Trading Chaos Part 4 | Elliott WavesHello, everyone!
Today we are going to spot the most important and challenging part of Trading Chaos by Bill Williams(BW) – the Elliott waves. This analysis is the most efficient in combination with other techniques of Trading Chaos. Market always moves with the waves and BW developed the conception which eliminate the uncertainty of Elliott Waves. In this article we will consider every wave and explain how to spot their target areas.
First of all we need to understand the 5 “magic bullets” which kill the trend. They are:
Divergence with the Oscillator
Target zone
The squat bar at the one of three top bars
Fractal at the top
Momentum change
Today we are goin to consider only the target zone. Other tools we will reveal in the next articles about Trading Chaos.
How to spot Wave 1 start?
Research the last wave from the previous trend. This should be wave 5 or c. This last wave have the typical structure of waves with less scale. You can use the technique for Wave 5 end defining to spot when trend is finished.
How to spot Wave 1 end?
Search the 5-waves structure inside the Wave 1. You also should spot the 5-th wave end. Use the 5 “magic bullets” which usually kill the trend.
Elliottwaveanalyis
#BTCUSD #67%Top Probability#BTCUSD #67%Top Prob-Stats Chances suggests that #Wave could be already in motion.
The #50-61.80% FB recovering forecasted on #September 21 th has been also reached.#The 67% Top/Bottom Prob.Boxes, between #39,270/45,087.00, show a sideways ahead, then fall.
This fall(#wave )might target #36,400 zone at first,then #27,900.00 (#which could possibly end up between #31,000/27,900.00 zone,#Contracting Triangle possibly).
We are probably at the beginning of the initial phase of wave 3Tomorrow (10/09/2021) we could experience the confirmation of the initial phase of wave 3, since today the price could not penetrate the zone of the lows that RHE left on September 7. This is a possible signal to enter in the purchase of the fractal major: it began with the low of August 17, in September 31 completed its first wave.
The key is that in the morning session and next sessions comfirm the floor that was created in the last Tuesday, September 7, is not broken. Its greater if the confirmation of the movement are quickly to upwards.
This idea may take until Friday, September 24 to be completed
#USDCAD-63% Top Prob. #Wave C(Flatt Pattern) The Forecast published on August 16th (labeled as possible Double Zigzag) failed. Now the Alt Count suggests #63% Short Top Probability at 1.29487, as possible trigger of #wave C (Flatt Pattern)of or , targeting #1.24062 Bottom Zone.
Let´s see what happens.
The scam of the year (BTC SETUP) 🚨🚨🚨So many people are about to get caught in this double zig-zag, thinking that it is a reversal to new highs. I'm here to warn you that we will not be making new highs on this aggressive move to the upside (to 39k) in the coming days, but rather it will be the final phase of distribution before MM dump the last of their bags on everyone. Don't get caught in this trap, as it is going to happen Very quickly. Scalp it, sell on the way up, set your take profits, move your stops up as we go - do whatever you can to protect your capital. You aren't going to want to be a part of what is to come after this big move.
My down side target sits at 23k to complete this Wave (4) correction, but I would not be surprised to see a liquidation wick bypass that 19k range to liquidate as many longs as possible before the real move up to 80~125k.
You have been warned, trade safe.
#BTCUSD 78% Short Top Probability #Ending Expanding DiagonalCompleting the forecast made on June 9th, updated on July 1st, my #algorithm still shows a way down to the #Target Shell of 26,800.00.After has finished #WaveC #Zigzag #Ending Expanding Diagonal. The current recovering zone of 32,000 has a #78 % Top Probability Box (strong), Targeting at first the zone of 27,789/27,111.00
Let´s see what happens.
#ETHUSD 65% Short Top Probability Possible #WaveA Completing the forecast made on June 9th, my #algorithm keeps showing me a way down to the #Target Shell of 1,436.00/1,336.00
The current High zone of 2,368.00(may be a wave X), has a #65 % Top Probability Box(medium strength), that could be the beginning of a new #wave A (5 legs-zigzag) .
Let´s see what happens.