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Elliott Wave

Gold's Bearish Momentum Builds from PRZ-Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline exactly from PRZ (previous idea) as I expected in my previous idea . And with the loss of the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) we can expect further decline. Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357 ) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . From the Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed a five-wave impuls e and we should expect corrective waves . Since the momentum of the second decline that broke the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) is high , the correction is expected to continue and Gold appears to be completing a pullback . --------------------------------------------- The US Unemployment Claims Index was also released a few minutes ago, and let's take a look and examine the possible impact on Gold . This better-than-expected data confirms a stronger U.S. labor market , reducing the urgency for the Fed to cut rates anytime soon . Impact on Gold : A resilient job market supports the hawkish stance of the Fed , which could keep downward pressure on Gold in the short term as yields and the dollar remain firm. However, traders should remain cautious and watch for upcoming data and Fed commentary, which could shift the tone. --------------------------------------------- I expect Gold to start falling from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) to the targets I have indicated on the chart. The first target could be around $3,319 . Note: If Gold touches $3,401(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect the resistance lines to break and gold to rise further. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
21
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Reversal or Breakout?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) . One of the news that pumped Bitcoin was " Arizona Becomes Second U.S. State to Adopt Bitcoin for State Treasury " Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and near the upper lines of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, we can see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. From an Elliott wave theory , it seems we should wait for corrective waves because the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,888-$99,826) is very important and I DO NOT expect it to be broken by a single attack . Another point we can pay attention to is the existence of two small CME Gaps , the first CME Gap($98,430-$98,380) is likely to be filled. I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $98,100 in the coming hours, and if the Support zone($97,900-$97,240 ) is broken, we should expect further declines, so I will label this idea as ''Short' '. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,500-$97,514 Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the good volume, we can expect a new All-Time High(ATH). Do you think Bitcoin is on track for a new All-Time High(ATH)? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends, I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating. I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher. I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years. IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum. "IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Short
by armindehghani
1
Why I'm Bullish on the DXY: A Fundamental Approach!Powell continues to take a cautious tone, emphasizing a wait-and-see approach while acknowledging rising inflation risks, which suggests there's no urgency to cut rates. This leans slightly hawkish, especially compared to the market’s more dovish expectations, and could support some near-term Dollar strength. However, a more sustained move in the USD likely hinges on progress in upcoming trade discussions—particularly with China. Today's FOMC outcome is just one part of the broader picture; the next key signal may come with developments in the coming days. For now, the bias remains USD bullish heading into the London session. Technically, the DXY has broken its downtrend, signaling a potential shift in momentum. I’ll be watching for a possible retracement toward the 99.700 area, which could serve as a key support level before any further upside continuation.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
4
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.
Long
by jirapattinn
Sugar Is In A Higher Degree Correction; Elliott Wave AnalysisSugar has been trading lower since 2023 when we spotted final wave V of an impulse on the weekly chart. So from Elliott wave perspective, it’s trading in a multi-year higher degree ABC corrective decline, where wave C can drop the price even down to 78,6% Fibonnaci retracement and 14-12 support area before bulls show up again. The reason why Sugar can go lower is a short-term daily Elliott wave structure, where we see a five-wave leading diagonal formation into wave A, followed by a bearish abcde triangle pattern in wave B. It can now extend the decline within wave C towards 14 -12 area which can be made by a lower-degree five-wave bearish cycle, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:SUGAR
by ew-forecast
RONIN at Decision PointRONIN is currently reacting within a well defined immediate demand zone after completing a clear five-wave decline, marked by an extended corrective structure labeled WXY. This drop has brought price action into a technical exhaustion area, where buying interest is starting to emerge. The confluence of channel support, wave completion, and horizontal demand makes this level a valid candidate for a short-term bullish bounce. A potential rally toward the $0.957 handle is likely if buyers can sustain momentum from here. This zone may act as a relief checkpoint before any further upside toward the $1.461 main supply area—where significant resistance is expected. However, a failure to hold above this demand could open the door for a continuation lower, targeting the base support zone around $0.18–$0.21. This would signal deeper structural weakness and potentially complete a broader accumulation phase. For now, eyes are on whether this bounce evolves into a meaningful move or remains a corrective pop in a larger bearish cycle. Stay sharp RONIN is at a pivotal inflection.
Long
by weslad
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Forecast: Preparing for Wave 5 RallyIn the daily timeframe of EUR/USD, the third wave of the larger Elliott Wave structure appears to have been completed. Within this third wave, we can also observe that the subwave 3 of wave 3 has concluded, and currently, Wave 4 is unfolding. Wave 4 is presently developing and is likely to retrace toward the 1.10683 level or potentially form a supportive close above it. This zone corresponds to both the subwave 4 of Wave 3 and the main Wave 4 correction, which indicates a critical area of confluence and potential completion of the corrective structure. Once Wave 4 is confirmed to be complete near this region, the chart suggests that we may enter the beginning of Wave 5, providing a favorable long trade opportunity. Entry Trigger: Sustained price above 1.10719 First Target: 1.12900 Second Target: 1.13837 Stop-Loss: 1.09518 (below the corrective Wave 4 low to protect the setup)
by Money_Dictators
Bitcoin Breaks Heavy Resistance Zone— But Can It Hold?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise yesterday as the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) opened and it seems like it can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ) this time, but there are still concerns from a technical analysis , so please stay tuned for this analysis . Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and has broken through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) with good momentum . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 near the Resistance zone($100,200-$97,700) and we should wait for the completion of microwave 4 . The microwave 4 can be considered a pullback to the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500 ). I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $96,000 and is likely to touch the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) and start rising again, since microwave 3 was with high momentum , it is possible that microwave 5 will even be truncated . The targets I have indicated on the chart can be the target of a long position . If you are looking for a Bitcoin reversal, you can focus on the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . The next major pivot will likely be within this time zone . It seems reasonable to open a Long position near the Support zone($95,760-$95,200) , and it can give us a good Risk-To-Reward . What do you think? ---------------------------------------------------- My concerns for Bitcoin's continued bullish trend: Because Bitcoin's correlation with US stock market indices , especially the SPX500 , is higher than in previous weeks, my analysis is that there is a re-correction in the SPX500 index , which could prevent Bitcoin from continuing its upward trend . The Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern is likely to complete, which could cause Bitcoin to fall further if the lower lines of this pattern are broken. If tensions between Pakistan and India increase, it could prevent Bitcoin from growing further. ---------------------------------------------------- Also, Today, the Federal Funds Rate is scheduled to be announced. Let’s take a look at how this decision — along with Powell’s speech — might impact Bitcoin . Be cautious with your positions during the announcement and Powell’s remarks, as markets may become volatile. Holding the rate steady is a signal of monetary policy stability, which could give risk assets like Bitcoin some breathing room in the short term. Given recent U.S. economic data, markets are mainly focused on Powell’s tone during the press conference. If he adopts a dovish stance (hinting at potential rate cuts), this could support Bitcoin’s upward momentum. However, if Powell emphasizes that rates will remain elevated for an extended period, we might see a temporary wave of selling pressure in the market. Stay alert and manage your risk wisely — high-impact events like this can lead to sharp moves in crypto. ---------------------------------------------------- Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,511-$97,774 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $95,966-$95,550 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $94,400, we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense. On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision. Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy. Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia. Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone. Resistance levels: 3439 Support levels: 3369, 3352 However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
33
NZDCAD → Intra-range trading. Retest of resistanceFX:NZDCAD is strengthening within a neutral trading range. The currency pair is supported by the dollar's correction, but how long will this last? Ahead of us are the FOMC meeting and Powell's speech... The focus is on the trading range within which the currency pair continues its local trend. Liquidity around the 0.8317 level is attracting the price. The correction of the dollar is having a positive effect on the NZD. However, news is ahead, and traders are expecting a hawkish stance from the Fed. Against this backdrop, a reversal may occur... Since the currency pair is in a neutral range, there is a high probability of a false breakout and correction. Resistance levels: 0.83175 Support levels: 0.82644, 0.8235, 0.8225 The liquidity zone is likely to stop the price (temporarily or reverse it). Further movement depends on fundamental sentiment, but based on rumors about the Fed's position, it is worth carefully analyzing what data the market will receive this evening. A tougher Fed policy or hints of one could strengthen the dollar and weaken currencies... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
Link Analysis (12H)Chainlink (LINK) Technical Outlook – Elliott Wave Perspective After applying Elliott Wave Theory, the chart appears to speak for itself — the downward corrective phase seems to have concluded. Zooming into lower timeframes, there are several bullish signs suggesting that LINK is primed for an upward move. Key Technical Reasons Supporting Upside Potential: Bullish Flag Formation: A clear flag pattern has formed in lower time frames, and LINK is currently testing its resistance level. Elliott Wave Count: Based on wave structure, Wave 3 appears to be nearing completion. Should we see a short-term pullback, it would likely be Wave 4, offering a strong buy opportunity around the support zone of the flag. Fib Confluence: The potential retracement aligns perfectly with the 50% Fibonacci level — a typical target area for Wave 4 corrections. Two Possible Scenarios: Immediate Breakout: With support from Bitcoin’s continued momentum, LINK could extend its current Wave 3 and break out from the flag without any significant pullback. Healthy Correction: Alternatively, LINK could retrace to the 50% Fib level before initiating the final leg of Wave 5 — providing a textbook buying opportunity. Target: In both scenarios, the upside target remains the same: $18.00 to $18.40 range. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin