Elliottwaveideas
Potential Long SwingTrading Opportunity on $W Wafair IncBrief video setting up a potential Long Swingtrading opportunity on the Wayfair Inc Stock using our Elliottwave Indicator suite.
Main focus in this video is using all the tools to measure the wave 4 profit taking pullback. Then looking at a sensible entry strategy for that high probability 5th wave move.
If the stop for the order is broken, we cancel, and wait for support to be found. If support is then found and all of out tools for measuring the wave 4 are sill looking good, then we adjust and setup the trade again. If not, then we must have the discipline to walk away from the trade setup.
Trading The Behaviour with Stocks - ETSY perfect exampleIn this quick video recap we discuss using our ElliottWave Indicator suite when trading the behaviour of stocks after profit taking pullbacks. As they say, when its trending - its trending. You just need a set of tools to measure the behaviour in a simple and consistent way. ETSY is behaving very well this last 12 months and is a great example of trading the 5th wave move of an elliottwave sequence.
USDCHFAdmittedly, this pair is basically not too nice to count. I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. What must of course always be taken into account with the corrective count is that the market can always still attach another corrective pattern. So the movement can be counted finished, but if it's really finished, only the future will show. It is possible that the 5 circled in green forms a Zig Zag and is therefore not yet finished. The target for this scenario would be 0,8721.
Bitcoin is yet to reach a top, here’s whyHello Traders! Welcome to today’s analysis on bitcoin, I hope you’re doing good
From our last analysis on bitcoin, we tried to forecast a downtrend which didn’t quite play out because our wave c fib ratio exceeded 1.236 ideal extension for a wave c, which gave us more insight that what we called a wave c earlier is an extended wave 3, that was why I updated the idea with a note “trade closed manually” few hours later
So, where are we now?
Wave 3 gave an extension beyond 2.618 fib extension level which is the usual for btc, and that leads to a truncated 5th most times.
We saw a massive rejection very close to 20k region down to lower 18k, in wave 4, and the current structure may lead to a truncated 5th. Usually with truncated 5th, we have a long-term consolidation in wave 4 forming ABC corrective structure. Having a closer look at smaller timeframe, wave 4 seems to be forming a flat correction.
What is a flat correction?
Flat correction is one of the simplest corrective structures with 3 wave structure labelled ABC. The difference between a flat and zig zag correction is the amount of sub waves. While flat correction gives a smaller 11 sub-waves, zig zag gives 13 smaller sub-waves. The usual convention for a flat correction is 3-3-5 ABC waves
In this case, we had 3 waves complex correction in a, and waiting for the 3rd sub-waves in b to be completed before the final push downward in form of a wave c. The ending point of the last sub-wave in b will determine what kind of flat we get, if we close around the last high close to 20k, we’d call it a regular flat. If we close above 20k, then we’d call it an extended flat.
We can expect some rejection around 20k or slightly higher to complete wave c of the flat correction. If otherwise, I’ll post an update on that.
Conclusion: usually truncated 5th comes with a lot of scalping opportunities because of quick swings back and forth, just don’t get caught in the middle. We won’t be holding our positions for long we’ll be scalping the waves along.
If you’re don’t like scalping and you got an entry in mid 18k you can leave it open till we break above 20k. I’m forecasting mid 20k as the ending point for the truncated 5th, let’s see how things play out.
This is a very detailed analysis which could play out throughout the week or maybe more, I hope you get the idea.
I’ll stop here for now and update you more as the structure unfolds.
Trade setup: we entered a long trade below 18k, and we’ll exit the trade around 20k region before the next swing down.
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Have a great week traders!
Thank you
Nueel_classic
Bitcoin latest updateHello traders, welcome to today’s analysis. I hope you are all doing great.
From our previous analysis, we took a swing trade from higher 17k region to around mid 19k, sorry I missed an update earlier this week.
We reached the top on btc around 19.5k with a lower sub-wave truncation and got some massive rejection.
Wave truncations generally indicates that the market is over stretched and reach a top, but in this case we can call this a local top for btc if and only if we get some healthy corrections to the downside to keep the bull run in motion and eventually shatter the ATH another possibility is a change in trend which there’s no confirmation for that yet except for the fact that we got a double top with ATH in our last rally.
The correction can come in any form and I don’t want to be all speculative about it, but usually with btc, WXY correction is a common one.
The first level of correction we got is about 0.618(or 68%) retracement of wave 5(higher degree) impulsive move which is around 16k region, I labelled that wave w.
The second level of correction we would like to see which could turn out to be a major correction for the impulsive move we’ve been tracking from higher 9k to 18k region could lead us to around 14 or 13k region, which is a good spot for re-accumulation for a market continuation pattern. If it fails, then that could hint a change in trend.
We’ll be taking the corrective phase one at a time and try to be less speculative as possible.
Trade Setup: We expect some retracement to 18k region (.5 or .618 fib level) which I’ll call wave x to correct for the recent dip we had before a continuation to the downside. You can wait for this retracement if you don’t want to scalp to 18k
If you enjoyed this analysis, don’t forget to hit the like button, share, subscribe and stay tuned to this channel for more free updates.
Don’t forget to share your questions, ideas and chart with the community in the comment section below.
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Thanks for your continued support as always.
I’ll see you all shortly
Thank you
Namaste! Traders
Nueel_classic