Long NQ FuturesLooking for a 50% retracement back to roughly the 19300 level. Will likely be a bumpy ride up, with the first test of resistance at 18300 (minor wave A), back down to the bottom of the gap at 16900 (minor wave B), and then back up to 19300 (minor wave C).
Expecting to reverse short once 19300 is reached, but will evaluate further if and when target is reached.
Elliott Wave
Gold Hits Key Support – Reversal Ahead or More Fall?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has entered a Correction phase after losing its ascending channel . Now, if you are in a Short position , this post will help you know where to take profit on your position or if you are looking for a Long position for gold , what area is suitable .
Gold is approaching an important Support zone($2,956-$2,917) that I don't think can be broken within a first attack . What do you think?
In terms of Elliott waves , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 , which appears to be able to complete at the Support zone($2,956-$2,917) .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the Support zone($2,956-$2,917) and to at least rise to $3,000 again and get close to the Resistance zone($3,058-$3,021) . It is likely to fall again after this move .
In your opinion, has Gold started a major correction, and to what price can this correction continue?
Note: If Gold can touch $2,890, we can expect further declines.
Note: Because the downward momentum is currently high, it is likely that wave 5 will also complete near $2,913, and we will see a fake break of the Support zone($2,956-$2,917).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURGBP Wave Analysis – 9 April 2025- EURGBP broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8700
EURGBP currency pair recently broke through the long-term resistance zone located between the resistance levels 0.8625 (multi-month high from last August) and 0.8645 (strong resistance from April of 2024).
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the c-wave of the active weekly upward ABC correction 4 from the end of September.
Given the strongly bearish sterling sentiment seen recently, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8700 (earlier resistance from December of 2023).
AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Wave 5 Completion in SightIn AUD/JPY, the 4th wave has been completed, and the 5th wave is in progress. According to Elliott Wave theory, there is a high probability of the market continuing its downward movement.
Regarding potential targets, the price may reach 88.151 and 87.365 on the downside. However, a bullish move could also emerge if the market breaks above 89.645 .
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks.
Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain.
At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057.
Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057
Support levels: 2996, 2981
The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher.
The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013
Regards R. Linda!
ADAUSDT → Correction to the liquidity zone before the fall ↓BINANCE:ADAUSDT is in a bear market, under pressure. An exit from consolidation and a pullback with the aim of retesting the resistance (liquidity zone) before further decline is formed
The fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is extremely negative. Bitcoin on yesterday's manipulation related to the 90-day tariff break, which was later denied by the White House began to form “helicopters” and high volatility. As the market calms down, the price returns to the selling zone, which creates pressure for Cardano as well.
Technically, a false breakdown of 0.5 fibo is formed and the price is consolidating near the local support at 0.5800. The breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.58 will provoke the continuation of the fall. A retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 0.6300 is possible.
Resistance levels: 0.63, 0.6661
Support levels: 0.581, 0.5092, 0.4564
The market structure is exclusively bearish. A False breakout of resistance or breakdown of 0.581 will provoke a further fall, but the level of 0.5092, if broken, will finally drive the coin into the zone of emptiness, which may lead the price to fall to 0.45- 0.42.
Regards R. Linda!
EWTSU EURUSD subminuette wave v unfolding
Elliott wave trade set up
subminuette wave v unfolding
micro wave ((1)) ended
micro wave ((2)) unfolding in a zigzag wxy FIB target 1.780/1.0820
Volume profile - price should break below 1.0870 target 1.0790/740
ICHIMOKU support area 1.0820
invalidation : 1.0870 hold -> price break out 1.1048
Dax Monthly - hitting fib cluster levelDAX monthly chart hitting fibonacci extension cluster level
The Dax typically leads the Dow to some degree, and has a deeply overbought RSI now at a potential resistance zone
Likely to have a retracement in the short to medium term
Not trading this, but highlighting as it may indicate that other western indices may follow suit and struggle to increase in the next 2-6 months
Nasdaq Pending Short: Completion of Wave 1 of CLike I mentioned in the video, we have completed a 5-wave structure for wave 1 of C. We are currently in wave 2 of C. And while this is a long-then-short idea, I feel that the risk to go long at this point of my posting is too risky, so it's better to wait for a short opportunity.
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management.
Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ).
Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677).
Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline .
Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244
If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea:
Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Trading Plan for DXY Elliott Wave View:
Large correction marked as Wave 4 in progress.
Inside it, a (A)-(B)-(C) zigzag structure is unfolding.
We’re currently in a sub-Wave B of C, expecting a short dip before a bullish move into the 104.80–105.60 supply zone (red box).
Invalidation level sits at 108.247, confirming the correction is valid below that.
2. Price Levels & Zones:
Strong support zone around 101.50–102.00, projected as a potential base for the next leg up (Wave C).
Resistance (target) is clearly the red supply zone near 105.
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Correlation with EUR/USD Chart:
If DXY is expected to rise in its Wave C, then EUR/USD should fall (as seen in your earlier chart).
Your EUR/USD analysis targets the 1.06924 demand zone — this lines up perfectly with DXY's Wave C rise.
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Trading Plan for DXY (or correlation play):
If trading DXY directly (if possible via CFDs):
Buy setup: Wait for minor correction (Wave B) to bottom around 101.80–102.00.
Entry: Near support with confirmation candle.
Target: Red zone 104.80–105.60.
SL: Below 101.50.
For EUR/USD traders:
Watch for EUR/USD Wave B to complete.
Once DXY starts impulsing up (Wave C), EUR/USD will likely drop hard.
That’s your sell opportunity on EUR/USD, aligned with DXY strength.
What You Can Do (Trading Plan):Wait for Completion of Wave B:
Monitor if price shows rejection or reversal signs (like bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.) near the recent high.
2. Entry for Wave C:
Once reversal is confirmed from the top of Wave B, you can:
Enter a Sell trade targeting the red zone (1.06924 to 1.06700 area).
Use confirmation from 1H or 30min timeframes (bearish structure, momentum loss).
3. Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL just above the high of Wave B.
Example: If B ends around 1.0990, keep SL near 1.1005.
4. Take Profit:
TP in the middle to bottom of the red zone (1.0700 – 1.0670).
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Optional Smart Additions:
Use Fibonacci retracement on wave A to confirm wave B top (61.8%–78.6% is common).
Watch news events around April 10–12 (shown in icons), could bring volatility.
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WTI Wave Analysis – 8 April 2025
- WTI broke the long-term support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 55.00
WTI crude oil recently broke the long-term support zone set between the support levels 60.00 and 65.00. This support zone has stopped all downward corrections from the middle of 2021.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active downward impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of 2024.
Given the strong downtrend seen on the weekly WTI charts, WTI crude oil can be expected to fall to the next support level 55.00, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).
"4-hour chart of USDT dominance shows a forming triangle, indicaWe have a clear triangle formation on the chart, indicating a bullish trend. I’ve also drawn the Elliott wave, and we are currently in the ABC phase. In simple terms, Bitcoin is the key driver here. Tether dominance (USDT) shows a similar pattern, with Bitcoin in a downtrend, and a gap filled with liquidity, likely waiting for withdrawals from institutions."
Nasdaq Short: Adjustment in Primary Wave CountsI've made changes to my original wave count where wave A has ended on a short 5th wave. However, the strength of the rally today made me revisit the counts itself and I realised that it is actually more appropriate for the 5th wave to extend.
I studied if there is a relationship if I moved the original 5th wave down 1 degree to become a 1st of 5th and I was truly taken aback when the relationship was crystal clear and staring at me but I was too blind to see it (actually, I was too busy at work to study the charts again which is why I only publish this 2 days later).
Now that Wave A has completed, the strong rally these 2 days can be easily accepted. Are we going into a wave C crash? I believe so. So sit tight and enjoy the ride!
Remember to keep your risk tight. I can be wrong (as I often do).
Good luck!
Elliott-Wellen Analyse 1-2-3-4-5 incomingBINANCE:SOLUSDT
🧠 Elliott Wave Analysis
🔍 Market Structure & Wave Count:
After a strong bearish impulse, the market completed a complex corrective (A)-(B)-(C) structure.
The recent move up appears to be wave (2) of a larger downward impulse and seems to have finished.
We are currently in the early stages of wave 3 to the downside, aiming for a full 5-wave structure (1-2-3-4-5) within wave (C).
The final wave 5 is expected to complete in the demand zone (gray box) around 90–95 USDT.
📉 Short-Term Bearish Target:
Target zone for the completion of wave (C)-(B) lies around 97 USDT.
📈 Next Bullish Move (Rebound Target):
After completing wave (C), a new upward move in the form of wave (A) is expected.
This bullish corrective wave could reach up to 115 USDT, completing a larger A-B-C structure.
📊 Indicators:
MACD shows weakening bullish momentum – potential confirmation for wave 3 downside continuation.
RSI is near the oversold zone (~27) – supporting the idea of a wave 5 bottom and a bullish reversal afterward.
🧭 Conclusion:
➡️ Focus is on a final move down to complete wave (C) around 90–95 USDT.
➡️ After that, a possible long setup is expected for a corrective rally.
➡️ Great setup for swing or scalp trades using Elliott Waves + demand zone confluence.
Ripple May Face Another Rally This YearRipple with ticker XRPUSD hit all-time highs for the final blue wave V as expected, so we should be aware of limited upside this year. However, despite recent slowdown, which we see it as an ABC correction within red subwave (IV), there can still be room for another rally this year, at least up to 4-5 area to complete final subwave (V) of V of an impulse on a daily chart.