According To Elliot Wave Gold Must Drop Until 2360According To Elliot Wave Gold Must Drop Until 2360
As I Simply Calculated Gold Must Drop To 2360 Zone To Complete 5th Wave.
And Gold Is Falling From Ending Diagonal. And Also As My Previous Elliot Wave Long Turn Analyze
Gold Must Fall To 2170 At least
Watch This : -
Elliottwaveforecasts
ASML Elliot ABC Correction Wave I think ASML will decline with the Elliot correction wave after today's financials.
I think this correction could be up to $680-820 levels.
There is a gap around $ 780, at least I think this gap will be filled.
Every upward reaction in ASML above around $900 is an opportunity for a short position. As long as ASML remains below $1050, I plan to increase my short position on any upward price reaction above $900.
According To Elliot Wave Gold Must Drop Until 2360According To Elliot Wave Gold Must Drop Until 2360
As I Simply Calculated Gold Must Drop To 2360 Zone To Complete 5th Wave.
And Gold Is Falling From Ending Diagonal. And Also As My Previous Elliot Wave Long Turn Analyze
Gold Must Fall To 2170 At least
Watch This : -
Wave 2 of 5 in progress - where does wave 3 begin? The Elliott wave channel guidelines are some of the handiest tools in the box.
Here the final channel (2-4) is well broken, indicating the impulse is done and wave 2 is in progress, further evidenced in the break of the base channel below. Ideally this decline finds the red channel of the larger degree impulse of which this is proposed to be wave 2 of 5.
Another guideline that fits in with the channels is the 'right look' - such a wave 2 would ideally make a reactionary wave advance into around that green level before dropping to tag the red channel at the 50-61.8% retracement level (perhaps tightened to about 61,233-61,000 USD).
However it gets there though, this level would present a perfect buy setup for the proposed move towards $120K.
As a swing trader, this trade in a vacuum makes me nervous by $56,587.65, abandoning the trade below 53,534.55 and provisionally targeting the $125k area.
As there will usually be chances to increase the position size on pull-backs (imagine wave 2 of 3 for example), the first entry doesn't need to be the whole allocation.
Weekly Update: At the very least...ITS TIME TO RAISE CASH !!!!Since I last updated you on the overall markets, price has retreated lower. (Click Here for the last Market Update)
The Nasdaq futures contract (NQ) has declined a total of 10.76% whereas the SP500 futures contract (ES) has only declined 5.05% from their respective all-time highs earlier in July.
Does the Divergence between the weakness of the NQ, and relative strength of the ES, tell us anything? As I take in volumes of information to access the current pattern I find myself overwhelmed with the musings of more experienced market participants.
A reasonable explanation would be the Nasdaq outperformed on the way up and is now underperforming on the way down. A sign possibly it got ahead of itself? Sure. However, in my experience, the answer is more nuanced to advancing and declining markets than simply the Nasdaq outperformed earlier and is now underperforming. I find Bob Farrell’s “Market Rules to Remember” always a good list to consult in the most interesting of market times. In his top 10 list of market rules, I find the market somewhere between rule #2 and rule#4 rather germane to the current price action.
Rule #2 states : “Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction.”
Whereas Rule #4 states : “Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways.”
Have we achieved the one directional excess that will lead to excesses in the opposite direction yet? Does this rapidly rising market have further to go? These are questions that are impossible to answer right now as the current price action in the NQ and ES tends to favor both rules. To further explain with respect to Rule#2…as long as we remain above the April lows in both the NQ and the ES, we retain the ability to continue to subdivide higher . Right now, those April lows seem like worlds away from the current consciousness of traders. However, from an Elliottitions’ perspective, the upside pattern is not damaged in the least, as long as we remain above those April lows.
But to say the advancing price action has not been damaged in the least is somewhat an oversimplification of the technical structure of the recent price action as notated in RN Elliott’s original theories. Elliott Wave Theory simply put states that a trend will persist in 5 distinct waves, and counter trend price action will retrace the trend but only in 3 distinct waves. This forms the basis of trends, or (Motive Waves) and counter trends, or (Corrective Waves). The exception to this primary tenant of EWT is, wait for it …… (A diagonal Pattern) . Anyone can use the Google Machine for a definition of what a diagonal is within the construct of Elliott Wave Theory. However, I will add that the sentiment of market participants usually is that of tepid confidence. Traders not entirely sure of their actions....FOMO. Nonetheless, using this basic premise, this is how I interpret the current market price action.
Disclaimer: I am not a fortune teller. I do not levitate off the ground, nor do I smoke a pipe like a wizard. Elliott Wave Theory is a construct to provide simply a higher probability forecast of future price action...NOT A GUARANTEE. Many times, with more price action and the benefit of hindsight, patterns can be interpreted as something other than what was originally perceived.
The current price action in the NQ can persist to new all-time highs right now. However, to do so, would ONLY be accomplished as an Ending Diagonal for wave 5 of larger V of even larger wave (III). This sort of price action, if it subdivides to it’s ultimate conclusion, would eventually result in a market crash of sorts. Ending Diagonal patterns ideally return to their point of origination in relatively short order. The origination point of this potential pattern is the April lows. That would be considered a pretty hefty decline if that were to play out and certainly scare those who remain permanently bullish by virtue of a lack of imagination. The ES, although not nearly as precarious as the NQ pattern is, would undoubtedly follow suit to a large extent.
Therefore, I will conclude by humbly offering some unsolicited advice. The professionals, the market media and your day trader buddy…all will chime in when it’s time to buy. Its crickets…when it’s time to sell. You, nor I, have ever turned on CNBC to hear…”Folks it’s time to sell stocks”.
In my last update on the markets, I ended with this statement... these decisions are only yours alone to make. I will not tell you to sell now. However, I’ll tell you this. It is time to raise some cash. Could the market make new highs? Sure. But have you honestly done a risk/reward scenario for these potential incremental new highs?
Take that suggestion for what it may be worth.
Best to all,
Chris
#GBPJPY Elliott wave analysisThere is a high possibility that we are approaching the end of wave 3 of a 5-wave bearish impulsive move.
At the end of this current minor bearish move, we could expect a bullish 3-wave corrective move, which could complete wave 4. After this correction, we should anticipate another drop to complete wave 5.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
Navigating the Waves: Elliott Wave Theory and Key IndicatorsEducational Technical Analysis on example chart of UFO Moviez India
Elliott Wave Analysis and Key Moving Averages
Disclaimer
This study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario based on Elliott Wave Theory and other technical indicators. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective activities. The theory posits that stock prices move in predictable patterns or "waves" based on investor sentiment.
Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
1. Wave Patterns: According to Elliott, market prices move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three waves in a correction against the main trend (corrective waves).
2. Wave Degrees: Waves are fractal in nature, meaning that smaller waves form part of larger waves, and this pattern repeats on all time frames.
3. Wave Characteristics:
- Wave 1: Usually the smallest impulse wave.
- Wave 2: Corrects Wave 1 but does not exceed its starting point.
- Wave 3: Typically the strongest and longest wave.
- Wave 4: Corrective wave that is usually less severe.
- Wave 5: Final leg in the direction of the main trend.
Current Analysis of example chart of UFO Moviez India
Based on the chart and Elliott Wave Theory, UFO Moviez India is currently suggesting an impulsive and momentum-driven 3rd of the 3rd wave ahead, with an invalidation level at 106.
Key Observations:
1. Wave Count:
- Wave (1): An initial 5-wave impulse has completed.
- Wave (2): A corrective ABC pattern.
- Wave (3): Currently unfolding with sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v marked.
- Wave 3: In the larger context is forming.
2. Breakout:
- There is a breakout above the downward trendline with good volumes, indicating strong bullish momentum.
3. Key Moving Averages:
- Price Trading Above:
- 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA
- 50 WEMA, 100 WEMA, and 200 WEMA
- Crossed above 20 MMA
Technical Indicators and Levels
- Price: 148.54 INR (as of the latest close)
- Support Levels:
- Nearest Invalidation Level: 106 INR
- Major Support: 57.20 INR
- Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Target: 175.58 INR (Wave 1 of larger degree)
- Fibonacci Extension Target: 220.51 INR (1.618 extension of Wave 1)
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis of example chart of UFO Moviez India indicates a potentially strong bullish trend as the stock is in the 3rd wave of a larger impulse. The breakout above the trendline with significant volume further supports this bullish outlook. However, it is crucial to monitor the invalidation level at 106 INR, as a break below this level could invalidate the current wave count and suggest a different scenario.
Educational Purpose Notice
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only. It is not an investment or trading advice or tip. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and it is important to do thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#GBPUSD begining of a 3wave corrective moveAs can be seen, the price appears to be completing a 5th wave of 5, indicating the end of a bullish impulsive move that reached the upper channel line. Now, we could expect a bearish move in the form of an ABC correction or a reversal.
To open a position, we should wait for a bullish corrective move, which could be either wave B or 2, and then try to catch wave C or 3.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave Theory, Part 2Hello traders. In this article, we dive deeper into another detailed way of seeing Bitcoin's potential end-of-cycle pattern. This is the 2nd part to the previous post that discusses Bitcoin's cycle using the Elliott Wave Theory - a comprehensive and subjective theory. Here, we will be exploring an alternative scenario that builds on our previous concept of Bitcoin fractals since its inception in 2009. By addressing some of the subjectivity in the wave theory and leveraging market psychology and algorithmic fractals, this post is aimed to provide another organized and insightful look at the structure of Bitcoin's price movements.
If you are interested in seeing the first scenario, here is a link for your convenience:
For this alternative scenario, as mentioned above, it addresses some of the subjectivity that arises from the Elliott Wave Theory, specifically the observation of multiple 1-2 scenarios presented in our previous idea. Although the idea was supported by evidence from market psychology and algorithmic fractals, the problem arises by having the possibility of infinite 1-2 nested structures that works upon extending each internal wave - which is a pretty rare observation in any markets; however, Bitcoin has been able to withstand year by year and work on a pretty timely schedule. Based on the expectations, we used that observation to create the scenario of nested 1-2's. Nevertheless, due to its possible subjective count, this idea focuses more on the structural integrity of the basic 5-wave pattern and being able to fit the whole price action from inception as a 5-wave pattern.
Simply put, this thesis aims to create a more organized structure. As many are still eager to determine how far Bitcoin might correct after this bull run ends, I hope this idea can also give you confidence to help build your own thesis.
There is one thing that is for sure, however: the evidence portrayed from both of these scenarios strongly suggests that we will see higher levels before lower levels, though no theory can be 100% accurate, we could technically see a reversal even now. But my duty is to make sure to narrow down the scenarios as best as I can.
For this specific idea, we have structured this whole move up as 5 waves since inception, sticking as closely as possible to the basic Elliott Wave model of the 5-wave impulse. To achieve this, we made some simple adjustments from the first thesis in the previous post.
The challenge for many arises when trying to fit a wave 3 that must be the longest or second longest wave compared to waves 1 and 5. In this chart, since primary wave 1 in yellow is the longest, wave 5 must be technically shorter than wave 3, which is a strict rule and must be obeyed.
To accomplish this, we can use the 2017-2020 price action as a range initself for wave 4. Previously, we considered the pandemic crash as a technical bottom. If we use that as a sideways range, the only viable sideways patterns are triangles and flats (as we have exhausted the zigzag family correction patterns for wave 4 already). For more details on these patterns, please refer to the previous guide on triangle and flat patterns in my Elliott Wave Theory guide on my main page.
By using the 2017-2020 range as a triangle, our subwave E has resulted in an extremely short subwave, known as a failure or truncation. After breaking out of the triangle, the next step is to figure out on how to form wave 5, which is the final part of the 5-wave motive impulse.
Currently, the only way we can see wave 5 concluding is through a possible diagonal given the current data. Why? We would typically expect a basic 5-wave move for wave 5, but since wave 5 has to be short and wave 1 was extended, we do not expect the last primary wave 5 in yellow to be extended.
Thus, the only remaining option is a possible diagonal pattern to complete wave 5, since we have also assumed it will be short due to wave 1 already being the longest wave and wave 3 being the 2nd longest wave.
This Ending Diagonal, which consists of 5 waves (unlike a Leading Diagonal, which appears in waves 1 or A), they are only observed in wave 5s or wave Cs.
To construct our Ending Diagonal, the five subwaves must be zigzags (simple ABCs) or complex zigzags (WXYs). We are currently observing a mix of these, which is normal in diagonals:
* Subwave (1): ABC. Observed as a long wave A and short wave C. This can be debated, but longer wave As compared to wave Cs are not uncommon.
* Subwave (2): WXY. A WXYXZ could fit as well like we observed in our previous post, but that deviates significantly from the traditional structure. A WXY is the next best alternative, and even that can be subjective as we typically observe simple ZigZags (ABCs) within diagonals.
* Subwave (3): Currently being created. With the available data, it could be an ABC, though it may become more complex going forward.
* Subwave (4) / (5) : To be determined. Must belong to the zigzag family.
As we are still working on subwave (3) within the ending diagonal, the interest level for a pullback remains the same as in our previous idea, THAT IS THE KEY. This significant pullback could validate this idea, so we will monitor it up to that point.
This larger picture presents a wide range between subwaves 4 and 5, similar to waves 1 and 2.
Once subwaves 4 and 5 are created, it will technically terminate the larger degree wave 5 of the entire 5-wave impulse cycle. After termination, a significant downside correction is possible, potentially reaching levels as low as $3,000.
Alternatively, we also have a completely different count where this cycle wave 1-2 may be already in play, and it can be achieved by using a larger flat idea that may also help with separation and further deepend subjectivity. Here is that approach:
In conclusion, while the evidence strongly suggests that Bitcoin will reach higher levels before any significant correction, it is crucial to remain adaptable as market conditions evolve. The analysis presented here offers merely a potential roadmap. No theory can predict market movements with absolute certainty. By staying informed and considering multiple scenarios, investors can better navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
I invite EVERYONE to share your thoughts and engage with this post in the comments below.
BLX Global Final View - BTC - $1 000 000 ?According to Wave Theory:
In the impulses of a wave of the same degree, channelization is observed
2 wave is most often a zigzag
2 wave is most often a deep correction
3 wave equals 1.618*1 wave.
The 3rd wave is the most powerful
4 wave is most often flat according to the rules of alternation
5 wave is mostly equal to 1 wave
BUT
Bitcoin is a commodity market
And in commodity markets, the 5th wave is most often extended.
At what price will YOU exit?
Wipro Case Study: Elliott Wave Analysis for Educational PurposesWIPRO multi time frames charts updated
Weekly Chart
Daily Chart
4 Hourly
60 Min
In this educational case study, we delve into the chart analysis of Wipro using Elliott Wave Theory. Our analysis focuses on identifying potential wave patterns and understanding the current wave structure for educational purposes only.
Overview:
After a significant decline in the larger Wave (4), Wipro appears to have initiated Wave 1 of (5). Within Wave 1 of (5), we have observed completion of sub-waves (i)-(ii)-(iii), and (iv) is nearing completion. The current structure suggests that sub-wave (v) of Wave 1 of (5) could soon commence.
Detailed Analysis:
Wave (4) Correction: Wipro experienced a notable decline in Wave (4), signaling a potential shift in sentiment.
Wave 1 of (5): Following Wave (4), the stock initiated Wave 1 of (5), marked by the completion of sub-waves (i)-(ii)-(iii).
Current Structure: We are currently witnessing the final stages of sub-wave (iv) of Wave 1 of (5), with sub-waves i-ii-iii-iv completed.
Anticipated Movement: Sub-wave (v) of Wave 1 of (5) is expected to commence soon, potentially marking the final fall before an upward move.
Risk Management and Wave Highlights:
It's essential to implement proper risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
Traders should exercise caution and remain vigilant for any deviations from the expected wave counts.
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory can provide valuable insights into market trends and potential price movements.
Remember, this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Bitcoin Elliott wave analysis - wave 5 has begunSimple impulse wave count showing current price action forming the base of Intermediate wave 5 (the largest degree shown). If so, it would appear to be in the 5th wave of Minor wave 1, possibly completing around the 72.6-72.9K USD area.
This implies a pull back to around 50-61.8% of the length of Minor wave 1 to complete Minor wave 2. As always, prior pivots will be levels of interest in that range.
Upper targets are around the 125K level to complete Intermediate wave 5, which would be somewhere between a 100-115% advance.
Some non-Elliott wave channel analysis suggests Intermediate (4) is not yet complete. However RSI and other indicators suggest wave 5 has begun.
Minor wave count is officially wrong below 53,458.05 USD, which would indicate Intermediate wave 4 is still in progress - of course, that in turn applies to a decline below the end of Intermediate wave 1, which would invalidate the entire move as an impulse as counted.
SOLUSD Next Move ~$200+ After reaching the $185 mark, Solanium headed for a correction.
Within the channel there was a decline to the lower boundary
The 4th wave basically always comes in the range of the 4th wave of a smaller degree
The correction in the 4th wave mostly occurs within the 61.8% Fibonacci range
According to the wave theory, all the necessary conditions for correction have been met and Solanium is most likely moving within the 5th wave to the $200+ mark
Mastering Elliott Waves: Key Rules You Can't IgnoreEducational Idea : Understanding Key Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
Introduction
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements. Understanding its core principles can help you make more informed trading decisions. In this article, we will delve into three fundamental principles of Elliott Wave Theory that cannot be violated. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not intended as trading advice or tips.
1. Wave 2 Can Never Retrace More Than 100% of Wave 1
The first principle of Elliott Wave Theory is that Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. In other words, Wave 2 cannot go below the starting point of Wave 1. If it does, it invalidates the wave count and suggests that the initial impulse wave (Wave 1) was incorrectly identified. This rule ensures that Wave 2 is a correction wave within the larger trend and not a reversal of the trend itself.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 starts at 100 and peaks at 150, Wave 2 can retrace to any level above 100, but not below it.
2. Wave 3 Can Never Be the Shortest Among All Three Impulse Waves (1-3-5)
The second principle states that Wave 3 can never be the shortest among the three impulse waves (Waves 1, 3, and 5). Typically, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful wave, characterized by strong momentum and volume. If you find that Wave 3 is shorter than either Wave 1 or Wave 5, the wave count is incorrect, and you need to re-evaluate your analysis.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 is 50 points and Wave 3 is only 30 points, while Wave 5 is 40 points, this violates the rule as Wave 3 is the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Cannot Enter the Territory of Wave 1 (Except in Diagonals & Triangles)
The third principle asserts that Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This means that the lowest point of Wave 4 should not overlap the highest point of Wave 1. An exception to this rule occurs in diagonal and triangle patterns, where some overlap is permissible. This rule helps maintain the integrity of the impulse wave structure.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 peaks at $150 and Wave 4 retraces to $145, this overlaps and invalidates the wave count unless the pattern is a diagonal or triangle.
Conclusion
By following these principles, you can ensure that your Elliott Wave analysis remains robust and accurate, helping you navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater confidence. Understanding and applying these key principles of Elliott Wave Theory can significantly enhance your market analysis and trading strategies. Keep these rules in mind as you study and apply Elliott Wave Theory in your trading journey. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not any kind of trading advisory or tips.
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Happy trading!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Charting the Future: An Elliott Wave ApproachTechnical Analysis of Rajesh Exports Using Elliott Wave Theory
Monthly Time Frame Analysis
Elliott Wave Count and Structure:
- The monthly chart of Rajesh Exports shows a clear Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting the completion of a corrective wave (C) of a larger degree wave ((2)) in Black, implying that a new bullish impulse is likely to begin wave ((3)) in Black.
- The recent price action indicates the end of Wave (C), part of a larger correction that followed a significant impulse wave (5) earlier of wave ((1)) in Black.
- This suggests that the stock is about to start a new bullish cycle, labeled as Wave (1) in Blue of a new impulse higher Primary degree wave ((3)) in Black.
Bullish Divergence:
MACD: The price shows hidden bullish divergence with the MACD, as the MACD line forms higher lows while the price makes lower lows on Monthly time frame.
RSI: Similar hidden bullish divergence is observed with the RSI too on monthly time frame, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Daily Time Frame Analysis
Bullish Divergence:
MACD: The price shows bullish divergence with the MACD, with the MACD line forming higher lows while the price forms lower lows.
RSI: The RSI also shows bullish divergence, adding further weight to the bullish scenario.
Trigger Point:
Trendline Breakout:
The daily chart indicates a trendline breakout accompanied by a significant increase in volume. This breakout suggests a strong bullish sentiment and confirms the start of a new upward trend.
Invalidation Level:
The invalidation level for this bullish scenario is set at 261. If the price falls below this level, the bullish wave count would be invalidated.
Targets:
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the third wave (3) is typically the most powerful. Using the Fibonacci extension, the 161.8% target of Wave (1) places the possible price target near or above 1800.
Summary
Elliott Wave Count: Indicates a potential start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Bullish Divergence: Both MACD and RSI on the daily and monthly charts show bullish divergence.
Trendline Breakout: Confirmed with high volume, suggesting strong upward momentum.
Invalidation Level: 261
Target: 161.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave (1) projects a target near or above 1800.
The overall analysis suggests that Rajesh Exports is poised for a significant upward movement, with strong bullish indications from both the Elliott Wave counts and technical indicators.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Charting with Elliott Waves & Technical AnalysisUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
Wave Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts.
Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends.
Let's understand study of this chart
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart represents the Possible Elliott Wave counts for TATA STEEL, currently indicating the completion and projection of waves within an impulsive structure.
Wave Count Overview:
The chart demonstrates a five-wave impulsive structure labeled as:
Wave (i), Wave (ii), Wave (iii), Wave (iv), Wave (v)
The blue zone highlights a previous resistance area, which is now acting as a potential support zone.
The current wave structure projects wave (v) of ((v)).
Invalidation Level:
The nearest invalidation level for this wave count is at 155.00. A drop below this level would invalidate the current wave count.
Potential Targets:
The projected target for wave (v) of ((v)) is around level of 184.60 & more.
This target is derived from typical characteristics of the fifth wave in Elliott Wave Theory, often extending to new highs before the completion of the impulse wave.
Elliott Wave Principles and Characteristics of Wave (v):
Elliott Wave Theory posits that market prices move in repetitive cycles, consisting of five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three corrective waves.
Wave (v) in an impulse sequence is typically the final wave of the trend and often displays characteristics such as:
Completing the overall five-wave pattern.
Extending beyond the previous high of wave (iii).
Exhibiting momentum divergences (where price makes a new high but momentum indicators do not).
Sometimes driven by fundamental news or events, leading to sharp price movements.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: 160.31
Nearest Invalidation Level: 155.00
Potential Target for Wave (v) of ((v)): 184.60
Educational Note:
Students of Elliott Wave Theory are encouraged to practice drawing their own wave counts and verifying whether all subdivisions align with higher-degree wave principles. This practice will enhance your study, making it more accurate and practical. Always remember, in real markets, multiple possibilities exist, and this analysis focuses on one potential scenario. There is a risk of being completely wrong.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#OIL possible move for the coming daysPrice seems like completed 3rd wave of lower time frame bullish impulse move and as a result we could expect an abc bearish corrective move. to set stage for another bullish leg to complete fifth wave.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
#USDCAD expecting wave 3 of 5As can be seen, the price appears to be completing the first and second waves of wave 5. If we see a bullish breakout of our buy setup, we can assume that the 3rd wave is on its way. As a result, after that, any bearish retracement is a buying opportunity.
This analysis is triggered once the price breaks above the previous high.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
Charting with Elliott WavesUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
Wave Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts.
Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends.
Let's understand study of this chart
Current Wave Structure
Primary Wave Count:
- The chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulse sequence (1-2-3-4-5) followed by a corrective phase.
- The primary impulse wave (labeled in red) has completed its cycle, marked by a significant peak at Wave 5.
- The subsequent corrective wave (labeled in blue as (4)) has also completed, indicating a potential beginning of a new impulse sequence.
Subwave Count:
- The internal structure of the primary waves shows clear subwaves, especially within the third wave, which is typically the strongest and longest.
- The chart depicts detailed labeling of smaller degree waves (i-ii-iii-iv-v), ensuring adherence to Elliott Wave principles.
Recent Breakout Analysis
Breakout Confirmation:
- Recently, the price has broken out from a consolidation zone, supported by increased trading volumes. This is a positive sign indicating strong market interest and momentum.
- The breakout occurred after the price retested the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support. This successful retest enhances the credibility of the breakout.
Future Projections
Impulsive Bias:
- Based on the wave structure, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulse wave. This suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement.
- The immediate target for this impulse wave is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at INR 2,976.60, aligning with typical Elliott Wave projections for Wave 3.
Invalidation Level:
- The nearest invalidation level for this bullish scenario is marked at INR 1,651.40. A break below this level would suggest a re-evaluation of the wave count and the current bullish bias.
Conclusion
The technical analysis of Dalmia Bharat Ltd. indicates a favorable outlook for continued upward movement, supported by a clear Elliott Wave structure and recent breakout confirmation with good volume. However, traders should monitor the invalidation level closely.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.