Elliott Wave
BTC Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst Cyclic AnalysisIn our previous update, published on November 30th, we anticipated the completion of wave IV of A of (5) retracement on BTC, which was aligned with a 20-week (20W) cycle trough expected in the third week of December.
Now, the wave IV retracement has been completed and the 20-week (20W) cycle trough has been confirmed. As previously mentioned, the next major trough is the 40-week (40W) cycle, projected for May 1st, 2025. In the short term, we expect BTC to push higher to complete wave V, followed by a bearish phase in March and April. A potential target for the peak is 121,500.
Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again .
Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
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GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → High risk. Falling towards 70K or rising towards 100K?BINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a correction phase after Powell's speech last week. If the price goes beyond the accumulation boundaries, there will be a risk for a strong fall as the price is approaching the panic zone...
Bitcoin is still in high demand, but private traders are going into a phase of profit taking after negative news, while institutional traders are taking advantage of the moment and buying the asset at a cheap price. But it doesn't mean anything.
Fundamentally, Trump gives a big chance to the cryptocurrency market, but after winning the presidential election the excitement starts to fade and then the risk of revaluation increases. If the market does not get what it was promised, a deep correction may occur. Also, the Fed played a negative role last week: slowing down the rate cuts and negative tone about the strategic reserve and reluctance to have BTC on their balance sheet.
Technically, despite the breakout of the ascending channel support, the price is still inside the 99K - 86K consolidation
Resistance levels: 99300, 103600
Support levels: 91780, 86700, 82700
The price is approaching the support. If the market keeps the price in this zone, bitcoin will have a chance to recover to 100K. But, if the fight for 86-84K zone starts, then everything will depend on the general market background, a negative background can provoke a breakdown of strong support and the price will fall into the void zone...
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Wave Analysis (Chart Self-Explanatory)While chart is Self-Explanatory the wave analysis show a possible one more decline to form Wave 4 (D) before the price rally up for Wave 5 (W) and Wave 3 (M)
For Intraday trading its better to focus on short positions
Do this analysis align with yours or no ? Please leave your valuable opinion
BTC Possible PathPrimary trend still intact.
Secondary trend is in corrective mode.
Market cleanse can happen towards 85k. After new year we resume.
Good thing is that OTHERS.D, (the % it represents against BTC (excluding top 10)) performs best in January. So i guess this is just a short term breather.
Market makes the rules not us. We'll see how it goes.
Tata Motors is Long trade set up do not fear or panic !!!!Tamo is long set up full fledged, note down important numbers resistance and support zones aim for target price of 1400 INR. All influencer and news channel will give you bearish reports but that is not the case Tamo & the companys internal & external matters have changed and the company has grown from what we have seen in 2000's the stock will not follow same pattern that we see on charts before.
It will fire & take you to the moon, this could be your last chance to grab this opportunity !!!
Dont miss !!!
This trade is for educational purposes manage your risks wisely.
TSLA consolidationThe last few days' strong rebound in the Nasdaq and SPX reads like a corrective move to me (B wave). Syncing up with this assumption, I think TSLA is also in a corrective bounce right now and another 14%-15%-ish leg down can be expected. I am reading this bounce as a running flat formation, hence the five wave move up from the local low - which is tricky and can appear that the low is in. And it can be... however, I am expecting a leg down. For classic TA, the chart has formed a megaphone pattern. (The reason why I am not counting this as an ABCDE, but more like a running flat, because the move up from the low was in five waves). In line with this I reduced my position but looking to add back at the 390-ish area.
Beautiful fractals of Bitcoin ends before ChristmasWhen we start counting the strong and memorable upward waves of Bitcoin from August's lowest price, where we saw a nice support reaction at $49,000, we witness one of the most beautiful phenomena in the financial markets on the chart. It's a stunning nested fractal that showcases a powerful five-wave upward movement, with the third wave standing out, and it itself has formed another self-similar five-wave fractal, for 4 times in a row!
I can't emphasize enough how beautiful this part of the market is. The power of the upward waves, the neat and appealing corrections, the Fibonacci levels that comply with Elliott's rules, and the stunning reactions to significant static and dynamic levels—all of this creates an incredible visual. I can share this section of the Bitcoin chart many times in my classes to help enthusiasts understand the nested nature of market waves and gain greater mastery and appreciation for the beauty of the financial market. I've even tried to create a minimal drawing of this phenomenon on the chart with my limited drawing skills.
Now, we see that all these fractals have closed at the price of $108,000, and there isn't an upward fractal that had started before touching the low at $49,000. The downward momentum from the $108,000 price indicates that we've completed a strong bullish period and are entering a new phase. The end of an upward movement doesn’t necessarily mean the beginning of a downturn, so I’m not setting any outlandish bearish targets. I always track the market step by step. This could be the start of a significant drop, or perhaps the price will range for a while. The recent movement, which has lasted about 135 days, suggests that this correction period won't end soon, and I don’t expect the historical peak to be broken until March 2025 at the earliest.
Based on fundamental analysis of the markets in the upcoming year, I believe we can agree that Bitcoin's upward movement may continue into next year. However, given the economic data and the Federal Reserve's cautious decisions to strengthen the dollar, we shouldn't expect this rise to happen rapidly. Bitcoin's fluctuations in the $90,000, $80,000, and maybe even $70,000 range can be good news for those who are still dollar-cost averaging.
By the way, I wish all market participants the best in the new year. Merry Christmas 🎄 and Happy new year! ✨✨✨✨
Alikze »» ONE | Accumulation phase🔍 Technical analysis: The accumulation phase is ready for the bullish wave 3 rally - 1W
📣 BINANCE:ONEUSDT In the previous analysis, the weekly timeframe was corrected after hitting the supply zone, the details of which were examined.
🟢 On the weekly timeframe, it is in a three-year range in a concentration that is in the accumulation phase.
🟢 At present, given that the current supply zone has been consumed, we should wait for the zone break for the next supply zone.
🟢 Therefore, this upward leg will have the ability to grow to the neckline area, which can bring a 200-300% rally.
💎After breaking the second supply zone and consolidating above the area, it will have the ability to grow to the 84 cents area.
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Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone ($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) , also Bitcoin managed to break the Descending Channel . Although the main Ascending Channel has been broken in the above time frame , I still expect the pullback to the main ascending channel to continue.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave Y of the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the 🎯Targets🎯 I have specified on the chart .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Wave4 is complete, here setup for wave5CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS setup very much same to CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 only difference is level of wave4 retracement - 0.62 compare to regular 0.5 on TOTAL3 that is more common for wave4. But consider that OTHERS consist more meme coins its no surprise it have deeper retrace. Both wave2 and wave4 completed same sized wave correction.
But even with such deep retrace its not overlapping with wave1, thus regular targets as 420B(1.272) or 515B(1.618) are what can be expected based on closed price projection. 1.272 provide reasonable projection and stay within monthly range, but consider fact this index of everything but top10 it can skew on extremes easily.
And there more conservative/alternative way to calculate projection that give us zone of 400B-455B of interest.
Timing wise, last 3 times crypto peaked around December plus minus month. But all previous bulls markets have 24-28 month cycle from lowest monthly bar of bear market. Thus making this December - 24 bar peak on low end and early spring on high end to reach it.
Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%.
The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons.
The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart.
I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Netflix Is In Process Of Doing Five Waves AdvanceShort Term Elliott Wave view in Netflix ticker symbol: NASDAQ:NFLX suggests that rally from 8.05.2024 low is incomplete & should continue upside. It is showing 3 swing higher since August-2024 low & expect more upside against 11.18.2024 low. It ended 1 at $736 high as diagonal & 2 correction at $669 low. Within 1, it placed ((i)) at $711.33 high, ((ii)) at $660.80 low & ((iii)) at $728 high. Wave ((iv)) ended at $696.43 low & finally ((v)) ended at $736 high as wave 1. Within 2 correction, it placed ((a)) at $699.78 low, ((b)) at $710.24 high & ((c)) at $669 low near 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.
Above 2 low, it favors upside in wave 3 in another 5 waves impulse sequence. Whereas wave ((i)) ended at $773 high, wave ((ii)) ended at $744.26 low. Wave ((iii)) ended at $841 high, wave ((iv)) ended at $804.30 low and wave ((v)) at $941.75 high. Below from there, the stock made a pullback in wave 4 to correct the cycle from 10.17.2024 low. The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure where wave ((w)) ended at $909.61 low in a lesser degree 3 waves.
A bounce to $928.94 high ended wave ((x)) and started the ((y)) leg lower towards $896.73- $876.79 blue box area where buyers were expected to appear. Since then the stock has reacted higher from the blue box area allowed longs to get into a risk free position. Therefore ended wave 4 pullback at $881.01 within the blue box area. Near-term, as far as dips remain above $881.01 low and more importantly above $804.46 low the stock is expected to resume the upside in wave 5. For minimum extension target towards $956.38- $979.68 area higher (inverse 123.6%- 161.8% Fib extension of wave 4). Before ending the cycle from 8.05.2024 low in 5 waves advance & making a pullback.