Bitcoin Pushed Crypto Market Into A Higher Degree CorrectionGood morning Crypto traders! Cryptos are coming lower and we can now see a five-wave drop on Bitcoin, which indicates for a deeper, higher degree correction, so Crypto TOTAL market cap chart may stay in consolidation within an ABC correction, which can retest 3.0T – 2.8T support zone before bulls return.
Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after a pullback. Now that it’s back to all-time highs, we can see it making a higher degree ABC correction, which can take some time, and it can retrace the price back to 97k-93k support zone before a bullish continuation.
However, we may now see a temporary corrective recovery in wave B, where some ALTcoins could still be doing well, if we consider that ALTcoin dominance may start kicking in. Yesterday we shared a chart of the ratio of TOTAL3(ALTcoins) market cap against Bitcoin with ticker TOTAL3ESBTC, which shows that ALTcoins may start outperforming BTC soon. It can be finishing final subwave C of (Y) of a correction in blue wave B which may cause a new strong rally into wave C that can bring the ALTseason similar as in the beginning of 2021.
Elliott Wave
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains.
Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth.
Support levels: 3408, 3400
Resistance levels: 3446, 3500
A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Buyback bar. Chance of growth to 108,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high...
After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth.
Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400
Support levels: 102500, 100600
On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone...
The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support
Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth
Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989
Resistance levels: 0.6068
The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NEAR/USDT trade plan🧠 NEAR/USDT – Potential Wave C Setup (Elliott Wave + Fib Confluence)
📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE
🚀 Setup Overview:
We are likely entering a bullish Wave C based on the completion of an ABC corrective structure within a larger Elliott Wave pattern. The current price action has pulled back into a key "Area of Interest", aligning with multiple Fibonacci retracement levels, offering an attractive entry opportunity.
🎯 Entry Zone (Buy):
Between $2.30 – $2.35
This aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement, a historically strong reversal level.
Also within the highlighted Area of Interest, marked by high volume and previous consolidation.
📉 Stop Loss (SL):
Set below the 78.6% retracement level: $2.07
A break below this level invalidates the ABC bullish setup.
📈 Target Zones for Wave C:
TP1: $3.70 (1.0 Fib Extension – Wave A equal to C)
TP2: $4.66 (1.618 Fib Extension – typical Wave C projection)
TP3 (Moonshot): $6.20 – $7.75 (2.618–3.618 extension for aggressive continuation)
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur.
My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies:
Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level.
Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position.
While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets.
Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis
For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning:
I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data.
Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it.
Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits.
Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices...
After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042.
The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend.
Resistance levels: 0.8157
Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042
A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.600000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDJPY Forming A Bullish Set-upAUDJPY is recovering very nicely after touching the 86 support level, which goes back to the 2023 low. That was clearly an important zone from there we’ve seen a sharp and impulsive bounce in the last two months, even breaking above the trendline resistance connected down from the 2024 highs. This breakout suggests that bulls may be back in control and could still drive the pair toward the 98–100 area later this year. If we get a retracement in the near term, keep an eye on the 91.70 - 90.00 zone as potential support.
GH
Dow Jones Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 42,400 zone, Dow Jones was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a corerction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 42,400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD – 1 Month Analysis (Long-Term Outlook)Strategy Used:
✔ Smart Money Concept (SMC)
✔ Elliott Wave Theory
✔ Wedge Pattern Breakout
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🔍 Chart Overview:
The pair has completed a classic falling wedge pattern, hinting at a potential long-term bullish reversal.
Wave 5 completion suggests the start of a new cycle or correction (ABC).
Currently in a buyer-dominated zone, with momentum pushing towards the key supply area (seller zone) marked in blue.
A breakout above this zone could indicate continuation toward major highs, while rejection might trigger Wave C or a deeper corrective structure.
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💡 Key Levels:
Immediate Support Zones:
1.2550 - 1.2700 (Buyer's Checkpoint)
1.2000 - 1.2200 (Deeper Buyer Interest)
Major Resistance / Supply Zone:
1.5500 - 1.6000
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🧠 SMC Perspective:
Break of Structure (BoS) confirms bullish intent in multiple zones.
Expecting reaction from premium zone – either for continuation or smart money reversal.
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🌀 Elliott Wave Outlook (Box Inset):
Current wave structure hints at a completed 5-wave impulsive decline.
Now in early stages of ABC correction.
Targeting Wave C to reach the major supply zone in the long-term.
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📌 Summary:
A macro bullish opportunity is unfolding after years of consolidation and impulse decline. Keep eyes on higher timeframe confirmations and reactions at key zones. This chart aligns well with institutional footprints and macro price action logic.
BITCOIN TOPPED. ELLIOT WAVE LONG Long term outlook of Bitcoin using EWT. I personally think Bitcoin has topped and the btc.d charts support it as well as the actual chart shown here. We’re beggining the massive correction as it did way back and I kept the ratios the same so after wave C next year or whenever, we can all buy btc at around 30k and ride the next waves up.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Outlook – Expanded Flat Playing Out?EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic expanded flat correction for wave (4):
Wave A formed as a 3-wave zigzag
Wave B retraced beyond the start of A — a key trait of expanded flats
Now looking for a 5-wave C-leg decline toward the 1.1122 – 1.1002 area
Aligned with 1.0–1.618 extensions of A
RSI + MACD divergence adds bearish confirmation at the B top
Potential bullish reversal zone into late June / early July
As long as price holds below the B high (~1.1650), the bearish path in wave C remains in play.
📍 Target zone: 1.1122–1.1002
📈 Bias: Bearish short-term, bullish long-term (wave 5 up next)
NIFTY50.....Don't loose your panic!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 is trading within a range of 25116 to 24462 point range. This range began on May 15th and is ongoing 'til this week!
I have labelled this move as a wave 4!
Chart analysis:
If so to come, the next move should reach targets of roughly, 25574.90! Here, a wave 5 could end, or this was all of wave 1 of 5!
If the move is a wave 1 of 5, the targets are much higher for the coming 2-3 weeks ahead!
When it was all of wave 5 the next move would be a correction to the levels of 0.5 to 0.618 of the Fibo-retracements!
In any case, the advance is not over yet, and should last for a considerable amount of time!
If the index will exceed the former ATH @ 26277 points, here the risk is ascending for an end of an impulse!
But, step by step!
Due to the conflict between Israel and Iran, I recommend to step aside and wait for calm down the dispute in the coming days! Hopefully!
This conflict has the potential to set the region on fire!
In case of an escalation of this conflict, the risk would be really hard to forecast, but I guess the potential for a formidable crash is given!
Protect your tradingaccounts with suitable products to prevent the situation from escalating (sell calls, for example)!
I don't want to hear about anyone losing their entire trading account!
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NASDAQ Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21,700 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21,700 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
BABA Stock: A Detailed Analysis using Elliott Wave Theory RulesHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze Ali Baba Group Holdings Limited, also known as BABA, listed on the NYSE. We'll be using the Elliott Waves theory.
Friends, as we can clearly see, after hitting a low of around $95.75 on 9th April 2025, it started an impulse wave. Within this wave, we've completed intermediate degree blue bracketed (1), (2), (3), (4), (5), and primary degree ((1)) in Black. Currently, we're completing primary degree ((2)), with a low around $111.
If it breaks the level of $111, we'll assume we're still in primary degree ((2)), as marked in scenario 2 on the chart. This means wave ((2)) is unfolding, and wave ((3)) might start after wave ((2)) is complete.
If it doesn't break the $111 level, it's likely that wave ((2)) has completed, and we've started a subdivision of wave ((3)) or its further subdivisions. If it moves further up, following scenario 1 (the black line on the chart), this is a possibility.
According to Elliott Wave theory, wave ((2)) cannot retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)). So, our main invalidation level for this count is $95.75. Yes, BABA is turning up against the 95.75 low, and in the near term, we expect the stock to trade higher.
Somewhere, this stock might move towards $150 or $160 if it doesn't break down below $ 95.75.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
FARTCOIN | Dream scenarioTextbook ABC correction into the $0.83–0.75 zone.
Will the fartcoin gods let us bid sub $1 again? Odds are low, but man can dream.
If filled, expecting a big wave up — ultimate R/R.
Main risk: market front-runs and never fills — be nimble, ladder bids if you're serious.
"If you get the dream fill, don't fumble the bag."