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Elliottwaveprojection

Above 459 we go up to new highs, below high chance we see $400We're getting alternation between an almost indistinguishable wave 2 and this current wave 4. However, if we breach 459, then we have declined lower than .50% of wave 2 and 3, and although we have NO overlap, the chances are high we are no longer dealing with a wave 4. Therefore I will keep this simple, above 459 and we go higher to complete this larger pattern. Below 459 and I'm 75%/25% on price heading to 400 in a larger wave 4 flat.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
Elliott Waves Suggests USDMXN Can Be A Nice ShortHey folks, In this article, I’ll give you an update on USDMXN, which we’ve talked about before. You probably noticed that the Mexican Peso (MXN) has been quite strong for the past couple of years, mainly because of higher interest rates compared to other places, USDMXN short was a good carry trade. However, things have started to shift a bit recently. Inflation in the US went up a bit due to rising energy costs, and some folks thought the Federal Reserve (FED) might keep a tough stance (hawkish) on monetary policy. This pushed the US Dollar higher along with yields. But now, there’s a new element in the mix – the geopolitical tension between Hamas and Israel. This situation can make the markets super jumpy and volatile. I’m not so sure if the FED can keep its hawkish stance in such a shaky environment. Keep in mind, during a conflict or war, a government might ease up on its tough policies to fund the war effort and get cheap financing. So, I’m wondering if it might be the right time to expect USDMXN to continue its downward trend. In fact, the pair has dropped this week, especially after markets opened with some gaps in various assets. From an Elliott Wave point of view, we can see a decent corrective rise from recent lows, a clear fourth wave move up to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance. We’re seeing a turnaround from there, and if we break key rising trendline, more bears could join the party. This makes sense since the overall trend is still bearish as long as the price stays below the 2022 trendline resistance. So, I think a fifth wave down might be just around the corner, and it could happen quite quickly, especially if the US Dollar’s trend changes, which is possible if stocks would stay in risk-on mode till end of the week.
Short
by ew-forecast
Broken Trendline Keeps USDMXN In Downtrend For Wave 5Broken Trendline Keeps USDMXN In Downtrend For Wave 5 from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory. USDMXN shorts are doing very well as we mentioned and highlighted on October 12, when we spotted a corrective recovery in wave (4). As you can see today, USDMXN turned nicely down from projected resistance and it can be headed much lower as bulls failed to break above the daily trendline resistance in October. So this was seen as a corrective and temporary bounce; wave (4), which puts wave (5) in action after broken trendline support, so weakness is ready to resume, ideally down to 16.00.
Short
by ew-forecast
4
EURUSD: Next Target around 1.1045?Today's session will be very important for FX:EURUSD pair, especially after the data that will be released later. Having said that, the trend is bullish on intraday chart and the next bullish target should be around 1.1045 area. From a technical point of view, this rally was supported by the bottom swing formed around October 13th (see analysis below). The dollar should fall further if U.S. consumer confidence data at 1500 GMT is weaker than expected... BOTTOM SWING ANALYSIS ======================= (click on chart below) Trade with care Like | Share | Comment *Visit our website for technical levels and setup
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
3
Ethereum Is Eyeing April Highs After A PullbackHello Crypto traders! In today’s article we want to update Ethereum chart with ticker ETHUSD. We already talked about a nice bullish turn from the support in the past updates, where we have been tracking a new five-wave bullish cycle. As you can see today, ETH made nice and clean five-wave recovery, which indicates for more upside, at least towards the April highs and 2200 – 2300 area or maybe even higher. However, currently we can see it making a new corrective setback, so after a triangle corrective pattern or deeper A-B-C correction that can retest 1900 support, be aware of more gains. If ETH slips below 1870 level, then correction can go deeper and more complex with the next support around 1800 – 1750 area. One of the main reasons why ETH can stay in uptrend is also because of the bullish ALTcoins in current ALTseason.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Exploring the Unassailable Position of the U.S. DollarTechnical analysis From the point of view of technical analysis, we believe that the EUR/USD pair has completed the corrective wave Ⓑ after reaching the price range of 1.0945-1.097, which has also been a strong resistance zone over the last few days. After which, we expect that EUR/USD will continue to correct within the impulsive wave © until it reaches a strong support zone. Fundamental Analysis Thanks to positive macroeconomic data released by government agencies in the US and European Union and lower oil prices in recent weeks, the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates in early 2024 has increased sharply. Moreover, the US economy has shown remarkable resilience relative to Europe in recent months, reflected in the faster rate of decline in inflation, job growth, and foreign direct investment. In addition, according to Adobe, Americans spent a record $5.6 billion on online shopping, up 5.5% from November 23, 2022, which will also help increase the attractiveness of the USD relative to the EUR. Show your support by liking👍, following✅, sharing🙌, and commenting✍! Feel free to share your ideas and charts below. Your engagement is crucial in spreading the word and maintaining the relevance of the content. Thanks for being an essential part of this community! Analyst’s Disclosure: This article may not take into account all the risks and catalysts for the stocks described in it. Any part of this analytical article is provided for informational purposes only, does not constitute an individual investment recommendation, investment idea, advice, offer to buy or sell securities, or other financial instruments. The completeness and accuracy of the information in the analytical article are not guaranteed. If any fundamental criteria or events change in the future, I do not assume any obligation to update this article.
Short
by ALLKA_RESEARCH
2
Major Market Correlations Between Yields, Stocks And USDollarIn 2022, the stock market took a hit and the US Dollar gained strength due to higher yields in the US. Toward the end of that year, as yields eased off, the US Dollar lost some of its power, and this coincided with a rebound in stock market performance. Now, as yields are climbing once again, the US Dollar is regaining strength, but it seems like stocks are beginning to lose their previous momentum. However, the situation might shift if these rising yields are in the process of completing their fifth wave and are on the verge of slowing down. In that case, the US Dollar could actually become weaker again, and the stock market might continue its upward trend. Of course a lot will depend on the FED policy decisions, where dollar can turn down if FED will stop the hiking cycle. Well, a lot will depend on the US data, so market participants will surely watch the NFP very closely tomorrow.
TVC:US10Y
by ew-forecast
1
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
NYMEX:CLF2024Long
by ew-forecast
INJ Neowave - Elliott Wave Theory Analysis (Daily - Medium Term)INJ is performing very well in 2023. The waves are quite similar in price, there is a possibility that the structure could be diametric. In this case, I would say that $13 is a very good level in terms of costing. The point to watch out for is the possibility of the structure turning into a symmetrical structure because in this case it should touch the 'dashed' trend support so that we can see waves 'H' and 'I' in the continuation of the trend. This could also be the opportunity of the year. Nevertheless, we will discuss this situation in the weekly updates. I will update the analysis on Mondays and have a profitable day.
by up_neowave
Ethereum Is Pointing Higher For Wave 5 or 3Ethereum is coming nicely higher as expected based on Elliott wave theory and it's now even extending the rally on the news that Blackrock Ethereum ETF plan is confirmed in the Nasdaq filing. On a daily chart, there's a chance it's trading in wave (5) of a potential leading diagonal formation or alternatively maybe even in wave (3) if we see a decisive break above upper leading diagonal line. However, in both cases there's still room at least up to 2200 - 2300 area to complete a five-wave bullish cycle in the 4-hour chart, so more gains can be seen, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Part 2: Price Action Breakdown - Advance ElementsIn the first part, we discussed the components of the price action theory. We covered value area, control line, and excess price with examples, setups & guidelines (with my own observations.) Now, in this idea, we are going to cover the following topics: No trading zone Initiative & responsive trading Shifting of the value area Bullish Value area Bearish value area Extention of the value area Combining all the pieces I request all of you to visit our first part if you have not read it yet. Check out the following demo chart, and try to mention each component by yourself: Now, you can check the following chart, and see if you have denoted correctly or noted: 1) No trading zone: No trading zone/activities is the area where trading is not happening. It shows the strength of buyers in the lower band and the strength of the sellers in the upper boundary. Its shows who is controlling, who will be controlling, and who have lost the opportunity. What does it mean? 🔹If the length of the no-trading zone is wide at the lower band, it shows that buyers are controlling the movement and sellers are not able to form trading activities. 🔹If the length of the no-trading zone is wide at the upper band, it shows that sellers are controlling the movement and buyers are not able to form trading activities. Observing the given formation that shows a sideways value area is enough to understand the whole story. There were actually three no-trading zones in the value area: two on the lower band and one on the upper band. The first NTZ(No-trading zone) on the lower band was the signal of the movement controlled by buyers. NTZ-2 was the widest of the value area, where sellers snatched the control from buyers and started outnumbering the buyers. NTZ-3 was the last no-trading zone where the buyers were on the controlled buy and couldn't give a response to the sellers' initiative move. The excess was the last price point from sellers that started the supply pressure. 2) Initiative & responsive trading As we discussed earlier, price movements are the result of the interaction between supply and demand. Buyer(demand) and seller's(supply) intuition are the main components of the price. Value area from where buyers and sellers are satisfied with the current prices. Neither buyers want to increase, nor the seller is interested in low prices at least for some duration. It's called equilibrium between buyers and sellers. What if it's enough? # Now buyers don't want to keep the prices as it's too low for them. So, the buyers will make an initiative to break the upper band of the value area. It is called "initiative" by buyers. # Sellers have to stop them from going out of the value area by making excess, which is called "response" by sellers. Anyone, either buyers or sellers, who are not satisfied can make an initiative. However, the opposite party has to respond to their initiative and settle into equilibrium again. Case 1: - The movement can only reach equilibrium by responding to each initiative. If a failure occurs, it signals evidence of a big move in the direction of the initiative. As per the chart, whenever buyers have made an initiative to move outside of the value area, sellers have responded with supply pressure and vice versa. Case 2: - Buyers have made an initiative, but sellers couldn't hold back the buyers' pressure and ended up losing movement. Here, we can say that the buyers have given a breakout of the value area, and the sellers' response was a failure. 3) Shifting of the value area - Traders don't have to be upset after the breakout of the value area. Supply and demand will balance and unbalance again, and traders will get an opportunity to trade according to the theory. We all know of the tenet of the dow theory that "price tends to trend ." Value area also shifts its value after the breakout/breakdown, often in the direction of the trend. Uptrend: The price was in an uptrend. After the breakout of the first value area, it has formed the second, and so on. Downtrend: The price was in a downtrend. After the breakdown of the first value area, it has formed the second, and so on.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Money_Dictators
9