Gold at its final highWith yesterday's high, gold has probably reached its upside target with a high probability. At least the 0.786 extension was also reached in all sub-waves and in the gray (y) the ideal target, the 1.00 extension, was hit almost exactly. The first sell-offs then set in today. The minimum correction target is the 23.6 retracement at around 2263$. However, it can also go much lower, so the gold bulls should be on the defensive for the time being. It is not possible to make a serious statement about a possible point at which they could take over again. Only the course of the next few weeks, months or years will be able to tell.
Elliott Wave
$SPY February 25, 2025AMEX:SPY February 25, 2025
15 Minutes
As expected, AMEX:SPY retraced and fell back. Took support at 596 levels.
592 is downside target for the extension 610.70 to 596.48 to9.47 to 603.02.
For the fall 603.02 to 596.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 78% to around 601 levels. And made nearly double bottom around 596 levels.
At the moment upside is limited to 603 levels being 20 averages in 5 minutes.
Trend is down until 610 is taken out.
GOLD → Bullish structure. Emphasis on 2955FX:XAUUSD is still in consolidation, but the flat is gradually changing into an ascending triangle structure, which further explains the bullish interest in the market.
Gold price is consolidating near the record high of $2,956. Investors took a pause before a possible continuation of gains amid renewed trade war fears over Trump's statements on tariffs and controls on exports of Nvidia chips to China.
Weak risk sentiment and a rising dollar are holding back gold, but lower bond yields and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting prices.
Gold will remain influenced by tariff negotiations and US consumer confidence data in the coming days
Resistance levels: 2940, 2954.5
Support levels: 2930.7, 2921
Local resistance at 2940 is ahead. If the bulls are able to consolidate above this area, we should wait for the growth and the retest of 2954.5.
2954.5 is a trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of the bull rally.
But before that the consolidation between 2954 and 2940 may be formed. I don't exclude the flat support retest before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
How to Trade Ending Diagonal: EURUSDOne of my favorite EW patterns: Ending Diagonal
It usually appears in wave C or 5, we have wave C
It consists of five waves and each of them are three waves
All looks good as wave 5 is over wave 3 and Ending diagonal might be completed
as EWO oscillator already shows Bearish Divergence between wave 3 and 5
This educational post to show trade setup on this pattern
The bottom of wave b in wave 5 is a breakdown trigger (blue) as it means wave 5 is over
Confirmation is on breakdown of wave 4 (orange)
Target is at the start of the Ending Diagonal (green)
Bonus track:
One could consider sell on 61.8% Fib retracement as we see the first impulse down
and now we watch this two-legged pullback.
CoinbasePrice has officially entered into my target box today. I still feel we have lower to go before this is over though. I would like to see us hit the 1.0 @ $204.65 before turning back higher. I can think of several things that could support a move higher such as the SEC dropping its case against COIN. However, we have crossed into wave 1 territory, which is the minimum needed for the larger ED I have been tracking.
We created some neg div on the hourly chart today too. As you can see, price made a lower print today than last December and MACD is reading a higher print. Is this hinting that more downside is coming? I believe so, and I believe the 1.0 @ $204.65 is the ideal place for price to turn around at. I have an alert set @ $205 and will likely look at placing an order around this area.
KOLD is petty HotKOLD (gas short 3x) seems like an nice straight forward Elliott set up, scale in you position over time, (gas can bounce before it gets started) good 100% potential gain.
GAS is volatile so Please do NOT use margined and don't bet the farm or the kids. Don't Gamble GAS should be just one average size position of the many. (use risk management)
GOLD → Price is in consolidation and getting ready to go to $3KFX:XAUUSD is preparing to continue its growth. Consolidation is forming against strong resistance. The dollar in the correction phase continues to update the lows....
Gold is consolidating near 2945-2955, remaining cautious due to Trump's tariff threats and waiting for US inflation data. Which technically increases the chances of continued gains.
Optimism in the markets is supported by upcoming US-Russia talks on Ukraine, new Chinese measures and the victory of conservatives in Germany.
Weak dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold, but rising risk appetite reduces its attractiveness
Resistance levels: 2946.5, 2954.5
Support levels: 2935, 2921
Technically, the focus is on 2946.5. If the bulls are able to break this level, the resistance ahead at 2954.5 will not seem so strong. In this case, the price will continue its growth to 2969 - 3K
But, before further growth, as gold is still in consolidation, the price may test the liquidity zone 2935 - 2921.
Regards R. Linda!
SPX/DJT comparisonChart comparing SPX and DJT.
This count has SPX and DJT in wave ((2)) of ((5)), with wave ((2)) of SPX as an expanded flat and wave ((2)) of DJT as a regular flat.
For SPX, wave B of the expanded flat ends up being 200% of wave A (nearly to the tic). For DJT, wave B of the regular flat ends up being ~90% of wave A.
If correct, would expect wave C to target March 2020 lows.
DEEP - Finding The Next Trade SetupDEEP recently took out the January 13, 2025 low at $0.12345 with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), followed by a successful retest. This led to a bounce that hit a key level at $0.12141, presenting a solid long opportunity with minimal risk.
After this, the market turned bullish, forming a 5-wave structure and rallying to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.18643 (measured from the $0.20473 high to the $0.11922 low). This was a key take-profit zone for longs and a great short opportunity.
Adding confluence, the anchored VWAP also acted as resistance just above at $0.19, offering another low-risk short setup. Additionally, a key resistance level at $0.1809 further reinforced the rejection zone.
Current Price Action & Short Setup
From the 0.786 Fib retracement, DEEP retraced 20% downward, nearly touching the 0.618 retracement of the 5-wave structure before bouncing. Now, price is finding resistance at the golden pocket (0.618 at $0.17347 and 0.666 at $0.17534) of the recent drop, aligning perfectly with the daily 21 EMA ($0.1757) and daily SMA ($0.17347).
This setup suggests an ABC corrective move is forming.
Using the trend-based Fibonacci extension, the 0.786 extension aligns with the 0.618 retracement at $0.1457, creating a strong short setup.
Short Entry: Between $0.17347 - $0.17534
Target: $0.1457 (0.786 trend-based Fib extension / 0.618 retracement)
Stop Loss: $0.1845
Risk/Reward: 2.5:1
There’s also potential to extend the target to the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension at $0.13733, but this would depend on price action.
Potential Long Setup
If price reaches the $0.1457 support zone, this could present a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry: Around $0.1457
Risk/Reward: 2:1 or better, but confirmation is needed before executing the trade
ONYXUSDTBased on this wave count and other considerations, we are probably in wave 4 and the areas indicated on the chart are ideal ranges for the bottom of wave 4 and the hunt for wave 5.
Buying spot this currency around $0.011 to $0.0125 seems low-risk and reasonable.
March 5th to 10th is an ideal time zone for the end of wave 4.
Just an analysis that could easily be wrong.
Is RAYUSDT About to Break Out? Key Levels to Watch Now!Yello, Paradisers! Is RAYUSDT gearing up for a massive breakout? The chart is showing a proper triple zigzag within a descending channel, which significantly increases the probability of an upcoming bullish move.
💎If RAYUSDT bounces from the current level, it could form a W-pattern, but for a high-probability setup, we need to see a breakout and a confirmed candle close above the key resistance. This move would also break the descending channel, signaling a stronger bullish push.
💎On the other hand, if the price retraces further or consolidates, a bounce may still occur, but the setup would be lower probability, making it less favorable to trade in this zone.
💎However, if RAYUSDT breaks down and closes below the support zone, the entire bullish setup will be invalidated. In that case, it would be wiser to wait for better price action before looking for new opportunities.
🎖 Patience and discipline are key, Paradisers. If this breakout happens, it will be a strong opportunity—but if invalidated, we wait for the market to present a better setup. Trade smart!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
CRVUSDT Potential for a Bullish Revers? ( EW Analysis )CRVUSDT, a popular cryptocurrency trading pair, is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal based on Elliott Wave Theory. This analysis aims to break down the current wave structure and outline possible future price movements.
Wave Structure Overview
The chart follows a complex corrective wave pattern, which consists of WXYXZ labeling. This pattern indicates an extended correction phase that may be coming to an end. Below is a breakdown of the observed waves:
1. Wave (iii): This wave marked a strong uptrend, indicating significant bullish momentum in the past.
2. Wave WXYXZ Correction: The corrective structure suggests a prolonged retracement, leading to potential price exhaustion at the recent low near $0.40.
3. Wave (iv) and Completion of Wave Z: The labeling shows that wave (iv) is completing, forming a potential higher low on the support trendline.
4. Formation of ABCDE Structure: A possible contracting triangle (ABCDE) is forming within the final leg of wave Z, signaling an imminent breakout.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: The ascending trendline near $0.44 - $0.48 serves as a critical level for price stabilization.
- Resistance: The downward trendline resistance around $0.55 - $0.60 is the first hurdle for bullish continuation.
- Target Zone: If wave (v) initiates, potential targets lie between $1.20 - $1.50, aligning with the upper channel.
Bullish Outlook and Confirmation
To confirm the bullish scenario, CRVUSDT must break above the $0.55 resistance with strong volume. A successful breakout would validate the start of an impulsive wave (v), pushing prices higher.
Risk Factors
- A breakdown below the $0.40 invalidation level would negate this bullish outlook and extend the correction.
- Market sentiment and external factors such as Bitcoin’s price action and macroeconomic conditions may impact the projected wave structure.
Conclusion
CRVUSDT appears to be at a pivotal moment, with Elliott Wave analysis suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Traders should monitor key levels and look for breakout confirmations before making any trading decisions. If the projected wave (v) unfolds, we could see a significant rally in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.