Elliottwaveideas
Diagonals in ElliottwaveSome old and new rules when it comes to diagonals.
Further notice can be added that diagonals actionary waves can be composed either by zig zags or impulses
so Waves
1/3/5 can be Impulse
or
1/3/5 zig zags
We cant have hybrids where we mix zig zags and impulses.
Actionary waves in ending diagonals can only be formed by zig zags and never Impulses.
Every reactionary wave (or corrective wave) in a diagonal must be a zig zag (or a zig zag family, meaning double or tripple sharp zig zag)
GITLAB: Elliott Waves and Reversals potentialGreetings, fellow investors! In this technical analysis, we explore the Elliott Wave patterns shaping the landscape of GitLab (NASDAQ: GITLAB). As of the current evaluation, the stock is positioned at a critical juncture, poised for the completion of wave 4, with a nuanced focus on the unfolding wave ((c)).
Wave 4 Overview:
Having traversed through waves 1, 2, and 3, GitLab now stands on the verge of concluding wave 4. This corrective phase sees the completion of both wave ((a)) and ((b)), entering the final leg of wave ((c)). Within this intricate phase, wave (i), (ii), (iii), and (iv) have successfully played out, setting the stage for the imminent completion of wave (v) within ((c)).
Key Support Levels:
Equality Extension: After achieving the equality of wave ((a)), GitLab has approached the extremes, reaching 1.618% of wave ((a)) in wave ((c)).
EMA Confluence: Notably, the 55-56 zones present a significant confluence, housing both the EMA 50 on the weekly timeframe, along with the EMA 200 & 100 on the daily timeframe.
Internal Wave Counts: Further reinforcing this critical level, internal wave counts align, adding weight to the potential reversal zone.
Anticipated Reversal and Targets:
With the confluence of technical factors at the 55-56 zones, there's a compelling case for a bullish reversal. A reversal from this level could offer a promising swing buy trade, signaling a northward trajectory to complete wave 5. This anticipated wave 5 has the potential to surpass the high of wave 3, pegged at 78+ levels.
Invalidation and Risk Management:
To safeguard against potential downside risks, a close below 55 is established as the invalidation level. This serves as a prudent measure to reevaluate the analysis in case of unexpected market movements.
Wave 5 Insights:
Wave 5, known for its impulse and directional strength, often exhibits a final burst of buying or selling pressure. Traders should be vigilant for signs of divergence, volume spikes, or other confirmatory signals as wave 5 unfolds, enhancing decision-making precision.
Remember, the market is dynamic, and risk management is paramount. This analysis is not financial advice but aims to provide an educational perspective on GitLab's potential future movements.
Happy Learnings!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Wave-by-Wave Adventure, US Dollar UnpluggedDecoding the US Dollar Index: Navigating Wave (V) with Thrills
Since the economic tumult of 2008, the US Dollar Index DXY (USDX) has been on a captivating journey, tracing significant waves on its chart. As of now, it stands on the precipice of unfolding the final leg of this larger movement, marked as the thrilling wave (V) on the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart Adventure:
Wave (I), (II), (III), and (IV): Conquered.
Wave (V): The adventure is just beginning.
Daily Chart Expedition:
Inside the thrilling wave (V), wave I, II, and III have been epic conquests.
Currently navigating the challenging wave IV, a terrain of correction.
4-Hourly Chart Odyssey:
Within the tumultuous wave IV, ((A)), ((B)), and the unfolding ((C)).
Inside ((C)), embarking on subdivisions: ((a)), ((b)), and the imminent thrill of ((c)).
Thrilling Wave Principles:
Witness a double correction, an unexpected twist in the daily chart's narrative.
The ongoing correction within wave IV on the 4-hourly chart involves a complex W-X-Y pattern, adding an unexpected thrill.
According to the pulse-pounding Elliott Wave Theory, wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
Current Pulse:
((a)) of ((C)) is reaching its climax, with the suspenseful unfolding of ((b)) and the highly anticipated ((c)) yet to grip our attention.
Critical Invalidation Level: 107.335 (A point of no return, a daring move beyond 100% retracement of wave (1) inside ((C))).
Please Note:
This analysis is not just a journey; it's a heart-racing adventure crafted for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. Get ready for more twists and turns as we navigate the thrilling waves ahead...!!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Navigating ABCAPITAL's Elliott Wave JourneyWeekly Time Frame:
Elliott Wave Analysis: ABCAPITAL has completed wave (4) in Blue on the weekly time frame and is possibly unfolding wave (5) in Blue.
Current Stage: A closer look at the daily time frame reveals the completion of wave 1 in Red, and a potential near-completion of wave 2 in Red.
Invalidation Level: Strict invalidation set at the low of wave 1 in Red, pegged at 155.
Daily Time Frame:
Next Phases: Anticipating the commencement of wave 3, followed by wave 4 and wave 5 in Red, completing wave (5) in Blue on the weekly.
What if Scenario:
Break Below 155: If the price breaks below 155, the low of wave 1 in Red, we might assume a more complex correction with the possibility of double corrections within wave (4) on the weekly.
Risk Management:
Traders are advised to incorporate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
XAUUSD LONG SCENARIOThe precious metal has gained more than 8% since Hamas attacked Israel. While the war will continue to drive haven flows toward Gold, further price gains also hinge on the Fed’s rate cycle nearing an end. This will result in retreating US yields, reducing the opportunity cost of Gold.(Source: FX Street)
From Technical Aspect, XAUUSD is forming Wave C of (2), expect the price break 1986.85 as Bullish Confirmation.
Kindly remember, Elliott Wave is highly subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
Cheers.
UPDATE: DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL (US30)Last time i expected 1 more high at 34000-34400 (as Ending Diagonal on C) to start downtrend, it failed.
This is my new perspective on Dow Jones (US30), i strongly believe there will be a bearish to come.
Kindly remember, Elliott Wave is highly subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
Cheers.
BTCUSD: Road to 50k?The BTCUSD price has just completed wave 2 and is on course for a fine wave 3 (broken down into 5 orange sub-waves here), supported by a bullish divergence and the break above the weekly Ichimoku cloud.
Wave i could continue its ascent before hitting resistance at 32k.
Wave ii would then retrace 50% of wave i to bounce off the 2021 double-top support.
Wave iii (= 161.8% of wave i) would end at the 40k resistance, before bouncing back to this ascending trendline in blue as a wave iv, retracing 38.2% of wave iii.
Finally, wave v is still the most complicated to anticipate, but the 123.6% retracement of wave iv seems to be in line with the assumption that wave 3 will extend wave 1 by a ratio of 1.618:1.
Fundamentally, the current tense macroeconomic environment remains a danger for the BTC price. Not to mention the dollar rate, which could continue to rise in the event of a further rate hike at the next Fed meetings, particularly those on December 13th and January 31st.
To be continued...
Don't hesitate to comment. I'm open to new ideas, especially as the fractal plan always offers many different scenarios.
Real Estate Multi-Year DownsideCould happen, it’d be pretty crazy if it did. 2022 to now is a very clear 5 waves down, 3 up. At this point it could still pivot to the upside, but an over inflated market x rising interest rates.. I’m packin bear spray
DRV - 3x Short Real Estate ETF
Stop Loss: $40.50
Current Price: $47.72
First Take Profit: ~$80
NASDAQ (US100/ NDQ100) H-4 PROJECTIONFocus on invalidation level. My perspective, there's still a chance to reach 16200 (HH) before making Major Correction, i aggresively put the invalidation level as reducing the risk.
Elliott Wave is high subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
Cheers.
XAUUSD H-4 PROJECTIONFOCUS ON INVALIDATION LEVEL.
I expect Gold make 1 more high (1992-2005) before making reaction as Wave 2, invalidation level as barrier that Wave 1 still not finish.
Check Related Link down below for early perspective.
Elliott Wave is high subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
Cheers
Part [A] Basic of Wave PrincipleElliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend)
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4: This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends. Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C). Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Figure 1.8(B) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Figure 1.9(B): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Impulsive wave structure:
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
See you in the next part.
@forextidings