Hang Seng Short: Completion of correctionAs I mentioned, I was wrong in the previous analysis. And this time, I would short again with the stop loss above where I put the end of E wave.
Elliott Wave
EWTSU 6E1! subminuette wave v developping
Elliott Wave trade analysis
micro wave ((5)) of subminuette wave v developping
look at kennedy channels technique to monitor wave ((5)) of ((v))
confirmation: price break over 1.1470 and rise with a motive 5 waves pattern
invalidation: price break below area 1.1300
"BIST100: Triangle Signals 20-25% Drop"BIST100 (XU100)
In the monthly Cash Data, we see that a Reverse Neutral Triangle has formed and the post-pattern movement (the downward movement after wave-(e)) has also confirmed it and it seems that BIST100 is preparing for at least a 20-25% correction.
If the beginning of wave-(b) is broken, i.e. the number 7189, the correction of this index can continue to 5705.
DIVISLAB: Eyeing Breakout from A-B-C ChannelDaily TF
DIVISLAB is nearing the completion of a complex W-X-Y corrective pattern. A long position could be considered after a breakout from the A-B-C channel, with potential targets in the 6100–6400 range.
I will update more information soon.
Elliott waveElliott wave trend
buy limit 3245 stoploss 3220 tp 3350
sell limit 3350 stoploss 3365 tp 3330
MANA Motive Wave
The gray descending trendline has been broken, in what looks to be a motive wave (green I-V).
I will be looking for green IV corrections, ideally retesting the trendline, for long trades.
On the flipside, there is no RSI divergence on the recent low, so the probability that we have seen a bottom is not that big.
The Bullish Case of ARB#Arbitrum has been declining since early 2024, forming a complex bearish trend despite strong fundamentals.
This fall is likely a corrective wave ahead of a potential bull-run toward a new ATH.
Breaking $0.24 is a minor invalidation, possibly offering a better entry lower.
XRP - Choppy Market, Will We See $1.5 Again?After finishing the 5-wave structure in early 2025, XRP had a rough patch, trading between $3 and $2 and offering some pretty neat swing trade opportunities. Now, two months later, the big question is: will this range continue, or is a breakout on the horizon? Let’s break down the key levels and high-probability setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone:
The weekly level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement are both around $2.5763 to $2.5792, aligning nicely with each other.
The anchored VWAP from the all-time high at $3.4 adds extra resistance at about $2.63.
Setup Details:
A low-risk short trade can be considered at the weekly level, with a stop-loss set above both the anchored VWAP and the swing high.
Target: The monthly open, aiming for an R:R of about 4:1.
Support Backup:
Additional support in this range comes from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (from a low at $1.9 to a high at $2.59), the weekly 21 SMA at $2.28, and a weekly level at $2.0942 just below the monthly open.
This support between the weekly level at $2.0942 and the monthly open is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If it holds, the bearish short setup stands; if it breaks, things could get tricky.
Long Trade Setup
When to Consider a Long:
If the support zone mentioned above fails, look for a long trade opportunity at the swing low around $1.77.
Support Confluence:
Primary Support: The swing low at $1.77, with lots of liquidity around that area.
Additional Layers:
The monthly level at $1.5988.
The weekly level at $1.5605 sits just below the monthly.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 5-wave structure at $1.5351.
Anchored VWAP from the low at $0.3823, aligning with the weekly level.
And don’t forget the psychological level at $1.5.
Setup Details:
This long trade setup would offer an attractive R:R of roughly 6:1, targeting back to the monthly open for an approximate 33% gain, with a stop-loss placed below the $1.5 mark.
XRP's current trading range has provided some good short and long trade setups, a long opportunity at the swing low ($1.77-$1.5) could be the next big play. Whether you lean towards short or long, finding these confluence zones helps in making more informed, high-probability trade decisions.
If you found it helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
short-to-long term AUDCAD sell opportunitywe expect the market to pullback to the 50% to 61.8% for wave to or break the low.
EURUSD update: Is wave 4 complete?On my previous analysis earlier today I was expecting a triangle to be formed for the 4th wave. However, the idea is now invalidated. Now what to expect from this current structure is price to continue lower to complete a WXY correction to around 50% fib or continue up from the current level. The only way to take advantage to ride this last 5th wave of lower degree is by lower time frame confirmation. Lets keep monitoring the price. Cheers.
GBPUSD update: Is wave 1 completed?It looks like price is making the 5th wave of the final phase of wave 1 of higher degree. If we are correct we should expect price to drop to create corrective wave 2. To take a chance one should find confirmation possible decline.
GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is not going to turn around. The level of economic risks is still at a high level and the price may continue to rise, but after the end of consolidation.
Gold is back to a record $3,246 despite calm markets. Lower US bond yields and a pause in capital withdrawals are supporting demand for protective assets.
Uncertainty around Trump's tariff policy and expectations of a Fed rate cut are driving prices higher. Additional support is provided by inflows into Chinese ETFs and expectations of Chinese GDP data. Further gold movement depends on headlines on tariffs and Fed rhetoric.
Technically, the focus is on consolidation 3244 - 3187 and internal support level 3208.
Resistance levels: 3244, 3270
Support levels: 3208, 3187
The market is likely to be in consolidation until tomorrow, when important economic reports will be published. But nevertheless, there could be strong movements intraday due to various factors. I expect to see a retest of support at 3208 or 3187 before further upside. But, consolidation near 3244, breakout and consolidation above the level may give a chance for growth
Regards R. Linda!
XAU/USD Enters Fourth Wave ConsolidationCurrently, XAU/USD appears to have completed the third wave, and the beginning of the fourth wave seems to be underway, indicating the start of a corrective phase. This correction can potentially extend down to the 3118.486 level. In terms of targets, the key levels to watch are 3166.464 and 3117.451 . Following this correction, there is a possibility that the fifth wave may commence.
EURUSD potential trianglePrice has made what looks like a triangle and I am expecting price to continue higher. Lower time frame structures can be used for confirmation for a bullish entry.
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XAUUSD M15 2025/05/15Stick to your stop loss to protect your trades - Manage your positions patiently until you hit the target - Profit always in risk, take the risk or lose the chance
XAG/USD Eyes Upside Targets as Wave C MaturesXAG/USD is currently trading in a corrective phase where wave B appears to have completed, and wave C is currently forming. Based on the current price action, it doesn’t seem likely that this entire move will result in a full bullish recovery. The structure suggests that this could be sub-wave C of wave 4, potentially completing around the 26.79944 level. Going forward, if the 5th wave begins to unfold, potential targets could be in the range of 29.74182 to 30.57528.
PYTH: Completed Double Combo#Pyth has been in a bearish trend since Mar 2024, partly due to poor tokenomics.
However, it seems to have completed a double combo correction, that potentially ended with a bounce from the trend-based Fib extension at $0.10 which could be a possible bottom for this token.
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm,
this was initially a private post,
but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people.
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interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history.
monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math.
and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of.
the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born.
most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early,
watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind.
we will not.
🌙
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tp - 753k
nasdaq rallies to 32kgood morning,
i don’t usually post publicly, especially not about the stock market, but today feels like the right moment. i wanted to share my updated outlook for the nasdaq over the next year or so.
this was originally a member-only idea i shared back in september. you can check out the original post here:
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the whole idea was based on a leading diagonal pattern, followed by a sharp wave 2 that resets sentiment and shakes out early optimism. this kind of move tends to scare most people out before the real run begins. from there, the setup calls for a parabolic wave 3 that carries us all the way to the grand cycle wave 5 target, around 32k (chart attached)
👇
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the reason behind this move is actually pretty straightforward... a short squeeze into the end of the cycle, a weakening dollar, falling interest rates, looser tariff policy, and everyone’s favorite fuel: quantitative easing. while rates haven’t fallen yet and tariff policies are still tight, major shifts are on the horizon. i believe those shifts will trigger a parabolic rally.
and there’s one more catalyst behind this push, the ai boom. i believe artificial general intelligence will be cracked before the year is over, and the market is already beginning to price that in, starting now.
🌙
top is in for the dxygm,
this idea has been in the works for years, ever since we topped out 3 years ago. there has been quite a bit of variations of this idea, but this one right here has been my primary idea for a very long time.
initially i imagined the dxy coming up to 111-113 before topping out, and i reckon it still can, but the worst is behind us, relatively speaking.
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if my count here is correct, the dxy will begin extending down into wave c into the last days of 2025 where a major low will be put in place .
this will create a hyper-parabolic bull phase for risk assets, in conjunction with declining rates.
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if you've been waiting for a signal to buy alts
this is your signal.
🌙
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ps. view my private idea from last year via:
🌙
