Elliottwaveideas
Bitcoin latest updateHello traders, welcome to today’s analysis. I hope you are all doing great.
From our previous analysis, we took a swing trade from higher 17k region to around mid 19k, sorry I missed an update earlier this week.
We reached the top on btc around 19.5k with a lower sub-wave truncation and got some massive rejection.
Wave truncations generally indicates that the market is over stretched and reach a top, but in this case we can call this a local top for btc if and only if we get some healthy corrections to the downside to keep the bull run in motion and eventually shatter the ATH another possibility is a change in trend which there’s no confirmation for that yet except for the fact that we got a double top with ATH in our last rally.
The correction can come in any form and I don’t want to be all speculative about it, but usually with btc, WXY correction is a common one.
The first level of correction we got is about 0.618(or 68%) retracement of wave 5(higher degree) impulsive move which is around 16k region, I labelled that wave w.
The second level of correction we would like to see which could turn out to be a major correction for the impulsive move we’ve been tracking from higher 9k to 18k region could lead us to around 14 or 13k region, which is a good spot for re-accumulation for a market continuation pattern. If it fails, then that could hint a change in trend.
We’ll be taking the corrective phase one at a time and try to be less speculative as possible.
Trade Setup: We expect some retracement to 18k region (.5 or .618 fib level) which I’ll call wave x to correct for the recent dip we had before a continuation to the downside. You can wait for this retracement if you don’t want to scalp to 18k
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Namaste! Traders
Nueel_classic
Bitcoin Short Update. Where can we call the TOP?Hello traders, welcome to today’s analysis. I hope you are all doing great
From our wave count, we know bitcoin is in wave 5 which is the final leg of the bull run, but predicting the top remains uncertain at the moment.
Currently, we just finished a triangle formation which I adjusted the label as smaller degree wave x2 or a sub wave 4. Since we agreed that the price is in the 5th and final wave, we need to take a closer look at the sub-waves to get more insight on predicting the top. The sub wave shows an extended 3rd wave, and the triangle formation hints at a further push to the upside and indicates that the top is close.
If we are right with our wave count, the last leg of the rally should push the price towards 19k or maybe close to 20k, a decline below the triangle (lower 17k region) would invalidate this possibility.
Conclusion: while the exact top of bitcoin cannot be accurately determined yet, the triangle formation hints we are not there yet but we’re very close. Bearing this in mind, be very careful with your long positions and use low leverage and smaller portion of your portfolio to manage your risk, I’m saying this because the top can give a very strong rejection in form of a dip because of the overstretched nature of the market and market makers trying to liquidate leveraged longs, it’s been a while we had a big correction which is inevitable by the way.
Trade Setup: we’ll be taking a long position from higher 17k and riding the wave up to lower 19k(our ideal target) or maybe close to 20k region adjusting our stop as the market gains momentum to protect our gains.
Ride the wave, see you at the TOP.
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PLEASE TRADE WITH CAUTION AND TRADE RESPONSIBLY
I’ll see you all shortly
Thank you
Namaste! Traders
Nueel_classic
Bitcoin Latest Analysis. Hello traders, welcome to today’s analysis on bitcoin, I hope you had a nice week.
Today’s analysis will be brief as usual - From our last update,
the market respected our forecast and we completed wave y which ended up about 100% of wave x, you can have a look at the previous analysis here.
From the current chart, we can see the market is moving fast and got another retracement of about 50% of wave y which I labelled wave x2. I drew the trend line to lay emphasis on our reference point. Usually I like to start my wave counts with letters, but what matters more than the letter is placing trades in the direction of the larger trend, and I try to make the analysis as logical as possible and avoid an opinion based on incomplete evidence( or too much speculations).
Now that the market has respected the levels we wanted to see, what should we expect?
We expect the market to make a push to the upside, and we can measure the potential target for this move by taking Fibonacci extension from the starting point of wave y to the ending point of wave y, and projecting from the ending point of wave x2.
To be more accurate about our target price, we make use of fib confluence levels. If you happen to have issues applying the fib tool you can reach out to me via dm, and besides, we’ll cover all that extensively during the free tradnalysis class later this month or early next month. Be sure I’ll let you know when the time is right.
To get more confirmations about this move, we also apply some indicators which tells us we are ready to move. Remember, wave count can be wrong, but what makes it formidable is when you combine it with some indicators and price action. That way you’re forming an extremely impressive formation that’ll eventually lead to profitability.
Setup: Our weekly setup will be taking a long position from higher 15k or 16k region, and we expect a move to around lower 17k to complete a wave 5 before we can expect some deeper corrections. Let’s ride the wave together and stay profitable friends.
Hitting the like button and follow button helps me reach out to more audience, and it encourages me to create more value for the community. Don’t forget to share your ideas and chart with the community in the comment section below, let’s master the market together.
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Thanks for your continued support as this is second to staying profitable.
I’ll see you all shortly
Thank you
Namaste! Traders
Nueel_classic