"Gold Extends Wave 5 Amid Strong Demand, Weak Dollar"Gold's recent pullback signals a sub-wave 1 extension of Wave 5, supported by strong demand and bullish momentum. Weakening DXY and rising Japan bond yields confirm a shift to safe havens. With no sell signals, gold is poised for another rally, targeting higher levels.
Elliott Wave
XAUUSDAccording to the Elliot waves, gold can be in wave 3, only if it can maintain the range of 2888 and 2900, the trend is still upward, and it can move towards $2950 and $3000 and complete Elliot wave 3. If Anas Gold cannot recover the channel of 2900, there is a possibility of completing wave 3 and it can fall towards 2800 and complete correction wave 4. Therefore, in the coming week, the range of 2888 and 2900 is important.
Gold neutral: Short-term Pullback + upcoming wave 4I've been calling for Gold long for the longest time and also called for short-term pull back at the end of wave 3 of 3.
Now that we have finished wave 3 of 5 of 3, it is time to take a step back and wait for better prices to enter for the final leg of wave 3. Or simply, just get out of Gold because the next move will anyway be a wave 4.
Wave 4s are usually the hardest to trade and a waste of time because it consolidates or have volatile range. So, instead of trying to capture the final leg of the wave 3, I would rather get out entirely and wait for even wave 4 to complete before revisiting Gold in my portfolio.
Good luck!
DBS Sell: Target $38.60This is not exactly a short idea for 2 reasons:
1. It is not that easy to short a Singapore stock, and
2. Singapore stocks don't really follow Elliott Waves principles because the stock market don't herd.
So this is really saying:
1. Now is not the time to buy. Wait for better prices.
2. Lighten up if you are not an investor but more of a speculator/trader.
Take note of the stop loss price. A break to new high means an extension of 5th wave although this is highly unlikely given that wave 3 (of 5) has already extended.
$SPY February 17, 2025AMEX:SPY February 17, 2025
15 Minutes
AMEX:SPY struggling around 610 levels.
Made ahigh 610.99. But oscillator divergence.
Also, we have a Hl formed at 610.75.
On Monday i expect a retracement to 606-608 levels.
Thus if AMEX:SPY is able to hold 606 levels then for the extension 598.52 to 607.49 to 605 my target of 612 + is possible.
But I expect a retracement first due to divergence.,
XRP Primary Macro AnalysisBINANCE:XRPUSDT
### Ripple (XRP) Technical Analysis
Current Market Overview:
Despite fluctuations in price action, my analysis of Ripple’s XRP indicates a continued bullish outlook. We appear to be entering a new distribution phase that may lead to a multi-month "boring" wave pattern, specifically reflective of a wave structure maintaining its corrective integrity as outlined in a 3-3-5 format.
Wave Structure Analysis:
1. Bullish Outlook: The primary analysis suggests that XRP is positioning itself for significant gains as we transition into this new distribution phase. The structure hints that we might be witnessing wave formations that typically precede substantial price movement.
2. Flat Formation: Based on current data, a flat formation seems to be the most likely scenario. This pattern could suggest a period of consolidation before XRP potentially embarks on its next bullish move. However, it is crucial to note that market conditions can change rapidly, and traders should remain vigilant for shifts in sentiment or structure.
3. Adjusting the Higher-Degree Wave Count: There is also the prospect of adjusting our higher-degree wave count to suggest that the waves 3 and 4 have already completed. If this is the case, we are likely in the process of forming the 5th wave, which typically unfolds as an impulsive structure. This potential progression signifies further bullish momentum and enhances the likelihood of an upward breakout.
4. 3-Wave vs. 5-Wave Structure: The critical consideration lies in determining whether the unfolding price action represents a 3-wave or 5-wave structure.
- 3-Wave Structure: If the price development follows a 3-wave structure, it may indicate that we are in a corrective phase, which could lead to further consolidation without immediate bullish resolution.
- 5-Wave Structure: Conversely, if we are indeed establishing a 5-wave structure, this pattern would suggest a more robust bullish movement on the horizon, often culminating in a breakout and subsequent price rally.
Key Levels to Monitor:
- Carefully observe how XRP reacts around the probable wave boundaries and consolidation areas. If price action reveals strong support at specific retracement levels, this could confirm the continuation of the bullish thesis.
- Potential breakout levels for wave 5 should be monitored closely, as decisively breaking above these points would reinforce the bullish case.
Conclusion:
In summary, Ripple's XRP is approaching what appears to be a pivotal moment, with a strong bullish outlook underscored by the potential for multi-month consolidation patterns. The formation of a flat structure currently appears most probable, yet the possibility of adjusting higher-degree wave counts remains viable. The crucial aspect of this analysis hinges on determining the nature of the unfolding wave structure—whether it manifests as a 3-wave or a 5-wave pattern will significantly influence the future price trajectory. As developments continue, traders should keep a close watch on key levels and remain adaptable to changing market dynamics.
Betting Trend End for Reddit. RDDTThese are often hard to pick and as a pivot or fade take, it is inherently more risky. The Stop is tight. Never the less Fibonacci cluster of 5 and 2 to 5 show some high probability areas of take profits. In practice we do not use stationary stops or targets, dynamic systems have proven to be more useful.
Gap Down on Soundhound AI. SOUNThere is a sizeable gap that crosses the low of A. We are probably looking at another Zigzag with a fairly shallow correction on A, which is discernibly fairly standard ABCDE. In our experience any gap almost never get corrected pronto, so we can expect more downward momentum on this stock.
SofiTech Rally Not Over Yet. SOFIThe Elliott Wave count is hard on this one. In my experience if your count tell you that you are done with a trend bullish or bearish, then you are probably not. Unfortunately, often enough trend completion is only confirmed much, much later. So, that leaves us assuming that we are still then continuing with the trend. Technical indicators are supportive of this notion and price action trigger is seen with MIDAS line cross.
Zigzag on Coinbase Global. COINText book example of an Elliott zigzag. 3 or 5 wave move, followed by ABCDE retraction to 0.618, fibtime B Wave over 1.0 and now price action confirmed by MIDAS line cross. MIDAS line cross for confirmation, we found, is superior to neckline/trendline cross for confirmation. To play the devil's advocate, this may be a more complex B wave and we might observe more floundering for some time.
Adidas Moving with Momentum. ADIConverging Elliott triangle and three soldiers on price action. MIDAS line cross plus supportive, upgoing vWAP/US combo is reassuring. BB%PCT flip present, plus simultaneous, recent signal throw off by VZO/EshlersStochRSI combo. All of this paints a high likelihood of continued motion to the upside. We may find resistance at the upper triangle trendlines, or establish it as a support and keep moving further up from there.
Stryker Fails to Strike Higher. SYKWe may be looking at a lagging diagonal of a much larger pattern here that has confirmed its completion about a day and a half ago. If this is true then we are due to a correction. Technicals sure seem to support this coming from momentum, volume, volatility, stochastic angles.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 14 February 2025
- NZDUSD broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5800
NZDUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the key resistance level 0.5700 (which stopped the earlier waves iv, 2 and ii), the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from November and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance zone stopped the previous minor impulse wave iii of the higher order impulse wave 1 from last October.
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.5800 (former monthly low from November).
Bitcoin’s Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout—Next Stop: $100K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall after US indices(Core CPI m/m_CPI m/m_CPI y/y) were announced but rose again. One of the reasons for the rise of Bitcoin in the previous minutes was Trump's speech , which talked about negotiations with Russia ." Trump: Putin and I agreed to have respective teams start negotiations immediately ."= The possibility of the end of wars , in general, can increase investment security.
After several attempts to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) , Bitcoin failed to break this zone and created a Fake Break .
Bitcoin is above the Support zone($96,150-$94,760) and near the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) as the main wave X was completed minutes ago .
I expect Bitcoin to break the upper lines of the Falling Wedge Pattern soon and rise to the Targets I specified on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $93,800, we have to wait for an attack on the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500), and there is a possibility of a heavy fall in this situation.
Do you think the Falling Wedge Pattern will eventually increase Bitcoin?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 14 February 2025
- GBPUSD broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.2720
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the key resistance level 1.2530 (which has been reversing the price from the start of January) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active medium-term impulse wave (C) from the end of January.
Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.2720.
Cable update - algo bulls detected. Time to update this chart with a new base channel here as it made a significantly technical pull back to the 618 and a move to the -236 indicating algo participation. If it breaks above this base channel then it's more likely that a larger impulse wave is in progress, with the breakout required for a wave 3 of an impulse. That's not to say it couldn't just meander up this channel till it gets its upper targets way up at the 1.43-44s. But certainly the breakout would make that much more likely. For now though the 1.34-35 area is in contention.
Not sure it will come back to the 0 on the white fibonacci for any entries or addons but maybe the level at 1.257 will become support.
With the interest rates now about equal, it's also not too pricey to hold this long either.
Trade idea for USD/CHFWhen we look at the chart we can see that the price is now in a good support zone that was good respected in the past.
What I am looking for now is to get a good entry here and to see what the price is going to do in this zone. Also we need to keep an eye out for the upcoming news and the volume that we can see when that is hitting.
If you want to play it save you can always wait an hour to see what the news is going to do and then see if you want to enter or not.
We can also see that there was a very beautiful Elliott wave pattern in the past that is almost looking like an Elliott wave pattern from the books. Always nice to see that.
Any updates will be giving in the comments.
EUR/USD has just broken out of a symmetrical triangle on the 3-h**"EUR/USD 3H – Triangle Break & Next Move"**
hinting at further bullish momentum. I've set a **new stop-loss** around **1.0400** to protect gains. If the pair pushes past **1.0600**, look for a potential move toward **1.0700**. However, a drop back below the stop-loss area could invalidate the bullish scenario. Always trade with proper risk management!
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