Coinbase -- Still expecting another lowAs the title suggests I am still expecting another low before we move higher again. Looking at the prior price action, a drop to the 1.382 @ $163.02 looks like the ideal place for this intermediate (A) wave to terminate. Afterwards, if this is the correct count, we should begin moving higher with a target of $260-$300. There is always the chance that it extends a little further to the 1.618 @ $137.31, but as of now I do not anticipate that. Should we drop to the area of the 1.382 I plan on acquiring another 20 shares. If we end up coming into the 1.618 that'll be another 20 shares I pick up. I have entered into this position in layers with a plan long before I started. This is the only way to trade based on data and not emotions. Currently I only have 40 shares at an average price of $187. Another 20 shares at say $165 (the price I will buy more) would lower my avg cost to $179. If my thesis is correct, and we do target the $260 range at a minimum, that will be almost $5K in profits with the potential of $8K. Again, this is not guaranteed, but the probability of it happening is higher than it not.
Last thing I want to leave you with, crypto as a whole IMHO, has hit its high. I believe we have started the next corrective phase that will last for quite some time. We do NOT yet have confirmation of this, but I deal with probabilities. As of right now, the probabilities favor a larger consolidation phase for the foreseeable future.
Elliott Wave
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K
The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline.
Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K
Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397
Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397
Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512
After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall
Regards R. Linda!
DOLLAR DOMINANCE or DIVE?
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🚀 📉💰
🔥 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is at a CRUCIAL turning point! After completing a 5-wave Elliott structure, is the biggest correction about to begin? 📊📉
🔍 Key Levels & Insights:
⚡ Major Resistance at Wave 5 – Rejection confirmed! ❌
⚡ 12% Drop Incoming? The corrective A-B-C wave could shake the markets! 🌊
⚡ Smart Money Watchlist – Will the Dollar Bulls hold, or are the Bears ready to take control? 🐂 vs. 🐻
📢 What’s your take? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let's decode the market together! 🔥🔍
#Forex #DXY #ElliottWave #USD #MarketAnalysis #Dollar
BTC shows signs of Downward trend with truncated wave5Bitcoins price uptrend from its recent lows appears to be out of gas. This can be shown using the elliot wave theory on the recent impulse wave where BTC price has produced a truncated wave 5
A truncated fifth wave signals exhaustion in the prevailing trend and warns of an imminent reversal. This pattern demonstrates that buyers (in an uptrend) or sellers (in a downtrend) lack conviction to push prices to new extremes. Truncations precede significant corrections or reversals.
The strength of Wave B (reaching higher than the truncated Wave 5) suggests significant countertrend momentum. This often occurs in flat corrections.
Typically, C waves extend to specific Fibonacci levels:
100% of A wave - This would target approximately $78,500
1.618 of A wave - (common C wave extension) - This would target around $76,000-$77,000
2.618 × A wave - (extended C wave) - This could reach as low as $73,000-$74,000
This seems to coincide with what I've been saying these past 3 months that the 74k level needs to be reached and the liquidity that price wants to take advantage of will need to be confronted before BTC will be able to reach this market cycles ATH.
BTC Speculative Elliot Wave Count (Diagonal as C)This sketch is based on the channels generated by my automated custom indicator, "Seer Tee," designed to replicate Candle Range Theory (CRT) by @Romeotpt.
**Assumptions:**
1. We are in a corrective zigzag wave's final progressive wave, C.
2. Wave C is a diagonal.
3. The second internal wave of the diagonal forms an expanded or running flat.
4. The flat includes a diagonal C.
Any invalidation of these assumptions will necessitate a revision of the entire count. Therefore, this sketch is a hypothetical, fragile, and speculative representation of the count.
Nauticus Robotics - The Roaring $KITTNauticus Robotics ( NASDAQ:KITT ) is a picture-perfect pick-up for the coming market conditions. With capital about to be re-allocated into markets, following the month long sell-off of late and rotation into precious metals/bonds.
Technicals
Already broken-out of its downwards wedge pattern on high volume, NASDAQ:KITT recently just put in a double bottom.
If the initial move from December 19th to 6th January, was an Elliott Wave 1, I would wait & prepare for volatility to come, and if to the upside it will put some of the most volatile cryptocurrency tokens to shame.
Wave 2 should now be complete, having bottomed on March 4th. Friday March 14th should have been the completion of its 1st higher low.
As early as next week, I am expecting NASDAQ:KITT to reach $2.80. This coincides with the 0.618 fibonacci level, resulting from its recent decline. From there, a shallow retrace into the end of the month before catapulting itself to levels not seen since September 2023 at around $80.
That would conclude Wave 3, the most volatile of moves in Elliott Wave theory, between May and June. Reaching the 2.272 fib level at $80.
The entire move can reach a final impulse conclusion of around $155 of the 2.618 fib level 👀. A potential 150x in just a few short months.
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Fundamentals
Nauticus Robotics is creating an entirely new industry right before our eyes. They are pioneers and future monopolists for the underwater economy, just like Tesla are becoming to battery, automation & automotive technology.
Think deep-sea oil refining, precious metal mining, environmental studies and even underwater city construction. Combined with a domestic administration that for the first time in decades is supportive of such novel energy & infrastructural investments.
For those expecting an AI bubble to soon take hold of markets, this stock is arguably one of the few companies that could simply not exist without artificial intelligence. Thanks to this new technology, it opens up commercially and fundamental new opportunities to deploy unmanned robotics deep into our oceans, for days at a time without costly supervision.
Currently (at $1.06) with a market cap of $6.79 million , there is far too much upside to this stock. One that employs dozens of ex-NASA engineers.
This stock is one of the 100 most highly shorted stocks on markets. With RICO and an administration hostile towards & actively investing such practices, this stock is likely to undergo a swift revaluation.
All of this combined, suggests to me the ocean tide is on your side with $KITT.
BTC to Quarter MilBitcoin's Path to $253,000
We are predicting a move to $253,000 for Bitcoin, fueled by a potential short squeeze that could ignite an explosive rally.
Key Targets:
First Target: $144,000
Second Target: $185,000
Third Target: $253,000
Short Squeeze Setup:
Bitcoin's current structure shows signs of a bear trap, with an increasing number of shorts piling in around resistance levels. A break above critical liquidity zones could force mass liquidations, triggering cascading buy orders and accelerating BTC's move upward.
Liquidation clusters: ~$75,000 - $85,000
Breakout threshold: $93,000
Parabolic acceleration: Once above $144K
Why This Move is Imminent:
High Open Interest in Shorts – Short positioning at resistance levels is increasing the likelihood of a squeeze.
Post-Halving Supply Shock – Reduced miner selling pressure strengthens upside momentum.
Institutional Accumulation – Large players are absorbing liquidity, preparing for the next leg up.
Conclusion:
If BTC clears the $85K-$93K range, short liquidations could catapult price action straight to $144K, where the next wave of FOMO will likely drive it further toward $185K and beyond.
🔥 Short squeeze ignition incoming – Are you positioned for the breakout? 🔥
Bitcoin could go up nowHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin made another move down (blue c-wave) to finish the bigger (grey) WXY correction just like I've said in my outlook.
Now it could go up again but the way it's moving is not very impulsive. This could be a leading diagonal (wave 1) or we could see another move down (ending diagonal blue wave c).
If price can break the dotted trendline
above, it's bullish again.
So let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a break of the dotted trendline, an impulse wave up and a small correction down to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Gold could still go higherHi traders,
Last week XAUUSD finished the corrective pattern and closed above the previous ATH making the wavecount idea invalid.
Because the bigger correction only came into the 23.6 fib retracement this can not be wave 2 and this has to be wave 4. So I've updated the wavecount.
Next week we could see more upside for this pair.
But let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it.
I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Last chance for SPX500USDHi traders,
This is the last chance for SPX500USD to go up again.
Last week the price action of SPX500USD dropped to the lower Daily FVG and gave a reaction to the upside.
So next week we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that.
But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
Bitcoin Might Be Forming a New Ending Diagonal!! (Preliminary Analysis – No Clear Confirmation Yet)
The only factor supporting the diagonal possibility is that the rise marked in red is not an impulsive wave, which could indicate a classic ending diagonal formation.
However, the starting point of the third wave of the diagonal remains uncertain. It could start from the current level or after a drop to around 60K before initiating an upward move.
As stated in the title, this analysis lacks strong confirmations and should be viewed as an early observation. 🔍📉📈
NIFTY50.....One leg is missing!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has been moving sideways for the past week. It shows a tight trading range from 22314-22676 with a spike to the upside! That show's to my view, that the move up is not over yet.
Probably on lower low (above the 21694) is to be expected, but also a second leg to the upside as well is to expect.
So, what's the conclusion for the coming week?
Thought the low above 21694 is coming, a rebound to the upside from 23038 to 23320 is possible. The first target price would be exactly to the underside of the 0.618 Fibo from the second leg to the downside (starting from 24857.75. The range of 23785 is also a target as well!
If the NIFTY50 is willing to decline directly to new lows (<21694) the door is open to the targets as per my last week's analyze (@ 21137 to 21821)!
Well, a lot "if and when", but I guess we (you) are well-prepared for the possible things and market action to come.
Have a great weekend.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
DEGOUSDT → An attempt to change the trend will end in a fallBINANCE:DEGOUSDT.P tried to break the trend, but faced strong resistance and a weak cryptocurrency market. The fall may continue...
After breaking through the resistance of the descending channel, a bullish momentum (distribution) of 45% is formed, but the price bumps into a strong resistance of 2.11 - 2.18, which forms a trading range. Bears are not ready to give this zone to buyers and put pressure, a false breakout of resistance is formed after a long struggle for this zone and liquidation is formed when the base of 2.0 is broken. Buyers are in the panic zone. If the price fixes below 2.11 - 2.18, the fall in the short or medium term may continue.
Resistance levels: 2.00, 2.18, 2.274
Support levels: 1.75, 1.584, 1.359
The market is generally weak and altcoins are reacting aggressively to local bitcoin movements (the point of which is to gather liquidity before a further fall). BTC has not yet reached a key target, which together with the lack of a bullish driver in the market creates pressure for altcoins.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 60% crash to 32K | ETH is dying | Trump scam?Technically, Bitcoin is entering a huge bear market! This is what my charts and fundamentals tell me at the moment.
Trump returned to the White House on January 20, 2025. This day, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high (109,588 USD), and since then, Bitcoin has been going only down! In 2019, Trump said he is not a fan of crypto. x.com
So isn't it weird that Bitcoin has been going down since the beginning of his presidential post? (On January 20). Random or planned? Answer by yourself, but something seems to be fishy here. What about the latest Trump post on TruthSocial about the strategic crypto reserve? The market reacted very positively, but after a few days, the whole market completely crashed and is now finding its new low. Was this another trap? Clearly, everyone who bought into this news is at a loss on his trading account; that's for sure.
What is happening to Ethereum? Ethereum is almost at the same price it was in 2018!! 7 years ago, the price of Ethereum was 1440 USD; the current price is around 1700 USD. I predict ETH to go to 750 USD in 2026. Why is this new technology struggling? Investors all over the world and early adopters are very disappointed by the performance of this coin. It also seems like the crypto market completely collapses, and only Bitcoin is surviving. Even though Bitcoin hit only 109k, which was most likely the ultimate top for the next few years, it was also less than everyone expected. I don't really want to talk about other altcoins because they are down 95% to 99%, and this bull market did nothing (sideways price action). In conclusion, this was the weakest bull market in history.
From a technical point of view, Bitcoin (and all altcoins) is breaking down on the weekly chart! The bullish market structure is broken, and we entered a new downtrend. Where to buy BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and other coins? You can write me a comment below, and I will tell you. I start with BTC—buy Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement. This FIBO is at 32 688 USDT, so we need to wait 1 year for the price to come to this level. Be patient.
So what to buy? Maybe focus on very low-cap coins; they do not follow the general trend (bull or bear). I have a tip for many coins, such as ATC (AutoTCrypto). Contract EQBMxFekc39SONbY8Mes8IwnZZlsPzeZhwz2c7sqMkkjI0uy. Where to buy? Use a decentralized exchange, such as dextools or ston.fi.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
[Potential Bullish Alternative] Bitcoin Elliott Wave CountsLet's face it. None of us want BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to go down. Isn't it?
So whenever I see a potential/local bottom, I start looking for a bullish possibility. Few days back, #BTC dipped below 77K so I started counting waves from that point to see if there could be anything good happening here.
On the 4H chart here, I can see a 5 wave move up (wave (i)) which could be described as a leading diagonal followed by a a-b-c down in wave (ii). The next move up (supposedly wave (iii)) seem to be looking fine so far. I can easily count 5 wave impulse in it by drilling it down to 1H chart. Note that, this would be just i of (iii). SO far so good.
Disclaimer : Note that this is something we all elliott wave chartists do when we see a bottom to assess if a new trend could be starting. This is just one (bullish) alternative that I am exploring. There are bearish alternatives as well.
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think?
Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) .
From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave .
According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern .
Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure.
I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 .
What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD Faces Resistance zone – Will Bears Take Over?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has reached the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) as I expected in my previous post . Can the EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) ?
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) , the Resistance line , and Yearly Resistance(1) .
According to the Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD seems to have completed 5 impulse waves and we can expect Corrective Waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to decline to at least the Support zone($1.0817-$1.0760) in the coming hours after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . One of the EURUSD targets could be as wide as the ascending channel .
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916), we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
LINK CorrectionLINK is correcting the impulsive wave which began last September, and this correction could be in its final stages.
Blue 5 / Black C is beginning to show divergence, which is a bullish indicator. But remember you don't trade divergence by itself. There is still no higher high and price has to face 2 hurdles:
Green descending trendline
Strong gray resistance just below $20
I'll be keeping an eye for reversal patterns.
Silver Is Eyeing 34-35 Area; Intraday Elliott Wave AnalysisSilver made a three-wave abc correction in wave 4 which can now extend the rally for wave 5 within a new five-wave bullish cycle towards 34-35 area. After recent five-wave impulse into wave "i", followed by an abc corrective setback in wave "ii", it formed a nice intraday bullish setup. Seems like it's now ready for a bullish resumption within wave "iii", so more upside is expected, especially if breaks above trendline and 32.66 level, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.