Navigating ABCAPITAL's Elliott Wave JourneyWeekly Time Frame:
Elliott Wave Analysis: ABCAPITAL has completed wave (4) in Blue on the weekly time frame and is possibly unfolding wave (5) in Blue.
Current Stage: A closer look at the daily time frame reveals the completion of wave 1 in Red, and a potential near-completion of wave 2 in Red.
Invalidation Level: Strict invalidation set at the low of wave 1 in Red, pegged at 155.
Daily Time Frame:
Next Phases: Anticipating the commencement of wave 3, followed by wave 4 and wave 5 in Red, completing wave (5) in Blue on the weekly.
What if Scenario:
Break Below 155: If the price breaks below 155, the low of wave 1 in Red, we might assume a more complex correction with the possibility of double corrections within wave (4) on the weekly.
Risk Management:
Traders are advised to incorporate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
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The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliottwaveprojection
$NVDA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSISI have identified all the wave counts visible on the weekly chart, and while they make sense to me, I acknowledge the possibility of errors, given my relatively new exposure to Elliott Wave analysis. It's evident that we are currently within wave B in the overarching wave count. Anticipating an elongated wave B due to various sub waves, my expectation is for wave B to reach the designated green pivot area before completing wave C well below the 2022 low.
NASDAQ COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSISI have identified all the wave counts visible on the weekly chart, and while they make sense to me, I acknowledge the possibility of errors, given my relatively new exposure to Elliott Wave analysis. It's evident that we are currently within wave B in the overarching wave count. Anticipating an extended wave B due to various sub waves I have listed; my expectation is for wave B to reach the designated green pivot area before completing wave C well below the 2022 low.
USDJPY : Trend is bullish above 129.60As we can see from the chart above, the previously shared analysis hasn't changed (see chart below). From a technical point of view, we have considered the idea of a potential bullish swing developed with at least 3 legs, such as ABC for example )without excluding an impulsive structure 12345 with Target above the previous Top).
Now, instead of following the pair on the weekly chart as we did previously, let's try to show the first 2 potential Target Areas:
- 140.00 (Target 1)
- 143.00 (Target 2)
Having said that, the support still remains at 129.67 and as long as Price Action remains above, trend on daily chart is bullish. Having said that, the support still remains at 129.67 and as long as Price Action remains above, trend on daily chart is bullish. At the same time, we can follow the pair on intraday chart too, looking for closer supports that could anticipate the potential Bullish Pattern failure.
ANALYSIS ON WEEKLY CHART:
(Click & Play on Chart below)
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IDBI can give a good run from here.The stock was seen rising in an impulsive 'wave I' structure between March-Sep 2023.
Wave II happened between Sep-Nov and wave II managed to retrace 38.2% of wave I.
The stock since completing the wave II correction in Nov has displayed two impulsive waves making the labelling as I-II-i-ii-i-ii and hence creating room for many legs to unfold going down the months in 2024.
The bigger Wave III target is projected to be around INR 100 mark providing an upside potential of around 50% from CMP.
On the downside, INR 64 can be used as a 'SL'.
Good Setup spotted in Burger King India!"Restaurant Brands Asia Limited" earlier known as "Burger King India" is currently showing a good setup and an upside potential of 45% from CMP.
The stock had rallied nearly 60% between March-Sep 2023. This very rise was impulsive in nature and therefore labeled as wave 1 on the chart. Between Sep-Dec the stock went through a triple three correction(WXYXZ) and retraced nearly 50% of the impulse. This retracement was in fact was the wave 2.
The stock currently is in Wave 3 structure and could rally towards INR 190 mark.
On the downside the swing low of 118.1 becomes a crucial structural support for the stock and could be used as a "SL".
S&P 500: The Straightforward Path to the Red BoxBulls can keep pushing S&P higher in a subwave ( c ) of wave ( iii ) up targeting the next resistance at 5,209.
However, I prefer a more complex and tricky Scenario 2 that first shakes off weak hands and only then starts a rally to 5,200
see the Scenario II:
NEAR ($NEAR): Technical rebound in mid-termTrend is still bearish on daily and weekly chart, but at the same time we do not exclude an interesting technical rebound in mid-term. In this analysis we just wanted to share our view and how it could develop (Impulsive Structure), for more details on support and resistance levels, visit our Blog. With this in mind, from a technical point of view, AMEX:NEAR still remains under pressure, so we do not rule out a bearish consolidation before a price recovery.
🔴 TRADING STRATEGY
The best strategy may be to accumulate long positions on weakness (by the dip) with small sizes.
🔴 RISK MANAGEMENT
Use only the portion of assets willing to lose (1%/2%)
Analysis by
Anonymous Banker Team
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$AFRM COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Observing the price action of NASDAQ:AFRM , it is evident that it has been navigating through a corrective wave since its inception. Recently, it has culminated the larger corrective Wave B, under which it has also completed the primary Wave C. The completion of Wave C was marked by the termination of Wave 5. This progression implies that NASDAQ:AFRM is now embarking on the larger Wave C, which is anticipated to descend below the trough of Wave A. Based on my analysis, I project the termination of Wave C near the $4 mark. However, it's important to note that the exact timing and price level remain uncertain while the bearish POI stands firm
10Y Treasury Bond Is Looking For A Bigger RecoveryTreasury bond - 10Y US Notes came down a lot in the last two years but this cycle can now come to an end as we can see five waves down into 2023 lows ona weekly time frame. In fact, we also see five subwaves completed within wave (5) on a daily chart after prices recovered and break above the trendline resistance. The move is strong, thus we think that more upside can be coming within a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) rally, where first leg (A) can be still in progress or maybe already completed as an impulse. Support on subwave 4 or wave (B) dips are at 110-111.
$COIN COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Observations indicate that NASDAQ:COIN is currently within the fifth wave of a broader wave C. Notably, yesterday saw a reversal from the 0.5 retracement level, signaling the completion of wave 4 and readiness for the forthcoming wave 5. It is customary for wave 1 and wave 5 to exhibit equality in length, a consequence of the extended wave 3. Anticipating this pattern, I project that wave 5 will reach the 3.618 extension, approximately at $315, thereby concluding both wave 5 and wave C in their entirety.
USD/JPY: The Trend is still bullish in mid term....Hi everybody!
On weekly Chart the trend is bullish , but although the pair formed a nice impulsive rally, at the moment, I still consider the main trend as a big corrective pattern (ABC Pattern). Even though the price rejected from 149.25 area (wave C), the wave was very steep and I don't rule out its transformation into an impulsive wave (12345). If this happens an ABCDE Pattern ( Flat Correction ) is possible. One aspect that should not be underestimated is the BoJ's changing of the guard. Kazuo Ueda is set to become the next governor of the Bank of Japan, succeeding current central bank chief Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. Both houses of Japan’s parliament now need to approve Ueda’s nomination. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s ruling coalition has a majority in both chambers. Parliamentary hearings are likely to take place on Feb. 24, Nikkei reported. Kishida recently emphasized the need for the next central bank governor to have “global communication skills” and be able to coordinate closely with global peers , Reuters reported, citing his comments in parliament...
...Current governor Kuroda was first appointed in March 2013. He has led the central bank’s ultra-dovish monetary policy , including maintaining a negative interest rate since 2016 – even as global peers have been hiking to tackle inflation . His current five-year term will end on April 8. Bank of America Global Research expects gradual policy normalization under the central bank’s new leadership instead of an abrupt change, according to the firm’s economists led by Izumi Devalier. The team said in a report that completely removing the central bank’s yield curve control – a policy of maintaining 10-year Japanese government bond yields within a 50-basis-point range of 0% – won’t happen any time soon. “We continue to think a change in the BoJ’s policy framework (including abandoning YCC and negative interest rates) will be delayed until mid-2024,” the economists said, adding that they expect to see “flexibility” in changing the current policy instead. The economists added that it’s “only a matter of time” before the Bank of Japan tweaks its yield curve control policy, and that they expect to see changes within the first half of 2023. Japan’s government also reportedly announced its nominees for other central bank roles including Shinichi Uchida, currently the central bank’s executive director, and Ryozo Himino, the former chief of Japan’s Financial Services Agency. “The government’s reported deputy governor picks are also well-suited to address the challenge of streamlining and winding down the BoJ’s expansive easing program, in our view,” the BofA economists said in their report ahead of the announcement.
On trading side, technically speaking, if the trend is bullish , it should be correct to try to take Long position on any pullback or corrective structure above 132 area.
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N.B.: Updates will follow below
Nvidia hits (iii) of iii target & gets closer to Major TopNvidia remains impulsive and within it's wave iii of v of 5. The manner in which price is sub-dividing and given it posture of finishing of it's wave 3 shortly towards the $600 area, this could complete prior to earnings, or result in a sell the earnings event.
HF Sinclair all set to rise 60% in Wave 3ABOUT COMPANY:
HF Sinclair Corporation (HF Sinclair) is a diversified, innovative energy company that manufactures and sells products such as gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, and specialty and modified asphalt, among others.
HF Sinclair also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington and Wyoming and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest U.S. and Rocky Mountains, extending into the Pacific Northwest and in other neighboring Plains states.
In addition, HF Sinclair produces base oils and other specialized lubricants in the U.S., Canada and Netherlands and exports products to more than 80 countries.
ABOUT THE CHART:
The stock was seen rising in an impulsive 'wave 1' structure from the bottom of May 2023.The impulse ended in Sep 2023 and was followed by a corrective 'wave 2' through Sep-Dec period.
Wave 2 retraced 38.2% of wave 1.
Between 12th-20th Dec the stock again produced another impulse that can be labeled as wave i of wave 3.
The final projected target for wave 3 is expected to the $80-85 which provides a good 60%+ upside potential from CMP. The stock is expected to complete the wave 3 with help of sub-dividing minor waves.
On the down $51 can be considered as a crucial support and hence be also used as a "sl".
PTTGC | Wave Projection | Complex Inversed Head&ShouldersPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> Global pattern bullish complex inversed head & shoulders pattern breakout
> Local bull flag breakout EMA200 dynamic resistance with strong bullish candle - a possible ABC bullish wave targeting new wave 1
> Support pullback entry level : EMA200 zone
> Target 2X bull flag pattern @ 0.786 - 1.272 fibonanci extension +15% upside
> Stoploss @ lower bull flag support B wave zone -7%
> Risk reward ratio: 2:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
DALBHARAT has 55% upside open from CMP...15% in near term.Another day another Cement stock!
The cement sector does not seem to have any shortage of upside potential even in 2024.
Another stock with a good trading setup is DALBHARAT.
The stock is entering into wave III of Wave III of Wave 3(i know it sounds crazy but that's how the extensive sub-division of cement stocks has been)
INR 2260 which happens to be reversal point today intraday for the stock will act as a crucial support for the stock.
INR 2600 could be the very near-term target on the stock while INR 3500 will the target for those who wish to hold this for a bit longer duration.
The Risk-reward from current levels can not really get better.
KSL | Wave Projection | Triangle ABCDE Wave SetupPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> A possible uptrend scenario with ABCDE symmetrical triangle major wave 4 ending E - wave position, just above SMMA200/100/50 week making its way up to the triangle resistance wave D.
> Target: Wave projection target breakout triangle resistance from position E-wave as TP1 +30% upside
> Stoploss: E-Wave position -8% - 10%
> Risk reward ratio: 3:1
Indicator:
> RSI weekly: bullish signal crossed up MA line above 50.
> MACD weekly: golden crossing signal line slightly below zero.
Company financial with ongoing outstanding performance +YOY and +QOQ for 3 consecutive years and quarters.
Weekly Elliot waves for Dish TVIn this age of internet and mobile entertainment, is there a scope of survival for a satellite television provider?
Well the above chart attempts to make a projection of the path the Dish TV stock can take in coming years based on the rules and guidelines of the Elliot wave theory.
To highlight the most important thing about it, the stock had a clean impulsive move from March 2020 bottom.
Note*- The chart is for educational and study purpose only.
Dollar Index - Two Paths For Q1 Based On Elliott Wave Dollar has shown a great volatility in terms of sharp and strong movements in the last few years, this instrument defiantly have a lot to prove to us before we change our long term view from Bearish to Bullish.
Primary Count : Tracking the move from Jul 23 as an incomplete correction, missing one more leg higher towards the 108.28-110.36 area before the next drop occurs.
Alternate Count : Consider the correction as already completed and anticipate a further decline of the US Dollar until the elections later this year.
For next few weeks, we want to be more bullish in any case and see how market will react from 105.00 but let's see...