Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down.
Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin.
I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks).
Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit.
Good luck!
Elliott Wave
S&P500 Update: Break of Lower TrendlineIn this video, I updated the wave count for S&P500 and discussed 2 different ways of counting it but ended with a bias on a stronger wave 3 down as opposed to a wave 5 of 1 down.
The stop loss is above 6016, with 2 take profit targets:
1) 5940
2) 5923
Good luck!
Do you wanna see the bigger picture? (USDT.D Analysis 12H)After counting many waves for many days, I have a senario for USDT dominance which will lead the entire market on its way.
For those whose not fimiliar with this parameter, there is a very simple explanation.
It's the reversed way to see the market. If this parameter drops, your alts will skyrocket and if it rises, you're gonna be crying on somebody's X post's comments.
First of all, the short term wiev is bearish. We are currently in an impulsive wave 3 which is expected to be hardest for altcoins at the moment. There will be crash unless the value of this parameter drops below %4.50 and invalidates the analysis (you'll like this senario better, trust me).
All right, we got rid of the scalpers who bothered to read this far and now I'm here to explain what I see for the golden future.
Currently, USDT.D is forming a BEARISH impulsive wave for higher time frames. As long as you stick with 4H candles, you won't be able to see it.
USDT.D is trying to forming its bearish flag, by doing so it will be its second wave and will prepare its very own collapse.
Last summer, BTC has done the same thing (Check for daily time BTC).
There is more.
If we calculate the depth of this incoming flag pattern, breaking this flag would lead USDT to %3.75 which is the yearly support (Check in weekly, you'll see it).
If we calculate the time needed to past for this flag to work, it's the same amount of time needed for previous flag to break from last summer.
We also need to add fundementals in it. Currently people started to talk about a senario which will lead world to WW3. I don't think that will happen. But the problem in here is it will market throguh downside.
Furthermore, there is FED.
FED is insisting to leave interest rates on its own without a change. I believe that we won't be seeing any rate cuts till the end of this summer.
I believe that the FED will cute rates between Agust and September. This will be the fuel for our rocket to fly and ignite the wave 3.
I know it's a long script but you know it's necessary.
Thanks for reading.
USDJPY: Ready for Wave 5?USDJPY is showing a strong bullish wave structure, with a clear path toward higher levels based on Elliott Wave Theory. After a successful breakout from a multi-year consolidation, price action appears to be completing a Wave (4) correction thereby setting the stage for a Wave (5) rally.
Based on the bullish structure and projected continuation:
1st Target = 157.78
2nd Target = 177.41
Final Target = 209.16 Full wave extension, top of macro channel
With support holding above ¥140.00 and a bullish bounce forming, this could mark the Wave C bottom of (4), setting the stage for the next major leg up.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
KAITO Waiting For ExtremesBINANCE:KAITOUSDT The bounce from $1.50 didn’t deliver the upside follow-through — now price is heading toward the equal legs zone at $0.97–$0.77.
As long as the April low holds, this area could attract buyers for another attempt higher. But if it breaks, we may be looking at a deeper correction.
Bittensor Step-by-Step Process🧠 BINANCE:TAOUSD has entered the #BlueBox buying area at $302–$214, where the bottoming process is expected to begin. This zone aligns with the typical equal legs fib cluster setup is a high-probability region for bulls to step in.
Now it’s all about strategy:
🔹 Aggressive bulls might start scaling in here
🔹 Conservative traders may wait for reversal confirmation — like a break of internal trendlines or bullish divergence on lower timeframes
Either way, the groundwork for the next rally could be forming.
Solana Next Buying Zone on WatchCRYPTO:SOLUSD is correcting the 5 waves advance from April low within a 3 waves ZigZag structure and as price slipped to a new marginal low beneath last week’s support, signaling potential weakness toward equal legs area$122 - $111 before buyers look to step in again.
Keeping an eye on reactions in this zone—could set up for a bullish reversal once demand kicks in!
FARTCOIN Loading The BeansCRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD after the initial bounce failed, the correction against the March low is still unfolding within a 3-swing Zigzag, targeting the equal legs zone at $0.75–$0.57 — where bulls are expected to step in for the next blast higher.
Load the beans!! Time to fart!! 💨
NIFTY50.....Ready to explode?Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has misleading! It jumps up and down and has probably overcome the descending trend line, as seen in the chart! My argument for a 'fake' move is still valid, as long as the low @ 24473 remains in place.
Chart analysis:
The next upside target for the bulls is around the 25260 to 25300 points, depending on whether if is achieved.
The targets are still valid, and India is lily on the way, to become one of the leading Industrial nations in the future. Of course, the Nation has a long way to go, but keep this in mind! If the government improves in infrastructure, such as electric power supply and building bridges and motorways etc., the potential will be phenomenal!
In any case, we should all invest in this "huge and strong" nation.
I would normally not recommend an ETF for India, but I am making it this, caused by the enormous potential!
But, back to chart. I don`t think the upward move has ended yet. So, we are still focused on further upside potential!
My long-time targets are still valid. We'll see?
Have a great weekend....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NIFTY Future path..Up to 28000Please note that Nifty is in a medium 5th wave..in which it is completed or completing its 2nd wave...that means we will have a 3rd wave up to 28000 Minimum...as per Neo waves..calculated by adding 1.l618 of the 1st wave...tgt is 28400 minimum....Remember mkts have climbed walls of worry....which is a sign of bullish markets...
BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K
Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????)
Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index....
Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K
Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K
The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Is This the Perfect Short Entry?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has entered the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) after a strong bullish impulse , testing the confluence of Daily Resistance(3) .
In terms of Elliott Wave analysis , the market seems to have completed a complex WXY corrective structure , with the recent rally likely representing the final wave Y . This makes the current zone highly reactive for potential reversal .
I expect Bitcoin to retrace toward the CME Gap($105,075-$105,055) and possibly continue downward toward the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) and Cumulative Long Liquidation levels if the sellers regain momentum .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $107,568-$106,601
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $105,360-$104,784
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $103,937-$103,217
Note: It is better to look for short positions at the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) or if Bitcoin touches $104,780 before reaching PRZ. That is why I chose to label this analysis as ''Short".
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $107,620 , there is a possibility of breaking the resistance lines and increasing further.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Another drop for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin went exactly as predicted.
Price went up a little higher into the Daily FVG and after that it started the next wave down and smaller correction up.
Now we could see a small correction up and after that another drop.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Another move up for goldHi traders,
Last week gold made a bigger (overlapping) correction down (wavecount updated). Price could be making an ending diagonal (wave 5)
If this is correct, then next week we could see a small correction down and more upside.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
fartcoin trade ideathe orange impulsive wave is unfolding however the wave 3 is very weak and it didn't even took the wave 1 high but it is still allowed and can be called weak wave 3 so Wave 4 should unfold the support zones are mentioned with green box as area of opportunity I expect the wave 5 to be the biggest wave compared to 1 and 3 target for wave 5 is also mentioned
Another drop for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD broke the low of the previous week just as I've said in my outlook. After that it went up again. This pair is still in a bigger correction down.
So next week it could drop again into the direction of the bullish Weekly FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade short term shorts to the previous Weekly lows.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU made a bigger (overlapping) correction to the downside so now the wave count is invalid. I must admit that I don't see a clear Elliott wave pattern. There are multiple options.
This last pattern could be a corrective pattern and next week we could see a next impulsive wave.
Or it is a bearish leading diagonal and next week we could see this pair drop.
At the moment my main (fundamental) bias is still bullish.
But let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for more development of price action.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
MicroStrategy another pull back before all time high?NASDAQ:MSTR analysis update..
📉 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 The weekly R5 pivot target is bold at $1500 but definitely possible as a max greed scenario when the triple tailwind of Bitcoin, SPY and Bitcoin treasury companies trends return.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 retracement is expected to end around the S1 pivot at $341 and a secondary target of $321.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse. However, if the conflict is resolved soon investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price appears to have completed wave (B) of an ABC correction in wave 4. Wave C is underway with an expected thrust down (such is the nature of wave C) towards the daily S1 pivot $341. This is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability area for wave 4 to end. A deeper correction will bring up a triple shield of the High Volume Node, ascending daily 200EMA and 0.5 fibonacci retracement at £321.
Daily DEMA has death crossed.
Safe trading
AERO: Clears the Runway! Can it gain altitude!?AERO gave a valid long setup
We were eye a possible retrace of an impulsive move and it displayed enough to trigger a rules-based entry.
Technical Breakdown
Key structural elements supported the setup:
Initial leg up showed impulse-like behavior
Pullback found support at a clearly defined AOI
Multiple MLT levels aligned with a common zigzag framework
Swift bounce off the Golden Corner Pocket (GCP)
Break and close above 0.54 completed the impulse structure
Prior resistance flipped into support
Volume confirmed the move, and price reached the first algo target, producing a reactive wick and confirming potential of algo activity.
This created a textbook TDU-style GCP/Algo/C-3 setup with measured entry and exit.
Risk Management
Partial profit was taken at the first MLT zone
Stop loss was moved into profit post-structure break
Scenario planning:
If move continues: positioned
If move stalls as a larger zigzag: no loss
Outlook
Attention now shifts to the next actionable level, possible second entry long
0.62 is the AOI for re-entry atm
Ideal scenario = Continuation in a wave 3, obvi
Alt scenario = Clean corrective to AOI + long
Bear scenario = Zig Zag complete
Conclusion
The trade played by the book!
Confluence across AOI, GCP, MLT, and volume created a qualified entry — not a guess.
This remains a great example of structure over sentiment and waiting for the market to meet criteria before engaging.
Google MUST hold this critical level!NASDAQ:GOOG local analysis update
📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 Further decline below the daily 200EMA, High Volume Node (HVN) and pivot point which it closed below on Friday could see google price fall back below $140.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 the bullish run has ended with Fridays bearish engulfing, first support below the support it is currently sat at is $156.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse news. However, if the conflict is resolved investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price is challenging a triple shield: major support HVN, daily pivot and the daily 200EMA. Holding this level is critical and locks in a corrective Elliot Wave pattern from the $140 level completing between the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement.
Daily DEMA Is about to produce a death cross while RSI is neutral with plenty of room to fall.
Safe trading