Stromm | S&P 500 & NASDAQ a RESISTANCE is NearThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are basically moving in lockstep right now — their structures look almost identical.
Starting with the S&P 500:
We’re currently trading into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap between $5,546 and $5,634, Sitting just under a 4-hour Order Block that could trigger a short-term reaction.
At the moment, though, it doesn’t really look like we’re going to flush all the way back down toward the $5,000 level (2-hour Order Block sitting much lower).
More likely?
This 4h Order Block just gives us a brief pullback, a minor reaction — and then price pushes higher again.
This would line up perfectly with my original scenario of Wave A completing around $4,805.
Personally, I’m already positioned around $4,800, so obviously, I'd love to see that level hold and price continue moving higher — ideally heading toward $6,000.
That would be the perfect extension — but nothing is guaranteed yet.
Still, structure right now leans bullish unless we see a sudden breakdown.
Now, for the Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! :
Almost the same setup —
We have a 2-hour Order Block just above the current price, acting as short-term resistance,
And another 2-hour Order Block way lower, which now seems less likely to be tested unless something drastic happens.
So for the Nasdaq, the most realistic short-term scenario:
Hit resistance at the current 2h Order Block,
Maybe a small pullback toward 18,900–19,000,
Then continuation higher toward 20,000 or even 21,000 over the next few weeks.
Elliott Wave
Ethereum: The biggest Opportunity in 2025!Ethereum is following Bitcoin—but with way worse performance. While BTC is still holding up relatively well, ETH has dropped all the way back to March 2023 levels, wiping out the entire rally. Since its top, Ethereum is down over 63%. 😮💨
Still—or maybe because of that—I’m beginning to slowly scale into spot positions here.
Yes, we could fall further. I’ve got limit orders set lower, specifically around $1,260, which aligns with the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement and the midpoint of the monthly order block. That’s a key zone I’ll be watching if price keeps dropping.
That said, this Wave (2) should be nearing its final stage. The sell-off has been steep, and if we lose $804, that would flip Ethereum’s entire monthly structure bearish—a scenario I’d consider extremely negative.
I don’t expect ETH to suddenly blast past $5,000 from here, but at these levels, I see a clear opportunity to build longer-term spot exposure—and that’s exactly what I’m starting to do now.
PalantirPalantir has continued to push higher, but if you look at MACD, it is running into resistance. Also, it is within the white target box for an impulsive wave, and has officially hit the yellow 1.0 if it is to be an abc pattern for the (a) of minor B. Due to the impulsive looking structure it seems to be turning into, and the duration/level of this move higher, I am officially making the bullish count my primary. That being said, the yellow count can still play out, but given the current price action and time duration, I find the white count most plausible.
We're due for a consolidation lower regardless of what count comes to fruition. Both patterns point to an abc move next to the $80 area if it is to be standard. The part that comes after that is what will answer the question of which count is correct. Once we get that move lower, if it is in the form of an abc, I will try to enter into a long position around the 0.618 retracement fib. That will be the least risky place to enter.
If the white count is what is playing out, then a minor wave 3 will come after the consolidation lower. If the yellow count is to play out, then it will be a minor C wave that takes us to the $120's. Either way you look at it, I am forecasting price to move significantly higher after our next move lower.
Let me know if any questions linger. I have added an orange label above the white box to signify we can still very easily get another high for minor wave 1. Once we do have a top in, I will add some retracement fibs to track the move lower.
TeslaI hope y'all had the opportunity to buy into Tesla last week. As for me, I bought in @ $237 and sold @ 284.20. I only had 25 shares but made a nice 20% profit in about one week. It's trades like these that build your account and create wealth in the very long-term. Yes, I sold before we made it into the target box, but you have to remember, this is a larger (B) wave we're currently in. They can be very complex and unpredictable at times. Price is right in the area of the 0.382, it hit the smaller red 1.0, and has made a new high above the a wave made on 09 April. I would like to see it breach the (a) wave high of 25 March, but that isn't required. This means it has all the pre-requisites of completion. Will it hit the target box for another high? I think so, but I'm not greedy or try to top tick. 20% profit is good enough for me. The last thing I want to happen is the volatility of Tesla kick in and lose all the profits I just made. Don't be so scared of missing POTENTIAL profits that is causes you to lose the ones you ALREADY earned.
All that being said, I find it likely that we make another high into the target box due to the structure. It looks like it needs one more slight high. The red box is the "sweet" spot, but price can top at any moment. Also, if you look at MACD, it is coming into the trend line and thus is running into resistance. This should make you think a local top is near if not already struck. Let me know if y'all have any questions.
P.S: Don't ask me if you should sell. I already stated I sold my shares and cannot give you financial advice. Trade according to your own portfolio / risk tolerance.
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Alternate Bearish CountsThere are quite a number of things I don't like about this count, but then as I've mentioned before, I always keep 2 counts and this will serve as a reference for a bearish scenario.
In terms of risk-reward, for the purpose of trading, I actually favor this count because the stop loss is clear. Sometimes, I trade the alternate count because the risk is much lower than the primary count and a mistake (i.e. loss) can be recovered by flipping the trade direction when I'm stopped out. However, such trading is very involved and active and not recommended for everyone.
Good luck!
Bitcoin Long: Cycle level Wave 5, Primary level wave 5 of 1Over in this video, I discussed the big picture level for Bitcoin and labelled Cycle level waves. I touched on my wrong calls for shorts of Bitcoin and I also went through the updated bullish wave counts.
Big picture wise, I expect Bitcoin to break new high and move to $143,000 as my main price target.
Is this the start of a massive dollar rally? Learn how .Price action (falling wedge breakout)
Institutional concept (BOS – Break of Structure, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement entry zone)
Liquidity zones (4H LQ and key levels marked in green)
Higher targets (institutional supply zones highlighted in cream boxes around 104-107)
US30, bearish analysisBearish count for US30.
Impulse wave from ATH, wave ((2)) is expanded flat, wave ((4)) appears to be a double-three, with (W) a regular flat, (X) and (Y) are zigzags.
I like wave (((4)) to finish below resistance at 42008, with wave ((5)) to approach October 2022 low of 28586.8.
MSFT Downtrend Over?Gray support is holding the price drop.
Yet, in my primary count, I´m still considering this is blue 4 correction.
Statistically, wave C usually ends with divergence, and we don't see it on the daily or the 4H timeframes.
So, I'll stick to this count as long as price stays below wave 1 (412.29).
INJ Is Nearing An Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring INJ/USDT for a buying opportunity around 9.90 zone, INJ/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 9.90 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
PEPEUSDTBased on this analysis, wave E is complete and any retracement to around 0.0000078 is a buying opportunity.. and around 0.000017 to 0.000022 is the possible end zone of wave F..
Even if the price returns to the levels of 0.0000058 to 0.000005 once again, it will still be an ideal buying opportunity to buy spot.. And this is just a simple analysis and there is a possibility of error in it..
GOLD Analysis (April 26, 2025) - 2 hours, weekly & MonthlyChart 1: 2-Hour Chart (Short-Term View)
Pattern Observed:
Clear Elliott Wave structure identified.
Wave ①, ②, ③, and ④ are completed.
Currently in Wave ⑤ (ongoing impulsive up move).
Current Setup:
Wave ⑤ has started and appears to be very impulsive.
The target for Wave ⑤ is near $3600 zone.
Expect a sharp upside move toward $3600 in coming sessions (possibly within next 1–2 weeks).
Important Note:
Since Wave ⑤ is impulsive, price may move very fast with little retracements.
Strategy:
Short-term bullish until $3600 is reached.
After completing ⑤, expect a strong and sharp correction downward.
Chart 2: Weekly Chart (Medium-Term View)
Pattern Observed:
Weekly candle has formed a long-legged inverted hammer, almost like a high wave spinning top.
This is a warning sign indicating strong indecision and possible trend exhaustion.
Interpretation:
Weekly structure is signaling that GOLD is losing strength at higher levels.
There is hesitation for further continuation of the uptrend.
After a small last push (likely completing the final Wave ⑤), there are high chances of a bigger retracement.
Strategy:
Watch closely how next week’s candle forms.
If next week closes weakly or forms a bearish pattern (like bearish engulfing), expect bigger fall.
Chart 3: Monthly Chart (Long-Term View)
Pattern Observed:
Monthly chart shows momentum loss at top.
AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator is flattening after a massive upmove.
Momentum divergence starting to appear (price made higher high, AO showing flattening/slightly diverging).
Interpretation:
GOLD is still strong, but momentum is clearly reducing at the top.
If GOLD touches $3600 next month and fails to sustain, a big red monthly candle can form.
This could mark the start of a medium-term bearish phase (several months correction).
Strategy:
Next month (May 2025) is extremely critical for GOLD’s major trend decision.
If a red candle forms in May after touching $3600, it could trigger a multi-month downward correction.
Conclusion:
In the short term (next few days), GOLD likely continues to rally towards $3600.
Next 2–3 weeks are critical — observe if reversal signs appear near $3600.
May 2025 is very important:
A monthly red candle after touching $3600 can confirm a bigger downward correction.
If correction starts, it will likely be sharp and deep, matching the intensity of the 5th wave up.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a financial advice. Trading involves risk. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.