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Elliott Wave

GOLD Analysis (April 26, 2025) - 2 hours, weekly & MonthlyChart 1: 2-Hour Chart (Short-Term View) Pattern Observed: Clear Elliott Wave structure identified. Wave ①, ②, ③, and ④ are completed. Currently in Wave ⑤ (ongoing impulsive up move). Current Setup: Wave ⑤ has started and appears to be very impulsive. The target for Wave ⑤ is near $3600 zone. Expect a sharp upside move toward $3600 in coming sessions (possibly within next 1–2 weeks). Important Note: Since Wave ⑤ is impulsive, price may move very fast with little retracements. Strategy: Short-term bullish until $3600 is reached. After completing ⑤, expect a strong and sharp correction downward. Chart 2: Weekly Chart (Medium-Term View) Pattern Observed: Weekly candle has formed a long-legged inverted hammer, almost like a high wave spinning top. This is a warning sign indicating strong indecision and possible trend exhaustion. Interpretation: Weekly structure is signaling that GOLD is losing strength at higher levels. There is hesitation for further continuation of the uptrend. After a small last push (likely completing the final Wave ⑤), there are high chances of a bigger retracement. Strategy: Watch closely how next week’s candle forms. If next week closes weakly or forms a bearish pattern (like bearish engulfing), expect bigger fall. Chart 3: Monthly Chart (Long-Term View) Pattern Observed: Monthly chart shows momentum loss at top. AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator is flattening after a massive upmove. Momentum divergence starting to appear (price made higher high, AO showing flattening/slightly diverging). Interpretation: GOLD is still strong, but momentum is clearly reducing at the top. If GOLD touches $3600 next month and fails to sustain, a big red monthly candle can form. This could mark the start of a medium-term bearish phase (several months correction). Strategy: Next month (May 2025) is extremely critical for GOLD’s major trend decision. If a red candle forms in May after touching $3600, it could trigger a multi-month downward correction. Conclusion: In the short term (next few days), GOLD likely continues to rally towards $3600. Next 2–3 weeks are critical — observe if reversal signs appear near $3600. May 2025 is very important: A monthly red candle after touching $3600 can confirm a bigger downward correction. If correction starts, it will likely be sharp and deep, matching the intensity of the 5th wave up. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a financial advice. Trading involves risk. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
BTCUSD Trading AnalysisChart Overview: Timeframe: 30 minutes Pattern: Expanded Triangle (bearish bias) Current Price: Around $94,330 at the time of chart Wave Count: Completed a complex Expanded Triangle at the top. Initial impulsive wave (Wave ①) already in progress. Expecting corrective retracement for Wave ② (small bounce). Then strong downward impulsive Wave ③ projected. Technical Observations: 1. Expanded Triangle Formation Type: Bearish Expanded Triangle. Characteristics observed: Each subsequent high was higher and each low was lower (classic expanding pattern). Typically this formation ends with a sharp reversal (which already started). 2. Wave Structure Forecast (Elliott Wave Principle) Wave ①: First impulsive downward leg already formed. Wave ②: A minor retracement or bounce is expected (lower high formation). Wave ③: Strong impulsive fall expected after Wave ②, breaking previous lows. Wave ④: Small corrective upward retracement. Wave ⑤: Final downward move completing the 5-wave impulsive structure. Key Price Levels and Targets: Target Level (Approx.) Target 1 $89,300 1.309 Fibonacci extension, interim support Target 2 $86,000 Next major Fibonacci projection zone Final Target $84,400 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone, final bearish target Fibonacci Projections: 1.618 Extension: ~$89,000 2.309 Extension: ~$86,100 2.618 Extension: ~$84,400 Volume and Momentum Check: Volume: Decreasing during the upward retracements (bearish confirmation). Momentum: Loss of momentum after the triangle breakout — supporting deeper correction. Summary of Expectation: Bitcoin has completed a bearish expanded triangle. A strong downward impulsive move has started. Short-term bounce (Wave ②) is possible but lower highs expected. Likely targets for downward movement are $89,300, $86,000, and possibly $84,400 in the coming days. Trend Bias: Bearish until BTCUSD reclaims above $95,000 decisively. Risk Factors: Watch for invalidation if BTCUSD crosses and sustains above $96,000 (triangle high). Sudden macro news or BTC-related developments could lead to unexpected volatility. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by shiva560060
1
NIFTY50.....Wave iii complete! Corrective move ahead?Hello Traders, the NIFTY50 reached on Friday the level of 24365 and fell to a close @ 24039.35! This level (@24365) can be a wave iii! The next move would be a wave iv, that can retrace to 23585. The next opportunity could be a wave c that is done or close to be done. Chart analysis: If the wave iii would be done, the next move should be to the cited target range @ 23585 or some points below. From here, a wave v should start with targets around 24620. Higher price are still possible, while not expected! Several scenarios are thinkable, but it's too early to announce them. Another possible idea could be a "double waves 1-2". In this case, N50 should run to new ATH's in the coming weeks ahead! A sell-signal would occur if price touch below the level of 23847.85 points. If price extend the gains above 24365.45, the sell-signal would be eliminated! Ok, the following 2-3 day's will be interesting to watch, and a new update is at hand! Have a great weekend..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk. I'm very happy about a like!
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
7
Bitcoin is going for a new ATHHi traders, It turned out that Bitcoin made a leading diagonal (wave 1) and a correction down (grey wave 2). After that it made the next impulse wave up just as I've said last week. Now we could see small corrections down and more upside for a new ATH. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Correction down for goldHi traders, Gold went a little more up (finish grey wave 3) and after that the bigger correction for (grey) wave 4 started just as I've said last week. For next week we wait for the finish of the correction (Zigzag or Triangle) and after that we could trade longs again. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
3
Another move down for SPX500USD?Hi traders, SPX500USD made a bigger orange X-wave last week into the Daily FVG. So next week we could see the start of the last impulse wave down to finish the bigger (red) WXY correction. But it first has to close below the Daily FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
3
GOLD → A false breakdown of support will lead to growthFX:XAUUSD is trading within the range of 3370-3270. Since the opening of the session, the price has lost its potential for further decline. There is no news on Friday, so after retesting the liquidity and support zone of 3283-3270, the price is likely to return to growth. Gold stabilizes near $3,350, but growth is held back by the dollar On Friday, gold held its ground after recovering, but further growth is limited by the strengthening dollar and hopes for progress in the tariff war negotiations... Optimism about corporate earnings in the US and easing recession fears are supporting demand for the dollar. However, ongoing uncertainty in US-China relations is keeping interest in gold alive. Markets are waiting for new signals from the White House and the Fed, which will determine the further movement of gold prices towards the end of the week. Focus on supporting the trading range. A false breakdown of 3283-3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth. Resistance levels: 3314, 3342, 3370 Support levels: 3283, 3270, 3244 There is no news today, except for the unpredictable Trump and the general situation with the tariff war. Any speech or tweet could shake the market. However, after a neutral week, gold remained within the range, and the market is likely to keep the metal within the flat on Friday. Accordingly, I expect a rebound from support and growth to the intermediate resistance lines indicated above. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Bigger correction down for EUHi traders, My outlook last week of EU played out exactly as I've said! Just check my outlook of last week for proof. Wave 4 became a Triangle and after it finished, it went up again for the last wave 5 into the Daily FVG. After that it rejected and started the bigger correction down. Next week we could see some consolidation and another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts into the Weekly/ Daily FVG. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C. Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C. So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1. So the first target is the 04800 range. If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range. This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it. Good luck and be profitable.
Short
by M_Gheysvandi
XRP Short Term Analysis (4H)XRP is exhibiting bullish signals supported by multiple technical indicators. An Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern has clearly formed on the chart, indicating a potential reversal from the previous bearish trend. Additionally, the downward trendline appears to be breaking out with increasing volume, which reinforces the breakout confirmation. From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, we seem to be in wave 3, which is typically the most impulsive and extended leg of the five-wave cycle. Given the structure and momentum, a conservative price target lies at the $2.30 level, representing the measured move from the neckline of the H&S formation. Further upside may follow if wave 3 unfolds as expected, but short-term corrections should also be anticipated. Risk management remains essential, as macroeconomic factors and fundamental news may cause volatility. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
Aptos Will Prove Its Worth (Daily Analysis)After breaking out from a simple trendline, Aptos (APT) has gained significant momentum, similar to many other altcoins over the past two weeks. However, Aptos is currently presenting a unique structural situation. It appears to have completed a full five-wave bearish impulse and has now transitioned into a new five-wave bullish impulse. From a daily timeframe perspective, Aptos seems to be developing wave 1 of this new cycle. A closer examination of Aptos’ historical price movements reveals some interesting patterns: • During the previous bullish phase, Aptos formed a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. • Following the breakout of a key trendline, Aptos rallied to levels that were largely unexpected by the market. • The previous cycle took exactly four months to reach its lower high, aligning precisely with the Fib Time Zone (Level 4) before retracing. Assuming that history tends to repeat itself (and being conservatively pessimistic), Aptos could potentially reach the $10 region again this summer. There are two major additional reasons supporting this outlook: Wave 3's potential target in this cycle aligns perfectly with a high-liquidity zone, increasing the probability of a strong upward move. (Refer to the previous bullish cycle’s Wave 3 in the Fib retracement for additional confirmation.) A new reversed Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming right now, which, if confirmed, would further strengthen the bullish case. Using the Fib Time Tool again, the estimated timeline for reaching the target without any major pattern formation points to late July. However, if the Head and Shoulders structure fully forms before the breakout, it could extend the move by an additional month, but would likely result in a much higher target beyond $10. Invalidation level for this analysis: Below the $4 mark. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID. 𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs. 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets. $NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by KobesyTrades
Coming down!I see three corrective waves in front of me that have been completed and concluded with an ending diagonal pattern. Please be careful of the possible upcoming decline. *In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Short
by KhaldHegazy
Chevron: The Chart’s Reaching a Critical PointChevron is starting to look very interesting again — but let’s be clear from the start: Chevron, like every oil giant, lives and dies by the price of oil. If oil rips higher or collapses due to global politics, supply shocks, or economic chaos, Chevron NYSE:CVX follows. No exceptions. That said, what we’re seeing on the chart right now is increasingly pointing toward a deeper correction — specifically down to the $113–$100 zone. That would make sense structurally as a Wave 4 retracement. But there’s a technical nuance here. Wave 1’s high sits at $103 — and depending on how strict your Elliott Wave rules are, Wave 4 dipping into Wave 1 is bad territory. Personally, I’m okay with a brief touch into that range, but I don’t want to see price hanging around below $103 for long. From a trend perspective, we’re clearly in a downward channel. We just saw a textbook bull trap: Chevron broke out with a solid +7% move over two weeks, Followed immediately by a massive 22% drop, One of the sharpest two-week declines since — yeah — March 2020, pandemic levels. Now, price is hovering around $130, and the setup is simple: If this level holds, great — maybe we’re bottoming. If it breaks, I’m looking to buy between $113 and $100. That’s where the structure aligns, the volume kicks in, and risk/reward starts to make sense again. So here’s the real question: Do we see $200 first — or $100? I’m leaning $100 first. Not because I’m bearish long-term— but because that level would clean up the chart, shake out the noise, and give us a real shot at riding the next strong leg higher with conviction. Would love to hear what you think — where’s your bet?
NYSE:CVXLong
by stromm
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart. And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking. Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity: Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential, Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18. The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023. Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend. How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity. On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485. But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself: What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays? Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move. Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by stromm