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Elliott Wave

GOLD → Background Change. Is it time for a correction?FX:XAUUSD is facing profit-taking and a strong correction after Thursday's news. From ATH, the metal is down 2% for the day. Today is an equally busy news day! The stock and futures market declined quite a bit in yesterday's session. Most likely a reaction to rising inflation..... The data was quite unexpected. The election race is on the agenda. The main question is the pace of easing under this or that president.... At the moment the focus is on the NFP report, which will be released later Friday. It is expected that the economy added 109K new jobs in October and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Technically, gold is coming back under the strong 2760 level, this was confirmed by a retest early in the European session. The market may be interested in the imbalance zone and the approximate area of 0.5-0.7 fibo... Resistance levels: 2758, 2771, 2789 Support levels: 2745, 2738, 2728 The fundamental background is changing and it is reflected in gold. The outflow of investments may continue. If the negative background intensifies, gold may fall lower after resistance retest, e.g. to 2724-2713. But, unpredictable data will renew interest in the metal, which may return to the range of 2760 - 2790 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → Confirmation of a trend change. The Bear ZoneFX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The fundamnetal factor is favorable for further decline. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the previously broken boundary. The market is not ready to resist the sellers yet On the background of difficult situation in the west, the course of interest rate cuts in the UK, a pool of sell orders is forming in the zone 1.315 - 1.300. Buyers are turning around. On Monday, in the Asian session, the retest of the previously broken trend support ended with a downward impulse, which confirms the bearish mood in the market. GBPUSD confirms the price exit from the channel. It is possible that another retest is possible, as the dollar is forming a short-term correction, but it does not change the general essence of it Resistance levels: 1.3044, 1.3068 Support levels: 1.300, 1.2975, 1.2938 The trigger for the continuation of the fall will be the breakdown of 1.3000 and further consolidation of the price below this zone. Additional scenario: retest of 1.3063 - 1.3075 before further fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
ETHEREUM → Price can't break the bearish trend. False breakoutBINANCE:ETHUSD is facing selloffs. Technically, ETH is showing weakness on the background of growing sales. Any growth attempts are aggressively sold off. The price continues to test the support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown Accumulation is narrowing. Ethereum is unable to leave the downtrend. The pressure formed by the bears is only getting stronger. Earlier there was a growth attempt, which became unsuccessful, after a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance 2717. The bears did not let anyone near 2817. On the background of yesterday's fall, associated with bitcoin correction in the 67K - 65K zone, the price tested the consolidation support and is forming a false breakdown. From October 22: BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ If the price does not start active growth, but returns to the support and starts to enter the risk zone, it can provoke the activation of orders and a strong impulse to 2100-1900. Resistance levels: 2562, 2728, 2764 Support levels: 2392, 2318, 2111 It is not excluded that the price may return to the triangle resistance or 2728, but there are no hints for now. Emphasize on 2562 and 2392, two important zones from which a strong fall can be formed Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Bitcoin Short: wave count update (wave 2 completed)I've updated the wave count to an old wave count for the previous upmove till mid month and the subsequent rangey move as the new wave 1 that is a leading diagonal (note that this was the original wave count until I changed it somewhere in Q3 of this year to cater for a potential strong down move, but the move up since 10th Oct has invalidated that count and this is the old-new count) Based on this count, we have a very strong wave 2 that almost completed retraced wave 1 down and in a triple combination (a supposedly rare occurrence). Right now we should be going into a wave 3 and that will be consistent with all my other analyses (for nasdaq, s&p, gold). Everything is going down because in a strong down move, beta of all assets classes converges to 1 due to liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by yuchaosng
Bitcoin Analysis==>>New All-Time High(ATH) is Loading!!!For a better view of Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I suggest you read yesterday's post first.👇 As I expected, Bitcoin corrected to the Support zone($72,000-$70,820) and is currently moving in a descending channel(small) . According to Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has completed wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 . I expect Bitcoin will touch New All-Time High(ATH) soon. (After breaking the upper line of the ascending channel). ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($72,000-$70,820), it may fall further.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
Gold Roadmap==>>Short term!!!The recent CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings reports are both pivotal indexes for gold’s market reaction. A lower-than-expected JOLTS report , indicating fewer job openings, suggests possible economic slowing, which tends to support higher gold prices as investors look for safe-haven assets. On the other hand, if the Consumer Confidence Index shows strength, it can signal economic resilience, potentially reducing demand for gold as risk-on assets may become more attractive. Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in ✅ yesterday's post ✅. Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that we should wait for wave 4 of Gold in the 15-minute time frame . Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,761-$2,756) and the Uptrend line . ⚠️Note: If Gold goes over PRZ, we have to wait for $2,800(at least)⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
EURNZD trade idea(1:15 RR) EURNZD has shown a strong impulse upwards and the 7 day bullish streak might be indicating to overextension, as we are currently facing a major resistance level on the daily chart. In the mid August the price hit 1.86(VWAP high) and since then the price has made a weekly 3 wave impulse downward. October gave us a retracement and now its time for another wave downwards. We are targeting the lows of the past week making it 1:15RR. Keeping stops above recent highs. This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading. Trade safely and expect the unexpected, Mei
Short
by martinmei
BitTorrent - Tron's AlphaBitTorrent is an old coin on the Tron's Network TRX. I think the Tron's Network run didn't end for good and shall return in multiple tokens in this chain. BTT or BTTC shall have a mega run that should pass above $0.00000250 in my opinion. But first, I think a last dip around $0.00000050 : $0.00000060 shall occur first. A soft cancellation of this idea is passing $0.00000097 without dropping first to the expected area above. Passing $0.00000220 is a final cancellation of this idea.
CRYPTO:BTTUSD
by MohamedSewid
1
GOLD → The calm before the storm. News ahead... FX:XAUUSD is at a strong resistance of 2790. Traders are getting nervous before the news. Risks as well as the price are rising. PCE, Initial Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI are ahead. Traders have taken a wait-and-see stance ahead of the news. PCE along with NFP on Friday should give an insight into the Fed's interest rate outlook. Against the backdrop of a steady US labor market, a 0.25% cut is the most likely scenario. The metal is holding back any fall that could be seen as a correction due to election uncertainty. There is not much time left. As well as news from China and the escalated conflict in the Middle East. Technically gold is in a range, the chart indicates stronger levels and liquidity zones. The most probable scenario is a retest of one of the support zones and further growth after liquidity capture. Targets in such a case could be 2789-2800. Support levels: 2771, 2758, 2745 Resistance levels: 2789, 2800 It is not excluded that there may be a strong shakeout on the background of the news. Market behavior at the moment will depend on the actual data. The reaction may be extremely aggressive. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
MATH - This is how you REALLY use Elliott WaveThis is a great example of a beautiful setup and how to lay out a low risk, high reward trade, especially for those that are still learning and wondering how to apply Elliott Wave. Or maybe you are unfamiliar with Elliott Wave or someone who thinks it's nonsense. Well let me show you how I do it and hopefully help you learn the best technical strategy. These are the setups I salivate on. And I don't care if I lose 8 out of 10, because the 2 that hit will more than pay off the losers. Support box is clear. Below the September low and I'd be out as we'd be below the reliable 61.8% retracement. Breaking that fib retracement level means that it can do anything from bullish, to diagonal, to sideways, to bearish moves. And we don't want to waste our time with stocks that aren't trending. Nothing is reliable anymore - therefore, we don't want to trade it below that. Toss it away. Move on to the next one. For this play, you could accumulate shares under $2.25 which is the previous high. I have it labeled as a Wave (1) but it could easily just be an (A) wave. As a quick refresher, trending impulsive moves happen in 5-wave moves. Since we don't know for 100% certainty that this will become that, we have to prepare for the other likely scenarios. We are already protected from significant downside with our stop below the 61.8% retracement, so I just don't care what might happen in a bearish count. So for bullish, I want to accumulate under the last high and catch the breakout. Once broken out, minimum target is $4.25. That's the 100% extension of (1) from the bottom of (2), the first resistance. If this ends up being a 3-wave (A)(B)(C), it would top out there at the 100%, so we want to make sure we have all of our money back by then. A full bullish follow through could take it anywhere between $12 (161.8% fib) and $22.50 (200% fib, which is where a standard impulsive 5-wave rally is expected to end with no extensions). If you buy a stock like this with stop below the 61.8%, you can go net free (return of original equity) by selling however many shares are needed to get your original money back at the previous high around $2.25 which should reject at first try (as it is the most likely landing spot for Wave 1 inside of Wave (3). Once a higher low forms from there (Wave 2 of (3)) between $1.20 and $1.75, you could go in even harder, buying more shares, and moving your stop on all shares to that higher low, providing a very low risk scenario. By the time $4.25 is hit, you should be completely net free with plenty of shares left and maybe even take some good profits. Remember, this is an outline NOT A PREDICTION. That's why we have a stop, a plan, and multiple targets. As it plays out, we gain more clarity and update our outline. Probably even find a trend channel. This is Elliott Wave. This is Fibonacci Pinball (the creation of Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader,net). It's not telling you what's going to happen. It's telling you what could happen, laying out the most probable path, limiting your risk, and telling you when it might be wrong and how to pivot. And don't go thinking this will happen all at once. Keep good notes of your entry and all sales. This likely takes 1-3 years. Standard disclosures: 1. This is 100% my idea. It was not sourced from any other avenue. 2. I am not invested in this company, though I am likely buying shares soon. 3. I am not paid to post content nor do I receive any contributions of any kind. 4. While this is outlining a potential profitable setup, this article is not investment advice. You should do your own due diligence on any company you invest in and apply your own trading strategies. 5. I know nothing about the fundamentals of this company. I suggest doing your due diligence if fundamentals are important to you. 6. Readers should always remember that markets are their own creature made up of millions of individuals and institutions each following some combo of inherent bullishness, inherent bearishness, fundamentals, technicals, stupidity, and pure emotion. Elliott Wave, and specifically Fibonacci Pinball (developed by Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader.net and prominent Seeking Alpha author), merely provide a framework based on the observed price action to date. 7. I know that while my wave outline is based on years and years of data and application from not only me, but some of the best in the game, I also know that markets do not follow a set path and that sentiment can remain irrational far longer than I can remain rational. That is why you MUST consider the alternatives and manage risk appropriately. Know the pivot zones that could lead to the primary path failing. I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. My analysis outlines a potential scenario and provides risk assessments for multiple alternate scenarios. My analysis is purely educational.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MATHEducation
by mazag08
1
Ending diagonal structureA couple weeks ago i have identified Diagonal at TOTAL chart 8d TF. Now i managed to recognize it on BTC. Diagonal structures are found at the termination points of larger patterns, indicating exhaustion of the larger movement. Ending diagonal often ends in a throw-over, ie, a brief break of the trendline connecting the end points of waves one and three. A rising ending diagonal is usually followed by a sharp decline retracing at least back to the level where it began and typically much further. A falling ending diagonal by the same token usually gives rise to an upward thrust. Fifth wave extensions, truncated fifths and ending diagonals all imply the same thing: dramatic reversal ahead.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by dogecoin_chain
SPY 600+?According to Elliot Wave Theory, Chart Patterns, and Analysis of the option chains, SPY could potentially reach 600+ before long. Looking at Elliot Wave Theory: Currently price is in Wave #4. In EW, Wave #4 characteristics are opposite of Wave #2. Wave #2 in this cycle was short, so expect price to take a little longer to breakout, which brings us to the next observation: Chart Patterns: Price is starting to form an expanding descending wedge (or megaphone), a variation of a flag. Generally in these formations, price is volatile and the formation can hold in tact for a decent length of time. That being said, it’s the perfect scenario for a long Wave #4. When price touches the bottom trendline for the third time, look to go long a month out. Option Chain: January Contracts - neutral. November Contracts - bearish (just a hedge for tech earnings) In the options chain, a neutral or balanced chain means the market is bullish. When an inordinate amount of puts are bought, it generally means institutions are hedging their portfolios when markets turn volatile. (Earnings will definitely do that) Recap: Looking to go long once this formation breaks upwards for the afore mentioned reasons. If something changes, I’ll update this. (We can’t be married to our opinions) Ride Wave #5 with me.
AMEX:SPYLong
by DIVERMAN_L
2
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as ✅I expected in the previous post . Bitcoin is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the upper line of the ascending channel . According to Elliott's wave theory, Bitcoin is completing wave 3 . I expect the Bitcoin rally will need a Correction to continue near the All Time-High(ATH) . I expect Bitcoin to drop down to the Support zone($72,000-$70,820) and Support line . 🔔Let's first short position, and I will try to update for the long position.🔔 ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($72,000-$70,820), it may fall further.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
14
GOLD → Risks are rising and so is the price. News ahead! FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2790. This is probably not the limit, but the risks, like the price, are rising ahead of strong news and the US election race. Gold feels support for several reasons: stopping the rally in DXY (profit taking is possible), positive hints about the Chinese economy, escalating conflict in the Middle East. The dollar stops the rally and forms consolidation for the last few days, which is generally favorable for gold. The metal is updating the highs and in the current conditions trading is quite simple: we trade either a breakdown of resistance in order to continue the movement, or search for strong support zones, where we can trade price pullbacks. Today the Nonfarms from ADP, US GDP will be released. This is worth paying attention to. Weaker data can greatly increase volatility and provoke the continuation of metal growth. And vice versa. Resistance levels: 2789, 2800 Support levels: 2777, 2771, 2758 Gold is in a local correction. Emphasis on strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. But, we need to watch the news, there may be shake-ups, but the general background for gold is expected to remain favorable. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
EURJPY → Buyer pressure is mounting. Pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURJPY is forming quite an interesting situation on the background of inaction of the Japanese Central Bank (weakening of JPY exchange rate) as well as strengthening of EUR. The currency pair has been in the realization phase for more than a week. Based on the general assumptions, we can assume that this is not the end and the growth may continue. An ascending triangle is being formed on H1 (pre-breakout consolidation) against the resistance at 166.065. Accordingly, this level is a trigger. Within the general technical and fundamental environment, we can conclude that the currency pair is preparing for the continuation of growth. If the bulls are able to overcome 166.06 and keep the defense above this zone, we should expect the continuation of the growth in the short and medium term. Resistance levels: 166.06, 166 Support levels: 165.68, 165.14, 164.95 The trend is bullish, buyers are actively defending the trend support. All market pressure is focused on the resistance. A break of the level may provoke a strong upward impulse Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4