EURJPY → False breakout of key resistance ...FX:EURJPY is forming a false breakdown of resistance and draws us a reversal pattern against the upper boundary of the descending price channel, as well as the pressure on the market creates the correction of the dollar...
On the daily chart the structure is bearish. After the false breakout of the global resistance a correction is formed, within which the price can test the imbalance zone or the previously broken resistance and continue its fall after the liquidity capture. The global trend is neutral and in this case it is worth considering local support levels as targets
Resistance levels: channel boundary, 162.3, 163.0
Support levels: 160.84, 158.9
A retest of the channel resistance or the area of 162.4 - 163 is possible. But any return of the price under the resistance of the descending channel and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may provoke further decline
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
Bitcoin at Key Resistance – Will Bears Take Control?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous posts .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining from the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) again, the first target could be $83,400 and the second target can be the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) filling.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) we can expect more pumps.
This analysis is in line with the following analysis that I shared with you on the weekly timeframe. 👇
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Apple Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- Apple reversed from resistance level 220.00
- Likely to fall to support level 208.00
Apple recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 220.00 (former strong support from November and January, acting as the resistance level after it was broken previously).
The donwward reversal from this resistance level 220.00 stopped the previous short-term correction 4 – which belongs to wave (C) from February.
Apple can be expected to fall to the next support level 208.00 (which reversed the price earlier this month).
IBM Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- IBM reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 253.00
IBM recently reversed up from the support zone between the pivotal support level 240.00 (former multi-month high from December), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from November.
The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji – strong buy signal for IBM.
Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 253.00 (which reversed the price twice earlier this month).
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD .
Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook :
Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar.
Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame .
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) .
I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today .
Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Nasdaq: Wave A Done – Now Lining Up for a Strong BounceThe Nasdaq is starting to look really interesting here. In my view, we've completed Wave ((a)) to the downside—a clean (abc) correction. Why do I think it's done? Because we've just tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and saw a strong reaction, just above last year’s VWAP, which I always consider a key reference point on the higher time frame.
Ideally, I would have liked to see that 19,090 level get tagged—unfortunately, we didn’t quite reach it. But honestly, this reaction is solid enough to still keep the bullish scenario intact.
Adding to that, the RSI is now in oversold territory, and the last two times we’ve seen that, it was followed by strong upward moves. Based on all of this, I’m expecting a solid bounce over the coming weeks, likely lasting into Q1 or even Q2 2025 .
Where could this move take us? I see two key zones: the first between 22,000 and 22,425 and the second between 23,320 and 23,675. Could it land somewhere in between? Sure. But one of those zones is where I expect this corrective structure to wrap up. That would likely complete the larger ((abc)) correction, after which we’ll finally begin forming the macro Wave A—which will open the next big leg of structure.
So the bigger picture is in play here. In the meantime, I’ll be hunting for entries on the lower time frames, because I do think we’re setting up for a pretty solid push on this index in the coming weeks.
Navigating XRP Regulatory Winds and Technical TidesThe crypto sphere remains fixated on XRP, a digital asset perpetually caught between regulatory scrutiny and promising technological advancements. Recent developments, including the delayed decision on a potential XRP ETF, the nearing conclusion of the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit, and the launch of CFTC-regulated XRP futures, have injected fresh volatility and speculation into XRP's price trajectory.
ETF Delay and SEC Lawsuit: A Tale of Two Catalysts
The anticipation surrounding a potential XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been palpable. However, the recent delay in the SEC's decision has tempered immediate expectations. While a positive verdict would undoubtedly trigger a massive price surge, the postponement underscores the regulatory hurdles still facing the cryptocurrency market.
Conversely, the long-standing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC is seemingly approaching its denouement. Reports suggest the SEC is considering dropping the case against Ripple, a development that has already spurred significant price appreciation. The dismissal of the lawsuit, even if partial, would provide much-needed regulatory clarity, significantly boosting investor confidence. This potential resolution drove XRP up 12+% to $2.50, indicating the market's sensitivity to legal outcomes.
Technical Analysis: Charting a Course to New Highs
From a technical standpoint, XRP's price action displays a complex interplay of support and resistance levels. A critical resistance zone lies between $2.60 and $2.89. Overcoming this barrier is crucial for XRP to unlock its full potential and embark on a sustained upward trend. However, XRP has shown resilience, maintaining support above the $2.0 mark, which suggests underlying strength.
Analyzing the Elliott Wave theory, some analysts suggest XRP is currently in a corrective Wave 4. Within this framework, the $2.66 level emerges as a pivotal point. Breaking above this level would signal the completion of Wave 4 and the initiation of Wave 5, potentially leading to new all-time highs. This wave count, while speculative, provides a valuable framework for understanding potential price movements.
Conversely, trading below the 100-day moving average (MA) presents a significant setback for XRP buyers. This would signal a potential shift in momentum and could lead to further downward pressure. Investors should closely monitor this MA as a key indicator of short-term price direction.
Bitnomial's XRP Futures: Bridging Traditional and Crypto Markets
The launch of Bitnomial's CFTC-regulated XRP futures marks a significant milestone for the asset. This development provides institutional investors with a regulated avenue to gain exposure to XRP, potentially increasing liquidity and market depth. This regulated futures market may also provide more price stability, while also providing a tool for shorting XRP.
How High Can XRP Price Go After a Ripple Victory?
The question on everyone's mind is: how high can XRP soar if Ripple secures a decisive victory against the SEC? Predicting exact price targets is inherently challenging, but several factors suggest a bullish outlook.
Firstly, regulatory clarity would remove a major overhang that has suppressed XRP's price for years. This newfound certainty would attract a wave of institutional and retail investors who have previously been hesitant to invest due to legal uncertainties.
Secondly, Ripple's continued expansion and adoption of its technology, particularly in the cross-border payments sector, positions XRP for long-term growth. The increasing demand for efficient and cost-effective payment solutions could further fuel XRP's price appreciation.
Thirdly, the psychological impact of a legal victory should not be underestimated. It would validate XRP's legitimacy as a digital asset and potentially trigger a FOMO (fear of missing out) rally.
Based on these factors, some analysts speculate that XRP could potentially retest and surpass its previous all-time high, potentially reaching double-digit valuations. However, the timing and magnitude of such a surge remain subject to market dynamics and regulatory developments.
Why Is XRP Surging? The Convergence of Catalysts
The recent surge in XRP's price can be attributed to a convergence of positive catalysts. The nearing conclusion of the SEC lawsuit, coupled with the launch of CFTC-regulated XRP futures, has created a perfect storm of bullish sentiment.
Furthermore, general market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies has been improving, with increasing institutional adoption and growing awareness of the technology's potential.
Navigating the Volatility: A Word of Caution
While the outlook for XRP appears promising, investors should remain cognizant of the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory developments, market sentiment, and technical factors can all significantly impact price movements.
Therefore, investors should conduct thorough research, manage their risk prudently, and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term price fluctuations.
In conclusion, XRP is navigating a complex landscape of regulatory headwinds and technological tailwinds. The nearing conclusion of the SEC lawsuit, coupled with the launch of regulated futures, presents a compelling case for a bullish outlook. However, investors should remain vigilant and exercise caution as they navigate the volatile crypto market. The interplay of legal outcomes, technical analysis, and market sentiment will ultimately determine XRP's future trajectory.
MSFT morning analysisI don't normally apply Elliott Wave Theory to individual stocks, but MSFT is about as clean as it gets.
Wave 2 is a zigzag of long duration, wave 4 is a triple-three of relatively short duration.
RSI with bearish divergence.
If this proves to be correct, the ultimate buy/long would be back towards the March 2020/COVID low (white rectangle).
$SPY March 20, 2025AMEX:SPY March 20, 2025
15 Minutes.
For the extension 559.07 to 566.3 to 562.05 100% move is done yesterday making a high 570.95.
For the last rise 562.05 to 570.95 holding 565 is important else i expect a side moving average consolidation around 562 563 levels so that 50, 100 and 200 gets sorted out in order.
Apple (AAPL): -50%. According to the planElliott Wave Analysis of Apple stock
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● NASDAQ:AAPL |🔎TF: 1W
Fig. 1
The long-term wave markup has not been adjusted for the past three years. Except that the orthodox tops and bottoms and targets for third waves are slightly refined.
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● NASDAQ:AAPL |🔎TF: 1W
Fig. 2
Earlier, at the end of 2023 , we have already suggested wave ((iv)) in 3 in the form of a running flat. As we can see, the attempt was unsuccessful, the formation of a sideways correction continues to this day. It can be a running flat or an expanded flat, the latter of which assumes a break of the 124.17 low.
GOLD → Fading out before the news. Possible long-squeezeFX:XAUUSD continues its bullish trend, but locally, the movement is in a very narrow channel (wedge). To form a potential for further movement, the price may form a long-squeeze before or at the time of news...
Fundamentally, gold remains a bullish asset due to the Fed's rate cut forecasts and economic risks associated with Trump's tariff policy. Gold hit a new high on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans to cut rates twice this year, raised its inflation forecast and worsened growth and employment estimates.The price is further supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza.
Gold is forming a bull market. Before further growth (before the news) the price may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), after which it will continue to grow. Dollar enters local correction before the news, which creates pressure on gold
Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056
Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024
Price is forming a retest of the wedge support, which increases the chances of a breakdown. If the support fails to hold, the price may go down to the above support before rising further.
But! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the growth will continue without a deep pullback
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Short: Completion of 5 waves of Wave 5 (or sub-wave 3)As mentioned in this video, I have a primary count that states that Gold has completed the entire wave 3 (see link video for cycle wave counts), and my alternate count is that the 5th wave is not completed BUT sub-wave3 is completed and we are going into wave 4. Both primary and alternate points to a short opportunity.
The stop loss will be recent high (around 3058).
IHSG (JCI ) MAPPING 20 MARCH 2025IHSG (JCI ) analysis on March 20, 2025 theoretically shows that it has completed the triple zigzag wave correction (WXYZ) with 11 swings of the Elliott wave correction series and touched the theoretical level of 0.618 (area 6,018.22) Fibonacci extension measurements. In addition, it has also touched its Fresh Demand Weekly area and reacted upwards. So the hope for the future is that IHSG (JCI ) will continue it's big bullish trend journey again after being corrected.
May we be blessed.
EASY TRIP PLANNERS LTD Chart (Elliott Wave Perspective)Overall Trend:
The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend since reaching its peak.
The price structure suggests it is in a corrective phase based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Wave Count Analysis:
The chart shows a five-wave impulse, followed by a ZIG ZAG 5-3-5 corrective structure.
The C wave is currently unfolding and appears to be in its final stages.
Projected Price Movement:
The price is expected to form a wave (iv) retracement before continuing lower to complete the final (v) wave of C.
The projected target for wave (v) of C is in the ₹9 - ₹7.50 range.
There is a potential invalidation level at ₹20.46, meaning if price breaks above this, the bearish count might be reconsidered.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: ₹9 - ₹7.50 (Potential bottom for wave C)
Invalidation Level: ₹20.46 (Break above may suggest a reversal)
Bearish & Bullish Possibilities:
Bearish Case : If the stock follows the Elliott Wave count, it could complete its correction towards the ₹9 zone before any significant recovery.
Bullish Case: If the price moves above the ₹20.46 invalidation level, a potential trend reversal could be in play.
🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin - This indicator is always right! Crash to 40k in 2026.What we can see on the chart is Bitcoin cycles. We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart, because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty?
Statistically:
Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days
Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days
Correction is every time weaker, but still huge
The recent uptrend on Bitcoin started in December 2022 and ended in January 2025 (791 days). We know that statistically bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days, so this indicator tells us that the bull market ended! This indicator was never wrong, so do your own research. It's always like this. Moon boys calling for 300k, 500k, or 1M in 2025 do not follow my TradingView profile because otherwise they would know this strong fundamental fact. The market cap of Bitcoin is already too big, so forget about 500K or 1M in the short term because the market cap would be higher than gold. Gold is the number 1 asset in the world.
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!