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$TSLA Down on Over-SpeculationNASDAQ:TSLA reported earnings after market close yesterday. Pro traders took profits before the close as the run became technically overextended. It gapped down today, but not on the extreme volume we'd expect from the usual HFT activity around earnings. Profit and Operating margins are decreasing quarter over quarter, but revenues and net income are increasing. This is not so much an onslaught of sellers but profit-taking along with a lack of buyers at this price range. As occurs often for this high-profile yet important EV company, the stock is over-speculated and needs to pattern out the excess. It could test the next support levels, but ultimately it's likely to head sideways as it challenges the resistance from Aug-Oct of last year...barring any surprises from Musk ;) Dark Pool Buy Zones are in the bottom formation. The question is: will those buy zones be moved up or not?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
NIO Wedge Breakout + 200sma BeatNIO has been benefiting from the recent rise in EV stocks with price breaking up and out of a falling wedge pattern while simultaneously crossing up through the 200sma with multiple closes above it. The last time NIO closed above the 200sma prior to this recent move higher was back in November of 2021. Looking at the moving averages(8,21,34,50,100,200) we can see that the shorter averages are rising and crossing up and above the longer averages indicating a short-term bullish trend in price. The 100ma is leveling out, the 200ma is still declining. We want to see price continue to rise going forward and for the two longest MA's to turn up to strengthen the bull case in NIO. The PPO indicator show the green PPO line rising and trending above a rising purple signal line which indicates short-term bullish momentum in price. Both lines trending above the 0 level indicates an intermediate to long-term bullish momentum in price. The TDI indicator shows the green RSI line trending above the 60 level which indicates a short-term bullish trend in price. The RSI line is also above its purple signal line and in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands indicating a bullish trend. Going forward we want to see the green RSI line continue to trend between the 40-60 levels as a sign of an intermediate to long-term bullish trend. The only negative here is the RSI line putting in a lower high compared to price which is a bearish divergence and could lead to a short-term pullback. Assuming that the stock market and EV sector specifically continue to hold it together, NIO should benefit. Buy price for me was $10.77. Stop loss for me is currently at $9.37. No upper price target for now, will continue to raise my stop-loss as price sets higher lows on an anticipated continued move higher.
NYSE:NIOLong
by PrepForProfit
Pure Play - Electric Vehicles LONG: TSLA NIO RIVNWhy EVXX? The electric vehicle (EV) market is growing. In 2022 14% of all new cars sold were electric, up from 9% in 2021 and less than 5% in 2020. There are more than 26 million electric cars worldwide as of 2022, 60% more than in 2021.1 EVs are a crucial part of the sustainable future but it’s not always clear which specific manufacturers will come out on top.Show less Objective The Defiance Pure Electric Vehicle ETF (the “Fund”) seeks to provide investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of a basket of common shares, which are equally-weighted on a quarterly basis, of the five largest (by market capitalization) electric vehicle manufacturers (the “Underlying Securities”) included in the Solactive Pure US Electric Vehicle Index (the “Pure EV Index”).
ELong
by noam_chom
Battle of the New EV NASDAQ ComponentsLucid and Rivian, both new components of the NASDAQ:NDX , have been showing up on the High-Volume Institutional Activity recently. NASDAQ:LCID has the beginnings of a bottom attempt developing with a Dark Pool buy zone emerging, but it's been slow-going for this EV company. Professional short-term trading is evident in the current run up, as it is in other EV companies this week, spurred by the bankruptcy of Lordstown Motors, many would say. NASDAQ:RIVN has a clearer Dark Pool buy zone developing at this bottoming level with the same Pro Trader footprint in the current run up. This type of bottom formation provides a sturdier support level--evidence of more conviction from the institutions? Both stocks have a lot of work to do to complete their bottoms for more than short-term trading at this time. Resistance AND competition are heavy ahead, as it's still early days in the race to dominance in EV Auto Manufacturing.
NASDAQ:LCID
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
12
Li Auto is about to manipulate the highs it made a year ago!I annotated this chart so hard this time and I know its annoying to look at...but you have your own clean screens to look at it... This should atleast explain what I see and help those who don't know, what to look for. I accidentally came across this chart because I was trying to type bili bili but when i saw the chart with my ESVO lines on it I was like I have to play it. So for me this is just an update to this play that I got into a week ago. Obviously it looks a lot better now that we are here. And I never once thought my bias was wrong as you can tell it didn't want to dump. Because if it did want to it would have. The price was always withing a dollar or a dollar and change to the entry. Now that it has come back to this area I broke down everything the lines are telling me plus everything I see with the amount of space that I have to work with. I could go into about 5 other kinds of trading styles and break those down but I figure I will just leave it at this. Its bullish! All the other stocks in the group are moving with it. So that tells me that big money has been fostering this group of stocks to get it to this point over the last year or less. Since the last highest high. So that should tell you there is a pile of shorts up there that need to be covered for them to continue this move up above that. unless there is a massive surge of volume it might take a while to consolidate all of them. I will be looking for a trend line that this will be tapping into over the duration of this move. And also a trend change which shows that liquidation of shares has begone and that we should be looking for an exit. I do think this could take another 3-6 months to complete. all of the hot areas for this stock are marked on this chart with the exception of the three just below our current price. And Current Price of HKEX:26 this weeks highest volume area $24 Automatic, Session, Daily, Highest High HKEX:23 Daily. Weekly HKEX:22 Highest Low all great supports as they are all stacked under us. If nothing else I think we should hit HKEX:30 however, HKEX:38 and $41.50 are also huge areas of untapped stop losses and pockets of retailers waiting. by iCantw84it 04.17.23
NASDAQ:LILong
by iCantw84it
5
[Watch] Tesla versus Toyota 0️⃣2️⃣| January 19, 2024What's going on, Team NASDAQ:TSLA ? I am back with a new video and review of my Tesla Map 2022-2036 Let's get you to 1st base first, then blue skies and a ton of fresh air await all of us. And remember... Above All and All in All, God Bless America...! Risk Disclaimer: 1️⃣Past Performance is not indicative of any future performance. 2️⃣Trading and Investing are risky. Only trade and invest with resources and capital; you can afford to lose, and it will not change your lifestyle or family situation if you do not make the returns you wanted or if things go wrong and you lose everything. 3️⃣I can and will have a position in MARA anytime because I like the stock and company. 4️⃣Never go All-In. You do not have to buy with your rent money; you do not have to believe with all your savings because NO one is asking you to do so. This video is a video log, a journal, and a path to share a full Tesla map that anyone can use to measure doable upside and full risk potential.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by josericaurte.jaen
Technical Pull back Buy the DIP!The slight gross margin decrease of 4.8% was enough to resume the HS pattern on the chart executing a normal pullback- relative to the "neckline" where HS patterns are confirmed with some other criterion. Despite the quarterly margin contraction, expected cost reductions should start to materialize in 2024. Everything on the income statement is trending in the right direction. If TSLA really does hit the pattern target of HKEX:80 , a 50% further decrease from current SP, which is based on a formula of probabilities for this specific pattern, then it will be 62% undervalued. At SP of 80, subtracting the 5.14 of Cash per share, and using current TTM, the PE would be 21! Even with a PE of 49 GAAP TTM , the difference to sector is 222% and FWD PE of 50.5. However several different metrics between growth and profitability could easily justify it where its at now. EBITDA growth YoY 3,607% diff to sector,/ FWD 690% diff to sector; Rev Growth Fwd 393%. EV/EBIDTA FWD 180 % diff to sector. Net Income Margin TTM 247% diff to sector. ROC TTM 193 and ROA TTM 289% differences to sector... Easily justified.. Rarely are you able to purchase growth companies at a PE of 21... Buy the DIP!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Jrussell86
Breakout on Battery Production NewsPositive divergence can be seen on a yearly basis with MACD leveling out crossing into positive territory. SP appears to have formed a double bottom and is currently breaking out from a narrower down trend. Currently, the SP is ≈33% below the average analyst target and ≈45% below the top range of down channel primary trend. The SP collapsed last year as a result of the public offering in December, cash burn rate and a gross loss for the most recent quarter. Revenue YoY has grown 142% and revenue growth FWD is 118%. With the high growth rate and being profitable on a yearly basis, a PE of 22 is cheap.
LLong
by Jrussell86
Volkswagen it's about time to buy!Hello traders, I hope you are doing great! I know it's been a long time since the previous trade idea here in Trading view but a lot is going on with "The Greek Traders" community along with the V.I.P trading mentorship programme. We can see a trade we have also shared on the V.I.P group since the previous week. We are reffering to the "Volkswagen" stock trade of course, let's see why we are long on the stock as always combining fundamental analysis with technical analysis!As noted in the "The Greek Trader" seminars also, if fundamental analysis doesn't align with technical analysis we don't enter any trade! Firstly we are in clear bear market in Volkswagen stock since almost 2 years now from the high of 357.40 euros at 15/03/2021, as uncertainty from Covid-19 hit the markets.Also less incetives from the governments for the purchase of an EV vechicle as the maket is entering a more mature stage along with supply chain bottlenecks, rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainty also took a toll on many companies in 2022. Technical Observations 1.As we can see after that 2 year downtrend RSI has already started to build a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe since June of 2022, that's very strong indication of the slowly shifting momentum especially when we are reffering to the weekly timeframe! 2.We can seet the 5 Elliott waves since the high, we are currently on the 3rd wave and we can trade the counter trend 4th wave to the upside. 3.The 4th Elliott wave that's an equal projection of the 1st wave we can see that coincides perfectly with the Fair value gap that has not been filled and with a previous support/resistance level that has been respected multiple times.That's the reason we will have our TP in that area (162-167 Euros). 4.We have also put the FIbonacci timezones and fibonacci retracements levels and we can see that both of the are aligned with the previous Elliott wave theory. 5.We are waiting a double bottom to be formed or a lower low with bullish divergence and a bullish candlestick formation to enter long at 113-116 Euros area. Fundamentals Observations 1. The Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent global lockdowns in 2020 saw the stock's price fall to its lowest level in almost five years. After starting at €175.60 on 19 March 2020, it sank to €79.38. Over the later months of the year, as economies began opening up, VOW3 seemingly began to recover and closed the year at €152.40. 2. In 2021, the carmaker announced it was increasing its EV capacity and scaling up MEB (modular electric drive matrix) use. In March, the company stated it planned to deliver a total of 450,000 EVs to customers – more than twice the figure delivered the year before. Volkswagen’s EV sales during the first three-quarters of the year put it in third place, with a 10.1% market share compared to 21.5% for Tesla, reaching an all-time high of 357.40 euros at 15/03/2021. 3. VW group had invested a lot on biofules but as part of the revision of the Renewable Energy Directive (RED), the European Commission proposed reducing the contribution of conventional biofuels in transport from a maximum of 7% in 2021 to 3.8% in 2030, that was a blow for the VW group.Now with the FY23 budget VW is turning it's main focus on the EV sector with more than 200$ billions investments for the next 5 years. 4. 2022 proved to be interesting for the EV market, Iola Hughes of Rho Motion told INN at last year’s Benchmark Week. Headwinds for the sector came following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s lockdowns in the first few months of the year.EV-volumes.com sales data shows that the global total for last year came in at 10.5 million units across BEVs and PHEVs. “An impressive growth of 55,4 percent in a difficult vehicle market as a whole. BEV sales increased by 59 percent to 7,65 million units, PHEVs by 46 percent to 2,86 million units,” the firm states. “The global EV share in light vehicle sales is 13 percent for 2022.” 5.Supply chain constraints appear to be easing and sales expectations for 2023 for passenger cars and light-duty vehicles, Rho Motion forecasts over 14 million global BEV and PHEV sales in 2023. 6.(Reuters) - South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster on Monday signed legislation approving $1.29 billion in state incentives for Volkswagen's off-road brand Scout Motors to build a $2 billion manufacturing plant for trucks and SUVs. The project could also receive up to $180 million in job development tax credits based on hiring, said South Carolina Commerce Secretary Harry Lightsey. In May, VW said it would reintroduce the Scout off-road brand in the United States, offering new electric pickup and sport-utility vehicles. Scout said it hopes to eventually create 4,000 jobs and produce 200,000 Scout vehicles annually. Groundbreaking is planned for mid-2023 and production is projected to begin by the end of 2026. 7.Earlier this month Volkswagen said 2023 sales will rise by between 10-15%, and the operating profit margin will be between 7.5 and 8.5% compared with 7.9% in 2022. POSSIBLE LONG TRADE ENTRY AT THE RETEST OF 113-1.116 EUROS LEVEL TP1 163 EUROS TP2 167 EUROS STOP LOSS 111.80-112 EUROS RISK/REWARD 17.60-17.70 ! THANK YOU ALL FOR SUPPORT!! KEEP FOLLOWING AND SUPPORTING MEANS A LOT TO OUR ME! Happy profits everyone!! THE GREEK TRADER
MIL:1VOW3Long
by The_Greek_Trader
2
NIO - Will Rise From Ashes 🦅Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 NIO has been overall bearish trading inside the falling wedge pattern, and it is currently diving inside a weekly demand zone 6.5 - 10.0 The bears are still in control managing to make new lower lows. But, we can clearly see that the impulse movements are getting flat and small. This signals an early alert that the bears are exhausted. However , it doesn't mean that bulls are in control yet. 🏹 For the bulls to take over, hence have a long-term shift in momentum, we need a break above the last major high in gray. 📊 Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, NIO can still dive till the lower bound of the demand zone around 6.5 📕 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:NIOLong
by TheSignalyst
13
Copper is red hot on China’s reopening, but there is more to itCopper is to commodities, what tech stocks are to equities. They are both historically cyclical but also promise potential long-term growth. Tech stocks were down last year, not because the underlying technologies were dead, but because central banks were aggressively tightening monetary policy. Copper too endured the same fate on account of macro headwinds despite the accelerating energy transition. Lockdowns in China added another layer of disappointment. So, with the macro backdrop changing this year, is the red metal becoming red hot? Markets appear to be endorsing that narrative. What does the demand and supply situation look like? China reopening China consumes more than half of global refined copper with its demand experiencing an eight-fold increase in the past four decades1. Chinese manufacturing activity, therefore, is inevitably a key driver of copper prices (see figure below). Chinese manufacturing activity remained contractionary through August till December last year, as evident from the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index. In January, while the number remained contractionary at 49.22, the expectation is for it to pick up in the coming months if lockdowns remain sustainably lifted. China is a crucial source of copper’s green demand too. Chinese subsidies for electric vehicle (EV) makers have given rise to a booming industry to the point where BYD is now competing fiercely with Tesla for market share worldwide. Although subsidies for producers will come to an end this year, tax exemptions for buyers will remain in place through 2023. This will further be supported by the rollout of charging infrastructure, a key component of China’s 14th 5-year plan issued in December 2022. A battery EV can require three to four times as much copper as an equivalent internal combustion engine vehicle. Similarly, a 200 kilowatt (kW) fast charging station uses around 8 kilograms of copper3. There is a similar multiplicative effect on copper demand from other energy transition applications like renewable wind and solar power, which China is heavily investing in. The supply side In What’s Hot: Dr Copper’s misdiagnosis, we highlighted how copper’s inventories on exchanges are perilously low, a sign of supply tightness which could exacerbate if demand picked up quickly. According to Wood Mackenzie, copper may see a slight global refined market surplus of 170 kilotons (kt) in 20234. But there is considerable uncertainty surrounding this forecast. On the supply side, disruptions such as the ones we’ve seen recently in Peru could play an important role. Peru is the second largest copper producing nation and is responsible for around 10% of global mined production. Anti-government demonstrations in Peru have led to shipments being halted at the 300 kt Las Bambas mine, and disruptions at Glencore’s 180 kt Antapaccay mine, and other mines including Constancia (117 kt) and Cuajone (148 kt)5. The figures above highlight how disruption in supply from Peru can easily tip the copper market into a deficit. While disruption may not be as severe this time as it was when Covid caused mine closures in Chile and Peru in 2020-2021, it could still be meaningful especially if coupled with more demand from China. Market pricing has been moving in response to these developments. The energy transition At the World Economic Forum in Davos in January, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pledged unprecedented support in clean technology across all sectors of the energy transition. For Europe to remain competitive in the new era of clean energy, it must offer something that can rival the US Inflation Reduction Act. In 2023, we expect more action from US, Europe, and China now that energy security has become synonymous with the energy transition. According to Wood Mackenzie, for the world to be on track for net zero by 2050, 9.7 Mt of mine supply will need to come from projects that are yet to be approved. This amounts to $23bn of investment a year in new projects, 64% higher than the average annual spend over the last 30 years. Conclusion Copper’s long-term demand trends suggest it could continue trending upwards but remain cyclical depending on the macroeconomics. Cyclical pullbacks could create interesting entry points for investors who recognise copper’s structural case. Sources 1 International Copper Study Group’s Factbook 2022. 2 Bloomberg, January 2023. 3 International Copper Study Group 2023. 4 Wood Mackenzie’ report, “Copper: Things to look for in 2023” dated January 2023. 5 Morgan Stanley as of January 2023.
COMEX:HG1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
TSLA vs NIO: Buy and Sell EV's against each other v2!Okay so an update on a strategy we have been working on since well into early 2019. if you want to see the earlier chart it will be here or down below. $1000 May 29 2019: Bought TSLA @$189.86 or 5.2 shares a number of trades October 26 2020: Sold NIO @$26.01 (cash $14,726) for TSLA @$420.28 or 35 Shares - total now 93.5 shares of TSLA Current Total = 93.5 Shares of TSLA for value of $38516 or $37515 in profit V2 starts with this refresh of the chart after a few splits. An entire year went by until end of july 21 we started to see some slack in the market. April 27 2022: Sold 93.5 shares TSLA @340.87 for NIO @18.28 or 1736 June 30 2022: Sold 50% of NIO 836 @22.01 for $19113 for tesla @301.76 NIO836 TSLA63 August 25 2022: Tsla split 189 September 6 2022: Missed a TSLA sell on Sept 6 October 31 2022: Tsla sell 189 @227.10 42921 Bought NIO @9.66 for 4443 total NIO 5279 shares January 6 2023: Sold 50% NIO 2639 @9.82 25921 Bought TSLA 106.4 243 shares February 15 2023: Sold TSLA @212.37 51735 for NIO @10.22 5062 Total 7701 Shares of NIO or $78708! February 22 2023: didn't like what we see so we sold all NIO @10.14 $78088 50% cash 50% TSLA @$197.18 or 198 TSLA shares and $39042 in cash
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by swimmax
Rev Your Engines: Why BMW is Poised to Dominate the Electric CarAlright folks! Today we're going to talk about a company that you might have heard of before, but maybe not in the way I'm about to present it. I'm talking about Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, or as most people know it, BMW. Now, BMW has been around for a long time. They've been making cars since 1916, and in that time they've built a reputation for producing high-quality, luxury vehicles. But there's more to BMW than just luxury cars. They've also been at the forefront of innovation, particularly when it comes to electric vehicles and self-driving technology. Now, I know what you're thinking. "Joe, I don't care about electric cars, I want to make money!" Well, let me tell you, investing in BMW is a smart move for a few reasons. First of all, the company is a leader in the luxury car market, which is a highly profitable niche. They have a strong brand that's synonymous with quality and prestige, and they've consistently delivered on that promise. That means that they're able to charge premium prices for their vehicles, which translates into higher profit margins. But it's not just about luxury cars. BMW has also been investing heavily in electric vehicles and self-driving technology, and they're making real progress in these areas. Their i3 electric car is one of the best-selling EVs in Europe, and they're set to release several new electric models in the coming years. And when it comes to self-driving technology, BMW has partnered with Intel and Mobileye to develop the technology that will power their upcoming iNext vehicle. And here's the thing. Electric vehicles and self-driving cars are the future of the automotive industry. As governments around the world look to reduce carbon emissions and improve road safety, these technologies are going to become increasingly important. That means that BMW is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends and stay ahead of the competition. So, to sum it up, investing in BMW is a smart move. They're a leader in the luxury car market, they're making real progress in the electric and self-driving space, and they have a strong brand that's built on a history of quality and innovation. If you're looking for a company that's poised for growth in the coming years, BMW seems like a great bet.
XETR:BMWLong
by DCAChampion