Psychographic Analysis - Life Cycle of InvestorImagine an investment as a journey with twists and turns. Knowing its different stages is like having a map for investors. It helps them decide if they want a thrilling ride with big potential rewards or a smoother path with steady stability, based on their comfort with risk. For investors, understanding the life cycle is crucial because it directly impacts the investor's risk appetite.
✨Personality characteristics of investors
✨Risk/Return Trade-Offs for Investors:
🔸 Risk/reward trade-offs are related to the relationship that exists between the degree of risk an investor takes and the potential reward for the investment. larger-risk investments have the potential for greater returns, but they also have the potential for greater losses as well. Lower-risk investments, on the other hand, have the potential for lower profits, but also for fewer losses.
🔸 The risk tolerance and investment objectives of investors will change over time. Younger investors who are just starting out are more likely to be on the risk/reward spectrum, willing to take on more risk in exchange for the chance of larger profits. This is because they have a longer time horizon with which to invest and recoup from losses. Investors may grow more risk-averse and migrate to the left side of the spectrum as they near retirement. They may need to start withdrawing from their assets to fund their retirement, so they want to protect their money and avoid large losses.
✨Phases of the Investment Life Cycle:
↪️ Here is a breakdown of the investment life cycle and how risk/reward trade-offs may change at each stage:
1️⃣ Accumulation Phase
In the initial stage, known as the accumulation phase, individuals find themselves with a modest net worth relative to their liabilities. Their investment portfolio tends to be limited and less diversified. Goals often include funding education, purchasing a home, and laying the groundwork for future financial independence. With a long time horizon and potential income growth, investors in this phase can afford to explore high-return, high-risk capital gain-oriented investments.
2️⃣ Consolidation Phase
As individuals progress through their mid-to-late careers, they enter the consolidation phase. Characterized by income surpassing expenses, this period, although still distant from retirement, prompts a shift towards capital preservation. Investors start balancing high capital gain investments with lower-risk assets, creating a more stable and resilient portfolio.
3️⃣ Spending Phase
The spending phase marks a transition when living expenses are no longer sustained by earned income but by accumulated assets, such as investments and retirement funds. With a decreased likelihood of returning to work, stability becomes paramount in the investment portfolio. Preferences shift towards investments generating steady income through dividends, interest, and rentals. Despite the reduced time horizon, some growth-focused investments are retained to hedge against inflation.
4️⃣ Gifting Phase
In the final phase, the gifting phase, investors realize an abundance of assets beyond personal needs. At this juncture, the purpose of investments may evolve, focusing on leaving a lasting legacy or supporting charitable causes.
📊 Importance:
It's like having a guide for your financial journey when you understand the investor life cycle. It assists you in choosing, depending on your comfort level with danger, between an exhilarating, high-risk ride and a more steady, smooth road. Understanding the various investment phases is essential as it influences your willingness to accept risk. It's similar to changing your game plan as you move through different stages of life, such as the exuberant early years and the more measured approach as you near retirement. Put simply, understanding the investor life cycle assists you at every stage in reaching your financial objectives and making wise decisions.
By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
Elliottwaveprojection
XAG SILVER Neowave - Elliott Wave Theory Analysis (Medium Term)Silver is forming a potential diametric structure in the medium term and the second phase of this structure has begun. The potential route I expect the price to follow is indicated in the image (with dotted lines).
The wave e of the diametric structure is estimated January 15, 2024. We can say that we will be in a bear market for the next 2 months. After that, the structure will be completed with the rise of f and the fall of g.
With the completion of the structure, I think we will enter a prolonged bull market. Maybe a short but sharp rise in time, or a market period spread over time... We will analyze this in the sequel.
Your support is important for me, I can say it is a source of motivation. So thank you for that.
AUDUSD: Simple Speculative SetupHi Traders!
From a technical point of view, the trend is bearish so trying a bullish trade is very speculative (high risk of failure), so it should be right to try to take a long position with a small size, possibly there will be time to add new positions. Having said that, we have greatly simplified our setup on the chart, because we will look for some reversal pattern in support area before taking a long position, and if we are lucky, we may also be able to limit the stop loss before the price reaches 0.6270. If our work will be supported, we do not rule out publishing new updates.
If the price triggers a new low, we will look for sell opportunities in the short term. From a Trade Management perspective, this setup has a good Risk/Reward ratio (>1:3).
Trade with care
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TRADE SETUP_LIC HOUSINGFIN_10% upsideThe stock was seen rising in march 2023 in wave 1 all the way till June 2023. The retracement to this wave came in next 1month through the month of July.
Then from July till late September the stock was seen advancing up in wave 3.It spend the month of October subsequently in wave 4 corrective phase and now towards the year end, the stock is ready for wave 5 take off and can move towards 500 mark in November-December.
It should be noted that since the wave 3 was shorter than wave 1 it should be presumed that wave 5 will be the shortest and therefore a modest target of 500 is projected for this stock.
The stock is currently near a strong support area of 450.
440 can be used as a SL.
Please note the wave counts have been studied and marked on a 3hour chart.
Note*- Views expressed here are my personal observations/opinions. Always do your own analysis/research before taking up any financial position.
Weekly Update: Do Small Caps Still Lead the Broader Markets?We've all heard that the small capitalized publicly traded companies lead the larger cap companies, more so featured in the broader indices. A quick look back shows the Small Caps Topped in November 2021, whereas the Nasdaq and SP500 did not top till January 2022. Subsequently, the IWM bottomed in June of 2022, and it took the NDX and SPX till October of 2022 to form a bottom.
So it appears we do not have to go back too far to see this phenomenon is still valid. If this price action of leading the broader markets continues to persist, then the IWM is now poised to literally "Drop like Rock".
A quick observation shows the small caps are around their lows bouncing slightly for wave 2 in our primary c-wave down. You can read my prior posts on the SPX and NDX indices but it appears if you want to know if the recent bullish feeling rally in the DJIA, NDX and SP500 has sustainable legs...look no further than the IWM.
Best to all,
Chris
XAUUSD LONG SCENARIOThe precious metal has gained more than 8% since Hamas attacked Israel. While the war will continue to drive haven flows toward Gold, further price gains also hinge on the Fed’s rate cycle nearing an end. This will result in retreating US yields, reducing the opportunity cost of Gold.(Source: FX Street)
From Technical Aspect, XAUUSD is forming Wave C of (2), expect the price break 1986.85 as Bullish Confirmation.
Kindly remember, Elliott Wave is highly subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
Cheers.
Silver Is Trading Close To Technical "BUY" LevelSilver is trading sideways since 2021, a move that can be a corrective because of choppy and overlapping price action. Ideally, its a very big triangle in progress, currently with subwave C bottoming because of the bounce away from $21.00. Notice that rally back above 22.33 horizontal swing level is strong and impulsive, so ideally that's going to be part of a new recovery that can send metal even towards 24-25 area, but after wave B pullback that is now in progress and can find a support at 22.20-22.50 area. Also, we can see a potential HS bottom formation currently with the right shoulder playing out as a wave B.
Great opportunity for long term investors in BANK of AMERICAThe second largest American bank has been spotted at a 61.8% retracement of its impulse wave up in march 2020. Moreover the stock has completed an entire zig zag(according to Elliot wave theory or simply ABC correction) from 2021 till date.
The wave 3 target for the stock in the 3-5 year term turns out to be around $68.
Livent corporation Elliott wave projectionProjection based on Elliott wave theory, support and resistance as well as supply and demand.
Buy area is 14,3-15,7 with right price action on daily and weekly with target above all time high.
SPY 2 Bearish Scenarios
1. Less Bearish Scenario
We have a 1-2 1-2 with the impulse wave 3 down in progress or still to come.
The difference between the 2 scenarios is the higher timeframe.
In this less bearish scenario, this move down is part of the primary wave C in the correction that started Jan 22.
Once is done a new cycle will begin.
2. Bearish scenario
In the bearish scenario, this move down is part of the primary wave 3 and not wave C.
We are still in the 1-2 1-2 waves down with minor wave 3 yet to come. All of these waves are part of the primary wave 3 in the correction that started on January 22.
Are you berish? What other alternate scenarios do you see?
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational and educational purpose and does not serve as financial advice.
Decision ZoneHello everyone;
PMI and ECB have interest rate decisions this week. Therefore, there will not be much volatility until this data. I don't have any predictions about this data yet. I will wait. However, in general, my goal will be as in the chart.
I have a total loss of -2rr from the transactions I shared last week. This week I will take my transactions again with a target of 5rr. Let's see what the result will be
Thx for your support :)
Good luck to everyone...
UPDATE: DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL (US30)Last time i expected 1 more high at 34000-34400 (as Ending Diagonal on C) to start downtrend, it failed.
This is my new perspective on Dow Jones (US30), i strongly believe there will be a bearish to come.
Kindly remember, Elliott Wave is highly subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
Trade safe, Everyone!
Cheers.
A massive selldown is potentially coming for #SP500As the chart progresses, old post was shared wayback Dec 2022 when the index has completed the Wave A leading Diagonal, the 1st impulse of the 3-wave corrective of the bigger cycle.
Currently, Wave B might have already topped off on the rejected 4600 zone.
I'm seeing a potential 3rd and the last impulsive of the greater corrective cycle which is at an unbelievable level estimated to be around 3276 by May of 2024 as target of the time completion.
Disclaimer: Not a financial advise. Idea is only based from the analyst's perspective applying Wave and Time Theories.
BTCUSD: Road to 50k?The BTCUSD price has just completed wave 2 and is on course for a fine wave 3 (broken down into 5 orange sub-waves here), supported by a bullish divergence and the break above the weekly Ichimoku cloud.
Wave i could continue its ascent before hitting resistance at 32k.
Wave ii would then retrace 50% of wave i to bounce off the 2021 double-top support.
Wave iii (= 161.8% of wave i) would end at the 40k resistance, before bouncing back to this ascending trendline in blue as a wave iv, retracing 38.2% of wave iii.
Finally, wave v is still the most complicated to anticipate, but the 123.6% retracement of wave iv seems to be in line with the assumption that wave 3 will extend wave 1 by a ratio of 1.618:1.
Fundamentally, the current tense macroeconomic environment remains a danger for the BTC price. Not to mention the dollar rate, which could continue to rise in the event of a further rate hike at the next Fed meetings, particularly those on December 13th and January 31st.
To be continued...
Don't hesitate to comment. I'm open to new ideas, especially as the fractal plan always offers many different scenarios.
Quiet London sessionHello ladies and gentlemen;
Although today is not a holiday, we will enter the London session in the coming hours, where no data will be received. The most important data of the day will come at the beginning of the New York session. Considering the unemployment data that came 2 weeks ago, I expect today's data to be lower than expected.
According to the chart, I expect the retracement towards the 4h major OB to continue. I currently have a short position open and I reset the risk by placing a stop loss at the breakeven level. When you examine it, there is a slight risk of reaching that level and getting stopped, but I think this probability is very low. I think we will continue the day in a short direction after the correction of yesterday's downward movement is completed.
I will also share the other transaction I will receive today. I'm currently at -2rr for this week. I need to collect 7rr or more to reach my weekly goal.
If you like the posts, please don't forget to like and follow :)
Good luck
Mixed DayHello everyone;
Today, we will receive inflation data from the UK and the European Union in the London session. Inflation in the UK is still expected to remain high. However, things seem to be getting better in the European Union. Later, we will see construction data from the USA in the New York session. According to these data, the construction sector is expected to recover compared to the previous month.
Recently, I read a report about this situation and that representatives of the construction industry in the USA were negotiating to prevent interest rates from increasing further. That's why this data is of particular importance to me.
Above all, today there will be a visit from the US government regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. I expect that with the latest developments, Israel will be forced into a ceasefire, even if it is a small one. In this case, we can see an appreciation in the USD index.
Today, since I said I would share my transactions throughout the week, I will write down the transactions I opened. I hope they are useful to you.
Remember that your support motivates me. Please like and subscribe for more sharing. It makes me so happy :)
Good luck...
The number 13 brings me good luckGreetings to everyone;
Finally, I saw that 13 people followed and to celebrate this, I decided to update the post when I received transactions in the coming days. Normally I aim for 5rr per week in my own system, but maybe we can be more lucky :)
Data will come from Europe first this morning. Then there is the retail sales data set on the US side. In my analysis, I think the expectations support us.
My target for the EURUSD parity in the short term is still higher levels. That's why we will use the possible declines tomorrow for a long position. I will make a warning update a few minutes before taking action. When I receive a transaction, I will try to write as soon as possible.
As the likes and follows increase, I plan to share different things.
Good luck...
New week in the shadow of warGreetings to everyone;
Since today is the first day of the week, there will be no important data. Last week, as I mentioned before, we entered into a minor correction. Now I think this correction is over and we have turned our direction upward again.
The only development that could suddenly change the direction of fundamental developments would be the turmoil in the Middle East. Therefore, news coming from that side should be examined carefully. Value changes on the oil and gold side will directly affect the dollar index.
I will look for a long position today. As I show on the chart, I will be examining movements around 1.0515.
Don't forget to like and follow to support me :)
Good luck to everyone.
BTC Week 2 Analysis—October 2023Disclaimer:
Please be aware that the information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets carry inherent risk, always conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult a qualified financial adviser prior to making any investment decisions.
Introduction:
Welcome to our BTC Weekly Analysis for October, Week 2, 2023. This analysis offers continued insight into BTC price action, committed to providing an unbiased Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) analysis for the greater trading community. Our objective is to offer valuable insights that complement your own analysis, empowering you to make well informed trading decisions.
Primary Assumption:
Our October, Week 2, analysis builds upon the data presented in our Week 1 Analysis. During the correction, which we initially assumed to be Minutte Wave 4, we identified three significant errors in our count, subsequently confirming that the correction was Minute Wave 4. To get a detailed account of this correction, click the chart bellow.
Consequently, we maintain that the count established during the Minute Wave 4 correction remains valid. Therefore, we have established a second count invalidation point at which we believe to be the beginning of Minute Wave 5.
Weekly Analysis:
Our weekly analysis takes place on a compressed 15 Minute time frame. In our previous weekly analysis, we anticipated a complex correction after an Extended Wave 3 and Wave 5, ultimately leading to Wave 5 forming as an Expanding Ending Diagonal.
To summarize from the completion of Minute Wave 3, Minutte Wave W unfolded as a Zig Zag correction, with an Expanding Triangle for Micro Wave B. Following this, an Impulse pattern emerged but failed to establish a new trend, signifying the commencement of the first Minutte Wave X. Price action then shaped a second Zig Zag, with an Expanding Triangle forming as Micro Wave B, and Sub Micro Wave E. Following the conclusion of this second Zig Zag, price action Impulsed once again but failed to initiate a new trend. Instead, it formed a Contracting Triangle, marking the end of the second Minutte Wave X. As market fear intensified, price action Impulsed down, effectively concluding Minutte Wave Z, marking the completion of Minute Wave 4, with price now residing in Minute Wave 5.
Minute Wave 5 commenced as an Impulse with an Expanded Wave 3 for form Minutte Wave 1. Minutte Wave 2 revealed market uncertainty as it evolved into a complex correction, with Micro Wave W forming a Zig Zag. Price action Impulsed upon completion failing to establish a new trend, instead, forming as an Expanding Triangle, completing the first Micro Wave X. Micro Wave Y assumed the form of a Zig Zag correction, with price action subsequently experiencing two impulses in opposite directions, completing the second Micro Wave X and Micro Wave Z of the correction, concluding Minutte Wave 2.
Minutte Wave 3 began with a 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 pattern, resulting in an Expanded Wave 3 within an Expanded Wave 3, of Sub Minutte Wave 1. The correction that took place upon the completion of Micro Wave 3 became an Expanded Flat, with Wave B extending beyond the endpoint of Micro Wave 3. On completion of the the Expanded Flat price action Impulsed into the completion of Sub Minutte Wave 1, with price action now residing in Sub Minutte Wave B of Minutte Wave 2.
Forecast:
While predicting future price action is an ambitious endeavor, adhering to EWT rules and guidelines allows us to make informed assumptions about what price action may do. Currently, we assume that price action resides in Micro Wave B of Sub Minutte Wave 2.
Our hypothesis suggests that price action is in the process of forming a Triangle, with Wave D yet to complete, indicating the ongoing development of Sub Minutte Wave 2. Once the Triangle is fully formed, it will signal the conclusion of Micro Wave B, leading to an Impulse to finalise Micro Wave C and Sub Minutte Wave 2. Employing standard Contracting Triangle measurements, we can anticipate the price action target to align with the typical measurements for Wave 2, with a projected bottom approximately around the Yellow 0.707 level indicated on the chart.
Upon completing Sub Minutte Wave 2, price action will Impulsie into Micro Wave 1 of Sub Minutte Wave 3. Following a five-wave impulse, which may coincide with the Weekly candle high, price action will form a Zig Zag correction, guided by the Law of Alteration. This correction is expected to carry us through to the end of October Week 3.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, our EWT analysis for Week 2 has illuminated the evolving structure of BTC price action, building on the previous weeks observations. While predicting future market movements is inherently uncertain, our analysis points to a potential path for BTC price action.
Stay vigilant and use this analysis as a valuable tool to complement your trading decisions.