Elliottwavecorrection
ETHUSD analsis ( Traditional Elliotte Wave ) This is my personal view using the traditional Elliotwave (TEW) for ETHUSD #TEWave
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USD/CAD Ending diagonal [UPDATE]we had a previous analysis stating that we are currently in a triangle or triple combo correction, but after a review and suggesting different scenarios to the same chart we can also have a different reading, and honestly this is more accepted than the previous one, right now i'm not sure if wave 3 has ended and price is making wave 4 but patience is a vertue when trading waves
Depth of corrective waves. Elliott Wave.Elliott Wave Guidelines:
Depth of Corrective Waves
Understanding Elliott Waves is much more then the basic rules and 3s and 5s. A largely underused aspect of Elliott Waves is the Elliott Wave Guidelines. These go beyond the guidelines for each specific pattern and are meant to assist in determining the most probabilistic wave pattern. This is just the primary guideline of this larger Elliott Wave guideline.
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BTC Elliott WXYSo btc finally showed us the X wave
Just Sharing...
Macro look:
weeks to show us the X wave, as I see it, right now we are on the Y wave, this wave might take same time than the W wave (7 months-ich) or even longer
the nature of a wxy correction is complex,
W wave was an easy ABC correction,
X wave was a little more complex,
Then the Y wave is the complex one, so we might not see and easy ABC here.
(I've seen this complex corrections before it can stay into a little range for a long time and then drop heavely)
Right now:
Building wave 1 of Y, we can se range here on wave 4, waitting to drop a little more, maybe to dashed line to finish wave one.
then we would see btc going up building and abc, this would be wave 2.
Remember, wave 2 cannot go further than the begining of wave 1, so invalidation for this scenery is the red line.
Dow Jones Incomplete Bearish Sequence It can observed from the chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index we are in the mid of the correction happening right now.
The Elliott wave sequence are as mentioned below:
1. We made an internal WXY in miner degree.
2. We have completed W-X wave of higher degree WXY.
3. We are in Y leg of the higher degree WXY.
4. Out 3 wave of Y leg we have completed A wave.
5. We are currently in B wave of abc of Y wave.
6. Invalidation level is mentioned on the chart.
Any doubt you may directly ask me on comment section.
This is not a trade recommendation but only a view.
Thank you.
Regards
US100-CORRECTIVE RALLY BEGINUS100-CORRECTIVE RALLY BEGIN:
It seems from the chart of US100, it has completed its A wave and the correction of A wave has begin.
It would correct in the 3 corrective move of the B wave.
It it goes below invalidation level before the corrective wave B then the counting will continue for down move.
Regards
In terms of Elliot waves, three scenarios can be considered for The first scenario is to start the upward movement from now
In the second scenario, we can move up from now on, but in the future we will see weakness in the upward direction and we will move down again within 5 waves (flat correction pattern will be formed).
In the third scenario, we have to move down through 5 waves, of which 3 waves have been completed so far and we are now in wave 4. So we have to have another downward wave. The maximum amount of this decrease is up to the level of 14 thousand dollars.
Which scenario do you agree with?
Nifty 50 Wave C Prediction (Expanded Flats)Based on my previous Nifty 50 charts this time I tried to explain more with texts and markers on chart. I hope it would help you to understand. This is just my prediction, It could be wrong anytime.
After wave A to B retracement which was almost 0.382 from the previous wave (Must mention that SGX Nifty was 17014 that day, exactly where I pointed out) now the wave C could be 1 to 1.414 (Between 17748 to 18031). But I would say wave C must be not more than 17900,
The yellow box is the sideways box. Dashed lines are all trend lines.
Hope you traders will like it. Thanks for viewing ":-)
Has the DXY topped out?DXY has been on an extended pump to the upside and is definitely getting exhausted in its wave 5. We have nearly hit the 1.618 fib at about 120.00. It does not have to go any higher and has done more than enough for a wave 5. If the wave 5 is over we could be looking at a retracement down in an ABC to 92.78 to 80.00. Obviously this will take months or years to retrace to this level.
LUNC Bullish or Bearish?Im not really sure about LUNC we have a clear impulse up and a corrective move down. However we kinda just reversed in the middle of nowhere. We did not hit the 0.786 fib or we didnt hit the 1.618 fib the length of wave A. Cant really see any support where we had a reversal. Wouldnt be surprised if we come back down to test either of these fibs. If your trading LUNC bearcareful :)
DXY next moveAs my analysis before, I mentioned that DXY could started to bullish again from 107.9 and other asset are tanking.
This is my view of DXY for this week :
DXY is now in corrective move and could sweep the liquidity between 109-108 area before continue upwards
We will have FED % rate news release on 21th Wednesday with 75bps forecast
This news will decide the next DXY move.
Elliott Wave Theory & BTC Decline/Bottom...??Haven't published in a while, and hardley ever use Elliott Wave as a trading hedge, but after some research , AND I SHOULD HAVE FINISHED THIS LAST NIGHT BEFORE TODAY'S DROP! I have found several ways to measure the BTC Bottom.
80%-85% drawdown from ATH on every bear market = $13175
Re-test last Bull Run highest Monthly close = $14000
Then there is the Elliott Wave Theory... 5 waves, with 3 larger down and 2 up like in the chart.
Text Book Wave Theory states 1 and 5 are same percentage drawdown. This chart is -50%....
and 2 and 4 should be same percent bounce up.
We have that confirmed at +43% & +45%
Wave 3 down should be the biggest percent down...confirmed at -60%
Zoom out to the 2Wk or the Monthly chart and you can easily see the wave counts and the similarities in the waves.
Also play with the Chart Above to read stats
Another way to estimate Elliot wave #5 down is to use a Fib Retracement from the previous low of #3 to the High of #4 extensions should be downward.
The traditional wave #5 falls to the range between the 1.272 and the 1.414 ...Highlighted in the chart
Now combine all the stats abd the 5 Day BBWP turning up and Stochastic turning down ...BTC should go lower
Wave #5 should also have 3 inner waves, down first...Today's draw, possibly a bit more, then a bonce up and then further down to the area...
where ALL HIGHLIGHTS CROSS ON CHART
between $14600 & $15600
also be prepared for the 1.618 to be a wick at the 85% in the 13K bracket where the monthly closing high of the 2018 bull run hit
Look at world markets and the DIXY too and OIL costs, the FED all that BullShit...they want all markets lower and more people unemployed and spending less money(ramble)
We'll see how this pans out and revisit in a few weeks