Elliott Wave
Gold Analysis==>>Falling(Signs)Today's data release included the Core PCE Price Index , Employment Cost Index (ECI) , and Unemployment Claims . Core PCE, the Fed's key measure of inflation, saw slower-than-expected growth, suggesting some cooling in consumer prices. This could lead to a potential moderation in the Fed's rate policy if inflationary pressures continue to ease.
The ECI also grew slower than forecasts, indicating wage growth remains somewhat controlled, which also alleviates inflationary concerns. Meanwhile, the higher-than-expected unemployment claims hint at challenges in the labor market.
According to the recent economic data and the possible reduction of inflationary pressures, the desire to reduce the interest rate has increased, and this has caused the price of gold to decrease . Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is attractive as a safe-haven asset in times of high inflation, and deflation has reduced its demand.
Regarding Technical Analysis , Gold started to fall, as I expected in the previous post.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed main wave 5 , and we should wait for Corrective Waves .
One sign of a further decrease in Gold can be the formation of a Bump and Run Reversal Top Pattern , which is currently in the Run phase .
I expect Gold to continue its downward trend due to the high momentum of the decline experienced in the previous hours. Drop targets can be the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) in the first step and then the Lower line of the Ascending Channel .
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
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Bitcoin is going to 63k???!!!Hey guys!
I know it's weekends, but some of the markets are working today and I decide to talk about current BTC position.
So, we're making this cool off, which is also almost full A correctional wave and in 2 days we have US elections, which can be really affective.
Plus the volumes have convergence with the movement RSI is still uncertain, and MA cross on 4H is bearish.
For me, we could easily fulfill the C wave and after we can find the next enter point.
Your thoughts? How elections will influence?
XAUUSD_4HAnas is in an upward trend, the important number of this week is 2750 dollars.
If this number is maintained as resistance, we will have correction towards the number of $2715, which is an important range and can return to the new upward trend.
Any downward correction can be identified as a buying opportunity.
ATOM’s Last DipCosmos ATOM is among the most solid projects in the space. Although it had been in a long downtrend since the end of 2023, the coin is expected to make bullish shift that would change the structure to target a new ATH.
I expect a last dip though to the ~$3.21 range before starting a major bullish impulse wave.
Enhancement of the SK SystemI developed an innovation for the SK system by integrating the Inducement concept from the ICT system. Traditionally, in SK, breaking the zero point is seen as a sign to abandon the sequence. However, with this innovation, I interpret the break as a liquidity trap rather than a signal to end the sequence.
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BTCUSD evening analysisTechnical analysis of BTCUSD.
With rejection of price from ATH, this idea imagines price action since March 2024 as a zigzag, with leading/expanding diagonal A, double-three B, impulse C.
Next week's election certainly could be a catalyst for such a move.
The most bullish C would finish above the A, with strong .618 fib support and pitchfork support in the 58.5k area.
GBPJPY price is expected to drop next week after completion of the ending diagonal which serve as micro wave 5. Price dropped for minor wave 1/A and rally retracement was done which serve minor wave 2/B and more drop is expected in coming weeks which is minor wave 3/C and have a target of 191 price level.
GBPNZD Price is expected to rally next week , minor wave 1 was done with 5 minute wave rally and corrective minute wave of ABC for minor wave 2. We expect rally now of minor wave 3 which will consist of 5minute wave (1,2,3,4,5). Target is set at 100% of wave 1 and second target is set at 161.8% of wave one which is 1.2300 price level.
Apple(AAPL): Down 7% – Is This the Opportunity We’ve Waited For?Apple’s stock has experienced a 7% decline over the past 10 days. What’s behind this drop? The fall came despite Apple slightly beating analysts’ expectations for the September quarter, driven mainly by a rebound in iPhone sales. During the fourth-quarter earnings call, CEO Tim Cook discussed positive developments in China but declined to speculate on economic stimulus impacts, noting stable year-over-year performance, partially aided by favorable foreign exchange rates.
From a technical analysis perspective, everything is lining up perfectly. Our limit order remains unchanged. The formation of an exact double top points to the possibility of a flat pattern, which typically leads to a double bottom. This anticipated double bottom would align with the volume profile’s range high, offering additional support to key Fibonacci levels.
Our stop-loss placement is secure, positioned below the support zone and the Point of Control (POC). We’ve set a time horizon for the wave ((ii)) to complete, and we believe this setup could result in a promising swing long position heading into Q1 or Q2 of 2025. If the chart develops as we hope, there may even be an opportunity to open a short position to hedge our long exposure. Until then, we’re prepared for another potential 12% drop, waiting patiently to execute our plan.
Intel (INTC): Patience is key while the market is rangingNothing significant has changed on NASDAQ:INTC since our last analysis. It appears that Intel may have found a bottom at the 88.2% Fibonacci level, but the stock has remained in a range since then. Unless the resistance level above is reclaimed, we wouldn’t be surprised to see continued ranging behavior.
Even Intel’s latest earnings report didn’t create much movement. Despite posting a considerable net loss due to impairment and restructuring charges, Intel projected fourth-quarter revenue above estimates. As one of the largest producers of PC chips, Intel has recently benefited from renewed demand for PCs, driven by on-device AI features and a fresh Windows update cycle. These factors allowed Intel to exceed Wall Street’s low expectations, but not enough to break the current range.
We’ll continue to monitor NASDAQ:INTC , but as it stands, trying to long it into the overhead resistance doesn’t make sense from our perspective. Patience is often the best strategy in such uncertain market conditions.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Strong Entry After Stock SplitSo far, we’re seeing a strong entry on NASDAQ:SMCI following the 1:10 stock split at the beginning of October. The stock has experienced a relief pump of about 20%, which is a solid move in the right direction. 🔥
Super Micro Computer announced on Monday that it’s currently shipping over 100,000 graphics processors per quarter. Additionally, the company introduced a new suite of liquid cooling products, which further fueled its shares, pushing them up 14% after weeks of slumping. If these gains hold, Super Micro is on track to add more than $3 billion to its market value.
At this point, the first resistance level has been met, and we are closely monitoring how the stock reacts. If NASDAQ:SMCI can reclaim and stay above this level, it will likely move toward the next resistance area, offering more potential for upside.
As always, we’re keeping a close eye on developments and will update you with any new moves.