Looking for a minimum of ES 5850In the days to come our initial pattern off the recent has the high probability to get into the 5850 area.
Here I will be looking for a pullback.
If this pullback can be viewed as corrective in it's structure then I expect the subdivisions and pathway on my ES4Hr chart should follow suit. However, if the pullback turns out to be impulsive, I will be looking for follow through for either Minor B having completed early, or the alternate wave (iv). If that sort of price action were to materialize, it's Friday's low of 5651.25 that must support any drop if we're to continue to subdivide higher and have this minor B take more time.
Elliottwaveprojection
EUR/JPY – Bearish Setup with Elliott Wave AnalysisThis EUR/JPY daily chart shows an Elliott Wave analysis, suggesting a possible bearish continuation. The current wave structure indicates the pair is moving through the final phase of a five-wave impulsive sequence.
The market has completed three waves of a larger impulsive cycle, with Wave (4)
The price movement between Wave (2) and Wave (4) shows a pause or slowdown after going up. This means the buyers are losing strength, and the price may soon start to fall
If the price gets rejected near 162.900 , it could confirm further downside.
If it breaks below the 159.674 level, it may speed up the decline, with a possible target around 155.526 level.
TSLA near-term Elliott wave projections(looks promising)If this is incorrect, i may have to restart learning from the beginning.
And if it does happen, it will happen in a matter of 2-3days time, at the same time get the stop loss ready.
Even if this wave analysis turns out to be completely wrong, we will still manage to find an entry on the uptrend.
Let's go!!
Gold Forming Triangle Pattern in Wave IV - Potential BreakoutXAU/USD is currently displaying a textbook triangle consolidation pattern as part of what appears to be wave IV in its Elliott Wave sequence. This corrective structure is developing after a strong upward move and shows clear converging trendlines with alternating A-B-C swings.
Technical Analysis:
Price consolidating near $3,044 level with minor bearish bias labelled wave ((D))
A-B-C internal wave structure visible inside consolidation
Potential wave ((iii)) price target at $3082.37
Triangle patterns typically represent consolidation before continuation of the primary trend. If this pattern completes as expected, we could see a final wave V impulse in the coming sessions.
Watch for a breakout from this triangle formation - volume should increase to confirm the validity of the move. Target exit or adjust stops based on the direction of the breakout.
XAUUSD - 4H Update: Potential End of Impulse Wave StructureGold continues its impulsive rally, currently completing what appears to be the final leg of wave ⑤ within an ascending channel. This aligns with the larger Elliott Wave count we've been tracking.
Key points to consider:
Wave Structure : We can observe the completion of five internal waves within wave ⑤, with price now at critical resistance levels near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension ($3,065.338).
Bearish RSI Divergence : While price has continued to climb, RSI has started to show signs of bearish divergence, signalling weakening momentum and a potential reversal.
Support Levels : Should a correction materialize, the next key areas to watch are the 0.236 ($3,025.340) and 0.382 ($2,997.608) Fibonacci retracement levels, which align with the lower trendline of the ascending channels.
Wave ⑤ may be nearing exhaustion, with both the Fibonacci extension and bearish divergence suggesting caution for longs. We could see a retracement to support zones if price reverses.
Will the spring & summer of 2025 conclude our retrace in minor BIn the interest of full disclosure we have not even confirmed our minor A has in fact bottomed...but assuming we have struck a short term bottom, we are now embarking on a minor B wave retrace that I anticipate taking us into the start of summer.
In any respect, I am viewing this as only a counter trend rally with a scary (c) of C of (A) to come into the low SPX 5,000 region eventually. There everything gets decided for the long-term.
Be careful out there.
Chris
AAPL (Apple): Has a Large Correction Begun? More Downside Ahead?On this chart, we are currently tracking the potential beginning of a larger downtrend, which could be a larger-degree Wave 4 correction. It is possible that a larger-degree third wave topped in December 2024 at $260, and for now, I am assuming this is the case. While further confirmation is needed, the price has already broken below our first signal line, which supports the idea that a larger decline has begun—unless the next rally develops into a clear impulse structure.
At the moment, the price appears to be in the late stages of Wave C of Circle Wave A to the downside. Immediate resistance sits between $220 and $224, and only a break above $224 would indicate that Circle Wave B to the upside may have already started.
One important note: Circle Wave B could technically overshoot to the upside, meaning that if Circle Wave A completed as a three-wave pullback, we could even see a new high in the next bounce before the larger downtrend continues. This is something to keep an open mind about, as it is still early to confirm a substantial top on the long-term chart.
For now, as long as resistance at $224 holds, the assumption remains that Circle Wave A needs one more low before a stronger bounce occurs.
SOL/USDT Elliott Wave AnalysisSolana is currently in a corrective phase following a significant decline from its recent highs. The chart reflects a complex Elliott Wave structure, with an ongoing ABC correction. The primary expectation is for further downside, with the final Wave C targeting the $75–$85 demand zone (highlighted in purple).
Primary Scenario (Bearish Outlook)
Wave A has completed, followed by a corrective Wave B, which saw a temporary rally.
Wave C is unfolding, with sub-waves indicating a further decline.
The structure suggests Wave v of C is yet to complete, with potential targets in the $75–$85 range.
A corrective bounce within Wave iv is expected before the final drop.
Alternative Scenario (Bullish Reversal)
If Wave C fails to break below $125, this could indicate a truncation.
A strong impulse breaking above $165–$175 could invalidate further downside and shift momentum towards a bullish recovery.
In this case, Solana could begin a new impulsive structure targeting $200+ in the coming weeks.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $125 (current low), $85–$75 (major demand zone)
Resistance: $165–$175 (invalidates bearish outlook)
Overall, the bias remains bearish unless we see strong momentum above $165. Until then, lower targets remain in focus.
crypto market pathHere is projection for upcoming targets path.
As we see tonight reaction gone further than 61%. This is not standard ratio and may indicate the power of underlying trend.
According to my waves count market is in a B wave of minor degree now. The important thing about it - is degree positions:
The end of subwave C will coincide with the beginning of the primary degree wave.
The only question how the wave will start: will it start from primary degree correction of previous bull market? Will it begin from a 1 wave of a new bull market comparable in size to the one we had since 2022 December? or we will face a tremendous bear market structure, correcting the whole 16 years crypto history?
My base scenario is the first will be -
1) A primary degree correction which could lead to usdt.d dominance to 6.4 - 8.5%! on Bitcoin, this could lead prices below 60k.
2) The first wave of new bull market will start after the primary correction.
I come to the wave count conclusion by analyzing MACD at 4d+ time frame. As you know 5 waves down is never the end. So the primary wave count may hint us continuation of the bull market, as part of the double zigzag at usdt.d. The leading indicator here may be DXY. There is a wave C, which can bring the dominance to 94 - 84%, and quite quickly.
I am looking for more confirmations of the structure, which may take time along with the pattern development.
Welcome to comments and see you soon!
SOL/USDT – Double Zigzag Completed! Is a Bullish Reversal Next?Solana (SOL) has likely completed a Double Zigzag (WXY) correction, with Wave C of Y bottoming at $130.60 (1.0 Fibonacci extension). This suggests a potential trend reversal, but SOL must first break key resistance at $146-$150 to confirm a bullish move.
🔹 Elliott Wave Analysis & Bullish Scenario
If the Double Zigzag correction is complete, SOL could begin a new impulse wave, targeting:
✅ $169-$173 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement, previous Wave B resistance)
✅ $180-$195 (0.382 Fib & major supply zone)
✅ $220+ (Wave 3 extension target)
🔻 Bearish Scenario – Extended Correction?
If SOL fails to break $150, it could indicate that the correction is not yet over, leading to:
❌ Retesting $130 support
❌ Possible extended correction towards $113-$100 (1.272 Fib extension)
📌 Key Level to Watch:
🔹 A break & close above $150 signals bullish continuation.
🔹 A rejection could mean further downside.
📊 Is SOL ready for a breakout, or will we see another leg down? Share your thoughts below! 👇🔥
The next two moves for DAX.The red Wave 2 was a flat so we know Wave 4 will be a zigzag. An upward move will begin after completing a beautiful 5 Wave move confirmed by the Fibonacci Sequence at both 4.236 and 2.618. This would be the end of Wave 5 and the larger 3 signaling another big sell. Follow @victorkmacharia on X for more insights.
Getting CloserLately the market has been confusing. It appears traders are not clear minded on the economy, the recently voted in administration's policies, and that uncertainty is definitely showing up in the price action.
Be that as it may be, this is an update on the SPX cash index I posted last week as more of the price action fills in. I'll try to update this weekly.
Best to all,
Chris
Maker: Elliott Waves Theory ($6,111 & $9,407)I think what is most beautiful about this method is its simplicity.
Let's review Maker in terms of Elliott Waves.
We have two main patterns.
The impulse and the correction.
An impulse develops mainly in five waves. (1,2,3,4,5)
The correction in three waves. (ABC)
An impulse will lead to a correction.
A correction will lead to an impulse.
To use this system, we just need to spot where the market is at in the present time.
There was a clear bullish impulse between 2023 and 2024.
This impulse was followed by a correction.
The current correction can be over or might not be over.
For example, the C wave 3-Feb. can continue lower and bottom at a later date. This can only be known after the event.
What we know for sure is that MKRUSDT is now within a correction and after this correction a new bullish impulse will develop. An impulse produces a minimum of five waves.
We can expect rising prices based on this simple method.
We have targets between $6,111 (wave 3) and $9,407 (wave 5).
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
CRVUSDT Potential for a Bullish Revers? ( EW Analysis )CRVUSDT, a popular cryptocurrency trading pair, is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal based on Elliott Wave Theory. This analysis aims to break down the current wave structure and outline possible future price movements.
Wave Structure Overview
The chart follows a complex corrective wave pattern, which consists of WXYXZ labeling. This pattern indicates an extended correction phase that may be coming to an end. Below is a breakdown of the observed waves:
1. Wave (iii): This wave marked a strong uptrend, indicating significant bullish momentum in the past.
2. Wave WXYXZ Correction: The corrective structure suggests a prolonged retracement, leading to potential price exhaustion at the recent low near $0.40.
3. Wave (iv) and Completion of Wave Z: The labeling shows that wave (iv) is completing, forming a potential higher low on the support trendline.
4. Formation of ABCDE Structure: A possible contracting triangle (ABCDE) is forming within the final leg of wave Z, signaling an imminent breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: The ascending trendline near $0.44 - $0.48 serves as a critical level for price stabilization.
- Resistance: The downward trendline resistance around $0.55 - $0.60 is the first hurdle for bullish continuation.
- Target Zone: If wave (v) initiates, potential targets lie between $1.20 - $1.50, aligning with the upper channel.
Bullish Outlook and Confirmation
To confirm the bullish scenario, CRVUSDT must break above the $0.55 resistance with strong volume. A successful breakout would validate the start of an impulsive wave (v), pushing prices higher.
Risk Factors
- A breakdown below the $0.40 invalidation level would negate this bullish outlook and extend the correction.
- Market sentiment and external factors such as Bitcoin’s price action and macroeconomic conditions may impact the projected wave structure.
Conclusion
CRVUSDT appears to be at a pivotal moment, with Elliott Wave analysis suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Traders should monitor key levels and look for breakout confirmations before making any trading decisions. If the projected wave (v) unfolds, we could see a significant rally in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
SPY Ready for Impulsive or Ending Diagonal?This 5th wave isn't feeling impulsive at all and if anything is indicating bearish RSI divergence. For these reasons, I feel that wave 5 is in what we call an ENDING DIAGONAL. Ending diagonals are really tricky to trade, as they have a series of overlapping movements. Price struggles to move higher, indicating exhaustion. Will still get a move to the 630 to 670 area, but if trying to trade it, the ups and downs vs impulsive behaviors make this tough to trade. After completion, there is typically a deeper correction, and since I am expecting a larger wave 4, this feels correct as well.
Now there is always a chance we haven't finished the prior larger wave 4 and we are either in a running or expanded flat, but will need to see a bit more to understand that scenario. Running flat would reverse soon and then impulsively higher vs expanded will undercut 574 and then rip higher (show on chart with green impulsive waves).
Elliot wave is so much easier to understand once the waves are completed vs speculating where they are going next!
NSE IOC – Approaching a Key Demand ZoneTimeframe: Daily
After reaching a high of 196.8, the price has declined by over 39% in 13 weeks. It is currently trading below the 50/100 EMA band, with ATR at 3.68 and ADX at 26.02 . According to the Elliott Wave projection, the peak of 196.80 can be identified as a wave ((3)). The security is currently undergoing the formation of a corrective wave (4).
Wave (B) formed at 185.97 , while wave 4 of wave (C) was completed at 145.10 . NSE IOC is now setting up for the final wave 5 of wave (C).
Two key Fibonacci relationships help estimate the end of the correction:
1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (A) at 106.54 (for wave C)
0.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 at 115.52 (for wave 5)
The price is expected to settle between 115 and 105 , which serves as a key demand zone for buyers. If the price breaks out and sustains above 129.75, traders can target the following levels: 139 – 156 – 172+.
we will update further information soon.
Gold Retest Completed Now Next Impulsive Move!Hello Traders!
As we know that gold is trading in two ascending channel, one is internal and 2nd is external and following trend every time like this impulsive move till upper trendline of external channel and retest move till down trendline of internal channel according to this trend next move would be 3016.
there was a FVG and Order Block in H1 thats the reason for yesterday move still gold is in bullish trend.
Resistance: 2924
Support: 2908
i am bullish till 3016 because its also a target of weekly bullish flag which i have already posted in ideas section you can check in related post
Regards: PipsOptimizer
ETHEREUM SHORT TO $786! (UPDATE)Remember my ETH short bias from 5 months ago? Despite it pushing up a little, price has remained within the trendlines & bearish channel, keeping its main trend in a 'downtrend'.
We are still within a 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) corrective channel, with the current bearish move down being Wave C. Wave C target still remains around $786🩸
GBPUSD took support from 4h bullish channel – Targeting $1.265Market Context
Instrument: GBPUSD
Timeframe: 4h
Key Trend: Reversal from short 4h downtrend
Catalyst: support from 4h bullish channel + Elliott wave 4 completion.
Technical Analysis
Patterns/Levels: Price broke above the $1.2400 strong support of a 4h bullish channel.
Indicators: MACD bullish crossover; RSI above 50.
Entry Analysis
Entry Zone: 1.24250.
1.2645 (4h key resistance, Caution if fail to break).
Confirmation: support above $1.2400 on the 4h chart.
Exit Analysis
TP1: $1.2575 (prior swing high).
TP2: $1.265 (Wave 5 target).
Risk Management
Stop Loss: $1.2393 (below Support 1.2400).
Risk-Reward: 1:4.
Conclusion
“The support from 4h bullish channel signals a trend reversal.
Targeting $1.2650 with a tight SL ensures favourable risk/reward.”
Notes for Success:
Timeframes Matter: Align entry/exit with higher-timeframe trends.
Adapt: Adjust targets if volatility spikes (e.g., news events).
Disclaimer: Always include “Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.”