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Elliott Wave

GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop. At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week. Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314. Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314 Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204 The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
EURJPY → False breakout of strong resistance at 164.FX:EURJPY rallies on news and reaches an important milestone. The liquidity pool formed above 164.00 may prevent the price from rising. There is a high chance of a false breakout. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth caused by PMI news, the currency pair is forming a retest of the key resistance level of 164.188 as part of a consolidation distribution and, with no possibility of continuing its growth, is making a false breakout. Consolidation in the sell zone (below 164.188) will trigger a reversal and a fall. Overall, the situation is neutral, with the market in a sideways range, and a false breakout could lead to a correction or reversal of the local trend. Resistance levels: 164.188 Support levels: 163.17, 162.57 The formation of a reversal pattern relative to resistance and price consolidation below the level could give a good signal for a reversal. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
USDJPY: Detail Technical Analysis and USDJPY CharacteristicsIn this long video, I go through USD/JPY short idea in 2 parts: Part 1: Detailed Technical Analysis and Elliott Waves 1. Head and shoulders - daily 2. Completion of Elliott Waves 3. Breaking down of A-B-C 4. Measurement rules on profit targets. Part 2: USDJPY as a product (characteristics) 1. It's a flight-to-safety product similar to Gold 2. thus also a short equity markets product. 2. It is a short dollar product.
Short
by yuchaosng
NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C. Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C. So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1. So the first target is the 04800 range. If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range. This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it. Good luck and be profitable.
Short
by M_Gheysvandi
SPX Running Into Important Resistance At 5780Last week we saw a weaker-than-expected Advance GDP in the first release, which led some to believe Powell might consider cutting rates. But Friday’s NFP came in better than expected. Expectations are no change for the Fed, and I honestly don’t believe they’ll move either. Despite Trump putting pressure on them, inflation is still not at their 2% target, and the job market remains solid—so there may be no real reason to cut yet. They’re watching markets too, and we've seen a pretty strong rebound, so there’s likely no urgency to act now. Also, if they were to cut, it could appear politically motivated due to Trump, and that could seriously damage investor trust in the Fed’s independence. So with that being said, we are wondering if the SPX can find some resistance if FED does not deliver a dovish view at this moment. Well, looking at the price action, it certainly looks overlaping recovery from April low, that can face limited upside near 5780, at April 2nd high. If by Friday, we close above the 78.6% Fib then we may look at wave 3, alt sceario. Grega
VANTAGE:SP500
by ew-forecast
UJ Impulse Wave 5 IncomingFX:USDJPY seems to have finished Wave 4 being a Correction Wave of the Elliot Wave Theory and looks to be prepping for the start of Wave 5 being an Impulse Wave! Now Price has not only made a 38.2% Retracement to 143.6 of the 145.941 Swing High that ended Wave 3 but is testing Break of Previous Structure being Past Resistance attempting to turn it into Support if enough Buyers enter the market in this opportune area. Price Action during the Correction of Wave 4 has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, typically seen as a Continuation Pattern. For this to be fact, we will need to see a Bullish Breakout to the Falling Resistance followed by a successful Retest of the Break where the Long Opportunities should present themselves. Once Wave 5 is confirmed, we can expect Price to work from here and potential reach the Potential Range Target of ( 148.662 - 150.245 )
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
Gold - This week drop to 3167! (best level to buy)Gold recently dropped from 3500 to 3201, which is a pretty significant correction, but I think we are going to go lower. There is a lot of liquidity below the previous triangle and untested major swing high from 2nd April. In general, triangles act like a magnet for whales. When you see a triangle on the chart, you can be almost sure that the price will go back and take liquidity below it. Or at least retest the POC level of a triangle if the trend is very strong. The 0.618 FIB is the strongest FIB. Then we have the 0.382 and 0.5. If the price is near the 0.618 FIB, there is a very high chance that we are going to hit this level sooner or later. Gold is near this strong fib level + we have to retest the previous swing high. Right now I am pretty bearish on gold, and I think this week we are going to lower and test 3167. But I am very curious - what do you think about gold, and what is your ultimate bottom to buy it? Tell me in the comment section. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xanrox
34
BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500. The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel. 95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K. Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475 Support levels: 95,500, 92,000 All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
26
Apple UpdateNot much to add to my Apple analysis. Price is behaving accordingly. As of now, price is in a spot where it needs to make a decision. Both patterns I am tracking suggest a continued move lower. The question is: will it fall to the turquoise box, implying that minor B is already complete? Or will it fall slightly lower to the grey target box competing minor B at that time. Both patterns I am tracking point to the upper grey target box for intermediate wave (B) eventually. Intermediate (A) took just over 100 days to complete. If (B) is to follow suit, then we still have another 75 days or so until it completes. It doesn't have to take that long as no rules govern time duration. That's just an educated guess on the likely time frame we're looking at. It is for this reason I lean towards the white count. Hopefully we will find out or at least get more clues to the more immediate count this week.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TSuth
Coinbase UpdatePrice continues to trade sideways. We have already tagged the 1.0, made it in between the 0.382 & 0.5, and have all the required waves in place for a top to be made. Much like Tesla, the only move higher from here in an impulsive wave is an ED. I find it much more likely that a top has already been struck and we have already begun our minor B wave. We could still make another high, but if we do I think it will be minimal and would be as an irregular b wave. Ideally, we will find out what is in store this week. Once B starts, as of now, I expect price to fall back to the $150-$160's. Like I said, hopefully we start the move lower this week. I imagine minor B will take 2-4 weeks to complete.
NASDAQ:COIN
by TSuth
1