GOLD → Realization continues, risks increase!FX:XAUUSD is at its highs. The price continues to rally and update the highs from the opening of the session on Monday. No selling, but buying should be cautious!
Traders are waiting for the Fed officials to speak in the nearest future. The main issues are inflation, interest rate cuts and the US economy.
Optimism about Chinese stimulus, as well as ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran are supporting gold prices (In times of geopolitical turmoil, investors prefer to rush to traditional safe-haven gold prices)
With each passing day, the impact of the US election race is appearing more and more. The probability of a Trump victory is rising. Trump's fiscal and trade policies are seen as inflationary and positive for the US dollar
Resistance levels: 2736, 2750
Support levels: 2732, 2724, 2713
There is no news in the next few days, the fundamnetal background remains the same, so gold may continue to rise. The focus is on the nearest support zones for realization of purchases. At the moment the range 2736 - 2724 is formed
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
With Respect R. Linda!
Elliott Wave
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Preparing for a rallyFX:NZDJPY is forming consolidation near resistance after retest and false breakdown. On the back of JPY decline, NZD may show upside...
There is no proper price reaction to range resistance. Consolidation in the format of a descending wedge, a rather strong pattern capable of forming strong movements, is being formed. The Japanese national currency continues to update lows amid the calm of the central bank of Japan, which is waiting for something because of the rally in the dollar, as well as economic data from the United States. Any strong comments could restart the rally in the JPY, so the risk of a shakeout is quite high. But at the moment the chart is hinting at a possible upside...
Resistance levels: 91.362, 91968
Support levels: 90.056
The price stops moving away from the wedge resistance at some point, forming a 12-16 hour consolidation. Most likely there will be a breakout attempt. If the bulls keep the defense above 91.0, we can catch a good upward rally in the mid term
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
10/20/2024 BTCUSDT bitcoin chart Elliot wave idea .
Starting today, I will post my views on the Bitcoin chart. I will provide stop-loss levels with target profit and I will also enter positions myself. Afterward, I will review whether the analysis was correct or not.
This year, Bitcoin has made a significant impulse wave upwards, reaching near 73,000, and is now undergoing a correction for a while. It seems we are in an big ABC downward correction, followed by a WXY complex correction as it goes up again.
1. I believe we are seeing a double three combination correction forming in a wedge pattern.
2. It seems that the 5-wave impulse wave has completed at the end of this complex correction in a "wedge form". Since the stop-loss level is short, it seems like a good entry opportunity. Setting the stop-loss at 69,500 and aiming for a take-profit at around 66,300 would offer a very favorable risk-reward ratio.
One thing to be cautious about, though the possibility seems low, is that if the price breaks through 70,000, there could be a massive upward movement. Please be careful when trading.
I will return next time to review whether the analysis was correct.
Thank you :)
$SPY October 22, 2024AMEX:SPY October 22, 2024
15 Minutes.
The downward bias target 580 was done yesterday.
AMEX:SPY bounced back with a good bar with close near top of bar once 580 was done.
This was 9 averages in daily.
For the fall 585.39 to 581.60 AMEX:SPY retraced 61.8% to 583.5 levels.
For the rise from 565.27 to 586.12 AMEX:SPY has retraced 23.6% levels.
So today holding 580 is crucial for furter uptrend to continue.
Buy is above 585 levels and sell below 580 levels for a possible target 573-575 levels.
This is not a chart to short for more than 3 to 5$ targets as of now.
If draw an extension from 566.6 to 585.27 to 578.54 first target is 588-590 levels for a buy above 585.
I expect a good move today or tomorrow as all numbers near moving averages in chart in 15 minutes time frame.
Time for a sideways consolidation move with bias towards upside.
BITCOIN going to 58k?!The probability of this playing out increases significantly if we complete the 5-3-5 sharp pullback. As I've mentioned before, this looks like the final shakeout. My initial prediction of 57K is still in play, and we’re currently aligning with that thesis.
While there’s a slight margin of error around the 69K mark due to overlapping structures, it doesn’t invalidate the overall outlook. This thesis will provide a deep insight into how the market reacts in the coming days.
Even with a sharp pullback, it's a healthy correction before the final shakeout.
APE Impulsive Wave
In the daily chart, we finally got the end of the downtrend with a full wave count.
We now seem to be in blue wave 3 of an impulsive wave to the upside, and green resistance could offer the barrier to trigger blue wave 4 correction.
Price is way overbought and I´ll only look for long trades after corrections.
PayPal (PYPL): Elliott Wave update - final target in sightSince our entry in PayPal, the stock has performed exceptionally well, respecting the Elliott wave structure and currently providing us with a return of over 35%. This price action demonstrates how effectively PayPal follows the Elliott wave count, reinforcing our bullish outlook.
We have now set our stop loss at break even, allowing us to safeguard our gains while continuing to benefit from potential upward movement. During the recent wave (4), we chose not to enter, but it's important to note that the price respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level precisely, indicating a strong likelihood that similar levels will be respected in future corrections.
PayPal is currently advancing through wave (5), and we anticipate this wave to conclude soon. Our target for the larger wave (iii) stands at $81, with wave (5) potentially reaching up to $84. However, there is a possibility that wave (5) may conclude before reaching the wave (iii) target. Therefore, we will closely monitor the situation, keeping our alerts ready to react as needed.
Once PayPal moves into the $81 target area, we will look to secure additional profits. Should the price action align with our projections, we will consider re-entering at wave (iv) for further opportunities. Until then, we let our position continue running.
Alikze »» BTC | Bullish angle pattern | bullish channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish angle pattern in the bullish channel And the pullback is broken into the swing
- According to the movement scenario predicted in the previous analysis , by forming an ascending diamond pattern, it managed to break the dynamic trigger and move towards the supply areas.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel in the 8H time frame.
- With the formation of an ascending corner pattern, it is undergoing a temporary correction to the green box.
- Therefore, it can encounter support after correction in the green box area and continue its growth up to the supply range.
💎 In addition, if the correction is sharp, there will be a possibility of breaking the green box, up to the range of 62500.
💎 So, in case of zigzag correction in the green box area, it can meet the demand and touch the target of the supply area.
⚠️ In addition, if below the area of 62500 candles, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
MEXC:BTCUSDT
Alikze »» GALA | Wave 3 or C scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or 3 scenario in the ascending channel
- In the 8H frame, it is moving in an ascending channel.
- So far, a movement cycle AB=CD within the ascending channel has grown to the size of 0.78 fibo.
- After that, it had a corrective cycle up to the green box range, which has met with demand again.
- Currently, it is in the middle of the channel, which can continue its growth by breaking it up to the limit of the first supply area (the ceiling of the channel).
💎 After that, if it has a soft and zigzag correction, it can continue its growth with a bullback to the broken structure (minor ceiling) in the ascending channel until the second supply area as wide as the first channel.
⚠️Note: In addition, if the current price enters the corrective phase and touches the Invalidation LVL area, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:GALAUSDT
ARKM D UpdateIn my primary count, ARKM is finishing black wave 4.
I give this scenario a 70% reliability. The count is valid and there is no bullish divergence on wave 3 low. Also, there is no overlap with wave 1.
On the other hand, wave 4 is quite longer than I'd expect it to be.
As long as we stay below green resistance, I'm bearish for another leg down targeting 0.750.
PayPal (PYPL): Ready for a pullback after hitting wave (iii)Plan the trade and trade the plan.
That’s exactly what we’ve done with PayPal. In our last update a month ago, we stated: “We are going to take more profits once we are getting into the $81 area,” and now, we’ve done just that as NASDAQ:PYPL has reached the minimum target for Wave (iii) at $81. With the position now up 37%, we see more upside potential, but a pullback here could offer a prime second entry spot.
Several factors are aligning in the chart, reinforcing our conviction for a good re-entry. First, we are seeing a bearish RSI divergence, suggesting a more significant drop than the minor one we've already seen. Ideally, we’d like to see the price dip below the last level before the low-volume node at $76. A low-volume node represents an area of little trading activity, which means the price tends to move quickly through these zones in the future.
As for the entry, two key levels stand out to us. The high of the recent accumulation phase before the last leg up and the low of the same range, which aligns with the level of Wave (i). In theory, this level should not be breached. While we don’t strictly adhere to Elliott Wave theory, we prefer not to see the stock close below this level for an extended period. A wick below or consolidation around this zone would be valid for us. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level sits in the middle of this accumulation phase, making it our targeted entry for Wave 4. Therefore, the level between $72.78 and $70.62 seems ideal for a re-entry.
Given the upcoming election, it would be safer to play this setup with a wider stop-loss or soft stop-loss (manual stop-loss) to account for potential volatility or sudden price wicks.
At the moment, we haven’t set a limit order but have activated alerts. Once the price dips below $76, we will activate our limit order and get ready for the next leg up. 🔥
EURCHF Elliott Wavehello friends
In the EURCHF currency pair, we see the formation of 3 Elliott patterns.
The first pattern consists of a 5-wave impulse wave, which we can call wave 1 or A. The second wave is a zigzag and the third wave is a collapsing triangle.
Considering that there have been two correction waves, the possibility of changing the trend is very high. My guess is the start of an impulse wave at the dominant wave 3 or C.
In triangles, if the price breaks on either side, the price will continue in the same direction.
A buy trade can be prepared with a stop loss below wave 1 or B, which is the 0.92515 range. If the price breaks the bottom of the triangle and the price closes in it, our theory is invalid and you can enter the sell trade.
To support me, I recommend you install Trading View software on your phone and see my analysis and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
Weekly BTC UpdateDate: October 19, 2024
Bitcoin has maintained relative strength above 65,000 USD, but has been unable to decisively break above the 70,000 USD psychological resistance. The market is clearly respecting liquidity pockets and major order flow zones, which continue to play a pivotal role in the market's direction.
Resistance:
- 69,000 USD and 70,000 USD (40% of Order flow) - significant short-side liquidity will be collected if those levels get broken down
Support:
- 65,000 USD (Local support) and 62,500 USD (Strong Support):
Elliot Waves:
- According to EW theory there shall be finishing of Wave 1-5 cycle
Strategy Outlook
- Bullish Scenario: A strong move above 70,000 USD could trigger a rapid push toward 74,592 USD, especially with the order flow concentration there. A break above this could lead to new highs, with minimal resistance above.
- Bearish Scenario: Failure to break 69,950 USD could lead to a rejection and a correction back to the 65,000 USD support, especially if the A-B-C correction plays out. Breaking 62,500 USD would signal deeper weakness and likely invite more selling pressure.
S&P 500 short: A break down from trendlineFollowing my previous idea on the S&P500 completion of 5-waves (updated here in red), I've updated a 5 wave of a lower degree (in green numbering) and then we have an a-b-c of the same degree (also in green).
At this point, we can clearly see that there is a breakdown of a purple trendline. This is a longer term trendline. There is also a shorter term trendline in red that could potentially act as a support.
A short now will considered a more aggressive short but with potentially lower risk. A short after a break of the red trendline will be more conservative and even better risk if price drags along the trendline up.
It's up to you on the entry, but keep your stop loss above 5880 (c-wave high).
Good luck!
Alikze »» ADA | Upward wave 3 scenario - 12H🔍 Technical analysis: Upward wave 3 scenario - 12H
- In the analysis presented earlier in the weekly time frame, after the correction in the green box, it is currently in the range of the green box, which can continue its upward trend if it stabilizes above the green box.
- In the 12-hour time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, so far it has reacted positively to the dynamic trigger of the bottom of the channel several times.
- Currently, a motivational wave has been created in the area of the bottom of the channel, which can continue its advance until the middle of the channel and the supply area.
💎 According to the previous zigzag movements, the recent correction in the bottom of the channel has been a response to the AB=CD movement cycle.
⚠️In addition, if the Invalidation LVL area is touched, the ascending scenario is invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Nikkei 225 Short Idea UpdatePrice has moved horizontally since my previous short call on this index. The movement has formed into a descending triangle and as we moved into the apex, we might want to look at entries from the descending trendline or the breakdown trendline (2 red down arrows).
A short-term stop loss around 39420 will trigger a review of this idea.