Elliott Wave
Apple (AAPL): -50%. According to the planElliott Wave Analysis of Apple stock
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● NASDAQ:AAPL |🔎TF: 1W
Fig. 1
The long-term wave markup has not been adjusted for the past three years. Except that the orthodox tops and bottoms and targets for third waves are slightly refined.
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● NASDAQ:AAPL |🔎TF: 1W
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Earlier, at the end of 2023 , we have already suggested wave ((iv)) in 3 in the form of a running flat. As we can see, the attempt was unsuccessful, the formation of a sideways correction continues to this day. It can be a running flat or an expanded flat, the latter of which assumes a break of the 124.17 low.
GOLD → Fading out before the news. Possible long-squeezeFX:XAUUSD continues its bullish trend, but locally, the movement is in a very narrow channel (wedge). To form a potential for further movement, the price may form a long-squeeze before or at the time of news...
Fundamentally, gold remains a bullish asset due to the Fed's rate cut forecasts and economic risks associated with Trump's tariff policy. Gold hit a new high on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans to cut rates twice this year, raised its inflation forecast and worsened growth and employment estimates.The price is further supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza.
Gold is forming a bull market. Before further growth (before the news) the price may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), after which it will continue to grow. Dollar enters local correction before the news, which creates pressure on gold
Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056
Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024
Price is forming a retest of the wedge support, which increases the chances of a breakdown. If the support fails to hold, the price may go down to the above support before rising further.
But! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the growth will continue without a deep pullback
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Short: Completion of 5 waves of Wave 5 (or sub-wave 3)As mentioned in this video, I have a primary count that states that Gold has completed the entire wave 3 (see link video for cycle wave counts), and my alternate count is that the 5th wave is not completed BUT sub-wave3 is completed and we are going into wave 4. Both primary and alternate points to a short opportunity.
The stop loss will be recent high (around 3058).
IHSG (JCI ) MAPPING 20 MARCH 2025IHSG (JCI ) analysis on March 20, 2025 theoretically shows that it has completed the triple zigzag wave correction (WXYZ) with 11 swings of the Elliott wave correction series and touched the theoretical level of 0.618 (area 6,018.22) Fibonacci extension measurements. In addition, it has also touched its Fresh Demand Weekly area and reacted upwards. So the hope for the future is that IHSG (JCI ) will continue it's big bullish trend journey again after being corrected.
May we be blessed.
EASY TRIP PLANNERS LTD Chart (Elliott Wave Perspective)Overall Trend:
The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend since reaching its peak.
The price structure suggests it is in a corrective phase based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Wave Count Analysis:
The chart shows a five-wave impulse, followed by a ZIG ZAG 5-3-5 corrective structure.
The C wave is currently unfolding and appears to be in its final stages.
Projected Price Movement:
The price is expected to form a wave (iv) retracement before continuing lower to complete the final (v) wave of C.
The projected target for wave (v) of C is in the ₹9 - ₹7.50 range.
There is a potential invalidation level at ₹20.46, meaning if price breaks above this, the bearish count might be reconsidered.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: ₹9 - ₹7.50 (Potential bottom for wave C)
Invalidation Level: ₹20.46 (Break above may suggest a reversal)
Bearish & Bullish Possibilities:
Bearish Case : If the stock follows the Elliott Wave count, it could complete its correction towards the ₹9 zone before any significant recovery.
Bullish Case: If the price moves above the ₹20.46 invalidation level, a potential trend reversal could be in play.
🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin - This indicator is always right! Crash to 40k in 2026.What we can see on the chart is Bitcoin cycles. We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart, because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty?
Statistically:
Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days
Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days
Correction is every time weaker, but still huge
The recent uptrend on Bitcoin started in December 2022 and ended in January 2025 (791 days). We know that statistically bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days, so this indicator tells us that the bull market ended! This indicator was never wrong, so do your own research. It's always like this. Moon boys calling for 300k, 500k, or 1M in 2025 do not follow my TradingView profile because otherwise they would know this strong fundamental fact. The market cap of Bitcoin is already too big, so forget about 500K or 1M in the short term because the market cap would be higher than gold. Gold is the number 1 asset in the world.
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Wave 5 startedIt has a broken above a small base pattern with bullish momentum signals. Wave 5 seems to have started.
A multi-year breakout retestIt has retested a multi-year breakout zone and now seems to have broken above a small base pattern. On the Elliott Wave front - it has started Wave 3 up.
MAPPING JCI 20 MARCH 2025JCI analysis on March 20, 2025 theoretically shows that it has completed the triple zigzag wave correction (WXYZ) with 11 swings of the Elliott wave correction series and touched the theoretical level of 0.618 Fibonacci extension measurements. In addition, it has also touched its Fresh Demand Weekly area and reacted upwards. So the hope for the future is that JCI will continue it's big bullish trend journey again after being corrected.
May we be blessed.
HK2359 Bullish Wave 3In the second half of 2024, the stock accumulated energy and cooperated with the policy to make a beautiful rise, and then fell back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line and fluctuated repeatedly. I believe the next wave of rise is coming!
I will buy intraday, the yellow line is the support level, about 51.1 (this is a relatively safe entry price), and the first target profit stop level is 72.45 (Fibonacci retracement line 1.000)
I am very optimistic about this stock. When there is a decline, I will give priority to replenishing positions at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line instead of leaving the market quickly
Gold Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025
- Gold continues daily uptrend
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3100.00
Gold rises sharply after breaking the resistance zone between the resistance 2956.00 (top of the previous impulse wave 3) and the round resistance level 3000.00.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the higher order impulse wave (3) from November.
Given the clear uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3100.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
ADI rally slowing already?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for ADI, Minor wave 3 was longer than wave 1, which does not place a maximum length on wave 5. Assuming wave 4 ends on Thursday or Friday, Minor wave 5 could be a week or longer. Wave 4 does not need to gain too much more to meet completion criteria, but the sideways movement of the past few days could place the top below 218. During Minor wave 5, at the very least it should drop below wave 3's bottom of 202.59. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower. The 5 wave lower pattern for this fifth wave is hypothetical, but a bottom could occur between 186-195. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
WFC is moving ahead of the market for better or worse?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for WFC, Minor wave 3 was the shortest impulsive wave, likely indicating wave 5 will be 49 bars (30 minute scale) or less. This will likely put a restriction on the length of the decline. Additionally wave 4 is moving faster for this ticker than it has been on the others I have studied. Minor wave 5 should drop below wave 3's bottom of 65.515. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower, but likely not too much more. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
While WFC has been trading with most of the other signals I am watching, the current rally could be a sign of Intermediate wave 1 possibly having ended at the current Minor 3 bottom. This would mean we are in Intermediate wave 2 now. In this case, the top of Intermediate wave 2 is quickly approaching (no higher than 78.98. I will evaluate this solution if the rally continues next week.
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meeting...FX:XAUUSD goes into consolidation 3038 - 3024 before the news - Fed rate meeting. The situation is generally predictable, but gold is reacting to rising geopolitical risks.
Gold is stabilizing before the Fed decision , markets are waiting for the data. The regulator is expected to keep rates, but Powell's forecasts will determine further dynamics.
“Hawkish” tone of the Fed may lead to the strengthening of the dollar and gold correction.
“Dovish” signals about economic risks will support the growth of metal prices.
Geopolitical tensions and Trump's tariffs continue to have an impact.The market is preparing for high volatility on the background of the Fed's decision and events in the world
Resistance levels: 2038, 2045
Support levels: 3024, 3015, 3004.9
Several scenarios can be considered for trading:
Breakdown of resistance 3038 - 3045, consolidation of the price above the level with subsequent growth to 3050 - 3060.
Or wait for the reaction to the news and with a possible breakdown of support to look for strong levels to trade a false breakdown, for example 3024, 3015, 3005.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend.
Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions.
USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
Support levels: 148.92
False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54.
Regards R. Linda!
PGAS Elliott Wave CountA very interesting company with quickly declining shareholder count, dropping from 93k holders in September 2024 to just 72k in February, and expected to drop even more this March due to IHSG's performance.
Additionally, foreign investors have been accumulating for the past year, rising from 17% to 21%. To add even more, local retail ownership of the stock has fallen off a cliff, falling from 15% to just 9% in just a year.
I believe we have finished the second wave of wave C. We shall see more improvements in the coming days.
NG long termwell, gas on charts is looking quite bullish I would say.. maybe it's on fifth EW impulse? RSI is on bullish move, nicely in uprising channel and last week it have retested 50%. Can't say what future will brings but so far I'm buying dips, at least DT I would like to see.
BITCOIN 70K incoming!!!We can expect one more push towards 73-70k region before moving towards 120k. Don't get FOMO seeing green candles now. STAY CAUTIOUS !!! THIS MAY BE A BULL TRAP
What is Gold Waiting For? Is This the ATH 3045? In our group, we secured profits in two rounds when gold hit an all-time high of $3045. Currently, we are still focusing on selling at $3040-$3045, as this is the liquidity grab zone for sellers.
I believe we can still trade within the sideway range, and be cautious of the two liquidity sweep zones as I have marked in the image.
Sell Liquidity 3040-3045: We can place Sell Limit orders in this area.
Buy Liquidity 3020-3025: We can place Buy Limit orders in this area.
The reason for this sideway phase of gold is that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting at 1:30 AM tomorrow, March 20th. After that, a strong trend will emerge. My plan is still leaning towards the Buy side, as the market is currently concerned about a potential economic recession in the US.
Therefore, we can focus on making small profits during this sideway period and wait for the next upward wave.
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
Bitcoin at the D-Point of a Bullish Gartley – What’s Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Support zone($80,600_$79,000) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support line .
Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern .
Educational Note : The Bullish Gartley is a harmonic pattern that signals a potential reversal in an uptrend after a corrective move. It consists of five points (X-A-B-C-D) and follows specific Fibonacci retracements, with the D-point acting as a key buying zone.
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the microwave B of the main wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise at least to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage . If the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) is broken, we can expect further increases in Bitcoin .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($80,600_$79,000), we can expect further declines.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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