GOLD → Consolidation. One step away from distribution...FX:XAUUSD is faltering a bit due to high risks before the news. In the moment a strong impulse can be formed. The price is consolidating in the local range. Earlier, the price broke the local upward support....
Traders are consolidating in anticipation of economic data. Volatility is decreasing, speculators are not ready to take risks yet, all attention is focused on PMI, Powell's speech on Thursday and NFP on Friday... A rebound in US dollar demand early Tuesday kept gold buyers on the back foot. China's ongoing economic problems and the threat of global tariffs from Trump, geopolitical tensions in eastern Europe and escalating conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment.
The future direction of the gold price is likely to depend on upcoming employment data and its impact on expectations of a Fed rate cut
Resistance levels: 2660, 2655
Support levels: 2634, 2618, 2605
Since there is no even direction on the market and the price is inside the channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false break of the key resistance may provoke a fall to the support of the range.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
AEVOUSDT → One step away from a 200-400% RALLYBINANCE:AEVOUSDT is forming a market bottom. Against the backdrop of bitcoin's declining dominance, altcoins have a great chance of realization. And AEVO has an opportunity for a 200-400% rally
Relative to the bottom, the coin is forming a consolidation of 0.269 - 0.534. Consolidation is big enough and if the realization starts, the impulse can be formed quite aggressive, especially on the background of excitement.
Technically, the emphasis is on 0.534 - 0.594. If the price breaks this resistance area and the bulls are able to keep the defense above this zone, the coin will open the way to 0.8, 1.12, 1.34, which is a 200-400% move.
Resistance levels: 0.534, 0.594
Support levels: 0.455, 0.269
A breakthrough of the first line of defense is being formed. The bulls have quite positive chances. Realization can start any minute. Medium-term target is 1.127, long-term target is 1.34
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:AEVOUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bears are gaining weight. Resistance retestFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false break of the resistance of the range. The fundamental background is mixed and does not yet allow to form a clear medium and long term strategy, BUT! ...
Trump's policies create new risks. Before taking office, he has already signaled the growth of tariffs for the whole world (Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, BRICS countries). The growth of geopolitical risks also affects the price of metal. On the background of the dollar growth and expected reduction of interest rates by the Fed, gold is declining and confirms the bearish structure of the market. The markets' attention is focused on the ISM manufacturing PMI index in the US. Data from the US
Technically, the price is breaking the ascending support line as well as the 2636 zone, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming and we should pay attention to the key resistance, liquidity and imbalance zones
Resistance Levels: 2636, 0.5-0.7 Fibo, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the previously broken structure and zone of interest is forming. False breakout of 0.5-0.7 fibo (retest) can provoke active selling on the background of the newly growing dollar. But, globally, gold is still in a sideways range without a clear trend direction...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Counter-trend correction before further declineFX:GBPUSD within the correction reaches a zone of interest and resistance from which the decline may resume as the dollar returns to a northbound rut ...
Traders continue to fight for the 1.267 area, an area that is a strong enough support. Buyers don't have much of a chance as the dollar looks quite strong on the back of Trump's policies and is putting quite a lot of pressure on the forex market.
Technically, the downtrend is the priority and we will be pulling back from it. Key zones: 0.5 Fibo and the boundary of the downtrend. False breakout may provoke further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.275, 1.284
Support levels: 1.267, 1.264
False breakout of resistance will indicate the bears' domning and may provoke further selling. It is also worth emphasizing 1.267-1.264. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this zone will also confirm the bears' intention
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Solana (SOL/USD): Bullish Prospects and the Potential for a $10KAn Elliott Wave Analysis
As of today, BINANCE:SOLUSD is trading at approximately $263 per coin, and it's become clear from a technical perspective that the cryptocurrency is currently in the midst of an exciting journey within Elliott Wave Theory’s third wave. For investors and traders monitoring Solana’s potential, understanding this wave structure can offer significant insights into its future price trajectory, with a bold possibility that could see the price surpass $10,000 in the coming years — given favorable market conditions.
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory and its Application to Solana
Elliott Wave Theory is a popular and effective method of technical analysis that identifies recurring price patterns driven by investor psychology and market sentiment. In a typical market cycle, there are five waves in the direction of the trend (impulse waves), and three corrective waves against the trend.
Wave 1 represents the initial surge, often unnoticed by the majority of market participants.
Wave 2 is a correction or pullback.
Wave 3 is typically the longest and most powerful of the impulse waves, driven by widespread adoption and market enthusiasm.
Wave 4 brings about a minor correction, and
Wave 5 concludes the bullish trend.
Currently, Solana appears to be in Wave 3, a phase in which the price tends to expand considerably. This third wave, as per the theory, is usually the longest and most explosive, often surpassing the length of Wave 1. This offers a promising outlook for the SOL/USD trading pair in the medium to long term, especially as Solana continues to mature as a blockchain platform.
Why the Third Wave is Crucial for Solana’s Potential
The third wave of an Elliott Wave cycle is particularly significant for several reasons:
Wave 3 is the longest – Historical price action shows that Wave 3 tends to be the most extended of the five waves in the cycle. If Solana is indeed in this wave, we can expect its upward momentum to be strong, pushing prices to new highs.
Market sentiment – Wave 3 is driven by mass market participation, often following a period of increasing institutional interest, technological advancements, and favorable news. Solana’s growing adoption as a blockchain for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and decentralized applications (dApps) puts it in an ideal position to fuel this momentum.
Potential for exponential growth – Given that Wave 3 is typically more robust and substantial than Wave 1, we could see Solana’s price extend into an uncharted territory, far beyond the current $263 mark.
Solana’s Path Towards $10,000
Looking forward, if Solana continues its strong development, adopts newer technologies, and maintains robust network upgrades, the price could experience exponential growth. Historical patterns suggest that, when in the third wave, markets can experience significant price appreciation.
If we extrapolate this logic, considering the magnitude of Wave 1 and Wave 2, and assuming Solana continues to solidify its place as a leading blockchain platform, the third wave might take the price of SOL above $10,000 per coin.
Here’s why this is a potential scenario:
Technological Innovation – Solana has distinguished itself as one of the fastest and most scalable blockchains in the crypto space. As the Solana ecosystem continues to evolve, new developments such as the potential for Solana to become a key player in the DeFi and NFT sectors could increase its value drastically.
Broader Market Adoption – If more institutional investors and users gravitate toward Solana as their blockchain of choice, the demand for SOL tokens will rise significantly, likely pushing the price even higher. This will be especially true if Solana attracts more decentralized finance projects or integrates with other major platforms.
Favorable Political and Economic Environment – The cryptocurrency market’s long-term growth potential depends largely on regulatory clarity and broader political factors. If political environments remain favorable, particularly in key regions such as the US, Europe, and Asia, Solana could benefit from increased adoption.
Continued DeFi and NFT Growth – Solana’s blockchain has seen growing use in both the decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFT spaces, with more projects launching on its fast, low-fee network. If these trends continue, demand for Solana's native token could continue to grow, helping to push prices higher.
A Long-Term Perspective
While it's important to note that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and predicting the exact price of Solana years down the road remains speculative, it’s clear that if Solana continues to develop, and the market conditions align favorably, it could see incredible price growth. The current formation of the Elliott Wave structure on the monthly timeframe suggests that Solana might just be at the beginning of an incredibly bullish phase, with the third wave offering massive upside potential.
The price target of $10,000 for Solana may seem lofty at first glance, but considering that Wave 3 tends to be the longest and most powerful phase in an Elliott Wave cycle, such a scenario becomes feasible over the long term. For now, traders and investors should keep an eye on the ongoing price movement and macroeconomic factors that could help shape Solana’s future trajectory.
Conclusion
The Solana/USD pair is currently in the midst of the third wave in Elliott Wave Theory, which historically is the most powerful and lengthy of the impulse waves. Given Solana's technological advantages, strong growth in DeFi and NFTs, and favorable market conditions, there is a significant possibility that the price of Solana could exceed $10,000 in the future. However, it’s important to monitor the broader market sentiment, technological advancements, and political stability that will influence the trajectory of this crypto asset.
For now, if you're holding Solana, the future looks promising, with the potential for massive returns over the coming years — provided the bullish momentum from Wave 3 continues to develop as expected.
For research purposes only!
Scenario on NZDUSDHere I see a quite similar scenario as in the audusd analysis, it is quite possible that we have already established a sfp low after support where the price continues to consolidate, so from my point of view a final triangle is possible from which I would like to look for a long set up on the exit
Silver May Face More Weakness After A Corrective RallySilver is making sharp reversal down from recent highs, even breaking a lower trendline support of an ending diagonal which is an important indication for a top in place. As such, we are aware of much lower prices, maybe even back to the start of a diagonal at around 27/28 as drop from 4h time frame has an impulsive bearish structure into wave A/1.
But we see some bounce now that can be an A-B-C irregular/expanded flat correction into wave B/2, where subwave (C) can be now in progress. Resistance is then around 31.60-33 area, and from where we will have to be aware of further weakness within wave C or 3.
Elliott Wave View S&P 500 (SPX) Wave 5 in ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave view on SP500 (SPX) suggests rally from 8.5.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 8.5.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 5627.56 high and pullback in wave 2 ended at 5402.62 low. The Index then extends higher in wave 3 ending at 5878.46 high. The next pullback built a zigzag Elliott Wave structure to finish wave 4 at 5696.51 low like the 1 hour chart below shows. Actually, the SPX is trading higher in wave 5 developing an impulse or ending diagonal structure.
Wave 5 rally is in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 6017.31 high and wave ((ii)) retracement ended at 5853.01 low. Wave ((iii)) has started and it is trading in wave v of (iii) of ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 5908.12 and wave (ii) correction ended at 5855.29. Then the SPX built a nest ending wave i at 5923.51 and wave ii at 5860.56. Wave iii of (iii) finished at 6025.42 and wave iv pullback at 5984.87 low. From here, we are expecting that wave v of (iii) completes soon and the index should see a pullback in 3 swings as wave (iv) before resuming higher in wave (v) of ((iii)). Near term, as far as pivot at 5850.8 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more upside
Scenario on AUDUSDAt the end of this movement I see a final triangle forming after which an upward movement should occur, but since we still have relatively strong support at 0.63900, it is possible that the price could test this support and then after rejection the price could finally establish an SFP. Another scenario could be that the price rises immediately after the wave is completed, and for now it is just a look, nothing is finalized.
Buy the rumors, sell the news...As we can see in this indicative projection using Eliott Waves, there is a world we can imagine a retracement of XRP token.
Correlated with Fibo levels..
Let's see if the futurs and others indicators confirm or not.
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Volkswagen - soon ready for the next bullish period (?)Today I will look at Volkswagen (VOW3).
VW has had a very tough period especially with the transition to building electric cars and uncertainty especially with european legislation and market regulations. (not a complete fundamental analysis, please search for more fundamentals elsewhere!)
My Elliott wave perspective tells me that we are closing in on a potential pivot point from where the share price could easily double and this could provide us with an excellent trading opportunity for the next years.
Alikze »» Rose | Ascending corner pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending corner pattern
- In the daily time frame, in an ascending channel, according to the predicted path, it has grown up to 1.618 fibo of the previous wave, a range of 0.17.
- In the last analysis presented in the 4H time frame in an ascending channel, after breaking the channel and exiting it and breaking the zone, it experienced a correction.
- In the daily time frame, it has had a complete upward cycle, and wave 3 has grown as much as 1.618 of the previous wave.
- At the moment, correction is done as much as 0.23 fibo of the whole structure.
- A corner pattern has been formed which can grow up to the supply area by breaking the 0.072 area.
🛑 The most important resistance: ~ 0.072
💎 NOTE: In addition, if the 0.23 area breaks and stabilizes below it, the bullish scenario will be invalidated.
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BINANCE:ROSEUSDT
Scenario GBPCAD continuation update levelsAccording to the previous prediction, I correctly calculated the short position and today it is just a continuation of this previous analysis with an adjustment of the level and a small description of the whole situation. With my eyes, we see resistance here at the price level of 1.78590. If the market does not break through, a peak has formed here, which ends with a triangle. For me, if there are no news that would reverse the trend, this position is short from my point of view. There may be an even smaller pull back, as I drew, we have the untested fibo level of 0.618, which is full of liquidity.
LINK Breaks Key Level – Bullish Continuation?I have mirrored the candlestick bar pattern of 2022 on the chart. LINK has broken above the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level on the weekly timeframe, signalling strong bullish momentum. A daily or weekly close above $20.01, flipping it into support, could confirm further continuation.
Momentum remains strong on both daily and weekly timeframes. Watch for volume spikes and trend confirmations.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and assess risks before making any trading decisions.
#LINK #Crypto #Fibonacci #ChartPattern #TradingIdea
XAU/USD 01.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
For the upcoming week, I am expecting one final move to the downside. We are currently in a 1-2-3-4-5 setup to the upside. From my perspective, we have likely already seen our wave 4 low. It's also possible that we have completed wave 1 of the larger wave (4).
At this stage, I anticipate an ABC correction to the downside before resuming higher prices. My target area for this correction is between 2575 and 2570. This zone is where I will look for bullish momentum and consider entering a long position.
Stay focused and watch this level closely!
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Zigzag (ZZ) Corrective Wave TargetingThe current price action on XAUUSD suggests that the retracement phase may still be ongoing. Based on Elliott Wave theory, the structure appears to be forming a Zigzag (ZZ) Corrective Wave, a common corrective pattern in the market. Here's a detailed breakdown of the analysis:
Wave A and Wave B:
Wave A has completed, and Wave B appears to have retraced within the expected range, respecting Fibonacci retracement levels.
Wave C Projection:
If this structure is indeed a Zigzag (ZZ), Wave C could extend to 100% of Wave A, which places the target at 2675.
This target aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the prior swing low, a significant confluence zone often observed in corrective waves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at the 2675 level, which also aligns with the 100% extension of Wave A.
Support levels around the 38.2% and 23.6% retracements, which could act as interim pullback zones.
Market Implications:
If the price reaches the 2675 level, it could signal the completion of the corrective pattern, paving the way for the next impulsive move.
However, if the price fails to reach this target, it may indicate an alternative wave count or a shallower correction.
Strategy Considerations:
Monitor price action near the 2675 level for potential reversal signals.
Use Fibonacci retracements and extensions to refine entry and exit points.
Always manage risk with appropriate stop-loss levels and position sizing.
This is a great opportunity to see Elliott Wave theory in action. Let’s observe how the price unfolds and whether it adheres to the projected pattern. As always, trade cautiously and stay disciplined!
#XAUUSD #ElliottWave #ZigzagWave #TradingView #FibonacciAnalysis