Get started

Elliott Wave

GOLD → False breakdown and change of mood...FX:XAUUSD is strengthening after a false breakdown of support at 3288, with the change in fundamental sentiment due to US statements on the tariff war also providing support for the price. On Thursday, gold rose from a weekly low of $3,260, supported by a weaker dollar and renewed concerns about US trade negotiations with China and Japan. Optimism about tariff cuts quickly faded after denials from the White House. Weak US business activity data is fueling talk of a possible Fed policy easing, which is also supporting gold. The markets remain focused on trade news and Trump's statements. Technically, gold could reach the liquidity cluster at 3314 and continue to rise towards strong resistance at 3370. Resistance levels: 3342, 3370, 3387 Support levels: 3314, 3288, 3270 Below 3314 and below 3288, a liquidity pool has formed, which the market is likely to test before continuing its growth. It is too early to talk about a resumption of a strong rally, as the situation between the US and China is complicated, as are the negotiations on the situation in Eastern Europe, which seem to be moving towards talks, but every time something goes wrong... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
FETUSDI sold every single FET I had at around 2.50s in May 24 and I've not been really interested in it since then, apart from a few short term traders. It's always been a terrible asset to trade frequently, a pain to wait for it to do its thing and then everything happens in a matter of few weeks. As if it's not enough, the merger made it even less attactive. Anyway, this chart is from December and finally it's in my buy zone. If the qFVG doesn't hold, then i think it'll go down to htf golden pocket for a 98% retrace from ATH. The team behind is relentlessly building and making partnerships, so i think its time can come again.
CRYPTO:FETUSDLong
by cryptokebab
1
EURJPY: Short Setup with Target Zones in FocusEURJPY outlines a clear W-X-Y corrective pattern. Wave (W) ended at 161.297 , followed by an upward corrective move in Wave (X), which topped at 162.665 with a classic ABC formation. Currently, the price is hovering around 162.084, likely forming Wave B of the final Y leg. A brief move higher could complete this B wave before the pair resumes its decline toward the 160.922–160.680 area, which marks the projected end of Wave C of (Y). The broader correction is framed by two descending blue trendlines, providing dynamic resistance and support, while a short-term red ascending trendline is currently holding the price action but may soon give way. If the price stalls or rejects around the 162.3–162.5 zone, it could signal the start of the next leg down, making it a potential setup for short positions. After the reversal from Wave Y, potential upside targets are 161.600, 162.500 , and 163.100 . We will update it soon!
by Money_Dictators
2
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Elliott Wave Macro Analysis – Wave (3) Has BeCOINBASE:ETHUSD 🔵 Macro Count Overview Ethereum has been unfolding a clean macro impulsive structure since the 2021 high and 2022 low: November 2021: Major Wave ① top June 2022: Bear market bottom, forming Wave ② From there, we began a new impulsive cycle with a clear internal structure: → 1-2-3-4-5, which completed Wave (1) in December 2024 🟢 Recent Developments – The Foundation for Wave (3) Over the last few weeks, Ethereum has formed a textbook Wave (2) bottom. The correction respected the Fibonacci retracement zones perfectly and provided a strong base. We’ve already seen a clean breakout to the upside, signaling that Wave (3) may now be underway. 🟨 What’s Next – Building Wave (3) We are now likely in the early stages of Wave (3), which is expected to unfold in a yellow internal 1-2-3-4-5 structure. This sequence will drive the price into significantly higher zones, confirming the start of a powerful bullish leg. 🎯 Target Zone for Wave (3): $6,600 – $7,200 Based on Fibonacci extensions of the prior impulse (Wave 1) Potential for higher extensions if momentum and volume align Psychological resistance may act as short-term hurdles, but structure points higher ✅ Conclusion Ethereum has completed its macro Wave (2) correction and is now gearing up for an extended Wave (3). With a breakout already underway, the internal structure points to a 5-wave advance likely aiming for $6,600–$7,200 or higher. As long as recent lows hold, this scenario remains firmly in play.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by ElliotXSolana
Solana (SOL/USD) Elliott Wave Update – Countertrend Rally in ProBINANCE:SOLUSDT 🟠 Current Elliott Wave Outlook After completing Wave ③, Solana began a sharp correction. This is how the current structure unfolds: The initial leg down unfolded as a clear (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) structure in black – forming the white Wave A of a larger A-B-C corrective pattern. We are now in the corrective counter-move, forming Wave B. 🔄 Zooming into Wave B: Internal Progression The early part of Wave B is unfolding as a small impulse: → Wave 1, 2, 3, 4 have already played out. → We are currently moving from Wave 4 into Wave 5, which is expected to complete the black (A) of white B. The top of Wave (A) is already marked on the chart, coinciding with key Fibonacci Extension levels, which reinforce the probability of local exhaustion. 🟨 Next Structure – Building Wave (B) of B After the black (A) completes, we expect a retracement wave (B). This would then be followed by a yellow 1-2-3-4-5 impulse to the upside – forming the full structure of white Wave B. 📉 What Comes After B? Once Wave B (in white) is complete (built from the black (A)-(B)-(C)), we anticipate another larger leg to the downside – white Wave C. This would complete the full A-B-C correction from the macro top of Wave ③. 🎯 Key Zones to Watch: Black Wave (A) Top = short-term resistance Fibonacci Extension Area = likely exhaustion zone for the current rally Wave B (white) = potential bearish trap before the real drop (Wave C) ✅ Summary Solana is currently in a countertrend corrective phase after finishing a macro Wave ③ top. We are in the midst of building Wave B, starting with a local impulse that forms black (A). After a minor pullback (black (B)), a 5-wave push (yellow) could complete Wave B before another major leg down kicks off in Wave C.
Long
by ElliotXSolana
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Macro Update – Wave (5) 🟢 Macro Structure Since November 2022 Since the bottom in November 2022 (~15.5K), Bitcoin has been unfolding a clean impulsive structure, counted as: (1) – strong breakout from the bear market lows (2) – corrective pullback as a base (3) – major impulsive rally with clear volume expansion (4) – textbook correction right into the white Fibonacci zone, perfectly respected Now, we are in Wave (5) – the final leg of this larger impulse! 🔄 Internal Structure of (4) → (5) From the low of wave (4), the price action is developing in a classic 1-2-3-4-5 formation, where: Wave 1 initiated the breakout Wave 2 formed a shallow pullback Wave 3 surged with momentum and volume Wave 4 seems to have completed (or is finalizing now) COINBASE:BTCUSD Wave 5 is upcoming, potentially unfolding as an ABC structure (rather than a straight-line spike), showing a more measured grind toward the top 🔁 Cycle-Level Perspective This entire impulse from (1) to (5) forms a macro Wave ③ in the larger Elliott Wave cycle. Given the structure of Wave (5) so far, we may not see a vertical blow-off top but rather a controlled ABC move into the top zone. 🎯 Target Zone for Wave ③ $127,000 – $136,000 Based on Fibonacci projections of waves (1)–(3) Strong psychological levels Likely confluence with macro channel resistance and long-term projections ✅ Conclusion Bitcoin is currently progressing through Wave (5) of the macro impulse that started in late 2022. The structure from Wave (4) suggests a well-organized path forward – possibly forming an ABC structure into the final high of macro Wave ③, with targets in the $127K–$136K zone. This level could mark a major turning point before a deeper corrective phase begins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ElliotXSolana
BTC Pumped Hard – Is It Time for a Pullback to Fill CME GAP!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after the pullback, as I expected in my previous post , I hope you were able to take profits. Bitcoin is trading in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , near the Resistance lines and the upper line of the ascending channel . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and we can expect the completion of the main wave 4 today . I expect Bitcoin to correct in the next few hours and drop to the targets I have specified on the chart and fill the CME Gap($93,465-$91,415) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $95,700-$94,542 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,666-$91,415 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160 Note: If Bitcoin can break the upper line of the ascending channel, we should wait for the next pump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
38
APTUSDT → Retest of the liquidity zone. Downward trendBINANCE:APTUSDT.P failed to realize its potential. The price made a false breakout of resistance and formed a reversal pattern. Correction or continuation of the downtrend? Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance. Technically, the market may enter a correction or consolidation. Altcoins are reacting accordingly — correction Within the downtrend but local ALT rally, APT failed to realize its potential and formed liquidity accumulation and a false breakout of the downtrend channel resistance before a possible decline... Resistance levels: 5.2, 5.458 Support levels: 4.76, 4.48, 4.17 A consolidation of the price below the trend resistance or below 5.20 could trigger a continuation of the global and local trends. The coin is likely to remain near the bottom and test new lows... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Can Be Unfolding A Bullish ImpulseBlackRock's Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT made a massive rally in 2024, which can be wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Despite the recent decline at the beginning of 2025, it's still above 42 invalidation level, and as long as it's above that level, it can be wave 4 correction, so we may still see that 5th wave this year. The Elliott Wave Principle is a form of technical analysis that identifies patterns in market movements. A bullish impulsive wave is one of the most important and common wave structures in an uptrend. It describes how prices typically move in the direction of the main trend. A bullish impulsive wave consists of five waves labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by ew-forecast
EGLD Eyes Tactical Rebound from Structural SupportEGLD remains in a defined macro downtrend since its $544 ATH, but the current price action is reacting once again at a key lateral trendline that has historically triggered major bullish rebounds. The ongoing bounce from this structural support suggests a potential short-term rally toward the $40 resistance zone. We're positioning within the immediate demand zone, with close attention on price behavior at the nearby weak resistance, which could cap this relief move. A breakdown below this demand region, however, opens the door for deeper downside toward the critical support zone highlighted on the chart.
Long
by weslad
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China.... After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”. The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market. Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366 Support levels: 3317, 3288 Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying. Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
17
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall.... Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987 Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695 If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance.... Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
Will History Repeat Itself? $580 Target For SPY By Early MayThe market has been in the doldrums since finding support after a nasty wave of selling that caused AMEX:SPY to decline by an additional 15% in a matter of days. Since we’ve been chopping around in this $65 range, we have seen some sharp swings both ways, but little sense of direction. i think that is about to change soon. Using the time around the Death Cross (When the daily 50MA crosses below the 200MA) of 2022 as a frame of reference, and taking recent PA into account using Elliott Wave, I think it is clear a bear market rally is already underway. Starting with 2022, the price fell in three distinct waves before making a significant retracement. The day after the 50MA crossed below the 200MA, the price found a temporary bottom before chopping around for 13 sessions. Volume was on a steady decline before the price made a higher low and retraced nearly 75% of Wave (A) over the course of another 13 sessions (13 is a fibonacci number btw). The price briefly spiked above all of the moving averages (50/100/200) before getting sold off again in the strongest wave of the bear market of that year. Now looking at the daily chart for this year, the setup is a little bit different but there are still similarities. For starters, the 50MA crossed below the 200MA a few days after the market found a temporary bottom at $482. What I’m counting as Wave A of (B) lasted for five sessions (another Fibonacci number). Wave B of (B) was actually four sessions but I decided to compare the volume of both movements using the same chunk of time. As you can see, there was nearly double the volume in Wave A vs Wave B, signaling that bulls are in control (for now). Volume in Wave A was comparatively higher on average than the entire downtrend, which is also worthy of note. Since we are now in Wave C of (B) and the 100MA is converging with the 200MA, we should see the squeeze here. A similar retracement to complete Wave (B), when comparing to 2022, would suggest AMEX:SPY will spike above $580 rather quickly before the next sell off. If Wave C were to unfold in a more conservative eight sessions (the next biggest fib number) we should see Wave (B) end around Thursday May 1st. It could take a little bit longer since the next FOMC is May 6-7, which could be an event that will cause the market to change directions. Lastly, for a closer look, this is how I am counting the sub-waves on the 500R ($5) chart. Wave B was a classic Regular Flat pattern that saw wave (c) find support slightly past 100% of wave (a) at roughly $509. The price quickly found support (much faster than I would have expected) without filling the gap and ripped higher. We’ve also seen the price hover around monthly VWAP for a while, which indicates somewhat of an agreement on price despite the wild swings. The price gapped up over 2% on Wednesday before seeing some selling in the afternoon. We could either close this gap on Thursday or continue higher to close the upper gap at $560 and beyond. Volume increased from wave (b)-(c), and has remained higher - which I think is accumulation. Using intraday ratios, Wave C of (B) could extend as high as the 1.618 extension at $587. Actually, one last thing. TVC:VIX price action also supports my thesis. Even through the PA on AMEX:SPY was relatively neutral on Wednesday after the gap up, VIX still importantly dropped below support and is now below the 0.618 retracement. I think it will return to the 200MA for support, which usually hovers around $20. Fib circles added just because they’re kind of interesting to me when analyzing VIX. If you’ve made it this far, thank you for reading and good luck. As always - use your best judgement and be ready to react to anything that happens in the market.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ap769
32
USDJPY Breakdown? (Elliott Wave)USDJPY bounced higher from a horizontal support shelf created from August - September 2024. Using Elliott Wave Theory as our guide, the model suggests a breakdown below the support shelf is looming nearby. I'm keeping an eye on 144.55. Below this mark, the risk remains high of a breakdown in a wave (iii). Even if 144.55 is hit to the upside, wave (iii) is the favored model we are following. USDJPY is dancing on top of the support shelf now. May break below and revisit the support shelf from the underside. Once the break appears, downside targets are large. 128 becomes the first target with even lower levels possible. EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, and AUDUSD appear to be reversing too. This means EURJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY, and AUDJPY may be ready to trend lower.
Short
by JWagnerFXTrader
4
EURCHF Wave Analysis – 23 April 2025 - EURCHF broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9500 EURCHF currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 0.9365 (former strong support from the start of 2025) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from March. The breakout of this resistance area should accelerate the active upward correction which started earlier from the major support level 0.9250. Given the strength of the support level 0.9250 and the strong outflows from the Swiss franc, EURCHF currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 0.9500.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Is ONDO About to Crash Before the Next Big Rally? Yello Paradisers, are you ready for the next big #ONDOUSDT move, or will you be caught off guard by the next dump? Let’s break down what’s really happening here before it’s too late. 💎#ONDOUSDT has been following a clear Elliott Wave impulse structure. After completing the 5th wave of the impulse move, we’ve now entered the corrective phase. So far, the A and B waves have already played out, and now the C wave seems to be on its way — likely heading toward a key support area around 0.8112. 💎This support level is not just psychological — it also aligns perfectly with a well-respected ascending trendline, giving the level even more technical confluence. If buyers step in strongly here, this could be the launching point for the next impulsive bullish leg. 💎However, if the 0.8112 zone fails to hold, there’s a high probability we could see a deeper correction — potentially down toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This would still be a technically valid correction and might attract even stronger buying interest. 💎On the flip side, confirmation of bullish continuation would come once the pair regains momentum from the support zone and pushes towards the higher resistance levels. Watch closely for reactions in those zones — they will dictate the strength of the next leg up. 💎The invalidation of this bullish structure would be confirmed if we get a candle close below 0.6967. This would mean a break below both the ascending trendline and the 2nd wave of the Elliott impulse — a clear sign to reassess the structure. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Stay sharp and follow the structure — it's unfolding right in front of us, Paradisers. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
4