GBPUSD Week 4 Swing Zone & LevelDynamic Take profit, dtp allows trade to catch big moves. These are set based on price momentum. Last week provided a humble 40pips.
Initial Swing Zone/Level are calculated at
Zone: 21599-21549
Level set as shown. Either a or b could play out, as determined by Price action.
As price breaks or bounces off these areas, new zones/levels will be recalculated.
Happy trading week
Elliott Wave
SOLThe analysis presents an Elliott Wave count for SOL/USDT on the 15-minute timeframe. Key observations include:
Primary Trend: A clear 5-wave upward structure is marked, with waves (i) to (v) completed.
Correction Phase: An ABC correction is identified, with wave C reaching within the Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618-0.786).
Wave Count: Within the correction, a smaller wave structure (w and ii) is outlined, with potential support near the Fibonacci levels.
Trendline: A descending trendline indicates resistance.
Potential: The current zone (blue rectangle) serves as a support or decision area for the next movement.
The analysis suggests a possible continuation of the uptrend if the support zone holds.
Adobe (ADBE): Patience Pays Off After 35% RallyFollowing our last analysis of Adobe (ADBE), the stock saw a 35% rally from June to September, only to flush back to our preferred range—a clear reminder of the importance of considering the bigger picture rather than chasing every setup. Six months later, Adobe now trades below our initial analysis levels, reinforcing the value of patience. Currently, the stock has tagged the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, showing a promising reaction. However, reclaiming and flipping the key resistance at $446 with strong momentum is crucial. If this level is reclaimed, we will look for a pullback to bid at this key zone.
Should Adobe fail to reclaim $446, another drop toward the $386–$350 support range becomes highly likely. As such, we are not rushing into long positions for the sake of being positioned.
On the fundamental side, Adobe faces critical challenges as investors question its ability to monetize new AI features and fend off competition from emerging startups. These factors will play a key role in shaping the company’s outlook. For now, we remain patient, watching for clear rejections or reclaiming of the key levels.
Key Resistance: $446
Key Support: $386–$350
GOLD → A change in fundamental background. Strong resistanceFX:XAUUSD faces strong resistance at 2721 and enters correction phase, which also coincides with the change of fundamental background and economic data
Weakening geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have reduced demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, the US dollar and US bonds. In addition, expectations of stimulus measures from China improved market sentiment.
Despite this, the downward trend for gold may remain limited due to Trump's rather risky policies and expectations of two Fed interest rate cuts later this year. Overall, gold prices are likely to be volatile in the short term due to holiday market conditions and Trump's upcoming executive orders.
Technically, the price is inside a symmetrical triangle, which in turn is located inside an ascending channel. If the resistance is not broken, pressure will be applied to the support....
Resistance levels: 2713, 2717, 2721
Support levels: 2702, 2697, 2690
A retest of 2702 will increase the chances of support breakdown and further fall. It can happen after the resistance retest. I do not exclude a false breakdown of one of the mentioned resistance levels before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
ORDI in 2025Since March 2024, #ORDI has been in a corrective wave after a massive bullish move that started the #BRC20 hype.
It’s now trading in a critical support zone between $16.5 and $21.5, which could be the bottom of this long correction.
Passing $30.4 may signal a trend reversal.
Clearing $52.9 would confirm a move toward a new all-time high.
BITCOIN → Correction before further flight to 112-120KBINANCE:BTCUSD surprises everyone again with this week's rally. After retesting the panic and risk zone, when many started selling, the price turned around and flew 18% in a few days....
One week old idea: BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?
There could be several factors behind the gains that have been forged over the past 3 days:
New reports point to increased activity from major players, including institutional investors,
Trump's upcoming inauguration, the crypto community is expecting the new president to take active steps. And overall, the bullish three-day run is a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical breakdown and fundamental confidence in the future of cryptocurrencies. All of this created a strong bullish momentum that attracted new buyers and increased institutional investor interest.
From a technical perspective, the 100K and 102.5K area plays an important role for me. If the bulls can keep the price above this zone, the growth will continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 102.5K, 100K
Resistance levels: 103.6K, 105.7K, 107.5K
Technically, at the moment, a pre-breakdown situation is forming on H1 against the support at 102.8. Accordingly, bitcoin may form a correction to both 100K and 97.5K. But, if the fall will quickly recover or the bulls will keep the defense above 100-102.5K, then further we can count on growth up to 108-112K.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD (GC1!) ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - TRIANGLE PATTERN©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation).
The context suggests that we are inside the 4-grey wave, as the 3-grey wave ended at the high of 2,801.2.
The 4H chart shows that we are inside the 4th wave in grey, based on some data on the current price action, it looks like a Sidewaves pattern and is narrowing over time. So it suggests to me the view of an unfolding Triangle.
The ((d))-navy wave is probably close to completing its role by creating the resistance level ((b)),((d))-navy, but this view is not strong, so at the moment in gold, there are at least several different wave counts at work at the same time.
Let's look at the alternative view of ALT, which also shows that the 4-grey wave is not showing any signs of ending, but instead developing as a Flat, its ((b))-navy wave will move higher.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave: Key Waves & Trade OpportunitiesOANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD Elliott Wave: Key Waves & Trade Opportunities
Elliott Wave Analysis for EUR/USD
Identified Elliott Wave Patterns:
Primary Wave Degree:
Wave 1: Starts at the high around 1.0500 (early December) and ends at the low around 1.0300 (mid-December).
Wave 2: Corrective wave retraces to around 1.0450 (late December).
Wave 3: Impulsive wave drops to around 1.0200 (early January).
Wave 4: Corrective wave retraces to around 1.0300 (mid-January).
Wave 5: Potential completion around 1.0175 (late January).
Intermediate Wave Degree:
Wave (i): Starts at the high around 1.0450 and ends at the low around 1.0300.
Wave (ii): Corrective wave retraces to around 1.0350.
Wave (iii): Impulsive wave drops to around 1.0200.
Wave (iv): Corrective wave retraces to around 1.0275.
Wave (v): Potential completion around 1.0175.
Minor Wave Degree:
Wave (a): Starts at the high around 1.0300 and ends at the low around 1.0200.
Wave (b): Corrective wave retraces to around 1.0250.
Wave (c): Potential completion around 1.0175.
Potential Future Price Movements:
Based on the identified Elliott Wave patterns, the EUR/USD pair is likely to complete the final wave of the primary degree around 1.0175. After this, a corrective wave (Wave A) could push the price back up to around 1.0300, followed by another impulsive wave (Wave B) down to around 1.0150, and finally a corrective wave (Wave C) up to around 1.0350.
Trade Recommendations:
Long Position:
Entry Point: 1.0175
Stop-Loss: 1.0150
Take-Profit: 1.0300
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:2
Short Position:
Entry Point: 1.0300
Stop-Loss: 1.0350
Take-Profit: 1.0150
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:2
Specific Price Levels:
Here are the key Fibonacci levels and support/resistance levels:
Fibonacci Levels:
0.382: 1.0400
0.5: 1.0350
0.618: 1.0300
0.705: 1.0275
0.786: 1.0250
Resistance Levels:
1.0500
1.0450
1.0400
Support Levels:
1.0350
1.0300
1.0250
1.0200
1.0175
1.0150
USD/JPY Elliott Wave: Key Waves & Trade OpportunitiesOANDA:USDJPY USD/JPY Elliott Wave: Key Waves & Trade Opportunities
Elliott Wave Analysis for USD/JPY
Identified Elliott Wave Patterns:
Primary Wave Degree:
Wave 1: Begins at the low around January 9, 2025, and peaks around January 16, 2025.
Wave 2: Corrective wave from January 16, 2025, to January 20, 2025.
Wave 3: Impulsive wave from January 20, 2025, to January 23, 2025.
Wave 4: Corrective wave from January 23, 2025, to the current price level (February 1, 2025).
Wave 5: Expected future impulsive wave from the current price level.
Intermediate Wave Degree:
Wave A: Corrective wave from January 27, 2025, to February 1, 2025.
Wave B: Impulsive wave from February 1, 2025, to February 3, 2025.
Wave C: Corrective wave from February 3, 2025, to February 5, 2025.
Minor Wave Degree:
Wave i: Begins at the low around February 5, 2025, and peaks around February 7, 2025.
Wave ii: Corrective wave from February 7, 2025, to February 9, 2025.
Wave iii: Impulsive wave from February 9, 2025, to February 11, 2025.
Wave iv: Corrective wave from February 11, 2025, to February 13, 2025.
Wave v: Impulsive wave from February 13, 2025, to February 15, 2025.
Potential Future Price Movements:
Based on the identified Elliott Wave patterns, the price is currently in a corrective phase (Wave 4 of the primary degree). The next potential movement could be an impulsive Wave 5, which is typically the strongest and longest wave in the Elliott Wave sequence.
Trade Recommendations:
Long Position:
Entry Point: Around 155.644 (current price level).
Stop-Loss: 154.969 (below the recent low).
Take-Profit: 158.082 (target level based on Fibonacci retracement).
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:2.
Short Position:
Entry Point: Around 158.082 (Fibonacci 0.618 level).
Stop-Loss: 158.874 (above the recent high).
Take-Profit: 155.644 (current price level).
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:2.
Specific Price Levels:
Here are the key Fibonacci levels and support/resistance levels:
Fibonacci Levels:
0.382: 156.820
0.5: 156.364
0.618: 155.908
0.705: 155.624
0.786: 155.339
Resistance Levels:
158.082
157.876
157.670
157.464
Support Levels:
156.974
156.774
156.465
156.110
155.654
155.295
155.058
154.841
154.525
Bitcoin - Roadmap 2025 to 2026 (Best plan)This analysis is all you need for 2025 and 2026 from the long-term perspective. Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
But bitcoin's market capitalization is constantly rising, and big players are entering the market. That's to say there is no longer room for such massive crashes. I don't think we will see an 87% crash like in 2015 or 2021. But 60% is still very likely—this would bring the price of Bitcoin down from 125,000 to 50,000. If you buy now at 100,000 USDT, your investment may shrink by 50% in 2026. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years.
So where to take profit in 2025 and prepare for a massive crash? This is a pretty easy question because we have a long-term trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025) on the linear scale. And yes, I don't use the LOG scale in this case. You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you on this chart, and the level to sell is 122,069 USDT.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you this very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XRP - 1D Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my update for the daily Elliott Wave count for XRP.
We broke out of the Elliott Wave Triangle that was communicated in the last posts.
We assume that the green Wave 4 has finished with this Elliott Wave Triangle and we started the green Wave 5 which could be the last rally of this bull market.
Today we want to discuss first upsides targets for this green Wave 5.
The first targets we have are the 1 to 1 FIB ratio at 3.7898 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 4.3088 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 4.6649 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 5.3037 USD.
We did add an additional higher timeframe target at the 1 to 1 FIB which sits at 5.5736 USD.
Noteworthy is that this additional target at the 1 to 1 FIB at 5.5736 USD is relatively close to the 1.618 FIB at 5.3037 USD. We also added the ATH which sits at 3.5505 USD which could function as short term resistance.
After we get more clarity in the short term we can calculate further targets to the upside.
Additionally we wouldn't be surprised if we get extensions and hit higher targets at 5$+ but we'll see how it develops and take it step by step.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Constellation Network DAG Token - BREAKOUTSUsing traditional technical analysis, I've identified breakouts of a major multi-year consolidation, accumulation cylinder, and recent bull flag. All time highs should be achieved on hype once the US decides to list this token on exchanges, or if it is revealed by a major figurehead that the USAF and DoD are using this network to validate sensitive data.
The 200 week SMA is a target that needs to hold as support, around 0.083.
Elliot Waves - I believe a primary third wave began around 0.02 around Q4 2024 and that we're in an intermediate wave 3, or finishing corrective intermediate wave 2. I'm targeting 0.45 for this current wave structure, and also targeting on or around March 20th for a peak in euphoria.
Bitcoin at Resistance: Expanding Triangle Hold=>Last Chance!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($104,700-$101,920) , near the upper lines (resistance role) of the Expanding Triangle Pattern , Monthly Resistance(1) , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to be moving in an Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 30 days . If the upper line is validly broken, this pattern will be failed.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin can move in an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) in the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin is currently completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . If Bitcoin touches $107,000 , the possibility of this corrective pattern being failed is very high.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,000 .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $107,000, we can expect BTC to make a new All-time High(ATH).
Note: There is also the possibility of Bulltrap formation.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves.
🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel.
🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes.
💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100.
💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55.
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Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel
BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25.
- Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel.
💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel.
⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️
💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
META Short: Towards EarningsSimilar to my Amazon's idea, I believe that META is also going to go up to a Fibonacci extension level of around $651.66 and then start it's decline. It might also be an earnings play where it will announce earnings that exceeds expectations, gapped up, and then sell down.
AMZN Long then Short: Towards EarningsFrom my Elliott Wave counts, I believe that Amazon still have some room to go but it will be the last wave up given that wave 4 turns out to be a triangle too.
Take note that while I am bearish overall for the entire market, I think that via financial engineering, US equity markets might still be able to hold up for a while. And this time, Amazon may be the stock that will cushion the index.
I've placed the possible short entries on this chart and they are both Fibonacci Extension levels. And I expect that they will play the usual: earnings that exceeds expectations, price gapped up, started selling down.
Take note that this will be labelled short because the essence of this idea to short at the turning point even though in the short-term, it is a long first then short.
BINANCE VALID BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEBINANCE:BNBUSDT Good Afternoon trader, my UPDATE idea for BNBUSDT. 4H on 19/01/2025.
We got a valid triangle pattern in binance price action because the price did not break through at $729,97 price area . If we observed carefully, 5 waves (W1-W5) will formed in this information, which is related to the Elliot Wave theory.
So my prediction the price will continue get the support triangle at $675,30 area price before continue bullish to break the pattern.
Please discuss about this thing, comment on below
The Missing LINK: Bulls Search for ContinuationKey Levels and Observations
The $20 level was crucial for potential wave 4 support. While this area was swept, it wasn’t decisively broken, leaving both bullish and bearish scenarios in play. Now, all focus shifts to the retracement as bulls look for internal structure and continuation, while bearish signals hint at further downside.
1️⃣ The Sweep at Support
The yellow zone ($19–$20) absorbed significant liquidity after a sweep below, signaling strong demand. However, the price's inability to decisively move higher leaves uncertainty.
2️⃣ Resistance at $23–$24
Price action is currently stalling near a key resistance zone. Bulls need to reclaim this area for continuation; otherwise, it risks a bearish reversal that could deepen the move down.
3️⃣ Bearish Pattern in Play
The actionary wave, followed by what could be a sideways flat correction, points to a potential bearish scenario. If this pattern holds, we could see a deeper move below the sweep pivot and $20 support.
Next Steps for Traders
📉 Bearish Outlook:
A decisive break below the $20 level could trigger an impulsive move downward. This could lead to a sharper decline, possibly extending beyond a Zigzag structure. Traders should watch for increasing momentum as confirmation.
📈 Bullish Outlook:
If the pivot low holds or price forms a corrective structure into an area of confluence, this may indicate the market wants to move higher. A reclaim of $23–$24 resistance would be an early sign of bullish continuation.
Final Thoughts
The retracement is the key battleground right now. For bulls to gain control, the price must stay internal to the sharp move up following the sweep and confirm continuation. However, bearish signals linger, and caution is essential. Patience and flexibility remain your best tools in navigating this complex setup.
double zig zag abc wxy wave near $2720 resistance levelbefore last fomc meeting gold collapsed in big but since fomc rate cut last time
gold is constantly going up making higher highs with higher lows a clear up trend
wxy waves subdivided into small degree abc waves has reached big static horizontal resistance level $2720
a blue parallel channel with upper line tested near resistance on last friday
projection for wave Y near resistance level