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Elliott Wave

BTC/USD – 5-Wave Structure Completed | Bearish Divergence + Stru🕒 Timeframe: 30min 📅 Date: June 8, 2025 💱 Pair: BTC/USD (BITSTAMP) 📊 Indicator: Awesome Oscillator (AO) 🧠 Technical Analysis Summary: A classic 5-wave Elliott structure (1–2–3–4–5) has completed. Key observations: Wave (5) slightly pushes above Wave (3), but momentum weakens. Bearish divergence is spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) between Wave (3) and Wave (5), signaling exhaustion. Price is currently holding above a key structure support (SNR) at 105415. 🔻 Sell Setup: 🟥 SNR = Structure level at 105415. 🧨 If price breaks below 105415, I will enter a short (sell) position. 🧠 This level acts as a confluence zone: End of wave 5 Loss of bullish momentum Bearish AO divergence Potential trend shift 📌 Trade Plan: 💥 Action: ➡️ Sell only if price breaks and closes below 105415. 🎯 Potential Targets: 104200 – local structure support 102800 – deeper correction zone (possible wave A) 🛡️ Invalidation: ➡️ If price closes back above recent high (~105800) with renewed AO strength, I’ll reconsider the short. 🧰 Tools Used: Elliott Wave Theory (1–5 structure) Awesome Oscillator – Divergence Confirmation Market Structure (SNR as key support) 💬 Conclusion: Wave 5 is done. Momentum has faded. All eyes on the structure level at 105415. ➡️ Break = Sell. If it holds, no trade. 📌 Stay patient. Let the market come to you. 🔔 Like & follow if you enjoy clean Elliott Wave and momentum divergence setups. Got your own wave count? Drop it below! 👇 #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #ElliottWave #BearishDivergence #AO #CryptoTrading #StructureBreak #PriceAction #Wave5Complete
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AwesomeOscDad
1
“Bitcoin Elliott Wave Breakdown – Watch This Before You Trade!”🔹 “This is Bitcoin on the 1-Month chart. What we see here is a completed 5-wave impulse according to Elliott Wave Theory.” 🔹 “Wave (1) through (5) is now complete, and the price has hit the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel.” 🔹 “Notice this red zone? This is a strong resistance area between $76K and $111K. We might be forming a potential double top pattern here.” 🔹 “Divergence is likely forming in wave 5 — a classic sign of weakening momentum.” 🔹 “If we break below $66K and then $53K, expect a drop all the way to the $31K zone.” 🔹 “This level aligns with the bottom of the channel and possibly the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.” 🔹 “Final target? $31,000 – a key zone for accumulation before the next major cycle.”
Short
by SniperAcademyfx
5
Injective & Elliott WavesAn impulse leads to a correction. A correction leads to an impulse. The chart here starts with a bullish impulse. 1,2,3,4,5—blue-left. This impulse leads to a correction. ABC—orange. The first ABC correction, the bear market, ends June 2022. A correction leads to an impulse so a new bullish impulse starts right after and we have a new 5-up waves. 1,2,3,4,5—blue-center. The bullish impulse ends March 2024 and this leads to a new ABC correction. Orange-right. The correction hits bottom 7-April 2025. The end of the correction signals the start of a new bullish impulse, 1,2,3,4,5 blue-right. The 2025 bull market. This is Elliott Wave Theory simplified. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
15
Ratos AB - one of my favourite chartsRatos has provided us with a golden opportunity to at least double our investment if my Elliott wave count remains correct. After a 14 year corrective move that ended in 2020 the company value has increased impulsively - white ((1)) - and peaked in august 2021. Since then we have seen overlapping price action in what I believe is a wxy formation which recently ended in April this year. (78.6 fib retracement) Since then price has climbed fast again which makes me believe that we start the wave 3 which potentially could stretch out to new ATHs. However, if the bearish momentum remains we could at least see the stock reach twice its current valuation. Let´s hope for the best and keep an eye on potential pullbacks to enter long again. P.S. If I´m not mistaken the fundamentals are also indicating a bright future for the company.
OMXSTO:RATO_BLong
by Staggi10
ICP Short-term Elliot Wave OutlookICP is currently in a short to medium term corrective phase which has lasted just over half of the year. In terms of the macro count it is completing the last leg of a zig-zag in either wave 2 or a B wave. The primary count in white shows an impulse with five completed waves. In this instance, it is a non-overlapping ending diagonal where the impulse sub-divides as 3-3-3-3-3. This count is invalidated if price breaks below the aqua support area. If price breaks below the aqua support area the alternate count becomes more likely. In this case, we're looking at a WXYXZ in yellow. Z can be either 61.8, 100.0, 123.6 or 138.2 of W. Generally targeting the area between 4.22 and 3.35
CRYPTO:ICPUSD
by HelioHelix
Correction up for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin broke below the red dotted line so now we could see a much bigger correction for Bitcoin. Price came into the Weekly bullish FVG and rejected to the upside. This could be the start of wave B (grey) of a big correction down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish to trade (short term) longs again. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Wave 3 up is coming for goldHi traders, Last week gold started an impulse wave but after it broke the previous high it made another correction down. So this could be wave 1 and 2 (purple) of wave 3 (blue). Then next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (purple) up from the bullish 4H FVG on the left. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and an impulse wave up and correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
A little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, And again my previous outlook of SPX500USD played out as I've said. After a small correction we saw the continuation of the upmove to the Daily FVG. Next week we could see price come into the Daily FVG and reject from there for a correction down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade short term longs into the Daily FVG. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself... Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming. Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback). Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400 Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
37
Bigger correction for EUHi traders, Last week EU did not make an impulse wave 3 but instead it slowly went up. And after the ECB rate decision on Thursday it started to drop. At the moment the pattern is not very clear. This could be a bigger correction down for wave 4 (black) so my main bias is to the downside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a small correction up to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
8
JINDAL STAINLESS Breaks the Channel – What’s Next?After completing a long WXY correction, Jindal Stainless has flipped into a strong uptrend. The price broke above the downtrend channel and also reclaimed the 200-day moving average — confirming strength. The rally from 504 has unfolded as a nested 1-2, 1-2 impulse, and the wave 5 has now entered its 1 to 1.618 projection zone. We’re likely entering a blue Wave 4 pullback, especially as: RSI shows bearish divergence The rally looks stretched short-term A healthy retracement toward the 661–640 zone can follow. As long as 633.35 holds, this bullish structure remains intact. Trend : Bullish Retracement zone : 661.80 – 640.65 Invalidation : Below 633.35 This is a dynamic setup. Chart will be updated as price action unfolds Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JSLLong
by WaveXplorer
Bearish Structure Still in Control, But a Twist is PossibleALKEM continues to respect its larger downward channel, forming what looks like a classic W-X-Y corrective structure. Wave W unfolded as a zigzag . Wave X developed as a contracting triangle , ending near ₹5400. The current drop appears to be the start of Wave Y , possibly forming another zigzag. As long as price stays below ₹5460 (the 0.5 retracement of the entire W-Y structure), the bearish setup remains valid. The RSI breakdown below 40 adds strength to the bearish bias. The projected Wave Y could extend toward the ₹3450 zone if symmetry with Wave W plays out. Alternate Bullish Scenario : While bearish remains the primary view, there's a low-probability bullish alternate : If the move from the February lows to ₹5400 was actually a leading diagonal, then the current fall could be a Wave 2 correction. A sharp reversal from above ₹4491 might trigger a bullish breakout toward new highs. Chart will be updated as price action evolves. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:ALKEMShort
by WaveXplorer
GOLD → Intra-range strategy. Waiting for NFPFX:XAUUSD remains consolidated in the 3340-3391 range. The price is stuck in the middle of the range due to the uncertainty created by upcoming unemployment news... On Friday, gold rose slightly, remaining within the range ahead of important US employment data (NFP), which could set the direction for the market. Optimism over the US-China deal and profit-taking on the dollar are supporting the USD, holding back gold's rise. A weak NFP (less than 100,000) will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and support gold. A strong report (above 200,000) will have the opposite effect. The probability of a rate cut in September is 54%. Technically, on the daily timeframe, the market structure is bullish. After a sharp breakout of resistance and a new high, the price is consolidating above the upward trend line, forming a plateau in the 3300-3340 zone. Another shakeout from support is possible before the trend resumes Resistance levels: 3375, 3391, 3414 Support levels: 3339, 3331 Forming a price forecast ahead of news, especially ahead of NFP, is a thankless task. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for the news and monitor the price reaction. A retest of the consolidation boundary and a rebound are possible. There is a chance that the price will remain in consolidation until next week, but again, it all depends on the fundamental background... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
USDCAD → One step away from distributionFX:USDCAD is recovering amid the dollar's growth. Unemployment news is ahead. A return of the price to the buying zone may support the currency pair. Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, a change in the market phase is forming (unconfirmed). The price has stopped updating lows and is forming an eql, from which it is breaking out of the downtrend. The initial retest of liquidity at 1.366 may end in a correction. However, a quick retest and consolidation of the price above the level will confirm the change in sentiment Resistance levels: 1.3686, 1.3732 Support levels: 1.3675, 1.366 Despite the fact that the price broke the downward resistance, the currency pair is still under pressure from sellers who are waiting for the price to fall from 1.3686. A breakout, a change in market sentiment to bullish, and consolidation above 1.3675-1.3686 will confirm readiness for a recovery. Zones of interest: eqh 1.3732 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea . Do you think this downward trend will continue or not? Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again. I choose to label this idea as ''Long''. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
AUDJPY Begins Elliot Correction After Wave 5 Impulse EndsOANDA:AUDJPY seems to have started a Elliot Correction Wave after the Impulsive Elliot Wave came to a finish once Wave 5 ended this morning @ 93.774. Now after an Impulsive Wave ends, its theory that a Correction comes next and with Price having Retraced to the Golden Ratio creating a Lower High, this is the beginning signs of that theory in the works! The Sequence will be confirmed once Price Breaks below Point A @ 93.248 where then we should suspect Price to find itself back down into the 92 range where the Correction Wave should come to an end. RSI is trading back below 50 confirming Price has room to move lower strengthening the Bearish Bias.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor" ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents 📰 Forbes: Your Cover – Our Margin Call. Saylor, Get Ready! You've heard it, haven't you? Those stories about Forbes covers and the subsequent fall of crypto empires? It's no longer a superstition; it's, damn it, statistics: Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Forbes, February 2018: "Binance's Crypto King!" – the headlines screamed. And what then? He served four months in prison. Well, not immediately, of course, but the "seed" of the curse was sown. Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), Forbes, October 2021: "The New Warren Buffett of Crypto!" – the fanfares shrieked. And what was the result? He's sitting pretty now, enjoying prison romance. And now, our incomparable Michael Saylor enters the stage! Forbes puts him on the cover in January 2025 "Michael Saylor: The Bitcoin Alchemist"! Why a Forbes cover is not glory but a warning for Michael Saylor (and a signal for the US government): This is not just a coincidence; it's a systemic pattern. Forbes, whether out of naivety or, conversely, subtle calculation, acts as an unwitting harbinger. They choose those who are at the peak of hype, those who have "believed in themselves" and are ready to tell the whole world about their "brilliant" strategy. And the peak of hype, as we know, is the beginning of a fall. And this is where it gets interesting. The US government, which carefully reads such magazines (after all, they write about "financial stability" and "national interests" there), sees Michael Saylor on the cover and thinks: 💭 "Well, well, this guy has accumulated half a million Bitcoins. And he's currently at the peak of self-admiration. Excellent! Get ready for 'Operation: Coercion to Stability'!" ❌ Why this cover for Saylor is not just a photoshoot, but a "liquidation marker" for the US government: "The Forbes Curse" as a "Market Overheat" Indicator: For our financial strategists from the Treasury and the Fed, Saylor's appearance on the cover is not just a signal of "overheating"; it's a green light for activating the "Crypto-Reserve" plan. They see: "Oh, this guy got too relaxed. He has too much 'digital gold' at an average price of $74,000. And we love to buy at a discount, especially if the discount can be 'arranged'!" Recession and Crash as "Natural Selection": Remember that TBAC in its documents constantly reminds us of Bitcoin's "volatility" and the "necessity of hedging." The perfect storm for Saylor is an "unexpected" recession in the US and a sharp stock market crash. At this moment, Bitcoin, which has always historically behaved as a "high-beta" asset (DA&TM, p. 5), will fall even faster. When BTC is in the range of $30,000 - $40,000, this will not just be a "loss" for Micro Strategy – it will be absolute financial hell for their leveraged positions, which they so "cleverly" accumulated. Margin Calls: Music to Regulators' Ears: Saylor's average purchase price of $74,000, and Bitcoin has fallen to $30-40k? This is not just "oh, we're in the red" . These are massive margin calls and the threat of liquidation of MarginCallStrategy MicroStrategy's positions, which mortgaged its shares and Bitcoin itself to buy even more Bitcoin. The banks holding them as collateral (and which are, of course, "friendly" with the Fed) will start to get nervous. And then, as if by magic, the "saving hand" of the government will appear. "Humanitarian Aid" (at a Bitcoin price of $30-40k.): They won't come waving checkbooks to buy Bitcoin for $100,000. They will come when Saylor is on the verge of collapse, and they will say: 💬 "Michael, we see your pain. To avoid 'systemic risk' and 'protect investors' (who are in your fund because you bought so much Bitcoin), we are ready to 'help'. We will 'acquire' your Bitcoin at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price) to 'stabilize' the situation. Naturally, this is not a purchase, but 'crisis prevention'." Bitcoin in the "Crypto-Reserve": Mission Accomplished! Thus, the government, without directly buying a "speculative asset," will receive half a million BTC at a "bargain" price, using market crashes and financial pressure. And then they will be able to proudly declare: "We have 'digital gold' that will protect our financial system from external shocks. And yes, it is now in our hands, not some 'Alchemist's'." ✖️ The Forbes Curse: When a Magazine Becomes a Catapult for Crypto-Kings The cover of Forbes magazine is not just paper and ink; it's the financial equivalent of an "X" on your back, appearing exactly when "Big Brother" decides you've gotten too big for your "digital gold" britches. Let's recall the chronicles of this "curse" to understand what awaits our Michael Saylor: 1. CZ (Changpeng Zhao), Binance: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Feb. 2018. Headlines trumpeted "crypto-king." ▫️ BTC Price: $11,500. The entire crypto-brotherhood rejoiced, thinking the moon-run was endless. ▫️ What happened next: By the end of 2018, Bitcoin plummeted to $3,000. A -73% drop. And Changpeng, after several years of legal battles, eventually ended up behind bars for 4 months. 2. SBF (Sam Bankman-Fried), FTX: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Oct. 2021. "The Billionaire Saving the Crypto World!" indeed. ▫️ BTC Price at the time: Around $60,000. The market was at its peak; everyone was talking about $100k, "diamond hands," and a "new financial era." ▫️ What happened next: A year later, by the end of 2022, Bitcoin was already around $16,000. A -75% drop. And Sam? Sam is enjoying government cuisine and the company of cellmates, sentenced to 25 years (but according to recent data, the term may be reduced by 4 years). 3. Michael Saylor, Micro Strategy: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Jan. 2025. Our "Alchemist" Michael, with brilliance and faith in his eyes, has concocted somewhere around half a million bitcoins and has finally received this "honor." ▫️ BTC Price: As of today, around $100k. Imagine the hype! Saylor tells everyone that "we've only just begun," that Bitcoin is "financial sovereignty" and "the future of humanity," whose price is about to fly to $500k without you! Buy now, don't miss out! ▫️ What will happen next (according to the "Big Brother" scenario): If history is not just a collection of boring dates, but a cyclical performance with notes of tragicomedy, then the following awaits us. A year after the Forbes cover, by early 2026, the price of Bitcoin in this scenario could plummet by -70% from its ATH. This means Bitcoin would be in the range of $30-40k. dollars. And what about Michael? I don't want to jinx it, but if CZ served four months, Sam will likely serve 4 years, then how long will our BTC-prophet and "crypto-Moses" get? Forty? In conclusion: The Forbes curse is not magic; it's a harbinger of a systemic blow. So, when you see another crypto-hero on the cover of Forbes, don't rush to rejoice for him. Most likely, it's the last call before the "system" begins its complex, multi-step plan for "coercion to cooperation." So, let's dream. No, not about flights to Mars, but about much more down-to-earth, but far more probable scenarios, where Washington finally gets its hands on "digital gold." After all, as stated in DA&TM, Bitcoin is "a store of value, aka 'digital gold' in the decentralized world of DeFi" . Well, since it's "gold," it should be in our "gold reserve," right? But to buy it directly? Oh no, that's a "speculative asset," it's "volatile" ! But "acquiring" it at a discount – that's a whole different song. 📝 The "Digital Couping" Scenario (or how to take Bitcoin without buying it on the open market): ◻️ Phase 1: Deflation of the US Stock Market Bubble ▫️ "Recession? Stock market crash? Perfect time for 'healing'!" The government and banksters will always find a way to "help" the market. If the American economy, as many are whispering now, faces a serious recession, and the stock market tumbles, then Bitcoin, as a "high-beta" asset, may well follow suit. Remember how Bitcoin reacted to "crashes" in 2017, 2021, 2022 (DA&TM, p. 5, chart). If Michael Saylor's average purchase price is $74,000 today, then a drop into the $30,000 - $50,000 range is not just a "correction"; it will be an absolute financial hell for his margin positions, which he so "cleverly" accumulated. ▫️ Margin-call for Micro Strategy. Michael Saylor didn't just buy Bitcoin; he bought it with borrowed funds, collateralizing his shares and even Bitcoin itself. In the event of a deep market downturn and, consequently, a fall in BTC's price, Micro Strategy will face serious problems servicing its debt and maintaining collateral. The banks that issued them loans (and these are, most likely, banks very "friendly" to the government) will start to get nervous. And then the most interesting part will begin. ◻️ Phase 2: "Operation: Buyout" ▫️ "An offer you can't refuse." When Micro Strategy is on the verge of default or bankruptcy due to its Bitcoin positions, "saviors" will appear on the scene – perhaps some specially created "Digital Asset Stability Fund" or even directly "government-friendly" large financial institutions that have received a "green light" and, possibly, even funding from the Fed (naturally "to ensure financial stability"). ▫️ "We are not buying; we are 'stabilizing'!" They won't say: "We are buying Bitcoin." They will say: 💬 "We are preventing systemic risk! We are providing liquidity to the market during a crisis, buying back their 'high-beta' asset at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price)." And this is where the "digital gold" narrative, which has already permeated even official documents (DA&TM, p. 2), will come into play. "It's gold, and gold should be in the state reserve, shouldn't it? " ◻️ Phase 3: Nationalization of 'Digital Gold' and control over the narrative ▫️ "Congratulations, Michael, you've become a 'pioneer'!" After most of Saylor's Bitcoins are "saved," they will end up in the hands of, say, a "special depository" or a "strategic digital asset reserve." At the same time, the government will not "own" them in the traditional sense, but will "manage" them for "national interests." ▫️ "Now we have 'digital gold,' and it will work for us!" With this significant reserve of Bitcoins (576k "taken" from Saylor + 200k "confiscated" Bitcoins earlier – that's no joke), the US government suddenly becomes the largest sovereign holder of an asset that they will now officially recognize as "digital gold." This will allow them to: ▫️ Influence the market: If necessary, they will be able to use this "crypto-reserve" to "stabilize" prices, intervening in the market (for example, by selling small portions to curb too much growth, or conversely, by buying if the market falls sharply, but through their affiliated structures). ▫️ Legitimize "digital gold": If the US government has a Bitcoin reserve, then it's no longer "speculative nonsense," but part of the official financial system. This will open doors for broader institutional adoption, but on their terms. ▫️ Pump capitalization through stablecoins for national debt: A crucial strategic step will be to use this new "digital gold standard" to address the growing national debt. By aggressively legitimizing Bitcoin as "digital gold" and creating controlled mechanisms for its storage and trading (e.g., through regulated ETFs and tokenized assets), the US government will create a powerful incentive for capital inflow. In parallel, by strengthening regulation and encouraging the growth of fiat-backed stablecoins, collateralized by short-term US Treasury bonds (T-Bills), a colossal "cushion" of demand for US national debt will be created. The larger the capitalization of stablecoins, the greater the need for T-Bills to back them. The goal is to first build up a large BTC reserve, then, by boosting stablecoin capitalization, inflate the overall crypto market capitalization and the price of Bitcoin itself, to ultimately create a new powerful tool for "monetizing" or, at least, facilitating the servicing of US national debt. This will look like a brilliant financial maneuver, turning "wild" cryptocurrency into a tool for strengthening US financial stability and national security. ◽️ A rescue that looks like a robbery. So the scenario is not that the US government will "pump" Bitcoin by buying it expensively; the scenario is that they will create conditions and wait for the market to "drown" the most ambitious hodlers, and then come to the rescue to "save" their assets. And this "help" will look like the acquisition of a strategic asset at a bargain price, using existing market pressure mechanisms and crisis phenomena. This is a classic "good cop, bad cop" game, where the "bad cop" is an "unexpected" market recession, and the "good cop" is the government that "saves" assets to then use them for its geopolitical and financial interests. And all this under the guise of "financial stability" and "national security," of course. After all, who better than the government can manage your "digital gold"? Of course, no one! ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by T_A_R_A_S
1