Surge Energy (SGY) Elliott Wave Outlook26/04/25 SGY Update
I’ve been long Surge Energy since Jan 24. Price did move higher initially following my entry but has since ground lower in what looks like an ending diagonal pattern in red C of a larger ABC zig zag correction. There is RSI divergence on the weekly time frame which helps the case that SGY could be bottoming, but that will of course be effected by what the price of oil does.
Any further downside on SGY I will be looking at the yellow zone which contains the 786 retracement at $3.9, measured move target of the red A wave at $3.28 & 886 retracement at $2.64. There is an ending diagonal invalidation level at $3.2, if this is tagged, I will need to adjust the current count.
The completion of Red C will complete the (X) wave of the higher degree (W)(X)(Y) in yellow, from these levels the (Y) wave target will be $16-$17.
Elliottwaveprojection
EURJPY: Short Setup with Target Zones in FocusEURJPY outlines a clear W-X-Y corrective pattern. Wave (W) ended at 161.297 , followed by an upward corrective move in Wave (X), which topped at 162.665 with a classic ABC formation.
Currently, the price is hovering around 162.084, likely forming Wave B of the final Y leg. A brief move higher could complete this B wave before the pair resumes its decline toward the 160.922–160.680 area, which marks the projected end of Wave C of (Y).
The broader correction is framed by two descending blue trendlines, providing dynamic resistance and support, while a short-term red ascending trendline is currently holding the price action but may soon give way. If the price stalls or rejects around the 162.3–162.5 zone, it could signal the start of the next leg down, making it a potential setup for short positions. After the reversal from Wave Y, potential upside targets are 161.600, 162.500 , and 163.100 .
We will update it soon!
#Bitcoin Future Forcast of Final moves towards #BullRunAs per Weekly Chart Analysis,
Bitcoin performing on the perfectly into #ElliottImpulsive waves and its #CorrectionWave and this time the 5th Cycle of Elliott Impulsive Wave was completed and last Correction Wave cycle will under movements.
Now, it is completed the 0 to A-cycle & performing the moves towards B-cycle around $84k to GETTEX:87K and after that final moves towards C-cycle for last Lower-Low point around FWB:67K -65k approx, and that will be completing around next 120-150 days with 0-A-B-C of this cycle around July-August approx..
While, from 0 to A cycle was its first movement point of Retest of lower point, after the Bitcoin's $109k #AllTimeHigh point was at 0 point and $76k is the direction of Point A.
Then, after the completion of this cycle of Correction Wave, Bitcoin's final BullRun movement will be starts around August onwards for next 120-150 days for this season last Bullish cycle to reach out min. $180k to $220k and max. Mark will be around $250k to $280k approx.
Thereafter, the #BearishZone of market will be starts next year, after completion of this Elliott Impulsive & Correction Wave pairings, which is completely starts from Nov. 2022 from its last Lower-Low mark up point of Bitcoin was $15.5k approx.
Anyways,
Study deeply always to perform any trade and take StopLoss strategy for that as well DYOR too...🙏
$XAUUSD Gold | Are We Looking at a Local Top Here?Looking at Gold again, I’m going a bit out on a limb and saying: There’s a good chance we’ve just seen a local top — at least for the coming weeks.
Last time I was pretty spot on with my target after being wrong about the top. I wanted to see $2,955, and Gold ended up reaching $2,956.5 — missing my level by just $1.50. Totally fine, especially considering the huge rally that followed.
But now it looks like that rally might be losing steam. We’re currently trading between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci extension levels, specifically between $3,225 and $3,250. That’s a zone I see as highly likely for a short-term correction.
Possible downside targets?
First $3,146, then lower at $3,034, and ideally even a move back toward $2,900.
Of course, a lot will depend on macro news, especially from the US — tariffs, geopolitical risks, and overall market sentiment. If Gold pushes above $3,300, then this whole scenario gets invalidated and I’d switch to an alternative setup that I haven’t detailed here yet.
The RSI is also sitting deep in overbought territory, with multiple bearish divergences building — which supports the idea of a pullback.
But as always: Just because the RSI is overbought doesn’t guarantee an immediate drop. We still need price confirmation.
A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart.
DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree.
It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D.
The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction.
DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction.
The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons.
We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave.
I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done.
When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box.
So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses.
I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex.
Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave.
But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26.
This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes.
BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete.
But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower.
The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such.
I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good.
For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.
CFD Gold Chart Analysis: Wave 4 in FocusHello friends, let's analyze the Gold CFD chart from a technical perspective. As we can see, the higher degree Cycle Wave III (Red) has completed, and we're currently in Cycle degree Wave IV (Red). Within Wave IV, we expect a Primary Degree ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)) in Black. Wave ((A)) has completed, Wave ((B)) is almost complete, and Wave ((C)) is expected to follow.
Within Wave ((B)) in Black, we have Intermediate Degree Waves (A), (B), and (C) in Blue. Waves (A) and (B) are complete, and Wave (C) is nearing completion. Once Wave (C) in Blue completes, Wave ((B)) in Black will end, and Wave ((C)) in Black should begin.
According to theory, Wave ((A)) came down and then wave ((B)) retraced upwards so now Wave ((C)) should move downwards, forming a zigzag correction. The equality level is around $2858. However, we don't know if it will reach this level or extend/truncate.
The invalidation level for this view is 3169.23. If the price breaks above this level, our analysis will be invalidated.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not trading advice. There's a risk of being completely wrong. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE IONQ - Are we ready for a breakout?The corrective phase is complete and an impulse move appears likely. A strong buy above the A-B-C channel could target levels around 30 - 37 - 45 or higher. Good entry is possible above 26. However, if conditions worsen, further corrections may ensue.
I will update further information soon.
XAG getting ready for another run down.I believe XAG has finished the blue ((c)) of green (iv) with an ending diagonal, and now doing the first 1-2 of the green (v) wave of gray ((c)).
The price might do a very small retrace to 31.12 before starting a 3rd wave down.
I believe the green (v) is going to the green box area at 28.15 - 27.40 area.
But I actually have a weekly trendline lower down, which the price might want to go won and test, which also fits with the idea that the (v) wave could go all the way to the 100% Fiblevel of (i)+(iii) level.
This would mean the price would probably test the 25.0 level.
My take on Gold. It's a difficult one..This is the read that makes most sense to me. And I have zoomed all the way into 15m, for you to be able to see my thoughts around it all.
For that wave down from April 2nd to April 7th to make any sense to me, I have labeled it as W-X-Y to complete (A). At first I had labeled it as a diagonal, but then price should not have retraced as much as it has since April 7th.
And I also believed Gold has finished a 5th of a 5th wave, so we need to see some more correction before price head to the upside again.
I simply can't read the retracement back up since the April 7th as a A-B-C, and this is why I believe price is just finishing up the A wave (and it might already have) before it goes into the B correction.
The initiated wave down (wave B of (B)) I believe will go down to 3,044 - 3,013 level and then finish of the flat with a wave C of (C).
This wave C should be able to go to the 3,130 - 3200 level.
But as I said, first we spend some days to the downside heading for that 3,044 - 3,013 level.
What is your current take on gold?
AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Wave 5 Completion in SightIn AUD/JPY, the 4th wave has been completed, and the 5th wave is in progress. According to Elliott Wave theory, there is a high probability of the market continuing its downward movement.
Regarding potential targets, the price may reach 88.151 and 87.365 on the downside. However, a bullish move could also emerge if the market breaks above 89.645 .
Bearish Setup on NFLX: Correction Wave (C) UnfoldingTF: 4h
NFLX appears bearish at the moment. The corrective structure on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential decline. The current formation indicates that wave B likely completed at 998.61 , and the stock has now begun its descent into wave (C) of the correction.
The correction may extend to the 100% projection of wave A at 788.67 , or potentially deepen to 659.06 , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave A. After the completion of wave (C), traders can buy for the target up to wave B at 998.61 .
I will continue to update the situation as it evolves.
NAKAUSDTAn analysis at the height of market fear..
A situation where all markets are experiencing sharp declines due to US tariffs and Middle East tensions..
It seems that around $0.25 is the ideal area for short-term buying for $0.75 targets and the ideal time to start this upward movement is early April..
Just an analysis that may be wrong..
EUR/JPY – Bearish Setup with Elliott Wave AnalysisThis EUR/JPY daily chart shows an Elliott Wave analysis, suggesting a possible bearish continuation. The current wave structure indicates the pair is moving through the final phase of a five-wave impulsive sequence.
The market has completed three waves of a larger impulsive cycle, with Wave (4)
The price movement between Wave (2) and Wave (4) shows a pause or slowdown after going up. This means the buyers are losing strength, and the price may soon start to fall
If the price gets rejected near 162.900 , it could confirm further downside.
If it breaks below the 159.674 level, it may speed up the decline, with a possible target around 155.526 level.
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend.
The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal.
Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140.
I'll be sharing more details shortly.
XAU/USD: 5th Wave Rally After CorrectionOn the 1-hour timeframe, XAU/USD has formed an Elliott Wave corrective structure. This is an expanded flat correction, typically seen in the 4th wave. The correction seems to have been completed at 3,054, suggesting that the 5th wave may be in progress.
For bullish traders, a potential long position can be considered around the 0.236 retracement level as a pullback entry point.
The 5th wave has the potential to reach the following upside targets: 3,110, 3,145, 3,165
However, this bullish outlook remains valid only if the low of Wave IV holds. A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Elliott Wave Forecast: EUR/USD Prepares for Next Bullish Leg!This EUR/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis, showing the market’s movement within a five-wave structure. The price has completed Wave 3 and is currently in a corrective Wave 4, finding support around Fibonacci retracement levels of 38.2%
• Wave 3: A sharp rally forming an extended third wave.
• Wave 4: An ABC correction is currently in progress and is expected to be completed around levels of 1.07456
If the market respects the proper Fibonacci levels, the target for wave 5 could be 1.09504 .
GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Elliott Wave Mapping the Next MoveThis GBP/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis.
Wave (1) and (2): The market had an impulsive bullish movement in Wave 1, followed by a corrective Wave 2.
Wave (3): A strong bullish move with momentum.
Wave (4): A corrective phase, forming a triangle pattern (a-b-c-d-e), which suggests the market is preparing for another impulsive leg.
Entry Confirmation: A breakout above the triangle pattern.
First Target: 1.31457 (Fibonacci 0.382)
Second Target: 1.32105 (Fibonacci 0.5)
GOOGL - Elliott Wave Final ShowdownGOOGL has dropped over 27.28% , reaching a minor profit-booking zone. The $150 level serves as a key demand zone, where a potential price reversal could occur. The formation is either expanded flat or a running flat on the daily timeframe chart.
Confirmation is best observed near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. If bearish momentum persists, prices may decline further to the $142-$140 range before a strong rebound. Once the correction ends, the upside targets are $168, $180, and $195.
A new low will form if the previous low is breached. Further research will be uploaded soon.
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
Oversold RSI vs. bearish wave count The market shows strong bearish dominance with price (22,207.79) below all key moving averages (EMA200: 22,743.51).
3 Bearish Confirmations:
ADX 35.85 + -DI (36.59) > +DI (11.27) = strong downtrend
RSI 28.53 shows oversold but no reversal momentum
MACD (-139.49) remains below signal line (-116.26)
Price struggles below Camarilla pivot (22,680.36) with immediate resistance at 22,534.35 (R1)
Multiple POTENTIAL downward patterns identified (Flat/Downward Candidates & Diagonal Structures)
Recent wave structures suggest Wave 3 extension in progress below 22,207
Contradiction: Oversold RSI vs. bearish wave count suggests possible relief rally before continuation
Action: SELL LIMIT
Entry Zone: 22,680-22,800 (61.8% Fib of recent swing high)
TP1: 22,156 (S1) | TP2: 21,853 (S2 Classic)
Stop-Loss: 22,900 (above EMA200)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5 to TP2
Position Size: Risk 1% capital (220 pips risk)
Investor Summary
High-risk buying opportunity only if:
Daily close > EMA200 (22,743)
MACD bullish crossover
RSI sustains > 45
Accumulation zone: 21,800-22,200 with tight stops