DOTUSDTPolkadot (DOT) - Elliott Wave Subwave Analysis
In Polkadot's short-term analysis, the current price action suggests that the market is forming the 2nd corrective subwave of a larger impulsive wave structure. This subwave is part of the initial stages of an Elliott Wave sequence.
Once this correction concludes, the next phase is anticipated to be the 3rd subwave, which is typically characterized by strong upward momentum within the wave hierarchy. If this scenario plays out, the 3rd subwave could potentially test or break key resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any trading decisions.
Elliott Wave
Solana - 15 min Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is currently my primary scenario for Solana but I'll also upload a second analysis with a back-up scenario so we're prepared for whatever happens! :)
It looks as if Solana is forming an Elliott Wave Triangle on the lower timeframes which would finish a higher timeframe Wave 4. The most bullish scenario would be that Waves A-B-C-D are done and we are working on Wave E. We could go up right away if Wave E undershoots but I doubt that as we haven't seen any bullish reaction yet.
The optimal Target for Wave E is between 212.49 USD and 208.23 USD.
It is worth mentioning that we got plenty of FIB overlaps between 210 and 211 USD which additionally is the golden pocket. Below the golden pocket we also do have the weekly open at 210.07 and the daily open at 209.57 which could function as further support.
I wouldn't be surprised if the price goes to the 1.618 extension at 207.94 USD which does overlap with the 0.786 FIB of Wave C-D and the trendline of the triangle as the previous waves always hit the 0.886 or the 0.786 FIB from the previous waves.
If the triangle breaks down we'd be looking for a deeper Wave 4 or a Wave 2 which I'll discuss in detail in the following analysis. The Wave 4 support is between 200.34 USD and 172.52 USD and Wave 2 support is between 190.18 USD and 170.14 USD. The technical price target of the triangle would be around 185 USD. With a break below 160 we have to assume that something more bearish is going on.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Solana - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my 4H count for Solana.
Currently we are working on the 5th Wave of the white 5 Wave move up which would finish the blue Wave 3. We did hit the first target for the blue Wave 3 at 137.19 USD but it seems we have the potential to go a bit higher.
You can see the support area for the wave count within the white Wave 5. We assume that the white Wave 5 is in the making as long as we stay above 215 USD.
We added further targets for the blue Wave 3. Next targets are the 1.236 FIB at 262.14 USD, the 1.38 FIB at 278.63 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 308.20 USD.
Noteworthy is that the 1.236 FIB at 262.14 USD is right above the ATH.
Additionally we got some more FIB confluences between the 1.236 FIB and the 1.38 FIB.
We got a higher degree target at the 0.786 FIB at 268.91 USD and at the 1.618 FIB at 265.89 USD. The 0.786 FIB target of the white Wave 5 is also at 267.20 USD.
After we top in the blue Wave 3 we want to see a pullback in blue Wave 4.
Currently the support area for the blue Wave 4 is between the 0.236 FIB at 218.13 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 184.22 USD. We do not want to drop substantially below the 0.618 FIB at 169.06 USD.
The blue Wave 4 support area will move up if we get a higher blue Wave 3.
If you are interested in a more detailed count of the white Wave 5 it is recommended to read my last Solana publishing called "Solana - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis".
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Solana - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my newest update and count for Solana :)
Recently we broke out in an Elliott Wave Triangle which finished the white Wave 4 and we started working on the white Wave 5. I count the breakout as the green Wave 1 and currently we are working on the green Wave 2 in an ABC where we finished the red Waves A and B already.
The blue Wave 2 Support sits between the 0.382 FIB at 230.78 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 218.57 USD.
As the red Wave A nd B are in we can calculate the optimal target area for red Wave C.
The red Wave C optimally terminates between 227.38 USD and 221.41 USD.
The target area for C is showed as a box within the blue Wave 2 support.
Noteworthy is that the optimal target of Wave C is in confluence wit the golden pocket of the blue Wave 2. A rare target for the red Wave C would be the 2.618 extension at 215.59 USD marked dark red here right below the triangle trend line but this would break our blue Wave 2 support and shift probabilities to that we already topped out in the white Wave 5 and started a pullback.
We added an additional target area between the 0.618 FIB at 255.45 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 267.20 USD to look out for if we move higher.
Noteworthy is that the ATH is within that target area and this ATH could serve as resistance.
The 0.786 FIB at 267.20 USD is also in confluence with higher timeframe FIBS at 268.91 USD and at 265.89 USD.
Be aware that if we break the ATH we will enter price discovery.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XCN + 333%? X4 IS WAITING FOR IT IF THIS CONFIRMS.Last time Onyxcoin (XCN) had a Bullish divergence on RSI and make a Golden cross. it made a +383% in 5 waves making the 1st wave on the bigger cycle. (152 ds).
Wave 2 a correction ( 152 ds), corrects as Elliot says to the 4th of a minor degree.
And now that the Wave 3 seems to start, we break the descending channel and made a Golden Cross. We have the bull impulse until Feb/Mar 2025.
To confirm this we need the break out on the RSI.
And remember that Wave 3 usually is the strogest of all, we will find out on OCTOBER ;)
Cheers!
XAUUSD_1HAnalysis of gold in the short and medium term The formation of the ABC correction pattern and the main resistance range of gold is 2625, and the next important number is 2595, which is important for this week, and when the price is below this number, gold will enter a falling wave and complete the last falling wave towards the range of 2515 and 2488, which is the end of the fall and can enter the next rising wave again for a long time.
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern.
- So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone.
- In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three.
- In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo.
- Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel.
In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area).
So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again.
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OKX:FTMUSDT
GOLD → Are the buyers back? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is getting stronger after a false breakdown of support. The fundamental background also contributes to it. The focus is on resistance 2589 and 2618, which divide the market into two zones.
The attention of the markets is shifting to the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Biden (or those above him) decided to escalate an already tense situation with his authorization of long-range missiles before leaving office. (A rather bizarre maneuver that generally characterizes Democrats as advocates of war, not peace). Gold has been reacting accordingly since the opening session. China is trying to strengthen its economy, and the dollar's consolidation after the rally gives gold fans a chance.
Technically gold is in the range of 2604 - 2546. Since the opening of the session, the price has been rallying quite strongly, which increases the chances of resistance to stop this rise
Resistance levels: 2589, 2604, 2618
Support levels: 2559, 2546, 2531
The situation is complicated due to the mixed fundamental background. False breakdown of 2589 and consolidation below this zone will strengthen the sales. But, there is a probability of retest of 2618 (liquidity zone). Similarly, a false breakout will trigger selling.
But if the fundamental situation will strengthen in the direction of gold, the market will have a chance to change the local trend from 2618
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation before the continuation of the fallFX:NZDUSD amid bearish rally is not going to pull back, forming consolidation in front of 0.5894 with the purpose of continuing the fall...
Last week the price tested the key support at 0.585, closing below the level, hinting that the market is ready to go further.
The strong rise in the dollar is extremely negative for the forex market. The excitement has not subsided yet and most likely the current movements may get a continuation.
Since we have a downtrend, we should prioritize selling from strong resistance zones or supports. Focus on the key range.
Resistance levels: 0.5864, 0.588, 0.5912
Support levels: 0.584
Accordingly, I do not exclude the fact that the market may test the resistance in the format of a false breakdown and further fall. But, since we are close to the support now and the price is forming a pre-breakdown accumulation, we should consider a breakdown of the support in the first place
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar.
However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU.
Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset.
Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe.
A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
Bitcoin's Super-cycle PredectionBitcoin is finalizing a motive wave (3) to mark the run's top.
A main corrective wave (4) shall start right after (3) and it shall last till Aug/ Sep of 2025 (a mini bear market).
A last motive wave (5) would happen after (4) that would probably last for another year
to end the 4 years super-cycle that started from Nov 2022.
Nasdaq: QQQ Final Swing? Shorting $540+ NASDAQ:QQQ
Hey Everyone,
Hope your week is going great!
As the year winds down, I just want to say—congrats to all of us for making it through. 🥳 We did it!
I’ve been working on a trade idea that I’m excited to share with you. Here’s the plan:
Trade Plan: Short QQQ Mid Term
Swing Trade - Multi day trade
I’m anticipating a strong rally over the next few weeks to close out November if strong enough. After that, I’m watching for QQQ to break below the $540 level.
Short Term Trade Long QQQ
I will be first Looking for a re-entry at current price levels to go long this will allow me to play both sides of the trade targeting short entry zone of $540+ where price starts losing momentum. Then I will follow the main trade idea to do a round trip by shorting this move.
Will provide an update for more specifics.
Let’s finish the year strong—have a good one!
Thanks,
Clemard
Gold --> Break out of channel and test low. Next target?OANDA:XAUUSD is in a strong downtrend after leaving the parallel channel. The price is preparing to update the local low. But! There are positive nuances from the news....
According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are forecasting an 82% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in December, up from around 58% before the data.
However, investors believe that the new presidency could cause the Fed to pause its easing cycle if inflation spikes after the expected new round of tariffs, which could have an overall negative impact on XAU.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by reacting to key support at 2550. In addition, H1 is starting to show a local down channel. Ahead of the key figures (PPI) and US weekly jobless claims, prices may still test these support areas, but then the market may reverse and find resistance, after which we can expect prices to start to decline gradually until the end of the market-wide euphoria....
Nikkei 225: Wave 3 crash is comingI explain in this video my choice on breaking down the waves into sub-waves and suggests the alternative which will always give us a wave 3 down. For 2nd alternate count, where our main and 1st secondary count is wrong, I suggest that the current correction might drags out before wave 3 resumes.
Russell 2000 Short: It's not over yet.We have completed wave 3 and today we are selling wave 4. But it's not over. I believe that wave 4 is going to be shallow and what this means is that price will move up in pre-market, and cash will open up and mark wave 4. Then prices will start coming down for wave 5.
Alibaba: Beware of potential moveAlibaba is at a price point and wave structure where it could be either a potential strong reversal or a crash.
If i have to call a side, I am more bias short because I think global equities are ripe for (short) harvesting. The stop loss that I put in this idea shows that I am cautious about being wrong, but as you can see, it is not at any obvious resistance, showing my short bias.