: Elon for President? You can bet that Tesla will pump if Trump wins the elections. Besides of that, rising china sales, unveiling the robotaxi etc. pp. There are many things imo which speaks for Tesla while the masses brag about his political views.
Market: Decreasing rates, good looking economic data for the US at least.
Chart: Keep it simple! Did we create lower low on the weekly? No? Why shouldn't we attack the top 25% of the weekly swing then to confirm that we "really" do wanna go further down. I don't know and it's not in my interest to know if Tesla might even break that prior weekly high, but I do know that we logic wise should attack the top of the swing to either confirm the bearish idea or create even a higher high. Additionally, just as an idea, think of laddering. Look at the higher timeframes how we bounced off major weekly / daily levels and slowly steady climb up.
Best of luck!
RIVIAN giving highly accurate signals within this Channel Down.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) couldn't have been giving us more accurate signals since May (see charts below), as not only did we get a timely entry at the bottom (chart 1, May 17) but also sold at the very top (June 26 chart 2) of the Channel Down:
Right now we face a technical similarity with September 2023, exactly 1 year ago, where the price failed to utilize the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and started a new long-term Bearish sequence.
However we do realize the potential long-term trend changing effect that a potential new cycle of interest rate cuts might have in two weeks, so again our trading plan will prepare for both scenarios with clear break-out signals and levels.
Obviously as long as the price remains within the 2-year Channel Down, the trend is bearish and the action will be 'sell on every high'. The Sell Signal on the September 2023 fractal was given when the 1D RSI hit the 60.00 level (red arrow, Sep 14 2023). Naturally we will wait for another such trigger to sell and Target 10.55 on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where last year's sell signal bottomed (October 30 2023).
If on the other hand, the price closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line), we will buy that clear long-term bullish break-out signal and Target 28.00 (just below Resistance 2). This could emerge as a Channel Up pattern.
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TESLA starting an aggressive bullish reversal to $380.Since July and the bullish break-out above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line, Tesla (TSLA) confirmed the transition to a new long-term bullish pattern. For the time being, that is a Channel Up.
The recent pull-back is part of the wider market correction of the past 3 weeks but last week's green 1W candle, is evidence that the price has found a bottom. In fact this is a Higher Low on the new Bullish Leg similar to the previous one on the week of April 24 2023.
That was the first Bullish Leg since the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and the symmetry is evident even on the 1W MACD, which is showing a squeeze, similar to April - May 2023. As long as this doesn't cross, we expect the market to stabilize in August and start rallying aggressively as early as September.
An earlier break above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) again, would confirm that, as it is acting as a long-term Pivot. Since the previous Bullish Leg peaked at +194.87%, we see no reason to expect otherwise, thus keeping our long-term Target on Tesla at $380.00, which would not only be a +194.87% rise but also reach just below the April 05 2022 High.
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PSNY - Polestar Automotive UK: $1.00 target!Trading at 92.9% below our estimate of its fair value
Revenue is forecast to grow 37.57% per year
Highly volatile share price over the past 3 months
Negative shareholders equity
Has less than 1 year of cash runway
Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years
TBL - treet batteries should be considered for investment Treet Batteries Limited (TBL) manufactures and supplies a variety of batteries including lead-acid, lithium and nickel-based batteries. The company is a subsidiary of Treet Corporation Limited (TCL) and operates both locally and internationally.
Key Financial Ratios
Gross Profit Margin: 19.9%
Operating Profit Margin: 9.2%
Net Profit Margin: -5.5%
Risks:
High Financing Costs - 70% increase in financial expenses impacting net profit.
Market Conditions - Economic and political instability affecting consumer spending and sales volume.
Opporunity:
The financing cost should go down with lower interest rate environment and rescheduling of debt. Such a scenario would increase the attractiveness for long term investment.
Despite the challenges of high financing costs and a net loss, the significant increase in gross and operating profits indicates effective management and operational efficiency. However, the high debt levels and cash flow challenges need to be closely monitored.
Technical:
Support zone is 22.5
The Wizard with a Magic Wand (Ward Wizard Mobility & Innovation)Ward Wizard Mobility which is a leader in the Electric 2 Wheeler Segment is all set to make headlines now.
Here is a quick comparison of Weekly and Monthly charts - each showing different representation to give you clarity on how multiple patterns get embedded one within another
Weekly Chart: (On Top)
Price is in the process of completing a 2 Year Cup and Handle Pattern
Currently, the Handle portion is in Process and to ensure a smooth and hassle free completion of Handle, the price has formed an Inverted Head and Shoulder Sub-Pattern
The Target of Inv H&S is 85 which completes the Cup and Handle. And Break out Above 85 on Weekly closing will lead to a Target of 95, 120
Monthly Chart: (Bottom Left)
On the Monthly chart - we see a Falling Parallel Channel Break-out, followed by a Retest and then Strong Bounce. This entire structure is a Bullish Continuation pattern (so the fall to retest the Channel should not be considered as a Correction)
Weekly Chart (Bottom Right)
The 2nd representation of Weekly Chart on bottom shows Why the price fell today despite hitting intraday high of more than 8%, it ended at 6.77%
The primary reason for this is the Rejection is the GAP Resistance at 63. Between 63 and 53, the price has already made a clean Double Bottom pattern having neckline around 60
On the Candle stick pattern, the price has formed a Rising 2 Bullish continuation pattern as well on weekly
Though the Resistance 63 is still strong, Every pattern reviewed so far indicates Bullishness - s its just a matter of time before 63 gets broken and price blasts up to its subsequent targets.
When you keep practicing charts - you will be able to combine multiple patterns in just 1 screen and be able to make decisions. I have split each pattern into separate windows for clear understanding of how to read a chart on various views.
Disclaimer:
3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Behaviour Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading...
We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes.
We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side"
*** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions
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-Team Stocks-n-Trends
TESLA Huge gap down after Earnings! Buy opportunity in disguise?Tesla (TSLA) was down more than -8.00% in pre-market trading after reporting its lowest profit margin in over five years and missing second-quarter earnings expectations. This was largely due to cut prices to revive demand and increased spending on AI projects.
This however can technically be a buy opportunity in disguise as following the ATH Lower Highs trend-line of November 2021 break-out, a new bullish potential emerged and the pattern may very well be a Channel Up as so far the rally since the April 22 Low resembles the 7-month Bullish Leg following the January 06 2023 bottom.
The Target can be within the Resistance 2 level and a potential +194.87% rise (previous Bullish Leg) range. We update our long-term Target to $380.00, slightly below Resistance 2.
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TESLA Massive pump to $360 coming based on historical behaviour.Tesla (TSLA) is recovering today after a sharp pull-back yesterday of around -14%. This marks the stock's first serious correction since the rally started in late June. Ahead of an emerging Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, we looked at Tesla's similar historical patterns since the IPO that offer remarkable insight.
First and foremost, Tesla's recent pattern has been an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which as we've noted on a previous analysis, was its bottom reversal formation that made the price break above the 3-year Lower Highs Resistance trend-line.
Similar IH&S patterns were formed in 2019/20, 2016/17 and 2012/13. So we can claim that there might be a roughly 4-year Cyclical Behavioural Pattern behind Tesla's growth. The word 'growth' is key here as after every such pattern and more importantly a correction of around -15% after breaking above the IH&S, the stock price rallied parabolically into new expansion levels.
As you can see on the 2019/20 pattern the correction was around -10%, on the 2016/17 around -15% and on the 2012/13 around -15% as well. Yesterday's -14% correction along with today's sharp recovery to the 0.5 Fib (losses cut by 50%), seems to fulfil this growth pattern.
As far as a Target is concerned, on all previous cases, the price reached (and even surpasses significantly) at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension measuring from the pattern's bottom (Head of the IH&S). In 2019/20 it took the price around 1.5 month to approach the 1.5 Fib while in 2012/13 it took roughly 2 months.
As a result, our new medium-term Target on Tesla is $360.00 (marginally below the 1.5 Fib).
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75: BYD to Open Major Electric Vehicle Factory in TurkeyExciting times for BYD as the company announces a significant $1 billion investment to establish a major electric vehicle factory in Turkey. This strategic move is set to help BYD circumvent the recent EU tariffs on Chinese electric cars, creating 5,000 jobs and enhancing their production capabilities to 150,000 vehicles annually. This development not only strengthens BYD's foothold in the European market but also showcases their adaptability and long-term growth strategy.
The chart is currently indicating an uptrend, which began after the price successfully reclaimed the $54.80 level. This reclamation has set a strong foundation for the current upward momentum.
The price has also sustained above the high of $58.01, further solidifying this bullish trend. Holding above this level is crucial for the next phase of the uptrend.
The immediate target for BYD’s stock is the $64.91 price level. Reaching this level will confirm the strength of the current trend and open up possibilities for further gains.
Once the stock achieves the $64.91 mark, we can set our sights on the next significant target at $76.75. Breaking through this level could lead to even higher valuations, reflecting continued investor confidence and market strength. On the flip side, if the stock loses its grip on the $58.01 level, it could signal a reversal, with the next major support found around $43.48. Monitoring these levels is essential for adjusting trading strategies accordingly.
Tesla’s Post-Deliveries Surge Stretched from an EV StandpointTesla is having a rough year, being the underperformer of the Magnificent Seven group, as its peers surge. But the stock soared to new 2024 highs after the Q2 delivery report showed a substantial sequential increase, gaining more than 20% this week. Bulls are now back on the driver’s seat and have the opportunity to chase last year’s peak (299.29), although the record highs are distant.
However, this surge is hard to justify from a purely EV prospective. Tesla may have offloaded some of its inflated inventory in Q2, but deliveries were lower than a year ago, just as sales of Chinese rival BYD surged. Demand has weakened despite price cuts, the futuristic Cybertruck is not for mass production (and not for everyone) and we still have not gotten an update of the aging Model Y, which was the best-selling car of 2023. At the same time, there is some uncertainty around the crucial 25K affordable car that could accelerate sales and EV adoption, although it’s a price point where Tesla may have a hard time competing against Chinese firms.
Given these factors and the fact that the stock rally is stretched, a return below the EMA200 would not be surprising. This would create risk for new 2024 lows (138.80), but sustained weakness has a higher degree of difficulty.
Tesla at this point seems like a somewhat overvalued car maker, but an undervalued Artificial Intelligence company. At least part of the market optimism must be based on the AI promise. Elon Musk is preaching AI as the future of the firm, in a technology with the potential to unlock tremendous value as Tesla definitely has an edge, given the vast amounts pf proprietary data it collects from sources like the cameras and sensors in the hundreds of thousands of vehicles it has sold. The CEO pushes hard on full self-driving and robotaxis, with announcements expected in August, as well as humanoid robots and envisions more than a thousand of them working at Tesla factories next year.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Tesla (TSLA) IdeaHey Guys,
Yearly= In a Correction since 2022.
2023 managed only to retest the 50% of the Bearish Candle which is not Bullish but indicated a drop.
Yearly Zones of Interest: 208 & 154
Q2= Bullish Candle at an important Yearly FIB. BUT still in a declining channel.
Stochastic is neutral- bullish. Q4 could provide some bullish setup (according to the stochastics) since we might be forming a higher low here.
Bulls must manage to break through at least the 222 Resistance.
Monthly: Stochastic is bullish - candlestick as well… however the 205 level becomes critical as it is retested with this candle. we also are testing the upper line of a declining channel -> a warning of a possible decline for the next month or so.
Warning line at 205 and the next at 222 as these zones have to be broken to attract more buyers into the markets.
Below 205 I see a great likelyhood of a retest of 3D Lows
Thanks for reading