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Elliott Wave

BTCUSD Trading AnalysisChart Overview: Timeframe: 30 minutes Pattern: Expanded Triangle (bearish bias) Current Price: Around $94,330 at the time of chart Wave Count: Completed a complex Expanded Triangle at the top. Initial impulsive wave (Wave ①) already in progress. Expecting corrective retracement for Wave ② (small bounce). Then strong downward impulsive Wave ③ projected. Technical Observations: 1. Expanded Triangle Formation Type: Bearish Expanded Triangle. Characteristics observed: Each subsequent high was higher and each low was lower (classic expanding pattern). Typically this formation ends with a sharp reversal (which already started). 2. Wave Structure Forecast (Elliott Wave Principle) Wave ①: First impulsive downward leg already formed. Wave ②: A minor retracement or bounce is expected (lower high formation). Wave ③: Strong impulsive fall expected after Wave ②, breaking previous lows. Wave ④: Small corrective upward retracement. Wave ⑤: Final downward move completing the 5-wave impulsive structure. Key Price Levels and Targets: Target Level (Approx.) Target 1 $89,300 1.309 Fibonacci extension, interim support Target 2 $86,000 Next major Fibonacci projection zone Final Target $84,400 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone, final bearish target Fibonacci Projections: 1.618 Extension: ~$89,000 2.309 Extension: ~$86,100 2.618 Extension: ~$84,400 Volume and Momentum Check: Volume: Decreasing during the upward retracements (bearish confirmation). Momentum: Loss of momentum after the triangle breakout — supporting deeper correction. Summary of Expectation: Bitcoin has completed a bearish expanded triangle. A strong downward impulsive move has started. Short-term bounce (Wave ②) is possible but lower highs expected. Likely targets for downward movement are $89,300, $86,000, and possibly $84,400 in the coming days. Trend Bias: Bearish until BTCUSD reclaims above $95,000 decisively. Risk Factors: Watch for invalidation if BTCUSD crosses and sustains above $96,000 (triangle high). Sudden macro news or BTC-related developments could lead to unexpected volatility. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by shiva560060
1
NIFTY50.....Wave iii complete! Corrective move ahead?Hello Traders, the NIFTY50 reached on Friday the level of 24365 and fell to a close @ 24039.35! This level (@24365) can be a wave iii! The next move would be a wave iv, that can retrace to 23585. The next opportunity could be a wave c that is done or close to be done. Chart analysis: If the wave iii would be done, the next move should be to the cited target range @ 23585 or some points below. From here, a wave v should start with targets around 24620. Higher price are still possible, while not expected! Several scenarios are thinkable, but it's too early to announce them. Another possible idea could be a "double waves 1-2". In this case, N50 should run to new ATH's in the coming weeks ahead! A sell-signal would occur if price touch below the level of 23847.85 points. If price extend the gains above 24365.45, the sell-signal would be eliminated! Ok, the following 2-3 day's will be interesting to watch, and a new update is at hand! Have a great weekend..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk. I'm very happy about a like!
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
10
Bitcoin is going for a new ATHHi traders, It turned out that Bitcoin made a leading diagonal (wave 1) and a correction down (grey wave 2). After that it made the next impulse wave up just as I've said last week. Now we could see small corrections down and more upside for a new ATH. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Correction down for goldHi traders, Gold went a little more up (finish grey wave 3) and after that the bigger correction for (grey) wave 4 started just as I've said last week. For next week we wait for the finish of the correction (Zigzag or Triangle) and after that we could trade longs again. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
3
Another move down for SPX500USD?Hi traders, SPX500USD made a bigger orange X-wave last week into the Daily FVG. So next week we could see the start of the last impulse wave down to finish the bigger (red) WXY correction. But it first has to close below the Daily FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
3
GOLD → A false breakdown of support will lead to growthFX:XAUUSD is trading within the range of 3370-3270. Since the opening of the session, the price has lost its potential for further decline. There is no news on Friday, so after retesting the liquidity and support zone of 3283-3270, the price is likely to return to growth. Gold stabilizes near $3,350, but growth is held back by the dollar On Friday, gold held its ground after recovering, but further growth is limited by the strengthening dollar and hopes for progress in the tariff war negotiations... Optimism about corporate earnings in the US and easing recession fears are supporting demand for the dollar. However, ongoing uncertainty in US-China relations is keeping interest in gold alive. Markets are waiting for new signals from the White House and the Fed, which will determine the further movement of gold prices towards the end of the week. Focus on supporting the trading range. A false breakdown of 3283-3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth. Resistance levels: 3314, 3342, 3370 Support levels: 3283, 3270, 3244 There is no news today, except for the unpredictable Trump and the general situation with the tariff war. Any speech or tweet could shake the market. However, after a neutral week, gold remained within the range, and the market is likely to keep the metal within the flat on Friday. Accordingly, I expect a rebound from support and growth to the intermediate resistance lines indicated above. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
Bigger correction down for EUHi traders, My outlook last week of EU played out exactly as I've said! Just check my outlook of last week for proof. Wave 4 became a Triangle and after it finished, it went up again for the last wave 5 into the Daily FVG. After that it rejected and started the bigger correction down. Next week we could see some consolidation and another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts into the Weekly/ Daily FVG. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
XRP Short Term Analysis (4H)XRP is exhibiting bullish signals supported by multiple technical indicators. An Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern has clearly formed on the chart, indicating a potential reversal from the previous bearish trend. Additionally, the downward trendline appears to be breaking out with increasing volume, which reinforces the breakout confirmation. From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, we seem to be in wave 3, which is typically the most impulsive and extended leg of the five-wave cycle. Given the structure and momentum, a conservative price target lies at the $2.30 level, representing the measured move from the neckline of the H&S formation. Further upside may follow if wave 3 unfolds as expected, but short-term corrections should also be anticipated. Risk management remains essential, as macroeconomic factors and fundamental news may cause volatility. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
Aptos Will Prove Its Worth (Daily Analysis)After breaking out from a simple trendline, Aptos (APT) has gained significant momentum, similar to many other altcoins over the past two weeks. However, Aptos is currently presenting a unique structural situation. It appears to have completed a full five-wave bearish impulse and has now transitioned into a new five-wave bullish impulse. From a daily timeframe perspective, Aptos seems to be developing wave 1 of this new cycle. A closer examination of Aptos’ historical price movements reveals some interesting patterns: • During the previous bullish phase, Aptos formed a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. • Following the breakout of a key trendline, Aptos rallied to levels that were largely unexpected by the market. • The previous cycle took exactly four months to reach its lower high, aligning precisely with the Fib Time Zone (Level 4) before retracing. Assuming that history tends to repeat itself (and being conservatively pessimistic), Aptos could potentially reach the $10 region again this summer. There are two major additional reasons supporting this outlook: Wave 3's potential target in this cycle aligns perfectly with a high-liquidity zone, increasing the probability of a strong upward move. (Refer to the previous bullish cycle’s Wave 3 in the Fib retracement for additional confirmation.) A new reversed Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming right now, which, if confirmed, would further strengthen the bullish case. Using the Fib Time Tool again, the estimated timeline for reaching the target without any major pattern formation points to late July. However, if the Head and Shoulders structure fully forms before the breakout, it could extend the move by an additional month, but would likely result in a much higher target beyond $10. Invalidation level for this analysis: Below the $4 mark. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID. 𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs. 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets. $NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by KobesyTrades
Chevron: The Chart’s Reaching a Critical PointChevron is starting to look very interesting again — but let’s be clear from the start: Chevron, like every oil giant, lives and dies by the price of oil. If oil rips higher or collapses due to global politics, supply shocks, or economic chaos, Chevron NYSE:CVX follows. No exceptions. That said, what we’re seeing on the chart right now is increasingly pointing toward a deeper correction — specifically down to the $113–$100 zone. That would make sense structurally as a Wave 4 retracement. But there’s a technical nuance here. Wave 1’s high sits at $103 — and depending on how strict your Elliott Wave rules are, Wave 4 dipping into Wave 1 is bad territory. Personally, I’m okay with a brief touch into that range, but I don’t want to see price hanging around below $103 for long. From a trend perspective, we’re clearly in a downward channel. We just saw a textbook bull trap: Chevron broke out with a solid +7% move over two weeks, Followed immediately by a massive 22% drop, One of the sharpest two-week declines since — yeah — March 2020, pandemic levels. Now, price is hovering around $130, and the setup is simple: If this level holds, great — maybe we’re bottoming. If it breaks, I’m looking to buy between $113 and $100. That’s where the structure aligns, the volume kicks in, and risk/reward starts to make sense again. So here’s the real question: Do we see $200 first — or $100? I’m leaning $100 first. Not because I’m bearish long-term— but because that level would clean up the chart, shake out the noise, and give us a real shot at riding the next strong leg higher with conviction. Would love to hear what you think — where’s your bet?
NYSE:CVXLong
by stromm
1
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart. And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking. Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity: Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential, Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18. The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023. Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend. How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity. On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485. But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself: What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays? Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move. Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by stromm
EURUSD → Accumulation of liquidity before continued growthFX:EURUSD currency pair is forming a trading range within a global and local uptrend. Before continuing its growth, the market may form a false breakout. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the euro is strengthening and has gained 13% over the past four months, which is a fairly significant growth indicator for the currency pair. Fundamentally, the US is trying to achieve a rapid reduction in interest rates, which may continue to support the euro... Technically, the price is consolidating against the backdrop of a global and local uptrend. A correction is forming towards the support zone, where there is a fairly large pool of liquidity... Resistance levels: 1.1392, 1.1439, 1.1481 Support levels: 1.130, 1.127 The price is heading towards support, namely, the market is interested in liquidity below 1.13 - 1.127, which must be tested in order to build up potential before the bullish trend possibly continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction. I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500. If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction. Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;) For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
by TheDane
GBPJPY Trapped In A Triangle RangeGBPJPY made a very strong reversal in the second half of 2024, following a sharp drop of more than 10%, with an aggressive bearish impulse and also broke the lower trendline of the impulsive channel back in August. Since then, the first recovery unfolded in three waves, suggesting this move could be part of a complex correction—currently still unfolding as a wave B pause. Ideally, this structure is forming a triangle, especially as the drop back to the recent April lows also looks corrective. So, I believe the triangle scenario is the most likely scenario here, and price could now be heading toward the upper side of the range if risk-on sentiment continues. Still, upside may be limited, as this range could stay in play until all A-B-C-D-E legs are completed. If correct, wave C for a deeper move lower is still missing and could develop later this year. Grega
by ew-forecast
GLDGold has extended slightly passed the 2.618 extension fib and then began to fall back down. It is too early to tell if price has finally topped or not. It is no coincidence though that it started moving lower as the market started moving higher. I believe that any drop in price for gold is only temporary. It will, IMO, begin to move higher again around the time this larger consolidation of the indices completes. Should price start to move higher again, we will need to look towards the 2.786 & 3.0 for points of resistance. However, if a local top is in fact in place, we would then continue lower in an overlapping/choppy fashion. I will update as it warrants.
AMEX:GLD
by TSuth