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Elliott Wave

EURJPY Wave Analysis 16 January 2025 - EURJPY broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 158.00 EURJPY currency pair recently broke the support zone located between the key support level 160.200, (which has been reversing the pair from December) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward ABC correction 2 from last month. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave iii of the higher impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the strong bullish yen sentiment, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 158.00, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii.
Short
by FxProGlobal
GOLD → Realization of consolidation and retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD is testing a rather important resistance, a break and consolidation above which will open the way to 2721 - 2726. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone, and the fundamental background supports it Gold was supported by weak US inflation data, dollar correction and adjusted expectations of Fed rate cuts, as well as hopes for stimulus in China. Traders' attention shifts to December retail sales and jobless claims in the US. These data will help clarify the Fed's monetary policy outlook. Weakened dollar and lower bond yields support the current growth of gold. Technically, all eyes are currently on the uptrend and resistance at 2697.8 Resistance levels: 2697.8, 2700 Support levels: 2690, 2678 If gold can consolidate above 2697-2700 and the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect growth in the short and medium term. But do not forget about the news that will be published later. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and New TargetsBack in October 2024, we successfully closed our second position at the exact top of wave 3, capturing the peak before XAGUSD dropped by 17%. We’re still holding our first setup, which remains open with the stop loss set at break-even. We believe the bottom of wave 4 was established around $29, and the chart now points towards a move higher into wave 5. Our focus is on a continuation above the Point of Control (POC) into the $31.35–$32.90 range. At that point, we’ll look for an entry during the pullback (wave (iv)). Alerts are set, and we’re ready to capitalise when the opportunity arises.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3M (MMM): Patience Before Next StepsWall Street analysts estimate that 3M will report quarterly earnings of $1.66 per share next week, reflecting a significant 31.4% year-over-year decline. Revenues are projected at $5.79 billion, down 27.7% compared to the same quarter last year. As we mentioned previously, we have not yet set a clear limit for 3M and continue to monitor its chart closely. The current structure suggests that the alternative scenario, where wave 1 is positioned higher, appears increasingly likely. However, a significant surge beyond this point does not seem probable at this time. We’re keeping a close watch to determine where this wave 1 establishes its top before making any further moves. Patience remains key as we refine our conclusions on NYSE:MMM ’s next steps.
NYSE:MMMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
XRP: Is the $3.00 Breakout the Start of a New Rally!?XRP Token ( BINANCE:XRPUSDT ) , backed by Ripple , a pioneer in international financial transfers, this token has once again captured the market's attention. Is this growth sustainable or just a temporary surge? Let's take a closer look. Fundamental Analysis : 1- Legal Advancements(Recent Court Victories) : Ripple has achieved successes in its legal battles against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), reducing legal uncertainties surrounding XRP and boosting investor confidence. 2- Strategic Partnerships(Collaborations with Major Financial Institutions) : Ripple has initiated partnerships with banks and financial institutions worldwide, especially in Europe and Asia, aiding in the broader adoption of XRP. 3- Increased Utility(Speed and Efficiency in Transactions) : Given its high speed and low transaction fees, XRP is being considered a suitable option for international transfers. 4- Institutional Investment(Approval of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)) : The approval of ETFs related to XRP could lead to increased demand and, consequently, a rise in its price. 5- Leadership Changes(Changes in SEC Leadership) : With Gary Gensler stepping down as SEC Chair and the potential appointment of more crypto-friendly leaders, regulatory pressures on XRP are expected to decrease, potentially aiding its growth. ----------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's take a look at the Technical Analysis of XRP . XRP is trying to break the Resistance zone($2.92-$2.68) . However, the $3.00 Resistance level(Round Number) is preventing XRP from continuing to rise. Of course, with the large volume of the candle breaking the Resistance zone , we can hope for an increase in XRP . Regarding Classic technical analysis , the Rising Wedge Pattern has failed and will act as a continuation Pattern when a reversal pattern fails. ==>> Educational Tip According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that XRP has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 and we should wait for the main wave 4 . It looks like the main wave 4 can end around $2.85 or $2.74 ( near the upper line of the failed wedge pattern ). Looking at the chart of XRPBTC ( BINANCE:XRPBTC ) in the weekly time frame , we can see that it seems that XRPBTC has succeeded in breaking the Resistance lines and is currently trying to break the Resistance zone , and if this zone breaks , we can see a further increase in XRP compared to Bitcoin(if the crypto market is bullish ) and vice versa if the crypto market is bearish , we can hope that XRP will experience a smaller decline than Bitcoin. Based on the explanation above, I expect XRP to rise to at least a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) after the pullback is completed . Note: If XRP returns below the Resistance zone($2.92-$2.68) again, we can expect a further decline of XRP. XRP Analyze (XRPUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
14
From Bear Trap to Breakout: Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise again( with a high momentum ) yesterday after failing to break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) ( Bear Trap formation). Educational Tip: Its quick return after exiting the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) with high volume was one of the signs of a bear trap. Regarding Elliott wave theory , it seems Bitcoin successfully completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) yesterday and is currently completing the next five impulsive waves . Likely, Bitcoin is still in correction waves . I expect Bitcoin to start correcting from the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point and start to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000), we should expect a fall with high momentum (it is unlikely that another Bear Trap will be created). ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a high possibility that Bitcoin will break the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000). 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
21
US500/SPX morning analysisTechnical analysis of US500/SPX. Three different counts, one bullish (green) and two bearish (yellow, red). Green count has primary double combo wave to complete the correction, bottom in at 5756.90. Yellow and red counts both have an expanded flat correction starting on 20 December and are projecting wave (c) to complete above 6039.6. Yellow count has the expanded flat as a wave ((B)), looking for ((C)) below 5500. Red count has top in, expanded flat as a wave ((2)), looking for wave ((3)) below 5500.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by discobiscuit
JUPITER - To the 'moon' (soon!)This is a really interesting alt. It shot up significantly, and then is seeing what looks like a classic Elliot Wave triangle for a potential wave 4 of 5 of 1. If it is, then we should see the lower trendline breached any time soon, but only to come back within the channel and then upwards to wave 5. If the piercing occurs and we come back within the channel, it's looking really strong. But, only take your buy orders once the upper trendline has been decisively breached. Never within the channel unless you are going to 'trade the bumpers', but that's a low confidence trade in my opinion. Goog luck and follow and share for more.
Long
by cryptechcapital
XLMUSDT → High readiness for a bull run to 0.6100BINANCE:XLMUSDT is ready to move into the realization phase after coming out of a strong accumulation. The market is struggling for a strong buying zone. The coin, technically, is ending its correction. The price is gradually updating highs and breaking intermediate resistance levels, but the key factor is the exit from the medium-term consolidation and breaking the resistance of the descending channel formed on H4. If the bulls hold the defense above the key support zone 0.46 - 0.452, we can expect growth in the medium term. In addition, the rising bitcoin and the approaching Trump inauguration can be good drivers for the cryptovalt market. Resistance levels: 0.486 Support levels: 0.4605, 0.4522 Thus, the focus is on the consolidation of 0.486, 0.46. A break of resistance will activate the rally. False break of support and consolidation above the level will also be a good signal that the bulls are quite aggressive. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Uptrend, price depends on CPIFX:XAUUSD continues to form an uptrend on the local and medium-term timeframe. The price is again testing strong resistance on H4-D1 and is showing signs of readiness to rise to 2700-2750. The PPI report was a bit of a surprise and a small driver for the markets, including gold, as the dollar moved into correction. CPI is ahead and bets are high on the report as it could change the market's assessment of the prospects for a Fed rate cut this year. A strong CPI could add pressure on gold, while a weak report would support the bulls.Hawkish Fed rates are supported by the premise that Trump, who begins his second term next week, is likely to fuel inflation with his protectionist policies. Technically, there is an area of volume density and order block ahead, which could trigger a small pullback to support from which upside could continue. Support levels: 2678, 2674, 2669 Resistance levels: 2690, 2697, 2703 But, in the short (mid) term everything depends on the news. CPI is ahead and with weak data gold may go on a bull run, but strong data may stop the growth and turn the metal around. Focus on key levels! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
EURJPY → The fall may continue after the correctionFX:EURJPY is under pressure. The currency pair is breaking the local uptrend. Technical and fundamental background is weak, which in general can put pressure on the market. Globally, the currency pair has no trend and is trading within the range of 166 - 156. The last growth attempt was unsuccessful, the price could not approach the intermediate maximum and facing a strong bear the price turned around and fixing below the SMA headed to the lower boundary of the flat. Locally, the change of character to bearish is confirmed, but before further fall the price may form a correction, for example, to 0.5 Fibo (imbalance zone), or to local zones of interest, but in the medium term the fall may continue. Resistance levels: 162.3, 163.1 Support levels: 160.9, 159.8 A false breakdown of local support is formed, which may lead to correction, but since we have confirmation that the market is bearish, after the correction the fall may continue. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
SOLANA → Will a false breakdown be the cause of the rally?BINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing a previously broken downtrend boundary as part of a correction. Bulls are employing aggressive methods to keep defenses above key support ahead of Trump's inauguration, keeping hopes high On the weekly timeframe, the market is supported by SMA50 support indicating a strong uptrend. The focus is on two strong levels: 204.75 and 175. These are the boundaries of the current range. A breakdown of any of the boundaries will play a key role in further price movement. But I consider the realization of resistance as a priority. On D1 yesterday a false break of strong support was formed in the form of previously broken downtrend resistance. This indicates that the market is still in a bullish plane and on the background of upcoming important news this could have a favorable impact for the coin. Resistance Levels: 203-204 Support levels: 183, 175 If the price starts to retest the support at 175 and form a consolidation with a gradual downward compression, the risk of breaking the bullish pattern will increase. But, based on fundamental data, I expect a consolidation above 183 and further growth Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
12
GOLD (GC1!) ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - TRIANGLE PATTERNThe context suggests that we are inside the 4-grey wave, as the 3-grey wave ended at the high of 2,801.2. I see that the 4-gray wave is taking a long time, and is probably getting forming narrower as time goes on, as well as its subwaves have a lot of Three-waves, which directly suggests to me the idea of ​​a Triangle (3-3-3-3-3 or ABCDE). A closer look, the ((a))-navy to ((c))-navy, and the ((d))-navy wave is actually not over yet but continues to grow to go a little higher . That could indicate that the resistance levels at 2,761.3 play an important role, which is also the ideal stopping point of the ((d))-navy wave. After that, the ((e))-navy wave will move lower. furthermore.
COMEX:GC1!
by ShaneHua
1
Silver, Platinum and OilThis is how I see the precious metals and oil bull market most likely playing out. I believe we are at the equivalent of where the vertical red dotted line is. Oil outperforms precious metals (Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium) until Q3 2027 to Q4 2028. - approximately. That will be wave 3 of 5 for Oil. At the end of wave 3 - Oil will likely be priced between $250-400. Oil then starts it’s wave 4 retracement. While Oil ends wave 3, Silver will likely be in the $35-50 range. Likely closer to $50 and also coming to the end of a consolidation after already reaching approx $50 several months earlier. Then while Oil does wave 4, Silver will have an explosive move above $50 to somewhere into the $125 - 200 range. This will coincide with the Oil/Silver ratio breaking down from approx 6-7. Red zone marking expensive Oil, Green zone marking cheap Oil. After Oil completes wave 4 it will then go on to make wave 5 and peak somewhere in the $400-600 range. Once Oil peaks, Silver will start it’s wave 5 move and peak in the $300-600 range. As for Platinum, it might peak at the same time as Oil like it did last time in 2008. Gold and Silver peaked 3 years later in 2011. So it might peak at the same time Silver and Gold do. I also expect Silver and Platinum to outperform Gold which is why I’m not including it here. The purple vertical dotted line marks roughly when I think the Oil to Silver ratio will peak and when Silver starts it’s explosive break above $50.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by TipsOfPips