From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory:
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules:
1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves.
3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns).
4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C).
Wave Counts and Analysis:
On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding
We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows:
- Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed.
- Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase.
- Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move.
Characteristics of Wave 3:
Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are:
- The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension).
- A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves.
- An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Moving Averages Confirmation:
Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count.
Critical Level to Watch: 988
Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111.
Invalidation Level:
The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy.
Summary:
In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliottwaveideas
Spotting the Trend: The Birth of Wave 3Technical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on exampled chart of SBI Cards (Daily Time Frame)
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or trading advice. Market movements are inherently uncertain, and the analysis is based on one possible interpretation of the Elliott Wave structure. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles:
Elliott Wave Theory is an analytical framework that helps traders and investors understand market psychology through price movement patterns. The theory suggests that market prices unfold in waves, which are driven by collective investor behavior. The patterns consist of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. Understanding these wave patterns allows us to anticipate future price movements with greater accuracy.
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
1. Five-Wave Impulse Pattern: The primary trend unfolds in five waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective.
2. Three-Wave Corrective Pattern: After a five-wave sequence, a correction typically follows, consisting of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the primary trend.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios play a crucial role in Elliott Wave analysis, often governing the length of the waves.
4. Wave Characteristics: Each wave has its own set of characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is usually the most powerful, showing the strongest price movement, while Wave 5 may signal the final push before a significant correction.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis on SBI Cards
Wave Structure Overview:
- The analysis focuses on the daily time frame of SBI Cards, where we can identify a completed corrective pattern and the beginning of a new impulsive wave structure.
Wave Count Details:
1. Primary Count:
- The chart indicates the possible completion of Wave ((2)) in black, marked by a complex corrective structure, ending near the 493.30 level.
- The price has likely begun unfolding Wave ((i)) of Wave 1 in red of the larger Wave ((3)) in black.
2. Current Daily Structure:
- Wave ((2)) seems to have completed with a three-wave corrective move, labeled as A-B-C. The final wave C (marked in red) appears to have ended at 493.30, representing the termination point of Wave ((2)).
- Following this, the initial sub-waves of Wave 1 (red) have begun forming, with Wave ((i)) currently unfolding.
- The nearest Invalidation Level for this wave count is 647.95. A break below this level would invalidate the current count, requiring a re-evaluation.
Wave ((3)) Characteristics and Projections:
- Wave ((3)) Characteristics: As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave ((3)) is often the most dynamic and extended wave, reflecting strong momentum in the direction of the main trend. It’s typically the longest and most powerful of the impulsive waves, often reaching or surpassing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave ((1)).
- Target Levels: For Wave ((3)) in black, potential targets could be calculated using Fibonacci extensions from Wave ((1)) & ((2)), projecting prices towards 161.80%, hear possibility for short to medium term could be 960.00 and beyond if Invalidation level is not Triggered, depending on the strength of the momentum.
- Invalidation Level: If the price drops below 647.95, it would invalidate the current wave count, indicating that Wave ((2)) may still be in progress or that an alternative structure is developing.
Conclusion:
The analysis suggests that SBI Cards may have completed a major corrective wave and is now in the early stages of a new impulsive sequence. The focus should be on the development of Wave ((3)) in black, which has the potential to drive prices significantly higher if the wave count holds true. As always, this educational analysis is not intended as trading advice, and one should consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Decoding the Final Wave: An Elliott Wave PerspectiveTechnical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on example of Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (Hourly Time Frame)
The analysis presented is purely for educational purposes, demonstrating the application of Elliott Wave Theory. It is not intended as trading or investment advice. Markets are unpredictable, and all analyses have a degree of uncertainty.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles:
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders and analysts to decipher the underlying structure of market price movements. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, this theory is based on the idea that market prices unfold in specific patterns known as "waves." These waves are driven by collective investor psychology, moving in predictable cycles of optimism and pessimism. The theory is broken down into two main phases: the impulsive phase, which moves in the direction of the main trend, and the corrective phase, which moves against it.
Key principles to remember:
1. Wave Structure: An impulsive wave (motive wave) consists of five waves (1-2-3-4-5) in the direction of the trend. A corrective wave is composed of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the trend.
2. Wave Personality: Each wave within the Elliott Wave structure has distinct characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is often the strongest and longest, while Wave 5 tends to be a final push before a trend reversal.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios are frequently observed in wave relationships, providing potential price targets and retracement levels.
4. Validation and Invalidation Levels: These levels help in determining the accuracy of wave counts and projections. If price breaches the invalidation level, the wave count is reassessed.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis on Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Upon analyzing the hourly chart of Larsen & Toubro Ltd., we can observe the following wave counts and structures:
Wave Structure Overview:
- The chart shows a complex corrective structure following a significant impulsive move. The price action seems to be in the final stages of a larger wave pattern.
Wave Count Details:
1. Primary Count:
- We are potentially in the 5th Wave (red) of the final (5)th Wave (blue) on the daily time frame.
- The 5th wave, according to Elliott Wave Theory, often exhibits certain characteristics such as declining momentum, signaling the end of the trend.
2. Current Hourly Structure:
- Wave (4) in Blue has been completed at the price level near 3175.05, marking it as the last corrective wave before the final impulsive wave.
- The chart illustrates a five-wave sequence emerging from this level, indicative of the development of the 5th wave.
- Within this structure, we can identify sub-waves:
- Wave 1 peaked around 3720.
- Wave 2 retraced back near 3460.
- Wave 3 is anticipated to push towards higher levels, with Wave 4 and 5 completing the sequence.
Wave 5 Characteristics and Projections:
- Wave 5 Characteristics: [/i ] Typically, Wave 5 in a motive wave structure can be either strong and extended or show signs of divergence, where momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD might not confirm new highs.
- Projection Target Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions, potential targets for Wave 5 lie around 4141.30, 4352.60, and even possibly towards 4400.00.
- Invalidation Level: If the price breaks below 3175.05, the wave count would be invalidated, necessitating a reassessment of the entire structure.
Conclusion:
The analysis indicates that Larsen & Toubro Ltd. is in the final stages of a larger wave pattern, specifically the 5th wave of an impulsive sequence. As this wave unfolds, it’s crucial to monitor the target and invalidation levels closely. This educational analysis serves to illustrate the application of Elliott Wave Theory, with no intention of providing trading advice. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Mastering Elliott Waves: Key Rules You Can't IgnoreEducational Idea : Understanding Key Principles of Elliott Wave Theory
Introduction
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements. Understanding its core principles can help you make more informed trading decisions. In this article, we will delve into three fundamental principles of Elliott Wave Theory that cannot be violated. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not intended as trading advice or tips.
1. Wave 2 Can Never Retrace More Than 100% of Wave 1
The first principle of Elliott Wave Theory is that Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. In other words, Wave 2 cannot go below the starting point of Wave 1. If it does, it invalidates the wave count and suggests that the initial impulse wave (Wave 1) was incorrectly identified. This rule ensures that Wave 2 is a correction wave within the larger trend and not a reversal of the trend itself.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 starts at 100 and peaks at 150, Wave 2 can retrace to any level above 100, but not below it.
2. Wave 3 Can Never Be the Shortest Among All Three Impulse Waves (1-3-5)
The second principle states that Wave 3 can never be the shortest among the three impulse waves (Waves 1, 3, and 5). Typically, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful wave, characterized by strong momentum and volume. If you find that Wave 3 is shorter than either Wave 1 or Wave 5, the wave count is incorrect, and you need to re-evaluate your analysis.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 is 50 points and Wave 3 is only 30 points, while Wave 5 is 40 points, this violates the rule as Wave 3 is the shortest.
3. Wave 4 Cannot Enter the Territory of Wave 1 (Except in Diagonals & Triangles)
The third principle asserts that Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This means that the lowest point of Wave 4 should not overlap the highest point of Wave 1. An exception to this rule occurs in diagonal and triangle patterns, where some overlap is permissible. This rule helps maintain the integrity of the impulse wave structure.
Example Illustration:
- If Wave 1 peaks at $150 and Wave 4 retraces to $145, this overlaps and invalidates the wave count unless the pattern is a diagonal or triangle.
Conclusion
By following these principles, you can ensure that your Elliott Wave analysis remains robust and accurate, helping you navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater confidence. Understanding and applying these key principles of Elliott Wave Theory can significantly enhance your market analysis and trading strategies. Keep these rules in mind as you study and apply Elliott Wave Theory in your trading journey. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not any kind of trading advisory or tips.
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Happy trading!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Charting the Future: An Elliott Wave ApproachTechnical Analysis of Rajesh Exports Using Elliott Wave Theory
Monthly Time Frame Analysis
Elliott Wave Count and Structure:
- The monthly chart of Rajesh Exports shows a clear Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting the completion of a corrective wave (C) of a larger degree wave ((2)) in Black, implying that a new bullish impulse is likely to begin wave ((3)) in Black.
- The recent price action indicates the end of Wave (C), part of a larger correction that followed a significant impulse wave (5) earlier of wave ((1)) in Black.
- This suggests that the stock is about to start a new bullish cycle, labeled as Wave (1) in Blue of a new impulse higher Primary degree wave ((3)) in Black.
Bullish Divergence:
MACD: The price shows hidden bullish divergence with the MACD, as the MACD line forms higher lows while the price makes lower lows on Monthly time frame.
RSI: Similar hidden bullish divergence is observed with the RSI too on monthly time frame, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Daily Time Frame Analysis
Bullish Divergence:
MACD: The price shows bullish divergence with the MACD, with the MACD line forming higher lows while the price forms lower lows.
RSI: The RSI also shows bullish divergence, adding further weight to the bullish scenario.
Trigger Point:
Trendline Breakout:
The daily chart indicates a trendline breakout accompanied by a significant increase in volume. This breakout suggests a strong bullish sentiment and confirms the start of a new upward trend.
Invalidation Level:
The invalidation level for this bullish scenario is set at 261. If the price falls below this level, the bullish wave count would be invalidated.
Targets:
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the third wave (3) is typically the most powerful. Using the Fibonacci extension, the 161.8% target of Wave (1) places the possible price target near or above 1800.
Summary
Elliott Wave Count: Indicates a potential start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Bullish Divergence: Both MACD and RSI on the daily and monthly charts show bullish divergence.
Trendline Breakout: Confirmed with high volume, suggesting strong upward momentum.
Invalidation Level: 261
Target: 161.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave (1) projects a target near or above 1800.
The overall analysis suggests that Rajesh Exports is poised for a significant upward movement, with strong bullish indications from both the Elliott Wave counts and technical indicators.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Charting with Elliott WavesUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
Wave Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts.
Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends.
Let's understand study of this chart
Current Wave Structure
Primary Wave Count:
- The chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulse sequence (1-2-3-4-5) followed by a corrective phase.
- The primary impulse wave (labeled in red) has completed its cycle, marked by a significant peak at Wave 5.
- The subsequent corrective wave (labeled in blue as (4)) has also completed, indicating a potential beginning of a new impulse sequence.
Subwave Count:
- The internal structure of the primary waves shows clear subwaves, especially within the third wave, which is typically the strongest and longest.
- The chart depicts detailed labeling of smaller degree waves (i-ii-iii-iv-v), ensuring adherence to Elliott Wave principles.
Recent Breakout Analysis
Breakout Confirmation:
- Recently, the price has broken out from a consolidation zone, supported by increased trading volumes. This is a positive sign indicating strong market interest and momentum.
- The breakout occurred after the price retested the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support. This successful retest enhances the credibility of the breakout.
Future Projections
Impulsive Bias:
- Based on the wave structure, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulse wave. This suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement.
- The immediate target for this impulse wave is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at INR 2,976.60, aligning with typical Elliott Wave projections for Wave 3.
Invalidation Level:
- The nearest invalidation level for this bullish scenario is marked at INR 1,651.40. A break below this level would suggest a re-evaluation of the wave count and the current bullish bias.
Conclusion
The technical analysis of Dalmia Bharat Ltd. indicates a favorable outlook for continued upward movement, supported by a clear Elliott Wave structure and recent breakout confirmation with good volume. However, traders should monitor the invalidation level closely.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
XAUUSD 4-HOURS TIMEFRAME (July 11, 2024)I know this seems impossible. I have tried so many scenarios, dissected patterns to several degree combined with other methods until I finally chose this scenario for XAUUSD.
Kindly remember, Elliott Wave is highly subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
REA.ASX: 09 JULY, 2024AUSTRALIAN STOCK: REA.ASX - 09 JULY, 2024
© Master of Elliott Wave Analysis: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation).
Forecast: Bullish
Wave (iii)-orange appears to be unfolding to push higher, while price must stay above 189.80 to sustain this outlook.
Invalidation point: 189.80
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area at 1.08501.Dear colleagues, it seems that the price is not stopping after all and continues the downward movement. At the moment, I expect that wave "2" of the higher order will end and a strong upward movement in wave "3" will begin.
The nearest target is the resistance area at 1.08501.
The support area is 1.06356.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GTPL HATHWAY LTD. Technical Outlook with Elliott wavesThe chart provided utilizes Elliott Wave Theory to analyze the price movements of GTPL HATHWAY LTD . Below is a breakdown of the wave counts and their significance:
Primary Wave Count Labelled in Black
Wave ((1)) in Black (Primary Degree):
- This initial wave is marked from the low in March-2020 to the high Oct-2021.
- It represents the first major upward movement after a prolonged downtrend, indicating a new bullish cycle.
Wave ((2)) in Black (Primary Degree):
- This corrective wave follows Wave ((1)), retracing a portion of the gains made in Wave ((1)).
- It is marked from the high Oct-2021 to the low March-2022.
- Wave ((2)) is typically characterized by a three-wave structure (ABC correction), although it appears to have a complex structure in this case.
Wave ((3)) in Black (Primary Degree):
- The current wave, which is expected to be the most powerful and extended wave.
- It is divided into five smaller waves (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) within it, in Blue (Intermediate Degree).
Intermediate and Minor Degree Waves
Wave (1) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree):
- This wave is a smaller degree wave within the primary Wave ((3)).
- It starts from the low of Wave ((2)) and moves up, completing its cycle around the first quarter of 2023.
Wave (2) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree):
- A corrective wave within the primary Wave ((3)), following the high of Wave (1).
- It retraces some of the gains made in Wave (1).
Wave (3) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree):
- This wave is in progress and is expected to unfold into five smaller waves (i, ii, iii, iv, v).
Subdivisions as Minor Degree in Red within Intermediate Waves
Wave 1 of (3) (Minor Degree):
- The first sub-wave of the intermediate Wave (3), indicating a small upward movement.
Wave 2 of (3) (Minor Degree):
- A corrective sub-wave following Wave 1, resulting in a minor pullback.
Wave 3 of (3) (Minor Degree):
- Expected to be the most extended and powerful sub-wave within the intermediate Wave (3).
- This wave is likely to push the price significantly higher, followed by wave 4 & wave 5 to finish Wave (3).
Bullish Scenario and Price Targets
Target for Wave 3 (Primary Degree):
- The projected target for Wave 3 is around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is 353.
Key Levels
- Invalidation Level: 155
- This level serves as a crucial point. If the price drops below 155, it invalidates the current wave count and the bullish scenario for now.
MACD Trend Indicator:
- Already running positive in both Monthly and Daily timeframes.
- Turned upside in Weekly timeframe and is on the verge of a positive crossover.
Trendline Breakout:
A trendline breakout has been observed on the Weekly timeframe.
Moving Averages:
The price has closed above the 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA in both Weekly and Monthly timeframes.
Bullish Divergences:
Bullish divergences are aligned on both Weekly and Daily timeframes.
Support and Resistance:
The price is taking support at the 20SMA mid Bollinger Band in the Monthly timeframe.
The stock is attempting to close above the Weekly 20 SMA, which has not been achieved yet.
Conclusion
The detailed wave count analysis suggests that "GTPL HATHWAY LTD" is currently in the early stages of a primary Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in Elliott Wave Theory. The intermediate and minor degree waves within this primary wave indicate a structured and progressive upward movement, supported by various technical indicators. The primary target is set at 353, with an invalidation level at 155. If the price breaks below the invalidation level of 155, it indicates that we are still in Wave (2) of the Blue Intermediate Degree. Consequently, we would need to wait for the start of Wave 1 of (3). In this scenario, the new invalidation level would be 93.75.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Galaxy Surfactants: Bullish Wave 5 in MotionTechnical Analysis of Galaxy Surfactants
Elliott Wave Analysis:
Galaxy Surfactants is exhibiting a classic Elliott Wave structure on the weekly time frame. The stock has successfully completed waves (1), (2), (3), and (4), and now appears to be unfolding wave (5). Within wave (5), we have finished waves 1 and 2 and are potentially starting wave 3 on the daily time frame.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: The low of wave (4) at 2221 serves as the invalidation point for this bullish wave count. If the stock price falls below this level, the current Elliott Wave structure would be invalidated.
Target Levels: Based on the wave structure, the potential targets for wave (5) are in the range of 3500 to 4000.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is positively aligned on both daily and weekly time frames, indicating bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is also showing strength, being positively aligned in both daily and weekly time frames. This supports the view that the stock is in a bullish phase.
Wave (5) Characteristics:
Wave (5) in Elliott Wave theory often represents the final leg of the primary trend. It is usually characterized by strong momentum and can sometimes extend to unexpected levels, especially if wave (3) was not the longest wave. The unfolding of wave (5) suggests that Galaxy Surfactants has significant upside potential.
Conclusion:
Galaxy Surfactants is showing a strong bullish setup according to Elliott Wave theory. With the stock potentially starting wave 3 of wave (5) and supported by positive MACD and RSI indicators on both daily and weekly time frames, the outlook is highly positive. The invalidation level is pegged at 2221, with targets towards 3500 - 4000 levels. Investors should monitor these levels closely to confirm the wave structure and potential continuation of the bullish trend.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliott Wave Modern Analysis: Major Bullish Trends Unveiled!Hello traders! 📈✨ Today, we're diving into a comprehensive Elliott Wave Modern analysis on the DOGEUSD weekly chart (W1). With our two-window setup, we are comparing the current market behavior with a historical bullish trend from December 14, 2020, to May 3, 2021. Let's break it down:
Right Window Analysis:
Period: December 14, 2020 - May 3, 2021
Market Behavior: During this period, DOGEUSD exhibited a massive bullish trend forming an ABC flat pattern.
Key Levels:
Wave A: $0.4530, representing a 500% increase from a lower degree abc Zigzag (marked in grey).
Left Window Analysis:
Current Status: The market is currently forming the early stages of a three-wave pattern (a:3 & b:3).
Future Projection:
- If history repeats, we might see wave c:5 with a potential 500% increase, targeting $0.7992 from the height of a:3.
- Current Price: $0.1650
- Target: Watch for the first major peak around $0.7992!
🚨 Get ready for a potential bullish surge in DOGEUSD! 🚨 With these insights, we could be on the brink of another significant move. Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💸
🔗 Follow for more updates and detailed analyses! 📊📌
#ElliottWaveModern #CryptoAnalysis #DOGEUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrends #CryptoTrading #TradingView 🚀📈🌊
Unfolding Waves in Chambal Fertilisers: Bullish Path AheadAn analysis of Chambal Fertilizers using Elliott Waves, we can observe an interesting progression in the stock's price movements on a weekly cycle. The chart has completed the initial waves I through IV, and it is currently unfolding wave V, signaling a strong potential for a bullish trend ahead. Let's delve deeper into the details of this wave analysis.
Weekly Cycle
Wave V: We are observing the unfolding of wave V on the weekly cycle. This wave is showing potential for further upside as the stock completes its final wave in the longer timeframe.
Subdivision of Wave V: Within wave V, the stock has already completed waves (1) and (2), and it is now unfolding wave (3).
Wave (3) of Wave V
Progression within Wave (3): In the ongoing wave (3) of V, we've seen waves 1 through 4 completed, and the current focus is on wave 5 of (3).
Hourly Timeframe
Progression within Wave 5 of (3) of V: In this specific timeframe, wave 5 has already seen the completion of sub-waves ((i)), ((ii)), ((iii)), and nearly all of wave ((iv)). This suggests we are likely at the end of wave ((iv)), poised for wave ((v)).
Elliott Waves Fundamentals
Wave Counts: The stock's progression through each wave provides valuable insights into potential market behavior. The typical characteristics of an impulsive wave, as seen in the unfolding of wave V, include strong, directional movements, which are followed by corrective waves.
It’s essential to apply appropriate risk management techniques, such as setting stop losses, to mitigate potential downsides. Be cautious in managing your exposure and avoid over-leveraging.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions. Remember, market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
This analysis aims to provide an overview of the potential trajectory of Chambal Fertilisers based on Elliott Waves. It's always important to stay vigilant and adjust your approach as new information becomes available. Happy trading!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
PLTR - Earnings pop incoming?I've put a lot of thought into this one. This chart is in log mode as the wide range of prices covered are smoothed and reveal the potential true picture. I give a primary bullish scenario but caveat with multiple different potential outcomes given certain price actions. Trade at your own risk.
As you can see, PLTR put in a significant top near the 61.8% retracement of the major move down from January 2021 to January 2023. In linear mode, it's also a 61.8% retracement (not shown on chart) of the September 2021 top from the January 2023 bottom, further confirming how much of a massive resistance level it is.
Elliot Wave indicates that this was a 3rd wave in a 5-wave upward impulse. For that to be true, PLTR will need to hold the $12 area if it is going to continue down leading into earnings. Should it hold there, the potential for an earnings pop is at our fingertips. If you look at the 2nd wave of the current 5-wave move up, the same thing happened with earnings there leading to a massive move upward into our very explosive 3rd wave.
This leads to our buying opportunity. Should we see PLTR dip below $15 today through Wednesday, October 27th, it would be in the accumulation zone. Set your stop at $12.00 with a GTC-EXT order. This should limit your losses should earnings kickstart a further downward move that breaks support.
Assuming the 5th wave does engage, the potential targets are outlined on the chart. I must caveat though that 5th waves are unpredictable. They can terminate before, at, or higher than the general expected levels. In Elliott Wave, usually only one of the 3 impulse waves (1,3, and 5) will see an extension. With 3rd waves usually targeting the 161.8% fib extension level, the 5th wave target is generally expected to be the 200% level. With every 3rd wave extension level, you can usually expect the 5th wave level to rise the same number of extension levels. In this case, the 3rd wave extended and surpassed the 176.4% level, one extension level above the standard, and came shy of the 200% level. So the general minimum expectation for our 5th wave target should be a minimum of the 223.6% level, which comes in at around $25. Given that the 3rd wave already extended, it should not be expected that the 5th wave will also extend. If it somehow does, the upper target is a gap fill from February on 2021 at $31.34. Profit is generally taken at the minimum level with some runners left for potential upside.
Should PLTR start rising and form an upward pattern prior to hitting my ideal 4th wave target in the mid $12's, it is possible the 4th wave is already in (or maybe it touches the mid $13's one more time). I will add that the shape and structure of a 4th wave that terminates in the $13's holds a far more likely chance of becoming a a descending triangle where the bottom holds flat and the tops terminate lower until the pattern ends. If this were a triangle, it would be most likely that the next touch of the mid $13's would be the c wave with an e wave to come in the $17 range and the e wave to again target the $13's. Due to the nature of the current structure, I only favor a significant earnings pop should PLTR fall to $13 or lower.
Should you see PLTR dip below $12, then the expectation shifts to a major top being in and downward pressure taking this to $10 and potentially lower. Therefore, below $12 range and I recommend getting out and waiting for further clarity. If you hold at a basis higher than the previous top and don't want to sell, consider selling calls to lower your basis or selling $10 puts.
The alternate count not shown on this chart would have the May 2021 low as an A wave, the September 2021 top as a B wave, and the January 2023 bottom as the C wave in a larger degree (A)(B)(C) long term corrective pattern. The recent top at the 61.8% level would be the 3-wave (B) wave of this larger degree, with the bottom (C) wave coming in at new lows over the next 1-2 years. This is why the stop is so important.
Readers should always remember that markets are their own creature made up of millions of individuals and institutions each following some combo of inherent bullishness, inherent bearishness, fundamentals, technicals, stupidity, and pure emotion. Elliott Wave, and specifically Fibonacci Pinball (developed by Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader.net and prominent Seeking Alpha author), merely provide a framework based on the observed price action to date. I know that while my wave outline is based on years and years of data and application from not only me, but some of the best in the game, I also know that markets do not follow a set path and that sentiment can remain irrational far longer than I can remain rational. That is why you MUST consider the altneratives and manage risk appropriately. Know the pivot zones that could lead to the primary path failing. In this case, it's the low $12.00 range.
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. My analysis outlines a potential scenario and provides risk assessments for multiple alternate scenarios.
-mazag08 - TastyWavez 2023
Riding the Waves with Affirm Holdings An Elliot Wave PerspectiveGreetings, fellow learners of the financial markets! Welcome to RK_Charts, and today, let's delve into an educational exploration of Affirm Holdings.
Technical Insight:
Affirm Holdings is currently trading near $36.70, showcasing an intriguing Elliott Wave pattern. Having successfully navigated through waves (1), (2), and (3), the stock now finds itself in the midst of the corrective phase, wave (4). Within this phase, wave C is on the verge of completion, having completed waves A and B.
Detailed Wave (4) Analysis:
Zooming in on wave C, the intricate journey unfolds with meticulous completion of waves ((i)), ((ii)), ((iii)), and ((iv)). As we stand on the precipice of the final leg which can show little new Low also possibly with Bullish Divergence, wave ((v)) beckons, potentially signaling an upcoming bullish move, So new Low can be an opportunity at lower levels.
Educational Purpose Only:
This analysis is presented solely for educational purposes. It is crucial to understand that market dynamics are multifaceted, and investing involves inherent risks. Always conduct thorough research, factor in personal risk tolerance, and consider seeking advice from financial professionals.
Invalidation Level:
In this educational context, an invalidation level is established at $30.65. This level serves as a precautionary measure, signaling a point at which the current analysis may no longer align with market movements. It's a reminder of the importance of risk management in any trading or investment decision.
Potential Target:
For those intrigued by market dynamics, consider the educational exercise of contemplating a long position in Affirm Holdings. The anticipated target of $52.50 aligns with the top of wave (3), illustrating a potential upward trajectory.
Conclusion:
In the realm of financial education, Affirm Holdings provides a captivating case study. Approach this analysis with a curiosity for learning, acknowledging the fluid nature of markets, and embracing the importance of risk-aware decision-making.
Happy learning
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Diagonals in ElliottwaveSome old and new rules when it comes to diagonals.
Further notice can be added that diagonals actionary waves can be composed either by zig zags or impulses
so Waves
1/3/5 can be Impulse
or
1/3/5 zig zags
We cant have hybrids where we mix zig zags and impulses.
Actionary waves in ending diagonals can only be formed by zig zags and never Impulses.
Every reactionary wave (or corrective wave) in a diagonal must be a zig zag (or a zig zag family, meaning double or tripple sharp zig zag)
GITLAB: Elliott Waves and Reversals potentialGreetings, fellow investors! In this technical analysis, we explore the Elliott Wave patterns shaping the landscape of GitLab (NASDAQ: GITLAB). As of the current evaluation, the stock is positioned at a critical juncture, poised for the completion of wave 4, with a nuanced focus on the unfolding wave ((c)).
Wave 4 Overview:
Having traversed through waves 1, 2, and 3, GitLab now stands on the verge of concluding wave 4. This corrective phase sees the completion of both wave ((a)) and ((b)), entering the final leg of wave ((c)). Within this intricate phase, wave (i), (ii), (iii), and (iv) have successfully played out, setting the stage for the imminent completion of wave (v) within ((c)).
Key Support Levels:
Equality Extension: After achieving the equality of wave ((a)), GitLab has approached the extremes, reaching 1.618% of wave ((a)) in wave ((c)).
EMA Confluence: Notably, the 55-56 zones present a significant confluence, housing both the EMA 50 on the weekly timeframe, along with the EMA 200 & 100 on the daily timeframe.
Internal Wave Counts: Further reinforcing this critical level, internal wave counts align, adding weight to the potential reversal zone.
Anticipated Reversal and Targets:
With the confluence of technical factors at the 55-56 zones, there's a compelling case for a bullish reversal. A reversal from this level could offer a promising swing buy trade, signaling a northward trajectory to complete wave 5. This anticipated wave 5 has the potential to surpass the high of wave 3, pegged at 78+ levels.
Invalidation and Risk Management:
To safeguard against potential downside risks, a close below 55 is established as the invalidation level. This serves as a prudent measure to reevaluate the analysis in case of unexpected market movements.
Wave 5 Insights:
Wave 5, known for its impulse and directional strength, often exhibits a final burst of buying or selling pressure. Traders should be vigilant for signs of divergence, volume spikes, or other confirmatory signals as wave 5 unfolds, enhancing decision-making precision.
Remember, the market is dynamic, and risk management is paramount. This analysis is not financial advice but aims to provide an educational perspective on GitLab's potential future movements.
Happy Learnings!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Wave-by-Wave Adventure, US Dollar UnpluggedDecoding the US Dollar Index: Navigating Wave (V) with Thrills
Since the economic tumult of 2008, the US Dollar Index DXY (USDX) has been on a captivating journey, tracing significant waves on its chart. As of now, it stands on the precipice of unfolding the final leg of this larger movement, marked as the thrilling wave (V) on the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart Adventure:
Wave (I), (II), (III), and (IV): Conquered.
Wave (V): The adventure is just beginning.
Daily Chart Expedition:
Inside the thrilling wave (V), wave I, II, and III have been epic conquests.
Currently navigating the challenging wave IV, a terrain of correction.
4-Hourly Chart Odyssey:
Within the tumultuous wave IV, ((A)), ((B)), and the unfolding ((C)).
Inside ((C)), embarking on subdivisions: ((a)), ((b)), and the imminent thrill of ((c)).
Thrilling Wave Principles:
Witness a double correction, an unexpected twist in the daily chart's narrative.
The ongoing correction within wave IV on the 4-hourly chart involves a complex W-X-Y pattern, adding an unexpected thrill.
According to the pulse-pounding Elliott Wave Theory, wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
Current Pulse:
((a)) of ((C)) is reaching its climax, with the suspenseful unfolding of ((b)) and the highly anticipated ((c)) yet to grip our attention.
Critical Invalidation Level: 107.335 (A point of no return, a daring move beyond 100% retracement of wave (1) inside ((C))).
Please Note:
This analysis is not just a journey; it's a heart-racing adventure crafted for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. Get ready for more twists and turns as we navigate the thrilling waves ahead...!!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Navigating ABCAPITAL's Elliott Wave JourneyWeekly Time Frame:
Elliott Wave Analysis: ABCAPITAL has completed wave (4) in Blue on the weekly time frame and is possibly unfolding wave (5) in Blue.
Current Stage: A closer look at the daily time frame reveals the completion of wave 1 in Red, and a potential near-completion of wave 2 in Red.
Invalidation Level: Strict invalidation set at the low of wave 1 in Red, pegged at 155.
Daily Time Frame:
Next Phases: Anticipating the commencement of wave 3, followed by wave 4 and wave 5 in Red, completing wave (5) in Blue on the weekly.
What if Scenario:
Break Below 155: If the price breaks below 155, the low of wave 1 in Red, we might assume a more complex correction with the possibility of double corrections within wave (4) on the weekly.
Risk Management:
Traders are advised to incorporate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.