Bitcoin - 130k by January, then crash to 60k!Comment your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you!
Bitcoin is almost ready to start a new and last huge wave to the upside! My target is around 130k for multiple reasons, which I will tell you in this analysis. But what happens after Bitcoin hits 130k? We all know that Bitcoin is extremely volatile, and during its bearish cycles, a 70% - 80% is standard. We can definitely expect a crash from 130k to 60k in the next bearish cycle to retest the current bullish flag (that you can see on the chart). That's why it's very important for you to take profit and potentially enter a long-term short position on futures!
Why is 130K important? First we have the 0.618 fibonacci extension measured from wave 1+3 -> wave 4. Also, we have the long-term trendline of this bullish cycle, which is even stronger dynamic resistance level!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we need to complete this impulse wave and make the last wave 5! This wave 5 already started at 49k in August. On the chart, we can see 2 major consolidation periods marked as wave 2 and wave 4.
The best plan on Bitcoin is to buy it and sell around 130k, then enter a short position on futures to make money in the next bearish cycle. You will also get funding fees for holding your short position!
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Elliott Wave
Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
# Trend | Time Frame Conductive | 15 Minutes Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Bitcoin update on Oct 16, 2024: Bearsih alert!I just updated my chart and wave counting from the Bitcoin, nothing is change on the big picture, one more leg down is most possible scenario.
The adjustment from my previous view is on the "X" wave that contain a-b-c correction showed longer and higher correction, but it's still valid as the "c" made 5 waves on it.
So, i can see the "5th wave" of "c" of "X" is done or almost done, next destination is to completing its "Z", before we head up to the massive bull run.
Let's ride it together..
CHEEERRSS!!!
Gold Analysis==>>Bollinger Bands!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved, as I expected in my previous post .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,686-$2,670) and within the Bollinger Bands Indicator ( we can consider the upper and lower lines as Support and Resistance ).
What is Bollinger Bands Indicator!?
Bollinger Bands is a technical indicator used to measure market volatility. It consists of three lines:
Middle Band: A simple moving average .
Upper Band: Two standard deviations above the moving average.
Lower Band: Two standard deviations below the moving average.
When prices hit the upper band, the asset might be overbought; hitting the lower band suggests it could be oversold. Tight bands indicate low volatility, while wide bands show high volatility. It helps identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed 5 impulsive waves . We should expect the Corrective waves to finish and Gold to start increasing again.
I expect Gold to start rising again after hitting the lower line of the Bollinger Bands or 50% Fibonacci line and attacking the Resistance lines .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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NIFTY50.....Waves c of b of iv up next?Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 is moving sideways from 25234 to 24908 in sum! It shows the pattern of a bull-flag, what often turns into a move to the upside. So to say, a "continuation pattern".
If so to come, the next move is to the upside, as I wrote before. Switch to the 1-hour chart also confirms the "3-down".
Again; if so to come, one possible price range for such a move ranges from 25466 to 25500 area. Here, a wave c of b of iv should end.
A straight decline to new lows below the possible wave a of iv move, should open the door to 23893 area, where a wave 4 of lower degree has been established!
So friends, that's it for a quick note today.
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment if necessary.
Trading based on this analysis is at your own risk.
Elliott Wave Outlook for RELIANCETechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The provided chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) outlines a potential Elliott Wave pattern within a 1-hour timeframe. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that financial markets move in predictable and repeatedly patterns based on investor psychology.
Key Observations:
1. Impulse Wave: The primary uptrend appears to be an impulse wave, a five-wave structure.
Wave 1: The initial uptrend from the low point.
Wave 2: A minor correction or pullback.
Wave 3: A strong extension of the uptrend.
Wave 4: A smaller correction.
Wave 5: The final wave of the impulse, often ending with a climactic price movement.
2. Corrective Wave: The current downward movement was a zigzag corrective pattern.
Wave A: The initial decline.
Wave B: A minor retracement.
Wave C: The expected continuation of the downward trend.
Potential Scenario:
If the current corrective pattern zigzag finishes here or near, then further wave ((3)) is to start post completion of wave (C) of ((2)), and it would not go sudden upside, because any impulse wave unfolds in five subdivisions, so wave (1) of wave ((3)) can start any time post completion of wave (C) of wave ((2)).
Note: This analysis is based on a specific interpretation of the Elliott Wave pattern. Other analysts might have different interpretations. It's crucial to use multiple tools and indicators to confirm your analysis.
Additional Considerations:
Fundamental Analysis: Consider factors like company earnings, industry trends, and economic indicators to support your technical analysis.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses.
Diversification: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investments across different assets.
Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Follow-up Update on NASDAQ - Down-move has started?This is in continuation from my weekend update on NASDAQ:NDX where I mentioned that we should likely be headed down from the upper channel line of rising wedge. Yesterday we got a negative daily close and in hourly timeframe, we can see clean 5 waves down. More in the video.
NZDUSD_4Hhello
New Zealand dollar analysis Elliott wave analysis style In the medium term time frame The market is at the end of the fall and in the 5th wave of decline, which is a trading position where the last fall can be considered in the range of 0.60000, and after completing the fall, it will enter an upward wave and correct upwards towards the number 0.62062.
Bitcoin (BTC): Rally Fueled by Election SpeculationBitcoin’s recent momentum seems unstoppable, and if it continues at this pace, we could see it challenge the All-Time High soon. Is the rally driven by election speculation? Quite possibly. Former President Donald Trump's growing lead over Vice President Kamala Harris is creating buzz, with decentralized prediction markets like Polymarket reflecting a widening gap between the two candidates. Trump's odds surged 13 points ahead of Harris by October 15. While Larry Fink may downplay the election's impact on the market, we disagree, as we anticipated Trump's increasing odds would begin influencing market sentiment.
The recent surge in Bitcoin ETF inflows supports this view. With $550 million in inflows yesterday alone, the spike suggests that institutional investors, rather than retail, are fueling this rally. Institutional adoption continues to grow steadily, benefiting our spot BTC positions, which are printing gains once more.
Ignoring a brief dip below the trend channel, Bitcoin has consistently respected it, aligning well with the support zone. Currently, BTC is trading slightly above the trend channel, facing resistance from an order block. While this resistance may hold for a while, we anticipate it will eventually break. However, a slight dip before that would present a valuable buying opportunity, which we aim to capitalize on.
Zooming in on the VWAP chart, BTC has reclaimed the 2024 Q1 VAH but is now trading within a 12-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). A pullback here would be ideal for positioning ourselves for the next leg up. With multiple levels aligning, we have two entry points prepared, and a flexible stop-loss strategy to manage the trades in real time.
Vaxcyte Stock (NASDAQ:PCVX) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
# Trend | Time Frame Conductive | 15 Minutes Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
NAS100 afternoon updatePrice action falling out of the pitchfork without tagging the median line is certainly not bullish...
From 5 August low, I can see a contracting diagonal forming, with waves (1), (2), and (3) having fairly clear three-wave corrective structures/patterns.
Wave (4) in this interpretation would be an expanded flat, with wave c to go below 19614.1 and having Fibonacci and trend-line support to stay above 18676.2.
Wave (5) would then likely finish above 20758.4 to complete the pattern.
BOME at key levelBINANCE:BOMEUSDT
Bome has gone up in a 5-waves move, Leading Diagonal Pattern, and retrace to the key level of 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, it is on the exact place where you should expect a bounce. And after 5 loosing days, it seems like we are making a bullish Harami Candlestick. Risk-Reward ratio is huge here.
USDCAD_1Whello 👋
📊Analysis of the Canadian dollar Long-term time frame Elliott wave analysis
The market is moving in the 5th big wave and can break the ceiling of the triangle and register a new ceiling in the last 25 years. Long-term time support 1.34000 The first target is 1.44444 The second target is 1.50000
BTCUSD morning analysis (bullish)Summary of action for BTCUSD since 5 August 2024 low.
Area in yellow ellipse does not look impulsive. There is a way to get an expanding leading diagonal out of it, but it certainly does not have the "right look". Will need to come back to this price action later, depending on how future price action plays out.
Area in first red ellipse labeled 1. is similarly vague. It might be a zigzag, but again doesn't have the right look. Will come back to this price action later as well.
Area in first green ellipse labeled 2. is not the prettiest impulse in the world, but it can certainly be counted as such.
Area in second red ellipse labeled 3. looks very much like a zigzag corrective structure, bottoming at 58897.55 (which is now the must hold support for bulls).
From what I can tell, price action after the bottom at 58897.55 has two impulse waves up (small green ellipses) and two corrective structures (small red ellipses). The two corrective structures both look like expanded flats, and if true would likely mean price action after 58897.55 is a 1-2/1-2 looking for wave 3 rather than 1-2-3-4 looking for wave 5. Price getting above 69632.35 on an impulse wave off today's low of 65226.43 would confirm that assessment.
Overall, this does look quite promising for bulls, who have been waiting patiently through 7 months of consolidation.
Key level of support today is 65226.43. Key resistance to break is 69632.35. Good luck.