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Elliott Wave

Elliott Wave Pattern Suggests Higher EURUSD and Lower US YieldsSome nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market might be positioned for a lower USD. In this scenario, EURUSD could perform well—likely better than some commodity currencies, which remain trapped in sideways ranges due to weaker stock markets recently. GH
CBOT:ZN1!
by ew-forecast
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data... The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine. The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980. Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056 Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981 Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows. A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
BKY Monthly Chart 2BKY Monthly chart Elliot wave corrective patterns and Large triangle, added Triangle base target estimate to possible breakout area Likely $2.70, currently $0.425 = 630% or 6.3 reward to risk if you are willing to keep it to $0.00 Not making money but very experienced and qualified management team developing its spanish mine, BKY has a current ratio of 31x which suggests it has large reserves circa ~$75mil as of Early 2025 suggesting it has a large reserve to convert assets into production
ASX:BKYLong
by dionvuletich
Meta UpdateI don't have much to add to my Meta analysis. I believe that the minor A wave is complete or only needs OML. However, with the sloppy price action that we have had lower, it is impossible to know for sure. Nothing has cause me to question the top I called at this time. Over the course of the next week or two we should know if the A wave is in fact complete. If it is, then we should be targeting the $670-$700 area for minor B completion. For more information check out my past posts on Meta. If anything is unclear let me know.
NASDAQ:META
by TSuth
Amazon Wave Analysis – 24 March 2025 - Amazon reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 210.00 Amazon recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 190.00 (former resistance from October), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August. The upward reversal from this support zone started the minor correction 4 of the active intermediate impulse wave (C) from February. Given the strength of the support level 190.00, Amazon can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 210.00, former support from February.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index... The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074 Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009 The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Long squeeze (false break of uptrend support) FX:XAUUSD within the liquidation the price is testing the key support at 3004.9 and forms a false break of support. The trend is generally bullish as the geopolitical situation remains tense and carries high risks. Friday saw a liquidation phase relative to the consolidation at 3024-3045. Reason: the White House is expected to revise tariff policy, easing measures against key trading partners. Negotiations over the conflict in eastern Europe, where the U.S. is a key link, also support the positive sentiment. On Monday, market attention will focus on Russia-US talks, as well as preliminary PMI data that could affect the global economic outlook. The focus is on the current consolidation and the 3024 level. If the bulls hold their defenses above this level, gold will continue to strengthen. Resistance levels: 3045 - 3056 Support levels: 3024, 3004 The growth within the bullish trend may continue. The price is forming a consolidation between trend support and resistance at 3024. The emphasis is on 3024, if the bulls hold the defense over this zone, gold may head for a retest of the high (the initial reaction to ATH may trigger a pullback down) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
Solana Elliott Wave Analysis – Last Low Before Reversal?MEXC:SOLUSDT We are currently in a downtrend, looking for one final low before a counter-move takes place. In my chart, we are in a blue (4) to blue (5) wave. Within this wave count, I am now looking for an ABC structure, which will lead us to the blue (5) wave. At the moment, we are in the yellow A-B-C wave, approaching the end of yellow C, which is expected to top out around 148 USDT. After that, I anticipate a red A-B-C correction, bringing us first to 129 USDT, before a possible move up to red C at 170 USDT. 🚨 Key Levels & Indicators: If the price reverses at 170 USDT, I would consider the green wave count active. However, if we break above the white line at 180 USDT, the bearish trend is invalid, and bulls take control. A short-term pullback is expected between 147–148 USDT (max. 149 USDT) – there might be small overshoots, so don't set stop-loss too tight. RSI is currently overextended, sitting around 75, which indicates the market is heavily overbought. The MACD is also showing a potential reversal point, further supporting the idea of an upcoming correction. Overall, we are in a very overbought market, and signs of a reversal are building up. I'll be watching closely to see if the market is still acting bearish – stay sharp and trade safely! 🚀
Short
by ElliotXSolana
S&P 500 Setting Up for a Breakout – But Not Before One More TrapAs I’ve said before, the FOREXCOM:SPX500 is a key reference for my crypto trading . That’s why I sat down and took a closer look at the chart – and I’m now ready to place a limit order , based on what I’m seeing. I believe we’re still in a correction phase , and it’s far from over . However, I think it’s realistic that we’ll see a move toward $5,832 next week . Before that happens, I expect either today’s Monday Low or next week’s Previous Weekly Low to get swept, ideally triggering a dip into the 12-hour Fair Value Gap just below. That’s where I see my entry zone forming. It’s also the exact area where Wave B overshoots the starting point of Wave ABC, making it a clean Flat correction pattern, with Wave C completing to the downside before we get a solid move upward. I’m setting my stop-loss below the $5,500 low. If this setup plays out, I expect the S&P to push toward $5,832 , and after that, I’m anticipating a larger correction that could take the index back down to $5,500 or even $5,450 over the coming weeks. Timing remains unclear for that move after, but the structure is here , and I’m looking forward to seeing how it plays out.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
GOOGL: Bullish Bounce Before a Bigger Drop? Here's My RoadmapGoogle NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is shaping up to look bullish in the short term, and I believe that in the next few weeks to months, we could see a solid upside move - before things could turn ugly again later on. Let me explain why. Big picture: we’re currently in a Wave (2) corrective structure, which is playing out as a complex WXY correction (marked in orange). This type of correction follows a 3-3-3 wave pattern, and everything we’ve seen so far fits that structure. Since the top in February, NASDAQ:GOOGL has dropped around 24% , which is significant - but also not unexpected within this context. What’s interesting now is that we’ve just printed a bullish divergence on the RSI for the first time in this move down. That’s the first green flag. The second? The lower wick, which I currently mark as sub-wave ((a)) has been very well respected so far. That’s the second sign that this could be the turning point - at least temporarily. I’m expecting a move up in the coming weeks toward the 2024 VAH, around $178, where we could see a first rejection. From there, the price should continue higher in a 3-wave structure toward Wave ((b)), likely reaching between $187.80 and $196.30 (the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement zone). But let’s be clear: this is not the start of a new bullish trend. After Wave ((b)), I expect a 5-wave move to the downside, completing Wave ((c)) - and that means lower prices ahead , potentially in Q3, Q4 2025 or even into 2026. Until then, I’m keeping a close eye on this structure. As long as the current Wave ((a)) low holds, this short-term bullish scenario remains valid. If we get a strong breakout in the coming days / weeks, I’ll be looking to enter on a retest, targeting that $187.80–$196.28 zone. Let’s see if the market plays it my way. Make sure to follow me for future updates on this scenario and other setups !
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by stromm
AMD UpdateThose of you that follow my AMD posts, you know that price came into my 1.382 target area @ $95.16 almost two weeks ago. Since then, I have been stating that I would prefer to see another low down to the $85-$87 area, but it is not required for the pattern to be complete. This move off of the 11 March bottom looks like a sloppy 5-wave move. If you know me, you know I instantly start to think of a corrective pattern as impulsive waves are normally decisive and leave little to the imagination. That being said, a corrective pattern could be pointing to the initial a wave of intermediate (B), or it could be the last wave 4 of c of C of (A). Wave (B) would be pointing to the $160-$190 area, whereas the latter would be pointing to another drop in the $85-$87 range. MACD looks like it needs to drop and RSI shows AMD is overbought. These technicals point lower, but you should be asking yourself: how low? I still plan on buying in if price can make it down to the 1.618. If it doesn't make it to this area, I will remain on the sidelines until I can get a better entry point. Hopefully we can get some more clarity this week.
NASDAQ:AMD
by TSuth
HSI Short: Break of TrendlineIn my 18th March 2025 idea on Hang Seng Index, I said that an ending diagonal has formed for HSI and to prepare to short (linked in this idea). I also reiterate that it will be a sharp move down because that's what proceeds from an ending diagonal. Hang Seng Index had falled almost 1400 points since then. So what now? I believe that it is still a short because technically, it has broken a trendline. If you still have short position, you can adjust your stop loss just above the trendline. But if you have no position and is waiting to enter, my recommendation is to scale in your shorts, but definitely short it if and when price moves up to the trendline because support should turn into resistance. Good luck!
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by yuchaosng