DOT/USDT (Very Important) The MATIC chart I shared is almost identical to the DOT chart, with only minor, negligible differences. The same scenarios are active for both DOT and MATIC. The white scenario I’ve illustrated represents an initial correction followed by an impulsive rise, while the orange lines indicate a 1-2, 1-2 setup with minimal corrections.
For DOT, the invalidation level for the white scenario is $7.15. In my opinion, the probability of the white count is 51%, and the orange count is 49%. This is not investment advice. If you ask me, it looks like the last accumulation phase before a major rally in altcoins. Again, this is not investment advice.
Elliott Wave
MATIC/USDT (VERY Important Update)I previously shared an analysis for MATIC, and now I’m updating it. The reason for MATIC's price rising while the market volume is decreasing is due to the dominance of the wedge pattern. The chart I’ve shared should not be overlooked at this point. The invalidation level for this Elliott wave count is $0.56.
For those holding in spot, there’s no issue, and there’s no need to sell. For futures, it’s better to observe for a while—neither short nor long. This is not investment advice; it reflects my own opinions and strategy. There are many different Elliott wave counts in the market, and accurately predicting them is truly challenging.
Alikze »» Link | Scenario wave 1 of 3 rising - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario wave 1 of 3 rising - 1D
- It has been moving in a downward channel on the daily time frame.
- Currently, with the failure of the descending channel, in the case of a pullback to the ceiling of the channel or the range of 12.50, it can have the target of 16 to 17 dollars in the first step.
- This ascending wave is the previous wave. But in a longer-term perspective, wave 2 correction in the green box range has ended.
- Therefore, this recent motivational wave, micro-waves, wave 1 out of 3 is rising.
💎 In addition, this increasing wave can continue to climb up to Fibo 1.272 and 1.618 if the supply zone is broken.
⚠️ Note: If the candlestick closes below the 12.50 zone, the bullish scenario is invalidated and can retest the green box zone. ⚠️
💎 Currently, according to the momentum, the first scenario or the bullish scenario is more likely.
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
AAPL to back to 200 in a flatCan't help but see the moves since August as 2 corrections in a row for W-(A) and W-(B). This followed up with what looks like a leading diagonal for W-1 of W-(C). The subcount for W-2 had a=c and 61.8% both right at 230.5 which it bounced off today. Not pictured, I do have a potentially for 1 more small high before the drop. I'm also pretty bearish on GOOG, AMZN, and MSFT in the same timeframe so this would line up.
UPDATE ON ETHUSD.. Wave B is EXTENDED!Hi,
I got some update on ETHUSD view, yes it is still valid the B correction is on going, BUT.. it was really way out of our 1st trading plan that predicted the consolidation of B (on the perfect channel) was just over.
However, the trading plan is still the same, we are selling ETHUSD to ride the delicious wave C.
Let's go!!!
CHEERRRSS...!!!
AUDCHF #2 lets trade to the upside end of pullbackwe have a wedge pattern and its indicating price will have upside impulsive move soon
we have one bearish fvg pending could the next pullack after bullish impulse then after we have final target
down we have mitigated with the bullish poi
waiting for the bullish candlestick pattern or structure
start looking for entry setup after
0.57600 levels , 0.5800 and 0.58600 will be the target area
enjoy !!!
GOLD → Why is the metal rising? A chance to upgrade ATH to 2800?FX:XAUUSD rallies and seeks to renew the local maximum. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the metal, to which aggressive buyers are running...
Gold is not reacting to the dollar rally and hawkish Fed rate statements. Markets now rate the probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December at 51%, up from 84% a week ago.
The reason for the metal's rally is paramount to the escalating conflict in Eastern Europe. The US Democrats have untied the hands Ukraine, which has caused Russia to change its nuclear doctrine and lower its threshold for retaliatory decisions. The conflict, fundamentally, is taking a more serious side.
Gold, as a hedge asset in times of crisis, is soaking up investor money and feeling strong buyer support
Technically, we are getting a high probability that the metal can update ATH to 2800-2850.
Resistance levels: 2710, 2731, 2750
Support levels: 2689, 2680, 2674
There is strong resistance ahead, which may trigger a correction to the nearest liquidity zones, but we are not talking about reversals. The correction may end quickly and the price will go into the bull run phase again. Medium-term targets are 2731-2750
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Alikze »» ETH | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W
🟢 BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum currency in the weekly time frame: As mentioned in the previous analysis , the supply area can have two movement paths.
🟢As mentioned: The first scenario, after completing the first wave in the supply area with a correction to the support area of the green box area, the range of $2,500 extended. Meanwhile, in the lower time frames, the details of the behavior of the Ethereum currency were also fully discussed.
🟢 However, in the 4-hour time frame, the ascending micro-waves of the first cycle were examined, as predicted, the ascending wave extended to the supply area of 3,200 to 3,500.
🟢 Therefore, the first cycle can end in the current range or slightly higher and form a zigzag correction to form a 3-of-3 ascending wave.
🟢 However, according to the movement path predicted in the previous analysis, this ascending cycle has the ability to grow at least to the 0.78 Fibo area of the previous wave.
🟢 Considering that this cycle is inside a triangle, it can continue as long as the triangle base.
🔴 Important:
Due to the application of the triangle base and the ability to grow to the supply area specified according to the Elliott scenario, this bullish cycle will be able to grow to the large supply area after breaking the 0.78 Fibo area.
Considering the current momentum and the bullish engulfing candle in the green box area, the following targets can be touched.
🎯Previous major ceiling,
🎯 Next target 6832
🎯 9357
🎯 Specified supply area (large red box)
⚠️ In addition, in the first step, considering the first bullish cycle, I expect no correction to extend to the Invalidation LVL area. ⚠️
After that, and after the previous major ceiling area is broken, the Invalidation LVL area will be updated.
In case of a change in behavior and structure, its details will be reviewed and updated.
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NAS100 afternoon updateBearish case for NAS100.
From ATH of 21247.5, proposed impulse wave down (red ellipse) and corrective wave up (green ellipse).
Price action in the context of proposed ending diagonal wave ((5)) (wedge) and failure of price to tag median line (red line) of pitchfork. Bottom of wedge has held as support for price in proposed wave (2) (red ellipse).
If count is correct, first sign would be impulsive price action (wave (3)) to break below wedge and head towards target of 18297.4.
If this is the market top, price will likely go much lower, back towards October 2022 lows.
NIFTY50.....Sucker-wave has started!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has declined to 23263 on Thursday and my forecast ("...one more lower low") played out well!
The decline since the ATH is to count as a "five down" and Friday's price action seems to mark the end of the weakening phase and a pullback has begun!?
If so, a first target range is around the 24484 to 24537 range with more bullish potential exist.
Even more, the N50 has fallen into the area of the 0.618 Fibonacci of the advance from 21281 to 26277!
Anyway. Normally a correction is to watch with a first leg done, a "counter-trend move" into the main direction of the larger trend, and finally, a second leg down to complete the correction.
So, we have probably seen a first leg down and the coming days could be bullish.
I have labeled the chart as a wave (v/a?) with a "question-mark, 'cause I am not sure what next to come. Seasonal we are in a phase of bullish price action, but....!?
We will check the pattern early next week and see....
Have a great weekend.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trading on this analysis is at your own risk.
USDCHF Elliott Wavehello friends
We see a triangle in the USDCHF currency pair. Triangles are always seen in wave 4 or B zigzag. But everything depends on where these triangles break. It usually moves in the same direction after the break and the Pullback goes to the lane. My theory is wave B of Zigzag and the price is more likely to go up. Stop loss can also be set at the end of the previous wave or previous swing, because if the previous wave or previous swing is broken, the analysis and the selected path are invalid and you have to enter the trade in the direction of the price break. . The probability of price increase is much higher than its increase. Therefore, we have prepared a trade for a bullish move.
To support me, I recommend you install Trading View software on your phone and see my analysis and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
XAU/USD 20.11.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
Here are my thoughts for the coming days/weeks/months, based on the Elliott Wave method:
It’s clear that we’ve topped out at wave (3).I anticipate seeing an ABC correction forming within the overall wave A to B. Fibonacci target levels for the smaller wave C can be drawn once wave B is established.
My plan is to short at the 78% Fibonacci level where also a high volume area is, riding the move down in wave 4. Along the way, I’m looking for a clean 1-2-3-4-5 setup from the larger wave (B) to the larger wave (C). That would be phenomenal clear chart set up.
If you have any questions, feel free to ask! ;)
Target (TGT): A Buying Opportunity in the GapAfter three months of waiting and planning this setup on NYSE:TGT , we are finally buying shares following the recent drop into the desired breakout gap. Before this move, the stock hovered around the Point of Control (POC), making a breakout in either direction inevitable. This decline now provides a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio, setting us up to aim for the all-time highs once again.
If the level of wave (4) is breached, we will need to reassess our bullish outlook and consider a potential deeper correction. However, the setup remains promising as the 78.6% and 88.2% Fibonacci retracements align perfectly with the lower edge of the gap.
Historically, NYSE:TGT ’s oversold RSI since 2019 has led to a minimum 50% pump in four out of six cases, further solidifying our bullish view. The next critical level to watch is $180—reclaiming this resistance will be crucial for continued upward movement. Until then, we will stay patient and monitor the situation. ✅
McDonald’s (MCD): Crisis Management and Market ReactionWhat a perfect flat this is on McDonald’s. Already back in the range and finished the wave ((ii)) at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Far more downside is expected for $MCD. If we are right about this intra wave count, we should see the level of wave ((iii)) to be at a minimum of $258.5.
The outbreak that caused the big drop was linked to slivered onions used in Quarter Pounder burgers, which affected 104 individuals across 14 states and resulted in one death. To address the crisis, McDonald’s will invest $35 million in marketing and advertising campaigns to rebuild customer trust and foot traffic. Additionally, $65 million will be directed toward franchisee support, including deferrals on rent and royalties.
To recover from this significant image damage, it will likely take much time for NYSE:MCD to resolve these challenges. Therefore, it would also be valid if NYSE:MCD sweeps the range low at the level of $245 before coming back to at least the range middle.
Gold Analysis==>>Contracting Triangle!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,688-$2,666) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has successfully completed microwave 4 with the help of a Contracting Triangle and is currently completing main wave 5 .
I expect Gold to go up at least as far as the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$2,679-$2,675 ] and the upper line of Bollinger Band and then correct .
Note: In previous posts, I told you that the Bollinger Bands indicator works well for gold in the 1-hour time frame.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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100k might start wave 4 of 5Hi all, what an exiting time to be part of crypto. BTC is putting in all time new highs almost daily at the moment, it's incredible to watch. This chart shows that hitting 100k might end the gorgeous wave 3 of 5 we've been having of late and plunge is into a wave 4. Not to worry, if this happens this will be a lovely buy dip as wave 5 will be owed at this point. Don't forget, this 1-5 impulse is only wave ONE of FIVE of a higher degree of trend so there's plenty more up to go as yet. Follow more more.
USDBRL_1W_Buyhello
Analysis of the Brazilian real in the medium and long term
Elliott wave analysis style
The market is in an upward trend and in the medium term we are in wave 3, which wave 3 includes 5 waves.
The target of wave 3 is 6.5500 and again we can have a correction as wave 4 to 5.8800 and continue to climb for the big wave 5 towards 7.4400
Sincerely, I am a dear Brazilian and the country is extremely beautiful and the entire continent of America ends in the great country of Brazil. I traveled around the continent of America in 2024 and I have not seen a country like Brazil, especially Sao Paulo.
I wish all the best for Brazil
ICP Breakout Signals a 40% Surge as Bitcoin Hits $100kCRYPTOCAP:ICP , a popular altcoin, is gaining momentum as it approaches a breakout from its 5-month consolidation channel. If the breakout sustains, it could pave the way for a substantial move of up to 40% 🚀. Expect FOMO into large-cap altcoins as traders realize they've missed the bitcoin rally to $100k.