Next up Nasdaq = US100 buy continues.if the correction wave ended at 0.5 fibo level which is current dip next target is new high. in shorter time timezones first targets are 19900 - 20250 - 22300
Elliott Wave
DXY TrendlinesUnless it brakes the downtrend with a weekly candle close it should bounce back up in long run. should be closely monitored since it will give us a lot of information about current market direction. i expect bouncing back up but we will see.
solusdtThe breakout area has been successfully tested and we will see the next step, the drop to the shaded area.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market
NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID.
𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs.
𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
GBPJPY Trapped In A Triangle RangeGBPJPY made a very strong reversal in the second half of 2024, following a sharp drop of more than 10%, with an aggressive bearish impulse and also broke the lower trendline of the impulsive channel back in August. Since then, the first recovery unfolded in three waves, suggesting this move could be part of a complex correction—currently still unfolding as a wave B pause.
Ideally, this structure is forming a triangle, especially as the drop back to the recent April lows also looks corrective. So, I believe the triangle scenario is the most likely scenario here, and price could now be heading toward the upper side of the range if risk-on sentiment continues. Still, upside may be limited, as this range could stay in play until all A-B-C-D-E legs are completed. If correct, wave C for a deeper move lower is still missing and could develop later this year.
Grega
Elliot Wave B then C on 4hrTo confirm a low is in and Wave B’s final leg is starting:
✅ 15M CHoCH – Price must break previous lower high (LL > HL shift).
✅ Bullish volume surge on breakout.
✅ Higher low retest (entry zone).
✅ RSI breaks above 50.
This would line up with a reversal inside your 4H Demand/Reaction Block, adding confluence from both timeframes.
Chevron: The Chart’s Reaching a Critical PointChevron is starting to look very interesting again — but let’s be clear from the start: Chevron, like every oil giant, lives and dies by the price of oil. If oil rips higher or collapses due to global politics, supply shocks, or economic chaos, Chevron NYSE:CVX follows. No exceptions.
That said, what we’re seeing on the chart right now is increasingly pointing toward a deeper correction — specifically down to the $113–$100 zone. That would make sense structurally as a Wave 4 retracement.
But there’s a technical nuance here. Wave 1’s high sits at $103 — and depending on how strict your Elliott Wave rules are, Wave 4 dipping into Wave 1 is bad territory. Personally, I’m okay with a brief touch into that range, but I don’t want to see price hanging around below $103 for long.
From a trend perspective, we’re clearly in a downward channel. We just saw a textbook bull trap:
Chevron broke out with a solid +7% move over two weeks,
Followed immediately by a massive 22% drop,
One of the sharpest two-week declines since — yeah — March 2020, pandemic levels.
Now, price is hovering around $130, and the setup is simple:
If this level holds, great — maybe we’re bottoming.
If it breaks, I’m looking to buy between $113 and $100. That’s where the structure aligns, the volume kicks in, and risk/reward starts to make sense again.
So here’s the real question:
Do we see $200 first — or $100?
I’m leaning $100 first.
Not because I’m bearish long-term— but because that level would clean up the chart, shake out the noise, and give us a real shot at riding the next strong leg higher with conviction.
Would love to hear what you think — where’s your bet?
SUI Long in WIDEA for SUI in Weekly time frame:
-Analysis used: Elliot waves + Fibonacci + Ascending Channel
-Long in wave 2 retracement for a 2-3 month projection
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction.
I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500.
If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction.
Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;)
For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
GLDGold has extended slightly passed the 2.618 extension fib and then began to fall back down. It is too early to tell if price has finally topped or not. It is no coincidence though that it started moving lower as the market started moving higher. I believe that any drop in price for gold is only temporary. It will, IMO, begin to move higher again around the time this larger consolidation of the indices completes.
Should price start to move higher again, we will need to look towards the 2.786 & 3.0 for points of resistance. However, if a local top is in fact in place, we would then continue lower in an overlapping/choppy fashion. I will update as it warrants.
DXY, big picture analysisTechnical analysis for DXY.
Looking for bottom about 89.209 to complete wave B of zigzag (Y).
Would then look for wave C of (Y) to break above 121.020 resistance (bearish pitchfork never tagged median line).
US30, bearish analysisBearish count for US30.
Impulse wave from ATH, wave ((2)) is expanded flat, wave ((4)) appears to be a double-three, with (W) a regular flat, (X) and (Y) are zigzags.
I like wave (((4)) to finish below resistance at 42008, with wave ((5)) to approach October 2022 low of 28586.8.
My Thoughts #002Here is an idea 💡
I just think the pair is set to push Lower...
Because the pair then went and made a Choch and meaning that we are moving from bullish pattern to bearish pattern
Anything could invalidate my set up
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
My Thoughts #001Here is an idea 💡
I just think the pair is set to push higher...
Because the pair then went and made a Choch and meaning that we are moving from bearish pattern to bullish pattern
Anything could invalidate my set up
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
My Thoughts #001Here is an idea 💡
I just think the pair is set to push higher...
Because the pair then went and made a Choch and meaning that we are moving from bearish pattern to bullish pattern
Anything could invalidate my set up
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
MSFT Downtrend Over?Gray support is holding the price drop.
Yet, in my primary count, I´m still considering this is blue 4 correction.
Statistically, wave C usually ends with divergence, and we don't see it on the daily or the 4H timeframes.
So, I'll stick to this count as long as price stays below wave 1 (412.29).
PEPEUSDTBased on this analysis, wave E is complete and any retracement to around 0.0000078 is a buying opportunity.. and around 0.000017 to 0.000022 is the possible end zone of wave F..
Even if the price returns to the levels of 0.0000058 to 0.000005 once again, it will still be an ideal buying opportunity to buy spot.. And this is just a simple analysis and there is a possibility of error in it..
Elliott waveAccording to the wave correction pattern, the B correction has been completed, and the C wave cycle is entered.
Sell limit 3345 stoploss 3370, tp 3100
BELUSDT 1H TIMEFRAME - ELLIOT WAVES FROM FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTI just played with the Fibonacci retracement tool and traced the 5 waves with the minimum expected values.
--> If the probabilty with the retracements remains like this, then we could expect at least these results with the retraced minimum values .
--> Else if it collpases under the starting point of the wave 1 then these retracements should be ignored.
GOLD → False breakdown and change of mood...FX:XAUUSD is strengthening after a false breakdown of support at 3288, with the change in fundamental sentiment due to US statements on the tariff war also providing support for the price.
On Thursday, gold rose from a weekly low of $3,260, supported by a weaker dollar and renewed concerns about US trade negotiations with China and Japan.
Optimism about tariff cuts quickly faded after denials from the White House. Weak US business activity data is fueling talk of a possible Fed policy easing, which is also supporting gold. The markets remain focused on trade news and Trump's statements.
Technically, gold could reach the liquidity cluster at 3314 and continue to rise towards strong resistance at 3370.
Resistance levels: 3342, 3370, 3387
Support levels: 3314, 3288, 3270
Below 3314 and below 3288, a liquidity pool has formed, which the market is likely to test before continuing its growth. It is too early to talk about a resumption of a strong rally, as the situation between the US and China is complicated, as are the negotiations on the situation in Eastern Europe, which seem to be moving towards talks, but every time something goes wrong...
Best regards, R. Linda!
POL: The Return of The Matic#POL recently bounced in what could be a bullish reversal, possibly marking the end of a 3-year corrective major wave (4).
If the $0.151 low holds (stop-loss), a massive bull run shall start for #MATIC.
Passing $0.768 confirms the bullish idea of targeting the ATH.
#Polygon
FETUSDI sold every single FET I had at around 2.50s in May 24 and I've not been really interested in it since then, apart from a few short term traders. It's always been a terrible asset to trade frequently, a pain to wait for it to do its thing and then everything happens in a matter of few weeks. As if it's not enough, the merger made it even less attactive.
Anyway, this chart is from December and finally it's in my buy zone. If the qFVG doesn't hold, then i think it'll go down to htf golden pocket for a 98% retrace from ATH. The team behind is relentlessly building and making partnerships, so i think its time can come again.
EURJPY: Short Setup with Target Zones in FocusEURJPY outlines a clear W-X-Y corrective pattern. Wave (W) ended at 161.297 , followed by an upward corrective move in Wave (X), which topped at 162.665 with a classic ABC formation.
Currently, the price is hovering around 162.084, likely forming Wave B of the final Y leg. A brief move higher could complete this B wave before the pair resumes its decline toward the 160.922–160.680 area, which marks the projected end of Wave C of (Y).
The broader correction is framed by two descending blue trendlines, providing dynamic resistance and support, while a short-term red ascending trendline is currently holding the price action but may soon give way. If the price stalls or rejects around the 162.3–162.5 zone, it could signal the start of the next leg down, making it a potential setup for short positions. After the reversal from Wave Y, potential upside targets are 161.600, 162.500 , and 163.100 .
We will update it soon!
