Gold (XAU/USD) Wave Analysis – Bearish Expectations and When Doe**📌 Main idea:**
This analysis is based on **Elliott Wave Theory**, as it appears that gold has completed the **Expanded Flat** correction pattern, which consists of:
- **Wave A**: Initial rise
- **Wave B**: Upward correction that exceeds the peak of A
- **Wave C**: Strong decline that breaks the bottom of wave A
#### **📉 Expected scenario:**
🔴 After the price reaches **2,886.80**, there is a strong possibility of starting a downward correction targeting:
1️⃣ **2,789.97** (initial support)
2️⃣ **2,596.32** (major support)
3️⃣ **2,536.50** (possible final target before a new rebound occurs)
#### **🛑 When is the bearish scenario canceled and the analysis failed?**
✅ **Breakthrough Clear and daily close above 2,886.80 - 2,900.00**:
- If the price breaks this area and continues to rise, this means that wave C may have failed, and the market may start a new bullish wave instead of the expected correction.
✅ **Strong buying momentum appears with the break of previous highs**:
- If we see strong rises without a clear correction, this indicates the continuation of the bullish trend instead of a bearish correction.
### **🔥 Analysis summary:**
⚡ Gold faces a possible bearish correction provided that **2,886.80** is not breached, but if the price continues to rise above **2,900.00**, the bearish scenario will fail and we may witness a new bullish extension. 🚀
**Do you have any other questions? 🔥**
FPMARKETS:XAUUSD CFI:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Elliott Wave
XRP all of the counts I am eyeing**XRP Elliott Wave Correction Scenarios:**
🔹 **Wave 2 Corrections:**
- **Zigzag (5-3-5):** Sharp drop, retracing **61.8-78.6%** of Wave 1. 🚀
- **Flat (3-3-5):** Sideways chop, retracing **38.2-61.8%** (watch for expanded flats). 📉
- **Running Flat:** Bullish signal if C-wave **fails to break A**. ⚡
🔹 **Wave 4 Corrections:**
- **Triangle (A-B-C-D-E):** Common for Wave 4, **38.2% retracement** of Wave 3. 🔺
- **Flat or Complex:** Sideways structure before Wave 5 breakout. 📊
Key levels: Watch **Fib zones + structure** for the next move! 🚀
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: ˇ+18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XAUUSD ANALYS#XAUUSD ANALYS
####### This analysis was loaded with the correct wavenumber. ######
With this wave count, we can say that here, by hunting liquidity, $2950 will move towards $2700 to complete micro-wave C of wave 4.
I hope this analysis has helped you.
Share this analysis with your friends.
The analysis was done by Mr. Khosravi.
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KHOSRAVI.E.W
The diamond bottom of wave 4??This time analyzing a possible diamond bottom trend reversal based on previous levels of patterns labelled on the right.
The Price to Bar ratio has been locked and logarithmic scales used.
Indicatiors are hidden as they are custom, and anyone who tinkers need not consider anything but their own perspective.
I have been trying to locate what I believe may be the point of the end of wave 4 and the start of wave 5. If this diamond pattern plays out and closes on the 4 hour above the white box, and possibly wicks or closes the next bar above the next line labelled BO LVL the trend will be validated as reversed and the start of wave 5 will also have been validated.
But, that's just, like, my opinion, man.
EWTSU GOLD future intermediate (4)
Elliott Wave Trade Setup
GOLD future intermediate (4)
intermediate (4) running
B of expanded flat ABC
prices reached target of B at 2900 area - should reverse in wave C
C target beyond the end of wave A (2543 area)
alternative
intermediate (4) ended in a running zigzag ABC (C low 2597)
minor 1 of intermediate (5) developping
HOOD top into earningsI believe we are seeing a 5th wave here that lines up perfectly with the 1.618 fib. This is a difficult stock to short so I definitely wont be doing that. My plan will be to re-enter a position and sell CSP around 45$ if we get the correction I am looking for. 5 waves played out on the last downtrend, so I am hopeful this works here.
USD JPY Monthly Prospective Analysis up to 2060 (updated)This is the idea combined with elliott wave theory(I forgot to mention in the previous upload, but, in my chart, the number 2 wave corresponds to the 3 in the elliott and the 3 to the 5. The number 1 wave is the same as the 1 in the elliott). Up to 2027 the trend is down, bounced at around 85 and then going up all the way to reach around 170 (maybe does not reach 200 yen this time, that would be accomplished more than about 50 years later). Hope to live long to see if its correct!
Is Ethereum Ready to Rally? Critical Levels and Elliott Wave InsIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Ethereum Analysis: Key Levels and Market Structure
Ethereum has been moving in tandem with Bitcoin, but there are some distinct levels and market structures developing that are worth paying attention to. While most of the focus has been on BTC, ETH has been presenting some solid trade setups as well. Here’s my breakdown of where we stand and what I’m watching next.
Holding the Low: 2563 as a Double Zig-Zag
Ethereum has been working through a potential 2xZZ (double zig-zag) pattern, and 2563 stands as a key level to maintain that structure. If this low holds, the bullish case remains intact. However, we aren’t currently sitting in a Golden Zone (GZ) or a major discount level based on the recent dump, which adds some caution to aggressive entries.
Bullish Steps: 2665 & 2800 as Critical Resistance
For any bullish momentum to materialize, the first step is 2665—this level needs to break for buyers to start taking control. From there, 2800 is the larger resistance level that Ethereum must break and hold to show real strength. A rejection at this zone could lead to another corrective leg downward.
Confirmation of the Double ZZ: 2900 Break
The completion of the double zig-zag pattern will be officially confirmed with a break of the 2900 pivot. This is the critical point where bullish structure would be fully validated, signaling further upside potential. Until that happens, Ethereum remains in a make-or-break zone.
Until then, I’ll be watching how price action (PA) prints before making any major decisions. What do you think—will ETH break through or are we looking at more downside? Drop your thoughts below!
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Decision point for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin came into the Daily FVG and went up impulsive just like I've said in my outlook. After that it corrected down again.
So this the decision point. If Bitcoin wants to make a new ATH it could not go lower than (orange) wave 4 and it has to go up from here.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a small correction down on a lower time frame to trade longs.
Note: Next week there will be no analysis because I'm on holiday with my family. The week after that I will be back with my analysis.
If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it.
I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Correction down for goldHi traders,
Last week XAUUSD made a sharp correction down and after that it went up again. It looks like price is making an extended (grey) wave 3.
It this is true, then next week we could see the finish of a correction down and after that up again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. After that wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a small correction down on an lower time frame to trade longs.
Note: Next week there will be no analysis because I'm on a holiday with my family. The week after that I'm back for more analysis.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it.
I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Decision on Monday for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD followed the prediction in my outlook. It finished the corrective move down into the lower 4H FVG and after that it went (corrective) up again.
So now on Monday is the decision.
If Monday closes below current price action this pair could go down lower for the break of the low from the (orange) Y-wave.
But if Monday closes above current price action, we could see this pair go up again for a new ATH.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the bigger correction down to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish again. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Impulsive move up for EU?Hi traders,
Last week EU went as I've predicted in my outlook. It finished the correction down and after that it went up impulsive to follow with another correction down. This could be wave 1 and 2 of the bigger (red) wave 3.
It this is true, then next week we could see another impulsive wave up into the direction of the Daily FVG higher.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. After a change in orderflow to bullish and a small correction down on a lower timeframe, you could trade longs.
Note: Next week there will be no analysis because I'm on holiday with my family. The week after that I will be back with my analysis.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
GMX Ending Diagonal
Based on the continued drop, I've switched my count to and ending diagonal, and we'd currently be in black 5 to end this downtrend cycle.
There are no bullish signals in place yet. A break of the mid-channel green trendline resistance would be a good indicator that the trend has reversed.
Only for Elliotitians BTCBitcoin is currently in a sideways corrective pattern, which opens the door to multiple possible scenarios. Depending on market sentiment and liquidity, BTC could be forming a complex correction, such as a running flat, expanded flat, or even a triangle consolidation before the next impulsive move. This period of indecision allows both bulls and bears to test key support and resistance levels, creating potential breakouts in either direction. Traders should remain cautious and consider various Elliott Wave structures or range-bound strategies to navigate the uncertainty.
Red is bearish
Blue bullish
Orange bullish
Reversal on Vertex Pharmaceuticals. VRTXMean reversion strategy in a fade for the most recent rally. Here, we are betting that the rally, now in OBOS, will not cross the most recent high of highs. More specifically, that the price action will not exceed one std deviation of the vWAP value. There are divergences on the indicators below to support trend weakness, and historically nothing stays in OBOS too long. Ellioticians may appreciate a flat forming now.
Mastering Bitcoin #1In this quick but educational video we delve into the intricacies of Bitcoin's price movements using popular technical analysis tools like Bollinger Bands, Elliott Wave Theory, Triple Moving Average, and Bearish Divergence on MACD and RSI. Learn how these few indicators can help predict what might be ahead for Bitcoin based on current data.
I'm gonna make this into a habit, creating short, educational videos, so expect more of this insightful, bite-sized content going forward.
OMUSDT → Consolidation in a triangle before the rallyBINANCE:OMUSDT is a paranormal coin in this case, as it is one of the few projects that shows bullish dynamics while all altcoins are finding bottom after bottom.
Perhaps the situation partly depends on BINANCE:BTCUSD . If it starts to fall even deeper, nothing and no one will help here. But locally bitcoin is forming a resistance breakout and if the bulls hold this trend, the BINANCE:OMUSDT.P coin may have a bullish driver that can support the bullish movement.
At the moment, the focus is on the triangle (wedge) resistance and the base of the 5.6756 pattern. Two bullish scenarios should be considered: Growth after a resistance breakout or growth after a false breakdown of support.
Resistance levels: 5.9821, 6.30
Support levels: 5.75, 5.6756
At the moment, a consolidation within the triangle boundaries is being formed. But when the resistance is broken, the market may move to the realization phase and the impulse may be quite sharp. Ahead, beyond 6.3, there is no resistance...
Regards R. Linda!
PYPL : Another Dive or Finally Time to Buy?PayPal (PYPL) has been getting slapped around like a rookie in a heavyweight fight. The stock is now chilling above a thick support zone—right above the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Sounds like fancy chart talk, but all it really means is: This could be where the pain finally stops.
There's also an unfilled gap across multiple timeframes, and gaps like these tend to get filled at some point. If NASDAQ:PYPL keeps sliding, it might take out the previous quarterly low. Why does that matter? Because these lows act like a magnet, dragging price down just enough to shake out weak hands before launching higher. That’s when the selling pressure finally dies down. And the RSI? Almost in the basement—last time we saw this (November 2023), PYPL ripped higher shortly after.
My plan? Set alerts, watch closely, and pounce when the signs point to a reversal. I’m not about to catch a falling knife, but if this thing turns around, I sure as hell don’t want to be left behind.