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Elliott Wave

Elliott wave daily EURUSD update Elliott wave daily EURUSD update The price movement of the last few weeks requires a change and update of the wave count ______________________________________ upward movement from area 1.018/genuary 2025 to area 1.1580/april 2025 looks impulsive - minute wave ((i)). we are now in a corrective minute wave ((ii)) zigzag or flat or any double target area 1.1040/1.0800 area in the very short term level to monitor 1.1500 area over 1.1500 area a flat correction more likely ( to area 1.1570) note FX option expiries for 6 June 10am New York cut 1.1500 (EUR 3.19bn) 1.1400 (EUR 2.38bn) 1.1300 (EUR 1.28bn) FOREXLIVE
by francescoforex
Inverse H&S Breakout! EURGBP Eyes Resistance Zone Amid Eurozone EURGBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ) is moving between two Support zone(0.83870 GBP-0.83500 GBP) and Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP-0.8470 GBP) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , EURGBP has managed to break the Neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern . I expect EURGBP to rise to at least 0.84911 GBP and attack the Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP- 0.8470 GBP) . ----------------------------------------------------------- EURGBP Fundamental Analysis: 1. Eurozone (EUR) Overview : The Eurozone economy has shown moderate recovery signs after pandemic disruptions. Inflation remains a concern, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain or even tighten monetary policy gradually to combat inflation. Economic data such as GDP growth and industrial production are mixed but generally indicate slow growth. Political stability in the Eurozone is relatively steady compared to the UK. The ECB’s forward guidance leans towards cautious optimism, supporting EUR strength over time. 2. United Kingdom (GBP) Overview : The UK economy faces several challenges, including slower growth prospects compared to the Eurozone. Inflation has been high but the Bank of England (BoE) has been raising interest rates aggressively to control it. Political uncertainties related to Brexit aftermath, trade deals, and fiscal policies have created some volatility. Consumer confidence and retail sales have shown signs of weakness in recent months. Overall, the BoE’s hawkish stance is strong, but economic fundamentals are less robust compared to the Eurozone. 3. Comparative Factors Favoring EUR Long : The Eurozone's relatively better economic stability and growth prospects support EUR strength. UK economic challenges and political uncertainties weaken GBP. ECB’s more gradual tightening approach may prevent shocks, making EUR attractive. Brexit-related trade issues continue to pose risks for GBP. 4. Risks to Consider : Unexpected ECB dovish moves could weaken EUR. Positive UK economic surprises or faster-than-expected BoE tightening might strengthen GBP. External shocks like geopolitical tensions can affect risk sentiment, impacting both currencies. ----------------------------------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 0.84221 GBP Euro/British Pound Analyze (EURGBP), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
11
Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down. Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin. I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks). Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit. Good luck!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by yuchaosng
BTC/USD: 12 JUNE, 2025 - IS THE SECOND WAVE UNFOLDING?Conclusion: The 1-grey wave may have just completed at the 111,965 high, and the 2-grey wave is unfolding to push lower, targeting the low around 95,872.01. I counted a five-wave within the 1-grey wave, which suggests that it may have ended, and we are entering the 2-grey wave. This decline could target around the 95,572 low in the form of a Zigzag labeled a,b,c))-navy. While the price must remain below 110,617 to keep this Bearish view valid.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ShaneHua
3
CRUDE OIL: 12 JUNE, 2025 - BOTTOM AND TAKE OFF!?Conclusion: The ABC)-orange correction may have just completed, and a five-wave is pushing much higher, targeting the nearest target at the high around 94.19 or 130.50. Details: Since the high of 130.50, a decline with A,B,C)-orange has unfolded as a Zigzag. I counted a five-wave within the A)-orange, and a triangle within the B)-orange, and finally the C)-orange has completed as a five-wave. So, perhaps that ABC has ended with convincing evidence. So crude oil is likely to rise in the medium term, even though the alternative scenarios with relatively high probability in another development also show increasing bullish weight. And it is aiming for the nearest target at 94.19. While price must always remain above 55.30 to keep the Bullish market view valid.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by ShaneHua
S&P 500 Short Update 2: Shifting wave degreeHi all, As I explained in this video, the previous idea was invalidated because of an issue with "degree" of wave that a fellow watcher of my idea rightly pointed out in the comments section. I did the change on this video and explain the mistake I made in the previous idea. In this video, I also talked about the last wave, how it can still be the peak but on the bigger picture, it is still too small compared to wave 1 and 3. I then recommend 3 "safer" entry points: 1. One reversion trade at the top of the trendline. 2. One breakdown from the diagonal trendline. 3. One breakdown from the 4th wave support price. Which entry point(s) you choose depends on your personal preference and opportunity. The stop will be above where you identify as the peak at your point of entry. Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
GOLD → Strengthening and return to range. Focus on 3340FX:XAUUSD is forming a fairly strong support zone (a cascade within an upward line). The price is returning to the range, with bulls storming 3330-3340. Markets are awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which may affect expectations for a Fed rate cut in September (chances are about 52%). Optimism following progress in US-China trade talks is supporting sentiment, but uncertainty remains due to a court ruling allowing Trump to maintain tariffs. This is holding back the dollar and helping gold. CPI forecast: 0.2% growth, core inflation 0.3%. Lower inflation, on the other hand, will support expectations of lower rates and strengthen demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Technically, gold is stuck between the boundaries of a symmetrical triangle. Overall, this situation is reflected in all markets. Consolidation is forming and the price could break out in either direction... Support levels: 3301, 3330, 3340 Resistance levels: 3349, 3361, 3375 Focus on the boundaries of the previous range - 3330 - 3340. If the bulls, after the assault, manage to hold their ground above this zone, the market may take the initiative due to support and continue its growth towards areas of interest. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution. Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs. Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777 Support levels: 0.2332 If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
BINANCE:SOONUSDT.PShort
by RLinda
5
AUDUSD → Correction after a false breakout before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid uncertainty surrounding the dollar, which continues to consolidate. The currency pair is preparing to test resistance at 0.6537 The dollar is stuck in place due to market uncertainty. At the same time, the Australian dollar is strengthening and is ready to test the liquidity zone Within the current trend, the currency pair is heading towards resistance and the liquidity zone. We opened far away, and as we move towards the target, the potential for further growth may end. A false breakout of 0.6537 could trigger a correction Resistance levels: 0.6537 Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6479 A sharp move towards resistance without the possibility of further growth could cause a false breakout of 0.6537. Price consolidation below this level could trigger a correction before growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
ETH Bullish Setup: Pullback to 200_SMA(D) May Launch Next Rally Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) seems to have finally managed to break the Resistance lines and the 200_SMA(Daily) in the fifth attack . However, the number of Resistance lines inside the Heavy Resistance zone($2,929_$2,652) is high, and Ethereum will find it difficult to break through them. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Ethereum is completing microwave 4 , and we should wait for this wave to complete. Microwave 4 could act as a pullback to the resistance lines and 200_SMA(Daily) . I expect Ethereum to start rising from the Support zone($2,745_$2,650) again and rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If Ethereum touches $2,537 , we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
14
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook | Harmonic Butterfly PatternHere is a professional TradingView publish description for your EUR/USD Weekly Butterfly Pattern Analysis: --- 🦋 EUR/USD Weekly Outlook | Harmonic Butterfly Pattern Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) Strategy: Harmonic Pattern Recognition – Butterfly Pattern Bias: Bearish Reversal Setup --- 🔍 Pattern Analysis: Butterfly Harmonic Pattern completed with precision at the 1.272–1.414 extension zone, forming the critical D-point near 1.14700. Price has reacted sharply from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), aligning with a historical supply zone. Confluence from Fibonacci extensions: AB = 0.786 retracement BC = 0.382 to 0.886 retracement CD = 1.618 to 2.618 extension 📉 Bearish rejection expected from this high-probability reversal zone. --- 📌 Key Levels: PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 1.14500 – 1.15000 First Target Zone (Support Block): 1.11500 – 1.10500 Invalidation (Pattern Failure): Close above 1.15500 --- 📅 Projection: This weekly harmonic butterfly suggests a potential trend reversal or deep pullback. We may see EUR/USD targeting lower support as D-point gets respected. Watch for signs of weakness such as long-wick rejections, bearish engulfing patterns, or RSI divergence confirmation. --- 💡 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a critical juncture. If the butterfly holds, this could be a high RR short opportunity for swing traders. Patience is key—confirmation on lower timeframes will validate entry. --- 📊 #EURUSD #ButterflyPattern #HarmonicTrading #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTradeSetup
Long
by Greenfireforex
Crude Oil Technical Analysis 🛢 Crude Oil Technical Analysis (Weekly Structure & 2H Chart Confirmation) Chart Reference: Based on your 2H chart, crude has completed an A-B corrective structure and is likely entering the impulsive C leg, which typically unfolds in 5 waves (I, II, III, IV, V). 🔍 Elliott Wave Interpretation Wave A: Likely the initial leg down — corrective but strong. Wave B: Completed near the recent top ~66.5–67 zone (acts as resistance). Wave C: Beginning now; a clear impulse structure (5-wave down expected). 🟣 Wave Count Breakdown on 2H Chart Wave I: Likely completed near 64.5 — key level to confirm downside continuation. Wave II: Minor retracement to ~66.5 (double top zone). Wave III: Expected to be sharp and impulsive — projected towards 60 zone. Wave IV: Small pullback/retrace near 57.5–58.5. Wave V: Final push down — projected to 52–54 range. 🎯 Key Price Levels Level Significance 66.5–67.0 Wave B high / Resistance Zone 64.5 Breakdown Confirmation (Wave I Low) 60.0 First Major Support / Wave III end 55.0 Likely Wave V Extension area 52.0 Potential C-Wave Completion Zone 🧠 Observations & Trade Notes If 64.5 breaks, the C-leg is active and impulsive selling should follow. RSI/Momentum indicators (not shown) should confirm bearish divergence or breakdown if this analysis holds. Wave III is usually the longest; hence, fast drop expected after 64.5 breach. Keep an eye on volume spikes and wide-body red candles post-64.5 for entry triggers. 📉 Short-Term Trading Strategy Below 64.5: Initiate short with SL above 66.7 Target 1: 60.2 Target 2: 55.3 Target 3: 52.0 SL Trail: Once below 60, trail SL above 62. 🛑 Risk Considerations A strong close above 67.2 invalidates the current wave count and may call for re-evaluation (possibly extended Wave B or triangle). 📌 Conclusion Crude has likely entered a Wave C downtrend which is impulsive in nature. A clean break below 64.5 confirms that Wave III is active, and targets of 60–52 remain valid. The structure aligns with a larger time frame correction. Strong caution is advised above 67. 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or trading advice. Trading in commodities, stocks, futures, and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author shall not be held responsible for any losses incurred from the use of this analysis.
FX:USOILShort
by shiva560060