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Elliott Wave

Oil's Well That Ends Well: Riding the Wave "OIL"Oil's technical picture is looking increasingly bullish. A recent bounce off a key support level has formed a compelling inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on lower timeframes. This classic reversal signal, combined with a series of higher highs in recent weeks, points to a strong uptrend in progress. According to my Elliott Wave analysis, we are currently in the impulsive phase, heading towards the 5th wave target of $75.00. This confluence of technical indicators suggests that oil is poised for further gains.
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by Tshepo_mak
the silent sweepgood eve' i write to you today to warn of an upcoming descent in the market. i'm not referring to anything extraordinary, just a minor stop-loss raid, below 50k. over the last 9 months, there has been a significant influx of buyers in the range between 50k and 70k. everyone is bullish, and no one will anticipate this drop—except, of course, those who do. --- the entire structure can be labeled quite simply: the area boxed in red was a leading diagonal (5 waves down) the area boxed in green was a running flat (3 waves up) the area boxed in blue is on the verge of becoming a regular impulse (5 waves down) put it all together, and you have what we call a simple zig-zag . --- once this straightforward correction concludes, the real bull market can begin. ask me about my upside target. --- 🌙
by notoriousbids
7
GOLD → Bullish flat (consolidation). News aheadFX:XAUUSD corrects to 2713, confirming strong support. We talked to you about the risks yesterday. Bulls have been actively buying the metal since the start of the Asian session, hinting at strong support... Further gains in gold remain dependent on the upcoming PMI and jobless claims data. Traders are awaiting information on the state of the global economy, which will influence the short- to medium-term strategy against the dollar and gold... Market nervousness ahead of key reports in the US and the presidential election will also play a role. Any potential decline in the gold price is likely to be contained for several reasons: the BRICS summit, the US elections, the ongoing Middle East conflict. In this case, gold acts as a safe haven. Resistance levels: 2748, 2758, 2775 Support levels: 2729, 2713 ATH may be tested in the near future. Further news and high volatility, high risks may provoke profit-taking, which may bring gold back to support. And after correction the growth may resume due to strong enough interest from buyers.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
The Procter & Gamble Company (P&G) | Chart & Forecast SummaryRight Here You Can See The Procter & Gamble Company (P&G) With The Symbol "P&G" Registered On The New York Stock Exchange. The Procter & Gamble Company (P&G) Is An American Multinational Consumer Goods Corporation Headquartered In Cincinnati, Ohio The Following Chart & Forecast Summary On The Procter & Gamble Company (P&G) Has been Subject On Key Indicators on A Trade Set Up in General Like A 1. A Push Set Up 2. A Range Set up 3. A Break & Retest Set Up Overall Conclusion | Like The Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand It Tells Us It Is A Neutral Bias For Now
P
by TradePolitics
GBPJPY Is Nearing Strong Resistance ZoneGBPJPY has been in a strong bullish phase, but five-wave bullish cycle within wave (5) up from 2022 swing lows can be completed after recent strong reversal down back below channel support lines. In fact, drop from the high is impulsive on a smaller time frame, so it’s wave A that stabilized near 178 support area as expected. As such, current rise is corrective, ideally B wave that can be still in progress as a bigger correction before a continuation lower for wave C. Ideal resistance is at that channel line, from the outside, around 198 – 200 area. GBPJPY is looking for a higher resistance within wave C of (B) in the 4-hour chart, as it can be now breaking out of subwave »iv« triangle into subwave »v« of C, so keep an eye on next strong 198 – 200 resistance zone, from where bears for a higher degree wave (C) may show up.
Short
by ew-forecast
BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance... The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist. The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400 At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57. Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500 Support levels: 66500, 65000 After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
56
#USDJPYElliott Wave Structure: The chart indicates the completion of a 5-wave Elliott Wave pattern, with a corrective ABC pattern potentially unfolding. The current price is near the B-wave completion, suggesting that a downward C-wave may follow. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The price is nearing significant Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8% and 78.6%), which often act as strong resistance areas. This suggests that the price may struggle to push higher, increasing the probability of a downward move. Bearish Momentum: The projected red arrow implies an expectation of bearish momentum, with the price potentially making a lower low after retesting the 78.6% level, indicating a potential selling opportunity. Risk-to-Reward Opportunity: With the price near a resistance zone and clear downside targets indicated, the risk-to-reward ratio could be favorable for a short position, especially if price confirms a reversal at the current levels. This analysis suggests that a short position could be justified based on the technical setup, but as always, risk management and confirmation of signals are essential before entering a trade.
Short
by TheRealHawk
BTC, can confirm we confim the breakout?Please check the previous idea to get the bigger picture - You find it in my profile Hello everyone, Bitcoin reached the top line of the flag pattern, that was built from the 74k top. We got a strong move up, but the breakout didn't even reached 70k. Bearish Case Currently we are in a correction of about 3000 Dollar and the correction could expand, if the current support from the 1H 200 EMA will be lost. The next support would come in between 64k and 65k. Bullish Case If the price can stay above 66500 and breaks the pattern to the upside, it will face resistance at 68k and needs to get over 68400 to continue the path to the upside. If that's the case, 73k should be the next target
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Kyrean
Bitcoin - All time high this week! (wedge is breaking out)Comment your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you in response to your comment! Bitcoin is breaking out of the rising wedge pattern and will most likely hit a new all-time high until the end of this week or October! We can also see that a major bullish flag on the weekly chart is breaking out as well, so this is considered a double breakout. I have 3 short-term profit targets: 70,079 is the first major swing high of the major bullish flag. 73,777 is the previous all-time high level, and 78,438 is a very significant resistance because it's the 1.618 FIB extension. From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is extremely bullish as well. The combination of waves 1-2-1-2 creates an Elliott Wave bullish nest. That means we are currently in wave 3 of wave 3, and you probably know that wave 3 is usually the strongest of all of them. We can finally expect increased volatility! Write a comment, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
139
Bitcoin Analysis ==>> Bearish Pennant Pattern!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved and filled the CME Gap as ✅I expected from the previous post . Bitcoin was able to move itself below the Important Resistance Line and Resistance zone($70,080- $68,250) . Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 5 as I expected with the Ending Diagonal . Currently, Bitcoin has completed 5 bearish (small) waves and is completing corrective waves . In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , Bitcoin has the ability to form a Bearish Pennant Pattern or Head and Shoulders Pattern . ( I drew the pattern separately for you so that the chart is not busy .)👇 I expect Bitcoin to continue its decline to at least $65,500 , and if the Support zone($66,500- $64,480) is broken, we should expect more Bitcoin declines . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
8
Gold Roadmap==>>When will Gold Correction Start Begin!?Today, I want to show you the Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) roadmap before the US presidential election . Gold has started an upward rally for over 2 months and is moving in an Ascending Channel . Educational tip : Try to draw the channels you draw in the chart with a tolerance. The question that arises for us is how long this bullish Gold rally can continue and when the correction of Gold will begin. In addition to the fundamental discussion , we can use technical analysis tools to answer the above questions . One of the best methods is the Elliott Wave Theory . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 in the Ascending Channel(small) . I expect the main wave of 5 Gold to finish in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and then we have to wait for the starting correction . ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Let's see what the history of gold has been like in the last month before the US presidential election . Throughout history, gold prices have often fluctuated in the months leading up to U.S. presidential elections. These changes have been influenced by various factors specific to each period. Here's a brief summary of gold's performance before some key U.S. elections : 1- 2016 Election (Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton) : Prior to the 2016 election, gold experienced significant volatility. Uncertainty about the outcome, especially with Trump's unpredictable economic policies, increased demand for gold as a safe haven. Gold prices rose in the months leading up to the election, reaching new highs after Trump's victory. 2- 2012 Election (Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney) : Leading up to the 2012 election, gold showed less volatility compared to other years. The Federal Reserve’s expansionary monetary policies and low interest rates kept gold attractive as a safe investment. Gold prices remained relatively stable before the election but surged after due to concerns over the "fiscal cliff." 3- 2008 Election (Barack Obama vs. John McCain) : The 2008 global financial crisis had a massive impact on gold prices. In the months leading up to the election, gold saw increased demand as a safe haven. Economic uncertainty and large bailout packages led to a significant rise in gold prices during this period. 4- 2000 Election (George W. Bush vs. Al Gore) : The 2000 election was marked by the "hanging chad" controversy, causing significant political uncertainty. This drove demand for gold. In the months before the election, gold prices rose, and after the election, due to ongoing political unrest and doubt over the result, gold saw further increases. 5- 1980 Election (Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter) : During this period, severe inflation and political uncertainty, both domestic and international, increased the demand for gold. In the months leading up to the 1980 election, gold prices were on an upward trend and reached new highs. Conclusion : History shows that gold often rises in the lead-up to U.S. elections due to political and economic uncertainty. Elections coinciding with financial crises or heightened uncertainty (such as in 2008 and 2016) have had a greater impact on gold price surges. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's see how gold has performed in November . Here’s a summary of the percentage changes in gold prices during November over the last 10 years : 1- November 2023 : Data not yet available, but gold has been volatile due to economic and inflation concerns. 2- November 2022 : Approximately +8% increase due to lowered interest rate expectations and recession concerns. 3- November 2021 : Approximately -1% decrease due to rising interest rates and stronger financial markets. 4- November 2020 : Approximately -5% decrease post-U.S. election, but demand remained high due to COVID-19 and stimulus packages. 5- November 2019 : Approximately +3% increase due to the U.S.-China trade war. 6- November 2018 : Approximately +1% increase after a few months of decline. 7- November 2017 : Approximately -2% decrease due to stock market growth and higher interest rates. 8- November 2016 : Approximately -7% decrease following Trump’s victory and market optimism. 9- November 2015 : Approximately -6% decrease due to anticipation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. 10- November 2014 : Approximately -5% decrease due to a stronger U.S. dollar and improving U.S. economy. 11- November 2013 : Approximately -4% decrease due to global economic recovery and the Fed's exit from its quantitative easing policies. Gold in November tends to be influenced by changes in monetary policy and economic conditions. Years with inflation or uncertainty saw increases, while years with economic recovery and rising interest rates experienced declines. But in general, there has been a downward trend, especially in the years when the US presidential elections were held. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
3
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>1-hour time frame==>>Filling CME GapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Important Resistance lines ( Bitcoin is attacking important resistance lines for the fifth time ) in the Resistance zone($70,080- $68,250) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the small ascending channel . Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to fail again after breaking the lower lines of the ascending channels (small and big) and then fill the first CME Gap($67,250- $67,050) . ⚠️Note: The formation of the Bull Trap is probably high.⚠️ ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
20
3M (MMM): Building a Bullish Case Despite HeadwindsWith 3M's earnings yesterday, it’s the perfect moment to analyze the stock and assess the upcoming opportunities. The company is expected to have benefited from its restructuring actions, such as headcount reduction, likely lowering costs and improving margins this quarter. Its disciplined spending and restructuring savings could also boost profitability. Despite these positive factors, challenges in 3M’s packaging and expression, along with home and auto care divisions, may drag down its performance. Lower consumer retail spending on durable goods is expected to impact its Consumer segment's results. From a technical standpoint, 3M’s surge from the support zone recently was strong enough to shift the weekly trend from bearish to bullish. Such a structural change on the weekly chart is significant, as it's not common to see such a clean trend reversal. However, as often happens with sharp upward movements, we are now seeing a bearish divergence on the RSI. This divergence doesn’t mean a pullback is imminent but suggests that one could happen eventually. Looking at the daily chart, there may be potential for 3M to move higher if wave 1 isn’t complete. Even if earnings were positive, we should still witness a pullback. We are looking to build a position by layering bids at key levels. Our first target entry is the gap high, followed by the gap low, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci level. If the price continues to drop, we’ll continue adding bids down to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Our stop loss will be set below wave (2) to safeguard the trade. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook and could result in a drop to $56, though this scenario seems less probable for the near future.
NYSE:MMMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
McDonald's (MCD): New setback after quarter pounder incidentOne month ago, we predicted McDonald’s would push into the 127.2%-138% range at max, and now the stock is reacting precisely as we expected. Pre-market trading shows a 6% drop following the news from Tuesday. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has reported one fatality and ten hospitalizations linked to McDonald's Quarter Pounder burgers, resulting in the fast-food chain pulling the item from several menus. This incident has brought McDonald's stock back into its previous range, signaling that this wave (B) should mark the local top for now. If we are correct, we expect to see a 5-wave structure downward from here. While there could be a brief relief pump, we anticipate the stock falling below the wave (A) level of $243. We are patiently monitoring the situation, and if a favorable short setup presents itself, we will share the entry details. For now, we are watching how the news unfolds and waiting on the sidelines.
NYSE:MCD
by freeguy_by_wmc