GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement.
The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%.
Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy.
Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high...
Resistance levels: 3347, 3358
Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311
The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
AUDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation for trend continuationFX:AUDUSD may continue its upward trend. After another local distribution, the currency pair is consolidating and may repeat the cycle
The dollar index continues to fall, the global trend is clear, and the price is testing multi-year lows. After yesterday's speech by Powell, the decline may intensify amid expectations of a rate cut, which will only support AUDUSD.
AUDUSD is moving within an uptrend, stopping below resistance at 0.6583, but is not going to fall.
There was a false breakout (the zone was tested), the structure is not broken, and the price continues to squeeze towards resistance, which could lead to a breakout and growth
Resistance levels: 0.6583
Support levels: 0.6566, 0.6556
There is potential accumulation in the market, and the market is choosing growth against the backdrop of a falling dollar as its direction. Accordingly, the currency pair is one step away from a possible realization phase. Thus, if the price breaks 0.6583 and consolidates above this zone, it may continue to grow in the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USOIL is Nearing the Daily TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 64.30 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 64.30 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Caution is requiredA test was made near the last minor peak and it could not break it and fell and there is a fifth side left to close wxyxxz
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Next stepFrom the historical chart data, we find that there were three historical waves that fell, three historical waves that rose, and three historical waves that remained, compounded, in order for the shape to be wxy.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Continue analysis on VRACompleting my analysis of this currency from a year ago, we find that it has actually fallen, and according to the new data that has appeared, a triple flat has been formed, and a new strong fall to the area below is expected, and all the data is shown on the chart.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Coming down!I see three corrective waves in front of me that have been completed and concluded with an ending diagonal pattern. Please be careful of the possible upcoming decline.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
solusdtThe breakout area has been successfully tested and we will see the next step, the drop to the shaded area.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Map Of FillIt has been moving sideways for more than two years and a head and shoulders pattern has been formed on a large monthly fact first glance at the chart, we find that it has been moving sideways for more than two years, forming a head and shoulders pattern, which indicates a further decline. On the other hand, a sideways wave has been formed, which is an X wave, and we are preparing for a large bearish W wave to come.rame, so it is expected to fall again strongly to one of the two areas specified below.
Note: There is a previous analysis of this currency on my page and all its legacies were explained before.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Next goalFrom a general view of the chart, we find, according to the analysis, that this rise is not a motive, but rather a correction, and this indicates that there is another strong decline coming soon unless it breaks the analysis failure area specified above.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Chart history XRPThis analysis will take a lot of time because it is medium-term and the failure point is close and only when it is broken does the analysis fail. Other than that, it is in a downward trend and all the data is explained on the chart.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
EUR/USD Wave 5 Topped? Correction Incoming to 1.076FX_IDC:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD
📈 Chart Breakdown
🔢 Elliott Impulse Wave Completed:
Waves (1) to (5) appear to form a clean 5-wave impulse structure upward.
Final wave (5) is diverging on the oscillator (RSI), signaling potential bullish exhaustion.
🧾 ABC Correction Expected:
After the 5-wave impulse, you project an ABC corrective move:
Wave A: initial drop
Wave B: partial recovery
Wave C: deeper move likely toward the 1.07680 support (blue horizontal line)
⚠️ Bearish RSI Divergence:
The label "Div" confirms bearish divergence between price and RSI → typical at end of Wave (5).
🧠 Summary:
Structure: 5-wave impulse + projected 3-wave correction
Bias: Short-term bearish targeting 1.07680
Confirmation: Look for break below support or trendline + momentum shift
Bitcoin Breakdown? Support Zone & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as anticipated in my previous analysis , attacked the Resistance lines and then resumed its decline. In previous analysis, both Long and Short positions could have been profitable .
Bitcoin is approaching a Support zone($106,800-$105,820) and the CME gap($106,645-$106,295) .
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , it appears that Bitcoin has finally completed a five-wave impulsive move with the help of an Expanding Ending Diagonal .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after breaking the lower line of the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
Note: To break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), Bitcoin may potentially use either a Head and Shoulders pattern or a Bearish Quasimodo formation.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can expect more pumps.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,249-$105,094
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $109,483-$108,790
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BSW Bull Trap:Binance Delisting + Weak Fundamentals = -50% AheadToday, I want to analyze the Biswap project ( BINANCE:BSWUSDT ) with the BSW token for you and examine the opportunity for a short position on the BSW token from a Fundamental and Technical perspective.
First, let's examine the conditions of the Biswap project from a Fundamental perspective.
Biswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) built on the BNB Chain, offering features like token swaps, farming, staking, and an NFT marketplace. It became popular due to its very low trading fees (0.1%) and an aggressive referral & reward system.
However, the project is facing key fundamental issues:
Decline in trading volume and user activity
Drop in TVL rankings among DEX platforms
Inflationary tokenomics with constant reward emissions, increasing sell pressure
Most critically, Binance announced the delisting of BSW (effective July 4, 2025), shaking investor confidence severely .
In summary, while Biswap started strong, its fundamentals have weakened significantly, especially after the Binance delisting, which casts doubt over its future viability.
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In terms of Technical Analysis , the BSW token managed to reach the Heavy Resistance zone($0.060-$0.0315) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the previous hours' pump( more than +100% ), but then started to decline again.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , I consider the recent hours pump as a wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect that given the delisting(soon) of the BSW token and the technical analysis of the BSW token, it will fall by at least -50% . In fact, this pump could act as a Bull Trap .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $0.0422 = We can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Biswap Analyze (BSWUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin: 170k–180k?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin: 170k to 180k?
Let’s talk bias.
We’ve seen a powerful move off the 75k low, and it’s hitting some markers of a potential wave 1 impulse. If that structure holds and price doesn’t come back to wipe out the lows in a wave 2 retracement, then this is what we’d be looking at.
The idea? This is a conservative roadmap built off Elliott Wave Fibonacci projections and it targets the 170k to 180k zone.
Now, let’s be clear. This is a conservative projection. We’re not talking hopium fueled 250k moon targets here. We have no proof of that yet. We're anchoring the wave count and saying: if this is a 1, we’re due a 2, and then a 3 takes us to the upper levels.
But there’s a catch. Always is.
If price starts to fade back through the 91.8k area in a deep aggressive retrace, this roadmap gets less likely. Breaking the 75k pivot means the impulse structure failed or was misread, and we shift the count.
Until then, the 170k–180k level is a possible destination based on this roadmap.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
dollar elliott wave countingdxy is falling since it peaked in Q4 2022
since their last 75bps hike dollar is constantly falling and stocks, gold, bitcoin constantly rising and making new all time high
wave W = wave Y
(equal in length, 100% projection for wave Y)
since starting of the year due to trump tariff dollar is falling
this is year in first half dollar saw biggest collapse since end of gold standard
now 100% projection target for wave Y at 95 area is big static support level
if dxy recover back to 100 area then this will be first sign of reversal
Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key
Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked.
This one’s got me on the edge.
What’s Happening Here
We’re currently watching a move that could be either:
- A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or
- A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff
That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias.
The Line in the Sand: 152
Here’s what I’m watching for:
Key Level: 152
- That’s the bull/bear line for me.
- A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent.
- But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure.
Elliott View
This is where the paradox plays out:
If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect:
- A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy)
If it’s a Zigzag ABC:
- Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move.
The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions.
152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it.
The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp.
Your Turn
How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know.
Trade safe, trade clarity!